Comments by "Nigel Johnson" (@nigeljohnson9820) on "Ukraine war: NATO rejects no-fly zone as Russian nuclear plant attack 'kills several'" video.

  1. The Ukrainians are, unstandable, asking for NATO to implement a no fly zone, arguing it will save many lives, but consider the following scenario: NATO implements a no fly zone and shoots down Russian jets. Putin determines he has lost his chance of taking over Ukraine and decides if he cannot have it no one will. He then launches tactical nuclear missiles and vaporize one or more Ukraine cities. The death tool would be horrendous. Putin might instead decide to attack the NATO bases from which the air cover is being provided. He could attack either with tactical nuclear weapons, but more likely chemical weapons. If he attacked with a nuclear weapon, NATO would be forced to respond in kind. If he used a chemical weapon, he might just avoid a nuclear response, given the confusion that would result from a chemical attack. The former would be the unstoppable prelude to WW3 The mistake NATO and the west made was not responding sufficiently early to the Russian invasion. The West should have triggered its current level of sanctions when Russia invaded Crimea, it could then preserve the condition of mutual assured destruction for any Russian attack on a NATO state. The error was allowing Russia to keep the western alliance off balance, by always gauging its attacks below the MAD threshold, turning the tables on the western allies by then claiming their response would be above the MAD threshold. For MAD to work, it must be set on a hair trigger, so both sides know that any military attack on the other will result in a massive response. It was the reluctance of the western allies to response with strong economic measures to earlier Russia lesser infractions, that has stopped MAD from keeping the peace. Now NATO can only wait for Russia to attack a NATO member before it can react. To regain the initiative, it must convince Putin that the hair trigger on the western nuclear response is still set. This will be very hard, and dangerous, to do, given that Putin has been allowed to get away with so much.
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  2.  @fab6025  that is not logical. The Ukrainians need all the help the West can provide. If the West can supply mig jets to Ukraine. Aircraft their pilots have been trained to fly, then the West should provide them. Ukraine needs anti missile systems and the West should supply those too. Ukraine has the right to defend itself, and the West needs to help provide the equipment it needs. However, it will help no one is the involvement of NATO gives Putin an excuse to throw WMD into the mix. You can bet it will be a Ukrainian city he selects as an example, since an attack on a NATO member would trigger a massive response. Despite Putin's bluster that every thing is going to plan, it is obvious that the truth is the very opposite, something we have learned to expect from Putin.
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  3.  @fab6025  would Russia have invaded if Ukraine had kept its nuclear weapons? I don't know why you are so proud of the Russian involvement is Syria. How long do you think the Assad regime would lasted without continuing Russian support? Is Putin prepared to reduce the home land of mother Russia to rubble as he did in Syria? Maybe he is willing to turn it to nuclear ash, to save it ( or rather his job). I wonder how he will explain that to the Russian people. So far his only success has been to recruit new members of NATO.
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  4.  @Sofian375  consider the courage shown by the Ukrainian population, compared with the cowardice of Putin, your comment seem a little misguided. It is Putin who posed for pictures that made him a Russian gay icon. What was that all about, it seemed like over compensation, or some middle age crisis.
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  5.  @pirupami9746  it looks interesting, but the devil is in the details. I will watch a few and see if I agree.
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  6. It is for the Russian people to remove this evil, they are closest to it, or maybe they will experience the shame and guilt of the Germans who supported Hitler. The Russian people turned a blind eye to Putin, in exchange for a western life style. They never did manage to achieve something resembling a democracy. They made a deal with the devil.
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