Youtube comments of Jeffery Shute (@jefferyshute6641).
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There is such a stark difference between Ukrainian POW's and Russian POW's.
Ukrainian POW's return home looking almost as starved as the holocaust survivors in concentration camps, with visible sign of terrible torture and degradation. But, they are overjoyed to be home. The ones that survive captivity, that is.
The Russian POW's are treated humanely, given medical treatment, are well-fed, and return home healthy. But, the sad reality of what awaits them in Russia, is written on their faces and in their eyes. I wonder how many ask to stay in Ukraine.
It's easy to see which country in this war is civilized, valuing human life, and which country is barbaric, only valuing humans as something to be used, then tossed aside like yesterday's garbsge.
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Thank you, Gen. Hodges and Mr. Smart.
As an armchair General, sitting here in the US, I find the current situation very frustrating.
After the untold amount of money that we, the collective "west," have expended in the last 75 years, specifically to be prepared for Soviet/Russian aggression, I fail to see why we still cower in fear.
Russia is no longer a superpower, yet we still treat them as if they are. Their military is weak, compared to Europe or the US. Their economy is destined to crumble. They are the preeminent pariah in the world.
And yet, here we are.
And our choices in November are the worst we've had in my lifetime, (a 68 year old). Biden at least "supports" Ukraine, although his adminstration's piece meal approach is ridiculous. And Trump is a loose cannon. J.D. Vance as VP? He might as well have chosen Marjorie Taylor Greene, for all the good it does Ukraine
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Thank you, TR for these guests.
I, like these two gentlemen, am a lifelong Republican. I voted for Trump twice. When I saw what he did on Jan. 6, 2021, and then the felony convictions started piling up, I began to see the truth about Trump. I wish I'd figured him out sooner, but I didn't.
While all the policy differences are important, sometimes character, or lack of it, is more important. I may agree with Trump on some issues, not all, especially regarding Ukraine support, but I wouldn't want him to run my business, or be a teacher at my kid's school, and I certainly would not allow him near my daughter.
Donald Trump is not an honorable man. I'm casting my ballot for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz.
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As any observer of American politics knows, the electorate in the US is more divided now than anytime since the Vietnam War. Many people feel marginalized or even disenfranchised.
Trump plays on those feelings, amplifies them and then hopes fear will sustain them.
He has not provided any legitimate policy details. Having a "concept" of a plan is woefully insufficient and immoral for a Presidential candidate. In this ongoing job interview for the most powerful office in the world, competence is important. Quality of character is important. Behavior is important.
But, in the magical world of Trumpinia, winning at any cost is paramount, above character, above behavior and above country. The phrase, "at any cost," has been proven time and time again to be the modus operandi that depicts Trump's actions for years. He lies incessantly, he's committed countless acts of fraud, he's a chronic adulterer, and constant source of confusion and division.
Donald Trump will always do whatever he thinks will be to his benefit - above all else. His personal life, business life, and political life prove this to be true. These are only a few of the reasons that as a lifelong Republican, I'm voting for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz.
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Kremlin political intrigues are comparable to a bulldog fight under a rug. An outsider only hears the growling, and when he sees the bones fly out from beneath it is obvious who won.
~ Winston Churchill
We've already seen Putin playing musical chairs with his council somewhat. I'm not sure putting the FSB in charge of the combat troops in Kursk makes sense, but then, why should it?
You'd expect Putin to pull more resources from Donbas to fight in Kursk, but so far it doesn't appear he's doing so. Perhaps he's caught in the "sunk cost fallacy," and expects his investment in the east is too important to give up on, relative to protecting Russian territory in the Kursk oblast.
Another consideration is that the quality of Russian logistic capabilities is very low. Moving troops, trucks, big guns, etc., from Donbas to Kursk is a daunting task. It's hundreds of kilometers over less than optimum roads.
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Thank you, Benjamin. Good report.
To Russians, fear equates to respect. In their worldview, if they are regarded as powerful and scary, then other nations will gladly bow to their will and allow them untethered conquest of their neighbors, their "sphere of influence."
This Russian perception is wrong - or I s it? Have we of the western democracies not cowered in fear at Russia's incessant nuclear sabre rattling? We provide Ukraine with just enough aid for it to keep its head above water, but not enough to enable it to swim safely to shore.
Our resolve and political will to see a Ukrainian victory is sorely lacking. NATO was founded to counter the possibility of Soviet/Russian aggression. Now that it is actually taking place, we seem clueless to the danger Putin's Russia and his delusions of grandeur pose to world order and democratic principles, or, what to to about it.
He envies our prosperity and influence and feels that he should have the same. He is willing to go to any lengths to achieve his goals. Are we willing to go to any lengths to stop him? If we want to defend our way of life, we must be willing to do much, much more.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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I hear what you're saying, but, NATO is a defensive alliance. However, once Russia is kicked out of Ukraine, including Crimea, all the more reason to admit Ukraine to NATO.
It will take awhile for Ukraine to meet the requirements, but it will happen. It's tsar Vlad's worst nightmare, to have so much of Russia bordering NATO. But, if he's still in power then, which I seriously doubt, he will think twice before starting aggression against the alliance.
You don't start nothin', won't be nothin'.
😁
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Thank you, Don. Good episode.
People keep focusing on Russia making advances in the Donbas, but they are very small, at best. It's estimated to have cost Russian forces 1 man for every 1.5 meters of territory gained.
The losses of manpower in the Russian army has doubled in the last 10 months, over losses since the invasion started in Feb. 2022. Putin is struggling to find enough people to fight.
Of course, since many deceased troops are buried where they fell, if at all, and reported as missing, Russia doesn't pay benefits to the families of the fallen.
Putin has enacted so many repressive laws on the Russian population, that most people dare not protest the war as happened during Russia's Afghan war. And those losses were only about 17k troops.
Putin laments the dissolution of the USSR, and is very afraid of a similar scenario occurring to his regime. He needs to keep prosecuting the war in order to maintain power. Unfortunately, Putin's "cult of personality" has grown ever stronger, with many Russians believing the propaganda their are fed.
Through generations of conditioning, the Russian population has become increasingly apathetic and apolitical. "What can we do about it?" is what I've heard often in street interviews with Russians. They are willing to accept things that would never be tolerated in western democracies.
We must stop messing about when it comes to this terrible war. There is no realistic reason to fear Russia's defeat, or by extension, its break up. The world would be a better place with an emasculated Russia, no longer a threat to its neighbors. It will not cause geopolitical instability.
On the contrary, free trade would grow and western democracy would be strengthened. For Russia to be defeated, and massively humiliated is the only hope we have to see a change in the Russian mindset.
We must give Ukraine everything it needs to win the war. Leading to that end, we need to clearly define the objective of full support of Ukraine and ultimate victory.
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Excellent interview. Thank you, Jason and Anna. Both of your channels help me to understand better, if only in small measure, what is happening as a result of the brutal, illegal invasion by Russia.
Sadly, here in the US, the events taking place in Ukraine are not in the forefront of many people's thoughts. And, Russian propaganda, unfortunately, has pulled the wool over the eyes of many. But, some of us are seeing more clearly each day, what is really happening.
The analogy of Russia being a bully is very accurate. And, like any bully, their bluster and weakness is obvious when they receive a good punch in the nose, so to say. As when suddenly, without bragging or bluster, Ukraine easily invades Kursk oblast. Oh, and how the bully starts crying, "Ukraine has committed a provocative action."
Everything the Russians say is full of lies and deception. I will say it again. Until Russia is defeated and completely humiliated, there is no chance for change.
Germany and Japan were defeated and humiliated at the end of WWII, which forced them to accept that they were neither superior nor invincible.
Like the phoenix being reborn from the flames, Germany and Japan are now peaceful and prosperous nations, valued members of the world community.
Why would we think that anything less will suffice in Russia? Until it is thoroughly and violently shaken, the Russian mindset will not change. Their long history of imperialistic ambitions proves it.
For the sake of democracy, self-determination, and freedom, Ukraine must win, and Russia must lose.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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Agreed, inferiority complex on steroids.
The bully in the neighborhood threatens and blusters and screams nonsense at others to scare them.
Often, the bully was abused or felt neglected as a child, and never learned to play well with others. When he sees that others are well-adjusted, or happy or successful, he envies what he does not have, and his feelings of Inferiority grow even stronger. To counter those feelings, he lashes out at others, trying to prove to himself that he is not "less than," but actually superior, because he causes others to cower in fear.
Temporarily, he feels better about himself, but, deep down he suspects it is only self-delusion, a false feeling. In order to get relief, he threatens and blusters even louder. The insidious circle continues, and he never gets what he wants, always left feeling dissatisfied.
However, since inside he is really a scared little boy, when someone bigger or stronger stands up to him, he backs down. His power is not in his strength, but rather in the threats he spews, the fear he creates. A good punch in the nose sends him running home crying. In the future he thinks twice before trying to bully anyone again.
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Thank you, James and Operator Starsky. Great episode. Ok. I live in the US. I am an American.
The Supreme Commander of NATO is always an American. There are reasons for it. America has the most powerful military in history. The Americans foot a dispreportional amount of the funding for NATO. America has committed to come running should any NATO country be attacked (presumably by Russia).
However, the Supreme Commander is subordinate to the President of the United States. I don't know why, the Biden Administration can't, or won't, get the promised aid to Ukraine in a timely manner. In some ways, the aid delay is worse than the restrictions on western weapons. What happened to the much praised US Military Logistical Network? Maybe a contract with FedEx is in order. "When it absolutely, positively has to get there overnight..."
I understand that I am not entitled to know the pushes and pulls, the ups and downs, the this, that, and the other behind vital military decision making.
But, come on Joe, and JAKE, (just me, keeping it real). Wake up and smell the coffee! Let Ukraine fight a proper war! You may be preventing WWIII if you do. Save Ukrainian lives.
Remove restrictions now.
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Thank you, Benjamin.
In Russia, uh, excuse me, I meant to say, In Oceania, the "Ministry of Truth," knowing the danger of "thoughtcrimes," has designed "Newspeak" to reduce the range of thought by simplifying vocabulary and grammar.
Remember, "War is Peace," because constant warfare maintains social order and peace.
"Freedom is Slavery," because obviously, individual freedom leads to societal chaos. (True freedom comes only from submission to the State.)
"Goodthink," will keep your mind aligned with thoughts acceptable to the "Ministry of Truth," and its ideology.
So, in today's lesson, we learned that "Victim is Aggressor," and "Defender is Terrorist." To avoid becoming an,"Unperson," with no driver's license or credit, learn to accept the dystopian world you have made for yourselves by bowing to the wishes of Tsar Vlad Putin, the Invader, and his gang of barbaric marauders and kleptocrats.
Truth is Truth is Truth.
There is no "your truth," or "my truth."
There is only, THE TRUTH.
Darkness flees in the presence of light.
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Yeah, yeah, Benjamin, we know. All of us that support Ukraine, were hoping for quicker action by the US House of Representatives. As a Reagan Republican, I found their lack of resolve unconscionable. When a friend needs help, and you are able, you help them. When that friend is a growing democracy, fighting for survival against Russian terrorism, it's a no-brainer. But, help is on the way. The US Military Transport System should have the most urgently needed supplies delivered in a matter of days. I think there is a "game changer," and that is a boost to the morale of the Ukrainian people. Oh, and perhaps say goodbye to Putin's pet project, the Kerch bridge. 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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I agree with your guest, that we really do need some strong "statesman leaders" during the current situation. The "west" must be united in our commitment to Ukraine's victory, and Russia's defeat. Our leaders have not clearly defined our goals. "As long as it takes," is a weak promise. It indicates a willingness to continue a slow, slogging conflict, rather than taking decisive action to achieve our goals. The longer it takes, the more it costs - in money and lives. I don't understand the reticence about defeating Russia. The world would be a safer place with a crushed and restructured Russia. A Russia no longer capable of being a threat to anyone.
Current sanction enforcements are comical. If we are unwilling to endure a relatively small economic pinch, we cannot exact a crippling pinch on the Russian economy. Putin's Russia will not cease its bad behavior on the world stage unless the consequences are unbearable. Anything less will fail.
Your guest said that the Russian economy is strong, and getting stronger. I do find that a bit hard to believe, but I am not an economist. If the ruble is falling in value, and the work force is short by millions of people, inflation will increase. But obviously, until we get really serious about stopping all trade with Russia, Putin will find ways to finance his war machine. We in the west should be ashamed by our hypocrisy concerning sanctions. We stand on our soap box and preach about sanctions, all the while finding nefarious ways to bypass them. America was a net exporter of oil, and now we are back to importing. Let the drilling continue. If our strategic oil reserves are depleted, and we have to import oil, we put ourselves in a precarious position, especially if we have to fight a war.
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Thank you, Don.
I am a Reagan Republican living in the USA. I previously voted twice for Trump, but not this time.
The Republican Party has been hijacked by the MAGA extremists. My party is not the party that it once was.
So, as a conservative that strongly supports robust help for Ukraine, I face a dilemma. One candidate, that turns 82 this year, is sadly deteriorating before our eyes, yet, he supports Ukraine. The other candidate, 78 years old, is a loose cannon.
No one really knows what Trump will do if he wins, not even Trump. With J.D. Vance as his VP choice, it doesn't look encouraging for Ukraine or NATO.
Last time Trump was President, he at least had some advisors that were well-informed and professional. This time, he is likely to surround himself with loyaltists more than any others.
I don't want to waste my vote, but I don't think either candidate is fit to be President, although for different reasons.
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@crawkn You are correct. With s GDP smaller than that of Italy, spending more than one third of the budget on the military, the ruble loosing value, (approx. 88 per dollar), international banking not accepting rubles, trading partners (China, India, Iran) getting massively discounted oil, critical infrastructure being neglected, health care and social services funding cuts, increased taxes, the economy is starting to feel the pinch. It will only get worse, especially for the Russian ctizenry. The military stats have been mentioned already.
Russia is starting to crumble from the inside out. Militarily, Russia is losing from the outside in.
Hey, tsar Vlad, where you gonna run to, when your house of cards falls apart?
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Thank you, Henry. Good interview.
Gen. Hodges is one of a very few war analysts able to say, in clear, plain speech, what is going on from a strategic perspective.
I share your's and Gen. Hodges' frustration with Biden (insert NSA Jake Sullivan), and his needless restrictions on western weapons use against Russia.
I'm at a loss to understand such timidity against a nation that has been our primary enemy for 75+ years. They still are, and pose a greater danger to world stability than ever before. More so than even the Soviets.
In the last few days, Trump has increased his anti-Ukraine rhetoric. His outlandish lies growing bolder and ever more far-fetched. I think it's more for the MAGA audience than any other.
But, there are many of us Republicans that DO NOT support Trump. Many of us will be voting against Trump, and for Ukraine, by supporting Harris. I do not agree with many of her domestic policies, but it's important to know that, at the very least she will support Ukraine as much as Biden has. And hopefully, much more so.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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@rjbmarchiac8693 In many ways I agree with you.
Being the largest country in the world, Russia has always had an identity crisis. To the east, Asia. To the west Europe. In reality Russia is a Eurasian country.
But, since the time of the tsars, they have envied Europe. They tried to emulate European civilization by copying the architecture, the navies, the cities, etc. They even took the Orthodox Church and the history of Christianity in the east from Ukraine, and rewrote it as their own.
Their revisionist history dismisses the fact that Kyiv was a thriving center of trade and power when Moscow was little more than a fishing village. The Kyivan-Rus existed before Muscovia, yet they try to reverse the facts, in order to claim that Ukraine and the Ukrainians are really Russian. They try to invalidate Ukrainian history and culture in order to blur any distinction from their own.
In many ways Russia and its society are a counterfeit nation.
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Thank you, Jake. I'm a Reagan Republican that voted twice for Trump, but not this time. The party I love has been hijacked by the MAGA extremists. As you said, the Republican Party is no more.
I love America. I'm an "older" man now, but I remember when our leaders were statesmen. A time when politicians could vehemently disagree with their opponents about policy issues, but still consider each other as friends and colleagues.
Now, my party has stooped to the level of school kids, hurling personal insults at anything done by Democrats. I've always been more conservative on domestic issues, but hawkish on our foreign policy.
As the so-called leader of the Free World, like it or not, we are responsible for much of the stability and prosperity in the global order. We are also the main proponent of democracy and liberty.
How can we, in good conscience, not support Ukraine in its existential fight for survival and self-determination? It's a win/win situation.
Helping Ukraine means:
1) New, good jobs are being created in the US, in the defense sector,
2) We are replenishing our older ammunition and equipment, with brand new stock. How could this be anything but good for America?
3) We help the largest country in Europe to defend its sovereign territory against a totalitarian dictator. We help defend and support liberty, democracy and self-determination. We make it clear to all dictators watching, and they are watching, that we will defend our way of life, and support our friends and allies.
To me, these things should not be contingent on party politics, but rather on moral grounds. We must do the right thing. We must help Ukraine win, and Russia lose.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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Thank you, TVP. Interesting today. At first, the Eastern Shield, brought to mind, the Maginot Line. But, rather than just a line of defensive fortifications, the radar and other systems will be quite advanced. Air defense, as the war in Ukraine has taught us, is more important than ever. The whole idea of altering the topography to influence the course of the enemy, is brilliant. Thanks, also, to your guest, the General.
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Thank you, Benjamin. You're getting better each time, using more patience and restraint with your guests. Good format.
Does Mr. Warzecha not get it? It is impossible to hold elections while Ukraine is fighting a war under martial law. Therefore, Mr. Zelinskyy is still the legitimate president. I know Ukraine has a long way to go, but they are a very young democracy.
I do agree with Ms. Karasinska. Public opinion is a secondary concern to Ukraine's fight against Russia. (Kudos to Poland if indeed they were involved in the Nordstream sabotage). Europe needs to get off of Russian gas. Russia is a criminal aggressor state.
Mr. Chrabota pointed out the importance of timing of the Kursk incursion, marking the significant anniversaries of not only the biggest tank battle of WWII, but also, the sinking of the Kursk submarine. The psychological impact is tremendous. It's a great humiliation for Putin, and a great morale boost for the Ukrainians. Anything that humiliates Putin is a positive thing in my book.
I guess Germany wants its money back on Nordsteam. Their expected return on investment was kaput. But, it's inappropriate to make public comments and pursue prosecution of Ukrainian suspects during wartime. It sends a very mixed message. (Alas, lawyers will be lawyers).
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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With all due respect to Maj. Gen. Cross, I think he is mistaken on certain points. Are we that naive? We, in the west, must send an unambiguous message to the enemies of democracy. They are watching us intently, to see if we are serious about defending our way of life, or just full of hot air.
Why are we still attempting "escalation management?" In the current scenario, it will not work. Putin will never be a good faith negotiator. He is all in. My qestion is, why are we not all in?
The collective west has spent trillions of dollars over the last 75+ years to be prepared against Soviet/Russian sggression. Now that Russia is actively waging war on our doorstep, we cower in fear. Red lines be damned.
Putin will not use nukes. He knows if he does, Russia will be sent back to the Dark Ages.
If we don't enable Ukraine to win, and assist in Russia's defeat, Putin, as well as other dictators will be emboldened to pursue more aggressive and imperialistic pursuits. Rewarding terrorism with stolen territory is weakness.
If we continue to tolerate bad behavior, we do so at our peril.
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Crimea is Ukraine. Rewriting history to make Russia some mythical Empire, does not make it so. You can go back in time, as far as you want, but every country has had a diversity of populations. Great Britain laid claim to the 13 original colonies in North America and swathes of Canada almost 250 years ago. Does that mean they should reclaim those lands? Do we go back to the age of Vikings and return their land? What about the Great Horde, or Alexander's Persia, or the Roman Empire? Don't be silly. At some point we have to stabilize.
As of 1991, the internationally recognized borders of Ukraine, included Luhansk, Donetsk and Crimea, and anything else the Muscovites have illegally "annexed." Translation: Stolen. Like it or not, Crimea is Ukraine.
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Donald Trump is not only an embarrassment for America, he is a real danger to our democracy. I'm a lifelong Republican (of the Ronald Reagan persuasion), and voted two times for Trump previously. That's something I have to live with.
I feel like the scales fell from my eyes that had kept me blinded to the truth. But, never again.
My reasons are multi-faceted; his mental decline, his lies, his lack of integrity or compassion, all are indicators that he is not an honorable man.
His many convictions for fraud, multiple bankruptcies, sexual misconduct and defamation of character, paint a vivid picture of a narcissistic perspective on everything.
Donald Trump will always do whatever he thinks will be to his benefit, over family, friends, or country. He wraps himself in the American flag because it has allowed him to become wealthy and powerful, not out of sincere patriotism.
His admiration of criminal dictators like Vladimir Putin and Xi of China is revolting. His lack of critical thinking skills or geopolitical understanding is mind-numbing.
Our NATO alliance is vital, as is our support for Ukraine to defeat Russia. In all good conscience, I must cast my ballot for Harris / Walz.
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@ИринаЛукьяненко-ь3ъ So, you live in the city, and all is well. Disabled children are getting a new rehabilitation facility. That's nice.
Since you brought it up, what about Ukrainian children that are now disabled because Russia targets civilians?
Thousands of Ukrainian children were kidnapped and taken to Russia. What about that?
Many people in rural Russia do not have basic infrastructure, such as good roads, sewage systems (for indoor toilets), and gasification for heat. What about that?
Enjoy the sweet life in your well maintained city while you can. It may not last for long. After the "Special Military Operation," (you know, the 3 day excursion), Russia will be forced to pay reparations to Ukraine for the damage they've done. Funding for infrastructure may be hard to come by. These are not made up stories, but cold, hard facts. Believe the Kremlin propagandists if you wish. This is not Afghanistan, or Chechnya, or Georgia. And that is no BS.
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@Jimmy-ye3wg Well, you're just all kinds of wrong. For one thing, the so-called referendum took place after Russian soldiers were occupying Crimea. Russian soldiers with automatic weapons, were intimidating people.
Another thing, under the Ukrainian constitution the referendum was illegal, null and void. It was not a free and transparent process.
So, having 70 year old documents from the Ex-Soviet Union is a ridiculous argument and has nothing to do with modern day Ukraine.
Crimea is Ukrainian. Life in Crimea is becoming more and more difficult for the Russian army, and what's left of their navy. The only large water supply comes from Ukraine.
There are daily attacks on Russian facilities and personnel in Crimea. As Ukraine continues to disrupt logistics by degrading the land corridor, and eventually the Kerch bridge, Crimea will become untenable for the Russian military. Ukraine doesn't have to take it, because Russia will leave.
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Thank you, TVP.
Although, there is much talk about the different causes of climate change, it will be a long time before we, as a world, will be able to stop using fossil fuels.
Even if the burning of fossil fuels is reduced or eliminated, practically everything we use in modern life is related to fossil fuels.
Everthing from the synthetic fabrics that make our clothes, to our food, our transportation, our phones, our medicine and housing, are all connected to petroleum-based products. Our very lives are in a sense, reliant on oil. The majority of our energy is produced by burning oil or coal.
Also, why is China so often not mentioned in this problem? China has over 3,000 coal-fired power plants, and its building the equivalent of two new ones per week!
Even though China produces more coal than any other country, they are still forced to import more coal (primarily from Russia) to feed their insatiable appetite.
We, in the US, and Europe obviously produce a lot of pollution, in all forms, but, China produces an immense amount of "greenhouse gas." They are on track to produce much more, for a long time.
For some reason that escapes me, I've not seen our dear Greta Thunberg protesting Chinese pollution, or anyone else, for that matter.
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As an American, it is strange to my ears, to hear of an established church wanting or getting an official involvement of government in their affairs. We jealously guard the separation of religion and government.
So, it's strange to me that government will be responsible to help fund the Georgian Orthodox Church, and the clergy. The relationship of the Church and the government in Georgia, is beginning to resemble that of the Church and the government in Russia.
Moscow Patriarch Kiril, of the Russian Orthodox Church, is FSB, and close friends with Vladimir Putin. Beware. Keep the government out of your religion.
Allowing government into the world of religion comes at a very high cost, among which is encroachment on the freedom of religion. It can lead to complete government control of all religious institutions and practices.
Churches here in the US, are funded primarily by the parishioners of each church. No government money, true, but no government involvement or control either. It's a good trade off. Two completely separate institutions, in some societies, it's a very new idea. It's worked here for a couple hundred years, so I can highly recommend it.
