Comments by "doveton sturdee" (@dovetonsturdee7033) on "The Channel Dash / Operation Cerberus - How to win through refuge in audacity" video.

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  12.  @vanmust  Actually, it is quite obvious. As Napoleon said ' How can an Elephant fight a Whale?' It really doesn't matter how large the German army was, their navy was virtually non existent. The plan devised by the Kriegsmarine depended entirely on the number of tugs that could be assembled, as each one could two two barges. By late September, for example, they had assembled 1859 barges, but only 397 tugs (in which I include trawlers and small coasters.) They had, literally, no reserves of tugs. They could not replace any which were lost. Similarly, in late August, 1940, the Luftwaffe had only 226 operational transport aircraft which, assuming 16 paratroopers per aircraft, could only transport some 3340 men. The naval plan, as submitted by Raeder, ludicrously assumed that, in some wondrous manner, the barges would not be intercepted by the Royal Navy, whereas the reality always was that, given the fact that the barge trains would have taken over a day to assemble into formation outside their ports and cross the channel, and would have been observed at an early stage either from the shore or by the regular RN nightly destroyer patrols from Portsmouth of the Nore, the RN's anti-invasion forces would have engaged the almost helpless columns long before they reached anywhere near their supposed landing grounds. It really doesn't matter how vast the German army was, as the German armed forces had absolutely no experience of amphibious operations, and the German navy lacked both purpose built assault vessels, and the means to escort the ramshackle assembly they had put together. The Channel Islands are irrelevant, as a simple glance at a map demonstrates, and the idea of landing on the Isle Of Wight, which is almost within spitting distance of one of the main RN bases, can be discounted at once. The fact is that, in the early 19th century, France was in much the same situation as was Germany in September, 1940. In either case, had the armies been able to get ashore, they would have succeeded, but, as St. Vincent said in the House of Lords "I do not say the French cannot come, I only say they cannot come by sea". Dudley Pound could have said exactly the same as St. Vincent, with reference to the Germans, in September, 1940.
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  18.  @vanmust  Firstly, the RN capital ships would never have gone anywhere near the Channel in September, 1940. They were based at Rosyth, from where they could act against either a sortie by German heavy ships into the Atlantic, or against those same ships had they headed towards the southern part of the North Sea in support of an invasion attempt. The RN had assembled an anti-invasion force of some seventy destroyers and cruisers, all within five hours steaming of Dover, together with several hundred smaller vessels, such as fleet minesweeper, armed trawlers and drifters, corvettes, and gunboats. Secondly, the troops to board the barges did exist. The first wave alone consisted of XXXVIII army corps ( 26 & 34 infantry divisions ) VIII army corps ( 8 & 28 infantry divisions, plus 6 mountain division) plus a weak, less than half strength, parachute division, and 22 airlanding division. Thirdly, there is all the difference in the world between rushing three fast, modern, warships, through the Channel in a few hours, and landing the above forces from towed barges moving across the Channel at little more than walking pace. The Kriegsmarine plan anticipated that it would take eleven days to land this first wave, and even then it would be without both field artillery and motorised transport. This would inevitably mean that the barges and their tugs would sit more or less helpless off the coast and in the Channel throughout this period, largely unprotected during the day, and completely unprotected at night.
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