Comments by "bighand69" (@bighands69) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. The US is the only country on earth that has the capacity to perform large scale military movements on a global scale. And is the only country that has a military that is set up to perform in multiple theatres of war. Right now the US military is much larger and more capable than it was before WW2. Imagine what it would be like if WW3 was to break out.
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  2. She is not a fascist and that is a common mistake. She may end up a terrible PM but that is a different issue. She is an Italian conservatives which is based around the religion of catholicism. It may not be easily understood by those outside of Italy.
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  3. She is an Italian conservative. There is this myth that her political parties have been fascist when in fact they were founded to oppose fascism.
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  4. US industrial might is about to become very clear to the world. Most people people to date do not understand the scale and output of US industry. Now watch those attack my comment on a US communications system.
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  5. The US currency is amazingly managed. It has been used to try and build peace at the global stage but that can only be done with an economy at the scale and depth of the US economy. The US has thousands of trillions of assets in value and can easily dig that deep. The main problem the US has is that it cannot easily create enough currency to fill in the voids when it occurs hence why free money is not available when needed and QE is required.
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  6. Russia logistics at the start of the war was really bad cannot imagine what sort of condition it is in now.
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  7. Taiwan and Japans missile defence systems will make that area of the seas very difficult to control but it will also make it so that China will be hemmed in and unable to projector power.
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  8. It will reduce inflation in the long term when US manufacturing reshores key industries.
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  9. They still need to be partnered with the US to realize that potential that they have.
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  10.  @zootsoot2006  Some of them may not know any different.
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  11. In the modern era trump would be the best and Obama the worse when it comes to policy. When it comes to decency Obama is probably considered one of the best and Trump the worse. Trump could have been a good president if he did not play his political character so harshly and Obama could have been a good president if he engaged more with administrative policy. But then again what would we expect from a reality TV star and an academic senator.
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  12. All that fancy european technology is based on US patents, US engineering and US science. Hard for many europeans to understand all of that. I bet you though ASML was based purely on European technology but all their technology and instrumentation is based on US industry.
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  13. Drones are only as good as the operators and the forces that employ them on the battlefield. There is a steep learning curve on just the actual operation of the drones never mind the tactical capabilities of such forces.
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  14. If things continue as they are China and Russia are not going to be in any sort of state to projector war. As it stands China can put up a good defence of its coastal waters but even that is starting to get strained.
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  15. Austrian economics does make good arguments but it also has made people over sensitive to the fact that dirt happens. Recessions are going to happen no matter who manages the system. The idea that there is some Austrian economic model of free market that will completely eliminate inflation or recession is a very simplistic outlook.
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  16. US productivity has been so good that Europeans and Japanese have not needed to have children to keep up output. Same thing for Canada in that it has focused on using US industry to make up for its declining outputs.
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  17. Russia through its worst forces and best elite forces at Ukraine. This time they will be throwing large volumes of its worst forces but at scales not seen since WW2.
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  18. As it plays out Turkey is not going to block Sweden. If Turkey was to try and block them they will find that they will be isolated. Turkey is not there in terms of being an independent region as of yet and needs help getting their and time.
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  19. Russian energy is too far away from China to be of use in terms of the scale of Chinese population. China is not a producer of high technology and most of what it produces is products that are branded by western companies. Both countries have little to offer one other and have always been adversaries. One thing history demonstrates is that tyrannical cultures that are near to one other always at some point have a fall out. The danger of nuclear exchange is higher between China and Russia is greater than it is east vs west.
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  20. Unfortunately there is going to be a cadre of companies that have invested too much into Asian manufacturing to be able to return and what will happen to them is that competitors that do have plants in the US will outcompete them.
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  21. It is pure fantasy.
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  22. The US is not using QE for government spending. They are using it because the US dollar is in such high demand. The dollar at the currency level is subjected to supply and demand like everything else. Everybody wants the dollar and it puts pressure on the system to have it available when needed. Most of the QE was about feeding reserves rather than about spending.
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  23. Same thing in Europe at present. Most of the world is like that barring America (whose minor problems do not compare). Truth be told there is nothing the UK could do right now and anything they could do should have happened 20 years ago. Moving UK industry offshore was always going to make the options for dealing with this limited.
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  24. Icelandic industry is not saleable. Iceland does not have the population to be able to build that base nor does it have the petrochemicals to make up for that level of loss. If European demand collapses there is not going to be a market for Icelandic steel.
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  25. The interstate network is fine for time critical small scale deliveries but it would never able to compete on a per cost bases with large bulk transport of waterways. A series of barges can transports many orders of magnitude of load for a fraction of the cost of a road system. The road system also helps to fill in the gaps of the water and rail system but it in no way has caused the water ways to be reduced in their operations. What has really happened is that productivity has increased at a national level but the water ways simply have not been utilized if they were the cost of US goods would dramatically reduce.
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  26. None of the OPEC countries are really stable economic engines. That means they will not have he military tools to actually go out into the world and force their will. Saudi Arabia as a military force is based entirely on US technological systems. What many do not understand is in the middle East Saudi Arabia and Israel are going to be a partnership where the Israelis are going to be the senior partner to that. But all goes back to the US. SO while Saudi Arabia can play politics with certain US presidents in the long run they will still be under that umbrella.
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  27.  @thomasherrin6798  The US spends about 3 trillion per year on its welfare state and it has done that so as to lessen the effects of outsourcing from US manufacturing. A good proportion of that manufacturing is going to be returning to those traditional areas of manufacturing in the US which is going to lessen the need for a welfare state. The US military budget is not just about fielding a sizeable military force it is about a force that has far more firepower than anybody else out there. The US will still have a global presence but it will be in context of its own interests which is going to be the similar position the US had before WW2.
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  28. I think a lot of people are also confused by the term 5nm features and assume that means the whole transistor is 5nm when it is only a small area of the transistor structure that is 5nm. In reality transistors are 100 times larger than their claimed architecture. There is a lot more room at the bottom before Moore's law hits a wall. Architecture such as what you are referring to will become more innovative as time goes on and all that innovation is US centred.
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  29. They probably do have nuclear weapons that are maintained and do work but not enough to go for full intercontinental exchange. They could fire and maybe hit the US but not have anywhere near enough to immobilize the US who in turn will have enough weapons to fire back.
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  30. There is an extraordinary amount of resources on earth. The idea that it can just be exhausted in our grand childrens era is ridiculous. And that by that stage technology will be much more efficient at recycling.
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  31. It is not that they are anomaly it is the fact that crazy policies were put in place with low interest rates. It is like having a sale were gold is 50% the market rate and there is only so long that can continue until the seller realizes that they cannot source any more gold or they run out of funds.
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  32. You are being naive with those statements. The only thing keeping the European project together has been German industrial output. My the time Germany overcomes this issue (no guarantee) they will then be walking into another issue of European demographic collapse.
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  33.  @ffffuchs  Those migrants are not going to make up for a reduced birth rate among the German people. A few million extra migrants of all ages are not going to make up for the fact that Germany has only about 2.5 million under the age of 10 and nearly seven million in their fifties.
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  34. The US still produces the majority of its good in the US.
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  35. Can you explain how an enterprising business person could over come the Jones Act, Unions, democratic party and Republican party?
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  36.  @carloslemos6919  The US is the worlds largest processor of petrochemical products. Most countries would not have industry without those petrochemical products.
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  37. Not just that. People think that Russia is massive which it is but not the populated areas of Russia those are all focused from the west through to the central regions which would mean in a time of nuclear war that whole regions would be attacked and it would wipe out the vast majority in Russia. Nearly all of the 3 million square miles of the US has population spread that is not the case for Russia.
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  38. Many humans have bright ideas but it takes a culture that encourages that through science, technology, business and everyday life. That is America in a nutshell. It is not a perfect place but it is clearly the best place on earth for innovation and culture of success. Tesla went to America as well for the same reasons as did Elon Musk.
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  39.  @NYJGreatness  They probably would not be speaking Russia as the Germans may have carried out mass ethnic cleansing. Hitler was not a fan of the slavs and may have done horrible things there.
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  40. Consumers are not demanding electric that is a myth. Wealthier market buyers are demanding electric vehicles but they are not buying the typical F150 or Malibu. The type of consumer that would buy an EV is somebody that has excess income that they can use to make them self feel good and to virtue signal their goodness.
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  41.  Morgan Allen  That does not make any sense.
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  42.  @obcane3072  It could mean many things such more damage or less damage depending on how the bridge was attacked.
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  43. He is just pointing out the obvious that some people cannot handle.
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  44.  @Targe0  That will work for Australia but not the rest of the world. The issue is storing the energy that has been generated which means batteries that simply have a large footprint than oil or gas.
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  45. Mexico could be about to face a 1980/1990s Colombian style crisis that could threaten the very structure of their state. Their only option is to work with the US and not try and go it alone.
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  46.  @bsmithhammer  Death and destruction can have a way of communicating that nothing else has.
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  47. That is all nonsense.
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  48.  @cameronfreeman8495  Peter Zeihan has been very clear about Australia it is an independent market that can function on its own.
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  49. What you just said was said 25 years ago. The true power of ai at this point is that it aids human productivity but does not replace humans.
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  50. Nuclear power cannot just be switched on. There is also the issue that most of the Uranium supply is Russian based.
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  51. Nope. European influence in Europe has been a nightmare for the European continent.
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  52. Any advisor that is there is pure technical and is not a junior officer and would be at a very safe distance.
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  53. Anybody crossing that now would need to have nerves of steel.
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  54.  @Condor1970  Taiwan specializes in RISC based ARM chips and that is their biggest output. The US is still the world's leader when it comes to producing integrated circuits. Taiwan is putting some of their chip plants in the US for safety reason so that they can still produce them in the event of an invasion.
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  55. It would be much cheaper for the US to build its own production from scratch using US technology and US industrial know how. Automation is already having a big impact on US metal processing that is only going to keep growing. There is going to be a bottleneck and pressure point that will force the US market to innovate and to build out.
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  56. The US had limited forces in Korea and were still able to hold a line that we today call Korean Demilitarized Zone. MaCarthur wanted to use the US forces to push up into China and put an end to them but was ordered against it. MacArthur got fired for it because he kept insisting. While horde tactics work against poorly supplied or low numbers of troops they do not work against the US who have a large military and very high levels of fire power.
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  57. The US built that system and it is theirs to use. Each of those countries is free to build their own system but it is not something that can be wished into being and takes a century to build.
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  58. Distance matters when it comes to transporting the oil. It is the reason why Russia cannot easily supply China.
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  59. The US economy is extraordinarily deep. The reason why the US government uses QE is that it cannot supply enough money to the system at times.
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  60. For centuries Japan had the most advanced naval force. At both the feudal and post feudal level in Asia. The Japanese navy was capable of going toe to toe with the British throughout the 1800s in Asia but would not have been capable outside of Asia.
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  61. So you think the French energy generation system could power the whole of German industry? The only way this might work would be if France starts fracking and giving that gas to the German national system of energy generation. This all could have been avoided if a certain German politician did not sell out Germany and then go and sit on the board of Gazprom.
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  62. It is all about Ukraine having their missiles within range of those Russian positions and their artillery.
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  63. That would not be something that he should be doing. He should just comment on geopolitics. He is brilliant at that and that is his lane.
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  64. War is not easy to wage in winter. Movement can be very slow, moral can be very low and exposed troops can die of the elements never mind getting shot at. So while it is true that they can move in the frozen hard ground the complexity levels do increase.
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  65.  @GowthamNatarajanAI  US still has a massive industrial base. People have confused cheap plastic products coming from outsourcing to mean that it has replaced industry.
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  66. He never said it was perfect what he is saying is that certain countries are going to have to make peace and what that really means is make a deal. Make your peace does not necessarily mean it is complete peace.
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  67. Immigration does not help natural birth demographics and countries that thing they can do it will find out it does not work. It can help productivity and boost the natural population but will never act as a replacement. The US is not relying on immigration it has a good natural birth rate compared to other developing nations. Not as good as years past but still good.
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  68. Fantasy.
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  69. I do not think either side has lost that much men relative to their actual force size. Russia has a problem in that their special operation simply was not enough to do anything.
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  70. China needs that US market place and behind that it also needs the EU market place. There is just no way to replace that.
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  71. I think he maybe a conservative but not a republican. It used to be that both the democratic party and republican party had conservatives in its ranks but that seems to really have declined. Today the parties are either hardcore activist socialists or nationalist focused party members.
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  72.  @tschandler2  Australia is nothing like Europe. Not even close.
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  73. China is not in a strong position to extort any European country. Whatever Germany does it is its own making. The problem in Germany and to an extent other countries is its lack of strong national identity.
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  74. Modern "environmentalism" has nothing to do with the environment.
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  75. Obama did not live up to his campaign promises and as such the response was Trump.
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  76. What an untrustworthy alliance.
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  77. The problem with economics is that it is theoretical and not easily applied to the here and now. There are certain universal truths of economic such as supply and demand in the marketplace or structural aspects of currency that hold true.
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  78. American debt is very misleading because it is not an actual hard debt. About 3 to 5 trillion of that is pure hard external debt. About 7 to 12 trillion is hard internal debt at most. Most US debt is an accounting exercise that includes liabilities such as social security. It also includes banking liabilities through various entities. People act like it is a hard debt with a promissory in place when it is not. The US has thousands of trillions in assets and does not need to borrow to prop up its currency. It took the US from the mid 1850s upto the 2000s to build up all those assets that it can then use as it sees fit.
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  79. It is called a free market. You are free to choose where you go.
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  80. Clean energy is a far better approach than renewable. That means using coal, oil, gas, nuclear and renewables. When it is a power station coal can be burned with the large majority of the waste material being captured and even recycled for industrial purposes. Obviously certain energy types are dictated by location making some cheaper and easier to manage than others.
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  81.  @AnOligarh  There can be completely different reasons between regions. Maybe it is animal feed or the price of antibiotics that causes them. Unless you do a good set of analysis it is guessing.
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  82. But has German industry in the last 15 years raced ahead because of natural gas?
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  83. Immigration is not going to help China for several reasons. Number one reason is the lack of people world wide to help that immigration is there is simply no place that can supply those people. Issue number two is the fact that China as a culture is insular and does not like immigration. Issue number three is that it is too late for China to be able to use immigration.
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  84. That is a short distance and within a country. Pumping water between different geographical locations and terrain is very complex. Romans used a gravity based system.
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  85. American actions on Japan before WW2 was down to Japan's aggressive moves in Asia. The US had no other option open to them. Japan always intended to try and conquer all of Asia.
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  86. Poor analogy. He clearly dislikes Bannon but that was not exactly a good comparison.
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  87. He announced it in the video not hard to spot. He is one of Zeihans analysts.
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  88.  @oliviamaynard9372  Regional neighbours will do it mostly.
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  89. Taiwan is already armed to the teeth and any such delivery will be as a support to that.
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  90. You still need people to run automation and you also have to design the business to be able to use automation. The real power of automation at this point and for the foreseeable future is output increases not getting rid of staff.
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  91. People that talk about the Cartels and claim to be experts in it just romantaise them. They do what 1970s movies and media did to the Mafia. Making them out to be some highly organized system when they were anything but that.
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  92. Black water is going to become a pariah in the US at some point.
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  93. Apple assembles there products in China and has about $200 of spare cash that it could easily build out production plants. Apple really should have their own chip manufacturing in the US and several other base production capabilities.
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  94. I think people are basing Russian performance on todays resource and industry levels but if Russia was to move to a war economy culture they would massively increase their output. They still would not beat NATO in that war but they would cause a lot of damage at a global level.
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  95. He is implying that for the ground to dry out and to get troops moving on that ground in a significant manner of battle will take about 8 weeks from this point and then maybe another 4 weeks for us to really grasp the outcome. He is not saying mud up until may and then no mud.
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  96. Changes at a certain level but not the overall war at this point.
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  97. Greek Orthodox is different from Easter Orthodox Christianity.
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  98.  @protorhinocerator142  Advanced targeting systems and control systems have allowed even dumb weapons systems to become a lot more accurate. Outside of America nobody else is even close when it comes to the accuracy of control systems.
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  99. The federal reserve does not care about supply side trading and economics because they cannot control that. All they can do is deal with the monetary side of money supply. They have to slow down the rate of money creation and the best way to do that is to increase interest rates slow so that there is a slow down on that side. At this point a recession is the least of the federal reserve's worries and what concerns them the most is runaway inflation that once it starts can be very difficult to stop.
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  100. Hydrogen may work for Japan that is producing the hydrogen through electricity that is generated through nuclear. The important word here is may work.
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  101. He needs to do UK and Ireland. Not the major players in the world from a Geopolitics action point of view but they are on the outskirts of Europe and are integrated at some level with the US and EU.
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  102. Nonsense.
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  103. Absolute nonsense.
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  104. It is true of all Russian industry.
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  105. Russia has a major problem in that it does not know if its nuclear arsenal is operational. Most of the war heads are based on 50 year old mechanical systems. While they may operational warheads that could be used for one off operations it does not mean they have enough for full nuclear exchange with the US.
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  106. Nope that is just fantasy. Inflation ran away in the US because it simply at that stage did not have a fully functioning economy. It was a dependent economic entity of the British Crown meaning it simply was not functioning at its true economic output levels nor did it have any really ability to impose policy at either a currency level or government entity level. These were some of the driving factors of the revolutionary war in it is self. Currency manipulation was not the reason for the inflation.
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  107. Depends on where their gold ends up.
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  108. Not every country in Europe is a member of NATO.
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  109. The feds cannot be blamed for every business in America. There are thousands of banks in the US and some of them will go under. It is just the natural order of business.
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  110. It may help with aid programs but it will not be enough to off set the eastern food collapse.
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  111. Warren Buffett did not get out of airlines for the fun of it.
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  112. He is not. Twitter will become something different from its current state.
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  113. I think the whole chat GPT has been way over played. It is the only thing many people keep repeating to demonstrate why the robots are about to take over.
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  114. Saudi Arabia has tens of billions of US equipment sitting in storage.
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  115. Nuclear is not the solution that people desire. It has its place but it is complex and also has supply side issues.
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  116. It is not a pipe dream and will happen but must do so through innovation and research. Governments cannot just implement it through decree it has to be earned. The EU is a culture of decree where governments make pledges that they simply have no right to be making as they do not have the ability nor even the vision to engage in such endeavors.
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  117. The problem with most of this is that everything is still theoretical. Russia has not get pushed it self to all out war culture. Russia may collapse before it gets to that point of being able to get to total war.
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  118. Turkey main problem is the PKK and they could cut a deal there if they were wise and gain more points with the European countries and also allow them to further negotiate with the US. The biggest problem Turkey has is that Erdoğan exerts too much power and his current policies have driven inflation to the point that it could cause their economy to collapse. Turkey has the exact same problem that China has in that there is no genuine political alternative because the opposition has been taken out. Turkey may even face collapse before the NATO issue comes to ahead.
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  119. The US never supported him against USSR as that group was never involved in that fight. They came much later and were terrorist's at heart.
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  120. Automation will do remarkable things and it will transform the world over the next 20 years and it will follow the Ray Kurzweil trajectory but none of that will be a magic bullet for countries with bad demographics and industrial output that is based on bad foundations. America will go through an automation revolution as will many other countries but it will not impact the world for another 20 to 30 years. By the time that technology is there places like China and Russia will break up into about 50 different countries.
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  121. Automation is going to develop on through the crisis period but it will not save many countries who simply do not have a good economic or demographic structure. in 20 years time most of what is produced will be automated, most homes will have automation, small local producers will have automation and we will see working humanoid style robots. None of that means that places that are entering a population decline can just magically automate their problems away. Innovation in technology is not just silicon valley.
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  122. The what on earth are you talking about in terms of the F-35.
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  123. What made you think such a thing?
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  124. Nuclear weapons would not be as effective as people think. Delivering them across distance would be the first challenge that many countries would not be capable of performing. Then trying to get such a missile active in the combat zone that is of a scale that would damage the opposition would be even more complicated for the vast majority of countries. Pretty much any country could set of a nuclear detonation for the cameras but trying to do that in warfare is of a different level of complexity.
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  125. Just so that Peter understands this Christmas is a festive period which means it carries right up to the new year and then winds down after New Years Day. It is sort of like demographics with 20 to 40 where all the action takes place and after that it is all winding down.
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  126. There is not a lot to say about Australia and what he says about Australia is that it will be fine but it needs to start having more children. Australia over the next 25 years is probably going to have a boom because it has more 20 to 40 year olds than 50 to 70 year olds but does have a lower number of under 20 year olds. It will be interesting to see if the next generation wants to have lots of children and if it does Australia will have a bright future. Areas that Australia could really ramp it up is manufacturing and value added market practices. That means taking all those deep raw material reserves and turning them into products and using the coal, oil and gas for industrial energy. Autralia has a potentially large consumer market just waiting to expand.
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  127. It is more expensive to produced cold rolled steel but it is easier to process for higher quality steel.
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  128. Cold Rolled steel that is sourced from processed iron and is more expensive and is easier to make make higher quality variants. Who are some of you trying to kid here with your comments?
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  129. Yes that is what he is saying. It is the higher quality iron and steel production at a national level that the US imports and processes. The US still produces its own from ground to foundry but it does not dominate the market but that is about to change in the near to medium future as there is going to be a reshoring and build out when US industry cannot access the same volumes.
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  130. Most Russians are clueless on the war but there is bound to be stories getting home as to what is happening.
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  131. There will be a large number of people that will not get through it to have that natural immunity. And because the virus is fast spreading the deaths will appear over a short period of time. Flu is not as fast spreading so it means that the deaths are spread out over time so that most people can get treatment when they present with issues. Imagine a hospital that is full to the brim with sick people and a person shows up with covid and is in the middle of an asthma attack Vitamin D is a great help to many people but there is deficiency levels in China that have never been addressed. .
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  132. Germany used to be Prussia.
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  133. You think Spain is in the economic standing to do that?
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  134. US has a large number of them but is not processing them. Places like Australia and Canada also have rare earths but do not have a well developed market place.
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  135. They are not raising interest rates to stave off a recession. They expect that recession to happen as a certainty. They are raising interest rates to stop inflation. And their primary reason for doing that is because once inflation starts it can be very difficult to stop and can play out of decades. In 1970 the US inflation rate was about 6% and by 1980 it was at 14%. With there being periods during that of peak inflation hitting 24%.
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  136. Australia has been in a very restrictive property market for the last 25 years. The housing stock in places like sydney was very low in the year 2000 and it has never been address and the amount of regulations restricting development has increased.
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  137. The Balloon shows how desperate China really is. Balloons are 1950s level technology and were around in war for longer than that. What this really demonstrates is that Chinese intelligence through satellites and aerial surveillance is several decades behind the other players. But why is anybody surprised by this?
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  138. Storing oil above ground is complex and building underground capacity is very expensive and beyond Russian industrial capabilities.
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  139. Dollar is just a name and was never a structural natural market device of trade. No two countries dollars are alike.
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  140. Trump did some good administrative work and some good policy work but his divisive character that he was playing really damaged his ability to function as president at the executive level. Even some of his own appointments worked against him.
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  141. Russian culture has a desired to have an empire that stretches from the Bering Sea to the Atlantic. In their mind that is the only way they can be safe and secure in their position. Russia has always had that desire going back centuries. Whether it was the Tsars or Salin it always had one mind set of expansion. If Ukraine falls Europe need not be under no other impression that Russia is going for broke. Russia will not settle with just plugging the gap at Poland.
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  142. There is not enough young people out there for many of these countries to import.
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  143. No. It has to do with staying on America's good side.
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  144. US has no shortage of fertilizer production as it is a by-product of oil and gas industry.
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  145. The problem is what is to stop Russia from then invading Europe? That is one of the real reason so many European leaders are freaked out.
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  146. US prices difference in sectors are different from the likes of Taiwan and that applies vice versa. Unless there is a common factor such as component or raw commodity that both regions source from. The US does most of its trade internally with only about 5% reliant on international.
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  147.  @gausselim1474  It is unfortunate because there are going to be companies that make good products that are going to fall into decline. We are going to see a few slew of kodak's popping up.
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  148. European countries are not suppose to use deficit spending. Many of them simply do not have the financial power to carry out deficit spending to plug the problem because they are already in deficit trying to support their welfare state programs. Gone are the days of having a large cake and eating what they want they are going to have to make sacrifice's such as not having energy or not having pharma.
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  149. It is more than just greens which are bad enough on their own. Germany has built its economic output on that cheap energy but at the same time has a demographic crisis on the horizon. So even if they could bring a solution to the table for energy they will then be walking straight into another massive issue.
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  150. Europe is like a drug addict that is out of shape, knows it needs to do something but just continues on with its old life style.
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  151.  @raysambath5505  ICBMS only go at those speeds when they are in a large arc decent they do not perform that at level flight. But it is a myth that they cannot stop fast moving targets because that speed limited of Patriots are in accent and it is possible to know what their speeds are for decent as it is classified. The defence missiles abilities are really defined by targeting, tracking and computation.
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  152.  @VilkatisJanis  The US is not a threat to anybody. The only time the US becomes a threat is when a country or culture starts attacking its interests. And with the US there tends to be a period of escalation before it gets to the hot stuff.
