Comments by "bighand69" (@bighands69) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1.  @jrmint2  It is bad for business but that was the case before WW1 and WW2 but that as a reason did not stop wars from happening.
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  2.  @teresamccartney1309  Women will not be serving on the front lines. No matter what people try to pretend. War is brutal and there is no space for compassion or ideology. Carrying 50 pounds of weight into battle under very extreme stress is not something that can be done by ideology. Women will play their part no doubt about that but it will be based on reality.
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  3. War is more than just the military assets that a country has right now. It is the ability for its industrial economy to produce. If WW3 was to begin the US would out manufacture both China and Russia combined by a factor of 20 and the US would be capable of creating a force of about 40 million men. In WW2 that force size for the US was about 16 million men.
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  4.  dihvocfoscocudvyvdd  And republicans are not political conservatives. Who are you trying to kid with that. Now I am not for one moment claiming that democratic voters are socialists. But we all know that the likes Sanders and fifty others in the political side of the part are socialists. I suspect that democrats will on mass reject the socialists at some point.
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  5. How can it be transported is the issue. It is easy to see figures in one place but that does not mean it automatic gets distributed.
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  6. Summer always looks brighter but when winter is cold, long and very harsh it looks a lot worse. Get to next spring and it will look horrible. Even If Peter is out by one year this situation at some point is coming to a head.
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  7. What countries do you think can benefit? The problem is that energy is also going to be an issue.
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  8. You are living in a fantasy if you think Ukraine is going to be able to export wheat.
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  9. It is not that simple.
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  10. But this invasion is not WW2 and cannot really be compared. We will have to wait and see how it goes.
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  11. It could be that the Russians were not fooled and simply do not have the capacity to defend their positions.
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  12.  @waynesworldofsci-tech  Numbers? What numbers are you talking about. You surely cannot be using the official numbers of a super corrupt culture can you?
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  13. Russia is not the Soviet army but Ukraine is not the German army either.
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  14. The counter offensive was built on millions of tons of US aid.
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  15. Australia is an Island so it can be transported around the seas and by train. Australia biggest problem is its lack of free market culture.
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  16. It is a luxury product and will not take over the market.
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  17. Do not compare consumer electricity prices with that of electricity price generation. They are two different things. Canada may play its part in all of this as well.
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  18. Good luck with those German/Russian cars.
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  19. Wind and solar works in parts of the US were it is natural viable. Nuclear is not the answer to everything because most of the raw uranium is from the soviet space.
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  20. It is not happening any time soon.
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  21. And how is the hydrogen produced?
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  22.  @flipper2gv  It means the prices being paid by the consumer are not the real market prices. Sort of like when germany lectures the US about military matters but cannot defend it self. Germany boasted about its renewable energy and how it was producing this and that but the reality is not that of the market reality.
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  23. More than likely the US will be building out its own steel industry from ground to foundry.
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  24.  @NAUM1  The US is trade and resource independent.
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  25. Innovation only occurs when there is a market place which requires geography to take place.
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  26.  @crombee8947  Sources? i would be hear all year trying to present to all the information required for you to proof my point. if you want to learn I can point you in the right direction but it is not an easy path and would require lots of study.
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  27.  @CouchDoritos  QE is not being used to keep companies afloat. There are easier ways of doing that. It is used primarily to make sure there is enough cash in reserve that can be circulated when there is a demand. It has happened over the years were banks had enough cash on their books but the actual amount available during surge periods was there. US QE is very mild compared to what countries normally do.
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  28. Russia not a rational thinker and is not thinking about markets. Clearly they are going into Ukraine and further because they want to shield them self. The problem they have in doing that is they have freaked out the whole of Europe but who knows how far Russia will go.
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  29. I am afraid it is not over for America and they know that as well. America does not have an empire it has used its wealthy, trade and markets to try and buy stability that is not an actual empire.
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  30. Germany and Russia were never world powers. They were regional powers that tried to become world powers.
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  31. Russia is going to fail as a culture and as a state which could mean that they throw everything on the table. You are trying to view this rationally when these sorts of things are never rational. We do not know how weak the Russian military is because they have only sent an expeditionary force to Ukraine. Russia has been doing this for the last 30 years but no body has been paying attention until now.
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  32. German industry is massive and its potential outputs in war would just be enormous. The other side of that is that Russia has nuclear weapons.
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  33. What if they use Nuclear weapons. What then?
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  34. The problem Europe has at the moment is not oil but natural gas. Oil output has nothing to do with that.
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  35. The increase in US jobs is just down to the economy growing and investment in US production.
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  36. It is not just the amount of money but the demand on the total number of products. We have had two years of market restrictions layered on top of a growing economic output which has meant that parts of the market are bursting while others are doing fine. There is no shortage of food in the US but there are issues in certain locations on the amount of houses, machine parts and raw materials.
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  37. It is a tricky one .
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  38. The reality is that ASML cannot exist in its current form without the US allowing it to.
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  39. The US does not rely on Taiwan for it its semiconductor industry. Europe simply does not have a semiconductor industry that is anything like the US and its sources are all US based.
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  40. Low end chips that sell for pennies are absolutely horrible quality and consistency. Their architecture is hideous from a manufacturing point of view. The platforms they are embedded within are not much better hence why there is such high product failure rates.
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  41. Everybody expected them to just steam roll the pace but clearly western training of Ukrainian forces and gear has really stunted the Russians. Russia and even people in the west did not expect the west to support Ukraine. When the US was sending support to the NATO lines it was sending out the message that the west was not going to go any further. Remember this war is not over yet.
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  42. Iran is not an industrial force. WHo are you trying to kid.
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  43. The UN is useless and can do nothing other than make statements.
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  44. There are doubts to the standard of Russian nuclear warheads. It is unlikely that Russia has the ability for full nuclear exchange with the US. That does not mean they do not have nuclear weapons just not at the scale to win an exchange.
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  45.  @dark_fire_ice  As long as Russia is still fighting Putin will stay in power but if he loses this war that is when there could be a Coup d'état or Putin could just lose power.
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  46. Maybe not yet because Russia is still fighting.
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  47. Ukraine did not use Russian weapons to stall the tank offensive. They used British and American equipment.
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  48.  @QuizmasterLaw  Before this war it was all speculative as to how it would perform at scale.
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  49.  @QuizmasterLaw  Russian missiles have been terrible and that has nothing to do with western mobile equipment. Even the Russian air force has not dominated the airspace. It was speculated that they were hold their air force back for another battle.
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  50. By the fact that Russia has still not dominated the Ukraine region and had a fail assault on Kyiv.
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