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Well, I have to disagree. Yes, we've spent more than our share in NATO, and the other members of the alliance must step up and do their fair share. However, with the different conflicts brewing around the world, most importantly the Russian war of aggression against Ukraine, rather than leaving NATO, we should be more actively involved. The security of the US and Europe depends on it. Consider the trillions of dollars the collective "west" has spent over the last 70+ years, just to be prepared for Soviet/Russian aggression. Now that Russia is actively waging an imperialistic war in eastern Europe, we must be involved in defending not only territory and lives, but the democratic principles that we espouse. It would be foolish for the US to think this conflict does not affect us. The cost now, in lives and treasure, will be drastically less, than the expense of a much larger war in the future. We do not live in a vacuum.
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Thanks, Don. Good interviews.
Both Ambassador Carpenter and Kurt Volker had some good arguments supporting their perspectives, but, it seems neither is willing to concede that elements of both are valid.
I think Ambassador Carpenter is employing wrong-headed ideas that are more escalation management than critical strategic planning. And of course, he must reflect the perspective of the current administration.
Yes, more air defense and other capabilities are needed, however, it appears obvious that striking deeper into Russia with Storm Shadow cruise missiles and ATACAMS could play an imprtant role in degrading Russian offensive capabilities while also affecting a psychological blow to the Russian military and population in general.
Mr. Volker was right about one thing certainly, that is that no one knows what Donald Trump would or would not do if re-elected, not even Trump. He's a loose cannon lacking long-term critical thinking skills. Trump, more or less likes to 'fly by the seat of his pants', trusting his gut instincts over all else, including from well-informed National Security Advisors.
At least Mr. Carpenter did say that the Biden administration's strategy is for Ukraine to win. I've been hearing that more lately, but not enough, and not clearly or loudly enough. A speech from President Biden to the nation, clearly laying out our stategy of helping Ukraine to win, and critically, why it is in America's best interests to do so, is needed.
Russia is a paper tiger, a failing state that is being destroyed by Vladimir Putin, from inside and out. If we give Ukraine everything it needs to fight a proper war, they can win. If not, the war will drag on for years, and thousands more innocent Ukrainians will perish.
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Thank you, Benjamin.
"Winning," is not the word I would use to describe what Russia is doing. They are obviously gaining ground in the east of Ukraine, but their attrition rate is unsustainable in the long term.
With manpower shortages on the front, as well as the industrial sector, Russia is struggling to find ways to fill those positions. It can't keep throwing huge amounts of money at the problem.
As well, the economy is overheating. The rate of inflation is rising and the Central Bank has raised the prime interest rate to 21%. The ruble is not only falling in value, Russia's trading partners are unwilling to accept it for payment.
If oil prices drop, as some expect, it will drastically reduce the funds Russia needs to fuel its war machine.
Trump will not want to appear to be weak in regards to Vladimir Putin, so it's the old "hurry-up and wait," routine.
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@NotUnymous I agree with you. Germany has done a lot to support Ukraine. But, just like my country, the US, I feel we must do much more.
Many Americans are disengaged from the war in Ukraine. I think some Americans think Biden rushed over to Kyiv, and gave Zelinskyy a check for $60 Billion.
Many are under the illusion that it's either fix the immigration problem at our southern border, OR, support Ukraine. One does not exclude the other.
And, they don't understand that the Lion's share of the Ukraine aid stays in the US, paying American workers, and growing American industry. But, its been the political brinkmanship, especially in the House of Representatives, that is most frustrating.
Unfortunately, we even hear some of our congressmen, (Marjorie Taylor Greene) spouting Russian talking points in the discussions in the House of Representatives. It's very alarming and annoying.
If Trump and Vance win in November, I fear it would be bad for Ukraine. But, it's impossible to predict what Trump might do. Trump is likely to do whatrver benefits Trump. So, nobody knows. Maybe his recent "near death" experience, will foment some change in his perspective.
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For 75+ years, we in the collective west, have spent untold amounts of money to build up our military capabilities, just so we could counter Soviet/Russian aggression if it were to happen. Now, it has happened.
But, rather than stand up to Putin for the bully he is, we cower in fear like a child with an abusive father, hoping that we don't get punished for the slightest of infractions. Why?
Putin's continuous nuclear sabre rattling is growing tiresome. There is no benefit to Russia if Putin uses even a tactical nuke. He knows full well that if he does use a nuclear weapon anywhere, for any reason, the response from the west will mean the utter devastation of Russia.
Yet, he still spews propaganda and blatant threats, knowing that some western decision-makers will hesitate to act. He is KGB/FSB, and he knows his Soviet spycraft very well. He has studied his targets (us), and he knows how we think. As the Russians say,
doktor znayet svoikh patsiyentov ("the doctor understands his patients").
I don't really care if the Russians think that Ukraine is a proxy of the west or not. It doesn't matter. What does matter is that a sovereign, peaceful country, a fledgling democracy, has been invaded by a hostile military force.
Ukrainians, not unlike ourselves, yearn from deep down inside to live free, in a democratic, forward thinking country. They look to us for help. They look to the west.
Are we truly the bastion of democracy and liberty that we profess, or are we speaking only hollow words and platitudes?
The WHOLE WORLD'S WATCHING, not only the barbaric behavior of the Russian military, but also our response to it. We must be willing to defend our way of life if we hope to keep it. Russia represents everything the Ukrainians do not want.
They've lived under the oppressive thumb of the USSR, and the Russian Federation, for decades, and they want nothing more to do with it. As the most powerful militaries in the world, we must support Ukraine in its struggle for survival. Every single day that we show weakness in the face of Putin's intimidations, hundreds more Ukrainians needlessly perish.
Slava Ukraine!
🇺🇦 🇺🇸 🇬🇧 🇫🇷 🇩🇪 🇵🇱 🇪🇪 🇱🇻 🇩🇰 🇳🇱 🇳🇴 🇫🇮 🇸🇪 🇹🇷 🇷🇴 🇨🇿 🇸🇰 🇭🇺 🇸🇮 🇯🇵 🇹🇼 🇦🇺 🇳🇿 🇧🇪
🇨🇦 🇮🇪 🇨🇭 🇦🇹 🇵🇹 🇪🇸 🇮🇹 🇬🇷 🇪🇺 🇲🇩
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@briancarno8837 You are mistaken. Russia has occupied approximately 18% of Ukrainian territory. Since the start of the so-called "Special Military Operation," (almost 2 years, 3 months ago), Russia has struggled to make any substantial gains. In fact, most of their gains can be measured in meters, not kilometers, and in some areas they have lost territory. At a cost of over 400k of their soldiers either KIA or WIA, (or MIA, deserters and POW's) plus the loss of thousands of tanks and other heavy equipment, I don't think Russia has much reason to brag. Those that follow Tsar Vlad Putin, the Invader, like rats drawn to the Pied Piper, will be destroyed like rats. The bully in the neighborhood is full of bluster and threats, but cannot achieve his goals. The neighborhood is fed up with Putin's psychopathic rhetoric and his imperialistic aggression will no longer be tolerated.
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The American economy will be just fine. Donald Trump exaggerated so many statistics last night. I, for one, am growing very tired of his negative rhetoric.
Constantly, he says how bad things are, that we are a nation in decline, that we have become a third-world country, that we are no better than a banana republic, that our allies are ripping us off, etc.
Really?
Sorry, Donald, I'm not buying it.
I am another of many Republicans that will be voting for Harris come November.
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Thank you, Benjamin, good report.
Although China produces more coal than any other country in the world, they are in fact, a net importer of coal (the lion's share of which is imported from Russia).
This is due to its massive energy needs. Indeed, they are building new coal-fired power plants at a very rapid pace. There is some progress in advancing to greener energy, but China, like many developed and developing countries, greatly depend on hydrocarbons to fuel their economies. Most will not be willing or able to change this for quite some time.
We, in the West, and especially here in the US, have built our prosperity by relying primarily on hydrocarbon energy. Certainly, countries such as China and India, will balk at the idea that their countries should adhere to the preaching of the West, when we are fueling our own prosperity with hydrocarbons. It comes across as hypocritical.
Although Donald Trump's call to, "drill, drill, dril," is disturbing to many, there may be in the short-term, some benefit.
If the price of oil drops well below current levels, it effectively reduces Putin's ability to fund his war machine through the sale of oil, natural gas and refined petroleum produces.
A more reduced and isolated Russia, means a more reduced and isolated Iran. The knock-off effect will be less instability in the Middle East and Red Sea shipping traffic. Like it or not, we are all interconnected with each other, be it ideologically, politically, or economically.
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Thank you, Benjamin.
No one knows for certain exactly what Donald Trump may do, not even Donald Trump. He really is a loose cannon. He will do whatever he thinks will be to his benefit. He, considering himself "a great deal maker," will probably try to force Ukraine to accept a peace deal that involves giving up Ukrainian sovereign territory.
Even if he cuts off aid, I don't think President Zelinskyy will accept such terms. On the other hand, if Trump becomes convinced that Ukraine must defeat Russia, at that point, he might help Ukraine even more robustly than Biden. It is the great unknown.
Yes, immigration is a problem in many countries. In the southern United States (I live in Texas), it is a big concern. The Biden administration's policies up until the last few months, was allowing thousands of illegal immigrants into the country. Over 100 of them being on the Terrorist Watch list. So, Republicans, especially MAGA, painted Biden and by extension Harris, and all Democrats, to be weak on securing the border.
Kamala Harris has made it clear that she supports Ukraine. If elected, she's likely to at least continue supporting Ukraine; the question being, how much?
With a different National Security Advisor than Jake Sullivan, she might actually step-up support to Ukraine, in a stronger, quicker way. Another great unknown.
Certainly, more people in America are concerned about illegal immigration than the war in Ukraine. It is much closer to home. However, polls in the US indicate the majority also support Ukraine. A big problem is that many Americans are disengaged from the war, partially because it is not covered extensively by mainstream media, and partially because they are more concerned about increasing costs of groceries, household bills, etc.
My biggest concern is what Donald Trump may do in another term as President. He said things that do not Bode well for our democracy. He admires strong, authoritarian dictators like, Putin, Orban, Kim Jung Un, and Xi of China. He wants the same kind of power. He has said he will weaponize the Dept. of Justice and seek retribution against those he deems his enemies. He has said to Americans, that if he is elected, we will never "have" to vote again. Huh? I don't have to vote, I get to vote. It's a Constitutional right and duty to vote. If I don't vote, I should not criticise the outcome.
My other big concern is Donald Trump's character, or rather his lack of character. He is not an honorable man. He lacks integrity. He is a pathological liar, still denying the 2020 election results. He has been convicted on multiple counts of fraud (often referred to as theft), sexual misconduct and defamation of character. Everything he says is hyperbolic to the point of lunacy. In his narcissistic view, he's the greatest thing since sliced bread and can do no wrong.
I'm a Reagan Republican that voted for Trump twice before. In a few weeks I will cast my vote for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz. Not because I agree with all her policies, which I don't, but I support Ukraine to win, and I think Trump is a grave danger to America.
(I apologize for the long ramble)
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Thank you, TVP, for the interesting discussion. There seemed to be a consensus among your guests, (except one perhaps), that it is inevitable that Ukraine will have to cede territory to Russia for some kind of security guarantee. I think this is wrong-headed thinking. I don't see President Zelinskyy or the Ukrainian people agreeing to Putin keeping any of Ukraine.
Russia is no longer a superpower, yet the Soviet hangover still persists in the minds of so many.
The GDP of Russia is about $2.24 trillion, with a population of 144.5 million.
The GDP of the European Union is $19.4 trillion, with a population of 449.2 million, as your one guest pointed out.
Russia's current economy is unsustainable in the long term. It's overheating. Inflation is growing and the Central Bank of Russia has raised the prime rate to 21%.
If Saudi Arabia follows through with their threat of increasing output of oil, at lower prices, Russia will be in trouble. Without the export of hydrocarbons at mid to high prices, the funding of the war will drop drastically. They can't obtain loans on the world market and they are using up their Wealth Fund.
Poland is on the right track with large increases in defense spending (to the chagrin of your female guest). The other European countries need to follow Poland's example.
We just don't know what President Trump will do, so it's crucial for Europe and Ukraine to be prepared for the unknown.
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Mr. Flowers is correct, it is a very important topic. Migration, forced or not, has become a problem in many countries.
In the US, the topic is very contentious. The US / Mexico border is 3,145 kilometers (1,954 miles).
In Texas, where I live, the border with Mexico extends 2018 kilometers (1254 miles), with 28 International bridges and border crossings. Much of the area between crossings is desert wilderness. At different times we've had as many as 10,000 illegal aliens a day crossing into Texas. They come from all over the world. Recently, there's been an increase of people from China, Asia and South America, especially Venezuela, where life for most is extremely difficult, even dangerous.
Securing our international borders is the responsibility of the Federal government. Unfortunately, since they have effectively abdicated that responsibility, the Texas government has been forced to take on that role. We have a huge wall on part of the border, but that has not aolved the problem. It is a very expensive problem and so there is a shortage of border guards. Don't even get me started on the political aspect.
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Thank you, Don and General Blazeusc. Good interview.
The General, being a military officer, must limit what he says concerning the political aspects of the war. However, he was able to clearly state what many of us are thinking, that is, that restrictions on the use of western weapons inside Russia should be lifted.
Some say that it wouldn't be a game changer. Perhsps not, but it could help degrade Russia's fighting abilities. Yes, I understand that Ukraine is developing it's own long-range capabilities, but in the meantime, give them what they need to fight and win this war properly.
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Benjamin, good job. I really like the format of the new programs. It's more relaxed, and at the same time more informative.
People tend to forget that Ukraine is a very young democracy. They've had to deal with a lot of difficulties since 1991. The culture of corruption runs deep, and it's not easy to root it out.
America declared independence in 1776, and we still have corruption rear it's ugly head at times. It happens in every country, as there are always those willing to take advantage of others for selfish gains. Like a cancer, it must be removed each time it appears. It takes time to change a culture so deeply engrained in the people's psyche, but it's definitely worth it.
The situation in Israel is troublesome. There are many Muslim countries, but only one Jewish nation. Iran does not recognize Israel's right to exist, and has vowed to remove it from the map. The Islamist terrorists in the Middle East, Hamas, etc., were established to destroy Israel and kill all the Jews. They demonstrated this on Oct. 7. However, none of the Muslim countries in the area want the Palestinians in their country. Realistically, a two state solution is probably unworkable, and Israel does not want it either. If had a neighbor that was always attacking me and my house, I would not want them to live next-door to me. Israel's neighbors are continuously attacking them from multiple sides. How would you feel in the same situation? Whether Islamist terrorists or Russian terrorists, I would defend my home and family, and make sure the enemy would not be a danger in the future.
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@crawkn Thanks. The funny thing about dictators, without fail, the longer they are in power, they increasingly become less trusting of their inner circle, which gets smaller, paranoia rules every move they make, they become more and more isolated from the populace, their "yes" men skew all information to good news only, they always arm themselves as they don't trust their body guards, and they become increasingly delusional and out of touch with reality.
They absolutely will not accept that their dreams are dashed. They always loose power through their demise or a coup, which usually ends with their demise as well. Their end most often comes violently, and they are usually alone. (Hitler, Mussolini, Stalin, Hussain, Gadhafi, etc.)
No thanks. I think I'll go with democracy instead.
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@crawkn Thanks. The funny thing about dictators, without fail, the longer they are in power, they increasingly become less trusting of their inner circle, which gets smaller, paranoia rules every move they make, they become more and more isolated from the populace, their "yes" men skew all information to good news only, they always arm themselves as they don't trust their body guards, and they become increasingly delusional and out of touch with reality.
They absolutely will not accept that their dreams are dashed. They always loose power through their demise or a coup, which usually ends with their demise as well. Their end most often comes violently, and they are usually alone. (Hitler, Mussolini, Stalin, Hussain, Gadhafi, etc.)
No thanks. I think I'll go with democracy instead.
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@yanina.korolko I didn't realize that I had insulted you. It was unintentional, therefore, I apologize.
Perhaps you are confusing belief system with religion. Yes, there are millions of people for whom religion of some kind, defines their belief system. But, there are other kinds of belief systems.
The Oxford Dictionary gives this definition: a set of principles or tenets which together form the basis of a religion, philosophy, or moral code.
I'm assuming that you have some sort of moral or ethical code that shapes your view of life and affects your behavior. It could be a set of laws, or principles, or even a philosophy that you adhere to. All are belief systems.
Actually, this reminds me of a lyric in a song by the rock group Rush, which says, "if you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice."
Thank you, for the discussion. I found it to be mentally stimulating. I wish you all good things in your life.
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Texas, my Texas, this election is more important than party affiliation. I'm a Republican. Twice, I voted for Donald Trump. Not this time. I see the man more clearly than before. Trump is not a conservative. He wears whichever mantle is helpful to him, whether that of Republican, conservative, Christian, "protector of women," strong man or "family man."
He in reality is none of these. Donald Trump has, and continues to do, whatever he thinks will be to his benefit, even above the good of the country. He does not understand anything about our beloved Constitution or the rule of law. Even worse, he just doesn't care. He is not an honorable man.
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@erichbreckoff3405 Yes, I heard the same thing. Trains derailing, tracks and other railroad infrastructure not being maintained properly. Apparently, there is not good rail from the Donbas region to the Kursk region.
Well, think about it. Putin is spending upwards of 40% of the Federal Budget on his military. Some of that money would usually go to things such as public transportation, railroads, basic infrastructure, and even healthcare and education.
So, stuff breaks down.
Add to that a manpower shortage in all industries and he's got some major problems on his hands. Oh, well. Putin made his bed, now he has to lay in it, if you know what I mean.
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Putin will not abide by any cease-fire agreement. He never has. And realistically, any cease-fire that involves a Demilitarized Zone is unworkable. The border Ukraine shares with Russia is more than 1700 kilometers long. In addition it would have to include the border with Belarus. Such a DMZ would require more than 100k troops to monitor, much less guard it. It's just not practical.
The less expensive option, politically, economically and in lives, is to arm Ukraine to the teeth and help them defeat Russia. That victory, combined with the failing Russian economy is the quickest way to end the conflict.
If Russia is defeated and humiliated on the world stage, not only will Ukraine be better for it, so will the Russian people and the rest of the world.
Other than natural resources, I can't think of much good that's come out of Russia lately. If not dealt with decisively, Putin will continue his predatory, imperialistic marauding, wreaking havoc and chaos on Russia's neighbors. Its European neighbors.
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Regardless of your sentiments about religion being bogus or truth, the fact is that Trump has co-opted a large portion of Americans with Christian Nationalism.
This is very concerning, as I see devoutly religious people basically endorsing a man that exemplifies the antithesis to Christian values of love, forgivess and healing.
Calling himself a Christian, he exhibits unchecked hatred, retribution and devision in every speech and interview he does. His lying and adulterous behavior are well documented. His felony convictions alone should be enough to cause his followers to question his character, but many don't.
They believe Trump's craziest of conspiracy theories due to lack of trust in our institutions, which he amplifies and exploits. The events of Jan. 6, 2021, should be enough, but for many, it's just another example of the "fake news" targeting poor Donald.
Good people falling for the lies of a bad man. What will they do when their idol looses the election and faces possible prison time?
Hopefully, this election will be a wake-up call for his many followers hoodwinked into believing a charlatan's lies and deceptions. I was one of them. I voted for Donald Trump twice previously, which I have to live with, but not this time. I see things quite a bit diffrrently now. I'm voting for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz.
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We in the west have got to get serious about sanctions enforcement. The sanctions on secondary agents is starting to work. But, Russia gets most of its revenue for the war, from illicit oil and petroleum sales.
The Shadow Fleet must be stopped. Firstly, because there are sanctions on most of Russia's oil sales, or a cap on what they can charge per barrel. These are being circumvented.
Secondly, many of the ships that make up Putin's smuggling fleet are old and poorly maintained. They pose a danger to the sea shipping lanes and possibly the environment as well. A sea blockade is called for to reduce Russian revenues. I know there are problems involved, but I seriously think it should be considered.
India, among others, like China and even Brazil, are getting Russian oil at dicounted prices. Once it's unloaded to another (legitimate) ship, or to a shore location, the origjns of the oil are untraceable. The fleet should be stopped on the sea lanes, and then commandeered. The cargo on the captured ships could be used to help Ukraine.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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In reality, Putin's Russia has been at war with the collective west, and especially the US, for years. It's just that we often didn't realize it, or didn't take it seriously.
In the US, Russian spy rings have been busted, as well as several solo operatives and collaborators. There was also Russian election interference in 2016 and 2020. Europe has been the target of cyber attacks, and sabotage, both cyber and more recently, kinetic.
Putin believes that war with the US is inevitable, although considering recent events, he may not survive long enough to see it happen.
Besides that, we know that if not for a nuclear arsenal, Russia would have been defeated already. As we've clearly seen during Putin's invasion of Ukraine, Russia is a paper tiger. Red lines be damned.
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Excellent format. Very informative. Thank you, TVP.
It seems that both Israel and Iran showed restraint (though Iran also showed ineptitude), in their attacks on each other. That helped both to save face. I"m sure Israel was listening to the US, and did not wish to anger their most valuable supporter. If they wanted to, Israel could decimate Iran's military capabilities, but this is not the time.
Any conflicts that distract attention from Russia's war in Ukraine, is seen as a positive by Putin. Russia, and China, are playing the long game. None of these conflicts materialized overnight. The influence and prosperity of the west, and the rules based order, is a thorn in the side of every imperialistic dictatorship in the world. Envy, jealousy, paranoia, and outright hatred, determine their behavior.
Putin has clearly made his intentions known. He wants to revive the "Russian Empire," (whatever that is), and he is willing to pay any price to achieve his goal. His legacy and search for significance are at stake. He wants to be remembered as Tsar-like, in his revisionist, delusional view of history.
The peace dividend after collapse of the Soviet Union, is no more. We took our eye off the ball, and now we have to play catch-up. Putin must be stopped, Russia crushed, China and Iran deterred, if we want to maintain the status quo.
NATO, Europe and the United States are finally waking up. The values and principles we live by, are not those of the totalitarian, or radical Islamist regimes. Appeasement is a non-starter. It's time to stand up for what we believe, and vigorously fight to defend it if necessary. That is, if we want to survive. Existential? I believe it is absolutely. Just my opinion.
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"...and the sooner we can end Russian aggression in Ukraine once and for all," said Secretary General Rutte. I agree with everything he said, except that last part.
The only way to end Russian aggression once and for all, is to defeat Russia and humiliate it on the world stage. Allowing Putin to be rewarded in any way, even if "temporarily," for his brutal invasion of Ukraine, would be a grave injustice. And it sends exactly the wrong message to Putin and his ilk.
Within 10 years of signing the Budapest Memorandum, Putin blatantly violated it, then waited to see how the west would respond. We 'slapped' him with some sanctions, that were easily skirted. So why wouldn't he be emboldened to go further in 2022? The truth stares us in the face, yet we act as if we don't see it. Putin will continue until he is forced to stop. If not by us, then who?
On the battlefield, in the economy, politically, socially or most likely due to some combination therein, Russia will fall. And the world will be a better place. It's the best chance we have right now to, in reality, "end Russian aggression in Ukraine once and for all." And anywhere else, while we're at it.
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The USSR, was a founding member of the United Nations, in 1945, and had a permanent seat on the Security Council, with veto power.
In 1991, the USSR, collapsed. It was comprised of Russia and 15 other states. Russia ASSUMED, the two seats vacated by the USSR.
No one opposed them.
No one.
Now, Russia is actively pursuing an imperialistic war of conquest against a peaceful, sovereign, neighbor nation. There is ample and verifiable evidence of Russia committing genocide and other atrocious war crimes, in Ukraine.
Yet, Russia is allowed to keep their UN seats and the accompanying influence it affords.
Something is very, very wrong with this picture.
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@debojitdas9787 I agree with some of your statements, but I think it's a stretch to say all trade with Russia is just business as usual. There are thousands of products that are no longer being imported. A lot of things the Russians had become accustomed to are much harder to find and more expensive now.
Most of the airlines in Russia, except maybe Aeroflot, are a on the verge of bankruptcy. Additionally, many parts needed for routine maintenance are not available, especially in the energy sector.
Ukraine has degraded Russia's oli refining capabilities by 15 to 20%. Most of the high-tech items needed in the refineries are western made and maintained.
Russia is quickly burning through its National Wealth Fund, and they aren't able to secure loans from the IMF or World Banking system. Over $300 billion of Russian assets in the EU, the UK, and the US, have been frozen and/or sezed. The interest as well.
