Hearted Youtube comments on Pyotr Kurzin | Geopolitics (@theglobalgambit) channel.
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First :Serbs was fighting against Nazi Germany WWII but Croatian, Albanian, Bosnian Muslim fought for Nazi Germany. Serbs lost 1.5 millions of population .Jasenovac was the most brutal nazi Croatian camp where they killed more then 1 million Serbs,60 000 Jews and 30 000 Roman. Most Muslim,Croatian, Albanian 90% were in SS nazi Germany army.
Look at maps of ex Yugoslavia and you will see that last 80 year's Serbs were wiped of 60% of their territory. It all happened with helping with NATO. That is why Serbs doesn't trust NATO countries. Evry single nations who supported Nazi Germany became EU member only Serbs left behind. I was bombarded twice with NATO. 1995 Serbian Republike and 1999 Serbia.NATO occupied 15% of Serbia and 70% of Serbs forced to live,as well Croatia did it 1995 with help of NATO.Why Kosovo which is Holly Land of Serbs must be independent but Serbian Republic can't?
Double standard which is done by EU,NATO.
Serbs fought in both World Wars alongside with Western Countries but Croatian, Bosnian Muslim,Albanian didn't.
We were punished for that but Nazi Croatian, Albanian, Muslim Bosnian were AWARDED.
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You guys have to get rid of that echo. Thank you both Daniel and Pyotr, I see the emotion that is sort of directing Daniel's reasoning for engagement, and I understand the approach that Pyotr is attaching to his thinking, Iran should be treated like the bit player it is on the world stage, similar to North Korea, these countries and other countries similar to them want to destroy the west, and I mean the entire west. Choas works for the east, with more choas you can apply more rules to control your population so that they follow your plans. The west has operated by a controlled choas network, 30% wants to burn it down, 30% wants a really high wall, 40 percent just want the west to carry on, so people can raise their children in relative peace. At 62 I've been around for quite a while and unless something really stupid transpires I don't see things changing, Hamas doesn't count as stupid, there's a difference between evil and stupid. Peace
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Discovered your channel today, excellent content. Heres my take. Brics is a paperweight until China & India sort out their issues. If that happens, Western dominance will evaporate overnight. From an Indian/NRI perspective, I feel India has already chosen the West over Russia and China but is yet to admit it to the West and, more importantly, itself. It may not seem like it, but the US is bending over backward to court India. Examples of this is the purchase of American armaments by India, the near silent treatment by the US over India's current kerfuffle with Canada. India will have to publicly pick a side to make a real impact, all the bonhomie with Putin remains nothing more than good TV. Indians in the US have a super high profile, represented in every level and to me is a shining endorsement of the West. I dont see Indians clamoring to move to Russia to live the Russian dream. Personally, I feel that in the long run, India will end up a member of the Western coalition despite being a non-Western country like S.Korea and Japan.
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I think inflation remains a threat to economic growth because while the inflation rate is lower now, the cost increases are permanent, and wages increases are far behind in real terms for most people, especially in the UK but applies to the EU and US as well.
If we want large economic growth (assuming we can achieve much more without harming the environment too much) we need investment in key sectors of the future such as EVs, low carbon energy production such as renewables, nuclear and hydrogen (or atleast more efficient natural gas technology), advanced robotics and artificial intelligence research and development.
Many western countries, including the UK where I live, were promised the return of old manufacturing industries like ship building and consumer electronics, however this was never going to be economically viable unless workers take massive paycuts to make it competitive on the global market.
Instead, we need reform of the industrial strategy to occupy those high tech Industries spaces i mentioned.
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A Bangladeshi here. Kugelman is the right person to discuss Bangladeshi politics.
Being a Bangladeshi, I will share my perspective. History unfortunately is very complicated, and it is very difficult to make an outsider understand the true reality of a country. Politics is perception, and I will share my perception here.
1. Bangladesh from its inception has been in a situation like that of Ukraine. We couldn't live with Pakistan because they thought they were racially superior. For two Pakistan to survive, it needed to be a federal state, but still I don't think the west would ever accept a leader from the east. India on the other hand always wanted to break Pakistan because they didn't want to have nukes on both sides. So the result was Bangladesh.
