Comments by "NickTheEnlightened" (@NickTheEnlightened) on "Alan Lichtman and the Keys to the White House Wiggle Room" video.

@TheDrizzle404 Also, in my personal opinion, I really don't think it's THAT impressive to predict presidential winners correctly a lot, because in all honesty a lot of the time presidential elections are not that hard to predict. Outside of 2000 and MAYBE 1948, I can really only think of two presidents in the last 100 years who won in genuinely surprising fashion and were not expected to win. (I wouldn't necessarily go all the way back to the 1800's considering that back then we were an extremely different country in a lot of ways and politics as a whole was far different in those days).
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Technically it would be the 2nd time. Granted you could argue the 2000 election was so close to where it really wasn't that bad of a miss, but it was still a miss nonetheless.
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I couldn't vote in 2000 (it was actually the same year I was born LOL), but if I was eligible to vote I would've just burned my ballot that year. Both Bush and Gore are and were absolute disgraces and neither man should've ever even had the opportunity to become president. It's easy to look back on Bush's presidency and his warmongering and wish 2000 had gone a different way, but in truth Gore was actually even more hawkish if you can believe that and the reality is we were probably fucked no matter what that year. The only good thing that would've come out of Gore winning is that we likely never would've even known who the hell Obummer was.
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@AFT_05G Truman's just OK, I wouldn't really say he was exceptionally good or bad. I do agree on Cleveland though. I also am somewhat of a fan of Andrew Jackson. Yes, the Trail of Tears was bad and he was quite the hothead to say the least, but his policies were awesome and his wanting to fight for the common man is and was a great ideal and something I only wish today's Democrats (hell, many Republicans for that matter) would do. In a lot of ways Jackson was the first populist president and we owe a lot of the movement to him.
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It really says a lot just how much the left is grasping at straws when they have to constantly resort to one man's prediction as proof that Biden is somehow favored this year. I personally don't think the 13 Keys are a bad model by any means (if nothing else it at least serves as a nice little rudimentary guide aside from polling on how someone could win the presidency), but it's certainly not foolproof and Lichtmann has already proven himself to be a complete and total biased hack. The 13 Keys are cool and all but they're not gospel by any stretch, and we certainly need to be careful of basing our predictions solely based off one metric.
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@crocve My facts ARE straight. Allan Lichtmann has terminal TDS and ever since 2020 it's been on full display. He even ran as a fucking Democrat in 2006 LOL. He predicted Trump in 2016 because he knew the keys clearly showed him winning and because he wanted gullible idiots like you to still believe he was credible. Furthermore, it's not like it's difficult to predict presidential elections. I myself looking back through presidential election history can really only point out two elections in the past 100 years in which you could argue the winner was a complete surprise and out of left field.
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@nsmccoy224 It is possible Biden MAY do a little better with woke white college grads since they're frankly beyond saving and are really one of the very few demographics that only continues to move more and more leftward off a cliff, but he certainly is gonna do a hell of a lot worse with traditional working class whites, especially now that his "Scranton Joe" BS has been exposed for the facade it really was!
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