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Titanium Rain
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Titanium Rain" (@ChucksSEADnDEAD) on "Ukrainian Consequences: The New American War Model" video.
There were WMDs. Just not an active program to build them. Several US servicemen suffered lifelong injuries from contact with Iraqi nerve agents.
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Softly? They mercilessly bombarded Ukraine. Look at Mariupol.
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The independent contractors are doing training and maintenance. The dangers of them being caught in the front is not worth the trouble.
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Russia thought Odessa was easy to blockade. The Moskva got that Neptune double-tap.
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Ukrainian SF has the experience of fighting Russia, including insertions into Crimea. One time they were discovered and had to shoot their way out of the peninsula, killing a Russian soldier and a spetsnaz commando in their escape.
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There was no precision bombing in WW2 so you had to carpet entire cities in bombs to get the factories and rail hubs.
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@cozyojk571 It's extremely hard to land bombs on factories. It was WW2. Firebombing can definitely be used to destroy buildings. That was for example how the US crippled Japanese industry, it was easier to set fires and have those destroy the factories than trying to hit them directly.
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@cozyojk571 Right. But how else do you destroy factories, especially after large ones are dispersed across smaller plants?
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It's extremely unlikely they use nukes. It's game theory, if you pull the no-no weapon first everyone sees you as the threat.
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Ukraine has spec ops with experience fighting Russia. American spec ops are actually less experienced in this type of conflict. Too much risk in letting Americans get captured for no benefit. Ukrainian spec ops are willing to do whatever it takes.
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The US beat North Vietnam but the war was unpopular at home so when the North broke the peace terms the US just left.
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They are fascists, though. Fit the definition to a t.
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@chapagawa To shut down airspace the PLAAF would have to conduct extensive SEAD/DEAD operations. There would be dozens, if not hundreds of airframes and pilots lost.
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Bin Laden was a self-aggrandizing nutjob.
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No such thing happened. The majority of casualties in Iraq were caused by Iraqis
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@NetScalerTrainer How is it a lie? The Iraq Body Count Project estimated 7,299 civilian deaths from US actions in the 2003 war. Up until 2020 they estimated 185,000 to 200,000 deaths. 33% were execution after abduction, suicide bombs 14%, vehicle bombs 9% and roadside bombs 5%. Obviously, the US wasn't doing this. Most casualties in Iraq were from Iraqis themselves leaving bombs in civilian areas or executing people.
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@NetScalerTrainer Not because of America - because of an insurgency created by the Ba'ath party loyalists and Iranian militias. And the actions weren't imperial - the US literally built and funded their government and armed forces and left. Then they partially folded against ISIS and required assistance to fight back.
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Russia had no cause. Their actions are comic book villain tier and are just a continuation of an imperial project that started before the US existed.
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@michellelewis3063 Yes, and you refuse to see the Muscovite for the liar and crybully that he is. Russia's "causes" are summed up by "waaa why does everyone want to join a defensive alliance after I invaded them waaaa no fair".
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@michellelewis3063 My views are my own. I listen to no governments or narratives, I look at the facts. You don't know history. The promise not to go East was based on EASTERN GERMANY. The Warsaw Pact was not dissolved in 1989. That was German reunification. David Hasselhoff? Yeah. Learn your history. NATO didn't march. Several countries asked for protection from their drunken, belligerent neighbor. What missile systems? Could you name them? There was a major reason for Pearl Harbor - the US pacific fleet was a threat to Japanese imperial ambitions so they figured that knocking the US out of the war before they could even join would pay dividends.
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@michellelewis3063 The drums of war are Russian. We will silence them.
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Lmao nice cope. Getting the vinegar strokes from civilians being forced to use candles and ignoring the Russian army being slaughtered.
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It's not exactly WWIII when most Russian allies have refused to help, and Russian pundits are threatning Kazakhstan.
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Not what he said.
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Afghanistan is a country most Afghans don't care much for, their tribal culture being more important than whoever holds office in Kabul. Kabul cannot control those tribal regions. Iraq had the Sunni/Shia split exploited by the Ba'ath Party loyalists and Iran backed militias. Tons of men without jobs fought for money, and most people on the top were fine with making Iraq unstable and cause hundreds of thousands of deaths.
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@tobias..6688 He's not anti-war, he's just anti dems and neocons.
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South Vietnam had a very unpopular regime which ensured many in the countryside joined or supported the Vietcong. The Ukrainian people so far trust their president and armed forces. Americans were shown on TV the war was a dismal failure when the North Vietnamese were on the ropes and had a great deal of their forces wiped out. Americans are being shown Ukrainian successes today.
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The Russian military is bled dry. That's why they're sending the mobiks. We're afraid of nukes and thus use our weapons as escalation - when Russia hits hard we give Ukraine more tools. That sends the message that we're reacting to Russia rather than escalating the conflict.
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"Muh nooks, muh nooks" thanks, demoralization agent. Russia has spent decades threatning nukes. 4 oblasts? They lost the main city in one and don't control the capital in another.
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Finland joining NATO did not cause a strong response. If NATO was a big deal for Russia, they wouldn't be pulling S-300s from their Russo-Finnish border to use in Ukraine. 2014 is incorrectly described as a coup, but the government was in session and voted for early elections. The fact that the president fled to avoid the consequences of his crimes is immaterial, the government not fall and get replaced.
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@papasmurf9146 They Finnish crossed the red line. Ukraine wasn't joining NATO. Instead of "learning from the past" you could also do something called "realize people lie". Another important thing is "people obscuring their motives lie about them" and "authoritarian governments lie all the time".
