Comments by "Kshitij Bhambri" (@KshitijBhambri1) on "Bengaluru opposition meeting-- Congress has little to gain and lots to lose" video.
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in Latest Lokniti CSDS Survey INC was polling 29% to BJP's 39%: both alone not NDA or UPA/INDIA vote share(It doesnt show seats): This means combined Vote Share of 68%: in 2009 it was 28.5% for INC & 18.5% for BJP which is just 47%. Even in 2019 BJP got 37.3% & INC got 19.5%(BJP fought 437 seats, INC fought 421 seats: INC was 2nd on 209 seats out of these and won 52 and 3rd close to 2nd on 12 : it fought all seats in Andhra, 69 in UP,40 in WB, 21 in Odisha without any alliance and here it won 4(1 UP,1 OD,2 WB) on its own: not counting Bihar, Tamil Nadu as that it fought in RJD+, DMK+ respectively and Maharashtra : on 11 Seats VBA ensured loss of INC-NCP: 8 of INC & 3 of NCP: for instance Nanded seat which Ashok Chavan lost by just 40k votes as VBA polled 166k votes.
if vote share gap between INC & BJP reduces to 10% which was 18%+ with total 68% and now both alliances almost having 86-88% National Vote together: Only ones left are SAD,BSP,TDP,YSRCP,JDS,BJD,BRS,AIMIM,AIUDF,BPF, SDF, INLD who have combine vote share of around 12-14%
Then INC alone can be 150-170 & BJP 230-250 and that opens up the game.
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@subhasisjoshi8135 BJP at max 238
They will form Govt Though with JDS,BJD, TDP,AD,ADMK,Shinde Sena,Ajit NCP,JJP,AGP,BPF,LJP,etc
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