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  153. Remember you are talking about Russia in the middle of a war. If it is just minor damage they may get the repairs done quickly but it is not a 24 hour turn around.
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  154. Japan's culture of honor and commitment was developed in a different era and not an industrial city age. He may just a singular anomaly but we cannot rule out that there maybe something else a play.
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  155. US does not benefit from the EU turmoil and may end having to go and fight the wars that spring up later.
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  156. Most major cities in the world will have aircraft coming into them. If you are in certain parts of the city it will be much more noticeable.
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  157. It is not that simply. Many will not have some sort of transition they have their culture and the road has already been built. If a country has 4 million 15 to 20 year old females there is no way that group can have the same number of children as 8 million women in that age group when they marry. Many countries are going to face an economic crash there is just no other way it can happen. Many countries have already slammed on the breaks but they are skidding forward and about to crash.
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  158. Canada, Mexico and US have their own oil and industry to back it. The problem is that Europe thought it was more important to build welfare states, lecture America about morality and do nothing in the world. Europe is now on a fish hook and may end up on the dinner plate at some point.
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  159. Go and do some research on the start of WW2 and look at US relations with Japan before WW2. That may enlighten you a little. The US did sanctions on Japan because they were expanding in the pacific and Asia major. Japan invaded China and other countries. US then put oil embargoes and trade embargo's on Japan. It was a series of economic moves that lead to Japan striking the US in the middle of WW2.
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  160. It will only take one incident from a maritime point of view for a crisis to just mushroom out of that. One uninsured ship getting seized or assets getting impounded would send shockwaves.
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  161. That would not be enough to make the function as an industrial power. TSMC does not dominate higher end chip manufacturing and is a mid level player.
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  162. That is fantasy and you are not going to convince people of that.
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  163. That is pure fantasy and Germany produces nowhere near 50% of their energy needs. The real figure is not even 5%.
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  164. That is nonsense. Afghanistan was one big resource and training camp and had no intention of disbanding that. The Taliban just did not know the intension's of the US because they tended to be very insulated hence why they did not grasp what the US military could do to the place.
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  165. The best presidents are those that held office as a governor. It is not about being smart and having good policy. It is about running an executive.
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  166. That is just a fantasy idea. If narcotics was to be legalized there would always be a black market for something.
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  167. Absolutely zero. It is a made up term for those that think they can plan economics. Those that go on about it would make you believe that a manufacturer can just produce something at no extra cost that lasts for 5 times longer. The reason why a fridge today costs $500 as opposed to $1500 is due to the fact the manufacturer has designed it to be more cheaply made. Nothing to do with planned obsolescence.
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  168. It needs technology and industrial capabilities to exist. It was not a natural place that people settled in.
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  169.  @Telluwide  Nobody can do nation building and that term is just a PR term that has no meaning. It never was a serious move or investment.
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  170. Australia has more people aged from 25 to 45 than it does 45 to 65. And it is quite a significant difference as well. Australia is probably going to have a boom because of that demographic bulge but beyond that there is not that many under the age of 20 but that could change as the current 25 year olds start to have children and get married. What Australia really needs to do is move its culture towards value added economics that means using all that natural resources to fund and supply their own industries. Australia currently has 80 million sheep and there is no reason why that stock cannot be grown and why all that wool cannot be turned into Australian made luxury clothing and use all that cheap coal, oil, gas and solar potential to manufacture those up market well made garments.
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  171. Not even close. Most what was left behind was sabotaged or completely destroyed. Only a few bits of material was remaining.
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  172. The US gave the Soviets in WW2 400,000 vehicles, 25000 tanks, 25000 aircraft, machines for the factories, raw materials, industrial tool sets, ball bearings and even built factories in Russia for them. When people talk about the counter offensive that is how it was able to happen.
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  173. What on earth are you talking about You have just conflated several ideas and rolled them into one.
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  174. Setting up semi conductor plants and industry is very complex and requires lots of capital and the ability to take advantage of market needs.
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  175.  @adamkoslin9302  War games over estimate Russian and Chinese capabilities.
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  176. They are only games and not reality. War that is fought on the battlefield is not the same as war games.
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  177.  @Katoshi_Takagumi  The problem with Raw materials for China from Russia is that there is no means of transporting them at scale. China gets the majority of its oil via the middle east because it can be transported on the sea's but to then try and take that via the sea from Russia would quadruple the cost of the raw material.
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  178. It still shows that Russia needs that ammunition whoever they are getting it from. The question then becomes does Chinese ammo work well with Russian systems.
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  179. As long as people are politically active and willing to keep government in check it will be balanced. Once people are apathetic and not active then anything can happen. I think people have had enough of lockdowns and for it to begin again it would need to be an outbreak deadly enough that people would see it for them self in their own communities.
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  180.  @wesc6755  If you listen to what Peter is imply he is saying in the terms of Russia using Nuclear weapons not that they actually will use them. So what sort of scenario would Russia use them for attack. He is saying they would be more purposeful to use against those cities than within Ukraine that their own troops would then have to occupy. People are being too pedantic with what he is saying rather than trying to absorb the greater meaning.
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  181.  @davidpnewton  The UK does not have a constitution it has a system of crown government. So what on earth do you mean by not true?
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  182. Vaccine risks have been way over played. They are not any more significant than taking over the country medications. What has made it look worse is the fact that everybody has got vaccinated at the same time so it appears like a large number have complications. The problem is that a larger number of infected people have had more complications from the virus.
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  183. Boring is better and does not cost the lives of people.
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  184. Zeihan does it to both sides but people of one side will only hear what they want to hear.
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  185. Sometimes facts hurt people's feelings.
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  186. People do not like to hear the truth. It sometimes challenges their world view.
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  187. People not interested in watching cats they are only interested in what Peter has to say. They most certainly should be edited out.
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  188. What has that got to do with what Peter is talking about?
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  189. The EU does not have the ability to actually federalize.
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  190. An industrialized economy is different from a country just having industry. An industrialized economy is from top to bottom which France did not do. The US was the same it was not from top to bottom. The US was very late to the game.
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  191. In the 1960s German fertility rate was at 2.5 which means it is in growth.
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  192. It does not function at all. It is a place that has starvation as a norm, constantly has disease outbreaks and is not able to project any sort of power. At some point there is going to be a rebellion there of some sort.
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  193.  @emmanuelmasindi2390  No body believes those figures of 10,000 to 20,000 for army trying to invade another country with an army over the space of a year. For the level of action to only have 10,000 causalities would be absurd at best. You need to lay of the sources and look at reality of war not the entertainment version.
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  194. It depends on how much resources the EU, UK, US, Canada, Japan and Australia throw at Moldova.
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  195. Cruise missiles can use precision guidance systems. Iranian drones are not precision systems.
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  196. Peter has never said that Russia was strong compared to the west. This is really Ukraines first tango so it was assumed that Russia would flatten them. The war is not yet over and for all we know Russia could outlast Ukraine. Will need to wait and see how this all goes down.
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  197.  @davidandrews1715  It was a period of hard choices that had to be made. the 1980s economics of the US was a response to the sloppy 1970s policies that encouraged expansion. If the UK had of followed the US lead in cutting taxes at the same time and deregulating they would have expanded their market base but instead the UK media and the unions along with members of parliament decided cutting taxes was not a good thing so only limited amounts of tax cuts happened.
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  198. If you sold at the top of the market and are mortgage free you can now use that money to buy a property in a lower priced area and be mortgage free.
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  199. I would suggest you first read the book Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham that was written in 1949. It is based on his older book Security Analysis that was written during the great depression. It can become your investment bible that you use to develop your knowledge and act as a reference. If you are a young german with no family dependents look at emigrating to the US.
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  200. It will be a mixture of new models and older models. All of them are probably been fitted out with modern comms and firing systems. As long as they can communicate with a level of precision the older tanks will be formidable and probably capable of outperforming the most up to date Russian tanks.
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  201. I would love to see Peter on Joe Rogan or Lex and have a good 2 hour talk.
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  202. Why would you be excited about something that will take 60 years to play out. There are things that are much closer to be excited about such as mini fission reactors, natural gas, clean coal, robotics, ai, nanotechnology, biotechnology and computer interfaces such as VR.
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  203. It is all a fantasy.
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  204. Tesla being a success does not mean that all cars can be electric in 10 years time. There simply is not enough copper on earth to have every car as electric and to have renewable. For electric cars to be a reality it will need better battery energy storage and charging, development of a new alloy to replace copper and then a national scale build out of charging power points and so on. That is not a 10 year development.
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  205. Probably never unless they feel there is an advantage to it.
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  206. The real question is can the US actually do anything about it.
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  207. It will be a slow withdrawal but it will happen.
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  208. US economic machine is the trust.
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  209. Every country needs to be focused on its own culture.
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  210. You simply do not understand the US dollar then. The USD is based on the internal trade of the US economy that then means new currency is created. The reason they use QE is because they allow so much money to go abroad to other economies for trade so they have to make up the shortage of currency in US banking transactions. Several large banks in the US ran out of cash that could be used for trade even though they had very healthy balances of reserves but not the cash in clearing to be sent. So when you hear QE it has nothing to do with government needing money.
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  211. Scottish oil as in UK oil is important but on its own it would never sustain Scotland as an economy. Scotland had a point economically where it could have went independent but that is now long past.
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  212.  @metablue4454  The CIA as a whole is an intelligence organisation that does research and presents it to the presidency. I think people think of the CIA as in the movie version of the agent in the field or those analysts scheming in politics. 99% of the CIA is nothing more than a bureaucracy of intelligence and report writing. You will find that the politics of Washington is doing most of the scheming not the CIA. I am not saying there are not officers in the CIA, FBI or military that are not using their position of division for political means.
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  213.  @b.griffin317  Have you no headphones?
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  214. US is the world's largest oil producer and gas producer. The US imports very little energy and what it goes import is really used as part of energy training. The vast majority of US electricity is Coal, Gas and Nuclear and there is no threat to that at all. Do not confuse shutdown economics with natural abilities and production.
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  215.  @giovanni-ed7zq  Lottering munitions would probably be more effective as they would provide data of enemy positions but also lead to more accurate targeting. In a large scale offensive the ability to target accurately with information is key. Drones can start to make artillery warfare as accurate as missile warfare.
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  216. High taxes on lower workers is one way of destroying the birth rate. Most young people in such a system realize that they cannot afford to have children and will leave it off until they feel they have a better economic situation but if you study the field you will realize that it never gets better economically. Many will be in their thirties paying rent with no ability to buy a home or start a family. They tend to work unusual hours and more hours to just break even and it is happening to both men and women at the exact same time. Every European country has gone through this exact same transition and the results are predictable every time. Yet when you point it out to people that are in power they will just not care.
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  217.  @thomasherrin6798  None of the regions of the UK or Ireland has that sort of time or luxury to settle their problems. Ireland has no natural resources of significance that would allow it to function independently. Ireland only produces about 20% of its energy which is nowhere near where it needs to be. So what is more than likely to happen to the UK and Ireland is that the world will pass them by before they realize what they should have done. Irish culture is also so heavily invested into the EU project that it will be collapsing and they will still be out selling its virtues of a gone by era.
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  218. The Canadian system focuses on skilled workers that have college degrees and 10 to 15 years of post qualified experience. Most will not own a home until they are in Canada several years. I know this may not seem important but it will most certainly have an impact on the birth rate. For Canada to survive it really needs to now start having several children per birth age women which is impossible at this point. Canadian immigration is also too small to deal with the scale of the demographics trap that Canada is in. I will ask you a question do you think that Canada is capable of doing it right which means lowering the skills requirements for immigrants so that the numbers coming in would be focused on young people?
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  219. Canada is a much better destination than Germany. Peter is not saying that Canada will become a deadzone overnight. Would you not consider Australia as a destination as well. What is your professional field?
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  220. It is not a banking problem. Companies are getting caught out with having all their eggs in the low interest basket. Now that interest rates are risking many are finding them self below interest water level.
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  221. That reads like some school academic project there. A lot of wishful thinking.
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  222. That is complete nonsense. Who are you trying to kid?
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  223. China is going to collapse and so are several other cotton producers so be lucky that he was not talking about India. His point was not about how great those cotton producing countries are but how they are going to fall out of the global supply chain.
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  224. His point was that a small high output plant could complete with large plants in Asia. Now when that is applied to the whole of the southern cotton industry it will be enormous. He is not literally saying to set up a micro plant with just two software engineers. He is saying it will take a lot less staff than an Asian plant and have far higher outputs. It is the reason why a US worker has about 20 times more productive output than a Chinese worker. To staff the machines in a asian plant takes about 250 workers and that is just production staff not maintenance or technical staff. US plant production will be automated.
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  225. That Texas industry is going to creep up into border states but also make its way across into areas like Florida. It is not too hard to imagine that the southern states are about to become the main economic hubs of America.
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  226. There has always been challenges with the water levels.
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  227.  @atkkeqnfr  It is the only tool Russia has because its weapons and military culture is not as advanced as the west. They will be using a large volume of bodies in the form of conscripts and auxiliary units to form the mass of the front line offensive. That is exactly what Peter is also saying in the video. Everybody knows it is coming even Ukraine with its demands for tanks and more artillery systems. Ukraine has the advantage of fixed defensive systems and a large mobile cohort that can try and move behind and around Russian lines. Be under no other impression about what the next phase of the war is.
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  228. That may be fine and dandy but what Ukraine will also need is loiter munitions that can be used in the field by their troops. Hopefully that is what the new Stryker's will be used for.
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  229.  @ivancho5854  It is far easier technologically to do carbon and waste scrubbing at coal energy plants than it is to build out a complete renewable system. i am not that worried about climate change but what does bother me is local and regional pollution that will work its way into local soil, food supplies, air quality and so on.
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  230. When the latte sipping green hippies are living in a brutal new world their views may change.
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  231. American still retained most of its manufacturing and industry and most US trade is internal. Other countries especially Europeans have not done as well.
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  232. Narrow ai tools still need to be developed to make it to the next stage of general ai. There is a lot to be gained from narrow ai before we get anywhere near the super complex developments. In 20 years time ai will look a lot different from today but not in the next 2 years.
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  233. If you are near a farm that supplies them you may get a good price.
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  234. That is all fantasy.
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  235.  @karlcx  Still better than the European "free" colleges.
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  236. Trades and technical college qualifications are going to star to come back into fab. What will happen is that many companies that do not have the labor market will start to create that training. Companies with a small investment can easily fund a local trade college.
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  237.  @gausselim1474  There is several different combinations of overseas outsourcings. From simply buying of products made by factories based in an Asian countries through to full plant build out in an asian country and lots of different options in between that as well. There are medium sized companies that would have revenues in the hundreds of millions that have invested into Asian countries because for many that was the environment they functioned in. I for years had my businesses undercut by businesses that were outsourced and I had whole firms of consultants trying to advise me to outsource to bring down costs. There was lot of pressure out there on small and medium sized enterprises. The good to come out of this is that new competitors will pop up in the US hence why a market economy has all the advantages.
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  238. I do not think they can fix it. Germany will have an energy cost increase at the same time it has a population decrease. That could end up with their products cost much more than it does. A VW golf at £25000 is a lot more attractive than one at £45000.
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  239. Germany industrial energy has been cheap. That cost basis is not going to go up several fold.
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  240.  @klowen7778  Automation still requires employees to run the businesses. Some of the most automated business organisations on the planet are the web tech companies but they still require thousands of people to oversee all of that. Google has 100,000 employees, Microsoft has 200,000 and Apple has 300,000. No matter what people tell you about automation it still requires humans to operate it. What are you going to see is small companies in the US outputting like a large company and having a few hundred employees and this will be replicated throughout every county in America.
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  241. What the US footed for many years was a price worth paying as it meant there was no major conflicts in the world.
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  242. The European CAP system is going to cost trillions, common fishing policies has meant that countries that have no right to be fishing have all of a sudden got a fishing industry where they go and take fish from places like Ireland and the UK.
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  243.  @NickSteffen  Producing lots of cheap plastic products for western markets does not make the Chinese economy the worlds largest manufacturer. Neither does importing most of its food and pretending that it has manufactured that food.
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  244. The new systems are upgraded so who knows what variant the Ukrainians have. It could be PAC-3 or maybe even 4.
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  245. Cry cry cry all you want but the facts are the facts.
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  246.  @mcinnisj100  Those countries can choose to be poverty stricken if they want to by playing with their own currencies. OPEC countries have been claiming that they would have their own currency from the foundations of the group. For all that money that they earned from Oil they have not built one value added economy. Every production centre within the OPEC economic space has been built by the western US dollar economy.
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  247.  @maciejzwolinski2381  The reason we do not have an economic model comparable is that we have not seen a country since the era of the Roman Empire that imported the majority of its raw materials and then export the majority of its productivity. We do not have a modern world example that would allow us to compute such a situation. During the era of the black death or even industrial revolution there is no comparable system to that of China. Take Japan for example it is an export driven country and imports most of its raw materials and has a falling population but has built out its industrial base over the last 40 years to be heavily automated and now requires less of a workforce than it did 25 years ago. It literally cannot be compared to China even though they have the same problem.
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  248.  @Withnail1969  You are correct most US oil cannot be used for efficient diesel production but how does that qualify your opening statement "it's not true though". The US does not need most of its oil for petrochemicals.
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  249. If Germany had of planned out their nuclear and clean coal plants they would not be facing the same level of issues right now. But they would not have had the manufacturing advantage they had over the last 3 decades.
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  250. No advantage at all. Solar is not realistic for individual because the moment everybody would want it the price would shoot up and the availability simply would not b viable.
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  251. @Chas G The reason you think that is because you have a more romantic notion of European countries which in part has been pushed by American media. You will see it in films were they will present Europeans as this culturally diverse group that travel between their countries. In reality most Europeans do not travel and are not aware of other cultures. The most common type of travel in Europe is a 2 week vacation in Spain which is the equivalent of somebody in the US going to Florida, Caribbean Islands or Mexico. Peter is talking about Geopolitics and the only country on earth that offers protection to other countries is the US. If it was not for the US the European continent would now be the USSR and Asia would be the People's Republic.
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  252. Turkey's issue is not the Kurds it is the PKK.
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  253. It may walk like a duck, quack like a duck but swims like a plastic toy. We all may know what is going on but that is not proof.
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  254. The US is not printing extra currency to make it self rich it is doing so to make sure there is enough in supply. The great depression happened because the federal reserve was too conservative and it led to a situation where money in the economy was in short supply.
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  255. I do not believe that to be the case. Well educated women have families as well. The problem is the economic state and technological society has removed the reality of nature and environment form most peoples world view. Most people are apathetic to the realities of the world. Most do not even know where their food comes from or their energy.
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  256. The biggest problem is extracting them from the devices in an efficient manner.
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  257. The russians have built their energy export market around the easy distribution market such as Europe. To try and send that oil to Asian to make up for that loss is going to be 5 times more expensive. Which in turn will drive up the cost of the oil to the consumer which will not be cheaper.
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  258. Sort of but hard to know if it would exactly play out the same.
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  259. It is either a political overreaction to crazy acrtivist or it is a real coup d'etat.
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  260.  @Cas8228  What the US needs is more technical workers who have vocational training rather than academic training in a university. There are business that will need high end academic engineers and scientists but most workers will not be that. The sorts of workers the US will need is high school graduates who have work based apprenticeships and technical qualifications to go with that. Those people will be educated in fields like controls systems, power systems, manufacturing computer systems, wiring techniques and so on. The US has a large number of people that can do that sort of work but it takes time to build that which I think the US can manage to do. One year of vocation work based training would produce a skilled worker and after several years that individual would be an expert.
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  261.  @MarcosElMalo2  Yes and that means it is not easily transported. The cost of transport will drive up the cost of Chinese production by a factor of 50. That means it will not be competitive nor will it be stable for economic growth.
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  262. Nonsense.
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  263. Nope. That is not going to help them function for industrial output. Both the Taiwanese, Korean and Israeli semiconductor industry is functioning through US industry.
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  264. From the US.
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  265. If they were not so aggressive and dangerous they would be allowed to continue developing on the backs of Western industry and science.
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  266.  @vision2080  He is not a fan of Trump or Biden but will look at what they do and praise some of it and criticize others efforts that are not good.
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  267. It is simple China has no microchip industry and just has a series of plants that are based on investments. None of this is complex and does not require what you think matches up.
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  268.  @dickthung945  It is more than just knowing and learning and requires that time to build out infrastructure, education and a creative industry that grows. There are several deep industrial areas that have to be developed to achieve what the US has done.
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  269.  @Timo-qb1gf  Yeah strip mining all that copper is really cheap and friendly to the environment. More like 100 tons of displacement.
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  270. Grain storage is complex at best.
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  271. It does not matter if you think Biden is fit or not they choose him over Trump. And will probably do the same again no matter what we think. If Republicans put DeSantos up for election then that would be a different story.
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  272. It is a more hands off government. It shows that a state does not need everything to be micromanaged. So in texas county commissioners, councils and mayors have more power. Revenue to run those services is done through property taxes.
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  273. You missed his point Javelins are not part of the US military backbone things like Helicopters, fighter jets, carriers and tanks are. The US even has the ability to convert tanks over to being missile launchers as it was previously explored. Even Humvees can be fitted out to take on tanks especially since several Humvee style trucks would cost the same as a tank but that does not mean they can replace a tank.
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  274.  @QuizmasterLaw  Russia integration with the EU was always a fantasy of the Europeans but was never a reality. Neither was NATO membership. It was not to say that Russia could not be brought into the fold at some point but they as a culture rejected all such ideas with their own decisions.
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  275. Russia's problem right now is not that it lacks troops but it lacks the ability to deploy them without it calling for total war. That will be a one time deal that they will not be able to easily call up again. Putin has chess pieces on the board but does not want to use them but that presents its own problems.
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  276. I do no think it matters that much to be honest. It is just sabre rattling.
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  277. Demographics and economics are effectively one in the same. Demographic collapse is going unravel most of the world's major economies and that in turn will feed back into the demographic collapse.
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  278. Europe's energy crisis is not about people dying from cold. It is about their industries not being able to manufacture at the same cheap prices as before. Germany is clearly going to be impacted by this the most. Germany industry is going to see a 8 fold increase in the base cost of its industrial energy inputs. And that is being optimistic at best. That does not mean that their products will cost 8 times more when manufactured but it will put a significant cost on he production of a product. So a German car that cost €50000 and look attractive and luxurious may still keep that luxurious standard but all of a sudden it may cost €55000.
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  279. The problem in Europe has never been about heating homes or dying from cold. It has always been about industrial processes namely in Germany but also other locations.
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  280. None of that will help industry deal with the gas supply decline. There is just no other outcome when Russia is not supply the gas. The reason why Russian gas has been used was due to its being cheap. LNG and build other gas lines is not cheap nor will it keep prices down.
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  281. Phoenix is one of those places that could use solar power to feed into the cooling system that houses use so that the main grid is not under as much load.
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  282. Harsh? US birth rate goes up and down based on various factors. In the late 1970s US birth rate was 1.8 but but by the 1980s it was above 2 and stayed that way for nearly 25 years. German birth rate for the last 40 years has stayed below 2. Facts do not care about our feelings.
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  283. Not at all. US industry is going to need IT people to run their systems. Especially manufacturing centers. Those machines use networking and operation systems to both control and monitor outputs. Even a building system today uses control systems. The key to success is to be flexible and to try and multidisciplinary your self. Your CS background could be the basis of that. There is nothing stopping you from adding a few extra career sets in their such as electronics, electrical systems or even mechanical systems. One of the big growth areas is electromechanical systems and that will be needed more than ever as US manufacturing is built out.
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  284.  @gviehmann  Take that with a pinch of salt. There is always a cover story.
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  285. It is not a stop gap and will be part of the Japanese missile defence system.
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  286. The satellites act as a primary intelligence that then allows the drones to move into an area and get real time firing data.
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  287.  @papasmurf9146  Ukraine was never considered to be part of NATO. It was a story that constantly gets brought up over and over but was never a reality. If Russia does not win this war it will now be surround on the western front by NATO.
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  288. South Korea would maul North Korea in a war. It would be worse than what the Russians are facing in Ukraine. The technological difference between South and North is of such a level as comparing the US today with Europe in the 1940s. The gap is that wide.
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  289.  @andrewmunro5915  Denmark, Sweden, Norway, UK, Ireland, Australia, Argentina, New Zealand, France and US all have ok demographics. Outside of that most of the west is facing a demographic collapse.
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  290. Australia has a higher number of 25 to 45 year olds than it does 45 to 65 year olds and it is quite a significant difference as well.
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  291. So can you explain what you mean.
    2
  292. One of Russia allies today is China but they simply are not able to help them.
    2
  293.  @waynesworldofsci-tech  I do not disagree with much of what you have stated. I simply do not trust the numbers coming out of Russia.
    2
  294. We can all guess how bad they are but we do not know. Russian nuclear arsenal may not be as active or capable as people think but who would really want to test that?
    2
  295. It maybe too early to say that as of yet so caution needs to be used in expectations.
    2
  296.  @FoxtrotYouniform  I think it is a lot more than email servers and that they must have human intelligence as well.
