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TJ Marx
DW News
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Comments by "TJ Marx" (@tjmarx) on "WHO: Omicron spreading significantly faster than delta | DW News" video.
It takes 14 days from infection before you start seeing any real symptoms. It takes a further 4-7 days before you start to see serve infection. That means we won't see any meaningful rise in serve infections of omicron until after Christmas and into the new year. Based on the actual 32 mutations that have taken place though, best guess is it will be as severe as Delta, but more transmissible and able to evade the vaccine induced immune response better. So we'll see more infection including a lot more breakthrough infection, and it will be likely just as severe.
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@danielstapler4315 That is unconfirmed speculation. Omicron hasn't been around anywhere near long enough for us to expect to see much, if any, severe disease. That we have seen some severe disease in such a short period is not a good sign. Edit: The effectiveness of the booster is reduced against omicron. All variants of SARS-COV-2 including omicron infect across the entire body. Omicron indeed does make it deep into the lungs. You are talking nonsense
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A coordinated approach would make things clearer and smoother for everyone. But perhaps more importantly a coordinated approach featuring adequate suppression would get the virus under control across Europe, and in a very meaningful way; something that has never happened since the pandemic started. That would put eradication in sight.
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@sharmapiyush4534 That is completely and utterly false. All SARS-CoV-2 variants have a 14 day incubation period. Further, omicron is regularly not testing positive until the 4-8th day post infection due to it's immunoresponse avoidance tactics.
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For the record I have been in medicine for 17 years, have extensive epidemiological experience and have been directly involved with government response in an advisory capacity. We won't have any solid answers until after Christmas, likely into the new year. But let me repeat again, the most likely scenario based on the specific mutations is omicron is just as severe as other variants of SARS-COV-2, but has deployed new transmission and immunoresponse avoidance tactics. Or to put it into simple terms, it spreads much more readily, makes current vaccines and testing less effective than they were on previous variants and causes the same level of disease severity as other variants. Pfizer, Moderna and AstraZeneca are all working on omicron specific vaccines for this reason. It is very likely we will see omicron specific boosters later in 2022.
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