2. OK, we got Bangladesh, but India wanted it to be its vassal state. India wants Bangladesh as part of its greater India docrine, but Banglsdesh's large Muslim population is the chief obstacle. India wants the land but not people; so they resorted to keep the country subduded. India always wanted in Bangladesh an obedient puppet regime, a weak military, and the right to decide all foreign matters. Above all, India never wanted a populist and a nationalist leader in Bangladesh. India fears that if Bangladesh becomes a prosperous nation, the seven Indian states east of Bangladesh may seek independence from India.
3. Awami League was the instrument India needed to establish Indian hegemony. I don't blame India. The problem is among us, there is a traitor class who always wanted to serve India's interest, because they see Bangladesh as nothing but a money making machine. India was happy, Awami League was happy, but the gravy train ended when Mujib was rightfully killed and the nationalist leader Zia emerged in 1975. The true foundation of Bangladesh was laid by Zia. He structured the country, founded BNP, brought discipline, gave us a purpose. But of course India didn't tolerate it. Zia was killed by India though Ershad, then Chief of Staff of Bangladesh Army.
4. To substitute the nationalist force in BNP, aside from Awami League, India needed another party. Through Ershad they founded Jatiyo Party (JP). Ershad ruled till 1990 and then a first fair election happened in Bangladesh. BNP won by a landslide. Despite all the attempt, nationalist sentiment remained strong.
5. In 1996, Hasina won but failed to clinch majority. She formed a coalition government but with the help of JP (reminding you that this is another India made B team). However, BNP made a comeback in 2001 with an even bigger landslide.
6. Before 2007 election, India realized that if democracy persists, Awami League has no future. So they orchestrated the infamous military coup in 11 Jan 2008 (known as 1/11). Pranab Mukerjee, Sujata Singh, the United States decided that Hasina would be brought back to power through a controlled election. So happened the Awami Landslide in 2008. The party with a vote bank of 35% miraculously won over 70% seats. In post 911 era, US thought Hasina would be a good bet to subdue Islamic fundamentalism in Bangladesh. Truth is, Bangladesh is a very liberal Muslim country and we never had any fundamentalism issues. This was a narrative created by Hasina and India to fool US.
7. From 2009 onwards, it is history. First India destroyed the army by killing 57 patriotic officers under the guise of orchestrating a mutiny. Then Hasina removed the caretaker clause from the constitution. The subsequent elections in 2014 and 2018 were ABSOLUTE SHAM, and 2024 will be Hasina's ultimate crowning ceremony.
8. Bangladesh is no longer a state. It is a mafia queen run mafia-cracy. From judiciary to media to election commission- all state institutions have been totally destroyed and dusted. Billions of dollars have been laundered and foreign reserve is close to zero. Education system has been made a joke. Inflation is sky high. People cannot afford vegetable, let alone protein or anything fancier. Over 20,000 leaders of BNP have been jailed.
You may ask why there has not been any revolution. I say revolution is impossible against a modern police state. Hasina and the RAW of India have ensured that the most loyal Awami Leaguers are stationed in EACH and EVERY military, police, judicial, and civil administration positions. The whole country is a virtual jail with no rights whatsoever. However, this situation cannot continue any longer. Indian shenanigans will soon come to an end. We wanted it to be peaceful but it won't be. I predict a bloody civil war very soon, like the ones we are seeing in Sudan or Mayanmar. I feel very sad that US has made India an ally in its fight against China. I am yet to see a backstabber bigger than India.
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Great peace Pyotr, being crass, was Navalny near a window, because a lot of people fall out of windows in Russia. As for western action, we'll have to see if his death stirs the pot in congress, Europe is once again protecting its own borders, I'm not sure how or if it will change the political atmosphere around Russia in Canada, we've been supporting Ukraine for years after the Crimea incident, the only action that the west can take is to support Ukraine, just to bust Putin's balls. This is a test of the west, and one that will determine the future in Europe. Have a great night and thank you for your time and work and an honest look at road ahead, peace
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From a democratic perspective, I would be quite interested in a discussion of what lessons could be learned from the referedum.
On the face of it, a referendum is the pinnacle of democracy. But when the referendum-question is so high-level vs the myriad of detailed consequences that question encompasses, is that really a good example of democracy at its finest?