    2
  297. He is trying to offer caution because we do not know exactly what Russian capabilities are.
    2
  298. They are when certain types of products are to be made with the steel.
    2
  299. He is not saying that he is saying it will play its part in certain parts of the US where it is either windy or sunny. The basis of US cheap energy is natural gas.
    2
  300. But no industry to develop steel. If Australia could get its head out it could really achieve something but will time be on its side.
    2
  301. Australia has everything it needs to build a manufacturing economy.
    2
  302. By hustler you mean hard worker?
    2
  303. It will be interesting too see if China starts crossing the Rubicon and supplies weapons to Russia in an overt fashion.
    2
  304. The difference in that period was that Germany was rising and coming to a position of aggression. Russian in this instance is rising to war but on the back of legacy and when they use all of that it could be massive decline on the other side.
    2
  305. 1929 was just a normal recession that got turned into a period of stagnation and then economic collapse. One of the biggest issues of that period was that the federal reserve would not use QE.
    2
  306. 2008 was a banking crisis, credit crunch and a correction in the economy. That was no mere recession and was a collection of different things.
    2
  307. Europe is in a better place in Energy than China. The problem for Europe is that they cannot produce its manufactured products namely Germany at prices seen for the last few decades.
    2
  308. What exactly do you think the Chinese are going to pull off?
    2
  309.  @Felkelf  Each jab is different and the health risks are different. People have to weigh up the risk factors against the risk of the disease. People do that all the time when they get a prescription from a doctor or partake in a medical procedure. Even getting a filling at the dentist carries risks.
    2
  310. You are not listening to what he is saying. He never said it did not come from a lab. He is saying it was not engineered because there is evidence to show that it is engineered.
    2
  311. Most certainly those with a certain city political outlook would look down on Iowa and turn their noses up at agri.
    2
  312. Fossil fuels are processed and that means the part that is best for plastics gets used for that and the process separates the petrol and diesel parts. Very little of it is actually wasted.
    2
  313. But that could also trap Russia.
    2
  314. He is not saying it would make sense he is saying it could be a reason why they use them not that it is even likely but maybe the most likely use of them.
    2
  315. They tend to be republicans that are sympathetic to Putin for whatever reason they have. Democrats have that same wing as well but it was mostly purged following the democratic party hysteria following 2016.
    2
  316. Yes they intend to march beyond Ukraine.
    2
  317. US has no shortage of energy nor does it have an issue with falling population.
    2
  318. Joe Rogan would be an amazing platform for him to be on.
    2
  319. The Russians are suppose to have run and left their equipment behind. We will only know in the next few weeks how that plays out.
    2
  320. It does not stop the drug trade and gang culture. It also can create the groundwork for something else to come through later on that is much bigger and more powerful.
    2
  321. I think there is merit in what Dan Crenshaw is doing but it will not stop the cartel as a whole.
    2
  322. Deglobalization started to slow down in the mid 2010s but is now going into reverse but that process is going to start accelerating in the next 3 years.
    2
  323. How would they glass army that say reaches Moscow? It is easy to say just use nuclear weapons but if the forces are already present in Russia it would mean having to use those weapons within Russia.
    2
  324. US income taxes are lower than Sweden for the vast majority of workers.
    2
  325. You are talking crap. Frances demographics are down to the people of France. Immigration has no impact on it in any significant way.
    2
  326. Sweden has more people aged 20 to 35 than it does from 45 to 65. That is described as a demographic bulge.
    2
  327. It is worth having children over all those risks.
    2
  328. That is all fantasy. Who is going to consume within the Netherlands and Germany?
    2
  329. That is the problem with Japan it has a central planning approach to its economy. The very thing that caused the problem is the very thing that is trying to fix it.
    2
  330. Japan has a highly automated industry that had the US as its primary growth market. China and Germany are not going to have that. I think you really misunderstand reality.
    2
  331. Once there is a demographic collapse there will be an economic collapse. Ireland is one of the few examples to have gone through that in the 1800s. Population of Ireland (republic counties) in 1840 was in excess of 5 million and in 1940 was 2.9 million. in 2022 it rose to above 5 million for the first time since 1840s. So once a population decreases there is economic fallout which in turn accelerates that population decline. People assume once fertility drops down to just below 2 it can easily be increased back above it again. A 1.6 is an extraordinarily low figure
    2
  332. Their reserves are probably larger than what is being stated so as to not have political pressure put on them to increase their output.
    2
  333. Paid sick days is a terrible idea. It sounds great to a reasonable person because most people would never abuses such a system but there are those that will abuse it and it will cost more for everybody else.
    2
  334. They are paid above average industrial wages. Their salaries are better than those that work in food plants, supermarkets, construction and so on. They have some of the best safety standards of the industrial world. Their collective bargaining has enabled that. Paid sick leave is not a thing they should be pushing for. If they want that they just need to start up their own insurance system that could get government capital to start with and then be self sustaining with payments from employees.
    2
  335. Unions have a bad rap because since the 1920s they have been heavily infiltrated by Marxists who simply are not interested in the workers. In the UK the USSR had infiltrated the unions which culminated in the UK unions trying to bring down the UK economy in the 1970s when it was on its knees after the war.
    2
  336. I am afraid that is just nonsense.
    2
  337. if Unions want to thrive they need to push free market economics the forefront of American culture. That means less regulations on American industry but it does not mean no regulations at all. It just means being more efficient with regulations. None of this is complicated. If American water ways were open trade with in the US would become more efficient. At present about 85% if US trade is internal and with good waterways, local manufacturing, good ports, good train ports and so on that figure could end up higher than 90% which would dramatically improve a middle class working economy.
    2
  338. It has nothing to do with quality of life.
    2
  339. It will cause them problems but not of the scale that will do the company any harm. Tesla Asian market is not that big as of yet and they are intending their production in China to take advantage of that. But the retaliate is that Tesla simply has not even used their full capabilities in the US or European markets.
    2
  340. Japan had the ability to go out and capture oil but it is impossible to go out and capture chips and advanced manufacturing. China does not have the foundation that Japan had in the 1930s.
    2
  341. He has not asked for Troops. Russia has not even used their own troops fully.
    2
  342.  @nomadundercover3018  Russia has a massive reserve of Iron, Copper, Oil and gas. A war culture is one that goes all out for war. That means all production is switched to that of war. I am not suggesting that Russia would come anywhere close to the west in that production but it most certainly could produce enough scale that would enable it to flatten Ukraine to a barren land. Right now Russia is not at that point and the longer it can be kept from that the better chance of a stalemate.
    2
  343. How do you find somebody that is neutral about geopolitics that is based on geography?
    2
  344.  @WorldWide-q8v  Russian oil levels are not at pre war levels. China cannot buy the oil at the same rate that Russia was selling to Europe. It is absurd that anybody would even try to suggest that. There is no infrastructure that would allow such transports of oil at those scales.
    2
  345. Ohio train derailment will have little impact on US crops.
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  346. Yes the Russian civilians will go along with the government. There is something like an 80% support level for the Russian government at present.
    2
  347.  @marilenaganea6578  They can dream all they want but the moment they come into the cross hairs of Russia all of that will disappear. A 250,000 army with lots of resources could be headache for Russia who are going to face a lot of losses in Ukraine even if they win.
    2
  348. Age also has to be factored into the systems durability. Most Russian equipment is pre mid 1980s. Russia suffered a manufacturing break down in the 1980s as their economy was collapsing at that point.
    2
  349. They are backing out over fear not the ability to repay. Once that fear has subsided people may start to pile in again.
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  350. It can also cause US dollars to become less available and in turn cause inflation to rise. They need to cool that demand first of all with higher interest rates that will slow the rate of capital available. If they do not do that what will happen is that other markets will use US capital to buy up more US dollars that in turn will cause capital to flee their base markets. No matter where they step somebody is going to get squashed.
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  351. In this case it is the starting point with the pandemic disrupting supply chains.
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  352. They will do it as there will be a capital flight out of Europe. The UK market has the tools to enable it to dampen the outward flow of capital without doing anything to drastic. Since you have pointed out that it has not happened in decades that answer your question any small amount of control will look like the sky is falling.
    2
  353.  @donatoferioli7426  What has rich and poor got to do with anything?
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  354. He is not telling you to do that he is telling you what will probably happen.
    2
  355. Variable interest rates are used in America as well it is just that the banks in America have more capital and better markets so they can offer better deals with the their fixed rates and it is far cheaper to get a fixed rate in the US than Australia. The only downside is that fixed rates are only as reliable as the bank/fund/organisation that guarantees it in contract. Nothing is truly set in stone and those really good value fixed rates could disappear even if a person has a contract stating their obligations of borrowing.
    2
  356. The alternative to high interest rates in the 1980s was countries going bankrupt as inflation ran out of control.
    2
  357.  @QuizmasterLaw  That does not make any sense what you are saying.
    2
  358. Russian culture is failing and in that failure comes the greatest danger. It is the same state of affairs with China.
    2
  359. The under laying issues that they have such as demographics, food and energy are all going do dictate.
    2
  360. You forgot and left out the part that the DC transmission system requires superconducting bridges at the power generation side and power scaling side.
    2
  361. It is fantasy to think that this will play out in the short term. This is a research milestone nothing else. It is not the big breakthrough that will make it easier to produce.
    2
  362. He is being polite with the 70 year figure as the reality is that the reaction that was done as part of the experiment into fusion is not a viable energy generation system. He is pointing out the obvious to people that do not understand.
    2
  363. EV have a nice smooth drive and have a unique power feeling especially when you accelerate but they are a luxury product and not a general market product.
    2
  364. The whole plastic and rubber thing has been way over played. The leftwing media is only talking about it because of the large volumes of it that end in the ocean but with a little bit of research they could easily figure out which countries are dumping into the oceans on an industrial scale.
    2
  365. If you are talking about trains then the fantasy of a coast to coast high speed network that can some how magically service every state is nothing more than pure nonsense. There maybe a case within in a state of between city areas for high speed train but the reality of that is not that convincing. california needs to spend in excess of 100 billion to build such a system but in reality that would probably double when the project actually gets started. And exactly what would be the purpose of that?
    2
  366.  @michaelpettersson4919  They are cheap but also shows desperation on their behalf. Not even during the cold war was Balloons used in that capacity because they were easily tracked and could be intercepted. I suspect the US military would not have actually shot it down if it was not for the public outcry and they would have used it for counter intelligence.
    2
  367.  @hex5874  if they do not care about made in America they will not be given access to the US market. It is that simple and will end up where they used to be as imported cars cost more than American cars. If BMW want to sell half a million cars in the US every year they will need to get their finger out and the same applies to Mercedes.
    2
  368. So you are saying that Lincoln, Cadillac and Buick are not as good as the German cadre. That is some fanboy logic going on there. If the Germans cannot sell their cars in America it most certainly will affect them no matter how people try to spin it.
    2
  369. But do they use American engineered components or are they imported from European manufacturing? The rules are quite specific with the components needing to have been produced in America and certified as American.
    2
  370.  @peteg6118  Assembly does not count it has to be a component that is manufactured in the US.
    2
  371. None of the developing countries actually have a true market economy. They tend to be top down economies controlled through special political panel. You could hand many of them 100 billion tomorrow and they simply could not do anything with it.
    2
  372. Not all US oil reserves are cleared for public economic reserves. Many have been tied up in economic orders. Every president has sight through executive orders barring prospects from processing. The US has not even begun to tap into its shale reserves of oil or gas.
    2
  373.  @attilaann5686  US does not need to seize Russia heavy crude.
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  374.  @georgeford6506  It is a lot of nonsense that is why he will not talk about it.
    2
  375. I have heard the same thing 15 years ago from various sources. There was claims after 2008 crash that Russia had this massive reserve of gold and that everybody was just going to go over and join up with them. China came next with everybody claiming it would be the dominant currency. There was even people claiming it would be the Euro. They have all moved on now to the fantasy BRICs currency but they cannot tell you what it will be. There are those still claiming it would be Bitcoin but they cannot tell you how such a currency would service the market never mind the fact no body actually knows about it.
    2
  376.  @Mehwhatevr  There are currencies that are actually pegged by their government. There is currently 65 currencies that governments peg to the US dollar.
    2
  377. US national debt is not actually the figure that is claimed. Most of that is liabilities and accounting exercises within the government with no repayment structures or holdings. Real US debt is half that of GDP but it also is stacked against total assets that run into the trillions in value.
    2
  378. People at some point have to get sick of all this aggressive media politics. I suspect that the younger generations coming through are not as into it.
    2
  379. They could have both represented the populist sides of their political divide and still got things done. Trump's political character created too many enemies to the point that he could get nothing done and people disliked him, Obama made a lot of promises and then never worked with democrats/republicans in congress to get things done. Trump got stuff through congress with the democrats on various issues but his political character was to abrasive and crazy.
    2
  380.  @karunama3771  FDT and Eisenhower are to great presidents but they were men of their era.
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  381. Crypto has value but trying to establish what that value is will be a difficult task. It is about to become a trading currency for many in the developing world as they will need a functioning currency of sorts.
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  382. @U.S. Grant Let me guess you think that gold back currency is better.
    2
  383. Chinese economy has property exposure of about 50%.
    2
  384. 11% interest in Russia will not address the underlying conditions in its economy.
    2
  385.  @ElementaryWatson-123  Supply chain issues are the driving force behind inflation. It has nothing to do with QE. The reason the US uses QE is because too much of its currency is used on a global scale and not enough is available for internal economic markets. The US banking system on several occasions has had a shortage of liquidity when pressure is brought on them. That QE is not used to prop up the US system but is used to try and stabilize the world. If the US was to move away from being the world reserve currency that would bring better long term economic benefits.
    2
  386. You can try and convince yourself of all of that.
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  387. Nope not even close.
    2
  388. The difference this time is that Germany is not fighting the Anglo World like it did in WW2. The reason why Germany could not push beyond operation Barbarossa was due to them fighting a war on too many fronts. Part 2 would be completely different with the full might of modern German industry being used to build a European wide military effort and with French and British industrial power chipping in as well. I think we all know where the world is heading.
    2
  389. Nope that is not what happened. Germany was never going to choose sides with Russia because Germany full well knows it would be junior partner and as such could be invaded at a later date.
    2
  390. Taiwan has a massive air force, naval defences and a missile system for defences. China will be hitting its head against a wall doing that.
    2
  391.  @AJourneyOfYourSoul  Why did so many vote for Trudeau? That question is easy to answer most voters are doing so by a public image they see through the medium of TV.
    2
  392.  Morgan Allen  The whole catholic population thing in Ireland is very misleading as there is no such religion as Protestantism but even putting that aside Ireland is not a country that is active it tends to be passive and reactive to the world. The republic of Ireland's biggest problem is that it is too heavily invested in the EU project. The EU will be collapsing and Ireland as a culture will still be pushing the EU as some sort of virtue. The whole of the media class and political class in Ireland are pro EU. There is simply no sceptaism of the EU on any significant level in Ireland. It is so bad in Ireland that the country gave up its fishing waters which is as value as Norwegian oil.
    2
  393.  @MrBradogg  I am afraid you are wrong the poisonous kangaroos are allergic to beach's, pools and women in bikini's. Every person who has been infected by those Kangaroos have to go through a detox sunbathing program and moderate amounts of cocktails and ice cream. Summer is a tough period in Australia especially around Sydney with all those young men with their tops off and women in tight shorts.
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  394. That is all pure fantasy see.
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  395. US national debt is not based on promisaries. Meaning it cannot be called.
    2
  396. SVB has a very low depositor rate. Meaning they have lots of large corporate depositors that have large sums of money.
    2
  397. There is an old saying never put all your eggs in one basket. Roku who had 2 billion cash on hand in 2022 should know better.
    2
  398. What ai do you think is challenging jobs?
    2
  399. That 1865 figure that people keep quoting is in relation to Japan industrializing its Navy. Japan was considered to be the first Asian nation to industrialize its navy.
    2
  400.  @krakhedd  By second he was referring to Japan not the US or China. He did make a slip up at one point and said China when he meant Japan. These things are to be expected when doing live videos on a trek.
    2
  401. Lennon, Stalin and all the leaders in Russia after that were not jewish. SO what on earth are you talking about?
    2
  402. The US south is already a massive manufacturing centre.
    2
  403. Does not have enough supply of water and then in hot periods it dries up and will make the region even hotter.
    2
  404. So you do not think that cotton is going to go into decline at a global level. What planet are you living on?
    2
  405.  @UHLatino  He cannot cover everything. The amount of industry in texas is beyond a simple video.
    2
  406.  @yarmonymatoid1562  "low biodiversity" What on earth does that even mean?
    2
  407. @Adrian montañez Stop stop stop stop stop. You are a lawyer and already have a profession use that profession in the manufacturing industrial sector. Not everybody needs to be an actual engineer. There are lots of industrial administration management roles that your skills would be perfect for.
    2
  408. Scotland is in the UK and they voted to stay in uk.
    2
  409. I cannot see Turkey getting involved as it could end up with Russia using nuclear weapons. Why Russia would not have enough weapons for full exchange with the US they most certainly have enough for their own region. They may not hit Turkey directly but they could use them on troops or positions within Ukraine.
    2
  410.  @rejvaik00  It could mean a lot more than that. Russia may decide to go for broke meaning they could try and conquer all of Europe. What would the rest of Europe do if Russia was to invade Poland?
    2
  411. He should use Twitter as well. It is not going anywhere.
    2
  412. AAL gross profits for 2021 was $2 billion and for 2020 was -$5 billion. And the years proceeding that their gross profits were static and not growing. And their debt has been growing at 18% per year for the last decade. If there was no pandemic and loss of business they would still be in very serious trouble. Buffett got out of airlines before the pandemic because they were becoming too volatile. If they do not get a bail out they are going under.
    2
  413.  @mrdisco99  He did not buy Twitter on a whim. Stop making stuff up.
    2
  414.  @playwithpets  It has nothing to do with the fed. Current inflation is all down to the shut down of productivity for two years.
    2
  415. It is not about hiring people and is about companies that are US based running the system at a technical level. There simply are no easy replacements for companies like GE, ExxonMobil and Halliburton. You cannot just hire people to do what they do. It is like saying you are hiring somebody it to replace BMW or Microsoft.
    2
  416. The problem as well is it could entrench normal working Russians into a war mindset that it is east vs west.
    2
  417. I would say he has a team and years of research and just gets simple news reports. Obviously he is on Holiday.
    2
  418. That smuggling is simply not going to have much of an effect on a country the size of Russia which needs industrial scale production and trade.
    2
  419.  @plantruster7999  Were you paid to counter his post against NATO?
    2
  420. It could have the opposite effect.
    2
  421. The books lay out a more detailed case.
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  422. Movement is extraordinarily slow.
    2
  423. The War is not over because the Russian military is not a technologically advance force. I know people in the west think that it is but most of the Russian forces are operating on pre WW2 standard equipment and tactics that suit that standard of equipment. Russia tried to do what the US does which is precision high volume warfare but it failed miserably because they simply do not have the depth of industry nor the actual technical capabilities to perform. Russia nuclear arsenal is based on warheads that are from the 1970s with some of them being 50 years old. We have been sold this idea through media for the last 60 years that nuclear weapons will end the world so it is very difficult for us to get our heads around the fact they have to be delivered and they have to reach a site that matters.
    2
  424. It is the real world industrial development of ai not the academic world making claims or some tech magazine. Even Kurzweil with his claims do not proclaim that we will have super ai tomorrow or that all jobs are going to be replaced. Kurzweil states that the turing test will be complete in 2029 and from there another 15 years of development will take place before we reach a point that we today simply cannot see beyond which he calls the singularity. The iron in all of this is people call Kurzweil a kooky theorist yet those exact same people will make claims that ai will take all the jobs tomorrow even though Kurzweil is telling them to calm down it is not moving that fast.
    2
  425. Or high functioning such as at human levels. Now in the information space Ai is starting to develop but that is not the case in the physical world.
    2
  426. Ai is very easy to predict the frame work and maps are already there but the claims of big leaps to take all our jobs tomorrow are absurd and ChatGPT while an improvement in chat systems is not an ai that can truly take over anything. It will be a good tool in the information space but not robotics.
    2
  427. Even with them making that self feeding loop it will have an outcome that has already been calculated. Kurzweil is the most optimistic of the theorists yet he has the turing test being complete by 2029 and with a series of developments from that date. His analysis is based on the mathematical compounding of the algorithms and hardware combined. Kurzweil goes to great lengths to stipulated that there is always an over optimism caused by certain breakthroughs to the point that it then creates pessimism in the breakthrough at some point only for it to emerge more capable in the future.
    2
  428. Chat GPT cannot do real world visual systems that Peter is talking about. Manufacturing still requires human dexterity and judgement.
    2
  429.  @TheReferrer72  Germany invested trillions into renewable energy and at the same time increased its overall carbon output. Many of us have been warning what is coming down the line and yet nobody seems to care. This only the start of what is coming not the end point.
    2
  430. Then name the country you think has the lowest.
    2
  431. People will go along with political climate change when they are living a comfortable life with all the mod cons and will be apathetic about many policies even when they are informed that they will damage the economy. But when all the mod cons are removed and life is harsh and very boring people will not be so apathetic. For several European countries it maybe too little to late.
    2
  432.  @suple87  There are no countries in Europe that can take cars of the road and then replace that will public transport. European city transport is good from a service point of view but that will not cut it in transnational crisis events like this. What has kept the EU afloat for the last few decades has been German industrial output but that is not going to be the case when the energy cost of production has a tenfold increase in cost. We are watching the decline of the EU happening in slow motion.
    2
  433.  @LucasFernandez-fk8se  There is no such thing as a European culture. German people are not the same as Italian just as French are not the same as Spanish. The EU has been a delusion that people just accept as normal.
    2
  434.  @Phoenixpk6  Nuclear power is not a solution.
    2
  435.  @martins3885  It does not matter what you think Germany will do. They now cannot manufacture at their current costs. And even if they engineer a solution by the time they have that figured their next issue will be European demographic decline.
    2
  436. Many of us knew that this was all coming down the line and we tried to tell people but tended to be smirked at. Even today I tried to tell people of the next phase and they just sneer at you even though I am trying to help them. None of this really means all out Mad Max collapse but it most certainly will be an economic and cultural decline.
    2
  437. Crude distillation based gases are very expensive and in real world will cost seven times as much as natural gas.
    2
  438. That is not even close to being true. The congress voted through The Housing and Community Development Act of 1992. That created a series of finance regulations that forced banks to loan to risky potential customers that would not qualify under normal lending procedures. It also made banks open up a series of investment avenues for risky credit that never existed before. People love to blame Reagan and Clinton for all of this but they as president do not control the congress.
    2
  439. It was a stable period but as he pointed out in the video it also created the problems we see today.
    2
  440. The EU is run and propped up by zealots and ideologues. They only react when they have no choice such as the Ukraine war. They would have happily carried on buying Russian energy and pretending that it was green energy.
    2
  441. These are not Joes policies he is only implementing them. Even the policies Trump claims are not his and he just took the good ideas and allowed the executive branch to implement them.
    2
  442.  @MrTweaksTV  The patents are in the US you can cry all you want abou t it.
    2
  443.  @none3763  Would you not agree that AT&T is American?
    2
  444. Flak systems would be better for dealing with drones even if they are human operated. A group of men with shotguns could take down a group of low flying drones as well but that would be a last chance saloon approach.
    2
  445. The US uses most of its old gear for training and test firing just to keep the skills up. That is something that most countries do not do as it is very expensive to do that.
    2
  446. Heating is not the issue in Europe. It is the energy for industrial manufacturing that is the issue. Cost has already at a base level increased 10 fold. German industry probably has an overall value coverage of about 20 times production but that is going to come under real strain over the next 2 to 5 years and god knows what sort of crisis could be piled on top of that.
    2
  447. So how did the US push Russia to invade Ukraine and Georgia. Russia has always stated that the Eastern bloc is there domain. Nothing to do with America or Europe. Russia effectively in its modern history has invaded every eastern European country in the last 80 years.
    2
  448.  @juniorjames7076  What cracks me up is that people did not see any of this coming. Russia has not exactly been a liberal democracy. Since the foundation of the Russian federation it has always been a political system of violence and force. The first set of elections almost caused a civil war.
    2
  449. That's if you believe the story.
    2
  450. Makes them targets in a war zone just as we have seen demonstrated.
    2
  451. Neither Briton nor the US has operations in the region. It would be madness for them to attempt such a thing because if they were caught it would mean WW3. No if it was a commando operation it probably was Ukrainian forces that have been trained by Britain and America. After all this time Ukraine would need to have such teams in the theater. There has probably been a hundred billion committed to help Ukraine at this point and that would buy a lot of trained Ukrainian commando teams. Russians missile campaign has done very little damage to Ukraines military capabilities.
    2
  452. Once a population declines it starts to produce economic instability. On top of that China has a debt mountain that would make the Subprime US look good. China has several plates that are spinning at the moment and all it takes is for one plate to fall.
    2
  453.  @RichardBrubaker  None of the countries you have listed have yet gone through this. There is nothing you have offered that can be used to describe.
