Comments by "Persona" (@ArawnOfAnnwn) on "Poland vs. France: Can the EU Create an Alternative to NATO? - VisualPolitik EN" video.
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@robertsaget9697 Russia doesn't have the capacity to "devour" Europe. Hell, people are doubting its capacity to even hold Ukraine (against an insurgency, not the initial invasion). The US has little fear of that and, frankly, even western Europe has little fear of that (which is why they're so unwilling to aid Ukraine - they're not in much danger themselves). The US pays that huge bill for Europe for the same reason they paid a huge bill to stay in Afghanistan for so many years - their image (the embarrassing retreat we saw from Kabul last year was exactly what America most feared and spent a decade avoiding).
Image is of massive importance to a hegemon, it's practically what hegemony is. In the case of Europe, how often does the US loudly proclaim how Russia and China are isolated? That's not really true - even America mostly fights alone in its wars, the only significant help is provided by the British. The hundreds of thousands of troops the "Allies" deploy are almost all American. But by having the mostly just diplomatic support of other nations, the US can sell itself as representing the world, rather than just itself. It gives it cover and allows it to carry out its foreign policy without appearing TOO MUCH like a hegemon. Even then there's a lot of anti-American sentiment around the world (and not just in Russia and China). If the US were to fight around the world in its own name all the time, then it'll quickly have as bad a reputation in Asia as it does in Latin America already. That's worth a lot to them.
And of course besides that, they want these nations on-side as staging grounds i.e. places to plop down their military bases. Which, ironically, are precisely why Russia and China are upset in the first place.
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@robertsaget9697 Even if we went with your idea, what does even that have to do with Germany? Just how far do you think Russia could even go that way? Not very far.
Hell Russia hasn't even invaded Ukraine yet, and when they presented their demands, it had almost nothing to say on Ukraine. Cos this war itself has nothing to do with Ukraine, but with NATO. And, frankly, it has little to do even with Europe, but with America. Russia's demands are all about NATO expanding. They wanted a deal in the 90s that NATO wouldn't expand, but couldn't get one (don't bother with that 'these are independent nations' crap - it wasn't about them applying, but NATO accepting). They didn't get one, NATO went ahead and expanded (yes, even before Russia invaded anyone - NATO expansion precedes Georgia), and so now they want to put their foot down and demand a treaty for the same. Russia will never be okay with American forces close to its border, as it has no such parity with the US (when Russia did put forces close to the US - in Cuba - the US flipped out, and has punished poor Cuba ever since, even despite global condemnation including from their own allies). Their demands entirely revolve around NATO pulling back to the west.
Even under your salami slicing hypothesis the Germans have little to fear, and the French even less. Hence their aversion. This is basically a conflict between Russia and the US, and they'd rather not be involved.
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@robertsaget9697 "Only to places like China/Russia which fear its own people's revolt more than anything." - lol, you think the US cares about its image cos it fears revolt? You completely misunderstood. Neither do Russia or China btw - surveys clearly show both Putin and the CCP have more popular support than Biden in the US, far more. And yes, those are independent surveys. Hell, the CCP one was done by Harvard, an American university.
No, internal stability isn't why hegemons care about their image. Just as it isn't why companies care about their image. Image is itself a term for influence - it's not about keeping Americans happy, it's about promoting your foreign policy without needing to rely on your guns all the time. The US cares about its image for the sake of foreign audiences, including foreign govts. It's part of how you exert power. In this case, the US needs to be able to impose its will on the world without seeming like it's imposing its will on the world. And to do that, they need to make it look like they represent the world, without being constrained by the difficulties of the UN general assembly. Their largely useless allies serve that purpose - they give the US the appearance of being multinational even when their policies are decided in-house. You pretend you're the General Assembly without dealing with the General Assembly.
"they won't care as long as you'll stand united by their side on sanctions, defense, and trade." - and why would you do that, if you don't like them? What, cos they're gonna attack you if you don't? Great way to make yourself look villainous. Cooperation is built on that trust, not mere strength. When Trump tried doing things hardball, it wasn't popular abroad, but also wasn't popular with the US' own establishment. There's a reason for that - they knew that he was burning bridges they'd spent decades building, and hated him for it. They knew the value of those bridges wasn't simply in monetary terms as he chose to see it.
And the US doesn't annex or hold territory cos it doesn't need to. The days when that was how power was projected are over a century old. Even the USSR didn't do that - they installed friendly govts. too, albeit more obviously loyal ones. The US isn't all that different, just more subtle. You don't need the land, just hegemonic influence. Those friendly govts. ARE the point. Even Russia was happy with Ukraine as long as its govt. was friendly to them. Just as the US fought in Vietnam for a friendly govt. - they never claimed the nation, but killed 3 million people just for their side to be in power. That's modern power projection.
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