Comments by "Terje Oseberg" (@terjeoseberg990) on "US and China and BA 2" video.
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@mayrareyes8135 , When this pandemic started, around 50% of the immunologically naive were asymptomatic upon infection, and around 30% experienced mild symptoms. Only around 10-15% required hospital care.
Around 2/3 of those who required hospital care had at least 1 comorbidity, so 1/3 had no comorbidities. Since approximately 50% of the population has 1 comorbidity, those with 1 or more comorbidities are at approximately twice the risk as those with none. Therefore those with at least 1 comorbidity are at around 20% risk, and those with none are at around 10% risk of hospitalization.
So, if Omicron is twice as lethal and you have no comorbidities, then your risk of hospitalization, if you were immunologically naive, was around 10%. You therefore had around a 90% chance of experiencing mild to no symptoms.
However, how can you be sure you were immunologically naive? How do you know you weren’t already infected and experienced mild to no symptoms? You could have already been among the 80% who gained immunity from previous infection. Were you tested for antibodies or for a T cell response?
Most of the world now has immunity either from previous infection, or vaccination. The seroprevalence in the UK is around 98%. The pandemic is pretty much over for the majority of us. The immunologically naive are now extremely rare, and most of the unvaccinated, without getting tested, have no clue whether they are immunologically naive or not.
You got lucky, and you are now no longer immunologically naive. However, you have no clue what damage this infection may have done to your body, and what the long term consequences might be. There have been no long term studies, and the short term studies don’t look good.
How SARS-CoV-2 Causes Brain, Kidney, Pancreas, & Heart Damage
https://youtu.be/g9Ftwk4loPA
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