    2
  454. It depends if those extra incorrect female count is in the childbearing years which it most certainly is. So any number you see right now for childbirth is a future projected number that is not real. China may already have a zero child birth rate at a population level and may have so for the last decade.
    2
  455. Killing of the elderly will not help with the fact China does not have enough young people to maintain their current or previous industrial outputs. China relies upon its export market but that is already starting to shrink and as more workers become less productive because they get too old to do the physical labour that will create economic instability. A 65 year ol concrete worker is not going to be as productive as a 21 year old and that will be replicated throughout the Chinese system in every industry.
    2
  456. So how do robots buy goods and consume within a society. And better still how does a non existent Chinese automated industrial base help that?
    2
  457. Storage and transmission is the real issue when it comes to wind energy. It really needs to used on a local loads such as factories and so on. The actual maintenance of offshore wind turbines must be insane and a lot of Enron level accounting is probably taking place. You will hear the term peak energy which is a very clever way of saying that they get enough energy for a short period of time that they then present as being the whole time.
    2
  458. That is just pure fantasy at best.
    2
  459. Clean coal, nuclear, natural gas and renewable were it is easy could really make a large difference for many countries. That should have been Germanys' approach but in doing that they would not have had as much success with their manufacturing but they may have then focused on high end value manufacturing that is hard to achieve but the Germans could have done it.
    2
  460. Domestic solar energy is minimal and the amount of batteries, solar panels and wiring/switching that has to be done just makes no sense. It simply is not a good alternative to micro level anything.
    2
  461.  @salmacuppini6772  Turkey is hanging over an economic cliff.
    1
  462.  @oddvardmyrnes9040  "just as the Republicans & the Christian right in the U.S." That is just pure nonsense at best. There is no alliance in America between republicans and Christians.
    1
  463.  @rodtukker1904  I do not think India supports Russia they are really trying to keep out of it. They do not want to offend Russia nor they do not want to offend the US. If push comes to shove India will probably choose the US and at the same time try not to offend Russia too much.
    1
  464. I do not think it would be in Sweden's interest to sell them fighter jets. Is suspect the socialists in Sweden will have to abandon the socialists of the Kurdish PKK.
    1
  465.  @LordRykard9376  The odds of winning the lotto are very low but people still win it.
    1
  466. Those reactions are just short term and part of politics. If they stuck it out and just went with it then the economic growth from that would satisfy. It looks like Truss and her government are weak like Boris and they take the media as being some sort of oracle when in fact the media is weak.
    1
  467.  @Ashadow700  The US is not facing inflation because of the extra money being cycled.
    1
  468.  @ricardomartins286  Germany has no energy to sustain it self at an industrial level, Italy, Spain and France have youth unemployment rates in excess of 20%. The Euro is performing against the dollar the exact same way sterling has. I just no buying the whole EU is doing better. Peter in the video is not even saying that Britain in the EU is better off he is saying that Britain is rudderless as a society in regards as to what it does next. I suspect he simply not that focused on British and EU relationship as both places are going to lag behind the US. The Last time labour was in power it left the UK with an unemployment crisis so unless they are willing to change its policies they will only do worse.
    1
  469. Excellent video and the length is perfect considering the topic.
    1
  470. The problem the UK has is that any politician or government that actually tries to do the right thing will find them self in opposition to the media that really have their hands on the steering wheel. The reason why Boris lost control was that he tried to go with what the media was proposing but this ran counter to what various factions wanted but when he played with the various factions the media hounded him out of office. It is a no win situation and would not be so much of a problem if the UK had good demographics and strong industrial output. The next two PM's have more or less fell victim to the media's campaign and until they actually get up on the podium and just tell the public the truth nothing will change. Fear drives modern UK politics.
    1
  471. If you have a billion people in a population and there is a 50% reduction in that population per generation that means within 5 generations that number will drop to about 130 million people. That does not take into account overlapping generations. If the number is a small number such as say 8% reduction per generation it will go unnoticed for the first few generations but within 5 generations the total population will drop to 680 million and that whole process will also be disguised by the overlapping generations.
    1
  472. The problem with Russia using nuclear weapons would be that there is no guarantee that Ukraine would surrender if Russia uses low yield tactical warheads and if Russia uses high yield they would completely destroy Ukraine which will not be of use to them and there is also the chance that Ukraine does something really crazy in Russia. Is it 100% certain that Ukraine does not have warheads and that they handed all of them over back when the negotiation's were agreed.
    1
  473. They are very well understood.
    1
  474. The problem with Russia has in using Nukes is that Ukrainian forces are spread out and a tactical low yield nuclear weapon is not going take them all out. If they use large yield weapons' to try and destroy Ukraine there is nothing stopping the Ukrainians from doing something just as reckless. Another thing is we do not know if Ukraine has nuclear warheads of their own as there is no guarantee that they gave up all their own warheads. Maybe they have one or two large yeild warheads sitting somewhere in storage encase Russia ever did attempt anything.
    1
  475. Drones can point by the operator and engagne.
    1
  476. They just throw numbers at it. In WW2 they had tens of millions of very low quality men who were malnourished and not in a good state of health.
    1
  477.  @LRRPFco52  All Ukraine would need is the raw materials from the warhead to build their own active system. Ukraine has industry and was part of the USSR industrial military output. The idea that we can guess exactly what exists and does not exist is a fantasy. You have no more clue than what I have in terms of what really happened and what did not. We have no idea what Ukraine is capable of or not. Most certainly if Ukraine is attacked by nuclear warheads they will respond with dirty weapons that is a given.
    1
  478. But who are Russia going to counter? I have my doubts that Russia does not have enough warheads that are active for full intercontinental exchange with the US. I do not think a low yield weapon will make Ukraine surrender and if Russia goes high yield I suspect that Ukraine will do something crazy as well. There is also no guarantee that Ukraine does not have high yield nuclear weapon that they never handed over in the agreements.
    1
  479. Many people already know of this but it changes nothing.
    1
  480.  @DrDude-fp6mr  Most of that will change once the world order starts to change.
    1
  481.  @JonathanRootD  Nobody is making that claim.
    1
  482. At one point aluminium was a very rare earth metal and very expensive but once industrial processes started to innovate it became cheaper to the point it is now all around us. At one point it was more valuable per weight than gold.
    1
  483.  @buybuydandavis  Deep holes are very expensive and not easy to build.
    1
  484. I always wonder what happened there.
    1
  485. That electric car has more problems to deal with. The UK, US, Canada, Australia, France, Spain, Italy, Greece, Turkey, Japan and so on will all have access to oil for petrol/gasoline.
    1
  486.  @VertigoX26  You think Saudi Arabia can defend itself with Russian weapons? You are living in a fantasy world. All the west would need to do to cause the complete collapse of OPEC is to park a few carriers in the mediterranean and off the persian gulf choke points. That would simultaneous cause the collapse of both OPEC, China and India. Clearly the West is not going to do that and OPEC is not stupid enough to cut Europe off. OPEC is free to do what it pleases as long as it is in the margins and the edge of the west. They can cause economic fuel crisis's and things like that but that is it. Embargo Europe and they will find French and British Navies are extremely formidable.
    1
  487. That is like we have cured you of cancer but here is your new HIV condition.
    1
  488. Iran cannot even manage how women dress how are they going to do all of that?
    1
  489. So far the Europeans are saying that it is to stop enriching Russia not to cause their immediate collapse.
    1
  490. But where do they send it and then do they have the resources to keep those systems pumping if they are not earning?
    1
  491.  @joeking5679  China cannot even build microchips never mind a missile system that can operate in the pacific and Asia greater naval region. Carrier groups are extremely powerful and densely armed formations that can combat operate over a million square miles of ocean. Just the carrier a lone can combat operate a region of about 1 million square miles of ocean. Hypersonic glide missiles are not going to restrict any of that.
    1
  492.  @joeking5679  You are in a fantasy world if you think radar would easily track a carrier group.
    1
  493.  @joeking5679  Britain was fighting with the Japanese in the pacific before the Americans got involved. Japan has a lose agreement with Germany hence why everybody understand its global consequences. FDR understood that and was desperate to get the US to make moves but the public mood at that point was not an aid to him politically it took Pearl Harbor for that to occur. FDR made it very clear to Churchill that his hands were tied politically but he understood the peril.
    1
  494.  @joeking5679  You are living in a fantasy if you think aircraft carriers mean nothing. They were the back bone of WW2 in the pacific. They dominated naval battles. If you think a country can just fire a hypersonic missile from nowhere and track a US naval group you are in a fantasy world. None of the countries you are alluding has such hypersonic technology so what exactly are you referring to?
    1
  495. If they get seized it will mean that nobody can trust that system of oil transport. Prices will shoot up world wide over night. Russia will respond and there will be a series of events economically world wide that will create trouble. You probably do not understand any of this. They are not going to be inspecting for food safety on those ships you can be sure.
    1
  496. What makes you think China is going to pay less?
    1
  497. If there is a global energy crash you will see real environmental damage then through war, coal mining and cheap rough industries pop up all over the world. The economics of the world will mean all out cultural failure and environmental destruction like you have never seen before.
    1
  498.  @attilaann2458  That is pure fantasy.
    1
  499. The US does not have a singular critical infrastructure it has a series of regional, state and county systems. There is no country on earth that could take the whole of that system out and if they attack one part of the system the US will respond with a big large hammer of some sort.
    1
  500. I assume you are joking.
    1
  501. Once Russia or China takes on that insurance those tankers will be fair game.
    1
  502. The US Navy role will change it will not be reduced in capabilities.
    1
  503. How is OPEC going to change the supply infrastructure coming out of Russia? Can OPEC replace those several million barrels of oil per day at the same price to Europe?
    1
  504. Not just the cost of the insurance but the actual cost of operating on the seas. Having a fleet of ships is going to be very expensive.
    1
  505.  @SianaGearz  You are living in a fantasy.
    1
  506.  @imapimplykindapimp  That automation will be in the hands of people. There is too many people out there believing that the automation is completely autonomous. Automation that the US employs will be a force multiplier that enables existing workers to output 100 fold current levels. Even with that there will be a shortage in the world of products.
    1
  507. OPEC are weak not strong. They do things ont he basis of their own self interests. The world is already in turmoil and OPEC will not now have the ability to create more turmoil. Many of the OPEC countries are now in very unstable conditions and could easily collapse them self.
    1
  508. The delusion here being exhibited by some people is off the charts. You think the human body is enough to heat an insulated appartment?
    1
  509. If America had of been more assertive in the world none of this would have happened.
    1
  510.  @piotrszostakowski416  They choose one set of policies over another and are no paying the price. The root of the pricing is not just about a panic and is is really about future supplies. Maybe if they can find oil and gas at the end of the rainbow everything will be sweetness and honey but the markets that value these commodities do not buy into such rainbows they tend to be purely quantitative.
    1
  511. No it is more than just panic but there is a good reason for the panic they do not have natural gas at the ready.
    1
  512.  @EnderViBrittania  It is a fantasy.
    1
  513. The problem is no body believes your fantasy story.
    1
  514.  @Ea-pb2tu  None of those candidate have a developed consumer market like the US has. About 20% of Chinese exports are US based but that only makes up about 1% of US trade. And that 20% of Chinese exports does not account for technical support from US industry.
    1
  515.  @Ea-pb2tu  Where do you think this export market is going to be gained from?
    1
  516. China and India are going to go to war about water. China is in the process of building a dam system and redirecting water that will affect water supply in india.
    1
  517.  @randall172  Would that be a long side robots that people can marry.
    1
  518.  @007kingifrit  ".but they have already industrialized" Then why would they need to go to war over water?
    1
  519. You are not making much sense.
    1
  520. Those are politics and he tends to not deal with those.
    1
  521. It will not impact Tesla or Apple who assemble their product in China for the CHinese market and greater asian market. Most of the vehicles produced in China are for export.
    1
  522. Stealth fighters? Calling them stealth does not make them stealth. They may be able to source integrated circuits for a few hundred fighter jets but that will not help their industrial outputs.
    1
  523. Nope China will not be able to do that. The industries of both Korea and Taiwan are underwritten by the US. No doubt black market chips will make their way to China that will not help their industrial outputs.
    1
  524. Concession for what?
    1
  525. Because China did not change. The reason why US industry was allowed to go to china in the first place was to try and bring China out of the cold and avoid war but that clearly has not worked.
    1
  526.  @incognitotorpedo42  You may not like Trump but it was under his administration that all of it started. The reason Biden is carrying it on is due to the fact the threat of China is now so obvious.
    1
  527. US federal debt is small compared to the US total asset base. Most of that debt is not actually monies that are owed as payment but are liabilities with most of it being an accounting exercise.
    1
  528.  @fluoroantimonictippedcruis1537  Dutch industrial Lithography industry is based on US industry.
    1
  529. The US cut of Japan before WW2 because Japan was war mongering. People need to stop blaming the US reacting to things as if the US caused them to begin with.
    1
  530.  @Remigius0815  I think your view is nonsense and simplistic at best. China simply does not have a native microchip industry. It has a series of plants that are really investments from other countries. You rambling about 14nm is irrelevant to the discussion. China has no fine instrument industry to produce the components that make up transistor and integrated fabrication. The industry that China does have is specialized in low level microcontroller architectures that simply could even survive without external support.
    1
  531.  @Acidfox86  That is not what is happening. US industry went into China back in the 1970s to try and make the Chinese more like the west and to keep them away from Russia. This approach failed hence why the US is now backing away from it.
    1
  532. The indication of this is that the US navy has been reducing the number of destroyers that would be needed to patrol the world's oceans. This is not something that has just happening the last few months but has been taking place over decades.
    1
  533. It is simple they will buy their goods from somewhere else or how should I put it they will get their goods manufactured somewhere else.
    1
  534. Pure nonsense.
    1
  535. Shilling? He has a plant there and simply stay out of any sort of actions there that are political. Very few CEO's have actually done anything in public to annoy China because it simply is not their job. It is up to the US presidential administration and Congress to do something not Elon Musk or Tim Cook.
    1
  536. Volvo manufactures its cars in Europe and North America but are owned by a Chinese holding company. Not sure how that is going to play out though.
    1
  537. Yes there is a way. China would need to over the next 60 years build their integrated circuit manufacturing industry and then maybe they would be where the US is now.
    1
  538. It would take 60 years to build a microchip industry like the US has. It is not something that can easily be planned.
    1
  539.  @HailAzathoth  Oh yes it does.
    1
  540.  @franciscobermejo1779  The reality is that the US could cut those countries off if it wanted to not that it nessarily would but it could.
    1
  541. So tell us how you think countries are going to help China?
    1
  542. China does not produce any of the chips that are used in Apple phones. I will go one further they do not produce any of the complex components in the phones and are really the factory base were the phones are assembled.
    1
  543. The US is Germany's biggest export market and they will have to decide what they value most.
    1
  544. Designed in the UK but based on American designs and patents. ARM has their own patents as well.
    1
  545. The internet of things is embedded computation and those simply systems are part of that overall concept. Digital watches are starting to become networked as are fridges, washing machines and coffee makers.
    1
  546. It takes 60 years to build that sort of industry. It is not something that can just be wished into place.
    1
  547. Intel had one plant in China but it has already been closed. AMD have plants in china but I would suspect they are already planning those out.
    1
  548. Batteries are not going to last that long.
    1
  549.  @nickkacures2304  Yep Germany has no energy crisis and everything is rosey in the garden. Who are you trying to kid with all of this?
    1
  550.  @nickkacures2304  Commercial panels at 51° do not produce anywhere near solar conversions of 50%. Why people are debating Moore's law is beyond me as it is irrelevant to this topic.
    1
  551. Not enough to take over the system in the next 10 years though.
    1
  552.  @oatlegOnYt  It is pure fantasy.
    1
  553. Does not have a low carbon footprint.
    1
  554. You must have a terrible foot print with the battery system that is being employed.
    1
  555. The batteries and the life span of the panels will not justify the short and medium term gains that people perceive.
    1
  556. Batteries are chemically based and those molecules have a lifespan that is subjected the the laws of thermodynamics.
    1
  557.  @TheHigherVoltage  Converting electrical energy to mechanical is extremely in efficient. Batteries are the only meaningful mechanism that can be used. Hence why batteries are being used. You can live in a fantasy world and pretend that is not he case. Hydrogen is not realistic due to the storage issues and the fact that the process is not efficient.
    1
  558.  @TheHigherVoltage  Batteries are the only meaningful way of storing photovoltaic solar energy
    1
  559.  @alfaeco15  On a small scale yes but not for a complete national build out.
    1
  560. People do not want large systems built near them.
    1
  561.  @briandorsey6437  You think the Chinese who rule with an iron fist can over come centuries of bad blood in the middle east. Yes it is fantasy.
    1
  562. Religion can shape a country but it will never allow that country to completely define the world or the conditions that the world are in. Religion can allow an individual country to form a morality or set of cultural values.
    1
  563. The options the fed and legislators had are probably several years ago and not today. All it took was the pandemic to put a massive block in the pipeline. And by the time they get that block removed their maybe several ruptures along the pipeline. Nobody can really say what is exactly going to happen but we will get a clearer picture over the next 18 months of what direction things are going.
    1
  564. Nope. Automation is a myth spread by those that want to introduce government welfare handouts. Most of the jobs lost in the west in manufacturing were done so by outsourcing to other places. The amount of companies that have moved their production to markets that use traditional labour is astonishing.
    1
  565. The current inflationary expansion has nothing to do with the monetary system. SO no amount of interest rates hikes will cause credit and capital expansion to affect the price in the marketplace. Until supply is able to get in line with demand nothing is going to change. The biggest danger with this inflation is that it could start a series of recessions and depressions that may be not that easy to get out of. And even if they could then get inventory and supply back in order there maybe no demand.
    1
  566.  @mr.factoid105  He is not a political expert and does not pretend to be that but his point would not be unreasonable really. I just have a feeling that DeSantis is building momentum at a base level. Most republicans like what Trump has to say about many things and they lent him their vote in the party but it is not a given that they will do that again.
    1
  567. I think he may be wrong about the republican primaries but we will need to wait and see how that works out. I think DeSantos will have far more based republicans votes than Trump has. And the problem with Trumps campaigns is that it has no ground game.
    1
  568.  @greg2502  You are just fantasising. Trump will never be president again. He lost last time and his actions with Jan 6th has totally destroyed his image and independents will never vote for him again. You can claim wilting all you want but DeSantis is more stable than Trump and will stand good chance against Biden.
    1
  569. Multi party systems do not work. Every country that has gone down that route has created political failure. The UK experimented with in at various times for it to be abandoned each generation.
    1
  570. 99% of Americans are not polarised.
    1
  571. Nope that is just nonsense. Really a democratic party political tool. Republicans have their own political tools that they use through media as well.
    1
  572. Oil that the US did not use. Iraq had under Saddam and the Ba'ath party killed hundreds of thousands of people and was involved in terrorism and aided the leader of the first attack on the trade center in the 1990s. Afghanistan was a training hot bed for terrorism.
    1
  573. The US nation was not divided under Bush it was only the media pushing that.
    1
  574. Nothing wrong with supporting Israel.
    1
  575. Nonsense. The US government is made up of three branches. Even within an administration there are branches. It really depends on the backing the president gets and how good they are at the job.
    1
  576. The US could not afford at that point to have a series of terrorist attacks post 911. It would have sent a signal worldwide that America was weak.
    1
  577. Building 7 was probably damaged and either fell through that damage or was taken down on purpose. I suspect it was probably natural damage through the event. People think of the trade towers as being above ground but the have a large deep basement layer that was part of a system.
    1
  578. Nothing but conspiracy theories. Same sort of nonsense republicans peddled about Obama, democrats about Trump and now republicans about Biden.
    1
  579. The US literally had no other option after 911. Iraq sponsored terrorism including the original trade tower attacks. Saddam was getting older and more dangerous, Ba'ath party was becoming more bloodthirsty and America had to send out a message after the 911 attacks. You may not like what happened but there was very few options after 911 to deal with what had happened. The world of dictators was watching closely and a message had to be sent out. They were under the impression that they could clean those places up by offering them what the west had but the blood feuds and culture runs so deep in those places that it was not an easy task.
    1
  580. George jr was raised in Texas.
    1
  581.  @brianponcelet3529  Those are not things a president can control. SO if you look at history you will see events that no president can actually do anything about.
    1
  582. The media pressure of that job would make even the smartest people look like an idiot. If a person is not good in front of a camera at times it can become very overwhelming. Trump, Obama and Clinton never appeared overwhelmed on Camera but behind the scenes who really knows.
    1
  583. The whole Dick Cheney thing is a left wing fantasy and a tool of politics. Cheney played an important part but was not in control of a figure head.
    1
  584. Modern media is terrible.
    1
  585.  @erikcastillo2454  You do not think Mexico is about to face a crisis?
    1
  586. What do you mean spreading thin? The US is not spread thin not even close.
    1
  587.  @sandwind123456789  Cook was a left wing socialist that seen the world through left wing eyes. He was a proponent of Nuclear disarmament and more or less blamed the west for everything. Not for one moment did he talk about the slaughter that communism committed and prefered to blame the west through that whole period. Al Qaeda was born out of the greater Salafi movement and its philosophies are pure Sayyid Qutb and the Society of the Muslim Brothers. None of this is really groundbreaking or even contested and was not created in the Afghan invasion either and goes back much further to the 1920s and even further back than that. Cook like Corbyn would not even class the Brotherhood a terrorist organisation that is how much he really cares about the issue.
    1
  588.  @sandwind123456789  Al-Qaeda were a brotherhood funded organisation that came much later. The Taliban are most certainly sponsored by Pakistan. Both groups may appear the same but they most certainly are not and have different agendas. The Taliban thought they were being smart by hosting the brotherhood assets before 911 but the US would never allow that to take place hence why they swatted them like flies. The Taliban are effectively manned by Inter-Services trained operatives and the Taliban would use the ambiguity of the border to form cross raiding parties. Mujahideen was never a singular group and was a term that got used to describe the opposition to the soviet invasion. It routinely then gets rolled over into describing Al-Qaeda is not accurate.
    1
  589.  @sandwind123456789  The Taliban originate from the madrasas in Pakistan and Al Qaeda are funded via the brotherhood in the middle east. Not complicated.
    1
  590. Not at all.
    1
  591.  @superiordelivery4256  I am not convinced that any of this has anything to do with MAGA or left wing politics. People have concerns because the media are doing a terrible job of communicating the reality of the world. The fact you would even call house republicans commie loving is beyond a joke even with their being a left wing presence in the democratic party there is no love of Commies there either. I doubt there are no Russian puppets in the US political system just as the claims of their being Chinese agents embedded with democrats which is nonsense.
    1
  592. They lack knowledge of the overall situation. By keeping Russia busy in Ukraine it stops them from expanding into Europe.
    1
  593. Britain as in the UK post WW2 decided to focus all of it resources becoming a welfare state and decided that it would value things like the NHS over its naval forces. From that point onwards Britain was never going to be able to field a naval power that would allow it to rule the world's oceans. The decline was so bad in military force that the UK was getting the point that it may not be able to form a naval expeditionary force. Britain has now realigned its military to be capable of forming an expeditionary force meaning it could wage target naval warfare anywhere on earth but it has limitations and is nothing like the past.
    1
  594.  @Fsegment1Test  The EU has been a disaster of epic proportions. A Common Market with a permit based immigration system would have been a success. With that there would not have been vast numbers of people moving around so it would have worked. Even with the free movement of people today large numbers of Germans, Italians and French to not move around Europe.
    1
  595. The EU as a a trade zone as it was originally planned was more effective. Within that their could have been a Nordic, Germanic and Latin alliances. Those regions could work on their strengths and weaknesses. Even movement of people which was more streamlined throughout Euro zone could have been achieved. There does not tend to be large numbers of Germans, Brits, Italians, French or Spanish moving around in the EU anyway.
    1
  596.  @QuizmasterLaw  Let me guess Putin would be in charge of that harmonious economic community that would be the new Russian Empire. So how did that all work out if you do not mind me asking?
    1
  597.  @andrewj4426  Ukraine did not lose anywhere near 100,000 men. The reason Russia have lost more is due to them being the attacking side trying to enter into Ukrainian areas.
    1
  598. Russia does not need anything like that even though it is not beyond their ability to stage in a really obvious fashion. Putin has the ability to call for war but while he may have the back of the elites in Russia there maybe a refusal throughout their system.
    1
  599.  @progrockmorelikefrogc0ck157  There is no evidence of that at all. There never been a single case of a demographic economic collapse that then resulted in more children. When there is a demographic economic collapse what follows is pure chaos and a culture of war lords. What examples are you talking about of a demographic economic collapse that then resulted in more children. Do not confuse pre industrialized cultures with large birth rates that were as of a result of landed peasants working the fields with of an demographic collapse.
    1
  600. People cannot read anything into this period as next year it could be freezing cold.
    1
  601. None of that will change the fact that German industrial production will become more expensive. LNG is more expensive.
    1
  602. It depends if it is warm and wet or warm and dry.
    1
  603.  @terryfaugno9242  The super tankers for LNG cannot produce the same levels of gas as a pipe line. Germany is going to see a 8 fold increase in the energy input cost of its manufacturing.