Of course I understand why Modi is buying cheap Russian oil for India. It's for economic reasons, but he likes to stick with a non-aligned policy politically. During this terrible war, he should realize that Indian money is helping to fund Putin's aggression.
In the US, several businesses that avoided sanctions surreptitiously are facing criminal charges. It's crazy how much the volume of trade has increased in some "third-countries" doing business with western countries, importing from the EU, and North America, then exporting to Russia. I know some of Russia's payments to Iran, for weapons, was paid with gold bullion, because the Iranians wouldn't except rubles. I don't know if that's changed. And bartering, potatoes for mandarins...?
I don't say Russia is on the edge of collapse, but the economy is definitely not as healthy or resilient as they portray. The war economy at its current pace is unsustainable for more than 2 or 3 years, if that long.
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@debojitdas9787 On paper, the Russian economy looks better than it really is, in my opinion. The current exchange rate for the ruble is $1 = 99.59 rubles. Other countries are unwilling to accept rubles for payments.
Unemployment is low because there is s huge manpower shortage, both in domestic industries and on the frontline of the war. So, wages are going up. Even though some wages are rising, prices are also rising, especially food.
The problem with the wartime economy is that so much of the Russian annual budget is now going to military spending. The military industrial complex makes products (artillery shells, tanks, etc.) that are produced and then destroyed, bringing no financial
gains in return.
Other sectors in Russia are now being neglected, such as health-care, critical infrastructure, and social services, due to funding being diverted to the war effort.
A lot of trade still takes place by skirting sanctions through third-countries. But China, for instance, doesn't want to jeopardize its huge trade markets in the EU and North America for a much smaller percentage of trade with Russia, at least openly.
But, they still trade.
Since so much of Putin's war funding comes from the sale of oil, gas and refined petroleum products, the lower that oil prices drop, the less money for the war. Their current economy appears unsustainable for the long-term.
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@debojitdas9787 I'm not an economist, and it seems I got the Russian inflation rate wrong, at least according to official institutions.
As of the latest data available, the current inflation rate in Russia is around 9.1%. As a result of the central bank's actions (raising interest rate to 21%), the Russian economy is effectively facing the threat of stagflation — simultaneous stagnation or even recession and high inflation," the government-advising think tank (TsMKAP) said, as translated by Reuters.
As of October 2024, the inflation rate in the United States was 2.6%.
The current inflation rate in the European Union (EU) is 2.1%.
As of October 2024, Germany's annual inflation rate was 2.0%.
As of September 2024, Japan's inflation rate is 2.5%.
As of October 2024, India's current inflation rate stands at 6.21%.
As of the latest data, the current inflation rate in China is around 0.30%. This is considered a very low level of inflation, indicating a near-deflationary environment within the Chinese economy.
The countries with the highest interest rates are similar to those with the highest inflation rates, and include, as of October 2024, Venezuela (59.26%), Zimbabwe (35%), Argentina (40%) and Turkey (50%).
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"He's a tough guy that runs Hungary," as described by Donald Trump. Orban has been doing to Hungary what Trump plans to do to America. He's systematically weakened Hungary's institutions that provided checks and balances for his office, sought increasingly more unchecked power, has basically eliminated free and fair democratic elections, which provides pseudo legitimacy to his sycophantic kleptocrats.
It's no wonder that his world "peace" tour, in addition to Kyiv, Moscow, and Beijing, also included Mar-a-lago to visit Donald Trump - not Washington, D.C. to see Biden, but Florida to see Trump.
~ Birds of a feather flock together.
Trump admires autocrats like Viktor Orban, Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping. He seeks the same absolute power that they have.
When President, Trump reacted with angry tirades toward those that told him he couldn't legally do certain things. He was quick to sack anyone that disagreed with him, including several decorated 4-Star Generals.
Donald Trump would love nothing better than to win the Presidency, surrounded by "yes" men, and find a way to either declare Martial Law, or use his Presidential immunity to get retribution and round up his "enemies from within."
These self-serving "President for life" dictators, and dictator wannabes are the biggest danger to Western democracy since the end of the cold war. Europe, America, it's time to wake up and understand that men like Orban, Putin, Xi, and Trump are the real enemies from within.
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Here in the US, we don't have refugee camps. However, we probably have at least 15 million illegal immigrants. Since they are undocumented, the exact number is unknown. So far, we don't see illegals acting in groups, because they are spread out across the country. We have had individual incidents of violence.
We allow 900,000 legal immigrants into the country every year. But, at the southern border, we literally have millions of illegal, undocumented aliens enter every year. They are from everywhere. Some on the terrorist watch list have been stopped, I'm sure others have not.
It seems we live in the time of great migrations and population shifts worldwide.
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I agree with your first guest that we are, in reality, involved in a global conflict, that the world is reticent to admit is actually WWIII. It's a scenario we've dreaded since 1945, but here we are. It looks quite different than what we had envisioned.
I saw a report of Ukrainian troops on the frontline recently, that expressed a sense of hopeful anticipation of a Trump Presidency. The shamefully slow piecemeal approach of the Biden Administration has had exactly the opposite effect they had hoped for.
Jake Sullivan's escalation management has effectively managed to escalate the war.
The collective west has been dealing with the Russian/Soviet mindset for at least the last century, yet, many western decision-makers somehow still think they can engage with Russia as if it is a good-faith partner in negotiations. It is not.
When will we finally understand that Vladimir Putin does not think the same way we do, and he does not share the same goals?
His imperialistic war of conquest will only continue unless he is defeated and Russia is humiliated on the world stage.
Being transactional and narcissistic, hopefully, Donald Trump will want to be seen as the man that ends the war without appeasing Putin, or ceding Ukrainian territory to Russia. Hopefully.
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Thanks TVP. Excellent discussion with your guests, Dr. Mathers and Professor Gozma. Allowing Putin to be rewarded with even one square meter of Ukrainian territory is a grave injustice. As Dr. Mathers clearly stated, the Russian army is stretched thin.
Those skeptical of Ukraine's ability to eject Russia from its country are living in the past. Russia is not a superpower, and has not been since before the dissolution of the Soviet Union.
As has been proven repeatedly in this conflict, the Russian military is in reality a paper tiger.
The war in Ukraine would have been concluded long ago but for one reason, self-deterrance of western decision-makers due to Russia's nuclear arsenal and incessant sabre rattling. Not to be dissmissive out of hand, it is a valid concern.
However, Putin gains much more benefit by the threat of nuclear weapons, than any benefit he might get by using them. He knows such recklessness would spell the end of Russia.
As we in the US and NATO are wringing our hands in fear, thousands of innocent Ukrainians are being killed.
The Russian military's sheer incompetence gets worse everyday. The Russian economy is overheating and cannot sustain its current pace for very long. Other than militarily and economically, the only factor missing that would cause Russia to fall is political upheaval, as happened when the USSR fell. Unfortunately, Putin has gone to great lengths to insure no such scenario takes place. That is his greatest fear, to be removed from power.
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@hoot1025 blah,blah,blah...more stupid words. Everytime they get into trouble, the Russians start threatening nuclear attacks. Guess what, they're not the only ones with nukes. America has thousands, sitting atop the best ICBM's in the world. And I'd bet dollars to donuts they have always been maintained properly, whereas the Russians have proven time and again their incompetence and ineptitude when it comes to taking care of their equipment. The paper tiger eats itself from inside. And by the way, if Russia ever used nukes against our allies, the US would hurt them very, very badly, sending them back to the Dark Ages.
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@Trumpulator Absurdities like the massacre of hundreds of innocent civilians in Bucha, and countless Ukrainian cities? Absurdities like rape, torture, and murder of Ukrainian women and men? Absurdities like 20k kidnapped Ukrainian children? Absurdities like destroying Ukrainian churches, museums, and schools? Absurdities like drones and missiles targeting the homes of Ukrainian civilians? Absurdities like destroying Ukrainian power stations? Absurdities like targeting ambulance and rescue workers? Absurdities like children having kindergarten in subway tunnels and bomb shelters? Absurdities like intentionally attacking a children's cancer hospital? Absurdities like American politicians spouting the lies of a terrorist state? Absurdities like standing up for democracy, liberty, and sovereignty? Absurdities like believing relentless Kremlin propaganda? Absurdities like stopping a kleptomaniac, imperialistic dictator intent on rebuilding the Soviet-Russian empire?
Or, more to the point, the absolute absurdity of those that think mocking the faith of others is a convincing way to propagate their own bankrupt belief system.
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The truth is, Russia is a paper tiger.
Rampant corruption in the Russian military has hollowed it out. Putin is offering exorbitant sign-up bonuses to lure more men to the army.
It's not the affluent folks in Moscow and St. Petersburg that are joining, but rather, it's the indigenous, the disenfranchised, and the poverty stricken from the outer provinces. Putin hopes to avoid full mobilization, because politically it could be disastrous.
Most Russian people are either ignorant or apathetic about the war. To them, the war is far away, in Ukraine. Obviously, one of the goals of the Kursk incursion, is to take the war to Russian territory, to shock the Russian population into seeing the truth about Putin's so-called "special military operation."
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There are distinct differences.
For one, the US foreign agents law is not a weaponized tool that is used to target and harass people. Whereas the Russian foreign agents law is used to target anyone that the Kremlin deems as an opposition or a threat to the status quo. Given time, the Georgian law will be used the same way.
Yes, the US has military facilities around the world. More than 750, actually, that are there at the request and permission of the host countries.
Our history in North America has ties with Great Britain that go back 400 years, yet neither the UK nor the US think we need to "merge."
And yes, we know Joseph Stalin was born in Georgia.
When one poll after another indicates consistently that at least 80% of Georgjans what to divorce Russia and draw closer to European integration, that speaks volumes about the will of the people.
When the elected government is not responsive to the will of the people, then the people have the right, and yes, the responsibility to replace that government with one of the people's choosing. That is how a democracy works. Of, for, and by the people.
That is not how it works in Russia or those under Russia's "sphere of influence." It always involves intimidation and violence.
Regardless of what the propagandists say, the Russian people, since the time of the tsars, have always existed as serfs to serve the collective. Whether it's the government or tsar Putin and the oligarchs, all take priority over the people and their wishes.
Georgia is European. Sovereign nations choose for themselves any alliances that want. Georgia will join NATO and the European Union after Russia is defeated in Ukraine.
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@crawkn The funny thing about dictators, without fail, the longer they are in power, they increasingly become less trusting of their inner circle, which gets smaller, paranoia rules every move they make, they become more and more isolated from the populace, their "yes" men skew all information to good news only, they always arm themselves as they don't trust their body guards, and they become increasingly delusional and out of touch with reality.
They absolutely will not accept that their dreams are dashed. They always loose power through their demise or a coup, which usually ends with their demise as well. Their end most often comes violently, and they are usually alone. (Hitler, Mussolini, Stalin, Hussain, Gadhafi, etc.)
No thanks. I think I'll go with democracy instead.
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@crawkn The funny thing about dictators, without fail, the longer they are in power, they increasingly become less trusting of their inner circle, which gets smaller, paranoia rules every move they make, they become more and more isolated from the populace, their "yes" men skew all information to good news only, they always arm themselves as they don't trust their body guards, and they become increasingly delusional and out of touch with reality.
They absolutely will not accept that their dreams are dashed. They always loose power through their demise or a coup, which usually ends with their demise as well. Their end most often comes violently, and they are usually alone. (Hitler, Mussolini, Stalin, Hussain, Gadhafi, etc.)
No thanks. I think I'll go with democracy instead.
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@crawkn The funny thing about dictators, without fail, the longer they are in power, they increasingly become less trusting of their inner circle, which gets smaller, paranoia rules every move they make, they become more and more isolated from the populace, their "yes" men skew all information to good news only, they always arm themselves as they don't trust their body guards, and they become increasingly delusional and out of touch with reality.
They absolutely will not accept that their dreams are dashed. They always loose power through their demise or a coup, which usually ends with their demise as well. Their end most often comes violently, and they are usually alone. (Hitler, Mussolini, Stalin, Hussain, Gadhafi, etc.)
No thanks. I think I'll go with democracy instead.
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@crawkn The funny thing about dictators, without fail, the longer they are in power, they increasingly become less trusting of their inner circle, which gets smaller, paranoia rules every move they make, they become more and more isolated from the populace, their "yes" men skew all information to good news only, they always arm themselves as they don't trust their body guards, and they become increasingly delusional and out of touch with reality.
They absolutely will not accept that their dreams are dashed. They always loose power through their demise or a coup, which usually ends with their demise as well. Their end most often comes violently, and they are usually alone. (Hitler, Mussolini, Stalin, Hussain, Gadhafi, etc.)
No thanks. I think I'll go with democracy instead.
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@crawkn The funny thing about dictators, without fail, the longer they are in power, they increasingly become less trusting of their inner circle, which gets smaller, paranoia rules every move they make, they become more and more isolated from the populace, their "yes" men skew all information to good news only, they always arm themselves as they don't trust their body guards, and they become increasingly delusional and out of touch with reality.
They absolutely will not accept that their dreams are dashed. They always loose power through their demise or a coup, which usually ends with their demise as well. Their end most often comes violently, and they are usually alone. (Hitler, Mussolini, Stalin, Hussain, Gadhafi, etc.)
No thanks. I think I'll go with democracy instead.
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@crawkn The funny thing about dictators, without fail, the longer they are in power, they increasingly become less trusting of their inner circle, which gets smaller, paranoia rules every move they make, they become more and more isolated from the populace, their "yes" men skew all information to good news only, they always arm themselves as they don't trust their body guards, and they become increasingly delusional and out of touch with reality.
They absolutely will not accept that their dreams are dashed. They always loose power through their demise or a coup, which usually ends with their demise as well. Their end most often comes violently, and they are usually alone. (Hitler, Mussolini, Stalin, Hussain, Gadhafi, etc.)
No thanks. I think I'll go with democracy instead.
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@crawkn Thanks.
The funny thing about dictators, without fail, the longer they are in power, they increasingly become less trusting of their inner circle, which gets smaller, paranoia rules every move they make, they become more and more isolated from the populace, their "yes" men skew all information to good news only, they always arm themselves as they don't trust their body guards, and they become increasingly delusional and out of touch with reality.
They absolutely will not accept that their dreams are dashed. They always loose power through their demise or a coup, which usually ends with their demise as well. Their end most often comes violently, and they are usually alone. (Hitler, Mussolini, Stalin, Hussain, Khadofi, etc.)
No thanks. I think I'll go with democracy instead.
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@crawkn Thanks. The funny thing about dictators, without fail, the longer they are in power, they increasingly become less trusting of their inner circle, which gets smaller, paranoia rules every move they make, they become more and more isolated from the populace, their "yes" men skew all information to good news only, they always arm themselves as they don't trust their body guards, and they become increasingly delusional and out of touch with reality.
They absolutely will not accept that their dreams are dashed. They always loose power through their demise or a coup, which usually ends with their demise as well. Their end most often comes violently, and they are usually alone. (Hitler, Mussolini, Stalin, Hussain, Khadofi, etc.)
No thanks. I think I'll go with democracy instead.
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@crawkn Yep. The longer dictators are in power, without fail, they become increasingly paranoid, less trusting of their inner circle, which gets smaller, more and more isolated from the populace and from reality. The information they are given is always skewed toward good news, by their few "yes" men. Nepotism grows as they view family members more loyal than life-long friends.
Word is that Putin can't visit his favorite dacha, because his generals can't guarantee his safety on the coast of the Baltic Sea.
The satellite images of his current retreat, shows he has a minimum of 7 air defense systems on the grounds. Navalny famously exposed his $1 billion bunker under his billion $ palace. Nice gig, if you can get it...temporarily anyway. Always, temporarily.
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The Ukrainian lines along the front are not collapsing. They have made a series of tactical retreats to conserve soldiers. Any advances Russia has made have cost them dearly. And, they gained very little. With 12 years of trying, and with all kinds of advantages, Russia has only managed to occupy approximately 20% of Ukraine.
It's been estimated that Russian casualties in the Donbas have cost Russia 1 man for every 1.5 meters gained. Russian KIA/WIA numbers have doubled in the last 10 months over the totals since the invasion in Feb. 2022.
The Russian army is stretched thin and incapable of doing more than small squad assaults. The air force is unwilling to fly over Ukrainian territory due to the danger of the air defenses. One third of the Russian Black Sea Fleet has been destroyed or badly damaged by a country essentially without a real navy.
The economy is overheating and the ruble keeps dropping in value (97 rubles = $1). Yes, Russia is good at attritional warfare, but it's not sustainable for more than 1 or 2 years at the current pace.
They are using up their financial reserves and no one will give them any loans. This year's budget for Russia includes almost 40% for military spending. So, infrastructure, social services, health-care, education - are all being neglected. Food and household needs are becoming more expensive, and some products are no longer available due to sanctions.
To say that Ukraine cannot win against Russia is simply ridiculous. With continued and stronger support from its allies, Ukraine can certainly defeat Russia.
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@jakbak-y6f Thank you. You have a good point. For one thing, Kamala Harris has made it clear, she supports Ukraine. So, we can assume she will do at least what Biden is doing. Hopefully quicker and more robustly.
With Trump, it's difficult to say for sure, but his comments about Ukraine and President Zelinskyy indicate a negative outlook towards both.
Obviously, no one can end this war in 24 hours, except Vladimir Putin.
Trump considers himself a master "deal maker."
Trump is a loose cannon, and truthfully, no one knows what Trump may do, not even Trump.
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@jakbak-y6f Good point. For one thing, Kamala Harris has made it clear, she supports Ukraine. So, we can assume she will do at least what Biden is doing. Hopefully quicker and more robustly.
With Trump, it's difficult to say for sure, but his comments about Ukraine and President Zelinskyy indicate a negative outlook towards both.
Obviously, no one can end this war in 24 hours, except Vladimir Putin.
Trump considers himself a master "deal maker."
Trump is a loose cannon, and truthfully, no one knows what Trump may do, not even Trump.
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Thank you, Jason and Chuck.
I think Donald Trump is devoid of any critical thinking skills. His main goal is always to do whatever he thinks will be to his benefit.
Some of his comments about NATO and even Taiwan demonstrate his lack of understanding of geopolitics in any way. He thinks that if he makes nice to dictators like Putin, Kim Jung Un, or Xi of China, he can schmooz good deals from them. They of course, see him as just another "useful idiot."
If we are serious about our preaching freedom, democracy, and self-determination to the world, if we really believe in these ideals, it is our obligation to assist Ukraine win the war. That of course, necessitates the defeat of Russia, which would be the best move for world stability.
If we appease Putin, or allow him a victory in Ukraine, the world immediately becomes more dangerous. Danger not only from an emboldened Putin, but an emboldened China and possibly other dictatorships. They are intently watching the events in Ukraine, to see if we in the west are really willing to defend our way of life.
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@suldiaz8099 I think Donald Trump is devoid of any critical thinking skills. His main goal is always to do whatever he thinks will be to his benefit.
Some of his comments about NATO and even Taiwan demonstrate his lack of understanding of geopolitics in any way. He thinks that if he makes nice to dictators like Putin, Kim Jung Un, or Xi of China, he can schmooz good deals from them. They of course, see him as just another "useful idiot."
If we are serious about our preaching freedom, democracy, and self-determination to the world, if we really believe in these ideals, it is our obligation to assist Ukraine win the war. That of course, necessitates the defeat of Russia, which would be the best move for world stability.
If we appease Putin, or allow him a victory in Ukraine, the world immediately becomes more dangerous. Danger not only from an emboldened Putin, but an emboldened China and possibly other dictatorships. They are intently watching the events in Ukraine, to see if we in the west are really willing to defend our way of life.
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It's like a snail riding on the back of a turtle and thinking, "We are going fast now!" So sad and scary. So much of Russian history has been rewritten to keep the people brainwashed.
When Stalin murdered millions of people in the Holodomor, it was just a "bad harvest."
Millions died as slaves in the Gulag. Even the beautiful St. Petersburg is known as the "city built on bones." The sheer number of people that have been brutalized and subjugated by Russia is staggering.
Some good people are starting to open their eyes, but it is very difficult. Thank God for the partisans (Freedom Russia Legion, etc.) that are attempting to make some changes, but they have an uphill struggle.
All the problems in Russia are blamed on the "West." The so-called "West" is not a collection of one type of politics, government, culture, socio-economics, religion or morality. But when a bully in the neighborhood continually tries to intimidate and attack their reasonable neighbors, of course they unite and say, "Enough!" In that sense there is a collective "West."
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I never hear Trump saying what he's going to do if he wins, except get retribution, and save the country from the evil Democrats. What is his foreign policy plan? What about the economy? I hear him say plenty about how bad things have gotten, we live in a banana Republic, etc. I guess you have to claim everything is bad if you hang on the MAGA slogan.
Character assassination, demonization, insulting a person's looks, or anything to make the other candidate seem evil, is the lowest tool of debate.
I am a Christian conservative. If I only saw Trump's behavior, heard what he says, heard about his unrepentant adultery and womanizing, and knew of his shady deals and crimes, I would never associate him with what most people think of as sincere Christianity. The Nationalist Christians that Trump has aligned with are being misled, snd it is very sad. We are all Americans, yet we equate someone's political opinion with their identity. This attitude needs to be reined in. America is capable of doing so much better.
The whole world looks to us as an example of democracy and civil discourse. At least they used to. If we mean what we say, and willing to defend our way of life, want democracy, freedom, and self determination to thrive around the world, then we must help Ukraine be victorious and Russia must be defeated.
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@hecter3008 When I hear someone say, "Put the UK first," or "Put America first," some of them really mean "America only." We don't live in a vacuum.
In the west, we enjoy prosperity never known before, partially due to international trade. We are all intertwined through various treaties and trade agreements. The freedom of navigation would not be possible without military alliances.
NATO needs Ukraine, and Ukraine needs NATO. Finland and Sweden did not want to join NATO until Putin started his imperialistic invasion. They know from history what Russia is like.
This war has gotten Europe to wake up and start preparing their defenses in case the war spreads. Naive isolationism is dangerous. Like it or not, the UK, the US, and many others are already involved.
An emboldened Putin, will keep trying to reconstitute the so-called Russian Empire. He has said as much, and his actions bare it out.
Rather than cowering in fear at his nuclear sabre rattling, the collective "west," needs to make Putin cower in fear. He knows that if he uses a tactical nuke, for any reason, NATO will send Russia back to the Dark Ages.
If we don't stand against the bully in the neighborhood, he will continue destroying and killing until he is stopped.
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@ksaksa-iy4fi I'm not repeating Ukrainian propaganda. My information is gathered from many well-respected, verifiable news agencies around the world.
And yet, you are willing to believe Russian propaganda, which has been debunked many times.
Regardless of his many attempts to deceive the Russian people, and the world, the lies of Putin are obvious.
- He claimed that his "special military operation" was needed to de-nazify Ukraine.
- He claimed that the "SMO," was necessary to defend Russia against NATO, and the "west."
- He repeatedly claimed that Ukraine was really a part of Russia, and the Ukrainians are really Russians.
- He claimed that the Revolution of Dignity, in 2014, was a coup, perpetrated by the US.
- He claimed that the Zelinskyy administration was a "puppet regime," of the US.
- He claimed that the SMO was necessary to protect Russian speakers from persecution in Ukraine.
- He claimed that Ukraine was persecuting Christians and the Orthodox Church.
- He claimed that the eastern provinces of Ukraine, and Crimea, voted to become a part of Russia.
- He claimed that innocent civilians in Bucha, Mariupol, and other countless Ukrainian cities, that lost their lives at the hands of the Russians, was perpetrated by the Ukrainians.
Lies, upon lies, upon lies.
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@ksaksa-iy4fi You think I'm repeating Ukrainian propaganda, but my information is gathered from open news services around the world. And yet, you are willing to believe Russian propaganda.
Regardless of his many attempts to deceive the Russian people, and the world, the lies of Putin are obvious.
- He claimed that his "special military operation" was needed to de-nazify Ukraine.
- He claimed that the "SMO," was necessary to defend Russia against NATO, and the "west."
- He repeatedly claimed that Ukraine was really a part of Russia, and the Ukrainians are really Russians.
- He claimed that the Revolution of Dignity, in 2014, was a coup, perpetrated by the US.
- He claimed that the Zelinskyy administration was a "puppet regime," of the US.
- He claimed that the SMO was necessary to protect the Russian speakers from persecution in Ukraine.
