Comments by "JW Han" (@jwhan2086) on "China wants to form its own military alliance" video.

  1. 8
  2. 5
  3. And it is one of the reasons why the Korean peninsula is a flashpoint where major direct military conflict between Beijing and Washington would like to happen. It's a structural problem in the region. 1. Let's assume that the North provokes the South by bombing by artillery or ballistic missiles like they actually did in the 2020s. 2. And then assume that the policymakers in Seoul decided to retaliate by military means, something like bombing or air raid (in the case of Yeonpyong islands bombing, it could have happened if Obama administration did not prevent Seoul from retaliating against the bombing). 3. It means that treaty obligation is imposed on Beijing, which could mean it is highly likely that the Chinese People's Liberation Army's North Theatre would attack Seoul, intentionally or accidentally. 4. Then, it's time for the bilateral military alliance between Seoul and Washington to come in. According to the treaty, now the US Senate and White House are obliged to decide whether they have to engage in or how far they have to go. (Mutual Defense Treaty Between the United States and the Republic of Korea does not impose contracting parties to deliver treaty obligation "in accordance with its constitutional processes") 5. Now we are on uncharted water. Policymakers in Washington can make a choice: whether to bite the bullet and run into the fog of World War 3 against China or whether to abandon their ally in Seoul and put their alliance system across the globe in danger. I'm not joking. This scenario is one of the realistic concerns among security strategies in Washington.
    3