    1
  604. A single worker with automation will output far more products. Hence why a single US worker will be able to produce 100 times more products than they could 35 years ago and why we will see US industry starting to build out again. We are also going to see a new market place of small independent producers with micro factories that are able to output high quality locally produced goods at a lower price. 3D printing will be one of those areas as will next generation injection molding. Metal base injection moulding is already a thing for small businesses.
    1
  605. Tesla will be fine as it makes a product that people want and there are no realistic alternatives. Elon sometimes just needs to not speak and say things.
    1
  606. What do you mean by not realistic?
    1
  607. Those types of innovations are beyond our current level of science and technology. They will happen if humans do not destroy them self. To get what you want that would mean living longer, healthier but staying younger. So that women can be fertile into their fifties. There is a lot of complexity in that. We will with biotechnology, generics and information sciences improve health and create longevity but that does not mean it can keep people in a younger state for longer. It will more than likely mean that old age is better managed and diseases are more preventable.
    1
  608. Robots will come and we will start to see them in the 2020s but they will be like 1970s cellular phones in that they will be bulky, slow, prone to failure and extremely expensive. We now have prototype models in existence but they would be useless as products. By the way we are nowhere near the end of Moore's law.
    1
  609.  @julianbryantjb  It does not matter if we hate them or not they are a failing culture and will get desperate as time goes on and may end up doing dangerous desperate things.
    1
  610. If Russia had of adapted the free market it would be very wealthy and with its nuclear weapons not open to invasion anytime soon but they did none of that.
    1
  611. As the world becomes more unstable food, energy, fertilizers, commodities and transport will be disrupted that in turn will drive more conflict.
    1
  612. As Peter has pointed out on many occasions automation and robotics do not buy or consume.
    1
  613. What if that willing person is a serial killer, drug dealer or a wannabe terrorist. The vast majority are clearly not that but how would it be known. The American immigration system is too tough and so are most European countries. A child born in Germany even if they spent 10 years of their life being raised there is not German and is automatically classified by Germany as the nationality of the parents which is pretty extreme.
    1
  614. I do not think most Americans even including those hardcore Trump supporters have an issue with immigrants that are keen to work. What many have an issue with is criminals coming into America that have not been background checked. I am sure Mexicans would not want hardcore American gangsters landing in their towns. The movies make it look so easy but I doubt they would welcome them.
    1
  615. Some people are just living in a pure fantasy. No body would trust any of the tin pot economies currencies. There is no rush to buy them or to trade in them or even to hold them. Anybody that tries to convince you of this is talking pure and utter horse dirt.
    1
  616.  @arnevontorgau9311  You do understand that there are different generations of the Tomahawk and that we are several variants on from the initial 1972 version. Do you know what variant the Japanese are getting is it the anti ship version for example?
    1
  617. Metric is a french inferior system that the EU is built upon. I suppose all that gas volumes in metric really helped them out.
    1
  618.  @manners7483  You mean US companies make them in China?
    1
  619. There is nothing China can do about it other than stamping their feet.
    1
  620. Fusion is a fantasy and is not going to have any impact on the world in the next 20 years.
    1
  621.  @casualsuede  The Quad is already being developed and will take time to play out. If you read my original comment you will see that I said it will take development and for circumstances.
    1
  622.  @theboss-wy4cn  The Quad is already in development so I have no idea what you are talking about.
    1
  623. It could involve india as well but that would depend on future developments and outcomes.
    1
  624. There was no similar attack to 911 when the war on terror started.
    1
  625. There is no other country that can use the model as they do not have the industrial economy to do it.
    1
  626. Korean war was about stopping Chinese communists from conquering the peninsula. Vietnam was also about stopping that spread. Latin America was about stopping the USSR from expanding. How you can even compare them is beyond belief.
    1
  627. That makes no sense.
    1
  628. America is not imperial. It takes out threats when it needs to but that is it. Ukraine was an own goal for Russia. Even now in the middle of a war Ukraine has still not sent forces into Russia so when was Ukraine ever going to be a military threat to Russia?
    1
  629. You heard that all in your own head.
    1
  630. The US pre 911 would smash countries with armaments and unconventional warfare without even blinking. It does not need an invading force to conquer a country. If tomorrow the US decide to take down Iran it could do so with relative ease and by the way it may do that to send out a message to Russia and China of what happens when messing with the US. All it takes is for Iran to step out of line for the US to hit it really hard. The US may decide to target an iranian proxy to send a message to Iran.
    1
  631. It is only a statistical significance and not actually meaningful on a population level.
    1
  632. No that is a myth. The forces that the US backed in Afghanistan were a mixture of different tribal groups. The Taliban are actually a group that are backed from within Pakistan and are not the same as the Mujahideen. No doubt there would have been some members from that earlier US back efforts that worked their way in but that is not the same thing.
    1
  633. Sort of but it really is just the US backing another country with equipment.
    1
  634.  @ivancho5854  I do not believe North Korea which has no economic trade, no native industries or any native technical capabilities has anything near to the numbers that are being claimed. It would be like Russia in that the military force is all on paper but the reality is different. South Korea has a heavy industrial base that is hundreds of times greater than that of North Korea. Blinding firing of artillery is not going to win in modern war.
    1
  635.  @JohnnyAmerique  In all out war North Korea would get slaughtered trying to storm the defensive lines of South Korea. Artillery is useless without accuracy and the ability to identify targets. South Korea has a larger and more modern air force, better missile system including missile defense. I doubt North Korea actually has nuclear warheads that it could use effectively in battle. It has chemical weapon but no experience of actually deploying them and could just as likely have said weapons produce returns on them. North Korean forces are no where near the level of Russian forces. The technological gap between the South and the North is so vast that it would be one of the most one sided wars to have occurred post WW2. Do you really believe that North Korea has any type of signal warfare?
    1
  636. He does a lot of speeches, writes books and is constantly on the road. You only have to watch is videos to realize how busy he is. He even does online presentations around the world.
    1
  637.  @tonywilson4713  America lost 50000 troops in Vietnam and killed 2.5 million Vietcong. The US did not lose one battle and got the Vietcong to surrender. It was the US congress that decided to pull out of Vietnam even thought he war was won. Just as the US pulled out of Afghanistan. Pulling out of somewhere is not the same as losing just as the US pulled out of Iraq. Are you going to claim the US lost in Iraq as well?
    1
  638.  @tonywilson4713  American won the war in Vietnam and Afghanistan. It never lost one battle in those places. Technically those were not wars by US standards and were just operations. It is not in Russia's interest to even attempt to take on the US anywhere in the world.
    1
  639. That does not make any sense.
    1
  640.  @frivolousarguments8578  The US killed 2.5 million Vietcong and got them to surrender with the peace accords. The US congress then like Joe Biden just decided to pull out. The US did not wage total war in Vietnam as it was not a war for the US.
    1
  641. The US never lost in Vietnam. People confuse the war that occurred their with the US decision to pull out.
    1
  642. The US never lost its confidence with Vietnam. The US killed over 2.5 million Vietcong and lost about 50,000 troops which is about the same number it lost in Korea a decade earlier. The US won militarily in Vietnam but the congress was not willing to then have the US stick around.
    1
  643. Korea has a massive military stockpile. There weapons systems are far more advance than what the North has. Taiwan on the other hand has a storm rough ocean between them and China and a dense missile defence system and 1.5 million fighting force to defend their island. The only thing the US would have to do is supply aid. China would not be stupid enough to target the US navy in open seas warfare they would get mauled.
    1
  644. The Byzantine's where no where near as powerful as what the US is today relative to their world. They were a shadow of the Roman Empire but they still had tactics that would enable them to move chess pieces around the board when need be. Even the Venetians were capable of doing that because their rich trade economy enable them to buy armies. The main difference between them and the US is that the US has a monstrous standing army that could be made 10 times larger in a major war if need be. What caused the venetian fall was that their mercenary armies were not loyal to the homeland and could be bought by other interested parties.
    1
  645. The US is a thousand times more powerful than France.
    1
  646.  @theantiantichrist  If Russia uses nuclear weapons against the US guess what will happen the US will use them against Russia. Russia better hope that their full arsenal of warheads are still active after 50 years of storage.
    1
  647. The West just wants a simply relationship with Turkey that is not to sensational. If Turkey was a bit more cleaver it would stay completely of the Wests radar. Turkey can stand up for its self when it needs to but targeting all kurds because there is one group of kurds that are a danger is not sensible or good optics. Turkey could negotiate some sort of deal with most kurds (maybe not all).
    1
  648.  @gorgon__soup  The vast majority of people in the US are not snow flakes. The US military has 1.4 million personnel and they are not snowflakes.
    1
  649.  @TheLastCrumb.  The US has 1.4 million professional military personnel. There is no other country on earth that has that. Conscripts do not count.
    1
  650.  @Bug0xF4  I am afraid Russia cannot do everything the US can do. If the US had of invaded Ukraine it would have been over in 3 days.
    1
  651.  @jrmint2  It is bad for business but that was the case before WW1 and WW2 but that as a reason did not stop wars from happening.
    1
  652.  @teresamccartney1309  Women will not be serving on the front lines. No matter what people try to pretend. War is brutal and there is no space for compassion or ideology. Carrying 50 pounds of weight into battle under very extreme stress is not something that can be done by ideology. Women will play their part no doubt about that but it will be based on reality.
    1
  653. War is more than just the military assets that a country has right now. It is the ability for its industrial economy to produce. If WW3 was to begin the US would out manufacture both China and Russia combined by a factor of 20 and the US would be capable of creating a force of about 40 million men. In WW2 that force size for the US was about 16 million men.
    1
  654.  dihvocfoscocudvyvdd  And republicans are not political conservatives. Who are you trying to kid with that. Now I am not for one moment claiming that democratic voters are socialists. But we all know that the likes Sanders and fifty others in the political side of the part are socialists. I suspect that democrats will on mass reject the socialists at some point.
    1
  655. How can it be transported is the issue. It is easy to see figures in one place but that does not mean it automatic gets distributed.
    1
  656. Summer always looks brighter but when winter is cold, long and very harsh it looks a lot worse. Get to next spring and it will look horrible. Even If Peter is out by one year this situation at some point is coming to a head.
    1
  657. What countries do you think can benefit? The problem is that energy is also going to be an issue.
    1
  658. You are living in a fantasy if you think Ukraine is going to be able to export wheat.
    1
  659. It is not that simple.
    1
  660. But this invasion is not WW2 and cannot really be compared. We will have to wait and see how it goes.
    1
  661. It could be that the Russians were not fooled and simply do not have the capacity to defend their positions.
    1
  662.  @waynesworldofsci-tech  Numbers? What numbers are you talking about. You surely cannot be using the official numbers of a super corrupt culture can you?
    1
  663. Russia is not the Soviet army but Ukraine is not the German army either.
    1
  664. The counter offensive was built on millions of tons of US aid.
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  665. Australia is an Island so it can be transported around the seas and by train. Australia biggest problem is its lack of free market culture.
    1
  666. It is a luxury product and will not take over the market.
    1
  667. Do not compare consumer electricity prices with that of electricity price generation. They are two different things. Canada may play its part in all of this as well.
    1
  668. Good luck with those German/Russian cars.
    1
  669. Wind and solar works in parts of the US were it is natural viable. Nuclear is not the answer to everything because most of the raw uranium is from the soviet space.
    1
  670. It is not happening any time soon.
    1
  671. And how is the hydrogen produced?
    1
  672.  @flipper2gv  It means the prices being paid by the consumer are not the real market prices. Sort of like when germany lectures the US about military matters but cannot defend it self. Germany boasted about its renewable energy and how it was producing this and that but the reality is not that of the market reality.
    1
  673. More than likely the US will be building out its own steel industry from ground to foundry.
    1
  674.  @NAUM1  The US is trade and resource independent.
    1
  675. Innovation only occurs when there is a market place which requires geography to take place.
    1
  676.  @crombee8947  Sources? i would be hear all year trying to present to all the information required for you to proof my point. if you want to learn I can point you in the right direction but it is not an easy path and would require lots of study.
    1
  677.  @CouchDoritos  QE is not being used to keep companies afloat. There are easier ways of doing that. It is used primarily to make sure there is enough cash in reserve that can be circulated when there is a demand. It has happened over the years were banks had enough cash on their books but the actual amount available during surge periods was there. US QE is very mild compared to what countries normally do.
    1
  678. Russia not a rational thinker and is not thinking about markets. Clearly they are going into Ukraine and further because they want to shield them self. The problem they have in doing that is they have freaked out the whole of Europe but who knows how far Russia will go.
    1
  679. I am afraid it is not over for America and they know that as well. America does not have an empire it has used its wealthy, trade and markets to try and buy stability that is not an actual empire.
    1
  680. Germany and Russia were never world powers. They were regional powers that tried to become world powers.
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  681. Russia is going to fail as a culture and as a state which could mean that they throw everything on the table. You are trying to view this rationally when these sorts of things are never rational. We do not know how weak the Russian military is because they have only sent an expeditionary force to Ukraine. Russia has been doing this for the last 30 years but no body has been paying attention until now.
    1
  682. German industry is massive and its potential outputs in war would just be enormous. The other side of that is that Russia has nuclear weapons.
    1
  683. What if they use Nuclear weapons. What then?
    1
  684. The problem Europe has at the moment is not oil but natural gas. Oil output has nothing to do with that.
    1
  685. The increase in US jobs is just down to the economy growing and investment in US production.
    1
  686. It is not just the amount of money but the demand on the total number of products. We have had two years of market restrictions layered on top of a growing economic output which has meant that parts of the market are bursting while others are doing fine. There is no shortage of food in the US but there are issues in certain locations on the amount of houses, machine parts and raw materials.
    1
  687. It is a tricky one .
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  688. The reality is that ASML cannot exist in its current form without the US allowing it to.
    1
  689. The US does not rely on Taiwan for it its semiconductor industry. Europe simply does not have a semiconductor industry that is anything like the US and its sources are all US based.
    1
  690. Low end chips that sell for pennies are absolutely horrible quality and consistency. Their architecture is hideous from a manufacturing point of view. The platforms they are embedded within are not much better hence why there is such high product failure rates.
    1
  691. Everybody expected them to just steam roll the pace but clearly western training of Ukrainian forces and gear has really stunted the Russians. Russia and even people in the west did not expect the west to support Ukraine. When the US was sending support to the NATO lines it was sending out the message that the west was not going to go any further. Remember this war is not over yet.
    1
  692. Iran is not an industrial force. WHo are you trying to kid.
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  693. The UN is useless and can do nothing other than make statements.
    1
  694. There are doubts to the standard of Russian nuclear warheads. It is unlikely that Russia has the ability for full nuclear exchange with the US. That does not mean they do not have nuclear weapons just not at the scale to win an exchange.
    1
  695.  @dark_fire_ice  As long as Russia is still fighting Putin will stay in power but if he loses this war that is when there could be a Coup d'état or Putin could just lose power.
    1
  696. Maybe not yet because Russia is still fighting.
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  697. Ukraine did not use Russian weapons to stall the tank offensive. They used British and American equipment.
    1
  698.  @QuizmasterLaw  Before this war it was all speculative as to how it would perform at scale.
    1
  699.  @QuizmasterLaw  Russian missiles have been terrible and that has nothing to do with western mobile equipment. Even the Russian air force has not dominated the airspace. It was speculated that they were hold their air force back for another battle.
    1
  700. By the fact that Russia has still not dominated the Ukraine region and had a fail assault on Kyiv.
    1
  701. None of those countries are technologically advanced so stop trying to kid your self.
    1
  702.  @rasmuswittsell10  What you are saying is that you do not like that he said it rather than him just stating the obvious which is that Russia is a much larger force than Ukraine.
    1
  703. Global supply chain restrictions started it all and now it has taken on a life of its own.
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  704. That is what he has stated in the video due to the variants through mutation occurring. One of the theories back in 2020 was that the virus would mutated to a point that it would be like seasonal flu
    1
  705. We are assuming and guessing at this point.
    1
  706.  @Tyrant_13  This is a classical case of you not listening to what Zeihan is saying. He is saying it is zoological and not engineered. The evidence at this stage points towards zoological but he is not saying it did not come from a lab as it may well have done so. We have no evidence for anything at this point so wild speculation about claims of an engineered virus are really just the plays of entertainment among conspiracy theorists. Maybe they are correct and it is engineered but they are just guessing.
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  707. You are just making stuff up.
    1
  708. It is a myth that the US has the world's highest rates of diabetes. The US has a diabetes screening program that is far more sophisticated than any of the European welfare state programs. Many of the diabetes profiles today simply would have been ignored years ago and have fallen outside the realm of diagnosis.
    1
  709.  @danpoynton  Again you are like others not listening to what he is actually saying. He is saying there is no evidence that it is an engineered virus. Most people that blaming China are not stating that it is an engineered virus. A perfectly natural zoological virus can escape from labs but we do not have any proof of this being the case even though many of us are convinced that is what may have happened. Again people need to listen to what he is actually saying and not imagining what he is saying. If somebody wants to state from a position of authority that it is an engineered virus they need to provide proof and not opinions.
    1
  710. America has the perfect mix of culture, politics and natural geography.
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  711. You are talking nonsense.
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  712. Science is based on evidence and you can only make a claim when you have the data to back it up. Many people for example claiming it is an engineered virus simply have no proof. There are abuses of data gathering but that does not mean there cannot be clean data analysis carried out.
    1
  713. I am not one of those that is convinced of a evolutionary theory of virus adaptation. I think that it is more of a random variable event that has different outcomes. The virus variant that is left standing is the one that just happens to be less lethal rather than it being some specific purpose of the virus. I am also one of those that does not believe in Darwin's theory of evolution either.
    1
  714. He is not saying that America should not have immigration. He is saying it is very difficult due to the sheer size of the US border with Mexico to regulated it. I believe a border wall can be built and should be built but not to cover the whole border and just to focus it in certain parts. It is the same problem Europe has in the mediterranean.
    1
  715.  @tommyt1785  Your assertion that there would be enough to go a round would be true in a genuine market economy. That is not the case though for most of the world that is not a true market economy. Most of the world is a top down authoritarian economic model. There is no innovation or development of market practice. What most of the world does is to use western technology and tools for their own ends. Countries that are genuine market economies like Canada, Western Europe, Japan, Austria, New Zealand and USA it will not be so much of a problem. Most starvation in the world today is due to war not food crop failures.
    1
  716. They are mechanical systems that have had very small amounts of money spent on them. Highly unlikely that they have a large volume of them. And most are just sitting in cold storage.
    1
  717. The whole radioactive thing about nuclear weapons have been way over played. The real danger with nuclear weapons and their nuclear fallout is based over a few weeks. Nuclear fallout of a power plant is a different animal all together.
    1
  718. It depends on how crazy the Chinese become as their culture starts to collapse.
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  719. They probably have an arsenal that is 1% effective with the majority of that being regionally capable so it would work effectively against China on the battlefield. They probably then have a very limited number that can be used for intercontinental exchange but nowhere near enough to take out the US.
    1
  720. It is not that Russia has no nuclear weapons or that they have no systems that work it is a question of Russia have enough nuclear weapons for full intercontinental exchange with the US. It is one thing to fire a nuclear weapon and an entirely different thing to actually win a war with them.
    1
  721. Kyle Kulinski is a hardcore leftist that would probably start arguing with something he does not agree with.
    1
  722. You need to calm down. He is talking general politics not political ideology or conspiracy.
    1
  723. Germany in WW2 did not have the industrial base to conquer Europe, Eurasia, North Africa and British Isles but guess what it did not stop them from trying. Russian Nationalists make no hidden pretence that they want to conquer all of Europe.
    1
  724. Better not talk about it without all the details. It could have been criminal activity and then a media and political overreaction or maybe it was attempt of terrorism. For it to be a Coup d'etat it needs an element of the system itself that would carry it out and not a group of terrorists.
    1
  725. All the west desires from Russia is that it stays in its lane and does not threaten the west.
    1
  726. Germany will not be able to easily buy cheap natural gas for its industrial energy system no matter what deals it tries to cut.
    1
  727. Most of them are probably well meaning and just have an opinion on the topic but some of them probably are Russian puppets that have been bought and paid for. Democrats have the same issue but they were mostly purged during the 2016 election hysteria. There are also a proportion of republicans that believe a new conservative world order is coming about with Russia being at the forefront of that because Putin has put the idea in their heads that he is against woke policies when in fact he is just using it to stoke tensions. Nazi's did the same thing pre WW2 but the US tends to be very good as dealing with it in the long term.
    1
  728. Germany over the last few decades has not embraced US policy. Post WW2 Germany embraced America style market principles and the UK rejected them and it was Germany that prospered and the UK that declined. Germany for decades has been all for controlled market space through EU management. Which was one of the reasons Germany embraced renewable energy and other insane German policies backed by taxpayers. It is going to cost Germany almost a trillion Euros to build out their renewable energy system that will not provide energy for their needs. All while their policy pushed them into the sphere of Russia. You cannot blame the made up term "neo liberal" when Germany has been doing what it does best which is to blame others for their problems. Problem is there are no jews this time to blame.
    1
  729. The main bulk of the party has but there is a small element that are pro Russia for what ever weird reason they have.
    1
  730. That is nonsense. The US did not tell Germany to invest its most critical energy structures into Russian economy nor to have no children.
    1
  731.  @stygian4011  That has no bearing on national energy.
    1
  732. Renewable energy at present does not power a whole national grid. That alone should really show you the level of mentality on display.
    1
  733. That is the weakness of a multiparty system. There is no singular voice and no singular policy group that can be put into place too let people see what works.
    1
  734. How did germany move out of Russian gas?
    1
  735. It was never about of disabling Germany and was all about ensuring that war could not be easily started again from Germany. It has worked for 75 years but may now be about to break down. EU did not come into existence until 1993 and German Reunification happened in 1990. You cannot blame the EU for what Germany has done nor can the Jews be blamed this time. Germany always had a history of blaming others for its problems.
    1
  736. Your statement does not make any sense.
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  737. Because Putin him self has stated that they view other countries as part of their empire. You have to take them at their word.
    1
  738. Russia wars are not six month jobs and can carry on for decades. They involve lots of death and destruction to the opponents and to Russian people. All Russian men will be forced to serve in that war or face being lined up against a wall. Russia could in theory use nuclear weapons on Ukraine and there would not be much that the west would do about it. Long before that would even come about Russia would just throw several million bodies at Ukraine. Unless Russia collapses politically this is the pathway that will play out.
    1
  739. Russia is a brutal state but that may end up still happening.
    1
  740. Best case scenario Russia has 18 million military age men from 20 to 40 years of age. But they would be very likely to be able to field that as a professional military force. The US had a professional force of about 16 million in WW2. If WW3 was to start today the US would be able to produce a force of about 40 professional service personal.
    1
  741. 50 year old men are not capable of being in a professional army as recruits.
    1
  742. Nonsense. The US has a far higher degree of willingness to fight. Right now the US has about 1500000 professionally trained troops. Even whiny leftists would actually serve against a foreign force that is threatening the US. The US could easily get a force of 40 million professional troops in a world war.
    1
  743. It would be impossible to achieve. To invade America probably is going to take a force off about 40 million and there simply is not enough naval assets in the world that would make that possible. And while that is going on the US probably could get a defensive force of about 100 million with a professional military service personal of about 40 million. It simply is not possible.
    1
  744. If they had a free society with a free market they would not need to invest as the market would find its own way to healthcare.
    1
  745. Less leathal to the west which has had a combination of natural exposure and vaccination.
    1
  746. Xi is trying to secure energy for China. There is nothing new in that. Saudi arabia will still sell to China. The middle east is China main energy source. You want it to be some big deal because you think it will impact America and probably have some nonsense theory about the petrodollar.
    1
  747. It is not even close to being 37% of Americans with Obesity. That is just a made up figure that was done on surveys within the health system not the general population. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6111619/
    1
  748. The authorities only reacted because the protests were about to cause a civil war in China. Nothing to do with their leadership or local governments.
    1
  749. Only a small amount of Americans are obese. The vast majority are not obese and do not fall into that category. Just because people see some obese people out and about and see it on tv does not mean the whole population is like that. There has always been obese people but their numbers have dramatically increased but relative to the greater population they are insignificant. Certain cities hospitals are over run with obese people but it only takes a few hundred obese in a city to do that.
    1
  750. If there is lots of shut downs people in the west will know about it.
    1
  751. AMerican has already started the process of manufacturing again.
    1
  752. The information is out there when it comes to infections and their impacts.
    1
  753. 6 month break for the Chinese economy is a big deal. Especially in a just in time economic market place.
    1
  754. China does not have the ability to project power that far. The local players will have far more say in that. Russia may not collapse everywhere and still may have resources to target certain individual regions for the foreseeable future.
    1
  755. Georgia were tricked into making a movie by the Russians. You can call it a false flag or what every other term you want.
    1
  756. Only a small proportion of Russia is actually lived in.
    1
  757.  @Kolumbus123  Not at all bizarre. When China goes into decline it will fall apart and the destruction will be extreme
    1
  758.  @piotrjasielski  Are you claiming that Poland has given Ukraine more artillery and field equipment than the captured from Russia?
    1
  759. The amount of guns, artillery, weapons systems and so on is larger than what Ukraine received. He did not say the number of tanks.
