Hearted Youtube comments on The Plain Bagel (@ThePlainBagel) channel.

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  416. As a fan of crypto and defi, I really appreciated hearing a fair, measured critique of the space by someone who actually took the time to research and understand it well enough to come up with an informed opinion about it. I'm still bullish on it, to the point where I think that the Defi replacing our traditional banking system is basically inevitable, in the long term (i.e., I'd be shocked if this hasn't happened 30-40 years from now, but I'm not some hype investor who's naive enough to expect Defi to completely collapse the current banking system next month). As you correctly pointed out, it's still a very new area of technology, and has a lot of challenges to overcome. With time, I think that these challenges WILL be overcome, and the defi ecosystem will eventually be better for its end-user than the current banking system is. The only thing from the video that I would strongly disagree with is the comparison between the electricity usage of 1 Ethereum transaction vs 100,000 Visa transactions. I wouldn't dispute the accuracy of this at all, I just think that it's a bit of a false equivalency and doesn't tell the whole story. If you compare the electricity use of Ethereum transactions to the cost of all credit card transactions + the electricity used by running every bank, mortgage lender, etc on the planet (which, in theory, would no longer be needed if the world's financial landscape was dominated by defi), I think that would give you a more accurate comparison. On top of that, there are already other blockchain projects that use less electricity and have lower gas fees than Ethereum, and this is a brand new technology that's only going to continue improving. The first computers ever created took up the space of an entire room: now, decades later, you have a computer in your pocket with a level of processing power that people couldn't even dream of at the time the first computers were created. So while I agree that it's premature to hype up defi as if it's going to be the norm by 2023, I also think that it has an excellent chance to be successful long-term. Anyway, thanks for the great video! Would love to see you dig into more crypto topics in the future.
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  627. I think it is good to do a critical analysis, and your approach seems reasonable on the surface. Here are some things to think about, however. There are a LOT of unexamined assumptions in your video. There are reasonable reasons to think that Tesla will continue to outperform the market in the coming years... 1. Tesla is expensive looking backwards but is predicted to have 25-30 EPS by 2025 and still have more runway. Those p/e multiples are coming down fast... A 30x-50x multiple in 2025 is reasonably expected since their growth story will likely continue. That means 1000-1500 TSLA in 2025 at 30-50x--if all goes as planned. Risk is, of course, real!!! 2. The competition will struggle. Mightily. The legacy auto-makers will indeed be investing billions, but they will be eating their own foot as they do so, not to mention the "story" they will have as they shed stranded assets and move capital to r&d and request bailouts. The competition is also extremely indebted, has large bureaucracies and unions, and is more dedicated to spending money on marketing than on creating great products. 3. Tesla has more cash than debt, and that ratio improves every quarter, and that improvement is accelerating. 4. Tesla announced a 7-10x reduction in battery costs, soon making BEV less expensive to buy than ICE cars, not to mention less expensive to maintain, irrespective of the cost of gas. 5. You should look at the Bloomberg customer satisfaction survey showing a ~96% customer retention rate. These are Apple-like and indicate that Tesla is not just an auto company, but a lifestyle brand that is eating its competition. 6. The Bloomberg and Deloitte research you quote is now "old." How many countries and states have since announced the ban of ICE vehicles by 2030 or 2035? Which company is best poised to capture market share in this scenario? THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND... 7. Tesla is projected to produce approximately 20 million vehicles by 2030. Tesla clears about 10k per vehicle and this will continue as software purchases for the car fuel revenue. (If Ford could charge 2k for a 2-second performance upgrade, they would.) 8. Why do car companies only have 5x ratios? Because most car companies have huge overhead, huge debt, and huge DEALER NETWORKS. Most of these companies have done little or no innovation over the years, and that is going to hurt them in the future. Tesla, even if values as a car company, has a roadmap to greater efficiency just based on its business structure. 9. I don't blame you for not looking at their other businesses (energy, autonomy, etc), but there is little doubt that those are potentially huge. If you know of another better bet in these areas, I would love to know! 10. Past stock performance should never be used to judge future stock performance (up or down!), HOWEVER, past behavior is a great indicator of future behavior. Legacy auto has shown an ability to go bankrupt, incur debt, cheat (emissions scandals), spend exorbantly on advertising for less and less market share (GM trucks), and have little to show in true innovation. Tesla has shown that is becoming more (not less) profitable, more popular, more capital efficient, more revenue diverse, more geographically diverse, and more and more efficient at production. I know which trends I am betting on.