- He claimed that Ukraine was persecuting Christians and the Orthodox Church.
- He claimed that the eastern provinces of Ukraine, and Crimea, voted to be part of Russia.
- He claimed that the innocent civilians that lost their lives at the hands of the Russians, in Bucha, Mariupol, and countless other cities, was perpetrated by the Ukrainians.
Lies, upon lies, upon lies.
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@ksaksa-iy4fi And yet, you are willing to believe Russian propaganda.
Regardless of his many attempts to deceive the Russian people, and the world, the lies of Putin are obvious.
- He claimed that his "special military operation" was needed to de-nazify Ukraine.
- He claimed that the "SMO," was necessary to defend Russia against NATO, and the "west."
- He repeatedly claimed that Ukraine was really a part of Russia, and the Ukrainians are really Russians.
- He claimed that the Revolution of Dignity, in 2014, was a coup, perpetrated by the US.
- He claimed that the Zelinskyy administration was a "puppet regime," of the US.
- He claimed that the SMO was necessary to protect the Russian speakers from persecution in Ukraine.
- He claimed that Ukraine was persecuting Christians and the Orthodox Church.
- He claimed that the eastern provinces of Ukraine, and Crimea, voted to be part of Russia.
- He claimed that the hundreds of innocent civilians in Bucha, Mariupol, and in other countless Ukrainian cities, that violently lost their lives at the hands of the Russians, was really perpetrated by the Ukrainians.
Lies, upon lies, upon lies.
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@ksaksa-iy4fi And yet, you are willing to believe Russian propaganda.
Regardless of his many attempts to deceive the Russian people, and the world, the lies of Putin are obvious.
- He claimed that his "special military operation" was needed to de-nazify Ukraine.
- He claimed that the "SMO," was necessary to defend Russia against NATO, and the "west."
- He repeatedly claimed that Ukraine was really a part of Russia, and the Ukrainians are really Russians.
- He claimed that the Revolution of Dignity, in 2014, was a coup, perpetrated by the US.
- He claimed that the Zelinskyy administration was a "puppet regime," of the US.
- He claimed that the SMO was necessary to protect the Russian speakers from persecution in Ukraine.
- He claimed that Ukraine was persecuting Christians and the Orthodox Church.
- He claimed that the eastern provinces of Ukraine, and Crimea, voted to be part of Russia.
- He claimed that the massacre of innocent civilians in Bucha, Mariupol, and in other countless Ukrainian cities, was perpetrated by Ukraine.
Lies, upon lies, upon lies.
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@ksaksa-iy4fi And yet, you are willing to believe Russian propaganda.
Regardless of his many attempts to deceive the Russian people, and the world, the lies of Putin are obvious.
- He claimed that his "special military operation" was needed to de-nazify Ukraine.
- He claimed that the "SMO," was necessary to defend Russia against NATO, and the "west."
- He repeatedly claimed that Ukraine was really a part of Russia, and the Ukrainians are really Russians.
- He claimed that the Revolution of Dignity, in 2014, was a coup, perpetrated by the US.
- He claimed that the Zelinskyy administration was a "puppet regime," of the US.
- He claimed that the SMO was necessary to protect the Russian speakers from persecution in Ukraine.
- He claimed that Ukraine was persecuting Christians and the Orthodox Church.
- He claimed that the eastern provinces of Ukraine, and Crimea, voted to be part of Russia.
- He claimed that the massacre of innocent civilians in Bucha, Mariupol, and in other countless Ukrainian cities, was perpetrated by Ukraine.
Lies, upon lies, upon lies.
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-
@ksaksa-iy4fi And yet, you are willing to believe Russian propaganda.
Regardless of his many attempts to deceive the Russian people, and the world, the lies of Putin are obvious.
- He claimed that his "special military operation" was needed to de-nazify Ukraine.
- He claimed that the "SMO," was necessary to defend Russia against NATO, and the "west."
- He repeatedly claimed that Ukraine was really a part of Russia, and the Ukrainians are really Russians.
- He claimed that the Revolution of Dignity, in 2014, was a coup, perpetrated by the US.
- He claimed that the Zelinskyy administration was a "puppet regime," of the US.
- He claimed that the SMO was necessary to protect the Russian speakers from persecution in Ukraine.
- He claimed that Ukraine was persecuting Christians and the Orthodox Church.
- He claimed that the eastern provinces of Ukraine, and Crimea, voted to be part of Russia.
- He claimed that the massacre of innocent civilians in Bucha, Mariupol, and in other countless Ukrainian cities, was perpetrated by Ukraine.
Lies, upon lies, upon lies.
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-
@ksaksa-iy4fi And yet, you are willing to believe Russian propaganda.
Regardless of his many attempts to deceive the Russian people, and the world, the lies of Putin are obvious.
- He claimed that his "special military operation" was needed to de-nazify Ukraine.
- He claimed that the "SMO," was necessary to defend Russia against NATO, and the "west."
- He repeatedly claimed that Ukraine was really a part of Russia, and the Ukrainians are really Russians.
- He claimed that the Revolution of Dignity, in 2014, was a coup, perpetrated by the US.
- He claimed that the Zelinskyy administration was a "puppet regime," of the US.
- He claimed that the SMO was necessary to protect the Russian speakers from persecution in Ukraine.
- He claimed that Ukraine was persecuting Christians and the Orthodox Church.
- He claimed that the eastern provinces of Ukraine, and Crimea, voted to be part of Russia.
- He claimed that the massacre of innocent civilians in Bucha, Mariupol, and in other countless Ukrainian cities, was perpetrated by Ukraine.
Lies, upon lies, upon lies.
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-
@ksaksa-iy4fi And yet, you are willing to believe Russian propaganda.
Regardless of his many attempts to deceive the Russian people, and the world, the lies of Putin are obvious to the world.
- He claimed that his "special military operation" was needed to de-nazify Ukraine.
- He claimed that the "SMO," was necessary to defend Russia against NATO, and the "west."
- He repeatedly claimed that Ukraine was really a part of Russia, and the Ukrainians are really Russians.
- He claimed that the Revolution of Dignity, in 2014, was a coup, perpetrated by the US.
- He claimed that the Zelinskyy administration was a "puppet regime," of the US.
- He claimed that the SMO was necessary to protect the Russian speakers from persecution in Ukraine.
- He claimed that Ukraine was persecuting Christians and the Orthodox Church.
- He claimed that the eastern provinces of Ukraine, and Crimea, voted to be part of Russia.
- He claimed that the massacre of innocent civilians in Bucha, Mariupol, and in other countless Ukrainian cities, was perpetrated by Ukraine.
Lies, upon lies, upon lies.
1) Any neo-nazi or radical, nationalism groups in Ukraine comprise less than 1% of the population, yet the Russian "rusich" group is an openly neo-nazi militia fighting for Russia.
2) NATO is a defensive alliance. The countries in Europe that joined NATO, did so at their own request. NATO exists to be prepared against Russian aggression.
3) The Ukrainians are not Russians. They have a different language, culture and national identity. Ukraine has only been a part of Russia or the Soviet Union, when it was occupied by force. The history of Ukraine is older than that of Russia.
4) The Revolution of Dignity, (Maidan Revolution), took place after the Euromaidan protests. President Yanukovych, betrayed the Ukrainian people, by not signing a trade agreement with Europe and instead, pursued closer ties with Russia. He fled to Russia.
There is no proof that the US started or controlled the protests or ouster of Viktor Yanukovych.
5) President Zelinskyy was elected to office in a free election of the Ukrainian people. There is no evidence of any US interference in the elections. Neither is there evidence of the US controlling the Ukrainian government.
6) Russian speakers in Ukraine were not being persecuted. Many Ukrainians speak Russian. The fighting in the Donbas, was the result of Russian-backed separatists fomenting unrest
7) The Russian Orthodox Church was banned, because of its collaboration with the FSB and Putin. Patriach Kiril is known to be an FSB operative. The Ukrainian Orthodox Church is perfectly legal, as well as many other religious groups, Christian and non-Christian.
8) The so-called "referendums" in Crimea and the eastern provinces, were not only illegal, but widely known to be rigged by the pro-Russians.
9) There are mountains of documented accounts of Russian war crimes. There is not only eye witness testimony, photo and audio, there is forensic evidence as well. In Bucha, over 400 innocent civilians were murdered, some tortured to death, some executed with their hands tied behind their backs. The Russians dumped them in mass graves, trying to hide their evil acts. When Bucha was liberated, some civilians still lay on the street where they had perished. Many Ukrainian soldiers captured by the Russians, have been executed outright, while those POW'S returned home have been starved and tortured while in Russian captivity. As well, Russia has, and continues to intentionally target civilians in Ukraine. even attacking the largest children's hospital with a missile, killing many. This has all been proven.
If you live in Poland, all information is freely available. If you live in Russia, then the truth is more rare, and often spun with Kremlin lies. Believe what you will, but the whole world sees what is happening, and knows the truth.
Russia is the aggressor state that illegally invaded a peaceful, sovereign neighbor. Putin is imperialistic and wants to reconstitute the Russian Empire, so that he can leave a legacy akin to that of his hero, Peter the Great. But, he will be known instead as Vlad Putin, the Invader, the one responsible for kidnapping thousands of Ukrainian children, and crimes against humanity.
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@ksaksa-iy4fi And yet, you are willing to believe Russian propaganda.
Regardless of his many attempts to deceive the Russian people, and the world, the lies of Putin are obvious to the world.
- He claimed that his "special military operation" was needed to de-nazify Ukraine.
- He claimed that the "SMO," was necessary to defend Russia against NATO, and the "west."
- He repeatedly claimed that Ukraine was really a part of Russia, and the Ukrainians are really Russians.
- He claimed that the Revolution of Dignity, in 2014, was a coup, perpetrated by the US.
- He claimed that the Zelinskyy administration was a "puppet regime," of the US.
- He claimed that the SMO was necessary to protect the Russian speakers from persecution in Ukraine.
- He claimed that Ukraine was persecuting Christians and the Orthodox Church.
- He claimed that the eastern provinces of Ukraine, and Crimea, voted to be part of Russia.
- He claimed that the massacre of innocent civilians in Bucha, Mariupol, and in other countless Ukrainian cities, was perpetrated by Ukraine.
Lies, upon lies, upon lies.
1) Any neo-nazi or radical, nationalism groups in Ukraine comprise less than 1% of the population, yet the Russian "rusich" group is an openly neo-nazi militia fighting for Russia.
2) NATO is a defensive alliance. The countries in Europe that joined NATO, did so at their own request. NATO exists to be prepared against Russian aggression.
3) The Ukrainians are not Russians. They have a different language, culture and national identity. Ukraine has only been a part of Russia or the Soviet Union, when it was occupied by force. The history of Ukraine is older than that of Russia.
4) The Revolution of Dignity, (Maidan Revolution), took place after the Euromaidan protests. President Yanukovych, betrayed the Ukrainian people, by not signing a trade agreement with Europe and instead, pursued closer ties with Russia. He fled to Russia.
There is no proof that the US started or controlled the protests or ouster of Viktor Yanukovych.
5) President Zelinskyy was elected to office in a free election of the Ukrainian people. There is no evidence of any US interference in the elections. Neither is there evidence of the US controlling the Ukrainian government.
6) Russian speakers in Ukraine were not being persecuted. Many Ukrainians speak Russian. The fighting in the Donbas, was the result of Russian-backed separatists fomenting unrest
7) The Russian Orthodox Church was banned, because of its collaboration with the FSB and Putin. Patriach Kiril is known to be an FSB operative. The Ukrainian Orthodox Church is perfectly legal, as well as many other religious groups, Christian and non-Christian.
8) The so-called "referendums" in Crimea and the eastern provinces, were not only illegal, but widely known to be rigged by the pro-Russians.
9) There are mountains of documented accounts of Russian war crimes. There is not only eye witness testimony, photo and audio, there is forensic evidence as well. In Bucha, over 400 innocent civilians were murdered, some tortured to death, some executed with their hands tied behind their backs. The Russians dumped them in mass graves, trying to hide their evil acts. When Bucha was liberated, some civilians still lay on the street where they had perished. Many Ukrainian soldiers captured by the Russians, have been executed outright, while those POW'S returned home have been starved and tortured while in Russian captivity. As well, Russia has, and continues to intentionally target civilians in Ukraine. even attacking the largest children's hospital with a missile, killing many. This has all been proven.
If you live in Poland, all information is freely available. If you live in Russia, then the truth is more rare, and often spun with Kremlin lies. Believe what you will, but the whole world sees what is happening, and knows the truth.
Russia is the aggressor state that illegally invaded a peaceful, sovereign neighbor. Putin is imperialistic and wants to reconstitute the Russian Empire, so that he can leave a legacy akin to that of his hero, Peter the Great. But, he will be known instead as Vlad Putin, the Invader, the one responsible for kidnapping thousands of Ukrainian children, and many other war crimes.
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@ksaksa-iy4fi Well, usually sovereign countries are in charge of their own territories, with specific borders, and relationships with other countries.
A "sovereign" country would mean it's also independent, so yes, Poland and Ukraine are both sovereign and independent.
The Azov Brigade is a volunteer militia in Ukraine, that was formed around Mariupol in 2014, (on the coast of the Sea of Azov). They started as a group of fighters against the Russian-backed separatists in the Donbas. They did have some far-right members in the beginning, but they were removed because of ideological differences.
Of course, Russian propaganda tried to portray them as neo-nazis, which has been proven false. But, based on that, Russia used the "de-nazification" of Ukraine as one of the excuses for their invasion. I think they are part of the National Guard of Ukraine. I know they've shown themselves to be effective soldiers in the war with Russia.
Why do you ask?
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@ksaksa-iy4fi Well, I must disagree with your supposition. Let's look at the numbers.
Europe GDP: $24.22 trilion
United States GDP: $25.44 trillion
China GDP: $18.53 trillion
Germany GDP: $4,59 trillion
United Kingdom GDP: $3.49 trillion
Italy GDP: $2.33 trillion
Russia GDP: $2.05 trillion
North Korea GDP: $48.3 BILLION
So, the GDP of Russia is less than that of Italy. The economy of Russia is beginning to struggle due to sanctions. They're cut off from Swift and the international banking system. It now takes 88 rubles to equal $1.00.
Russia is allocating approximately 40% of their budget on military spending, which neglects infrastructure, health care, pensions, education, etc. At the same time, the Kremlin is increasing taxes on the Russian citizens, for lower quality services.
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@ksaksa-iy4fi Well, I must disagree with your supposition. Let's look at the numbers.
Europe GDP: $24.22 trilion
United States GDP: $25.44 trillion
China GDP: $18.53 trillion
Germany GDP: $4,59 trillion
United Kingdom GDP: $3.49 trillion
Italy GDP: $2.33 trillion
Russia GDP: $2.05 trillion
North Korea GDP: $48.3 BILLION
So, the GDP of Russia is less than that of Italy. The economy of Russia is beginning to struggle due to sanctions. They're cut off from Swift and the international banking system. It now takes 88 rubles to equal $1.00.
Russia is allocating approximately 40% of their budget on military spending, which neglects infrastructure, health care, pensions, education, etc. At the same time, the Kremlin is increasing taxes on the Russian citizens, for lower quality services.
As it turns out, Russia's military is proving to be much weaker than they touted. One third of the Russian Black Sea fleet has been destroyed or chased off, (Ukraine basically has no navy). The Russian Air Force has lost over 600 aircraft, (helicopters and airplanes). The Russian Army has lost over 500k soldiers, (KIA and/or seriously injured).
They've lost more than 3,000 tanks, and thousands of other vehicles and equipment. And now Putin has gone to North Korea for help. Let that sink in; North Korea!? Many of the artillery shells and missiles Russia receives from N. Korea, are proving to be unreliable.
There are thousands of decomposing Russian soldiers' corpses strewn on the battlefield. They are lying where they fell. Russian soldiers simply step over the bodies of their fallen comrades, as they run to the meat grinder.The army has resorted to using, "barrier troops," whose only task is to shoot any soldier that does not go forward as commanded.
Amputees and other seriously injured soldiers are being sent to the front for the meat waves. Soldiers with amputated legs, are told that they can sit in a tank and fight. Alcohol and drug abuse are rampant on the frontline, and mutinous uprisings of soldiers is increasing. (go figure)
Over $300 billion of Russian assets have been frozen, and will be spent on Ukraine's reconstruction. Unfortunately, it is becoming a war of attrition, but it's clear that the west can far outspend and outlast Russia. If you are worried about Poland being plunged into poverty, all the more reason to stop Putin at the Ukrainian border.
If Putin is allowed to win, that's when you should start to worry. Many expert analysts are saying he will not stop with Ukraine. Putin has imperialistic goals to restore more independent states to his magic kingdom. The only solution is to stop him before he he can invade Poland, or other countries.
He does not care about the Russian people, whom he sacrifices by the thousands, trying to gain a few meters of land. The Russian soldiers brag about capturing each little Ukrainian village, which they've reduced to rubble with artillery shelling. What a prize!
Ukraine can win this war. It is imperative that they do, for the sake of your country, and peace in Europe. WWIII can be averted if we stop Putin. Having a defeatist attitude will not lead to victory, peace or freedom.
Putin is not God. Far from it. In reality, he is a paranoid little man that's searching for significance, hoping to create a legacy like his hero, Peter the Great. Good luck with that, Vlad.
I suggest you shake off the "cold war hangover," and realize that cowering in fear is not a good way to live. I hope the same thing for the Russian people who feel powerless to change their country for the better.
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@ksaksa-iy4fi Well, I must disagree with your supposition. Let's look at the numbers.
Europe GDP: $24.22 trilion
United States GDP: $25.44 trillion
China GDP: $18.53 trillion
Germany GDP: $4.59 trillion
United Kingdom GDP: $3.49 trillion
Italy GDP: $2.33 trillion
Russia GDP: $2.05 trillion
North Korea GDP: $48.3 BILLION
So, the GDP of Russia is less than that of Italy. The economy of Russia is beginning to struggle due to sanctions. They're cut off from Swift and the international banking system. It now takes 88 rubles to equal $1.00.
Russia is allocating approximately 40% of their budget on military spending, which neglects infrastructure, health care, pensions, education, etc. At the same time, the Kremlin is increasing taxes on the Russian citizens, for lower quality services.
As it turns out, Russia's military is proving to be much weaker than they touted. One third of the Russian Black Sea fleet has been destroyed or chased off, (Ukraine basically has no navy). The Russian Air Force has lost over 600 aircraft, (helicopters and airplanes). The Russian Army has lost over 500k soldiers, (KIA and/or seriously injured).
They've lost more than 3,000 tanks, and thousands of other vehicles and equipment. And now Putin has gone to North Korea for help. Let that sink in; North Korea!? Many of the artillery shells and missiles Russia receives from N. Korea, are proving to be unreliable.
There are thousands of decomposing Russian soldiers' corpses strewn on the battlefield. They are lying where they fell. Russian soldiers simply step over the bodies of their fallen comrades, as they run to the meat grinder.The army has resorted to using, "barrier troops," whose only task is to shoot any soldier that does not go forward as commanded.
Amputees and other seriously injured soldiers are being sent to the front for the meat waves. Soldiers with amputated legs, are told that they can sit in a tank and fight. Alcohol and drug abuse are rampant on the frontline, and mutinous uprisings of soldiers is increasing. (go figure)
Over $300 billion of Russian assets have been frozen, and will be spent on Ukraine's reconstruction. Unfortunately, it is becoming a war of attrition, but it's clear that the west can far outspend and outlast Russia. If you are worried about Poland being plunged into poverty, all the more reason to stop Putin at the Ukrainian border.
If Putin is allowed to win, that's when you should start to worry. Many expert analysts are saying he will not stop with Ukraine. Putin has imperialistic goals to restore more independent states to his magic kingdom. The only solution is to stop him before he he can invade Poland, or other countries.
He does not care about the Russian people, whom he sacrifices by the thousands, trying to gain a few meters of land. The Russian soldiers brag about capturing each little Ukrainian village, which they've reduced to rubble with artillery shelling. (What a prize!)
Ukraine can win this war. It is imperative that they do, for the sake of your country, and peace in Europe. WWIII can be averted if we stop Putin. Having a defeatist attitude will not lead to victory, peace or freedom.
Putin is not God. Far from it. In reality, he is a paranoid little man that's searching for significance, hoping to create a legacy like his hero, Peter the Great. (Good luck with that, Vlad.)
I suggest you shake off the "cold war hangover," and realize that cowering in fear is not a good way to live. I hope the same thing for the Russian people who feel powerless to change their country for the better.
1
-
@ksaksa-iy4fi Well, I must disagree with your supposition. Let's look at the numbers.
The GDP of Europe: $24.22 trilion
United States GDP: $25.44 trillion
China GDP: $18.53 trillion
Germany GDP: $4,59 trillion
United Kingdom GDP: $3.49 trillion
Italy GDP: $2.33 trillion
Russia GDP: $2.05 trillion
North Korea GDP: $48.3 BILLION
So, the GDP of Russia is less than that of Italy. The economy of Russia is beginning to struggle due to sanctions. They're cut off from Swift and the international banking system. It now takes 88 rubles to equal $1.00.
Russia is allocating approximately 40% of their budget on military spending, which neglects infrastructure, health care, pensions, education, etc. At the same time, the Kremlin is increasing taxes on the Russian citizens, for lower quality services.
As it turns out, Russia's military is proving to be much weaker than they touted. One third of the Russian Black Sea fleet has been destroyed or chased off, (Ukraine basically has no navy). The Russian Air Force has lost over 600 aircraft, (helicopters and airplanes). The Russian Army has lost over 500k soldiers, (KIA and/or seriously injured).
They've lost more than 3,000 tanks, and thousands of other vehicles and equipment. And now Putin has gone to North Korea for help. Let that sink in; North Korea!? Many of the artillery shells and missiles Russia receives from N. Korea, are proving to be unreliable.
There are thousands of decomposing Russian soldiers' corpses strewn on the battlefield. They are lying where they fell. Russian soldiers simply step over the bodies of their fallen comrades, as they run to the meat grinder.The army has resorted to using, "barrier troops," whose only task is to shoot any soldier that does not go forward as commanded.
Amputees and other seriously injured soldiers are being sent to the front for the meat waves. Soldiers with amputated legs, are told that they can sit in a tank and fight. Alcohol and drug abuse are rampant on the frontline, and mutinous uprisings of soldiers is increasing. (go figure)
Over $300 billion of Russian assets have been frozen, and will be spent on Ukraine's reconstruction. Unfortunately, it is becoming a war of attrition, but it's clear that the west can far outspend and outlast Russia. If you are worried about Poland being plunged into poverty, all the more reason to stop Putin at the Ukrainian border.
If Putin is allowed to win, that's when you should start to worry. Many expert analysts are saying he will not stop with Ukraine. Putin has imperialistic goals to restore more independent states to his magic kingdom. The only solution is to stop him before he he can invade Poland, or other countries.
He does not care about the Russian people, whom he sacrifices by the thousands, trying to gain a few meters of land. The Russian soldiers brag about capturing each little Ukrainian village, which they've reduced to rubble with artillery shelling. What a prize!
Ukraine can win this war. It is imperative that they do, for the sake of your country, and peace in Europe. WWIII can be averted if we stop Putin. Having a defeatist attitude will not lead to victory, peace or freedom.
Putin is not God. Far from it. In reality, he is a paranoid little man that's searching for significance, hoping to create a legacy like his hero, Peter the Great. Good luck with that, Vlad.
I suggest you shake off the "cold war hangover," and realize that cowering in fear is not a good way to live. I hope the same thing for the Russian people who feel powerless to change their country for the better.
1
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@ksaksa-iy4fi I think Ukraine will win if we in the west continue with more robust support. Western weapons sre superior to much of what Russia is currently using or acquiring from it's allies.
Russia is losing an average of 1,000 soldiers per day on the battlefield. They have lost several thousand tanks and hundreds of aircraft. This level of losses is unsustainable.
They've shown that they are incapable of large coordinated attacks. Although it doesn't work, they keep repeating the same type of tactics. Also, there is evidence of very low morale in Russia's army, and even some mutiny among the troops.
When Ukraine finally starts using F-16's, it will help reduce the effectiveness of Russian glide bombs.
Russia's best troops are no more, and the current troops are poorly trained, poorly equipped, and lacking motivation.
Many analysts think Russia can only produce equipment they need for 2 or 3 more years. But, how long it last, nobody knows.
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@ksaksa-iy4fi I thank you for your patience with me, also. Nobody in their right mind wants war. I have sons, and do not want them, or yours to perish.