    1
  760. They are trying to keep Iran away from the Russians.
    1
  761. Russia is most certain a collection of cultures held together by force and 20% of Russia is not ethnically Russian and is made up of a series of cultures. Russia most certainly is the very definition of an actual empire.
    1
  762. I do not think he omitted them but just wanted to discuss those countries in particular.
    1
  763.  @korayven9255  Putin is not a conservative and people need to stop throwing these terms around just to suit their political attack labelling. Orban is not a conservative either so people need to stop throwing the term around him.
    1
  764.  @DrSQUIRRELBOY12  The outcome of all of this will be dictated by the depth of Russian military forces.
    1
  765. It depends on how Moldova views Transnistria if the Russian cultural empire collapses.
    1
  766.  @1adamuk  Not to people that actually get to live.
    1
  767. Stolen? It was all sabotaged when the US left. Do not even try to pretend what Russia did was similar to what the US did.
    1
  768.  @danieldpa8484  I am not convinced that China has the ability to learn. I think they believe their own hype.
    1
  769. Turkey has a habit of sticking their fingers in peoples eyes and then later own down the line making amends for it in some fashion.
    1
  770. PZ does not predict exact micro problems. He has always stated that it is unknown exactly how the Russian military would perform. Most experts expected Ukraine to fold militarily and for Russia to then be bog down in an occupation war. Russia still has not declared war on Ukraine so we will need to wait and see.
    1
  771. A lot of those places do not project power Argentina may offer support but that is it. There is very little trade between the regions.
    1
  772. When decline happens it can be very rapid.
    1
  773. But they have to survive as a country to be a superpower.
    1
  774. Russia may lose power and not be able to project power but that does not mean Kaliningrad is going anywhere soon but may do so in the long run.
    1
  775. Putin would have to get a declaration of war into place but hard to know if there is a stomach for such a move in Russia.
    1
  776. That is always the danger but before they and he would do that they probably would declare war and send all of their troops into the regions and saturate it.
    1
  777. ? He is saying it is unpredictable on many levels.
    1
  778. Nonsense.
    1
  779. That is not what he said.
    1
  780. Nope that is not even true. Stop making stuff up.
    1
  781. A lot of addicts end up in the prison system because they commit crimes and that is where the treatment should be starting. Until prisons get rid of common areas and start having one prisoner per cell and not allowing them to mix it will not change.
    1
  782. It was a joke but clearly people who are easily offended do not get it.
    1
  783. Organized crime would just try and make them cheaper and probably a lot more dangerous.
    1
  784. You missed what he was talking about when discussing Trump. The wall that Trump built required roads for construction of the wall so that contractors, machines and materials could get to the point of the wall construction site. That meant those very inhospitable places that were in effect desert that were very difficult to cross all of a sudden had a road system running through them that smugglers could use.
    1
  785.  @pierregibson6699  The Cartels took control of the drug trade in the US. It is common knowledge that they are the biggest gangs in the prisons and on the streets in many cities. That does not mean there are no other gangs but they do not have dominance. This is not about norml crime like burglary, violent assaults and so on. It is about street gang culture. And it is one of the reason groups like MS13 were never able to fully control the streets.
    1
  786.  @SolzhenitsynBoogie  The media has just put the idea out there about her.
    1
  787.  @wilhelmheinzerling5341  " that is a lie" That is a very vague statement.
    1
  788. Trudeau is not a fascist. He is most certain left in politics and may be a socialist (have to guess that one).
    1
  789. Who are you talking about?
    1
  790. What will Russia do if it does become chaotic is the biggest question. How long does the current regime have considering their age and what comes next?
    1
  791. When cultures collapsed before it was never on display for the world to see. This is a first time.
    1
  792. Saddam used them against people in Iraq that were not a military force. Most of those that died through those weapons were civilians to include children, elderly and women. Saddam and the Ba'ath party would have killed far more people with conventional weapons in their ethnic cleansing.
    1
  793. They are technically not European as they are not part of the continental land mass. The distance between dublin and Munich is 1700 km. That should put things in perspective.
    1
  794. Will not help at all.
    1
  795. The economy is forced to.
    1
  796. We are joking right?
    1
  797. Russia will still exist with nuclear weapons that will protect it from invasion but who knows what would happen if Russia was to completely collapse Mad Max style.
    1
  798. No the countries will vanish and they will either be part of another country or they will start all over again.
    1
  799.  @joebonsaipoland  They also allowed Jews to hid their money from the Nazis.
    1
  800. Britain is not part of European Mainland hence why he has not really covered it. His focus is on continental Europe.
    1
  801. Every country in the EU barring Ireland and UK were part of Schengen. In mainland Europe Schengen is layered with the policy of free movement of people.
    1
  802. There are plenty of places in Europe that are full of cheap vacation homes. France is full of them.
    1
  803. Ireland is really funny one and hard to put in the same groups as other European countries. Ireland was one of the first countries to industrialize after the Britain but it was limited because Ireland went through a population collapse and then sat in the doldrums for several decades post WW1. Ireland post 1980s went through an economic rebuilding but it also is heavily exposed to foreign direct investment. There is also an issue with trying to decipher Ireland demographics due to the large influx of EU migrants.
    1
  804. It will not work and is just fantasy.
    1
  805. I suppose if you are looking at it from a communist point of view commons sense would not make sense.
    1
  806. I think the guy that people call a journalist was assassinated because he may have been more than a journalist. Well that is the speculation anyway.
    1
  807. Saudi Arabia has an enormous amount of arms that they bought from Europe and America. We are talking orders above what their own forces require to go head to head with Iran. They are clearly preparing for a proxy war. They have near to 400 fighter aircraft that are cutting edge and have put enormous investment into training their airforce and have done this over several decades. While their force would probably not be good at conquering a technological military opponent it would be more than a match to cancel what Iran has in zealot forces. Then there is the fact that Saudi Arabia and Israel have been building their military partnerships for some time and are now about to enter phase two on that front.
    1
  808. If they get paid sick leave it will mean that the cost increases and it also means that employees that are not sick will have to pay for those that are off. In Europe where sick leave is enforced by law there is a proportion of the workforce that will take advantage of that and use it as a holiday system. So instead of taking a holiday they will just phone in sick. At first the cost will not be that high but after a few years it will increase the cost of an employee's overall earnings by a few percent per year and over 40 years of working that employee will be $400,000 less well off. If Unions members want sick leave their solution is simple they can start an insurance system to cover those that fall into these hard times. Such a system will not be open to the same level of abuses and it could also have company contributions.
    1
  809. It will not give any benefits at all. If the strikes are vicious enough and they are willing to go far enough what will happen is that alternatives such as the waterways may end up coming into play and that could be disastrous for a local union worker whose very livelihood depends on a particular system such as rail. There are other countries were the railways collapsed because they played that very same game.
    1
  810.  @shorewall  China capturing Taiwan is not the same as getting oil. Them taking over a chip manufacturing plant does not mean they can run them.
    1
  811.  @Baasicstuff  Russia does not have that long which means they may make desperate moves.
    1
  812.  @shorewall  Russia has not declare war because it really is a one time deal. Putin is probably thinking he can use it elsewhere.
    1
  813.  @richardarriaga6271  Russia is no match for the US when it comes to warfare but that does not mean they cannot wreck havoc or attempt to take down Europe. The Nazis were not a match for the allies but it did not stop them from trying. Russia has one thing that would check mate US military abilities and that is the potential to unleash nuclear armageddon on the world. Russia in all out war would bring a lot of destruction to Europe even though they would lose.
    1
  814.  @Loki1191  No I am not saying that. I am saying that if they moved to total war as a culture they would produce enough scale that they would cause a lot of destruction and most certainly could flatten Ukraine to the ground. Right now Russia is not at that point and the longer it can be kept from that the better. It is a one trick pony for Russia in that they can only do that once and go all out.
    1
  815.  @stipe3124  I am not suggesting Russia would be the west in warfare but it will do a lot of damage.
    1
  816. Russians are not about movement they are about throwing straight lines of bodies at a wall of defence until they can form a crack. The problem they face is that Ukrainian mobility will only start to increase as the weather gets warmer and drier.
    1
  817. They are throwing large numbers of poorly trained poor armed bodies at it.
    1
  818. He tells you he is green but he also tells you the reality of what is needed.
    1
  819. They have not changed that much.
    1
  820. What on earth are you talking about?
    1
  821. That is not going to help Putin so stop with the nonsense. Trump is not going to get elected even Republicans realize that now. Trump is no more of a friend to Russia than Hillary or Biden would be.
    1
  822. Why would their be no incursions? It is simple Russia has not moved to a complete war economy culture and attacks inside Russia would speed that process up. It is better to keep that off for as longs possible.
    1
  823.  @WorldWide-q8v  Nobody believes the figures.
    1
  824.  @WorldWide-q8v  The figures are pure fantasy.
    1
  825.  @ande9568  The next week it is forecast to rain and then colder weather. Until it is completely dry solid ground it really means that Russia gets to play their game on their terms but once it dries out and is consistence so then Ukraine gets to play its game. Movement requires a sustain period of dry weather. All Ukraine needs to focus on is defending until they get the opportunity to counter.
    1
  826. Yes it still fits the facts because Summer is not here as of yet. The temperature around Kiev is 3 degrees with rain in the next week with occasional frost. From a combat point of view it will take a few months for it to play out as he is saying in the video.
    1
  827. Mud does not favor the Ukrainians because Russia does not use mobile and varied attacks. It uses a wave offensive that moves in straight simple lines and will use such things as roads and towns to move through.
    1
  828. To reduce the effects of the density of the waves of attack it will need to be a kill ratio of that order. The more blood as well the more damage it does to Russian moral. It can also cause a fog of war that the Russians do not see until it is too late.
    1
  829.  @nicholascarter9158  Peter like everybody thought they would get overrun. I thought the same thing but there is nothing wrong with assuming these things as they are impossible to really predict.
    1
  830.  @nicholascarter9158  His prediction was that Russia would over run Ukraine and that still may happen we just do not know. But that does nothing to forward any real point that you are trying to make.
    1
  831. He is not predicting he is telling you the potential outcomes. I just wish people would listen to what he is actually saying.
    1
  832.  @iji6249  Your point is that Ukraine does not have numbers of fighting men in the battle because they all fled. Your point was not complicated. I countered it by saying that Ukraine has a smaller military and cannot get all their man trained to enter the battle. Hence why large numbers of Ukrainians are training in other countries.
    1
  833. Ukraine has a smaller population and it has a bottle neck in how many men it can get to the battle field.
    1
  834. If Russia things it is about to collapse it will just start lobbing nuclear weapons. In their mind it will not matter if they use them or not if they are going to die.
    1
  835.  @PrimarchX  Putin and the government of Russia do not care about the Wagner group. They will be used until they are broken and destroyed. I am not saying logistics are not important but it will not really be the outcome of the war. Russia never had good logistics and they tended to just take what they needed as they moved forward in waves. The key here is how much resources the Ukrainians can get to increase their density of defence. Russia could fail at this several times but still keep sending in numbers from Russia until Ukraine cracks. This war is about the very survival of Russia so they are not going to give up.
    1
  836. It does not affect the Russians to the same extent hence why they will make advances until the terrain allows movement. What will happen then is that the Ukrainians will get the upper hand but at some point Russia will increase the density of the onslaught.
    1
  837. Defensive forces never face the same level of casualties as the offensive. It is just the nature of attack and defence. Russia does not have free movement either.
    1
  838. If it goes from freezing to dry to warm fast it will lessen the effects of the mud season.
    1
  839.  @marilenaganea6578  It depends on how much stomach the moldovans have to defend their country. Enough weapons and desire could make them formidable. The Russian military is not at the level of the US military. it does not have precision warfare and if it goes up against a smaller force such what Moldova has it can be an extremely difficult fight. The problem with Ukraine is that all the wrong signals were sent out initially by the west and Ukraine and it invited Russia into an invasion. Moldova has time to start prepping them self so that the Russians can see what is there. Well armed militias, precision warfare, deep defense systems, air defence and so on could make Moldova a poison shrimp. Otherwise Moldova can sit and wait to be raped and pillaged.
    1
  840.  @in5minutes556  The alternative maybe Russian invasion. People need to start thinking how all of this works out.
    1
  841. They are not long range systems and once the coordinates are entered into the system and launched they will go to a rough target location. They are not precision systems.
    1
  842. Shotguns, flak systems and other tools would work as well. Nothing as sophisticated as C-Ram would be needed.
    1
  843. Yes Iran is extremely desperate.
    1
  844. Ukrainian drone systems are precision systems that can accurately target military assets. What Russia is using is a system of blind fire into map coordinate systems that are not precision and not accurate.
    1
  845. Russia has not been dominating Rocket launches.
    1
  846. They are not working that well in Ukraine.
    1
  847. Nobody has hypersonic missiles they are a myth.
    1
  848. It depends on how accurate the artillery systems of the Ukrainians are.
    1
  849. The way things are shaping it looks like the Russians simply may not understand the current situation. Now to counter this it could be assumed that the Russians have a lot more supplies than people realize.
    1
  850. It could destroy Ukraines future food security and while it would hurt Russian supplies it would do far more damage to the civilians.
    1
  851. You are assuming that the Russian military knows exactly what is going on. There is a culture in their military today of keeping their heads down and not saying anything negative.
    1
  852. Using 40000 armillary rounds a day in a non industrial system will most certain deplete their supplies.
    1
  853. Reagan administration along with democratic congress implemented a series of policies that increased household wealth and dampened inflation and that then resulted in the ability for the next 25 years to be a party time interest rate.
    1
  854. Powell isn't doing it because Volker did it he is doing it because there simply are no other options. If they do not raise interest rates it will cause runaway inflation that could take down a whole economy.
    1
  855. That operates on thin air. The real power of crypto is not that it is a currency but it can act as a network of exchange. Banks are about to use that very model for exchange and are trying to work out how to implement policy.
    1
  856. How much did you pay for the home.
    1
  857. I think he meant 6% to 9% with the difference being 3% and that is 50% of 6%.
    1
  858. You sound like an itinerant in the great depression. If you can save for an RV why can you not save for a house?
    1
  859.  @TokyoTaisu  I bet you are in favor of welfare to include free healthcare and free college education.
    1
  860. The EU is not a good market economy and cares more about the EU existing than it does investors.
    1
  861. Capital controls are not completely restricted by the ECB. Any country in Europe can set individual taxes, asset costs, asset leveraging and so on. There is no limited to the amount of individual policies that can be set that in effect will restrict the movement of capital.
    1
  862. They most certainly have their eye on the future. Even during the market crisis 2008 and following recessions they never increased interest rates. So why now would they do it. Inflation most certainly is a defining factor but I am sure that they know that inflation is not a singular event and tends to play out over decades. The last time the US had lost control of inflation it last from 1966 to 1985 with the peak period being in the late 1970s.
    1
  863. So you expect 4% interest rates to deal with 10% inflation?
    1
  864. Not having a house will make life so much more complicated later on. Renting is not easy to understand in 20 years time and with no house you have no way of knowing what it will be.
    1
  865. Most Millennials in the US are doing quite well.
    1
  866.  @jimjohnson3609  Petroleum is part of the wider pool of economics but the pandemic affected everything from Petroleum, manufacturing and services.
    1
  867. They were only bad when viewed in context of the overall policies that government the market.
    1
  868. The job of the Fed is money supply only.
    1
  869. That is just a fantasy.
    1
  870. That 16.9% was the Reagan Regime but they were doing it as a response to the inflationary problem that they were facing which was caused during the era of Carter. Interest rates in the mid to late 1970s was down in the 5% range when it should have been double or triple that.
    1
  871. @Iggy Swag I will be honest with you. If you are a medical doctor that has just finished medical school in Germany it is impossible for you take that Doctorate of medicine and start practising in the US. You would need to start all over again doing a 4 year science based degree in an American college, 4 years of medical school and then 3 to 4 years of residency. It is not impossible of you to do all of that and the reward would be immense at the very end as pay and standards of living in the US are very high. If you want it easier Switzerland would be an option for you, as would Ireland, Canada, Australia or New Zealand. Ireland and Switzerland would be the easy no visa options. Standard of living for a doctor in New Zealand and Canada would be very high and that would even be during a period of high inflation. If you are a women getting a visa through marriage to a US man would be easy if you want to do it. If you are a man doing the same would be very difficult. That is just the reality of biology.
    1
  872. Every average worker in America can afford a mortgage somewhere in America.
    1
  873. ECB is not like the Fed and has nowhere near the powers that the Fed has. The ECB is a collection of different countries that have pooled their banking resources together and as such the ECB has a series of limitations placed on them. Anything that the ECB has to implement has to be ratified through the commission which in effect is the leadership of every european country. They can do minor interest rate changes but if they do anything that causes an individual country to start crying it could cause the whole house to come crashing down.
    1
  874. They are doing it because of inflation that will later down the line cause further economic conditions.
    1
  875.  @jonrolfson1686  That has zero impact on the market over all nor does it even have a solution.
    1
  876.  @vagabondcaleb8915  If everything I said was false name another country with higher living standards. It should be easy for you.
    1
  877. The living standards in America are far higher than anywhere else. When Americans think they have it tough they are still living the high life compared to everywhere else. The great depression in America was still a far better economic condition than many European countries had at their economic peak.
    1
  878. He is talking on a base level what the bank does in the market to charge the customer is a different matter and could be much higher unless there are measures in place to stop the bank from doing it.
    1
  879. They are not doing this to create a good economy as that is not their job. They are increasing interest rates to try and bring inflation under control. Interest rates and tax cuts are the only thing that are know to counter inflation over the long term.
    1
  880. They were still manipulating currency when on the gold standard.
    1
  881.  @julianb1550  You are living in a fantasy world. Millennials is one of the most obedient generations to have ever existed. Saying crazy things on line does not translate to a whole generation getting out there and getting politically active. I would say millennials have one of the weakest political cultures to have been seen in 80 years. They care more about being offended than the actual state of the world. Tell us what sort of activism has millennials done?
    1
  882. The only way to conquer inflation is high interest rates so as to cool the demand money. The US also has another problem in that external demand for dollars is going to drive inflation higher. Hence why they have to try and cool the whole thing down before it starts to get out of control.
    1
  883. You had it good compared to today generations who have not had a good economic ride.
    1
  884. What?
    1
  885. Millenials are free to go out and build their own economy. They can start the next microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Nike and so on. No point crying about it and just get out and do things.
    1
  886. The federal reserve has only one role which is to control the supply of money which can include inflation.
    1
  887. So do you prefer more welfare like free healthcare, student loan forgiveness or do you prefer no government healthcare, no government college funding. Which option do you like the most.
    1
  888.  @joey199412  Most of those developing nations that rely on that cheap capital from the US are very corrupt and are not market economies. No matter what happens they were always going to fail. Many of them used that capital to fund their military forces so as to stay in power.
    1
  889.  @deborahhebblethwaite1865  I assume you are talking about the US? The US has a solution for those immigrants and that is to deregulate the market and allow a new cycle of development like happened in America before. There has been various waves of this happening before and opening up the market solves the problem. It is the reason why people flocked to new york and then went out to other parts of the US to form new economic engines.
    1
  890. US debt is not real debt and is something else entirely. There is real debt built into it but not as much as people think.
    1
  891.  @frankbieser  Historically increasing interest rates is one of the tools that cools inflation. Not that it stops it completely as there needs to be economic policy beside that but that is outside the perview of the fed and has to be done via the executive, legislator and people.
    1
  892. It is not about controlling economy it is about trying to stop inflation from running away.
    1
  893.  @heartofodds  He can take advantage.
    1
  894. Demographic instabilities, energy crisis, capital crisis, unstable currency, ECB that is useless and you want to call that challenges. Who are you trying to kid?
    1
  895. That is the problem for people who decided that the EU was a good place to keep their money. European markets had a very short history for people to be so confinement in them. The UK on the other hand has centuries of banking history built on good and bad times experience. The ECB is an avalanche waiting to happen. All the snow has built up and all it will take is somebody to burp and it all comes crashing down.
    1
  896. The alternative is complete run away inflation that your portfolio will not allow you to by anything. Imagine a normal every day car cost $200,000 when your portfolio is worth $500,000.
    1
  897.  @franciscobermejo1779  So let us get this straight you think the ECB that has no track record or earned capital is going to get into an agreement with a series of countries that do not even have a market economy? What on earth are you smoking?
    1
  898.  @acenull0  Factories shutting down, schools shutting down, parts inventory running low and base materials falling of the market caused all of this.
    1
  899. It has nothing to do with Fiat currency.
    1
  900. Not importing is a good thing because otherwise the US could end up like Germany.
    1
  901. The US will be selling Germany in the upcoming years discounted high end gear. Including the F-35 and new defensive missile shields. Germany is getting more of the deal in the long term. They are also going to get American engineering to help with LNG systems.
    1
  902. Nope towards Ukraine.
    1
  903. Abrams tanks are designed to operate as part of wider systems approach to including targeting and comms data. Does that make sense?
    1
  904.  @williamhenry8914  The word net is debatable in this. They have a fusion reaction but how that would be considered net is a tough one.
    1
  905. Pure fantasy but that is the world we today live in where reality is ignored. This is fusion based research not fusion energy stations. I do not think people understand and hear the word fusion and assume it means an energy generation system.
    1
  906. It is a drop in the ocean for the US.
    1
  907. Even if it was achieved in 2050 it would still take decades to then build out the system. And that would be a 70 year period. It is nothing like the Hoover Dam because that was built with existing engineering knowledge at the time. There is no engineering knowledge for Fusion just a vague science concept that we think we can engineer.
    1
  908. Nope not even connected.
    1
  909. The public has no idea what any of this means. The media through a lot of headlines and editorial sections could convince the public to throw billions if not trillions into this area of research and it still would have no impact in the short or even medium term.
    1
  910. Then you are asking for hundreds of stations to power the whole grid and guess what that will take 50 years to build out.
    1
  911. Wait a minute you think they are going to be constructing fusion reactors for every building? That is pure science fiction at present.
    1
  912. It is just science research nothing else. It is not an engineering system that can be applied.
    1
  913.  @firstLast-sn3me  Those are all break through areas that I listed that are playing out right now. A science experiment on fusion that very few people understand is not something to get excited about. What you are seeing is nothing more than PR at play and media headlines designed to excite.
    1
  914. SO you think his 70 year figure is wrong then?
    1
  915. Let us guess you the expert are going to guide us with your tone?
    1
  916. Because of the distances involved, bridging generation to substations and the key is to have the most efficient system possible. If there is to be a small number of plants that would be the required approach if it is large number of plants expect it to take several more decades.
    1
  917. Nope cannot.
    1
  918. Why?
    1
  919. You are just as bad with the thorium obsession.
    1
  920. But it will still take 70 years for it to play out.
    1
  921. So you think there is going to be a grid of fusion power before 70 years time? Think about what you are rallying against in your statement.
    1
  922. Your teacher has still not been proven wrong.
    1
  923.  @KitagumaIgen  If you cannot make predictions how can you call out somebody else?
    1
  924. OK then explain how they are going to build the fusion reactors at a powerplant level since you are calling the video nostradamus quality?
    1
  925. I suspect before then we are going to see clean coal plants, gas plants, geothermal and a host of other solutions pop up.
    1
  926. That is pure fantasy at best.
    1
  927. The dollar is the only stable currency in the world.
    1
  928.  @brianjonker510  No. You just avoided by question. D oyou think they can easily build new power plants in existing infrastructure. Yes or no.
    1
  929. SO you think they are just going to easily build their new power plants on existing fission reactor infrastructure?
    1
  930. It is just fantasy.
    1
  931.  @ianhollands1641  They were not workable scale reactors and were experimentation systems.
    1
  932. That is just as bad in terms of belief systems. It is a theoretical conjecture that is always just around the corner as well.
    1
  933. You are discussing a field that took 70 years to play out and then criticizing a guy for giving you a 70 year window for the next big era. Do you not see the irony in your statement?
    1
  934. EV is the future but it cannot be willed into place by politics. It has to develop through the market place. Rightnow Tesla cars are a luxury similar to BMW, Mercedes or Land Rover. They are simply not suitable for the whole market place. None of that does not mean a company like Tesla cannot succeed in our current market place.
    1
  935.  @ralphemerson497  Australia has everything it needs to build its own industries with. Australia also has a growing population and a new consumer market that will be arriving in the late 2020s.
    1
  936.  @teddybearroosevelt1847  You actually think the average democrat voter cares about any of that. The just voted in an old president to replace an old president. One was offensive and appears not to be with it. Most people do not care about this when buying their products.
    1
  937. That is just politics and media and in a few short years their attention could be on something else such as the famines that are around the corner and their occasion with global warming may just get forgotten. Remember when the ozone was about to fall and everybody was going to be completely sunburned, remember acid rain or the destruction of mining on the environment. Those were all crazes of the left that are not long gone.
    1
  938. Hybrid is a bit of a myth as well. It is not better for the environment than ICE. Some people like the way hybrid and all electric drive but that is a style and personal usage. Tesla can be a massive market success and may even help to push electric cars along but that does not mean such concepts can be decreed from the top down by policy.
