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Titanium Rain
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Titanium Rain" (@ChucksSEADnDEAD) on "Ukraine War Updates Part 3: What’s Next for Russia || Peter Zeihan" video.
Finland is almost as close.
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Obviously the nuclear deterrent is more important, but as a thought experiment watch the Yes, Minister clip on nuclear deterrence.
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All nukes are locked by permissible action links. Only the Russian strategic forces high ranking generals would have the means to authorize their use, and they'd have a garrison defending the warheads. It would be in their interest to use them as a bargaining chip with the West. Even if the nukes were seized by force with newly formed armies, it would take a couple years to reassemble them with new safeties and codes.
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"Lisbon to Vladivostok"
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Russia has deployed their forces. What, you think desk officers, supply clerks, drivers, cooks, nurses, those female units that look pretty in parades but I don't even know what they do, etc are frontline material?
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Russians aren't even an ethnic group, they have Chechens, Ingush, Georgians, Armenians, Tatars, Buryats, Tuvan, etc.
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@papasmurf9146 the "pro-Russia" president was actually open to dealing with the EU but Russia pressured Ukraine by embargoing their goods, and then causing delays at the border. This was extremely punitive to the Ukrainian economy. The pro-Putin guy was also a pro-West guy, he just got pressured to change his campaign promise at the last minute by Putin. And in fact, Putin's paranoia made him think Yanukovych had betrayed him. NATO was already on Russia's border. It just increased now with Finland joining. Please think for a second.
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