The problem is this, Ukraine has struggled against the Russians for centuries. They have strived for independence many times. Russia and the USSR have treated Ukraine brutally. Joseph Stalin intentionally starved millions of Ukrainians to death in the Holodomor.
Yes, at the beginning of WWII, there
were some Ukrainians that joined the Germans, because they thought they were going to liberate rhem from the USSR. They were wrong. Instead, they traded one slave-master for another. In reality, hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians perished at the hands of the Germans. More than 4 million Ukrainians fought with the Red Army against the German invaders.
In 1991, the Soviet Union collapsed, Poland became Independent, Ukraine became independent, and other Eastern Bloc states as well.
Putin signed an agreement that he would respect the world-recognized border of Ukraine, and would not violate it. In 2014, he did just that and took possession of Crimea and the eastern provinces of Ukraine.
Then he said he would not invade Ukraine, but on 24 Feb. 2024, he did. He is responsible for many, many war crimes. He has talked of his vision to add other states to Russia.
It is immoral to allow a bully to do anything he wants to his neighbors. It's not a secession war, because Ukraine is already an independent, sovereign nation. They are not seceeding from Russia. Don't believe the Kremlin propaganda. Regardless of what Putin says, Ukrainians are not Russian. Ukraine does not belong to Russia. They are not brothers.
Why is everyone so afraid of Russia? Is it because of nuclear weapons? If not that then what? His military is no longer the 2nd in the world. Putin has no right to take Ukraine, or Estonia, or Poland. Which is better, freedom and democracy or oppression under a dictator? Becoming slaves for peace destroys the human spirit.
For evil to thrive, all that is needed is for good men to do nothing. We must do something.
With western help, Ukraine can win. If Ukraine loses, then the Baltics, or Moldova, or Poland could be next on Putin's hit list.
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@ksaksa-iy4fi Ukraine will never willingly be part of Russia again. It's not secession like it was in the US. In 1991, with the collapse of the USSR, Ukraine become an independent, sovereign country.
Historically, Ukraine existed before Russia. Kyiv was a thriving city-state when Moscow was just a fishing village. There is a long history of the Kyivan-Rus. If there was still a Soviet Union, I suppose it would be secession in a way, but not now.
Estonia also is independent. They know about Russian oppression, and do not want it again.
Do you not think some things are worth fighting for? Would it be better to give Putin whatever he wants than risk a war? Freedom is a precious thing, but it comes at a cost. I think it is worth paying the price.
In the American Revolutionary War, we fought the British for our independence. The French helped us a lot, and we are very grateful.
During the Civil War, (also called the War Between the States), the British walked a thin line between north and south. Although they supported abolishing slavery, they also wanted to trade with the Confederacy. They needed the cotton grown in the south, for their large textile industry.
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General Hood, is not remembered by many except by academics and history buffs. Fort Cavazos used to be named Fort Hood. It's a huge place. 87,000 hectares!
A lot of things had their names changed in the wake of BLM and other things. Some people think anything named for a Confederate lesder, represents racism. I disagree. You don't see the Confederate flag much anymore either.
I always admired General Robert E. Lee, Confederate leader. He was educated at West Point. As the Civil War was looming, President Abraham Lincoln asked Lee to lead the Northern army. Lee gracefully declined, as he couldn't bring himself to fight against his home state of Virginia.
The American Civil War, was fought for several reasons, but the main ones were states rights vs federal rights, and of course, slavery. I think most people in the US just consider themselves to be Americans. No more talk of secession.
Obviously, us Texans are proud of our unique state, as we are the only state that was once a country. The Republic of Texas was formed after we won independence from Mexico in 1836. Texas became a US state 9 years later.
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@ksaksa-iy4fi I hope and pray you are correct. Many people, including many experts, are concerned about the ambitions of Putin. Statements from Putin have indicated that he wants to rebuild the "Russian Empire." Remember, he was KGB in East Germany, during Soviet times.
Putin, and other high ranking officials in the Kremlin, have talked about re-conquering Europe, or sending missiles to destroy major European cities. He, and his cronies (mostly elderly), seem to miss, "the good old days," of the USSR.
They want the world to fear Russia, as in years ago. Even though they live in a fantasy, nobody believed they would invade Ukraine either.
Of course, much of what Putin says, are lies. But, his actions show the truth. First, Russia attacked Georgia, still occupying a part of it. Then, Ukraine in 2014 and 2022. There are serious concerns, that if Russia is not repelled from Ukraine, Putin will be emboldened to attack the Baltic states, or Moldova, or Poland.
Perhaps, it is still wise to hope for peace, but prepare for war. I could be wrong and I hope I am, but, better safe than sorry.
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Texas, my Texas, this election is more important than party affiliation. I'm a Republican. Twice, I voted for Donald Trump. Not this time. I see the man more clearly than before. Trump is not a conservative. He wears whichever mantle is helpful to him, whether that of Republican, conservative, Christian, "protector of women," strong man or "family man."
He in reality is none of these. Donald Trump has, and continues to do, whatever he thinks will be to his benefit, even above the good of the country. He does not understand anything about our beloved Constitution or the rule of law. Even worse, he just doesn't care. He is not an honorable man.
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@paulurban2472 Well, yes and no. A modern speaker of Ukrainian or Russian would probably not understand much of the language of the Kyivan Rus'.
Kyiv, on the Dnipro River, had traders from all over that part of the world. Slavs, Vikings, Arabs, and many others. Grand Prince Volodymyr converted to Eastern Orthodox Christianity and married Byzantine Princess Anna.
Then, his family built Saint Sophia Cathedral which became a center of religion, education and culture.
There was no country of Russia, but there was the Principality in Moscow. So, lots of influences in language, culture, religion, etc.
Apparently, historians have put forth a variety of possible origin theories. So, over the centuries the area around Kyiv was part of Polish Lithuania, Sweden, Russia, etc. Ukrainian and Russian, though similar in some ways, still became over time, two distinct languages.
I don't know much of their combined history, but I know one thing for sure. Ukraine became a sovereign, independent nation in 1991, recognized worldwide as such, even by Russia.
However, Russia invaded Crimea in 2014, and parts of 4 eastern oblasts. In 2022, Russia invaded sovereign Ukraine very brutally.
And here we are today. I am neither Russian nor Ukrainian, so I'm no expert, but I have eyes to see that Russia is the aggressor state, and Putin's war is illegal.
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"Escalation avoidance," "Escalation deterrence," "Escalation management," it's all reactionary.
Putin acts, or threatens.
We react.
Putin acts, or threatens, again.
We react, again.
You'd think that with all the intelligence gathering capabilities we, in the west, possess, we could better anticipate, at least some of Putin's actions.
We must be more proactive, less reactive. Red lines, be damned. They are the hollow threats of a delusional man.
A bully without a clue.
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Kurt Volker may be right about Trump.
Since Donald Trump is a loose cannon, no one knows for sure what he may do, not even Trump.
He 'flies by the seat of his pants,' so to speak, and he is very transactional.
He wants to look like a winner, the big 'deal maker.' To that end, if he can come out of any negotiation looking like the tough guy that stood up to Putin, then that will be the course he takes.
Donald Trump will always do whatever he thinks will be to his benefit.
Yes, he admires the 'strong man' persona of Xi, Kim, Orbán and Putin, but wants that same persona for himself. So, he may seek concessions from Ukraine, but then again, he may give Ukraine Tomahawk missiles.
He doesn't want to be seen as the man that caused a catastrophic failure in Ukraine and Europe, with the political and humanitarian problems that would follow.
Critical long-term thinking is not his forte. So, we can only hope for the best and prepare for the worst.
Your 2nd guest is a Putin apologist. One of many that like to blame the invader for being invaded. Russia always blames others for the chaos they create. NATO was not 'aggressively' threatening Russia.
It's that sense of superiority and entitlement that will necessitate the defeat and humiliation of Russia. (for ex. Germany and Japan in WWII). Otherwise, we will have to continue dealing with Putin, like a petulant child that pitches a fit when they don't get their way.
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Thank you, General Hodges, for speaking truth. Trump was never in any office of government before becoming President. He lacks any critical thinking skills and does not have any idea what America is about.
Even worse, he doesn't care. He admires the "strong man" dictators like Vladimir Putin Xi, and Orban, because he envies the absolute power they have.
He has said he will use the military to round up what he calls the "enemy within." He's referring to his personal enemies, such as Pelosi and Schiff, because of his impeachment.
He has said to Americans, that if he's elected, we would never have to vote again. Huh?
He said that our fallen soldiers are suckers and lossrs, telling Gen John Kelly, " I don't get it, what was in it for them?"
He didn't allow wounded soldiers, some multiple amputees to participate in his big Inauguration Parade, because he said, " it doesn't look good for me.
Gen. John Kelly's job as White House Chief of Staff, eventually devolved into trying to protect the government from Trump, before he had enough and resigned.
Trump has no compassion for anyone. In 2020, Trump said he would pay for the funeral of a murdered female army private. When the bill arrived, he said, "It doesn't cost $60,000 to bury a Mexican. Don't pay it!" And he didn't.
Even his family members such as his niece, Mary Trump, will tell you he is a very damaged individual.
He will push to the limits and beyond his power of "Executive Orders."
Like Gen. Hodges, myself and many other Republicans, we are voting for Harris. Not that we agree with her policies, but Trump is a real threat to America, and we must support Ukraine.
He foments divisiveness, racism, hatred and violence. Take him at his word, he wants to have the unlimited powers of a dictator.
Power corrupts.
Absolute power corrupts absolutely.
God help us.
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@Steven-vo4ee Trump is transactional, not ideological. Rather than having any coherent policy, he is driven by issues and greed. The issues, are whatever he can co-opt to get votes and power, which obviously worked.
He has no fiscal or geopolitical understanding. He really thinks tariffs are paid by foreign import companies, either not realizing the implications, or not caring now that he won. He's unburdened with political fall-out, because he can't be President again.(for now, anyway)
He really thinks that NATO countries are getting a free ride while America does all the work. He just doesn't get it.
He thinks Taiwan is ripping us off. He has no understsnding of why the rules based order that's existed since the 1940's has allowed America, Britain and Europe to prosper and live in relative peace for so long. Our alliances make us all safer and stronger.
Don't get me wrong. He will be my next President, and I will support any good thing he does. But, as an American, it is my duty and responsibility as a patriot and a citizen to push back on anything I think is wrong. The Constitution and the rule of law are sacrosanct.
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On a couple of points, I disagree with Mr. Galeotti. I think Ukraine may yet liberate Crimea. The attacks on the Russian airbases in Crimea, the disruption of logistics, and sabotage of their military assets, could make it untenable for Russia. But, it won't happen overnight.
The other is that targeted sabotage and assassinations inside Russia, may backfire on Ukraine, as the Russians then direct similar operations in Europe. This smacks of escalation management. Russia has been attacking Europe, on all fronts, both cyber and kinetic, long before the full scale invasion started.
The more visible the Ukrainian attacks inside Russia, the more that citizens realize their men will either not return, or return severely disabled, the more the economy crumbles, and buying power lessens, then the more real the war becomes at home.
However, Putin and the citizenry have the mindset that all neighboring countries are within the Russian sphere of influence, and are therefore Russian protectorates. Those so-called protectorates have no right to resist Russia, or disobey. So Putin believes he has the right to do with them as he will. That's one reason he invaded Ukraine so arrogantly. He mistakenly thought it was his right.
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Big thanks to the UK for this show of strength. Putin understands nothing less.
Now, if we can only get our politicians here in the US to stop with the brinkmanship and do their job. As a nation, we can well afford to support Ukraine, and Israel, and deal with the crisis at our southern border.
Lacking the political will to act decisively is not only an embarrassment for America, it weakens our ability to take the moral high-ground regarding our commitment to democratic values around the world.
The perceived economic difficulties of doing what needs to be done now to support Ukraine, will seem a mere pittance compared to the future cost of dealing with an emboldened Putin and almost certain spreading of war in Europe.
Nothing could please Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea more than increased global conflicts.
China is watching closely what the west is doing and they are diligently preparing for their chance to act on Taiwan and other countries around the South China Sea.
Unfortunately, we find ourselves at the tipping point, and the difficult decisions we must now make will have world changing consequences.
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History, since the time of the tsars, has proven that the Russian mindset remains the same. The "west," and in reality, the whole world, is viewed with a strange mixture of envy and hatred, entitlement and deprivation.
Like a relationship that has ended, but one partner is unable to accept that it's really over. The Russian definition of "liberate" = "If I can't have you, nobody can." (In other words, destroy everything and raise a flag).
And along the way, might as well systematically torture and abuse the locals. Well, after all, why not? The Russians are doing what they have always done. The song remains the same.
In WWII, why did Berliners willingly surrender to the Allies, but not to the Russian army? Because, the Russians were already known for their cruelty and disregard for the norms of war. Prisoners were often executed, military and civilians alike.
So, it's still the same. But this time, the Ukrainians stood up and said, "No!!" (In other words, get out, go home, I'll bill you for the damages.)
Like the guest at your party that drank way too much and ruined it for everybody. In the process they destroyed half your furniture before passing out under the coffee table. Come to think of it, you don't remember inviting them to begin with...
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@dramareynes9319 Rampant corruption, lack of proper training, lack of motivation to fight, lack of basic supplies, the use of barrier troops whose task is to shoot soldiers refusing to move forward, inability to employ coordinated attacks or quick maneuver tactics, using WWII era weapons and tanks, abuse of soldiers by their commanders, no esprit de corp or cohesion among troops, mass surrenders and desertion of soldiers, and over 600k troops KIA/WIA on the battlefield, massive alcohol and drug abuse, and mutinous groups refusing orders, - all prove that the so-called 2nd best army in the world is a paper tiger. Now, with the Kursk incursion, we see that Russia is the 2nd best army in Russia.
Add to all that, the Russian war economy is in the process of bankruptcy. The ruble is losing value and there is a huge shortage of manpower, both in industry and on the frontline. It is unsustainable for more than 1 or 2 years. Defeat from the outside and crumbling from the inside. Russia is a failing state.
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@dramareynes9319 Rampant corruption, lack of proper training, lack of motivation to fight, lack of basic supplies, the use of barrier troops whose task is to shoot soldiers refusing to move forward, inability to employ coordinated attacks or quick maneuver tactics, using WWII era weapons and tanks, abuse of soldiers by their commanders, no esprit de corp or cohesion among troops, mass surrenders and desertion of soldiers, and over 600k troops KIA/WIA on the battlefield, massive alcohol and drug abuse, and mutinous groups refusing orders, - all prove that the so-called 2nd best army in the world is a paper tiger. Now, with the Kursk incursion, we see that Russia is the 2nd best army in Russia.
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@dramareynes9319 Rampant corruption, lack of proper training, lack of motivation to fight, lack of basic supplies, the use of barrier troops whose task is to shoot soldiers refusing to move forward, inability to employ coordinated attacks or quick maneuver tactics, using WWII era weapons and tanks, abuse of soldiers by their commanders, no esprit de corp or cohesion among troops, mass surrenders and desertion of soldiers, and over 600k troops KIA/WIA,
on the battlefield, massive alcohol and drug abuse, and mutinous groups refusing orders, - all prove that the so-called 2nd best army in the world is a paper tiger. Now, with the Kursk incursion, we see that Russia is the 2nd best army in Russia.
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@dramareynes9319 Rampant corruption, lack of proper training, lack of motivation to fight, lack of basic supplies, the use of barrier troops whose task is to shoot soldiers refusing to move forward, inability to employ coordinated attacks or quick maneuver tactics, using WWII era weapons and tanks, abuse of soldiers by their commanders, no esprit de corp or cohesion among troops, mass surrenders and desertion of soldiers, over 600k troops KIA/WIA on the battlefield, massive alcohol and drug abuse, and mutinous groups refusing orders, - all prove that the so-called 2nd best army in the world is a paper tiger. Now, with the Kursk incursion, we see that Russia is the 2nd best army in Russia.
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Rampant corruption, lack of proper training, lack of motivation to fight, lack of basic supplies, the use of barrier troops whose task is to shoot soldiers refusing to move forward, inability to employ coordinated attacks or quick maneuver tactics, using WWII era weapons and tanks, abuse of soldiers by their commanders, no esprit de corp or cohesion among troops, mass surrenders and desertion of soldiers, - all prove that the so-called 2nd best army in the world is a paper tiger. Now, with the Kursk incursion, we see that Russia is the 2nd best army in Russia.
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@ИринаЛукьяненко-ь3ъ I care about all disabled children, especially those maimed by Russian bombs, as Russia targets innocent Ukrainian civilians.
Tsar Vlad Putin, the Invader, lied about the situation in Donetsk, and the rest of Ukraine, (as he continues to do), to justify his imperialistic ambitions. The whole world knows the truth. The so-called "Russian Empire," will not be revived, rather, Russia will be emasculated, and delegated to the trash heap of history's failed states. Keep believing the propagandists. THEY are the ones making up stories. Russia exists on lies and corruption, propagated by the psychopathic, kleptomaniac, little man in the Kremlin and his ilk. Your King cares only for power and wealth, stolen from the Russian citizenry. He does not care about the thousands and thousands of Russian "soldiers," KIA/WIA in Ukraine, many thousands of which are still laying in the dirt where they fell. Loyalty to such a person will avail you nothing, except suffering. You continue trying to deflect from the obvious, but it's pointless. The truth will set you free, but it may anger you first. Wake up and smell the coffee, while you still can.
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@ИринаЛукьяненко-ь3ъ So, you live in the city? Interesting. I'm willing to learn. Let me ask you some questions.
Recently, when dams failed because they weren't being maintained properly, no one was there to assist the flood victims. Where was the government? The flood victims even appealed to Putin for help. Where was the help?
I expect that the cities in Russia do maintain the infrastructure, but what about the villages in rural areas? Why do many people lack gasification for heat, sewer systems or repaired roads?
The disabled children in your city are getting a new rehabilitation facility. Good.
What about the children in Ukraine that are now disabled because of Russian bombs, missiles and drones targeting innocent civilians? What about them?
Or, the thousands of Ukrainian children kidnapped and taken to Russia? What about them?
Are your rubles worth as much as two years ago? What about that?
Thousands of Russian soldiers are still lying where they perished in Ukraine. What about that?
There will soon be a petrol shortage in Russia. What about that?
I said that people in the rural areas needed infrastructure repairs. You said in your "city," infrastructure was maintained. Enjoy it while you can. It may not last much longer.
When Ukraine wins the war, excuse me, the "Special Military Operation," (you know, the one that was to last three days), Russia will have to pay reparations to Ukraine for what they've done, including being held accountable for thousands of war crimes. What about that?
These are not made up stories, they are facts. Keep believing the wacky stories made up by Kremlin propagandists if you want to, but you are in for a reality check.
The illegal invasion of a peaceful, sovereign country, at the direction of a psychopathic, kleptomaniacal little man with self-esteem issues, in the Kremlin, will change Russia forever. This war is not like Afghanistan, or Georgia, or Chechnya. And that is no B.S.
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@ИринаЛукьяненко-ь3ъ So. you live in the city? I'm aware that there are more cities in Russia than just Moscow and St. Petersburg. Russia is very big, with many cities. But, that does not address the conditions in the rural areas, with bad roads, lack of gasification and lack of sewage systems. Where was the government help for the victims of the recent floods, due to poorly maintained dams failing? They were pleading with Putin to help them. Did he? I guess your rubles are still worth what they were two years ago. It's great that children with disabilities in your city will be getting help. What about the Ukrainian children that are now disabled because of Russian missiles, bombs and drones? What about them? Get your head out of the sand. What about the thousands of children illegally taken from Ukraine to Russia? What about them? Your well-maintained city may not be that way much longer. Enjoy it while you can. After the war, excuse me, Special Military Operation, Russia will be forced to pay reparations to Ukraine and answer for thousands of war crimes. Russia is not an "empire." It is a barbaric gang that invaded a peaceful, sovereign nation at the direction of a psychopathic, kleptomaniac little tsar with self-esteem issues. Don't talk to me about B.S., when that is the only thing that is spewed out of Russia.
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@PeteHagen-sm4tn If we never spent one penny helping Ukraine, the homeless situation would still be with us. Do you not realize that more than 75% of the funds allocated for Ukraine aid stays right here in America, providing jobs to people who then pump it back into our economy.
We donate our older stockpiles of equipment to Ukraine, which by the way, is cheaper than what it costs to decommission them. Then, we produce new, state of the art equipment for our own military. It's a win/win situation.
And no, Ukraine is not yet a NATO member.
What Ukraine is though, is a fledgling democracy fighting for survival. It's a nation of people, like us, that want the right of self-determination and freedom from the oppression of Russia. They desire liberty, just like us. They want their 20,000 kidnapped children returned. They want the perpetrators of more than 120,000 documented war crimes brought to justice. They want to live in peace, raise families, run businesses and have a life without fear of more Russian atrocities.
Without help from the French and Native Americans, we likely would not have won our independence from Great Britain. If we truly believe what we profess about democracy and the rule of law, we must in good conscience, back up our words with action. Helping Ukraine, we are on the right side of history. If Putin is not stopped in Ukraine, we will be much more involved later, and at a much higher cost.
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@PeteHagen-sm4tn If we never spent one penny helping Ukraine, the homeless situation would still be with us. Do you not realize that more than 75% of the funds allocated for Ukraine aid stays right here in America, providing jobs to people who then pump it back into our economy.
We donate our older stockpiles of equipment to Ukraine, which by the way, is cheaper than what it costs to decommission them. Then, we produce new, state of the art equipment for our own military. It's a win/win situation.
And no, Ukraine is not yet a NATO member.
What Ukraine is though, is a fledgling democracy fighting for survival. It's a nation of people, like us, that want the right of self-determination and freedom from the oppression of Russia. They desire liberty, just like us. They want their 20,000 kidnapped children returned. They want the perpetrators of more than 120,000 documented war crimes brought to justice. They want to live in peace, raise families, run businesses and have a life without fear of more Russian atrocities.
Without help from the French and Native Americans, we likely would not have won our independence from Great Britain. If we truly believe what we profess about democracy and the rule of law, we must in good conscience, back up our words with action. Helping Ukraine, we are on the right side of history. If Putin is not stopped in Ukraine, we will be much more involved later, and at a much higher co
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@PeteHagen-sm4tn If we never spent one penny helping Ukraine, the homeless situation would still be with us. Do you not realize that more than 75% of the funds allocated for Ukraine aid stays right here in America, providing jobs to people who then pump it back into our economy.
We donate our older stockpiles of equipment to Ukraine, which by the way, is cheaper than what it costs to decommission them. Then, we produce new, state of the art equipment for our own military. It's a win/win situation.
And no, Ukraine is not yet a NATO member.
What Ukraine is though, is a fledgling democracy fighting for survival. It's a nation of people, like us, that want the right of self-determination and freedom from the oppression of Russia. They desire liberty, just like us. They want their 20,000 kidnapped children returned. They want the perpetrators of more than 120,000 documented war crimes brought to justice. They want to live in peace, raise families, run businesses and have a life without fear of more Russian atrocities.
Without help from the French and Native Americans, we likely would not have won our independence from Great Britain. If we truly believe what we profess about democracy and the rule of law, we must in good conscience, back up our words with action. Helping Ukraine, we are on the right side of history. If Putin is not stopped in Ukraine, we will be much more involved later, and at a much higher co
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@PeteHagen-sm4tn If we never spent one penny helping Ukraine, the homeless situation would still be with us. Do you not realize that more than 75% of the funds allocated for Ukraine aid stays right here in America, providing jobs to people who then pump it back into our economy.
We donate our older stockpiles of equipment to Ukraine, which by the way, is cheaper than what it costs to decommission them. Then, we produce new, state of the art equipment for our own military. It's a win/win situation.
And no, Ukraine is not yet a NATO member.
What Ukraine is though, is a fledgling democracy fighting for survival. It's a nation of people, like us, that want the right of self-determination and freedom from the oppression of Russia. They desire liberty, just like us. They want their 20,000 kidnapped children returned. They want the perpetrators of more than 120,000 documented war crimes brought to justice. They want to live in peace, raise families, run businesses and have a life without fear of more Russian atrocities.
Without help from the French and Native Americans, we likely would not have won our independence from Great Britain. If we truly believe what we profess about democracy and the rule of law, we must in good conscience, back up our words with action. Helping Ukraine, we are on the right side of history. If Putin is not stopped in Ukraine, we will be much more involved later, and at a much higher cost.
