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Comments by "The Zero Line" (@The_ZeroLine) on "Russia is losing (time) in Ukraine? [Mapped]" video.
Russia is spending a lot more than 7% of GDP. At least double that. The vast majority of their budget is classified or just off the books. But fantastic video. One of the best high level perspectives I’ve seen.
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@okoice I am an analyst for a consulting firm and my job is focusing solely on China and the Ukraine/Russian conflict. There is no sheet that has Putin’s signature, but there are many different ways to form rough estimates of where budget is going and every single indicator as well as white paper I’ve seen on the subject indicates Russia is spending on the war as if it was an existential matter. It also depends on what you consider military spending. If they’re paying worker 3x their normal market value to get them to work in a factory that produces critical war materiel, is that military spending? The number I cited is on the lowest end of what those delving into the financials of Russia are saying.
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And 🇷🇺 is now losing armor at a rate that will seem them without enough to continue operations in 12 months at most instead of another 1.5-2 years. There’s also enough dissatisfaction in the army and paranoia on Putin’s part that he is trying to coup proof via purging the most senior generals, deputies, etc. from totally different factions and the economic situation is even worse. The only silver lining is that DT will likely win the presidency, but can they even last that long without some type of collapse. And it’s likely the US’ policy on where the UAF can use US arms will change based on immense domestic and international pressure stemming from this new offensive.
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So do most of us, but this is the classic timidity of the West in dealing with psychotic authoritarian regimes.
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