Comments by "seneca983" (@seneca983) on "The Russia Connection: How the War in Ukraine Is Warping Israel's Response to Iran" video.

@kenirawadi4689 What do you mean "forgets"? China was explicitly mentioned towards the end of the video.
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That has more to do with how much and how strongly Israel would choose to target Iran. It might want to pull its punches so that Iran does the same. This video was more about what to strike in Iran, not how strongly to strike Iran.
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"Why would you jump off there?" He's gone over that in earlier videos. No need to rehash the whole chain of events every single time.
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He said that hitting the oil infrastructure would hurt USA's strategic goals.
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@altrag There are still degrees to how much you damage Iran's oil infrastructure (or military assets). OP seemed to imply that a strike on oil infrastructure would be worse. But that could be made small too, like destroying one oil storage tank. Similarly, a strike on military targets can be small (like destruction of one S-300 launcher) or much bigger.
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In which part did he assign blame? I only see him discussing what affects Israel's strategic choices, not how ethical they are.
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@dunkelsteinen1747 "What exactly prevents Iran from using the same rockets it used to hit Israel, from hitting Saudi's oil infrastructure?" Well, for one, there's less obvious justification now as Saudi Arabia isn't bombing Yemen like it used to. Also, they probably care about not antagonizing the Saudis too much since they now have diplomatic relations.
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@dunkelsteinen1747 It might be more likely in such a case but the risk of a direct retaliatory strike by the Saudis probably would make Iran hesitate.
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I'm not sure Turkey is an autocracy.
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@Dommifax He has concentrated a lot (probably too much) power in the office of the president. However, he hasn't resorted to e.g. election fraud so he does still have a democratic mandate (even if his popularity has been waning).
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@lukaselem7892 Any decline starting in 2030 would probably take a very long time to reach zero. Like davidebic alluded to above, if we manage to decrease our oil consumption for environmental reasons, Saudi Arabia has an incentive to pump out its oil before that happens. Also, predictions of peak oil have so far seemed to always be too early. "So compensating Russia AND Iran output could be a bit of a stretch" Not in the short term (which is what matters for the current war). Saudi Arabia currently has untapped capacity, is undergoing some economic troubles, and needs cash for its projects like Neom. It's not certain to happen but Saudi Arabia has already said that it's abandoning the $100/barrel oil price target and thus accepting lower prices which I would guess is going to imply a modest increase in oil output for at least a couple of years.
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@altrag It might look bigger but that's not really relevant to why I don't agree with your earlier statement "Those are in large part the same thing" in response to what I said about what to target in Iran vs. how strongly to target it. Let me be more explicit what I meant, as perhaps my earlier comment was too vague. What I mean by what to target would e.g. be whether to blow up oil tanks or SAM launchers. By how strongly to target them meant whether to blow up e.g. 1 or 100 oil tanks / SAM launchers. I would guess the latter would have a bigger impact on how strongly Iran would respond, at least if the difference is as big as 1 vs. 100.
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