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@PeteHagen-sm4tn If we never spent one penny helping Ukraine, the homeless situation would still be with us. Do you not realize that more than 75% of the funds allocated for Ukraine aid stays right here in America, providing jobs to people who then pump it back into our economy.
We donate our older stockpiles of equipment to Ukraine, which by the way, is cheaper than what it costs to decommission them. Then, we produce new, state of the art equipment for our own military. It's a win/win situation.
And no, Ukraine is not yet a NATO member.
What Ukraine is though, is a fledgling democracy fighting for survival. It's a nation of people, like us, that want the right of self-determination and freedom from the oppression of Russia. They desire liberty, just like us. They want their 20,000 kidnapped children returned. They want the perpetrators of more than 120,000 documented war crimes brought to justice. They want to live in peace, raise families, run businesses and have a life without fear of more Russian atrocities.
Without help from the French and Native Americans, we likely would not have won our independence from Great Britain. If we truly believe what we profess about democracy and the rule of law, we must in good conscience, back up our words with action. Helping Ukraine, we are on the right side of history. If Putin is not stopped in Ukraine, we will be much more involved later, and at a much higher cost.
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@PeteHagen-sm4tn If we never spent one penny helping Ukraine, the homeless situation would still be with us. Do you not realize that more than 75% of the funds allocated for Ukraine aid stays right here in America, providing jobs to people who then pump it back into our economy.
We donate our older stockpiles of equipment to Ukraine, which by the way, is cheaper than what it costs to decommission them. Then, we produce new, state of the art equipment for our own military. It's a win/win situation.
And no, Ukraine is not yet a NATO member.
What Ukraine is though, is a fledgling democracy fighting for survival. It's a nation of people, like us, that want the right of self-determination and freedom from the oppression of Russia. They desire liberty, just like us. They want their 20,000 kidnapped children returned. They want the perpetrators of more than 120,000 documented war crimes brought to justice. They want to live in peace, raise families, run businesses and have a life without fear of more Russian atrocities.
Without help from the French and Native Americans, we likely would not have won our independence from Great Britain. If we truly believe what we profess about democracy and the rule of law, we must in good conscience, back up our words with action. Helping Ukraine, we are on the right side of history. If Putin is not stopped in Ukraine, we will be much more involved later, and at a much higher cost.
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Thank you, Kate and thank you, Diane Francis. I am much more concerned about the danger of Vladimir Putin than I am with Xi of China. Xi wants to grow China's economy and take over with trade. The west can counter that threat.
Putin, on the other hand, is a real danger to Europe and the world, through intimidation, hybrid and clandestine warfare, and other kinetic engagements. His 'search for significance' drives his delusional, imperialistic ambitions.
He wants to leave a legacy like his hero, Peter the Great, but is more than willing to use the tactics of his mentor, Joseph Stalin.
He will be remembered as Tsar Vlad, the Invader, the dictator that destroyed his own country. Delegated to history's trash heap of failed leaders.
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So, I did some research. The border between Russia and Ukraine is 2,295.04 kilometers (1,426.07 miles) long, with 1,974.04 kilometers (1,226.61 miles) of that being land and 321 kilometers (199 miles) being sea.
That in itself is a very extensive "buffer zone" or Demilitarized Zone to monitor, much less to actually guard. In addition, since Russia also invaded Ukraine from Belarus, wouldn't that border need to be guarded as well?
The border between Belarus and Ukraine is 1,084 kilometers (674 miles) long.
The combined land borders alone equals 3,058 kilometers (1,900 miles) long.
By comparison, the DMZ on the Korean Penninsula is only 250 kilometers (160 mi) long and about 4 kilometers (2.5 mi) wide.
South Korea has about 450,000 troops deployed within 100 kilometers of the DMZ, and the US has about 20,000 troops deployed there.
How many NATO troops would be needed to protect Ukraine from Russia?
It seems to me that the less expensive option would be to arm Ukraine to the teeth and help them defeat Russia. Potentially, this would mean far fewer European and American boots on the ground in Ukraine.
A world free of an imperialistic Russia would be a better, safer, and more stable world.
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@joaopereira5747 You are repeating Kremlin propaganda. In 2014, the pro-Russian president of Ukraine went against the wishes of the people when he sold-out the country to Vladimir Putin. Then, the traitor fled Kyiv, and now resides in Russia. The people took back their government, as was their right. Following the Ukrainian constitution, a new president was selected and free elections were held after that.
Of course, Russia has claimed the war was all the fault of Ukraine, or NATO, or the US. But, the whole world is aware that Russia is the aggressor state and Putin is an imperialistic dictator. His "plan" to reconstitute the so-called Russian Empire starts with Ukraine before heading further west. But, he will lose everything, as will Russia.
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@ragingmonk6080 You are repeating Kremlin propaganda. In 2014, the pro-Russian president of Ukraine went against the wishes of the people when he sold-out the country to Vladimir Putin. Then, the traitor fled Kyiv, and now resides in Russia. The people took back their government, as was their right. Following the Ukrainian constitution, a new president was selected and free elections were held after that.
Of course, Russia has claimed the war was all the fault of Ukraine, or NATO, or the US. But, the whole world is aware that Russia is the aggressor state and Putin is an imperialistic dictator. His "plan" to reconstitute the so-called Russian Empire starts with Ukraine before heading further west. But, he will lose everything, as will Russia.
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@ragingmonk6080 You are repeating Kremlin propaganda. In 2014, the pro-Russian president of Ukraine went against the wishes of the people when he sold-out the country to Vladimir Putin. Then, the traitor fled Kyiv, and now resides in Russia. The people took back their government, as was their right. Following the Ukrainian constitution, a new president was selected and free elections were held after that.
Of course, Russia has claimed the war was all the fault of Ukraine, or NATO, or the US. But, the whole world is aware that Russia is the aggressor state and Putin is an imperialistic dictator. His "plan" to reconstitute the so-called Russian Empire starts with Ukraine before heading further west. But, he will lose everything, as will Russia.
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Thank you, Kate and Mr. Ingram.
Interesting discussion. He correctly assessed the depth of Russian meddling in western democracies.
It's important to remember that Vladimir Putin wants to change the world order. He wants to sit at the big-boys table, at the head of the table, of course.
He spends millions of dollars in his effort to destabilize our societies, through cyber warfare, hybrid, and kinetically though physical operatives and saboteurs.
In his mind, war with the west, especially the US, is inevitable. To that end, he has been active for many years.
In the US, a huge list of internet influencers backed by Russia, has recently been released. Some are not even aware of the funding, or partial funding by Russia. Just more Kremlin "useful idiots."
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I'm American, a Reagan Republican. I have voted for Trump twice. He will not be getting my vote come this November. Having said that, I am still undecided about throwing my support to Harris.
As a Reagan Republican, I tend to be conservative on domestic issues, but more hawkish on foreign policy issues.
Trump is a wild card, a loose cannon, if you will. No one knows what Trump will do, not even Trump. Having said all that, I feel strongly that America must support Ukraine in it's war against Russia. To me, that is the most pressing issue on the world stage today. I think the future of Europe, and possibly the whole world depends on it.
I think America can, and should do much more to help Ukraine win. Harris has stated clearly that she will support Ukraine and our alliance in NATO. Character matters, too. Especially when it comes to the most powerful leader in the world. Not willing to waste it, I may cast my vote for Harris, but definitely not Trump.
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Without the truth, the Russian citizens believe the lies of the state controlled media. As they become more brainwashed, it is less disruptive if they see the world through a foggy lens. Victim mentality is promoted, reinforced by clever images and stories that are baseless and unbelievably ignorant. In St. Petersburg, the city built on bones, and Moscow, the people think of the conflict in Ukraine as something far away. When they finally know the truth, the truth will set them free - but it will piss them off first. Tsar Putler's days are numbered. The emperor has no clothes. The "paper bear" is folding in on itself.
Brave patriots of Ukraine, do not despair. You are not alone. Liberty loving people around the world are with you! The Muscovite orcs will soon learn the bitter taste of defeat. The Ukrainians will enjoy the sweet taste of victory. Although extremely difficult, the existential fight in Ukraine is more than just a territorial dispute. The very survival of Ukraine is at stake. The very survival of peace in Europe and the world is at stake. We must never forget the empirealisic, expansionist history of Russia. They despise weakness, but fear and respect only strength. Ukraine is growing stronger everyday. Truth and understanding are growing everywhere, becoming stronger everyday. Evil will only succeed when good people do nothing. I believe history will show this time to be crucial for the entire world. Victory, Freedom and Sovereignty for Ukraine! 🇺🇦
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Thank you, Henry, and UATV. Thanks also Ambassador Volker. Good interview, I only wish it were longer. Perhaps, with a longer, recorded interview, it could be presented in multiple parts. Just a suggestion.
What I find funny, is how the Kremlin mouthpieces, can actually say crazy things, with a straight face. Whatever they say, you can wager that they will use a little bit of truth, to attempt to legitimize a whole bunch of lies. Always assigning blame to others for the very things they themselves have done.
As I and others have said many times, until Russia is roundly defeated and humiliated, they will not change their mindset. Shock therapy is prescribed. Russia must be violently and suddenly shaken, in order to force them to finally accept that they are neither superior nor invincible.
Stepping into Kursk, is a step in the right direction. I must admit, it is great how Syrski and Budonov caught Gerasimov and Putin with their pants down. Absolutely priceless!
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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@positivelastaction3957 Nah, the diaper thing I made up, obviously.
So, Putin has been in power for what, 24 or 25 years? Relatively speaking, I'd say he has maybe 2 or 3 years left. It's based on cumulative information of several factors.
Militarily:
Over 600k+ Russians KIA/WIA on the battlefield, (average 1100+ per day),
The loss of 8k+ tanks, 18k IFV, 19k artillery systems, 369 airplanes. 329 helicopters, 2600 cruise missiles,
The loss of 28 ships and 1 submarine, amounting to one-third of the Russian Black Sea Fleet (by a country with no navy),
Using WWII era tanks and other old weapons,
The use of barrier troops to shoot Russian men that don't move forward, desertion and mutiny rising.
Payments of huge bonuses to lure recruits, (no one wants to fight),
The use of defective N. Korean artillery shells
The use of uniformed N. Korean soldiers.
~ With 10 years of trying, and with all the advantages, such as more than 4 times the population, a much bigger economy, the lauded 2nd best military in the world, a modern air force, a huge navy and a vastly bigger, stronger army, Russia still only occupies 20% of Ukrainian territory.
(Consider the cost in blood and treasure.)
Economically:
The ruble has dropped 19% in value in the last 3 months (97 rubles = $1USD).
Russian inflation officially at 9%. (probably higher)
Russian Central Bank prime interest rate is now 19%.
India and China refusing to accept rubles for trade.
Massive manpower shortage in industry and in the military.
Wages going up artificially, due to inflation and workforce shortage.
20% of Russian oil refining capabilities destroyed.
Inability to pay for imports of consumer products in rubles.
Prices rising for food and household products.
Cut-off from the Swift system.
Inability to secure loans, even from the IMF.
Increase of military spending to almost 40% of the Federal budget (increased bonuses, salaries, death benefits).
Decreased funding of health-care, education, and critical infrastructure (maintenance neglected).
Taxes increasing.
Sanctions, especially secondary sanctions are beginning to affect availability of certain products.
Putin is burning through the country's wealth-fund (savings) to finance his goals. Primarily, receiving much less revenue for exports of oil, gas and coal than before the invasion.
All together, it's looking bleak. This conflict and the Russian "war economy" are unsustainable for more than perhaps 1 or 2 years. The sources are all over the internet. The Institute for the Study of War, British Intelligence, American Intelligence, The Hindustan Times, TVP World, Forbes, the Wallstreet Journal, Associated Press, Rueters, The Moscow Times, the Kyiv Post, Russian Media Monitor, various economy and military experts, as well as anecdotal evidence from Russian POWs, civilians in the temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories, and hundreds of YouTube and Telegram videos. Well, you did ask.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
1
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@positivelastaction3957 Nah, the diaper thing I made up, obviously.
So, Putin has been in power for what, 24 or 25 years? Relatively speaking, I'd say he has maybe 2 or 3 years left. It's based on cumulative information of several factors.
Militarily:
Over 600k+ Russians KIA/WIA on the battlefield, (average 1100+ per day),
The loss of 8k+ tanks, 18k IFV, 19k artillery systems, 369 airplanes. 329 helicopters, 2600 cruise missiles,
The loss of 28 ships and 1 submarine, amounting to one-third of the Russian Black Sea Fleet (by a country with no navy),
Using WWII era tanks and other old weapons,
The use of barrier troops to shoot Russian men that don't move forward, desertion and mutiny rising.
Payments of huge bonuses to lure recruits, (no one wants to fight),
The use of defective N. Korean artillery shells
The use of uniformed N. Korean soldiers.
~ With 10 years of trying, and with all the advantages, such as more than 4 times the population, a much bigger economy, the lauded 2nd best military in the world, a modern air force, a huge navy and a vastly bigger, stronger army, Russia still only occupies 20% of Ukrainian territory.
(Consider the cost in blood and treasure.)
Economically:
The ruble has dropped 19% in value in the last 3 months (97 rubles = $1USD).
Russian inflation officially at 9%. (probably higher)
Russian Central Bank prime interest rate is now 19%.
India and China refusing to accept rubles for trade.
Massive manpower shortage in industry and in the military.
Wages going up artificially, due to inflation and workforce shortage.
20% of Russian oil refining capabilities destroyed.
Inability to pay for imports of consumer products in rubles.
Prices rising for food and household products.
Cut-off from the Swift system.
Inability to secure loans, even from the IMF.
Increase of military spending to almost 40% of the Federal budget (increased bonuses, salaries, death benefits).
Decreased funding of health-care, education, and critical infrastructure (maintenance neglected).
Taxes increasing.
Sanctions, especially secondary sanctions are beginning to affect availability of certain products.
Putin is burning through the country's wealth-fund (savings) to finance his goals. Primarily, receiving much less revenue for exports of oil, gas and coal than before the invasion.
All together, it's looking bleak. This conflict and the Russian "war economy" are unsustainable for more than perhaps 1 or 2 years. The sources are all over the internet. The Institute for the Study of War, British Intelligence, American Intelligence, The Hindustan Times, TVP World, Forbes, the Wallstreet Journal, Associated Press, Rueters, The Moscow Times, the Kyiv Post, Russian Media Monitor, various economy and military experts, as well as anecdotal evidence from Russian POWs, civilians in the temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories, and hundreds of YouTube and Telegram videos. Well, you did ask.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
1
-
@positivelastaction3957 Nah, the diaper thing I made up, obviously.
So, Putin has been in power for what, 24 or 25 years? Relatively speaking, I'd say he has maybe 2 or 3 years left. It's based on cumulative information of several factors.
Militarily:
Over 600k+ Russians KIA/WIA on the battlefield, (average 1100+ per day),
The loss of 8k+ tanks, 18k IFV, 19k artillery systems, 369 airplanes. 329 helicopters, 2600 cruise missiles,
The loss of 28 ships and 1 submarine, amounting to one-third of the Russian Black Sea Fleet (by a country with no navy),
Using WWII era tanks and other old weapons,
The use of barrier troops to shoot Russian men that don't move forward, desertion and mutiny rising.
Payments of huge bonuses to lure recruits, (no one wants to fight),
The use of defective N. Korean artillery shells
The use of uniformed N. Korean soldiers.
~ With 10 years of trying, and with all the advantages, such as more than 4 times the population, a much bigger economy, the lauded 2nd best military in the world, a modern air force, a huge navy and a vastly bigger, stronger army, Russia still only occupies 20% of Ukrainian territory.
(Consider the cost in blood and treasure.)
Economically:
The ruble has dropped 19% in value in the last 3 months (97 rubles = $1USD).
Russian inflation officially at 9%. (probably higher)
Russian Central Bank prime interest rate is now 19%.
India and China refusing to accept rubles for trade.
Massive manpower shortage in industry and in the military.
Wages going up artificially, due to inflation and workforce shortage.
20% of Russian oil refining capabilities destroyed.
Inability to pay for imports of consumer products in rubles.
Prices rising for food and household products.
Cut-off from the Swift system.
Inability to secure loans, even from the IMF.
Increase of military spending to almost 40% of the Federal budget (increased bonuses, salaries, death benefits).
Decreased funding of health-care, education, and critical infrastructure (maintenance neglected).
Taxes increasing.
Sanctions, especially secondary sanctions are beginning to affect availability of certain products.
Putin is burning through the country's wealth-fund (savings) to finance his goals. Primarily, receiving much less revenue for exports of oil, gas and coal than before the invasion.
All together, it's looking bleak. This conflict and the Russian "war economy" are unsustainable for more than perhaps 1 or 2 years. The sources are all over the internet. The Institute for the Study of War, British Intelligence, American Intelligence, The Hindustan Times, TVP World, Forbes, the Wallstreet Journal, Associated Press, Rueters, The Moscow Times, the Kyiv Post, Russian Media Monitor, various economy and military experts, as well as anecdotal evidence from Russian POWs, civilians in the temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories, and hundreds of YouTube and Telegram videos. Well, you did ask.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
1
-
@positivelastaction3957 Nah, the diaper thing I made up, obviously.
So, Putin has been in power for what, 24 or 25 years? Relatively speaking, I'd say he has maybe 2 or 3 years left. It's based on cumulative information of several factors.
Militarily:
Over 600k+ Russians KIA/WIA on the battlefield, (average 1100+ per day),
The loss of 8k+ tanks, 18k IFV, 19k artillery systems, 369 airplanes. 329 helicopters, 2600 cruise missiles,
The loss of 28 ships and 1 submarine, amounting to one-third of the Russian Black Sea Fleet (by a country with no navy),
Using WWII era tanks and other old weapons,
The use of barrier troops to shoot Russian men that don't move forward, desertion and mutiny rising.
Payments of huge bonuses to lure recruits, (no one wants to fight),
The use of defective N. Korean artillery shells
The use of uniformed N. Korean soldiers.
~ With 10 years of trying, and with all the advantages, such as more than 4 times the population, a much bigger economy, the lauded 2nd best military in the world, a modern air force, a huge navy and a vastly bigger, stronger army, Russia still only occupies 20% of Ukrainian territory.
(Consider the cost in blood and treasure.)
Economically:
The ruble has dropped 19% in value in the last 3 months (97 rubles = $1USD).
Russian inflation officially at 9%. (probably higher)
Russian Central Bank prime interest rate is now 19%.
India and China refusing to accept rubles for trade.
Massive manpower shortage in industry and in the military.
Wages going up artificially, due to inflation and workforce shortage.
20% of Russian oil refining capabilities destroyed.
Inability to pay for imports of consumer products in rubles.
Prices rising for food and household products.
Cut-off from the Swift system.
Inability to secure loans, even from the IMF.
Increase of military spending to almost 40% of the Federal budget (increased bonuses, salaries, death benefits).
Decreased funding of health-care, education, and critical infrastructure (maintenance neglected).
Taxes increasing.
Sanctions, especially secondary sanctions are beginning to affect availability of certain products.
Putin is burning through the country's wealth-fund (savings) to finance his goals. Primarily, receiving much less revenue for exports of oil, gas and coal than before the invasion.
All together, it's looking bleak. This conflict and the Russian "war economy" are unsustainable for more than perhaps 1 or 2 years. The sources are all over the internet. The Institute for the Study of War, British Intelligence, American Intelligence, The Hindustan Times, TVP World, Forbes, the Wallstreet Journal, Associated Press, Rueters, The Moscow Times, the Kyiv Post, Russian Media Monitor, various economy and military experts, as well as anecdotal evidence from Russian POWs, civilians in the temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories, and hundreds of YouTube and Telegram videos. Well, you did ask.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
1
-
@positivelastaction3957 Nah, the diaper thing I made up, obviously.
So, Putin has been in power for what, 24 or 25 years? Relatively speaking, I'd say he has maybe 2 or 3 years left. It's based on cumulative information of several factors.
Militarily:
Over 600k+ Russians KIA/WIA on the battlefield, (average 1100+ per day),
The loss of 8k+ tanks, 18k IFV, 19k artillery systems, 369 airplanes. 329 helicopters, 2600 cruise missiles,
The loss of 28 ships and 1 submarine, amounting to one-third of the Russian Black Sea Fleet (by a country with no navy),
Using WWII era tanks and other old weapons,
The use of barrier troops to shoot Russian men that don't move forward, desertion and mutiny rising.
Payments of huge bonuses to lure recruits, (no one wants to fight),
The use of defective N. Korean artillery shells
The use of uniformed N. Korean soldiers.
~ With 10 years of trying, and with all the advantages, such as more than 4 times the population, a much bigger economy, the lauded 2nd best military in the world, a modern air force, a huge navy and a vastly bigger, stronger army, Russia still only occupies 20% of Ukrainian territory.
(Consider the cost in blood and treasure.)
Economically:
The ruble has dropped 19% in value in the last 3 months (97 rubles = $1USD).
Russian inflation officially at 9%. (probably higher)
Russian Central Bank prime interest rate is now 19%.
India and China refusing to accept rubles for trade.
Massive manpower shortage in industry and in the military.
Wages going up artificially, due to inflation and workforce shortage.
20% of Russian oil refining capabilities destroyed.
Inability to pay for imports of consumer products in rubles.
Prices rising for food and household products.
Cut-off from the Swift system.
Inability to secure loans, even from the IMF.
Increase of military spending to almost 40% of the Federal budget (increased bonuses, salaries, death benefits).
Decreased funding of health-care, education, and critical infrastructure (maintenance neglected).
Taxes increasing.
Sanctions, especially secondary sanctions are beginning to affect availability of certain products.
Putin is burning through the country's wealth-fund (savings) to finance his goals. Primarily, receiving much less revenue for exports of oil, gas and coal than before the invasion.
All together, it's looking bleak. This conflict and the Russian "war economy" are unsustainable for more than perhaps 1 or 2 years. The sources are all over the internet. The Institute for the Study of War, British Intelligence, American Intelligence, The Hindustan Times, TVP World, Forbes, the Wallstreet Journal, Associated Press, Rueters, The Moscow Times, the Kyiv Post, Russian Media Monitor, various economy and military experts, as well as anecdotal evidence from Russian POWs, civilians in the temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories, and hundreds of YouTube and Telegram videos. Well, you did ask.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
1
-
@positivelastaction3957 Nah, the diaper thing I made up, obviously.
So, Putin has been in power for what, 24 or 25 years? Relatively speaking, I'd say he has maybe 2 or 3 years left. It's based on cumulative information of several factors.
Militarily:
Over 600k+ Russians KIA/WIA on the battlefield, (average 1100+ per day),
The loss of 8k+ tanks, 18k IFV, 19k artillery systems, 369 airplanes. 329 helicopters, 2600 cruise missiles,
The loss of 28 ships and 1 submarine, amounting to one-third of the Russian Black Sea Fleet (by a country with no navy),
Using WWII era tanks and other old weapons,
The use of barrier troops to shoot Russian men that don't move forward, desertion and mutiny rising.
Payments of huge bonuses to lure recruits, (no one wants to fight),
The use of defective N. Korean artillery shells
The use of uniformed N. Korean soldiers.
~ With 10 years of trying, and with all the advantages, such as more than 4 times the population, a much bigger economy, the lauded 2nd best military in the world, a modern air force, a huge navy and a vastly bigger, stronger army, Russia still only occupies 20% of Ukrainian territory.
(Consider the cost in blood and treasure.)
Economically:
The ruble has dropped 19% in value in the last 3 months (97 rubles = $1USD).
Russian inflation officially at 9%. (probably higher)
Russian Central Bank prime interest rate is now 19%.
India and China refusing to accept rubles for trade.
Massive manpower shortage in industry and in the military.
Wages going up artificially, due to inflation and workforce shortage.
20% of Russian oil refining capabilities destroyed.
Inability to pay for imports of consumer products in rubles.
Prices rising for food and household products.
Cut-off from the Swift system.
Inability to secure loans, even from the IMF.
Increase of military spending to almost 40% of the Federal budget (increased bonuses, salaries, death benefits).
Decreased funding of health-care, education, and critical infrastructure (maintenance neglected).
Taxes increasing.
Sanctions, especially secondary sanctions are beginning to affect availability of certain products.
Putin is burning through the country's wealth-fund (savings) to finance his goals. Primarily, receiving much less revenue for exports of oil, gas and coal than before the invasion.