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@papasmurf9146 So Ukraine didn't cross the red line. Now what? Russia has made noises about nuking everyone. Should we treat those as real threats? I only need to know what motivates people to defeat them. I understand the Russian narrative. It's a purely paranoid schizophrenic inversion of reality. It's literal evil but in a clumsy, almost funny fashion. They have a propagandist dressed as a Bond villain on TV rile up the population. We can consider Russia. They're the neighbor who is off his meds and the reason we keep a shotgun under the bed. Just in case.
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There is no such agreement. The leader was not installed, it was voted by the Ukrainian people. Separatists get shelled because they fired shells at Ukraine. They're Hamas tier criminals, most are dead at this point.
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@mikeronni1 Yeah, it wasn't a coup. The government was reunited in the parliament and voted for early elections. Happens frequently in Europe. By your logic the UK, Italy, Portugal, etc had several coups in the last few decades.
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@mikeronni1 Emojis, because you're not paid to think. Glad you respond, the more you get paid to post the less bullets your countrymen have in their rifles.
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@Lucky-Sevens7777 They're purely volunteers, though. There's nothing wrong with going to another country and pledging to fight for them. Some countries will revoke your citizenship if you do that or actually arrest you if you come back, but people are free to travel and go out of their own volition. In the US, people with green cards volunteer for the US military to get a shot at earning citizenship. "They're over there" okay, tons of people are everywhere. There's black people in Japan, whites in Africa, and Slavs in South America. So what?
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@Lucky-Sevens7777 For themselves. For delusions of grandeur. For mental health reasons. For a sense of duty. I know someone who clearly went to Ukraine to die, because he didn't want his terminal illness to get him first. I'm dull, naive and unintelligent because I stated the facts? I'm dull because I recognize the historical phenomenon of people volunteering to fight? Remember how Germans formed a volunteer force to fight in Franco's Spain? Remember how Americans did the same but to fight for the opposing side (mostly)? Remember how both France and Spain have foreign legions? Remember how many foreigners volunteered to fight against ISIS by joining the Kurds? Remember how many foreigners volunteered for ISIS? Are you going to claim those things never happened? I'm naive for stating that immigrants in America serve in the armed forces and fight in wars alongside American-born soldiers?
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@Lucky-Sevens7777 How? For stating facts?
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The world's business is everyone's business. You would not be able to maintain your lifestyle if the US Navy was not ensuring the freedom of the seas.
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@hk-in8cg Sure, we shouldn't have to engage in war. But it seems like there's a list of countries that think that they deserve more than their fill - the "this is not our business" line ignores how many want to make it our business.
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Satellites can provide imagery outside drone range and movements, thermal and synthetic aperture radar.
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Population is growing because we live longer, not because we have more children.
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Taliban means "student" and they were not "freedom fighters" but a group that intended to impose their religious beliefs.
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Russia isn't surrounded. If they want to be worried, the border with China should be a greater concern. Minsk II was broken by DPR forces, the Russian minions.
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@quartermaster1976 Russia defended themselves? How? By asking China not to join NATO? By asking the Arctic not to join NATO? The majority of Russia's borders does not touch western countries so by definition they cannot be surrounded by NATO. They have Belarus, Kazakhstan, China, Mongolia, Uzbekistan, Kyrgystan, etc. So how did they defend themselves? By attacking Kazakhstan? Are they NATO minions? How have they been pushed together? Xi already told Putin to wrap it up and not use nukes. China recognizes Ukraine's 1991 borders per their agreement in the 90s. Taiwan isn't a stunt. They KMT fled China. What more do they want?
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@quartermaster1976 Learn to comprehend what people said. Russia is the aggressor.
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@quartermaster1976 Donetsk and Luhansk. All you Russian shills don't even know about the topic.
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@quartermaster1976 That has nothing to do with the fact that you want to be a know-it-all and yet you can't even name the Oblasts. Donbas is the Eastern Ukraine area, Donetsk is the oblast controlled by separatists. Donbas and Luhansk is like saying "the United States and California".
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@quartermaster1976 No argument. Thanks for proving me right.
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"Poke them with NATO" A consequence for Russia's wars. It was young students who got a new president. Not America. In fact the state dept wanted Yanukovych to stay and keep his promise to hand the prime minister position to the opposition. It was the crowd who said no to those terms, they were murdered by Yanukovych and did not trust him.
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But mercenaries can just get paid more by the other side, and Wagner is the Russian government. They're "privately" owned for deniability but they get FSB fake IDs, they fly in Russian air force airplanes, etc.
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@SAVikingSA A Western based PMC will be defanged. No secret/"sensitive" electronics on their aircraft (limited air support, no air to air ability), no capacity to produce their own heavy artillery, tanks cost millions of dollars and are even harder to maintain than purchase. Wagner only gets away with all they do because they obey the government handing them out the toys to play with. Western PMCs are glorified mall security and bodyguards.
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I understand Rand Paul. Unfortunately, it seems the world does have cartoonishly villainous leaders that won't stop if we just leave them alone.
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The problem is that Realists like Mearsheimer are academics who poisoned the field. If you study IR, you will come across people who think Russia didn't do anything wrong, but because IR isn't a hard science you can't prove them wrong and get them thrown out of the curriculum. Russia has spent decades antagonizing its neighbors, making nuclear threats, etc but they cry victim and claim everything is a CIA conspiracy. Definitely not what authoritarian leaders do, right?
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The US isn't making Ukraine the 51st state. We want Ukraine to be Ukraine.
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Support them with what? Rusty AKs?
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Nope. It was not operational, no point.
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They have already been used against us. Remember Solemani? He was a general that lead the Iranian forces handling these sorts of proxy wars. We hit him with the flying slapchop.
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