In addition, as the referendums aftermath has shown, the alternatives people voted on were never really articulated, as there are a plethora of versions of ”Leave” (and perhaps of ”Remain” as well). So the voters never really knew what the vote was about.
So does that not mean that the referendum was flawed? The counterargument would be that it wasn’t flawed as a democracy must allow referendums also on exceedingly complex issues where the consequences and even what you are actually voting for or against are highly uncertain/unclear.
The point is that this merits a debate on democracy and how democracies exercize democratic decision making, specifically referendums.
And if you argue that the referendum was flawed (as I would), what laws and rules, or at the very least what democratic traditions, failed in this case (not talking about Brexit failing here, rather the failure of a flawed referendum as such).
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Money, money, money, China is burning through it like water, taking control of Hong Kong, early just to start siphoning off the capital, all of these billion dollar companies that are part of mainland China are starting to be liquefied, China has a serious cash problem. You mentioned the China/India conflict and discussed finance and the border dispute, but nothing about what the border dispute means for each country, water, everyone's life source, Russia stepped into a pile of crap in Ukraine and whatever the outcome the costs in lives, infrastructure, and military spending will hurt Russia for at least another decade, Brazil is a basket case, South Africa has been holding on by their short hairs, financially, Iran, come on, really. The Brics all are beholding to the American dollar, interest rates go up every one of they're economies suffers, so I agree with Ali, the Brics don't pose a serious threat to the American dollar, and unless the Americans totally screw up their economy and begin printing new dollars again they should be fine. I'm not a finance guy, I just pay attention to all the silliness that goes on while we're hurtling through space. I don't think that there will be anymore secrets with the advent of agi, that should probably freak a lot of people out. Any time I enter China in a conversation, it can get stupid with the trolls, so apologies ahead of time Pyotr. Thank you both Ali, and Pyotr for sharing your time and work, peace
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I think this is a beautiful conversation. And I support this ideal in the long term, of dialogue and unity. Unfortunately, in the short term, we must acknowledge not just our ideals, but the reality of well funded political Islam, states that practice Sharia, Iran funding of Hezbollah and Hamas, ISIS, and other radical groups. Just as most Christians were not participants in the Crusades, it was a Christian movement that wages wars over the course of 3 centuries. If we don’t speak about the damage plainly, and together with not just a strong voice, but strong initiative, Muslims will not be able to alter their trajectory in history.
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As I watch I put things in bc I'll probably forget and have to rewatch, 4 minutes in, Blinken's visit was interesting in the fact that he had no counterpart to sit down with during that's visit as the individual had been sidelined by Xi, so Blinken spoke directly with Xi, it being the world stage and China's version of Secretary of State not being available, I didn't think that was a good look for China with the leadership not having faith in it's representative. 15 minutes, of the 3 points Ken is making the last or the win/win part of it, is China's top priority so that it can continue to build its middle class by having continued investment in the Chinese economy, which it is real need of right now. Near the end the Taiwanese elections were brought up and its interesting because about a week ago, the two rival parties in Taiwan were going to be joining forces to try and build a united front to dosplace the current government through the election, but, just today, those same parties announced that they are no longer working together. It makes me wonder if Xi was trying to use his operatives in Taiwan to change the election outcome, but came up short. Thank you both very much for sharing your time and Ken and Pyotr, great summary of the summit and what might be happening behind the scenes. Peace
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I'm sure this chap is more qualified than I am, but I think with Russia, China, etc, there has to come a point where the USA reviews Middle East policy, especially with fracking and, to a lesser extent natural energy becoming energy independent.
While Russia/Ukraine war is ongoing, the USA needs to focus on it, China has been trying to woo Europe unsuccessfully to focus a lot more trade in China and Europe(EU/Britain) is intimidated by Russia so is not biting because relationship with US is so important.
China may someday invade Taiwan, which actually impacts all of Asia, its allies, and shipping routes. This actually greatly impacts US foreign policy and economy.
Iran is a former ally of the US under the Shah. They have seen the mess in Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan. They actually need to be a regional power to survive.
Solve Palestine, create a path to peace with Iran, and the US can actually sow up the Middle East for a century. The alternative is escalation in the hope that Iran is the responsible one, which seems to have holes in logic. Is Iran crazy and out for war with the US, or are they a country you can attack directly and rely on them not escalating?
