Comments by "Iazzaboyce" (@Iazzaboyce) on "Ed Miliband: Ukip vote is expression of discontent" video.

  1. You do realise that the Tories haven't won a general election since 1992. If they couldn't win last time what makes you think they're going to win in 2015?
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  2. WorkingClassTories This is the way I see those factors: 1, Labour's lead is small but FPTP is just like horse racing - only have to win by a nose to get the cup. Economy - the economy was growing in 2010 it didn't help the government then - I doubt it will this time. Yes more people will say they trust the Tories on the economy but many will still vote Labour. As for increasing employment....Where? 2, Yes many voters are becoming concerned over immigration, but these people are mostly Tory voters switching to UKIP.  Some will go back but many will not and this will cost the Tories seats in marginals. 3, True Ed is not Blair. But the Labour vote is holding up and though many Labour voters would have preferred a different leader they will still vote Labour. Also he has the advantage being a PM in waiting ahead in the polls - Cameron is looking like a loser having to hang on not able to chance a snap election. 4, The Lib Dem collapse is the left of the party that now has one choice to keep the Tories out. True (if opinion polls can be applied evenly the Tories stand to win 20 -30 seats from Lib Dems but there may be tactical voting in these constituencies because these are the Tory hating defectors. It's more probable the Lib Dem defect will be greater where Labour stand to win. 5, IN/OUT EU Labour has enough support to win so isn't bothered at the mo. 6, Scotland - We'll have to wait and see. 7, True Labour will not win in certain areas - it doesn't matter. In FPTP it's 'miss an inch just as well miss a mile'. 8, I don't think enough ex Tory voters will go back - most people don't understand our electoral system and vote for who they want to run the country. Also Tory party membership has halved in the last 7 years. Anyway didn't the Tories say we should vote for the party we want to win - in the AV referendum? Whatever we think the independent experts (Electoral Calculus) are now predicting a Labour majority of 48.         
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