Comments by "Cultugarve Algarve" (@cultugarvealgarve7380) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics"
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On Ytube Cover Cabal one can see the Russian gear losses, Artillery left only enough for 2 years, Vehicles for 3 years,
so whats left is 50 years of untrained/ non organized fodder.
So depleting Russian gear is the first priority, we see more and more unmaintained tanks gear etc from the 50/ties.
The Russian attacks are based on massive artillery, but that s not longer available on a large scale.
For that reason, we see Russia endless repeat the same errors, not having those skills at all.
The complete original Russian invasion army is depleted, so it s now the bad quality army what s left, and wont get better.
The Black sea fleet, the main Russian invasion reason has gone, and is even in the ,,socalled save,, Russian Black sea port now attacked.
Crimea start to be untenable, and so very expensive. The newest Russian airdefense cant handle 30 years old, overcomplete commisioned nato gear.
Russia tries to fight like the (far bigger)WWII sovjet union, but without the landlease, but the technological and logistic balance 2024 is now in advance of the Ukraine.
Ukraine needs the Russians to attack, their cheapest/fastest way to succes/improvement., and Putin needs badly some symbolic succes.
The war now goes more and more to very colder Russia, by Ukranian long distance drones and new missiles., as well asap F/16 might join, chasing the Russian airforces away, as we saw, shortly ago at Krynky.
The classical front view might look like a stalemate, but is less important. A stalemate with Russian losses., now in Russia as well
There isn t any Russian uprising to expect, because the new Stalinistic Tsar, a Russian loved tradition since Ivan the Terrible, 500 years ago.
The question will be, if this way of old tactics could survive.
Any way the damage to Russia, is already gigantic.
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