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Comments by "" (@Rob_F8F) on "The 4 Lessons Taiwan Must Learn from Ukraine - VisualPolitik EN" video.
Taiwan should probably retire its destoyers and larger surface warships and redirect those personnel and money towards more stealthy missile boats and shore-based anti-ship missiles. This is critical as all Mainland forces will have to come on ships.
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As the Mainland has focused on a strategy of A2AD against the USA, Taiwan must have a similar strategy against the Mainland.
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@davidford3115 I am familiar with the beautiful ex-Kidd destroyers, the ex-Oliver Hazard Perrys, and Lafayette class frigates. It seems to me that, lacking Aegis, these ships would get swarmed by anti-ship on Day 1. Taiwan's new stealthy corvettes and submarines would have a better chance of putting warheads on PLAN warships. That must be the role of the ROCN.
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@davidford3115 I meant swarmed by old-fashioned anti-ship missiles (not drones). Without Aegis, each ship is more susceptible to being overwhelmed by attacking missiles.
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@hansolo1804 Paratroopers and air mobile assaults are fine for raids and seizing critical points. But those troops will need to be relieved quickly by ground forces that would come by sea.
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@hansolo1804 Thanks for clarifying. I agree with you that Taiwan's defense cannot be one dimensional. I was just speaking to how I think the Navy budget should be allocated.
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@qingzhou9983 Matching PRC is not necessary, nor should it even be a goal. Taiwan is a small island with a limited number of beaches suitable for amphibious landing. Even with all of the ships, planes, and troops in the world, PRC could only land the number of troops and equipment that a beach could physically support. ROC simply needs enough ASuMs and SAMs to engage the PRC ships and aircraft approaching Taiwan's limited beaches and airspace.
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@qingzhou9983 The point of increasing ROC A2/AD capabilities against PRC is to prevent a PRC victory prior to intervention from USA and Japan. If USA and Japan can enter the fight, PRC will likely lose. If PRC cannot defeat ROC before their entry, then PRC will be deterred from trying.
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@qingzhou9983 In the CSIS war games reported in January 2023, ROC/USA/Japan are victorious in most of the 25 scenarios played. The big take away is that ROC must resist until US/Japanese forces can enter the conflict. In these scenarios, PRC loses its ability to support its troops on Taiwan when PLAN amphibious ships are destroyed. Tens of thousands of PLAGF troops are stranded and taken prisoners. There is no years long war because PRC either takes Taiwan in a short fight or PRC loses because its ability to support its landed forces with supplies or additional troops.
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@qingzhou9983 1. Since you are discussing the results of these 20 "secret" Pentagon war games, can you provide a link to them or to a news article discussing them? 2. The CSIS war games modeled actual conflict and not a blockade of Taiwan by PLARF. If gaining control over Taiwan was as easy as a blockade, why hasn't the PRC done it already? Perhaps because it is considered an act of war and the PRC does not want the risk of escalation. 3. In a cross Taiwan strait fight, PRC war aim would be to seize control of the island. US war aim would be to prevent that and preserve the democratically elected ROC government. So the "end" is clear. As for US troops in ROC, that might not materially affect the ground fight. US forces would be focused on destroying PLA air, sea, and rocket power.
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