All together, it's looking bleak. This conflict and the Russian "war economy" are unsustainable for more than perhaps 1 or 2 years. The sources are all over the internet. The Institute for the Study of War, British Intelligence, American Intelligence, The Hindustan Times, TVP World, Forbes, the Wallstreet Journal, Associated Press, Rueters, The Moscow Times, the Kyiv Post, Russian Media Monitor, various economy and military experts, as well as anecdotal evidence from Russian POWs, civilians in the temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories, and hundreds of YouTube and Telegram videos. Well, you did ask.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
1
-
@positivelastaction3957 Nah, the diaper thing I made up, obviously.
So, Putin has been in power for what, 24 or 25 years? Relatively speaking, I'd say he has maybe 2 or 3 years left. It's based on cumulative information of several factors.
Militarily:
Over 600k+ Russians KIA/WIA on the battlefield, (average 1100+ per day),
The loss of 8k+ tanks, 18k IFV, 19k artillery systems, 369 airplanes. 329 helicopters, 2600 cruise missiles,
The loss of 28 ships and 1 submarine, amounting to one-third of the Russian Black Sea Fleet (by a country with no navy),
Using WWII era tanks and other old weapons,
The use of barrier troops to shoot Russian men that don't move forward, desertion and mutiny rising.
Payments of huge bonuses to lure recruits, (no one wants to fight),
The use of defective N. Korean artillery shells
The use of uniformed N. Korean soldiers.
~ With 10 years of trying, and with all the advantages, such as more than 4 times the population, a much bigger economy, the lauded 2nd best military in the world, a modern air force, a huge navy and a vastly bigger, stronger army, Russia still only occupies 20% of Ukrainian territory.
(Consider the cost in blood and treasure.)
Economically:
The ruble has dropped 19% in value in the last 3 months (97 rubles = $1USD).
Russian inflation officially at 9%. (probably higher)
Russian Central Bank prime interest rate is now 19%.
India and China refusing to accept rubles for trade.
Massive manpower shortage in industry and in the military.
Wages going up artificially, due to inflation and workforce shortage.
20% of Russian oil refining capabilities destroyed.
Inability to pay for imports of consumer products in rubles.
Prices rising for food and household products.
Cut-off from the Swift system.
Inability to secure loans, even from the IMF.
Increase of military spending to almost 40% of the Federal budget (increased bonuses, salaries, death benefits).
Decreased funding of health-care, education, and critical infrastructure (maintenance neglected).
Taxes increasing.
Sanctions, especially secondary sanctions are beginning to affect availability of certain products.
Putin is burning through the country's wealth-fund (savings) to finance his war. Primarily, receiving much less revenue for exports of oil, gas and coal than before the war.
All together, it's looking bleak. This war and the Russian war economy are unsustainable for more than perhaps 1 or 2 years. The sources are all over the internet. The Institute for the Study of War, British Intelligence, American Intelligence, The Hindustan Times, TVP World, Forbes, the Wallstreet Journal, Associated Press, Rueters, The Moscow Times, the Kyiv Post, Russian Media Monitor, various economy and military experts, as well as anecdotal evidence from Russian POWs, civilians in the temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories, and hundreds of YouTube and Telegram videos. Well, you did ask.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
1
-
@positivelastaction3957 Nah, the diaper thing I made up, obviously.
So, Putin has been in power for what, 24 or 25 years? Relatively speaking, I'd say he has maybe 2 or 3 years left. It's based on cumulative information of several factors.
Militarily:
Over 600k+ Russians KIA/WIA on the battlefield, (average 1100+ per day),
The loss of 8k+ tanks, 18k IFV, 19k artillery systems, 369 airplanes. 329 helicopters, 2600 cruise missiles,
The loss of 28 ships and 1 submarine, amounting to one-third of the Russian Black Sea Fleet (by a country with no navy),
Using WWII era tanks and other old weapons,
The use of barrier troops to shoot Russian men that don't move forward, desertion and mutiny rising.
Payments of huge bonuses to lure recruits, (no one wants to fight),
The use of defective N. Korean artillery shells
The use of uniformed N. Korean soldiers.
~ With 10 years of trying, and with all the advantages, such as more than 4 times the population, a much bigger economy, the lauded 2nd best military in the world, a modern air force, a huge navy and a vastly bigger, stronger army, Russia still only occupies 20% of Ukrainian territory.
(Consider the cost in blood and treasure.)
Economically:
The ruble has dropped 19% in value in the last 3 months (97 rubles = $1USD).
Russian inflation officially at 9%. (probably higher)
Russian Central Bank prime interest rate is now 19%.
India and China refusing to accept rubles for trade.
Massive manpower shortage in industry and in the military.
Wages going up artificially, due to inflation and workforce shortage.
20% of Russian oil refining capabilities destroyed.
Inability to pay for imports of consumer products in rubles.
Prices rising for food and household products.
Cut-off from the Swift system.
Inability to secure loans, even from the IMF.
Increase of military spending to almost 40% of the Federal budget (increased bonuses, salaries, death benefits).
Decreased funding of health-care, education, and critical infrastructure (maintenance neglected).
Taxes increasing.
Sanctions, especially secondary sanctions are beginning to affect availability of certain products.
Putin is burning through the country's wealth-fund (savings) to finance his war. Primarily, receiving much less revenue for exports of oil, gas and coal than before the war.
All together, it's looking bleak. This war and the Russian war economy are unsustainable for more than perhaps 1 or 2 years. The sources are all over the internet. The Institute for the Study of War, British Intelligence, American Intelligence, The Hindustan Times, TVP World, Forbes, the Wallstreet Journal, Associated Press, Rueters, The Moscow Times, the Kyiv Post, Russian Media Monitor, various economy and military experts, as well as anecdotal evidence from Russian POWs, civilians in the temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories, and hundreds of YouTube and Telegram videos. Well, you did ask.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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@positivelastaction3957 Nah, the diaper thing I made up, obviously.
So, Putin has been in power for what, 24 or 25 years? Relatively speaking, I'd say he has maybe 2 or 3 years left. It's based on cumulative information of several factors.
Militarily:
Over 600k+ Russians KIA/WIA on the battlefield, (average 1100+ per day),
The loss of 8k+ tanks, 18k IFV, 19k artillery systems, 369 airplanes. 329 helicopters, 2600 cruise missiles,
The loss of 28 ships and 1 submarine, amounting to one-third of the Russian Black Sea Fleet (by a country with no navy),
Using WWII era tanks and other old weapons,
The use of barrier troops to shoot Russian men that don't move forward, desertion and mutiny rising.
Payments of huge bonuses to lure recruits, (no one wants to fight),
The use of defective N. Korean artillery shells
The use of uniformed N. Korean soldiers.
~ With 10 years of trying, and with all the advantages, such as more than 4 times the population, a much bigger economy, the lauded 2nd best military in the world, a modern air force, a huge navy and a vastly bigger, stronger army, Russia still only occupies 20% of Ukrainian territory.
(Consider the cost in blood and treasure.)
Economically:
The ruble has dropped 19% in value in the last 3 months (97 rubles = $1USD).
Russian inflation officially at 9%. (probably higher)
Russian Central Bank prime interest rate is now 19%.
India and China refusing to accept rubles for trade.
Massive manpower shortage in industry and in the military.
Wages going up artificially, due to inflation and workforce shortage.
20% of Russian oil refining capabilities destroyed.
Inability to pay for imports of consumer products in rubles.
Prices rising for food and household products.
Cut-off from the Swift system.
Inability to secure loans, even from the IMF.
Increase of military spending to almost 40% of the Federal budget (increased bonuses, salaries, death benefits).
Decreased funding of health-care, education, and critical infrastructure (maintenance neglected).
Taxes increasing.
Sanctions, especially secondary sanctions are beginning to affect availability of certain products.
Putin is burning through the country's wealth-fund (savings) to finance his war. Primarily, receiving much less revenue for exports of oil, gas and coal than before the war.
All together, it's looking bleak. This war and the Russian war economy are unsustainable for more than perhaps 1 or 2 years. The sources are all over the internet. The Institute for the Study of War, British Intelligence, American Intelligence, The Hindustan Times, TVP World, Forbes, the Wallstreet Journal, Associated Press, Rueters, The Moscow Times, the Kyiv Post, Russian Media Monitor, various economy and military experts, as well as anecdotal evidence from Russian POWs, civilians in the temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories, and hundreds of YouTube and Telegram videos. Well, you did ask.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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If you have eyes to see, it's obvious that supporting Ukraine is a win in so many ways. With the majority of the funds recycled into the American economy, our industrial base gets a much-needed shot in the arm. Workers pay taxes. Manufacturing, shipping, IT, etc., all benefit. Cash spent responsibly in Ukraine helps the Ukrainian people keep working, which in turn supports the war effort. The whole world's watching, both good and bad actors. They take their que from America. Strong, resolute actions send a much clearer message to our allies and adversaries than making idle threats. Every parent knows this. Since WWII, the collective "west" has spent billions upon billions of dollars just to be prepared for Soviet/Russian aggression. Now that their aggression is more active is not the time to cower in fear. They understand one thing only; weakness and vulnerability can be exploited, and strength should be avoided. A strong, crushing message sent to Putin, is the only way to stop him.
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The Russians have a long history of bragging when they have little to brag about. Even during Soviet times, they cheated in world sporting events, like the Olympics, when they fielded athletes that were in the military, all training paid and use of steroids in some cases. The "russkie mir" is a dark, nasty state of mind, infected with psychopathic, imperialistic illusions of grandeur and entitlement. It has ruined Russia as a country, with an economy infested with corruption, a society shaped by decades of propaganda and an army of convicted rapists and worse. Yeah, the "russkie mir" is all a paper tiger.
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Thanks, Paul. For 75+ years the collective west, primarily the NATO alliance, has spent trillions of dollars to be prepared for Soviet/Russian aggression.
Now, that they are a more tangible threat to Europe and global stability, many of our "decision-makers" cower in fear at Putin's sabre rattling. Putin and Russia understand and respect only strength in an adversary.
Any cooperation, or compromise by the west, is viewed by Russia as a weakness that can be exploited. Putin's plans and ambitions are based on his experience growing up in and working in the Soviet Union.
He learned cold-war spycraft as a KGB officer and uses the same techniques against us today. Have we learned nothing?
Putin cannot be trusted, in any way, shape or form. He is driven and all in, as we should be if we hope to defeat him.
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Thank you, Anna. Good report.
Ah yes, crazy American politics. The current election cycle is the strangest one I've ever seen.
Over the years (since the '70s), I've voted for Presidential csndidates from both parties. Mostly, I've voted Republican. I voted for Donald Trump in 2016 and 2020. But, in good conscience I cannot give him my vote a third time.
As s Reagan Republican, I tend to be conservative on domestic policies, but more hawkish on foreign policy issues. The party I love is no more. It has been hijacked by MAGA extremists.
There are many Republicans that support Ukraine in their fight for freedom and sovereignty. But, in the cacophony of political campaigning, they are often not heard. (Kudos to Lindsay Graham).
If elected, no one knows what Trump will do, not even Trump. His plan will be to do whatever he thinks he can benefit from. That's not what my vote is for. We can afford to support Ukraine, fix our immigration crisis on the southern border, and improve the economy.
We cannot afford to abandon NATO, or our other alliances and partnerships. America is stronger with them. Isolationism is backward thinking. Like it or not, our role in geopolitics is still important. And we have great responsibilities we cannot ignore.
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Lol! Traditional Christian values? Traditional European values? Give me a break.
Traditional Christian values, such as love of your fellow man, forgiveness, helping the poor, living in peace, are not the true values of Putin or the Russian Orthodox Church. It is a counterfeit religion, first corrupted by Stalin and the KGB, continuing today with FSB operative Patriarch Kiril, and his robed minions.
Justice will be served, either in this world, or the next.
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Donald Trump, unfortunately uses Christianity as a convenient tool, to appeal to a specific demographic of voters. He has stated that his philosophy can be summed up in one word - revenge.
Of course, forgiveness and love are two of the main tenets of the Christian faith. Revenge, retribution, persecution of enemies; these things are incompatible with forgiveness, love of others, and praying for one's enemies.
Calling yourself a Christian does not make it so. True Christianity is evident in a person's behavior, and what they say. Likewise, lying, fraud (theft), and whoremongering are incompatible with Christianity. Darkness and light cannot occupy the same space.
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Thanks, everyone at TVP. Informative episode.
The 'peace rally' as Fico calls it, is a victory celebration, praising Russia for their victory in the 'Great Patriotic War' that the Russians claim they basically won all by themselves, saving the world. He is helping to reinforce the Russian national mindset of invincibility and superiority. "Peace comes from the east?" Really? It doesn't take an expert to see the truth about Putin and Russia. Is Fico being deliberately obtuse?
Rather, we in the west, whether we acknowledge it or not, are already engaged in a war with Russia. At least that's how Putin views it, and how he portrays it to the Russian population. The various intelligence agencies employed by Putin are already involved in cyber warfare in Europe and the US, interfering in elections and sowing the seeds of unrest and instability. As well, there have been kinetic attacks by Russian-backed saboteurs on European infrastructure.
Putin will never be our friend. He seeks our destruction, not our friendship. In essence, his war on the west is ideological as well as territorial. Reconstitution of the Russian Empire cannot be allowed to happen. It is an existential struggle for freedom and our democratic ideals. Survival depends on unity, cooperation, and our willingness to defend our way of life.
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This time, in good conscience, I cannot vote for Trump. I did twice before, but, since then some things are different. My party has been hijacked by the MAGA extremists.
The vitriol and misinformation coming from Trump, and now also JD Vance, is embarrassing. So much of what Trump says is just incorrect. Do some fact checking and you'll see what I mean.
Also, Donald Trump is not the same man he was in 2016, or even 2020. His rally speeches have devolved into sometimes incoherent ramblings. He struggles to make complete sentences.
In 2016, I agreed with some of his domestic policies, but now, conspiracy theorists are making a mockery of reasonable thinking members of the Republican party.
Can you even imagine Ronald Reagan praising Putin, or saying he fell in love with Kim Jung Un? Especially, considering Reagan's attitude about dictators snd totalitarian regimes. Anybody remember the momentous speech that Reagan gave in Berlin...
"Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall."
I do. I remember. I remember the events afterward, and the dissolution of the USSR. I asked myself if I could envision Donald Trump doing something similar, defiantly calling out the leader of a communist superpower. Sadly, I cannot.
Policies matter. Truth matters. Diplomacy matters. If you're only bringing "revenge" to the table, which Trump said is the one word that sums up his philosophy of everything, then I won't sit at that table. I cannot.
When it gets to where MAGA members of the US House of Representatives, are repeating Kremlin talking points, and treating Russian propaganda as if it's truth, then I know the Republican Party is no more. It has happened. (MTG)
Now, dissenting views, or different approaches on an issue, are frowned upon. Absolutely anything the Democrats put forward, is rejected out of hand by the Republican legislators, regardless of the possible benefits to the country it might bring.
All Democrats are now demonized, as left wing crazies that are intent on destroying America. MAGA, started out as a great political statement. Who doesn't want their country to get better? But, exactly when this mythical time of "greatness" previously existed, no one can say.
Personally. I think America is still pretty great. I don't like the conspiracy laden fear mongering, but I do fear a leader that is a convicted felon, for fraud, which is sometimes referred to as stealing (yeah, of course he was framed...), and a whoremonger.
Character matters. Integrity matters. Especially, when it is about the most powerful leader in the world. I will not support the MAGA cult, and I will not worship Donald Trump. He, is not the Savior.
It has become crystal clear, that Trump will always do what is best for Trump, not for America, and not for our friends and allies.
As of yet, I haven't decided what exactly I'll do in November. I'm not saying I'm voting for Harris/Walz, but I definitely will not be voting Trump/Vance.
Sorry for the length of my comment.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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This time, in good conscience, I cannot vote for Trump. I did twice before, but, since then some things are different. My party has been hijacked by the MAGA extremists.
The vitriol and misinformation coming from Trump, and now also JD Vance, is embarrassing. So much of what Trump says is just incorrect. Do some fact checking and you'll see what I mean.
Also, Donald Trump is not the same man he was in 2016, or even 2020. His rally speeches have devolved into sometimes incoherent ramblings. He struggles to make complete sentences.
In 2016, I agreed with some of his domestic policies, but now, conspiracy theorists are making a mockery of reasonable thinking members of the Republican party.
Can you even imagine Ronald Reagan praising Putin, or saying he fell in love with Kim Jung Un? Especially, considering Reagan's attitude about dictators snd totalitarian regimes. Anybody remember the momentous speech that Reagan gave in Berlin...
"Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall."
I do. I remember. I remember the events afterward, and the dissolution of the USSR. I asked myself if I could envision Donald Trump doing something similar, defiantly calling out the leader of a communist superpower. Sadly, I cannot.
Policies matter. Truth matters. Diplomacy matters. If you're only bringing "revenge" to the table, which Trump said is the one word that sums up his philosophy of everything, then I won't sit at that table. I cannot.
When it gets to where MAGA members of the US House of Representatives, are repeating Kremlin talking points, and treating Russian propaganda as if it's truth, then I know the Republican Party is no more. It has happened. (MTG)
Now, dissenting views, or different approaches on an issue, are frowned upon. Absolutely anything the Democrats put forward, is rejected out of hand by the Republican legislators, regardless of the possible benefits to the country it might bring.
All Democrats are now demonized, as left wing crazies that are intent on destroying America. MAGA, started out as a great political statement. Who doesn't want there country to get better? But, exactly when this mythical time of "greatness" previously existed, no one can say.
Personally. I think America is still pretty great. I don't like the conspiracy laden fear mongering, but I do fear a leader that is a convicted felon, for fraud, which is sometimes referred to as stealing (yeah, of course he was framed...), and a whoremonger.
Character matters. Integrity matters. Especially, when it is about the most powerful leader in the world. I will not support the MAGA cult, and I will not worship Donald Trump. He, is not the Savior.
It has become crystal clear, that Trump will always do what is best for Trump, not America, and not our friends and allies.
As of yet, I haven't decided what exactly I'll do in November. I'm not saying I'm voting for Harris/Walz, but I definitely will not be voting Trump/Vance.
Sorry for the length of my comment.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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If oil prices drop, it affects the funding of Putin's war machine. A more sanctioned and isolated Russia will have a knock-off effect on Iran. A weakened, more isolated Iran means more stability in the Middle East.
The geopolitical struggles and conflicts around our current world are inexorably intertwined through massive amounts of trade and military cooperation. Due to various economic agreements and treaties, there has never been a safer or more prosperous time in our modern history. There have been and will always be bad actors on the world stage.
As a young boy, I played little-league baseball. The first thing we learned were the rules of the game. Without rules, there could be no game. On the rare occasion that a player tried to cheat, they were immediately penalized. If the disagreement became a full-on disruptive row, they could be removed from the game.
In every aspect of life, there are rules that guide our behavior. If we fail to push back on those wishing to cheat or break the rules of reasonable peoples, and accepted norms of behavior, we run the risk of losing all we have gained. Sometimes there are those that aren't willing to play by the rules, and should be removed from the game.
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Thank you, Mateusz and Prime Minister Kasyanov. It's very helpful to listen to insiders, those who have worked with, or for, world leaders. They often tell a different tale than the one of the official narrative (ask Mike Pence or Anthony Scaramucc,i).
The fear of losing power infects all dictators.
In a dictatorship, anything seen as possible opposition must be suppressed immediately.
Once power is achieved, the priority above all is to hold on to power. The priority Above All. Other insiders have confirmed what the prime minister asserted.
I've heard different theories and predictions about the war's end and its aftermath. Unfortunately, it appears to this layman, that what needs to happen versus what will happen may not be the same thing.
What needs to happen is both the military defeat and economic collapse of Russia.
Some say, "that's too much," or, "don't be cruel," or, "it's not the fault of the people."
I say, "No, it's not, I'm not, and yes, it is."
Remember, after WWII, Germany and Japan were not only defeated, but utterly humiliated. Only then were they able to accept that they were neither invincible nor superior. Their previous mindset was gone, replaced with a new one. Now, Germany and Japan are peaceful, prosperous members of the world community. We cannot expect less for imperialistic Russia.
If Russia loses the war, Putin loses power.
If Russia collapses economically or politically, Putin loses power.
If Putin is rewarded for his many crimes by keeping stolen land, stolen children, stolen revenue, etc., then Putin holds on to power, and it's all going according to plan.
The whole world's watching.
At least that's what I think.
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Yes, of course Kamala, as President, will have to appeal more to moderates, but she already is. As vice-President, she was relegated to an office primarily expected to be a re--enforcing and back-up to the administration's policies.
But, she brings her own vision of unification and positivity to the electorate, who like myself, are exhausted with the devicive and chaotic atmosphere that accompanies Donald Trump everywhere he goes.
The misogynistic, racist truth about Trump is on full display for all to see.
In this election, character is more important than political party, ideology, or policy.
It's about the Constitution, that we look to with reverence and pride. It's about truth and the rule of law. It's about honoring our fallen war heroes and respect for our veterans. It's about supporting our friends and allies when needed. It's about helping a fledgling democracy fighting for its survival, yearning for the same freedoms that we preach about so fervently.
There's a lot riding on this election. And, like it or not, the whole world's watching to see what happens next. Freedom, peace, and prosperity or oppression, choas and poverty?
Donald Trump increased the National Debt by $7.8 Trillion, the most of any President in history. Donald Trump's mass deportation plan alone would cost $88 Billion per year, the bulk of the money going to build detention camps.
Donald Trump's tariffs would be effectively a 20% sales tax on all imports from China. And we import a lot from China. A lot.
So, character and policy. That's why I, a Republican and former Trump voter, am casting my vote for Kamala Harris.
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Thank you, Diana.
I agree with Mr. Brzeziniski. Donald Trump is unpredictable. His foreign policy is transactional and he changes his mind frequently about many issues.
If he can make, in his estimation, a 'good deal' that works, but also makes him look good, then that's what he'll do. If it works, he'll take the credit, but if it fails, it's someone else's fault, in this scenario, he would most likely blame President Zelinskyy.
If his 'cabinet' can make him see the geopolitical ramifications of a Russian victory in Ukraine, then he might give Ukraine everything it needs to win. But, as we all know, he's a wild card. We'll see what happens next.
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Thank you, Jonacz. Good interview.
Donald Trump is a wild card. No one knows what Trump will do, not even Trump. Keep in mind, as a businessman, he loves to be seen as the winner, the big "deal maker." So, he will do what he thinks will benefit himself.
But, it's a dice throw. On the one hand, he might cut back support for Ukraine. On the other hand, if he wants to shove it in Putin's face, or if he thinks it gives him prestige, he might actually increase support for Ukraine.
Like I said, no one knows.
Also, I'm concerned about President Zelinskyy meeting with Trump. He notoriously likes to state secret information in public to enhance his image as someone "in the know," a "player," so to speak.
Be careful Mr. Zelinskyy.
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Thank you, Diana.
This election has the whole western world in an uproar. With good reason.
We've never seen a war in Europe as big as the current one since WWII. We all wonder what's next.
With Kamala Harris, Ukraine will get at least the same level of support as with Biden, but then again, she may be in favor of more robust support. Unknown.
With Trump, everything is unknown about what he may or may not do. If we take him at his word, (spoken word, not the, "I give my word," standard), then he will probably stop aid for Ukraine. Or maybe not.
He may try to pull out of NATO. Or maybe not.
Keep in mind that Trump will always do whatever he thinks will be to his personal benefit. He is a loose cannon.
What is known, is that Donald Trump will not conceed defeat, even if he looses the election by a wide margin. Lawsuits have already been filed by the Republican Party in Pennsylvania, and there will be many more to come.
Ahead of Election day, the Trumpists are laying the groundwork to contest every aspect of voting, especially in the swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Trump appointed judges will be decision-makers in many jurisdictions.
We know that if elected, Trump will strive to get retribution against his "enemies from within."
We know he has no respect for the Constitution, the courts, or the rule of law.
We know he has disdain for our fallen war heroes and those scarred for life defending our freedom. The freedom that has afforded Donald Trump a life of luxury, money and power. The freedom that he abuses to take advantage of others.
Donald Trump increased our National Debt by $7.8 Trillion. His mass deportation plan would cost $88 Billion annually. His tariffs would be equivalent to a 20% sales tax on products imported from China.
