Comments by "Styxhexenhammer666" (@Styxhexenhammer666) on "Clinton vs. Trump: The millennial vote" video.

  1. Most millennials seem to support third parties now. I know I do. A smaller proportion back Trump. I don't know a single person who supports Clinton.
    7
  2. Doubtful Dudeman, Clinton appeals to the youth about as much as Windows 95 and is from the same era.
    3
  3. Well dudeman; we shall see. I'll be back in November.
    2
  4. Nah lol. I've been doing this for a long time. I have my own parameters for analyzing races and so far my accuracy is far above and beyond that of any pollster or pundit.
    1
  5. I said Obama would win re-election in 2012 and was right, because I analyzed it properly; it was as obvious as hell itself. Likewise, it's obvious that Clinton has lost steam, is stagnating, and is unlikely to "win" the debates. She's probably toast and I expect a 4 point general election gap.
    1
  6. Demographics are meaningless during a paradigm shift. This time around, the GOP is expressing populism, not neoconservative sentiment, and the democrats are being led by someone who is seen by most democrats as being at best a centrist. Obama was younger and was competing against a self destructive Romney in 2012. As for 2008, we had just begun to exit the Bush years; nobody wanted another Republican- but Trump has actually kicked the Bushes out to the curb, winning the affection of some subsets of the former business democrats. We have to wait for the debates to be sure, but if the campaign continues more or less at its current course, I believe Trump will win, although not by an overwhelming total.
    1
  7. Ideas clearly have stopped mattering in this election and it has become all about perception and delivery. Trump didn't decimate Jeb, Ted, and Marco by being a weak candidate. Hillary on the other hand will be seen as weak by even most of her fanbase; because three of her opponents didn't matter, and her only remaining viable opponent had to be shafted and attacked covertly by the DNC itself just to knock him out of her way. It's worth mentioning that Trump had pulled into a near dead heat in several states where he hadn't yet even spent a dime, when Hillary had already launched ten million dollar campaigns for weeks beforehand. But the ultimate likely silver bullet comes down to the biggest weaknesses of each candidate. For Trump, it's "being seen as a dangerous bigot." All he has to do to overcome this is not do "scary" things until November. For Hillary it's "being seen as a chronic liar"- how do you convince people you aren't a liar when they already think you're a liar? You don't- that's the point, they may tolerate you but they will never leave their purse with you. Sabato, Silver, and all the others maintained that Trump would lose well after Super Tuesday. Their handicap is extreme here because none of them took the idea of a paradigm shift in politics at large seriously.
    1