    1
  939. The commies that want to ban cars will come after bikes next. And if they get their way completely they will ban walking as well. The Green Movement is really just a watermelon in that it is green on the outside but very red in the middle.
    1
  940. I am an EV fan but they simply are not going to take over the market place anytime soon. Governments, politicians and the media are being unrealistic about them.
    1
  941.  @thomasherrin6798  What do you mean Ireland is a boom and bust economy?
    1
  942. Chinese solar manufacturing is like their steel industry in that it is state sponsored. The reason they have such high volumes and cheap prices of solar panels is because the state has backed that sector directly. The main reason they have done this is because western culture has given them the impression that they were all in on it.
    1
  943.  @BuddyLee23  The Balloon was tracked by the airforce, shot down and everybody knows about it. What exactly do you think China learned from it?
    1
  944.  @FreedomIsNotGoingToBeFree  The vast majority of people in China have no idea what communism is.
    1
  945.  @HR_8035_YEA  I think India is just needing the oil.
    1
  946. Most of the small cars are junk and are sold at barely above cost price. Most of the small cars that are manufactured tend to have components from several manufacturers.
    1
  947. Tariffs protect US industry.
    1
  948.  @ronarnett4811  The US has lots of competition.
    1
  949. It is called supply and demand. Cars also have to be priced right for the market place.
    1
  950. They will only buy then when they are good not when they are below standard.
    1
  951. American cars are just better than European cars on every level.
    1
  952. VW, Mercedes, Audi, BMW and Porsche sell a lot of cars in the US. Certain US states and cities will buy more of a certain brand than others. Toyota probably has a better manufacturing set up in the US.
    1
  953. Tesla is completely EV where as the other manufacturers are not and it may be designed to bring them further on board. The truth is that government cannot pick winners and looser in the marketplace because it never works.
    1
  954. All the American brands are competitive with one other. DO not confuse foreign brands undercutting US brands because they do not need to meet US standards to the same degree as being competition. How is it possible for a US made vehicle to compete with cars that have components that are made by slave labour.
    1
  955. Most are not full US manufacturing but they do have models that are based on US manufactured components.
    1
  956.  @jimcarlson2252  Ford and GM get very little money from China. Ford total revenue from China is 2% of their total revenue. That means hard cash not claimed vehicle figures. South America is a bigger market for Ford than China by revenue. The numbers coming out of China are nonsense. What probably is happening in China is that the manufacturers there are living on a credit funding mean they are getting money directly from the government to pretend it is revenue. SAIC alone probably is sitting in excess of $300 billions of debt.
    1
  957. I am afraid to tell you that is nonsense. Ford do not sell that many cars in China. Ford and other Western brands license their products to Chinese manufacturers that do not make them to the same standard. On the exterior they may look like a Ford or Buick but they are not. The numbers that come out of China are also nonsense and nobody can verify them. The American brands are getting money out of China but it simply is nowhere near the levels being claimed. GM vehicles in China are manufactured by SAIC. Ford are made by Changan.
    1
  958. Nonsense.
    1
  959. Cars can easily run without microchips. American car industry culture also has a history of larger displacement engines meaning if there are no chips they can also go back to pure mechanical systems but that does not need to happen. America is the worlds largest high end chip producer that can easily through some cleaver designs control the systems of a car.
    1
  960.  @solidoperative  Spoken like a true fan boy. Germany is not going to be producing cars at previous prices and will face the same problem the UK auto industry faced. You can fantasize about how great german cars are and boast about how they are better than Ford.
    1
  961. Most American branded cars are made from NAFTA dominated manufacturing. There are special components then that make their ways into cars that come from certain companies.
    1
  962. Nope. US higher end chips have to be made in the US.
    1
  963.  @CubbyTech  Ford Sells more F-150 than Mercedes and BMW sells combined in North America. LOL.
    1
  964. Horrible? Where do people keep getting this from. Buick, Lincoln and Cadillac all produce vehicles that are as nice as anything coming out of Europe.
    1
  965. It is called United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement that came into effect in 2020 and had provisions that came in after and some are to be fully implemented. There will probably be a few more negotiated items to be put in there at some point. Just depends on what the US needs and what the other can achieve.
    1
  966. Are they assembled or are they completely manufactured in America. Obvious certain special materials so on might be from outside.
    1
  967. That one manufacturer is a complete EV manufacturer and is not producing standard ECE so that is why it is not on the list.
    1
  968. Fair competition? What is fair about foreign brands manufacturing their component in slave labor camps in Asia and then taking the components into the US and pretending that it is all legitimate. .
    1
  969.  @connor1414  There are probably people in the US that feel the same way and that probably happened in and before the period of WW2 as well.
    1
  970.  @connor1414  Most people do not understand that modern Germany industry has its roots in US industry. China only makes up about €90 billion of German Exports. The US market is worth about €140 billion to Germany. Then you have to take into account all the other countries that Germany exports to such as the UK, Canada, Australia, Japan, Poland, Netherlands and France. China and Russia will never make up for those loses. Germany is not going to align with the east and the pipeline has nothing to do with that. Unless you are suggesting that the US was targeting Germany as a warning?
    1
  971. No. UK and US have nothing to gain from it. All it would do is weaken European energy supplies. I would suspect that not even the Russian government really wanted this to happen. It was probably a group that made the decision inside the system.
    1
  972. Europe has no choice. They know Russia is coming for them next.
    1
  973. F-16s are still cutting edge technology be under no other impression. They may not be cutting edge by US standards but by everybody else they are leagues ahead.
    1
  974. Nobody knows how many they have handed over but that is just one country he is talking about. Every country in Europe has been doing it. Germany has massive cold war weapons stores that they are just handing over because they are of no use to them.
    1
  975. Russia may invade Europe next and it most certainly is in Europe's interest to try and get a stalemate at the very least in Ukraine.
    1
  976. What on earth are you talking about?
    1
  977. Ukraine economy has already collapsed. This not about economy for Ukraine and is about pure survival. If Ukraine does manage to repel Russia and exist then the economic problems will be after that.
    1
  978. You are talking crap at best.
    1
  979. The problem with using nuclear weapons is that they could then be used on Russia in return.
    1
  980.  @philiphall4805  Micro Control systems.
    1
  981.  @philiphall4805  Russia does not dominate the air above Ukraine so your arguments do not hold much sway. Russia simply does not have the industrial base to develop those Upgraded weapons that you think exist. Russia cannot even do simple cars, microchips, control systems, networking or an aerospace industry.
    1
  982.  @DouglasDavis  It had nothing to do with sanctions. The US carried out sanctions because the japanese were not acting out of trade interests. Sanctions were more about trying to hem them in and was really a weak response at that stage. They hoped sanctions would avoid war but that was weak thinking because the japanese were already trying to conquer asia greater.
    1
  983. Japan did not hit the US due to sanctions. Japan hit the US so as to try and dominate the pacific. They were under the impression if they took out the US fleet in Pearl Harbour that it would enable to to conquer all of the pacific.
    1
  984.  @QuizmasterLaw  When the global order breaks down and it is about a series of countries and their agreements this on the high sea will be messy.
    1
  985. How would china develop such measures that they know will counter such methods?
    1
  986. Russia does not control the air space and they do not have precision missiles so what could they counter them with?
    1
  987. Taiwan has a top notch naval defence system that is of much greater volume than what Ukraine has. Taiwan also has a cutting edge air defence system and an airforce that is leagues ahead of what China has.
    1
  988. I doubt Obama was third smartest president. Maybe by modern standards he might be right up there.
    1
  989.  @richardarriaga6271  My statement was not suppose to be a pro Trump statement but to show that Trump came after Obama because of the failed promises of Obama. It is not suppose to mean Trump is great and Obama is not.
    1
  990. That is not the job of a president. If Obama wanted a social revolution then the role of the president is not a good avenue.
    1
  991. Then Russia should not have invaded that could mean invading Europe.
    1
  992. The US built their system and then loaned it out to the world who could not be bothered to build their own. If they want a competing system with America that means dirty things such as liberty and free market that they get repelled by. Cannot use the US system and then cry when it is taken away from them.
    1
  993. Destroyed off shore is not the correct way of putting it. It most certainly is not helping the US but it does help with keeping peace and ensuring that others are able to function. Everybody thinks the US coming off the reserve status is a bad thing for the US when it is nothing of the sort. The US just decides it is worth paying the price to lose some of that currency economic ability.
    1
  994. @Apsoy Pike What has right to repair got to do with manufacturing.
    1
  995. I think market pressures will push things in that direction without it even being planned out.
    1
  996.  @AliceinWonderlandzz  It is bad for Ukraine but it would be much worse for them if Russia was to turn its complete culture to that of a war economy. It would not be good for Europe either but as long as it can be kept of the table the more chance that Russia could fail in its war.
    1
  997. Why? Because at this stage the war is an expeditionary excise for the Russians. By targeting inside Russia it could turn the Russian culture to that of complete all out war. The longer that is kept of the table the better.
    1
  998. It will lead into central europe as well and further beyond that.
    1
  999.  @urubissoldat5452  And those documents will be even better than the previous lot.
    1
  1000. That time is all in your head and not part of reality.
    1
  1001. The IMF cannot exist without US underpinning it.
    1
  1002.  @strategicviewpoint6672  People are assuming that US debt is a Promissory when it is not. The bulk of US debt is nothing more than a government accounting and finance exercise. It is not hard money with repayments. People are trying to apply personal finance concepts to a currency that is part of an economy that has thousands of trillions in assets. On top of that people then take the business cycle to be the same as the currency and economic assets.
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  1003. Everything in America faces legislation and the idea that bitcoin can some how stay out side that but at the same operate within the US is laughable. Bitcoin at present is house fly in a mansion and until it becomes a wasp it will be mostly ignored.
    1
  1004.  @brianpeters9457  Jefferson gave protection to people in an era that was very difficult to do so. During the foundation of the US government and state there was several sides that were competing for power and some of them wanted to keep the slave trade. Jefferson did not want slavery to remain but he like Washington realized that they could not take it head on. They were still effectively at an uneasy juncture with the British. It took the US 70 years to fully address the issue of slavery. Some of them held slaves so as to protect them from the real slave traders at the time.
    1
  1005. Such things are small and could easily be dealt with if they posed an issue.
    1
  1006. Obama did not do well at managing the executive and neither did Trump but they performed like that for different reasons.
    1
  1007. If Trump had not of played his political character to be that harsh (he is not like that in real life) the media and public may not have disliked him as much. And if Obama had worked with his own party and the republicans a bit more he would have been more more liked.
    1
  1008. World inflation is being caused by supply and demand issues from shutdowns. Australia will face that at some point due to the fact Australia has to import many goods and services. Australia should be using its natural resources to build its own manufacturing base that is used to supply its own economy with some excess then being used for exports. There is nothing worse than being an export economy that is based on raw resources.
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  1009. He has a website I am sure you could contact him and give him feedback about his videos. He may not even be aware of the issue of sound.
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  1010. 99% of Americans believe in America and they all get along in their everyday life. Most Americans believe in their currency and social structure.
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  1011. The US will control that foreign money coming in and as such will drive demand even higher and the US will be picking the most high quality investments. It will not be a free-for-all. The biggest impact will be when the US dollar is not the world reserve currency is that US wealth will grow. Right now the US has to use QE because too many dollars go abroad in an attempt to create international stability. Certain special partners of the US will still get access and do well. One of the main reasons why the UK left the EU was due to the instability of the EU market place.
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  1012.  @martaamance4545  Stop with the anti fed nonsense.
    1
  1013. 99% of Americans agree with one other and are not hardcore extremists that the media would make out. Most Americans do not sit around all day thinking about politics in issues such as gender and race. The vast majority of black Americans and white Americans work with one other every single day with zero issues. Most Americans want a police force. The US economy is under performing because it is acting as world policeman and trying its hardest to create a stable world but is probably losing that battle. At some point America is going to realize it cannot police the world and will give up.
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  1014. Yes there is going to be a period in which easy capital is not available. He never said that was not going to happen. He never said everything was going to be easy.
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  1015. Some states are going to get crushed while others will prosper. It has always been that way and will continue. US debt tends to be internal and is stable and long term. Most of the government debt is nothing more than an accounting exercise and most of it is not hard cashed based. There is still going to be challenges in the US economically but that will appear small and insignificant to the issues faced in Europe and Asia. Everybody in the US thinks the great depression was bad but forget in Europe they had wars that killed tens of millions of people and the same is true of Asia during that period. With a European economic crisis on top of that.
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  1016. What crap are you talking about?
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  1017. US money printing has not caused inflation. The current inflation cycle is due to the economic shutdowns in the US and external to the US. In other words inventory is down which is the supply but the demand is high. Baby formula is the most obvious one right now that everybody can see. There is a demand to feed babies and not enough food. The main reason the US prints money is because too much of the US dollar gets used internationally in an attempt to stabilize the world and then not enough is available to the US economy. When people as well use the term growth in the US what they are really talking about is US government economic growth not real economic growth. GDP does not capture all of the economic activity in the US.
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  1018. If Europe increases its interest rates it will impact many of its key demographics. And cause political unrest and economic instability.
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  1019. Then they will have to increase interest rates and destroy the most productive parts of their economy. The political unrest that generates will be enormous. They have a choice to make.
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  1020. US is not an export economy.
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  1021.  @manishm9478  US business debt is low over all.
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  1022. No country can save it's from its demographic problems with immigration.
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  1023.  @jbtechcon7434  The money that the boomer have keep bangs and financial institutions healthy in cash. And Boomers tend to be consumers in terms of essentials like their homes, healthcare and looking after family members. The reason why the US does not have a elderly care crisis like many other countries is down to the fact the elderly in the US have good retirement funds.
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  1024. The US is going to use an incremental approach every so often that will amount to higher interest rates. So they may get interest to 3 or 4% and then a 2% jump will probably happen.
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  1025. There is this thing call head phones. You should give them a try.
    1
  1026. Nope. Nothing to do with immigration. US Birth rate has remained steady for many years with about 4 million babies being born in the US every year.
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  1027. Research companies that have lower debts, cash on hand, generate free cash flow, produce products that people buy and have a long hard track record. Diversification is key so using bonds, stocks, mutual funds, cash in bank, small bit of gold and paying attention to your portfolio. And last but not least you know best what to do with your money nobody even with fancy qualification can tell you exactly what to invest in. If you want to educate yourself look for the book "intelligent Investor" that was written in 1948 and is based on an older book that was written before the great depression.
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  1028.  @paperandmedals8316  I do not think the average person thinks the US is going to be overtaken by China that is a fear that the media keeps pushing.
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  1029. In part but what many leave out is the fact that the US uses QE not to pay debts or to create economic growth that is just the story that is put out there. The reason the US does this is due to the fact there is not enough currency in the US economy because the dollar is being sucked out of the US. So some of that QE is used to help keep the international dollar demand well funded but also to ensure that there is a supply within the economy. World stability would collapse if there was not enough US dollar out there.
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  1030.  @ElementaryWatson-123  It is 100% supply chain related. Machine parts, tools, raw materials, energy, labour, logistics and production output have all been restricted for 2 full years. That means now as a buyer if you go out and try to purchase anything it is in short supply. Shutdown economies on a global scale for a year and then restricting them for a further year has caused the supply of everything to be restricted. You simply cannot get anything in the quantities that pre pandemic supplies. Even the number of houses has dropped because the number being developed has imploded. Every country on earth right now is facing these issues. The idea that you think this has been caused by printing up money is ridiculous and it really is just feeding into your anti federal reserve mentality. Food world wide now is at levels that will cause famine. Several countries are dangerously low on fuel supplies. The market for fertilizer has fallen of a cliff and pesticides through a combination of regulations and manufacturing is at very high prices.
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  1031.  @JustIn-mu3nl  Jews were allowed to keep their wealth in Swiss banks even though the Nazis tried to pressure Switzerland to not let it happen.
    1
  1032. Nope. Blackwater is a genuine security company. Wagner are a mercenary group that act for political reasons.
    1
  1033. Nope. The volume of resources that would require shipping would be very high and the cost would go through the roof.
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  1034.  @marcobonesi6794  Smuggling is not the issue it is who is supply the items to Russia. They would not want to be the target of sanctions them self. That is how the game is played.
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  1035. That is their challenge but when they do that they become American.
    1
  1036. It is about showing strength and not looking weak.
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  1037. Please do tell us Mr Oddvard Myrnes how europe can prevent Russia from invading Europe?
    1
  1038.  @crescent4996  Poland needs to be spending 20% of its gdp at a minimum as it knows that if Ukraine falls it is next.
    1
  1039. The key is not about Germany giving up their own tanks. The key is that other countries who have their tanks in storage can give them to the Ukrainian military.
    1
  1040.  @abrahamlevi3556  What if the whole of Germany industry was to chip in and help produce various classes of vehicles.
    1
  1041. Germany will fail as a economic culture but that does not mean they cannot arm the life out of the European zone in the next several years.
    1
  1042. That is only the start.
    1
  1043. What can they do about it?
    1
  1044. That is not really news and is just the trend of China.
    1
  1045. There was nothing stopping Germany from having a defensive force and investing in NATO.
    1
  1046. You would be surprised if the right opportunities were to arise who would join up for military service.
    1
  1047.  @DoNotFitInACivic  1.5 million troops storming Ukraine would be chaos and we have no idea what that looks like.
    1
  1048. Numbers have a force and property of their own. While Ukraine is a large country and would be difficult to occupy that does not mean 1.5 million Russians cannot destroy the place completely.
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  1049. Once US pressure comes to bear that viewpoint will change. All the European neighbors as will be putting on pressure. I suspect Germany is playing this game.
    1
  1050. What are you talking about?
    1
  1051. The Challenger is not a more advanced than an M1 Abrams. It is more advanced than the Leopard.
    1
  1052. Countries are donating their equipment as they need to upgrade their current inventory.
    1
  1053.  @giovanni-ed7zq  Tanks are mobile and artillery is not. Russian Artillery can be targeted with loitering munitions as well.
    1
  1054. That would then feed into the Russian narrative of the West arming Ukraine.
    1
  1055. Russia could not take Kyiv the first time but second time it may try with a mind set of complete destruction. People cannot be complacent in regards to this war.
    1
  1056. It is not easy for German culture to make that change.
    1
  1057. If Germany industry was motivated it could easily fill out its military requirements.
    1
  1058. The economic collapse is going to happen over the coming decade. Spinning up its existing industry to a war economy is completely different.
    1
  1059. That is not going to help those who are now retiring and cannot be replaced.
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  1060. Nope it does not mean that at all. There is no getting around the fact that China has a population that is dominated by a retiring work force. Less people below that means they cannot be replaced. If it is an inverted demographic structure it means that decline is baked into the system.
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  1061. There may be people in side China that are so deluded that they think they can take the US in open warfare and as such try to engineer the situation.
    1
  1062. China does not have enough warheads for full exchange.
    1
  1063.  @Hedgehobbit  That is cheating you are not allowed to use facts.
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  1064.  @ggg21201  Peters view points would most certainly be something Rogan would be interested in. All Peter would have to do is make contact with Rogan's production. There are many people that do not know of Peters work and as it becomes more well known he will start to get those invites. Him being on Breaking Points will help with that. I suspect what he would really need is a documentary production based on his work. Rogan gets requests all the time and turns most of them down.
    1
  1065.  @naitruan  Joe Rogan would reach an even wider audience.
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  1066. What is there to lose?
    1
  1067. Even if the US helped the Chinese economy to get up and running it would not be enough to catch up this christmas so there goes your conspiracy theory.
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  1068. Sounds like some socialist conspiracy theorist that get talked about at the local Starbucks.
    1
  1069.  @Alain.Robert  No the first generation are not either. They are too old and too busy trying to get established in Canada. Everybody is imagining these immigrants as young people straight out of highschool when in fact they are all in their thirties with their best years behind them.
    1
  1070. The problem is that the immigrants are not having large families.
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  1071.  @beckyconstantinides2546  Canada does not build enough houses to meet the demand. 200,000 houses a year is not enough. There are currently 5 million Canadians between the ages of 20 to 30 in Canada. Your policy will not work.
    1
  1072. So will the move mean that a person who moves to Canada will have to wait before buying a house?
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  1073. The young are not having children in Japan and they simply do not matter politically. They can whine all they want but it will make no difference. Many do not even understand that China would conquer them in heat beat if they could get away with it. They can fantasise all they want about America forcing them into this or that but it is all meaningless.
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  1074.  @ImHavingaCoronary  I would say very few of those students actually get to stay on because they do not meet the points requirements as part of a skills visa.
    1
  1075. it is impossible for the vast majority to be in age bracket of 25-29. The basic requirements for the visa is having qualifications such as a degree, several years work experience and professional membership. Realistically it is people that have attended college for 4 years, have 3 years vocational work training and then several years of professional work experience. One of the very few qualification sets that would not need to meet those types of requirements would be nursing as their 4 year college qualification is also their professional qualification.
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  1076. Older people do not consume at the same levels as young people. That is a 100% economic fact that does not change no matter what country you travel to. Immigrants into canada are older and most will be in their thirties and will require several years to integrate economically. Most will not be buying homes and will be renting which will take away property from young canadians trying to get started in life and will push their opportunities of starting a family out further. The whole things is self feeding and will destroy parts of the economy you do not expect.
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  1077. The point is that the enclaves on top of an existing fractured culture of Canada is not going to help.
    1
  1078.  @dixonhill1108  England will not thrive if it does not do the right thing. The UK needs to get its head from out underneath it self.
    1
  1079. The reason is that Denmark is not interested in attracting value added immigrants. Most of the immigration is centered around ethics and social values and not economics. Denmark needs to focus on young workers with families and moderate skill levels to arrive and to hit the ground running with work. If Denmark wants its birth rate to correct it will need to change its economic policy away from a welfare state model and towards a worker reward economy that focuses on young people.
    1
  1080.  @Lucas-hb1uq  Capitalism has produced a booming population in places like the US, Australia and New Zealand. US had a baby boom in 1950s that is why numbers were high in that period. It was four children per women in the 1950s and in the period of the 1940s it was less than two children, In the 1930s it was 2.1 children per women. Social programs cost money and that means taxes have to be taken from people to fund those programs. DO not take my meaning to imply that no national government programs should exist but they do have a cost to them.
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  1081. Nonsense. Capitalism is the very thing that allowed Americans to have families and a startd of living in the 1950s and 1960s that even European countries do not have today. Every country that has gone down what you call a hybrid route of socialism and capitalism is really a welfare state economy. To fund that economy it means young workers have to work longer weeks to pay for that system. Those younger workers cannot get married when they are trying to support older population through a welfare system. Germany and UK lead the way on this model and both of them are the first to really fall of a cliff economically.
    1
  1082.  @roboatnick6178  In the developed world the US, Australia, New Zealand, Ireland and a few other countries do not have anywhere near the demographics that Canada is experiencing. I am not suggesting refugees because they sit in a form of immigration limbo for decades. I am suggesting Canada sets a number that they need and then open up the system with a focus on 18 to 24 year olds that can work. Some will be semi skilled with a few years of experience others will be completely skilled. Take a European that has left school at 16 has worked in a factory for a few years and has college certs from that work experience. I do not feel that this is something that can be achieved politically as nobody is willing to talk the truth in Canada.
    1
  1083. That is fantasy. Canadian immigration is based on high skilled college graduates. It is not low skilled working in a sewage system.
    1
  1084. Who are they every going to sell this hydrogen to?
    1
  1085.  @acz88  Even the regions in Canada that are not seeing the migrant influx are having price pressures in real estate. There is simply not enough building of new properties. There is 200,000 homes a year being built in Canada that is not enough for a country with 5 million people aged from 20 to 30 years of age. To over come the shortage there needs to be 600,000 homes a year completed for a period of about 10 years. There are currently 14 million private dwellings in Canada.
    1
  1086. That is not exactly the reason why real estate in Canada has gone outside the realm of local buyers but it does contribute to it. The real reason is that Canada is simply not building enough properties and has regulated its self to the point that it is super expensive to build new prosperities. A cluster of flies would nearly stop a housing development today for weeks or indefinitely.
    1
  1087. They cannot sell that is the thing.
    1
  1088.  @dm1943  Those STEM workers as you call them are just running technical systems for corporations with fancy titles.
    1
  1089. By tech workers what you are really talking about is service based workers that are really glorified technicians.
    1
  1090. The problem canada has as well is its immigration is too focused on highly skilled workers. That means the types of people that are attracted are college educated with 10 to 15 years post college work experience. Well guess what that is not young immigration. Canada needs to change its immigration to take in lower and medium skilled workers that are young and motivated to succeed. They need to lower the requirements so as to attracted 20 to 25 years olds that want to make a life in Canada. That also means they need to be single with no family back home.
    1
  1091. Schwab is a failed academic politician, Bill Gates is really rich and probably bored and Club of Rome is just a think that many will virtue signal towards but then ignore in the real world.
    1
  1092.  @jackstraw262  That is terrible fantasy work there.
    1
  1093. That is part of the problem a college graduate with work experience is not a young person they are mostly approaching late twenties. Current system is focused on college graduates with professional experience and 10 years post college work experience. By the time they arrive in Canada they are in their thirties and then have to start all over again. Those immigrants are leaving it very late to have children.
