☨St Louis IX opposed paganism, hæresy \x26 debauchery
China Observer
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Comments by "☨St Louis IX opposed paganism, hæresy \x26 debauchery" (@stlouisix3) on "China’s GDP Is Completely Falsified! Actual H1 GDP: -5%, Yearly Forecast: -10%." video.
📉 China's GDP growth of 5.5% in the first half of the year is likely overstated, with experts suggesting a contraction of around 6.4% based on tax revenue analysis.
00:24
China's GDP reached 59.3 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, with a year-over-year increase of 5.5% at constant prices.
00:24
Chinese citizens and international economists have expressed skepticism and a pessimistic outlook towards China's economic future.
00:39
The Chinese Communist Party has been criticized for manipulating statistical data, particularly GDP figures.
01:18
Various economic indicators point to a decline in the Chinese economy, including decreasing export orders, bankruptcies, and falling consumer spending.
01:34
A China-based big data expert suggests that China's GDP may have actually contracted by around 6.4% based on tax revenue analysis.
02:49
China's GDP Growth Is Inflated: Experts Suggest a 6.4% Contraction in the First Half of 2023, as Net Exports and Investment Decline, and Evergrande's Potential Bankruptcy Threatens the Real Estate Industry and Government Financing Platforms
📉 China's GDP components of net exports and investment are both showing declines, indicating a loss of momentum in the economy.
04:58
China's trade surplus decreased by 10.3% in the first half of the year, suggesting a decrease in earning power.
04:58
Net exports are unlikely to recover as supply chains move out of China and investments are withdrawn.
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Fixed asset investment decreased by 10.4% in the first half of the year, indicating a loss of confidence in the future among private sectors.
05:43
Local governments, burdened with heavy debts, are unable to continue investing in infrastructure construction.
06:13
Government bond issuance for infrastructure investment has decreased by 27.4% due to local governments' inability to bear additional debts.
06:40
📉 China's economy experienced a significant contraction in net exports and investment, with modest growth in consumption.
07:36
The first half of this year saw a year-on-year decrease of 9.8% in China's economy, with a decrease in net exports and investment.
07:36
Retail data from entities above a certain limit showed a modest increase of 5.1% in retail sales compared to the same period last year.
08:21
The growth rate of car sales in the first half of this year was only 2.8%, indicating a sluggish consumer market.
10:33
The sale of excavators, a key indicator of investment activity, contracted by 44% in the first half of this year.
11:02
Overall, net exports and investment in China's economy contracted by 9.8% in the first half of this year, while consumption growth was only 5.1%.
11:20
📉 China's GDP is estimated to have declined by around 5% in the first half of the year and is expected to contract by around 10% for the whole year.
11:32
China's GDP in the first half of the year couldn't possibly have grown; it could only have declined by around 5%.
11:32
The situation will only worsen in the second half of the year, with an estimated annual GDP contraction of around 10%.
11:49
The Chinese Communist Party's leaders also recognize the severity of the economic situation.
12:00
Insufficient domestic demand, operational difficulties for some enterprises, and a complex external environment are major challenges for China's economy.
12:29
Consumer spending continues to decline, partly due to frugal habits formed during the pandemic.
13:31
⚠ The Chinese real estate industry is facing a crisis as Evergrande's potential bankruptcy could trigger devaluations and impact government financing platforms and the banking system.
15:19
Evergrande, a Chinese real estate giant, reported a loss of 812 billion yuan over the past two years with total liabilities of 2.44 trillion yuan.
15:19
Evergrande's assets primarily consist of inflated lands recorded on paper, which would plummet in value once liquidated.
15:49
Hundreds of real estate companies in China have experienced bond defaults, breakdown of capital chain, or bankruptcy, leading to a surge in unfinished building projects.
16:29
Beijing authorities have rolled out policies to support private enterprises and boost investor confidence.
16:58
The Chinese stock market fell on the day when official media promoted 'heavyweight documents' supporting the private economy, indicating investor pessimism.
18:19
📉 Doubts arise about the CCP government's ability to support private enterprises and stimulate private investment in certain infrastructure sectors.
18:49
Hu Liren, a former private entrepreneur, doubts the practical implementation of government policies to support private enterprises.
18:49
Hu Liren observes that many Chinese entrepreneurs are not in a good state and maintains a pessimistic outlook for their future.
19:30
The CCP meeting acknowledges the complicated and severe external environment, impacting China's export trade.
19:57
Commentators believe there is no visible hope or bright spots for China's economy in the second half of the year.
20:12
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