He is planning to purge the Civil Service of hundreds of employees to be replaced by Trump loyalists. Trump, "the deal maker," has big plans for another term as President of the United States, and they at the least appear to be punitive, expensive, and unrealistic, and at the most, criminal, dangerous and traitorous.
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Thank you, Diana. Good episode.
I could feel the passion in the Ukrainian MP's voice wben she spoke. This, to many of us Americans, is an election that could very well change our future significantly. I live in a very red state, so regardless of my vote, Donald Trump will get all 40 of our electoral votes. I'm a lifelong Republican and have vote Republican since the campaign of Ronald Reagan.
This time, I voted for Kamala Harris. Since Jan 6, I've come to believe that Donald Trump is a danger to our country and our institutions. I won't go into a litany of his crimes and allegations. These are well known.
But sometimes character is more important than policies. As Liz Cheney, a very conservative Republican, said, "We can survive policies. But we can't survive another Trump White House." She's right.
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It seems our memories fade.
After all the money spent, all the lives lost, all the devastation, and deception, we act as if we haven't learned a thing about the Russians. For 75+ years we were trying to be ready in case Russia (Soviets), attacked one of us and our way of life.
They respect and fear strength, they despise snd exploit weakness. The little man in the Kremlin should not be feared, he should be stopped. He will not decide to stop by himself. We must make that decision for him.
Who would tolerate a mad, rabid dog roaming the neighborhood, attacking innocent people with impunity? For your safety, the safety of your family, and the safety of the entire community, a mad dog must be stopped.
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Okay. Three commenters have criticised me and my one comment. Did it strike a nerve? It's correct to say that, not living in Europe, I have only a small glimpse of Its history and details. Likewise with Hungary.
My comment was specifically about Viktor Orbán, not Hungary per se, or the Hungarian people at large. I am aware of Hungary's history, and its brave people. I know of their fight against the forces of the Soviet Union, and the oppression they endured under Soviet occupation.
However, rather than remembering the suffering the Hungarians incurred by the Soviet Russians, Orbán has become a Russian apologist. Rather than assist Ukraine in its fight for independence from the Russian sphere of influence, he has tried to block every effort of the EU in its support of Ukraine.
As well, Viktor Orbán has enriched himself and his associates in unscrupulous enterprises. He has positioned himself in such a way that he can stay in power longer than he should be able to. I'm not 'posing myself as a moral champion.' But, rather that than a Putin/Orbán sycophant.
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Thanks, Don and Aaron. Interesting discussion. As Aaron mentioned, Donald Trump is very transactional. He doesn't believe in doing something for nothing in return. He's also a narcissist, so he needs to feel that he is viewed as the winner.
These two qualities may actually be a positive for Ukraine. Vladimir Putin has made conflicting statements lately that on the one hand, there is nothing to negotiate and on the other hand, he is ready to talk.
If Trump offers Putin a deal that is rejected by Putin, Trump might give Ukraine everything it needs to defeat Russia. If he understands the worldwide ramifications of a Russian victory, he might think twice about allowing Ukraine to be defeated.
Not only would other ambitious dictators be emboldened, it would cause a huge humanitarian crisis in Europe. And, in a few short years, Russia will try the same thing on another sovereign neighbor. It's much less expensive to stop Russia now than it will be in the future.
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Thank you, Jan, and your guest, Ms.. Legucka. Very interesting interview. I like this format, but I think it would be much better if the time constraints were not so tight.
Of course, Putin finds it convenient to villainize the "west." We are a big target, and he needs a big victory to cement his legacy. His "search for significance," is all consuming, and the cost in lives and gold, in his mind, is completely justified. If he actually believes what he preaches, then it must be pschopathy. Not that his mental illness is an excuse for his behavior, I think it indicates how we must respond to him.
I often wonder if Putin and his cronies truly believe their own propaganda, or do they just think we in the west are all incredibly thick, unable to discern the truth from the false. After this war, and Russia is being restructured, it will be difficult to combat the revisionist view of history and state identity engrained in the Russian mindset for generations. But it will be necessary if Russia is ever to be a peaceful, productive member of the rules based world order. For example, Japan and Germany were both crushed in WWII, completely humiliated and emasculated. Now both countries are very prosperous and peaceful. Russia must be shockingly defeated if there is to be any hope of their redemption.
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Thank you, Jonacz. Good episode.
Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin, current Russian tsar, former communist, and forrmer KGB operative, learned his spy trade craft well.
Tell the big lie enough times, in the right way, even if at first it seems implausible, and people will begin to believe it. The "evil, degenerate west," is to blame for all of Russia's woes. But, of course we are.
More games of musical chairs at Putin's big table. Be sure to secure a seat when the music stops. In a dictatorship, especially in the Kremlin, loyalty to Putin covers a plethora of sins. Corruption, par for the course. Incompetence and ineptitude, no big deal. But don't make the Boss look bad. That can be dangerous.
"Kremlin political intrigues are comparable to a bulldog fight under a rug. An outsider only hears the growling, and when he sees the bones fly out from beneath it is obvious who won."
~ Winston Churchill
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Way back, when we were assisting the Mujahideen to expel the Soviet army from Afghanistan, I saw an interview with a fighter. He said they preferred the Americans rather than the "Godless" Russians. They could see the truth.
Even though communist doctrine was an atheist, humanist philosophy, Stalin found it useful to reinstate the Russian Orthodox Church, fully stocked with his KGB minions of course, as a useful propaganda tool.
Nothing has changed. Patriarch Kiril was/is an FSB operative. In their counterfeit religion, the teachings of Christ are ignored in favor of lies, subterfuge, and hate. Christian hate? Just another useful oxymoron of the Kremlin. Orwellian Newspeak, I guess. War is peace, love is hate, good is bad, death is life, dictator is president.
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Thanks, Jonasz. Great episode, as usual.
~ So, the land border between Ukraine and Russia is 1,974.04 kilometers (1,226.61 miles).
~ The border between Belarus and Ukraine is 1,084 kilometers (674 miles).
~ Combined = 3,058 kilometers or 1,900 miles.
The Demilitarized Zone on the Korean Penninsula is only about 250 kilometers long. The point being that to monitor, much less guard, the extensive border with Russia and Belarus, is really not a plausable solution.
Sending over 100k European troops to Ukraine on such a mission would be very controversial politically and economically. Especially, since there is no clear idea how long it would be necessary.
Every soldier guarding the DMZ would require 4 other soldiers providing support services and rotations from behind the scenes. It would take a huge number of soldiers and massive amounts of equipment.
To my thinking, it would be much more feasible to arm Ukraine to the teeth. Give them the PrSM system which can be fired from Himars launchers, and Tomahawk Cruise missiles which are much longer-range strike weapons.
Does anyone truly believe that Putin will respect any agreement with Ukraine? We know he will not. He never has. We, the collective 'west' must ensure that Ukraine wins and Russia is thoroughly defeated. This would be much more possible, and in the long-term, much less expensive.
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The relationship of Xi and Putin, though not the same as Putin's bromance with Kim of the DPRK, is much more dangerous. North Korea is one of the poorest countries in Asia, therefore, they need the profit from sales to Russia as much as Russia needs the ammunition they buy. It's mutual benefit.
China, on the other hand, wants the oil, coal and markets of Russia. They want them, but if push comes to shove, the Chinese could get what they need elsewhere. Russia, however, has fewer export markets for their raw materials due to sanctions.
Secondary sanctions are also having an effect on China's trade with Russia. The Russian Shadow Fleet must be curtailed, by blockade and seizure, or military action if necessary. The Fleet not only makes it possible for Russia to get around sanctions, it also poses a threat to international shipping and the environment.
The countries grabbing all the discounted petroleum products from Russia, such as India, Brazil and others in the Global South, must also be more stringently sanctioned. Russia will keep fighting as long as they can sell resources to fund Putin's imperialistic war machine.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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It really doesn't matter which person Trump choses as Secretary of State or Attorney General. They all get to the point where they can't handle his chaotic and knee-jerk approach to everything. They either resign or they get sacked. Also, it will be interesting to see how long it takes for Trump's relationship with Musk to sour.
Professor Lucas is correct about Trump being transactional. As a businessman (no slight intended to true businesspeople), he sees every situation as, I'll do this for you, but in return you must do that for me, and quickly.
He might agree to assist Ukraine with a massive lend-lease plan as did Britain in WWII. On the upside, he could portray it to his base as, "We're giving Ukraine a loan, it's no longer a charity." Then Ukraine could buy anything they want. But, that would be more relational than transactional, so we'll see.
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@JoshZnak No, I've done the research. The only ones that have lied are the Russian apologists, like yourself, that seek to justify Russia's illegal invasion of Ukraine.
Ukraine, a sovereign neighbor, has been the object of Putin's imperialistic ambitions for many years. There was no supposed "intervention," as you call it.
The Revolution of Dignity, (Maidan Revolution), took place in 2014, after the Euromaidan protests. President Yanukovych, betrayed the Ukrainian people, by not signing a trade agreement with Europe and instead, pursued closer ties with Russia. When he realized that the people disapproved, he fled to Russia.
After he fled Kyiv, following the Constitution, a new President of Ukraine was elected. Then, in Crimea, armed, unmarked Russian troops moved in. The infamous 'little green men.'
Then, Putin-backed, pro-Russian separatists started violent conflict in Donbas. At the time Ukraine's military was unorganized and ill-equipped. Consequently, several civilian militias rose up to fight back.
After lying about it for years, Putin launched a full-scale invasion on 24 Feb. 2022. Since 2022, Russia has committed over 150k documented war crimes in Ukraine. Putin's military intentionally targets civilians in schools, homes, churches, and even a children's cancer hospital. Make Russian excuses elsewhere.
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@JoshZnak No, I've done the research. The only ones that have lied are the Russian apologists, like yourself, that seek to justify Russia's illegal invasion of Ukraine.
Ukraine, a sovereign neighbor, has been the object of Putin's imperialistic ambitions for many years. There was no supposed "intervention," as you call it.
The Revolution of Dignity, (Maidan Revolution), took place in 2014, after the Euromaidan protests. President Yanukovych, betrayed the Ukrainian people, by not signing a trade agreement with Europe and instead, pursued closer ties with Russia. When he realized that the people disapproved, he fled to Russia.
After he fled Kyiv, following the Constitution, a new President of Ukraine was elected. Then, in Crimea, armed, unmarked Russian troops moved in. The infamous 'little green men.'
Then, Putin-backed, pro-Russian separatists started violent conflict in Donbas. At the time Ukraine's military was unorganized and ill-equipped. Consequently, several civilian militias rose up to fight back.
After lying about it for years, Putin launched a full-scale invasion on 24 Feb. 2022. Since 2022, Russia has committed over 150k documented war crimes in Ukraine. Putin's military intentionally targets civilians in schools, homes, churches, and even a children's cancer hospital. Make Russian excuses elsewhere.
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@bobtate6812 Okay. What substance was in your comment? You chose to bring up an issue that can easily be misconstrued.
I'm pretty sure "western values," that are being referred to are issues of self-determination, democratic principles, freedom of speech, freedom of the press, freedom of religion, the right of assembly, civil rights, the rule of law and due process, trial by jury, the right to petition the government for grievances, the rights of the individual, tolerance of others, and the right of privacy. You know, those substantive things. (No B.S.)
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@muckle8 China, India, the United States and Russia, among others, are not state parties to the International Criminal Court.
Many Africans and Russians are indicted by the ICC, due to verifiable evidence.
Americans indicted by the ICC, none, due to LACK of verifiable evidence.
Yes, the😅 US has military facilities all over the world. Over 700, as a matter of fact, without which, the world would be far more unstable. These facilities are there at the request and with permission of the host countries. If these facilities were replaced by Chinese or Russian facilities, the world would be a very unsafe place.
Do people meet in NYC for the hotdogs? Some, maybe. But, probably more for the pizza, or steak. For hotdogs I suggest Chicago.
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@muckle8 China, India, Russia and the United States, among others, are not state parties to the ICC.
So, because certain people had conversations or meetings in New York City, that proves the US controls the ICC? It proves nothing. You do know that NYC is one of the most cosmopolitan cities in the world, the meeting place of untold numbers of people and groups from all over the world, for a variety of reasons, including the United Nations? Think about it.
Also, more Africans and Russians are indicted by the ICC, because there is more evidence of crimes against humanity, war crimes and genocide.
And yes, the US does have different military facilities spread throughout the world. Over 700, I think. They are there at the request and with the permission of the host countries. The world would be vastly more unstable without them, especially if they were replaced by Russian or Chinese facilities.
And, people meeting in NYC for hot dogs? Maybe. Pizza or steak is more likely. For hot dogs, I suggest Chicago.
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What is clear, is that Russia will not win. With every type of advantage, four times the population, a much bigger economy, a much larger military, the biggest country in the world in more than 10 years of trying, has only been able to occupy less than 20% of Ukraine.
On top of all that Russia has had over half a million KIA/WIA in Ukraine, they've lost over 4k tanks, 1/3 of it's navy, and many airplanes/helicopters. They've had 7 of 8 attempts to fire the Sarmat missile fail, with one exploding in its silo just last week.
The Russian economy is beginning to crumble and the ruble is falling in value (94 rubles =$1). The Russian army is stretched to its limits. For God's sake, they are using tanks and other weapons built before WWII.
Oh yeah, they look like winners.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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What is clear, is that Russia will not win. With every type of advantage, four times the population, a much bigger economy, a much larger military, the biggest country in the world in more than 10 years of trying, has only been able to occupy less than 20% of Ukraine.
On top of all that Russia has had over half a million KIA/WIA in Ukraine, they've lost over 4k tanks, 1/3 of it's navy, and many airplanes/helicopters. They've had 7 of 8 attempts to fire the Sarmat missile fail, with one exploding in its silo just last week.
The Russian economy is beginning to crumble and the ruble is falling in value (94 rubles =$1). The Russian army is stretched to its limits. For God's sake, they are using tanks and other weapons built before WWII.
Oh yeah, they look like winners.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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What I clearly see is that Russia will not win. With every type of advantage, four times the population, a much bigger economy, a much larger military, the biggest country in the world in more than 10 years of trying, has been able to occupy less than 20% of Ukraine.
On top of all that Russia has had over half a million KIA/WIA in Ukraine, they've lost over 4k tanks, 1/3 of it's navy, and many airplanes/helicopters. They've had 7 of 8 attempts to fire the Sarmat missile fail, with one exploding in its silo just last week.
The Russian economy is beginning to crumble and the ruble is falling in value (94 rubles =$1). The Russian army is stretched to its limits. For God's sake, they are using tanks and other weapons built before WWII.
Oh yeah, they look like winners.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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What I clearly see is that Russia will not win. With every type of advantage, four times the population, a much bigger economy, a much larger military, the biggest country in the world in more than 10 years of trying, has been able to occupy less than 20% of Ukraine.
On top of all that Russia has had over half a million KIA/WIA in Ukraine, they've lost over 4k tanks, 1/3 of it's navy, and many airplanes/helicopters. They've had 7 of 8 attempts to fire the Sarmat missile fail, with one exploding in its silo just last week.
The Russian economy is beginning to crumble and the ruble is falling in value (94 rubles =$1). The Russian army is stretched to its limits. For God's sake, they are using tanks and other weapons built before WWII.
Oh yeah, they look like winners.
Slava Ukraine! 🇺🇦 🇺🇸
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@MrFoxtrotOscarius You can't win over Russia?" Try getting your information from somewhere other than the Kremlin propagandists like Solyov.
In over 10 years of trying, the largest country in the world, with 4 times the population, the so-called 2nd army in the world has only been able to occupy less than 20% of Ukraine.
Russia has sustained over 500k KIA/WIA, one-third of the Black Sea fleet destroyed or damaged, over 4k tanks lost. Hyperinflation in the economy. The ruble is losing value (94 rubles=$1), infrastructure is not being maintained, prices rising, taxes rising, a manpower shortage at home and on the front. Sorry, but that doesn't look like a win to me. Or, to most of the world.
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@MrFoxtrotOscarius You can't win over Russia?" Try getting your information from somewhere other than the Kremlin propagandists like Solyov.
In over 10 years of trying, the largest country in the world, with 4 times the population, the so-called 2nd army in the world has only been able to occupy less than 20% of Ukraine.
Russia has sustained over 500k KIA/WIA, one-third of the Black Sea fleet destroyed or damaged, over 4k tanks lost. Hyperinflation in the economy. The ruble is losing value (94 rubles=$1), infrastructure is not being maintained, prices rising, taxes rising, a manpower shortage at home and on the front. Sorry, but that doesn't look like a win to me. Or, to most of the world.
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@MrFoxtrotOscarius You can't win over Russia?" Try getting your information from somewhere other than the Kremlin propagandists like Solyov.
In over 10 years of trying, the largest country in the world, with 4 times the population, the so-called 2nd army in the world has only been able to occupy less than 20% of Ukraine.
Russia has sustained over 500k KIA/WIA, one-third of the Black Sea fleet destroyed or damaged, over 4k tanks lost. Hyperinflation in the economy. The ruble is losing value (94 rubles=$1), infrastructure is not being maintained, prices rising, taxes rising, a manpower shortage at home and on the front. Sorry, but that doesn't look like a win to me. Or, to most of the world.
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@MrFoxtrotOscarius You can't win over Russia?" Try getting your information from somewhere other than the Kremlin propagandists like Solyov.
In over 10 years of trying, the largest country in the world, with 4 times the population, the so-called 2nd army in the world has only been able to occupy less than 20% of Ukraine.
Russia has sustained over 500k KIA/WIA, one-third of the Black Sea fleet destroyed or damaged, over 4k tanks lost. Hyperinflation in the economy. The ruble is losing value (94 rubles=$1), infrastructure is not being maintained, prices rising, taxes rising, a manpower shortage at home and on the front. Sorry, but that doesn't look like a win to me. Or, to most of the world.
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@MrFoxtrotOscarius You can't win over Russia?" Try getting your information from somewhere other than the Kremlin propagandists like Solyov.
In over 10 years of trying, the largest country in the world, with 4 times the population, the so-called 2nd army in the world has only been able to occupy less than 20% of Ukraine.
Russia has sustained over 500k KIA/WIA, one-third of the Black Sea fleet destroyed or damaged, over 4k tanks lost. Hyperinflation in the economy. The ruble is losing value (94 rubles=$1), infrastructure is not being maintained, prices rising, taxes rising, a manpower shortage at home and on the front. Sorry, but that doesn't look like a win to me. Or, to most of the world.
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@MrFoxtrotOscarius "You can't win over Russia?" Try getting your information from somewhere other than the Kremlin propagandists like Solyov.
In over 10 years of trying, the largest country in the world, with 4 times the population, the so-called 2nd army in the world has only been able to occupy less than 20% of Ukraine.
Russia has sustained over 500k KIA/WIA, one-third of the Black Sea fleet destroyed or damaged, over 4k tanks lost. Hyperinflation in the economy. The ruble is losing value (94 rubles=$1), infrastructure is not being maintained, prices rising, taxes rising, a manpower shortage at home and on the front. Sorry, but that doesn't look like a win to me. Or, to most of the world.
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Orban is too much of a loose cannon.
For one thing, Hungary must ween off Putin's teat. Other European countries have reduced the volume of gas and oil they buy from Russia, with the goal of stopping completely. Not Hungary.
Orban in the long run, is doing a great disservice to his country, I believe, for self-serving reasons. Why he is so pro-Russian, is a matter of speculation, but it would be good to know as much as possible about his bromance with tsar Vlad. I find it difficult to believe he's just doing what's best for Hungary.
Beyond that, the EU may need to find an appropriate way to censure him. If he is not the EU spokesman, then he needs to stop grandstanding on his "peace tour." Potentially, he could cause more confusion and mistrust among EU members.
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Here we go again with the same old misinformation about the declining west.
The GDP of Russia is about the same as that of Italy, approximately 2.5 trillion dollars. The GDP of the US is 28 trillion dollars. That alone should tell you who will suffer more from sanctions. Add to that the GDP of the UK and the EU, and it's obvious that the "west" can withstand a much bigger economic hit than can Russia.
The western companies that had business investments in Russia, will feel the pinch due to losing the Russian markets, but they will make up the difference elsewhere. Believe me, McDonald's will not go bankrupt because Ivan can no longer enjoy a Big Mac and fries.
The EU has been weening itself from Russian gas and petroleum products, and other suppliers are helping to meet the demand.
When it comes to feeling an economic "pinch," Russia could have avoided it altogether. They could still be selling all their petroleum products on the open world market except for one thing, their unprovoked and brutal invasion of a peaceful, sovereign neighbor.
Ukraine and NATO are not US proxies. Of course, Tsar Vlad Putin, the Invader,
blames the west for all of Russia's woes. According to the Kremlin narrative, Russia is the great defender of "traditional values," and the only true Christianity, while the west is controlled by satanic leaders that want to make everyone homosexual. The little man in the Kremlin has to have a big enemy to make himself feel "big," and to hold on to power.
Fall for the lies and deceptions of the Muscovite propagandists if you wish, but the whole world knows the truth. Russia could have avoided all sanctions, but rather, they started a war in Ukraine in 2014. They cruelly invaded further in 2022, and are still killing innocent civilians and destroying the property of others to this day. Russia is the aggressor state, make no mistake about it.
We will stop sanctions willingly, if Putin stops attacking Ukraine, withdraws all Russian forces from Ukraine, including Crimea and the eastern provinces, to the world recognized 1991 borders, returns all the Ukrainian children they have stolen, and then pays reparations for all the damage they've done. Easy peezy.
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Thank you, Klara. Good episode.
We shouldn't be surprised by Putin joining forces with tbe Russian Orthodox Church. He's taking a page from Stalin's playbook, that is, using the church as a way to control the population.
Patriarch Kiril of the Moscow Patriarchy is former KGB (maybe still) and personal friends with Vladimir Putin.
The Ukrainian Orthodox Church was under the auspices of the Moscow Patriarchy. That connection proved to be much more than spiritual in nature.
As reports continued to pour in that some priests were using their positions to do Moscow's bidding, the need to stop these clandestine operations was obvious. So, the Ukrainian Parliament passed measures to stop it.
They gave those churches still having Moscow ties, a specific time-frame to sever their Muscovite leanings, or face closure of the church. All other religjons, of any faith, are acceptable in Ukraine.
My point being that Putin will do absolutely anything to achieve his goals, even messing about with people's personal spirituality. It's the ssme old story. The communists did it, and now Putin is doing it.
The LGBT community is the perfect target. Many are already feeling marginalized and persecuted. Now, the Kremlin is making it more acceptable to discriminate, and this will probably lead to violent hate crimes.
Putin knows it's simple to manipulate people that are suspicious of anyone that is different. Does this ring any bells? Hitler's concentration camp goons eliminated anyone that was suspected of being homosexual. Who's next?
If he can distract the population from the war in Ukraine with this kind of rhetoric, then for him it's a success. Now, Moldova and Georgia. Human rights is an unknown term in Russia The Moldovans and Georgjans yearn for the same democracy snd freedom that we in the west have.
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Well done. An excellent interview with a very knowledgeable guest. I think people are a bit confused and assume that the Russians think the way we do. They do not.
As Dr. Person mentioned, Russia feels that they have the sole right to influence the former Soviet states and treat them as protectorates, subordinate to Moscow. Putin has made clear his intention to reconstitute the Russian Empire.
He wants Russia to be feared by other nations, because to him, fear is the same as respect. The dissolution of the USSR, is one of the biggest disappointments and greatest motivations of his thinking.
He wants Russia to be a world player, equivalent in stature with the US, as the Soviets were during the cold war.
Also, current Russian doctrine is built on the premise that war wth the US is inevitable. To that end, Putin has been preparing for many years. Ukraine, was to be but the first step in his goal of having border states that would act as a buffer against possible invasion.
Obviously, the invasion of Ukraine was a miscalculation on his part, but most likely also due to incompetence and corruption in the military, that lied to him rather than chance his wrath with the truth.
Russia, in its current form will not become a western style democracy. They value stability over individual freedom. They somehow feel comfortable and safer with a strongman leader that rules with an iron fist.
The Russian's idea of democracy, and our idea of democracy, are two completely different things. Public protests on political or social issues, with people freely speaking their minds, even freely criticizing the government, are seen by the Russians as chaos, dangerous to the state, and therefore not to be tolerated.
Realistically, unless Russia is violently shaken, as were Japan and Germany at the end of WWII, their mindset is not likely to change. They will be a constant thorn in our side, because Russia will not be satisfied until they either gain victory over the "evil west," or die trying, the latter of which they are experts.
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