Hearted Youtube comments on Ed Nash's Military Matters (@EdNashsMilitaryMatters) channel.
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Recent developments: TEDBF is officially being worked on. Some say that a twin engined Tejas-based design, called ORCA, is being considered. It is only expected to enter service a couple of years after 2030. Till then, the Indian Navy plans to make do with the MiG-29K fighter jets, 42 of which are in service.
The plans to field three aircraft carriers has also been put on hold due to the funds being diverted to the submarine programs. There are two classes (a nuclear and a diesel-electric) of submarines under construction in India right now, and a further 4 new classes of submarines that are planned. Project-75I and Project-76 are the foreign and indigenous programs to induct diesel electric submarines. Another project for a class of Nuclear Attack Submarines is in detailed design phase. A new Ballistic Missile Nuclear Submarine program called the S-5 class submarines is in preliminary design phase with models of the submarine and its pumpjet propulsion system being tested currently, and a 190 MW reactor under development. With all this, there are also warship construction programs with more than 3 different classes under active construction and 4 more classes planned.
The Navy already gets the smallest share of the funding with the Army and Air Force taking up a massive share due to their modernization and expansion efforts. Therefore, the Chief Of Defence Staff General Bipin Rawat has deemed it prudent that the construction of the third aircraft carrier: IAC-2, be pushed back by a decade. Navy wants IAC-2 to be a CATOBAR carrier with EMALS and they only grudgingly agreed to IAC-2 not being powered by a Nuclear Reactor. With those specs, IAC-2 was bound to burn a hole in Armed Forces CAPEX. Pushing the date back enables India to indigenously develop most of the core technologies for IAC-2, maybe even including a Nuclear Reactor. Moreover, the growth of Indian economy till 2030 might allow the Indian Navy to quickly build two IAC-2 class carriers. The original (still relevant) plan was for India to field 5 Aircraft carriers with three of them actively deployed at all times and two being docked for replenishment and repairs. This would allow India to deploy three Carrier Battle Groups at the same time, with one each guarding the Bay of Bengal, Indian Ocean and Arabian Sea/Persian Gulf.
Hence, from now till 2035 at least, Indian navy will have two STOBAR carriers, each with a capacity of upto 24 fighter jets. Indian Navy is expected to make do with 42 MiG-29K till then and then replace them with 100+ TEDBF/ORCA fighter jets starting from early 2030s. 45 TEDBF will deploy on IAC-2, 24 each on INS Vikramaditya and IAC-1/INS Vikrant. The remaining TEDBF will be stationed in Campbell Bay Naval Air Station for deeper maintenance (since they will be rotated for carrier duties) and to dominate the Malacca straits and Kra canal. The landing of Naval Tejas Mk1 is meant to provide the required confidence to designers who developed the Control Law of the Tejas because they will also develop the Control Law for landing TEDBF on the future carriers of India.
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