    1
  1094. Saudi is desperate to find a buyer for its oil, China is desperate as they need as much as they can get. China is about to find out that blood wars in those regions transcend money.
    1
  1095. There are thousands of banks in the US. Some are going to be subject to crisis. It is just natural. No conspiracy theory design required.
    1
  1096. No. Boom in tech is caused by companies that produce products that people use in their lives. That market is probably now saturated because there are not as many new customers. It already happened to the cellular phone market in the early 2000s until smart phones came to market. Ai will probably be the next new market place but the tools are not ready as of yet. So recognising the next company to be an apple of google is going to be the gold that may prospect for.
    1
  1097. Zeihan level of serious is more to do with the structure of society not whether some corporations make losses or a recession.
    1
  1098. You will find a lot of normal working admin in those banks losing their jobs. And it will have come right out of the blue. They will have woken up one morning to find their jobs gone.
    1
  1099. China debt problem is going to collapse all on its own. This will probably not be the match that sets it off but who really knows.
    1
  1100. Why are people whining about student debt?
    1
  1101. The US is peaceful as well. People are confused because they see headline grabbing stories about certain cities in the US and then think that applies to the whole country. 50% of the US population lives in Rural to small town communities and are not in the big cities. The vast majority of US crime is committed in a few concentrated areas that are part of the media focus.
    1
  1102. That is just something in your head.
    1
  1103.  @j.langer5949  Russian arms have not looked that advanced in Ukrainian conflict so not much chance thy are going to help Iran against Israel.
    1
  1104. It is just fantasy and really a paper deal that China is proud to show off.
    1
  1105.  @DieFlabbergast  The Tokyo metro area has a size of 13000 square Kilometers and has a population of 40 million. Who exactly are you trying to kid with your little stories?
    1
  1106. So you think the population of Tokyo lives in free standing houses? That is some fantasy thinking going on there.
    1
  1107. Because it is on complete US terms.
    1
  1108.  @madhouse8301  So did David Brent have the worlds larges Gas, Oil, agriculture and production outputs?
    1
  1109. The distance from Warsaw to Ankara is 1600 km and th distance from Warsaw to Tokyo is 8500 km. Does it seem realistic that they could form a confederation that would somehow challenge the US?
    1
  1110. Nope. Nothing to do with it.
    1
  1111. Japan is second when it is based on size and technology. UK is second when it is compared in terms of capabilities through culture. In Asian Japan is most certainly the largest and most powerful and that is without argument.
    1
  1112.  @let0atreides  When a society goes into population decline it causes a retraction at the economic level. Russia has done nothing to avoid this or to build their economy out. History has shown time again that populations in decline equal economic decline.
    1
  1113. So you are going to blame the US for Japans childless culture?
    1
  1114. Great no but he did more than the previous president to him but that would not be hard considering.
    1
  1115. Collapse is still collapse no matter how good you think the level of collapse is.
    1
  1116. Russia cannot even manufacture simple control systems to be able to project in modern war. Russia might be able to pound Ukraine into the ground through pure physical force and scale but that will be as far as they get.
    1
  1117. As China starts to fail more and more it will put more pressure on them to do something. There comes a point of no return with them either invading or they are in pure turmoil and cannot.
    1
  1118. Because the people of Taiwan do not want to be part of China. If they do they can kiss goodbye to their semiconductor industry.
    1
  1119. Stocks and bonds are not risky and those that have the capital will be looking for low risk sectors. Not hard to understand.
    1
  1120.  @_s.4785  Now is the time to be investing all that money you are earning especially over the long term. The Market is perfect if you know how to identify quality companies to invest in.
    1
  1121. There is not going to be a new wave of Apprenticeships to try and deal with the shortages out there. It may not start tomorrow but it will come.
    1
  1122. Also read the book the intelligent investor which shows how normal people can invest. It was a concept that developed during the great depression by Benjamin Graham and later used by the likes of Buffett.
    1
  1123. Any Gen Z that is out there and is smart can really take advantage of Labour shortages.
    1
  1124. That does not make any sense at all. A late Boomers got jobs as well. A later Boomer would not be in their sixties. It does not matter there are always going to be people that are just useless.
    1
  1125. Or they could buy a series of quality clothing and not buy things that they never wear and end up in a landfill.
    1
  1126. Australia is not a major cotton producer. It does have an industry but will not make up for China and the other places that are going to have issues.
    1
  1127. Extreme heat? The south has been warm for thousands of years.
    1
  1128. How is it factually off?
    1
  1129. It depends on what they are used for.
    1
  1130. India and US are major players but they will not be able to make up for the loss of Chinese Cotton. The video Peter just made is not about all the other countries but about the fall of China. Be lucky he was not talking about Indian production. US cotton production will be part of value added products which will be an opportunity for India as well. A US plant will massively out produce any asian plant even though it will be 10 times smaller.
    1
  1131. Yes it is fantastic that US cotton will flourish as part of a value added production output. I know you probably dislike America and would prefer to see that overseas.
    1
  1132.  @normieloser6969  There is no short of water resources just inadequate supply system. California has not increased its infrastructure but its population has increased. California needs to build several large scale reservoirs, localized daily storage increases and several other large pipeline systems. Building anything in California is hard as ice but very brittle due to all the lefty activism. There are areas of the UK and Ireland that have the exact same problems even though they are awash with water as it falls from the skies in very large volumes.
    1
  1133. But not at the scales required to fill in for the other markets who fall off. Somebody pointed out that Australia is a major producer but that will not fill in the gap either.
    1
  1134. Cotton can be important for clothing so if Australia can actually lower their cotton production but then focus that cotton on value added products that can be were they really gain economically. Australia does not produce enough cotton to meet the demand world wide especially when other countries fall of the map.
    1
  1135. If you think China and Egypt are stable then you are living in a fantasy. What Peter Zeihan has said is so obvious that a child could understand it.
    1
  1136. The US company that can own the source of the cotton and make it then into products of value will be the winner.
    1
  1137. Fantasy.
    1
  1138. Southern economies are booming and already have large scale manufacturing.
    1
  1139. Was it genuinely sabotaged or was it just an excuse for shutdowns.
    1
  1140. Will not make up for the massive loss of China.
    1
  1141. US clothing made out of cotton is an important industry and will be more so in the future. Would you rather buy an american shirt of one made by child slave labour.
    1
  1142.  @mrgyani  Bangladesh will also have machines and other things to cover as well.
    1
  1143.  @harisbbbbaaa  Hemp is not cotton and is nowhere near as readily useable and requires processing. Doing that at industrial scales is more complex.
    1
  1144. Hemp is not cotton so you need to end that fantasy and stop smoking it. Hemp has its place which the US uses at an industrial level.
    1
  1145. There are companies in texas but you need to analyse them as well financial such as having lower debts, good cash flow etc etc etc.
    1
  1146.  @crawkn  You are kidding your self. Beta is the very thing that repulses Texans at a political level.
    1
  1147. Local communities should be taking care of law and order.
    1
  1148.  @jerryrichardson2799  Your problem is that it sounds like you have no work experience. What age are you if you do not mind me asking?
    1
  1149. A degree is not a professional qualification it is an academic qualification. It can act as a theory base for a profession and allow entrance but it is not the profession it self. What industry where you trying to enter?
    1
  1150.  @zinjanthropus322  Wall Street and Silicon Valley will still be there it is just that they will not be as powerful and they will lose certain key companies. They are not competitive in the US anymore now in saying all of that who knows what the future will bring maybe they will clean up and get lean and mean when it comes to economics and trade.
    1
  1151.  @zinjanthropus322  Just to say that software and finance can locate anywhere. Heavy industry and manufacturing cannot.
    1
  1152.  @zinjanthropus322  You are correct New York and California are not going anywhere they are stagnating.
    1
  1153. Planning is fine providing it is sensible but too much of planning to day is over regulation.
    1
  1154. That is decades old figures as there is now not much of a difference between them.
    1
  1155.  @jps0117  Jobs, cost of living, culture and so on.
    1
  1156.  @Bladeoceanic  Chicago has its issues and the democratic party there are not doing the city any good. Maybe a new class of democrat will come along and be more about freedom and prosperity.
    1
  1157. Russia is going to need a lot of nuclear weapons' and be able to get them delivered across the atlantic and Bering sea to be able to take out the whole of the US. It will only take one nuclear weapon to hit the US for it to send back 100 times more fire power in the opposite direction.
    1
  1158. You can get used to it but it takes time.
    1
  1159.  @yarmonymatoid1562  Makes no sense.
    1
  1160. " It always amazes me that the USA has such a low biodiversity" I do not say this very often but that is one of the stupidest comments that I have ever read. I had to read it three times to absorb the total stupidity of the comment and still I may read it a fourth time.
    1
  1161. Germany would need to make some very attractive offers to people in other European states to attract them but probably not enough europeans to do that of the right age.
    1
  1162. Who really needs a lifeboat? Those that are on a sinking boat do and probably did not even think about it before they boarded.
    1
  1163. Nothing out of the ordinary apart from a war and threats of gas being cut off.
    1
  1164. If Germany, France, Italy and UK got together 15 years ago and decided to develop the European energy generation system they probably would have succeeded. Instead they all pontificated and virtue signalled about "Green Tech" and even today they will still harp on about it.
    1
  1165.  @AndreasDelleske  Scotland voted once and that is he way elections go do not get to keep repeating them for the right result that suits you.
    1
  1166.  @JurekOK  Scotland never had a vote to stay in the EU the UK had that vote.
    1
  1167. Yes German can do that but it would have required decades of planning and policy. Instead Germany decided to invest hundreds of billions in "Green Tech" and then boast about it on an epic scale to the point that they managed to convince the whole of the EU that this was the way to go. All while governments lied to their people and allowed them self to become reliant on Russia and China. Do you think Germany that is not producing babies to do anything about this?
    1
  1168.  @jeanlamb5026  The same can be said for every tyrannical government in history.
    1
  1169.  @williamhenry8914  They have been training and deploying as many troops as they can. They have lots of untrained auxiliary personnel but that is not going to be applicable to a mobile force that can follow direct command instructions. It is far more complex that people realize to train troops and get them equipped. A year is not enough time.
    1
  1170.  @williamhenry8914  It is easy to make claims of ramping up equipment and so on but to have it implemented in the field with trained personnel is a different matter altogether.
    1
  1171.  @paulpierce2051  Russia probably has enough weapons that are active for regional warfare but nowhere near the active number for intercontinental exchange with the US. There is also the point that Russia nukes may not have the accuracy required for ground level detonation and may require atmosphere detonation.
    1
  1172. Russia does not need to be defeat just held out until a point that they decide to partially or fully retreat.
    1
  1173.  @willchristie2650  That is all true that Russia would be destroyed but in turn there would be a lot of destruction in the other direction (not complete destruction though).
    1
  1174.  @rejvaik00  Limits and ability can be established based on the time frames involved, geography and he supply of materials.
    1
  1175.  @jwiegraffe6290  All of that is playing with fire but NATO would need to stand up for its selt at some point.
    1
  1176.  @TS-ce5st  His goal is not to tell you what to invest in.
    1
  1177. That makes no sense at all. You cannot control people and their usage. If it is not Twitter it will be something else. You would have to ban all screens just to achieve what you think would be a good thing and then people may just find another way to play.
    1
  1178. Musk is going to turn Twitter into an everything app to include its current service but a string of other services. over bloated
    1
  1179. He paid 44 billion to get access to the business so that he can turn it into something else. He is probably going to layer a crypto payment system (not currency), video streaming, sale servicing and so on. The money subscription charge will be to cover business services access not for general usage. The activists inside the business have tried to cause the collapse of Twitter and that was one of the reasons he tried to back out of the deal.
    1
  1180.  @noahcdmx1985  Are you absolutely certain that is the real debt?
    1
  1181. US inflation is not even inflation by other countries metrics. For too long the financial reporting has been understating inflation levels. What you are seeing is part of the just the natural market cycle. Do not confuse supply and inventory with inflation.
    1
  1182. That is a nerd move and not something that will happen in the general public.
    1
  1183.  @ivancho5854  If the west got all that money it puts into renewables and used it to develop industry for solutions to fit existing plants they could massively lower carbon emissions world wide. At first it would not be a drastic cut but over decades it would have a significant impact. The truth is they are just not that interested in lowering carbon and are using it for political power in the west.
    1
  1184. When inflation starts it will even affect things that have good supply. Inflation at it heart affects the money supply.
    1
  1185. No other country on earth other than the US has the expertise to create such large technical production outputs. There is a reason why the US was there in the first place. Bringing in a few engineers is not enough.
    1
  1186. The US has been giving away its strategic reserves to try and keep the world stable. Obviously it is not going to work but they are still going to try.
    1
  1187. There is a culture of intellectualism does not mean those that take part are actually intellectual.
    1
  1188.  @bluerock4456  Only the US has the scale and ability to deal with those levels hence why it is getting sent to Texas.
    1
  1189. China will be finished as they will lose their access to the one and only consumer market on earth. The Chinese economy would collapse with in a very short period of time. Companies like Apple would have to withdraw causing them problems but even greater problems to China.
    1
  1190. All costs have to be included in the production per barrel.
    1
  1191. No he is talking about the whole culture of intellectualism that is very city driven. It is why they all think they are experts at farming because they grow a little vegetable biodiversity patch in their local park. They actually think bee hotels actually save the planet.
    1
  1192. What they flare off is not even close to what they need to sell off just to keep the system flowing. Flaring will not offset that amount of gas. It is really a desperate move.
    1
  1193. Not even in the same league as US production
    1
  1194. Russia is weird in that it is not technically totalitarian but does have a leadership class that is brutal. And there is corruption from the very top to bottom. I think it is a weird modern phenomena that has sprang out of the global world. China is another very weird place.
    1
  1195. There needs to be a fine balance. Pissing off every day working Russians is not good either as it may move the mood of their country towards a greater war.
    1
  1196.  @MultiDrew83  They have thousands of nuclear weapons and a population that could for a military's that is several million strong. All it takes is a series of events to set this all off.
    1
  1197. And what if it does the opposite and pushes the mood of the nation towards war as they feel they have nothing to lose?
    1
  1198. That can be the problem when things go crazy.
    1
  1199.  @babelhuber3449  Germany ran out of supplies and could not push any further east as their supply lines would not support their lines. They also ran out of fuel. Winter was their main problem they simply were too thinly stretched with their three front war. And on top of that the US was supplying the Russians with weapons, tanks, aircraft, factory machines, vehicles and raw materials to work with.
    1
  1200. Winter offensives in WW2 were mostly a waste of equipment and troops. Rarely did they end with success of any measure. Remember as well this is not WW2 era with the same numbers of troops.
    1
  1201.  @CMVBrielman  Winter is a terrible time for warfare.
    1
  1202. They did not beat the Germans withy anything. Germany wiped out he Russia military but it was fighting on three fronts and simply did not have the troop numbers to enable that or the supplies. Germanys' issue in WW2 was that they could not provide their troops with enough supplies and they ran out of fuel.
    1
  1203. Still does not mean their troops can easily wage war in winter. He is not saying there will be no exchange between them but the big battles are coming down the line.
    1
  1204. Machine learning also has an approach of the systems learning through the real world so as to advance their applications in the future. This will all take time and will develop over the next 20 to 40 years.
    1
  1205. The key to that is it will revolutionise human productivity not replace it.
    1
  1206. Chat based systems are going to be a fantastic tool but they still do not give full direction to humans and only aid in the context of information.
    1
  1207. Systems can already automate the structure of programming hence why modern interpreters have the ability to correct for potential errors. But that does not change the fact it requires humans to programs sequences to deal with complex information.
    1
  1208. Because most people in their 70s cannot afford to have their nest egg shrink when they need it most. Americans are the only nation on earth with a significant retirement wealth level. Median net worth in retirement is $1.7 million.
    1
  1209. Robotics requires technicians, fitters, electricians and so on to operate. A CNC which can do some extraordinary things requires an operator who is trained in the system who can then output very high levels in quantity but also in quality. It will take 20 years for ai and robotics to create a world were no workers are needed. But there is the thing the large companies that will use these technologies will be under competition from small companies and the general population with the exact same technologies.
    1
  1210. That can ge a more regional aspect within the US rather than the whole supply chain at this point. The price at the retail end may not adjust for a quarter or season later or even have annual corrections.
    1
  1211.  @johnwallace5284  So you are talking about Australia.
    1
  1212. Each region has a difference in their price pressures.
    1
  1213. You will find that when the industry starts to rise again people will move there.
    1
  1214.  @TheReferrer72  That $180 billion is for direct government granting and expenditure. My point was German as in the whole. The EEG has to date cost about €400 billion. The total cost to germany has to include taxation of energy, statuary energy requirements and so on. The projected cost of Energiewende is about €380 billion. In regards to that 40% electricity generation it is only a peak figure generation not total energy created. So that means there are special occasions when the 40% generation is created but there is no means of storing that energy.
    1
  1215.  @PaulVerhoeven2  You are talking crap. US natural citizen birth rate has remained stable over the decades. The US has about 45 million under the age of 20 and as about 25 million from 60 to 80. That is a natural demographic as seen throughout the ages.
    1
  1216.  @karlcx  Not hubris. It is fact.
    1
  1217.  @karlcx  Everything.
    1
  1218.  @jamesw1659  Medium sized businesses do not even need to set up brand new colleges they just need to partner with existing colleges. Large corporations can easily build a whole institute for them self that could house tens of thousands of students.
    1
  1219. Do you think Germany can supply both their consumer base and industrial base in the middle of winter at the same price they have for the last 20 years? The main issue is cost and competitiveness of industry. Will German products be able to compete with Asian and American products on price. Japanese industry has always produced at a higher energy cost than Germany.
    1
  1220. I am afraid that is nonsense at best.
    1
  1221.  @taylorandclarke1910  It depends on what the 170 billion is spent on.
    1
  1222. What like the trillions Europe has spent on renewables. Well guess what there are new energy prices in European no matter what they attempt to do. Germany industry is on the edge and will not be the same after this.
    1
  1223.  @worfoz  You are talking nonsense. Western politicians decided that the world was global and that they would represent global interests. Guess what people are finding that it is not a truly global world.
    1
  1224. US is abundant in Energy and will have some form of crisis down the line but that is always the case. The US will look strong compared to Europe.
    1
  1225. Argentina is not a good example because Argentina has plenty of energy in reserve but a very poor market economy.
    1
  1226. That is pure commie fantasy economics. Not saying she is a commie though just that it appears similar.
    1
  1227. It would be better for the Union to actually morph into something else such as a trade zone with light levels of regulations among the member states. Collapse is never good.
    1
  1228. That coal energy that germany would have will be several times higher in cost than Gas for the next decade and when they do get their coal energy prices down to near gas levels they will be hitting the demographic wall.
    1
  1229. Those solutions I am afraid are pure nonsense. They are something a politician would come up with hence why they have started to use the term flatten the curve. Wonder where we heard that before.
    1
  1230. China and India are not buying that much and they cannot make up for the European consumer demand. Russia is trying to put on a brave face of it.
    1
  1231.  @curioussand1339  What the same clever people that created policies in Europe that is creating a population crash. The idea of leaving things to clever people is one of the reasons Europeans have such apathetic political views. They are so bad that they have allowed socialists to create economic policies that they openly boast will destroy economic growth.
    1
  1232.  @kaulassala  Earthquakes are caused by tectonic plates not pockets in shale formations. Modern equipment is so sensitive that it can detect force based impression in far off regions. They are pretending it is earthquakes when it is nothing of the sort.
    1
  1233. Europe as in Germany and several other countries will always have it on their mind that Russia could invade them. Handing over european wealth to build up the Russian military will not sit easy.
    1
  1234. Germany is a classical case of culture delusional thinking.
    1
  1235. Germany has two major problems going off at the same time it has lost its low energy productivity and has an aging workforce. On top of that Germany has to now quadruple its defence budget just to look a little bit scary to the Russians encase they decide to invade the rest of Europe. Germany does have about €300 billion in reserve to try and deal with these issues. Those in Germany in the know understood all of this when the invasion happened hence why they all freaked out.
    1
  1236. It will not just be the Germans that will suffer the whole of Europe and much further out.
    1
  1237. He had very high level intellect. He is not saying he was a great president. By modern standards Clinton appears like a saint.
    1
  1238. I do not think he really needs to make a video addressing that. We all know it is part of China political power game.
    1
  1239. Not going to work. Not having children is a deep rooted cultural issue that cannot be that easily changed.
    1
  1240. You are showing that you have a bias by not being interested in Bush. How else are we to understand the current world if we do not at least compare it to previous. Clinton, Bush and Reagan all appear like a genius compared to the current political culture.
    1
  1241. There was no major crisis pre 911 that were of such an order that motivated the American public.
    1
  1242. Do you even know what the word populist even means? It does not mean nationalistic, industrial, technocratic or Bureaucratic.
    1
  1243. The US is competing how do you think the world lives in such wealthy. Did you think the Japanese invented their technology or that the Chinese built their own factories?
    1
  1244. All they can do is actually whine. They have a shrinking economic base and no tools.
    1
  1245.  @lahabitaciondelatrapado4621  You are truly clueless if you believe that. The PM of Finland recently said that Europe would not exist without the US propping it up.
    1
  1246. The US has cars that are European on its roads. You will find BMW, Audi, VW, Porsche and Volvo in the US. You not find that many American cars on European roads because the industry has been regulated so that American cars cannot function in Europe. It is a joke if you think the US is more protectionist than European countries.
    1
  1247. The older ones have new targeting systems and new radar systems that can make them cutting edge. It is like having a 1960s car with all the technology of today but still looking like it is from the 1960s until you realize it is cutting edge.
    1
  1248.  @Slutuppnu  The problem with prosecuting or putting the idea of war crimes above russian heads is that they may then mentally move over to all or nothing as in their mind they would be as good as dead if the war ended.
    1
  1249. Even if Russia was to win there is still a real danger of their being a civil war there. There was almost a civil war in Russia when the first set of elections were being played out to form the Russian federation.
    1
  1250. No. He is giving you everything you need to learn in life.
    1
  1251. Social capitalism? What on earth does that even mean. Do you mean just capitalism?
    1
  1252. That is pure bull dirt.
    1
  1253. Turkey can play the system but there are limits to how far it can play that game. Turkey can stall some deals but not actually stop them or significantly hold them up.
    1
  1254. South America was flooded by USSR sponsored programs back in the cold war. Every cold war era civil war in south America was sponsored by the USSR and it programs and then when locals started to rise and push them out the commie agents started crying about how they were right wing and all that sort of good propaganda stuff.
    1
  1255. They are attempting to do it will smaller tanker to super tankers that is not sustainable over the long term. While they have the short term numbers the reality behind that is not going to be he same. There is a reason why trillion dollar pipeline system was development for the European energy market. Its cost to efficient ratio is much higher. Both India and China needs more oil for them to grow. So If Europe over the next few decades decides to replace Russian oil that means Russia needs to be able to replace those $30 trillion worth of oil that is currently conveniently transported through a developed pipe line.
    1
  1256. There is no shortage of water in America only limitations of the distribution systems.
    1
  1257. You do understand that it was more than a fire that took place.
    1
  1258. Any type of loaded round would do the job.
    1
  1259. It is all about cost and capabilities.
    1
  1260. It depends on how badly damaged the bridge is.
    1
  1261. Depends on how the missile would operate.
    1
  1262. The US is trying to take Iran out of the influence of Russia probably for other reasons.
    1
  1263.  @zibbitybibbitybop  I think nuclear weapons have a mythological scale to them that is not matched by the physics. China does not have enough nuclear weapons for full exchange with Russia.
    1
  1264. Who are you trying to kid with all of that. Robotics as in industrial automation can make products it cannot buy them and consume them. China simply has not automated its industry.
    1
  1265. That is only going to cause more problems. The women will have the pick of the best men and probably be better off but that will not translate to a more productive economy. Men are more productive in physical work than women are and that is also going to be impacted. You do not see that many female steel workers or miners.
    1
  1266. China cannot avoid the economic instability from a lower population level. For it to remain stable it has to have a replacement rate but that only would have worked 30 years ago not today. For China to have tried to remain stable it would have needed 15 years ago to have a birth rate of about 3.
    1
  1267. It will started WW3.
    1
  1268. China could implement a 10 child policy and have observers in every bed room but that is not going to help their population issues. China simply does not have enough women in its key childbearing demographics to turn that decline around. Maybe a 10 child policy may recover China population in 60 years time to a more positive structure but that would be a very different China that went through several crisis events.
    1
  1269.  @Withnail1969  The US has the world's largest petrochemical processing industry in the world. It is the only industry of scale that can export enough products for international production. There are certain countries that rely on those products for their industries.
    1
  1270. The US is the only place in the world that can scale petrochemical products that are used in many nations industries.
    1
  1271.  @drones7838  Once it happens the first time it will start a series of trends. It only needs to happen once for it to cause a series of cascading effects.
    1
  1272. It depends on where you live. If Ukraine had solar systems they would just be targeted as well.
    1
  1273. What sacred cows does Peter have?
    1
  1274. It is very resource intensive to build geothermal stations.
    1