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  677. I thought this was a fair critique. As a creator, I've learned firsthand that there needs to be a title / thumbnail approach to pique enough curiosity for someone to learn and retain new information, otherwise - people scroll until they find something else that does. After all, if a video is titled: "Inflation Comes In Below Expectations," people have no reason to learn about a new topic - but, if it's about the Federal Reserve FLIPPING THE MARKET, there's a reason to watch, even if someone has no prior knowledge of the market. In a way, this helps people learn about the economy - even if they had no prior interest. Your China video was a perfect example of this - you were able to appeal to a large audience, who were curious about the topic, while sharing a neutral perspective that your viewers could benefit from. Our niche is a fine balance between appealing to a large audience, and actually delivering on the content that they came to watch, while also making it entertaining enough for people to stay and learn. Finance is a really, really difficult subject for people to want to watch, unless they're already interested - so, for most people - there needs to be a reason to click, that they can relate to, and from there it's up to the creator to deliver a balanced, fair argument. Since I started in late 2016, we've definitely swung from one end of the pendulum to the other, but at the end of the day - I believe our goal is to create interest around personal finance, teach people that money doesn't have to be taboo / boring, and provide a side of entertainment as the way of delivering helpful information.
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  1089. I accidentally got carried away and basically wrote a blog post, but fuck it. Here it is! <3 ------------- The worst part of these arguments is a lack of nuance. Hence the flame wars. The gulf between the two sides is not nearly as vast as it seems. Most people arguing about active/passive are failing to ask the first and most important question. What is the investor trying to accomplish? They are far too busy defending their fox hole, their profession, or their fears. Having an argument, without setting terms, is insane. But for some damned reason, in finance, it's not just normal, but widely accepted as rational. For the record, I am ardently a passive investor both personally and professionally. I am also an entrepreneur who typically has worked with entrepreneurs and young professionals in my practice. If the point of your market investments is to be a safe and secure nest egg which hedges against the cost of living, then the scope of the passive/active argument can be narrowed to find an actual answer. If the point of your market investments is to actively engage in a side hustle to enrich yourself faster than your peers, then the scope of the argument can also be narrowed to find an actual answer. We rarely, if ever, see agreement on the why, before arguing the how. We wouldn't, with any social decorum, berate a teacher or a janitor who enjoys a steady and safe career, to burn it all down, and start hustling real-estate, just for the money. They are an adult who has in all likelihood rationally decided to live the life they are leading (or at least deserves to be treated like that have). No more would you ask an entrepreneur who is pounding out 90 hour weeks, why they aren't using the 20 minutes of rest they have each day, to assess the entirety of the stock market and make detailed predictions on how to best spend their money. They are already doing that. For a living. In a different field. For 90 hours a week. Yet, the passive proponent is telling hobbyist traders to pack it up and buy an index, while the active proponent is telling busy people who just need to prepare for their future, they are doing it wrong. Any real solution to the passive/active argument is almost always situational. And yes, my personal and professional opinion is that for the vast majority of people, the answer is passive. Because they already have a job. That doesn't mean active is a fiction. It just means it's different. In my opinion, there is no point to the discussion without context. As there is no answer, without said context. No amount of data is going to give you a question. Data can only help answer one.
