Kshitij Bhambri
ThePrint
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Comments by "Kshitij Bhambri" (@KshitijBhambri1) on "Key insights from Cabinet changes on Modi-Shah BJP’s changing politics, return of allies, RSS-lite" video.
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@narenbaradwaj5058 And BJP now dont have speakers like Sushma Swaraj, Atal Bihari Vajpayee or Team Man like Venkaiaah Naidu (now VP), Arun Jaitley or Leaders like Bhairon Singh Shekhawat, Jaswant Singh,Gopinath Munde,Manohar Parrikar, Nanaji Deshmukh.
Advani,Joshi are now in Margdarshak Mandal.
I didn't expect Gangwar to be removed: He is eight Time consecutive MP from Bareilly and why no Sushil Modi(Ex FM in Bihar along with Deputy CM and good knowledge on GST),Jay Panda(good Data Analyst). What About Varun Gandhi?
Why are Vasundhra Raje in Rajasthan,BS Yeddyurapa in Karnataka, Shivraj Singh Chouhan in MP under Constant Pressure(coz they are from Atal-Advani era?)
Rajnath Singh and Nitin Gadkari can't become PM now.
Even A CM of UP is now becoming Danger
It's only a One(and a Half) Man Show
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@narenbaradwaj5058 Sorry for my last comment.. and by 31 I meant 28 full states+3 Legislative UTs (J&K,Delhi,Puducherry) .
In Vidhan Sabhas, Haryana, Uttarakhand,Manipur,Goa are gone cases where BJP is there.. I'm not counting Punjab as its virtually non existent there currently. even HP looks difficult..Gujarat and UP they can hold.
For Lok Sabha I dont know, Maybe BJP will be arounf 200+ to 250 even(lets take 225 as the average) and They Have Jjp in Haryana, AIADMK in TN, JDU in Bihar ,LJP(Paras faction) in Bihar,AJSU in Jharkhand,AGP & UPPL in Assam, NDPP in Nagaland,NPP in Meghalaya, MNF in Mizoram, SKM in Sikkim that at max adds up to about 25 more seats taking NDA to 250.
Then if they dont target BJD in Odisha, TRS in Telangana and also dont perform well there (coz thay seats would then add up to BJP only) they can have them as allies.In Andhra it would be interesting whether they would stay with Pawan Kalyan's Jana Sena only or try to Ally with YSRCP or make TDP comeback.
Maharashtra is going to be Battleground if its BJP vs All(SS+NCP+INC)..Maybe BJP will try to ally either with SS or NCP.
In UP it depends on 2022 and then what alliances form.
In Bihar, its direcy 2 way contest between 2 alliances; UPA vs NDA.
In West Bengal, maybe INC is trying to allying with TMC and BJP will fight in LS..and maybe do much better than 2021 VS and repeat 2019 LS.
Then Comes Guj,Mp,Rj,Kar,Chh,Jha(with JMM),Hp,Uk,Assam,Manipur, Arunachal,Jammu region where its virtually BJP vs INC that's going to make the difference between 1st and 2nd in Lok Sabha.
What's left is Kerala where BJP has increased its vote share but still isnt in major Poll position and Punjab where BJP can at max bring back and tie up again with Akalis but that's to be seen.
In Delhi, I feel BJP can lose seats although if people again vote only for Modi, then maybe again a sweep.
Issues will be Inflation from Food items to Oil to Transport, Covid Management, Vaccination, Health, MSMEs, Economic Growth, Corruption ,Education during Covid times,Climate Change and hopefully not only about Religion and Caste.
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