Comments by "bighand69" (@bighands69) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. Australia has everything it needs to build a manufacturing economy.
    2
  2. By hustler you mean hard worker?
    2
  3. It will be interesting too see if China starts crossing the Rubicon and supplies weapons to Russia in an overt fashion.
    2
  4. The difference in that period was that Germany was rising and coming to a position of aggression. Russian in this instance is rising to war but on the back of legacy and when they use all of that it could be massive decline on the other side.
    2
  5. 1929 was just a normal recession that got turned into a period of stagnation and then economic collapse. One of the biggest issues of that period was that the federal reserve would not use QE.
    2
  6. 2008 was a banking crisis, credit crunch and a correction in the economy. That was no mere recession and was a collection of different things.
    2
  7. Europe is in a better place in Energy than China. The problem for Europe is that they cannot produce its manufactured products namely Germany at prices seen for the last few decades.
    2
  8. What exactly do you think the Chinese are going to pull off?
    2
  9.  @Felkelf  Each jab is different and the health risks are different. People have to weigh up the risk factors against the risk of the disease. People do that all the time when they get a prescription from a doctor or partake in a medical procedure. Even getting a filling at the dentist carries risks.
    2
  10. You are not listening to what he is saying. He never said it did not come from a lab. He is saying it was not engineered because there is evidence to show that it is engineered.
    2
  11. Most certainly those with a certain city political outlook would look down on Iowa and turn their noses up at agri.
    2
  12. Fossil fuels are processed and that means the part that is best for plastics gets used for that and the process separates the petrol and diesel parts. Very little of it is actually wasted.
    2
  13. But that could also trap Russia.
    2
  14. He is not saying it would make sense he is saying it could be a reason why they use them not that it is even likely but maybe the most likely use of them.
    2
  15. They tend to be republicans that are sympathetic to Putin for whatever reason they have. Democrats have that same wing as well but it was mostly purged following the democratic party hysteria following 2016.
    2
  16. Yes they intend to march beyond Ukraine.
    2
  17. US has no shortage of energy nor does it have an issue with falling population.
    2
  18. Joe Rogan would be an amazing platform for him to be on.
    2
  19. The Russians are suppose to have run and left their equipment behind. We will only know in the next few weeks how that plays out.
    2
  20. It does not stop the drug trade and gang culture. It also can create the groundwork for something else to come through later on that is much bigger and more powerful.
    2
  21. I think there is merit in what Dan Crenshaw is doing but it will not stop the cartel as a whole.
    2
  22. Deglobalization started to slow down in the mid 2010s but is now going into reverse but that process is going to start accelerating in the next 3 years.
    2
  23. How would they glass army that say reaches Moscow? It is easy to say just use nuclear weapons but if the forces are already present in Russia it would mean having to use those weapons within Russia.
    2
  24. US income taxes are lower than Sweden for the vast majority of workers.
    2
  25. You are talking crap. Frances demographics are down to the people of France. Immigration has no impact on it in any significant way.
    2
  26. Sweden has more people aged 20 to 35 than it does from 45 to 65. That is described as a demographic bulge.
    2
  27. It is worth having children over all those risks.
    2
  28. That is all fantasy. Who is going to consume within the Netherlands and Germany?
    2
  29. That is the problem with Japan it has a central planning approach to its economy. The very thing that caused the problem is the very thing that is trying to fix it.
    2
  30. Japan has a highly automated industry that had the US as its primary growth market. China and Germany are not going to have that. I think you really misunderstand reality.
    2
  31. Once there is a demographic collapse there will be an economic collapse. Ireland is one of the few examples to have gone through that in the 1800s. Population of Ireland (republic counties) in 1840 was in excess of 5 million and in 1940 was 2.9 million. in 2022 it rose to above 5 million for the first time since 1840s. So once a population decreases there is economic fallout which in turn accelerates that population decline. People assume once fertility drops down to just below 2 it can easily be increased back above it again. A 1.6 is an extraordinarily low figure
    2
  32. Their reserves are probably larger than what is being stated so as to not have political pressure put on them to increase their output.
    2
  33. Paid sick days is a terrible idea. It sounds great to a reasonable person because most people would never abuses such a system but there are those that will abuse it and it will cost more for everybody else.
    2
  34. They are paid above average industrial wages. Their salaries are better than those that work in food plants, supermarkets, construction and so on. They have some of the best safety standards of the industrial world. Their collective bargaining has enabled that. Paid sick leave is not a thing they should be pushing for. If they want that they just need to start up their own insurance system that could get government capital to start with and then be self sustaining with payments from employees.
    2
  35. Unions have a bad rap because since the 1920s they have been heavily infiltrated by Marxists who simply are not interested in the workers. In the UK the USSR had infiltrated the unions which culminated in the UK unions trying to bring down the UK economy in the 1970s when it was on its knees after the war.
    2
  36. I am afraid that is just nonsense.
    2
  37. if Unions want to thrive they need to push free market economics the forefront of American culture. That means less regulations on American industry but it does not mean no regulations at all. It just means being more efficient with regulations. None of this is complicated. If American water ways were open trade with in the US would become more efficient. At present about 85% if US trade is internal and with good waterways, local manufacturing, good ports, good train ports and so on that figure could end up higher than 90% which would dramatically improve a middle class working economy.
    2
  38. It has nothing to do with quality of life.
    2
  39. It will cause them problems but not of the scale that will do the company any harm. Tesla Asian market is not that big as of yet and they are intending their production in China to take advantage of that. But the retaliate is that Tesla simply has not even used their full capabilities in the US or European markets.
    2
  40. Japan had the ability to go out and capture oil but it is impossible to go out and capture chips and advanced manufacturing. China does not have the foundation that Japan had in the 1930s.
    2
  41. He has not asked for Troops. Russia has not even used their own troops fully.
    2
  42.  @nomadundercover3018  Russia has a massive reserve of Iron, Copper, Oil and gas. A war culture is one that goes all out for war. That means all production is switched to that of war. I am not suggesting that Russia would come anywhere close to the west in that production but it most certainly could produce enough scale that would enable it to flatten Ukraine to a barren land. Right now Russia is not at that point and the longer it can be kept from that the better chance of a stalemate.
    2
  43. How do you find somebody that is neutral about geopolitics that is based on geography?
    2
  44.  @WorldWide-q8v  Russian oil levels are not at pre war levels. China cannot buy the oil at the same rate that Russia was selling to Europe. It is absurd that anybody would even try to suggest that. There is no infrastructure that would allow such transports of oil at those scales.
    2
  45. Ohio train derailment will have little impact on US crops.
    2
  46. Yes the Russian civilians will go along with the government. There is something like an 80% support level for the Russian government at present.
    2
  47.  @marilenaganea6578  They can dream all they want but the moment they come into the cross hairs of Russia all of that will disappear. A 250,000 army with lots of resources could be headache for Russia who are going to face a lot of losses in Ukraine even if they win.
    2
  48. Age also has to be factored into the systems durability. Most Russian equipment is pre mid 1980s. Russia suffered a manufacturing break down in the 1980s as their economy was collapsing at that point.
    2
  49. They are backing out over fear not the ability to repay. Once that fear has subsided people may start to pile in again.
    2
  50. It can also cause US dollars to become less available and in turn cause inflation to rise. They need to cool that demand first of all with higher interest rates that will slow the rate of capital available. If they do not do that what will happen is that other markets will use US capital to buy up more US dollars that in turn will cause capital to flee their base markets. No matter where they step somebody is going to get squashed.
    2