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  1125. Really great Video and Animation but you forgot some major points (it’s ok even I had to research 2 Years for those Informations) 1. The Conditions to join the Euro have no economical nor mathematical calculated backing, they were just randomly set. 2. Either way the EU Statistic department has already found out about the fake numbers before Greece has joined, but the Commission, Germany’s Chancellor Schröder and France’s Prime minister denied deeper investigations and wanted Greece to be part of the Euro. (Economically it was nothing wrong with it, in a Currency Union it doesn’t matter how high your debts are or how productive you are, you only have to follow the Euro Inflation Target of 2%) 3. Greek had to follow the Inflation Target of the Euro, how to do that? Increase Real wages in line with productivity plus inflation Target of 2%. A couple years before the Euro Greece has followed a 15% inflation but always had to devalue until they followed Germany’s 2% inflation target that was very stable for Germany. In fact Greece wasn’t alone to follow that inflation target, whole of Europe followed that target. Which then ended in the Euro. But then South Europe increased their wages to high with a 2,8% Inflation, while Germany had Deflation and slowed down their wage increase (which now dangers whole of Europe with Deflation) This made South Europe increasing their Trade deficits (wich are the largest chunk) as they were expensive and wage cuts are useless and dangerous(because of Deflation) as long as Germany blocks that way with its low wages. Only few countries (depending on the size of the economy) in a Currency Union can cut wages to “repair” their economy through exports, if all countries are doing it than it will cause Deflation. 4. the Greek People didn’t just revolted because Spending was cut, they revolted because those cuts destroyed the domestic market and created mass unemployment. Furthermore the 30% wage Cut wich No Country ever Before had done (even the US during the Depression had cut 28%) resulted in 30% less demand wich resulted in more Unemployed people. (This reality also contradicts with the Neoclassical idea that the labor-market functions as a normal market) This observation made the IMF change their former Neoclassical position wich caused the fighting in the troika, which you mentioned. See now it doesn’t look so one sided anymore.
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  1346. Very long time viewer and fellow Canadian here (although I slightly prefer referring to myself as Québecois ;) ). When I started watching, your latest videos were on topics such as interest rates and yield curves so about 6 years ago. I enjoy the current format and the frequency of video. I went back to look at my historic of watched videos on your channel and I have watched about 75% of them which surprised me. The vast majority are watched until the end which is another positive sign for this format. One thing I would enjoy to see more often but that might not be as popular with the algorithm are the "class" type videos about a specific concept such as SPACs, HFTs, etc. Similar to those first videos I watched. For example I have also been watching Patrick Boyle since around the same time as I started watching your channel, and while I still enjoy many of his videos, I have watched less than 50% of his latest videos (Hope he doesn't see that, very afraid of being the target of his vicious deadpan jokes). I believe this is due to the higher frequency of videos as well as a shift in the type of content focused more on entertainment at the expense of informative content - not to diminish his work in any way, he is very good at it and having been a teacher it might be a breath of fresh air to do something different that still makes use of his knowledge. I commented because you asked for opinions and it seems sincere, not the usual "like, comment and subcribe for the algorithm". I say keep up the great content for as long as you enjoy it as a hobby. Having a full time job and being a parent is almost like having two jobs, in your position I wouldn't want a third one.
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  1446. I’m fan of your channel so don’t take this the wrong way. You’re position that Tesla is a car company is precisely why most of the analysts have been embarrassingly wrong about this stock. All of their projections on automotive sales have been baked in. If they meet those numbers the stock will trade sideways or trade down if that is all they do. People are invested in this company for FSD and future innovation (Battery advancements, solar, other modes of transportation.). Your contention that revenues are mostly car sales is looking at this company as what have you done. Stocks are about what will you be doing? People talk about moats. Elon Musk’s way of thinking is that moats are dumb. The only moat is innovation. This way of thinking is pretty much the summary of the difference of “what have you done” vs “what will you be doing.” What I mean is that a moat is all about what have you done? Innovation is all about what will you be doing. This is the type of leader of a company that I want to put my money in. Risky? Sure but I’ll take this any day over XOM or Ford. There is a tendency of people looking at a company as just continuing what they are doing. Same with Amazon. I always thought it was overvalued. Huge mistake. Analysts kept thinking they were a bookseller, then a retailer. However they continued to innovate (amazon web services anyone?). Analysts didn’t think they would branch out into something else. They think statically not dynamically. You can think like this for established non-tech companies but not new and growing tech based stocks.
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