If the US and Iran go to war, the US wins at least initially, then they get tied down for a decade or two with a lot more debt, a lot more dead, and injured soldiers and a bucket load more dollars printed.
Could US stretch its military and economy cover supporting Ukraine and deterring tactical nukes, deterring China's ambitions and having a ground invasion in Iran? It's the greatest economy and military power the world has likely ever seen, but that's a lot of territory, money, and people expense.
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This is to the Host, you need to either move further away from your mic, only a tad or reduce your levels as your spiking sometimes,
Listen to Phil’s and even that is a bit echoing. All Phil said about his issues are true and the slants where the public was duped and YouTube also his brand isn’t perfect but it is a brand, he rarely if ever does video clips but always has a link and it is one of my go to for reliability, James O’Brian I love for the same reason, but can be a bit arrogant and sarcastic in a heavy way, especially if the person is being silly he should allow them to bury themselves instead of belittling, Phil is a constant! All of us have favourite delivery words, also he doesn’t respond to your comments, or never has to mine, but I suspect that he would only do so in rare instances.
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Would those who voted for financial suicide hold a mass rally at which they could explain to us silly remoaners how exactly economic isolation is, and will continue to benefit the United Kingdom.
The leading proponents of this 'death-wish', i.e., Rees-Mogg, Farage and soon Johnson, are performing on G.B., News as bold as brass and as though they didn't willfully lie to the gullible sector of the electorate.
Even the pro-Brexit ''DAILY MAIL'' has stopped trying to find and publish any benefits which this act of national Armageddon has produced.
I often wondered how an intelligent, well educated and sophisticated nation like Germany was taken-in by the propaganda of Nazism and voted Hitler and his gangsters into power, which they did.
Now that I have been able to observe first-hand how the majority of the English electorate let themselves be mindlessly whipped up into a frenzy of outdated and misplaced patriotism the answer to my bewilderment has become frighteningly clear.
It was this same naivety and total disregard that the inevitable consequences that the workforce of the British motor industry let the Unions, led by the likes of ''RAD RAB'' be brainwashed into ruining their industry and thus destroy their own jobs.
As a consequence of the communist Unions and the mindless workforce this nation's automobile industry either went into bankruptcy or was ''appropriated'' by foreign corporations.
Household marques such as Singer, Humber, Riley and Hillman along with others went down the tubes while others which included Rolls Royce, M.G. Rover ended up in foreign ownership.
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Appreciate the interview and the idea of connecting these usually isolated political issues and with a true expert. Thank you both.
If I had to give two comments as feedback, it'd be: (1) in terms of interviewing, there could be more follow-ups, you often open up a topic and then let the professor talk before switching topics or inserting a quick observation of your own. There is an opportunity, not to challenge, but to allow expansion of a few of the ideas. Why, eg., would a territorial transfer as a solution to Kosovo be relatively easy according the Ker-Lindsay, but these kinds of questions require a lot of attention and of course take time away from the bigger picture, but I think it could be helpful at times to think about as a an interviewing technique.
(2) Cuts. I get you have to edit, and editing your own comments/questions is somewhat fine, but there are several points in the middle of arguments from Ker-Lindsay that clearly have a cut in them. Now I don't question whether you misrepresented his points, because I am somewhat familiar with his views on some of this, so I see no substantial problem. But if you were to interview someone with more 'controversial' opinions and in a more debatting way it's a problem of the legitimacy of your presentation of others' arguments. Also I just really like to get an impression of what the context people are in when answering a question, so what was said just before can be very relevant to that, and cutting can undermine that sense of direction in the interview - in other words, the socio-linguistic context is very influential to our responses to stimuli (like a q).
I realize a lot of online journalism suffers from the same, and I would direct my criticism towards them as well - if you're going to cut, either adress it, or do it in a way where there could be no doubt whether something was left out. Another counter would be to say it's a matter of agreement between you and the interviewee, and I'd respect that, but as an online audience, we can't know anything about that, and on youtube people need to make their own media-analysis to ascertain trustworthiness of sources, and this is a classic red flag for me - again, I recognize you two know each other, so I don't suspect foul play, just as a general impression.
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