Comments by "Federalist Papers" (@federalistpapers4523) on "Republicans Block Democratic Effort To Raise Debt Ceiling As Officials Warn Of Economic Catastrophe" video.

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  3.  @Mike-lv6vs  As part of the COVID-19 relief bill passed in March, Congress approved a one-year increase in the child tax credit from $2,000 per child annually to $3,600 per child under the age of 6 and $3,000 for those ages 6 to 17—delivered as monthly payments of $300 per child under age 6 and $250 for older kids. In the reconciliation bill, Democrats are proposing to maintain the expanded tax credit through 2025. Why 2025? Because the tax credit—which isn't really a tax credit at all, but rather a direct subsidy since it is paid out even if recipients have no income and owe no federal taxes—is expensive. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates that the child tax credit will cost about $110 billion annually, and extending the tax credit through 2025 will cost $450 Billion. Making it permanent would cost $1.1 Trillion over the next 10 years. Those amounts could make a big difference in the ultimate fate of Biden's plan. Democrats need to use the reconciliation process to bypass the filibuster in the Senate, but the rules governing the reconciliation process forbid legislation that expands the federal budget deficit over the next decade. That means every dollar of new spending has to be offset somehow.  And $1.1 trillion is a lot more than $450 billion. Most Democrats would probably love to extend the expand the child tax credit permanently. But by setting the expanded tax credit to expire four years from now, Democrats are able to ignore roughly $700 billion in future costs that have to be offset in order to use the reconciliation process.
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