Comments by "bighand69" (@bighands69) on "" video.

  1. What you just said was said 25 years ago. The true power of ai at this point is that it aids human productivity but does not replace humans.
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  2. I think the whole chat GPT has been way over played. It is the only thing many people keep repeating to demonstrate why the robots are about to take over.
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  3. Narrow ai tools still need to be developed to make it to the next stage of general ai. There is a lot to be gained from narrow ai before we get anywhere near the super complex developments. In 20 years time ai will look a lot different from today but not in the next 2 years.
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  4. Chat GPT cannot do real world visual systems that Peter is talking about. Manufacturing still requires human dexterity and judgement.
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  5. Even with them making that self feeding loop it will have an outcome that has already been calculated. Kurzweil is the most optimistic of the theorists yet he has the turing test being complete by 2029 and with a series of developments from that date. His analysis is based on the mathematical compounding of the algorithms and hardware combined. Kurzweil goes to great lengths to stipulated that there is always an over optimism caused by certain breakthroughs to the point that it then creates pessimism in the breakthrough at some point only for it to emerge more capable in the future.
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  6. Ai is very easy to predict the frame work and maps are already there but the claims of big leaps to take all our jobs tomorrow are absurd and ChatGPT while an improvement in chat systems is not an ai that can truly take over anything. It will be a good tool in the information space but not robotics.
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  7. Or high functioning such as at human levels. Now in the information space Ai is starting to develop but that is not the case in the physical world.
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  8. It is the real world industrial development of ai not the academic world making claims or some tech magazine. Even Kurzweil with his claims do not proclaim that we will have super ai tomorrow or that all jobs are going to be replaced. Kurzweil states that the turing test will be complete in 2029 and from there another 15 years of development will take place before we reach a point that we today simply cannot see beyond which he calls the singularity. The iron in all of this is people call Kurzweil a kooky theorist yet those exact same people will make claims that ai will take all the jobs tomorrow even though Kurzweil is telling them to calm down it is not moving that fast.
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  9. Robotics requires technicians, fitters, electricians and so on to operate. A CNC which can do some extraordinary things requires an operator who is trained in the system who can then output very high levels in quantity but also in quality. It will take 20 years for ai and robotics to create a world were no workers are needed. But there is the thing the large companies that will use these technologies will be under competition from small companies and the general population with the exact same technologies.
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  10. Because most people in their 70s cannot afford to have their nest egg shrink when they need it most. Americans are the only nation on earth with a significant retirement wealth level. Median net worth in retirement is $1.7 million.
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  11. Systems can already automate the structure of programming hence why modern interpreters have the ability to correct for potential errors. But that does not change the fact it requires humans to programs sequences to deal with complex information.
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  12. Chat based systems are going to be a fantastic tool but they still do not give full direction to humans and only aid in the context of information.
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  13. The key to that is it will revolutionise human productivity not replace it.
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  14. Machine learning also has an approach of the systems learning through the real world so as to advance their applications in the future. This will all take time and will develop over the next 20 to 40 years.
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