Comments by "Silver Prussian" (@Silver_Prussian) on "Russia Is Cannibalising Its Economy. But That's Not Enough." video.
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Muh oil price cap works he said
The price cap of $60 was announced in December 2022. Now, commercially available data shows that in the Far East, Western companies are trading Russian oil which is selling above the price cap level. And multiple reports cite Chinese & Indian customs data suggesting that local importers bought Russian crude without a discount, at a similar price to Brent.
The price cap enforcement system relies on attestations, what amounts to an honour system, in the form of promises from the fossil fuel industry that officials may occasionally check.
There has been no evidence of relevant authorities in any price cap country enforcing any penalties for violations. As a result, it’s unlikely that any trades have taken place beneath the price cap which would otherwise have taken place above it.
This system is contributing to record Russian exports. January 2023 was Russia’s strongest month for oil exports since 2019.
That number includes the $300bn of reserves seized by the West in the first week of the Russo-Ukraine war; however, it appears that the Kremlin might have access to a lot of that money after all. The EU legal authorities have admitted they can’t find most of it, reports Delfi.
As of February 10, international reserves were valued at $589bn, comprising foreign currency, Special Drawing Rights (SDRs), a reserve position in the International Monetary Fund and monetary gold. These reserves represent highly liquid foreign assets available to the CBR and the Russian government.
According to recent reports, the EU legal enforcement authorities have only been able to identify €33.8bn of the €250bn held in Europe, which has been frozen. The remaining funds have not been found and presumably remain under Russian control.
Delfi reports that the EU has still not been able to identify where the majority of the CBR funds are held. Moreover, they admitted the $300bn number was based on the CBR’s own reporting of the amount held in Europe and not on reports from the institutions that were supposed to hold the reserves; consequently the amount held in Europe may be a lot lower than the reported figure of $300bn.
The CBR no longer holds any dollars, but lawmakers said this month that the regulator plans to sell off all its euros this year as well. After the change the CBR will hold only gold and yuan in its reserves, split 40% and 60% respectively.
I am grinning if you cant tell.
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