Comments by "bighand69" (@bighands69) on "" video.

  1. Changes at a certain level but not the overall war at this point.
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  2. I think people are basing Russian performance on todays resource and industry levels but if Russia was to move to a war economy culture they would massively increase their output. They still would not beat NATO in that war but they would cause a lot of damage at a global level.
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  3. He is implying that for the ground to dry out and to get troops moving on that ground in a significant manner of battle will take about 8 weeks from this point and then maybe another 4 weeks for us to really grasp the outcome. He is not saying mud up until may and then no mud.
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  4.  @emmanuelmasindi2390  No body believes those figures of 10,000 to 20,000 for army trying to invade another country with an army over the space of a year. For the level of action to only have 10,000 causalities would be absurd at best. You need to lay of the sources and look at reality of war not the entertainment version.
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  5. Ohio train derailment will have little impact on US crops.
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  6.  @nomadundercover3018  Russia has a massive reserve of Iron, Copper, Oil and gas. A war culture is one that goes all out for war. That means all production is switched to that of war. I am not suggesting that Russia would come anywhere close to the west in that production but it most certainly could produce enough scale that would enable it to flatten Ukraine to a barren land. Right now Russia is not at that point and the longer it can be kept from that the better chance of a stalemate.
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  7. How do you find somebody that is neutral about geopolitics that is based on geography?
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  8. Yes the Russian civilians will go along with the government. There is something like an 80% support level for the Russian government at present.
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  9.  @WorldWide-q8v  Russian oil levels are not at pre war levels. China cannot buy the oil at the same rate that Russia was selling to Europe. It is absurd that anybody would even try to suggest that. There is no infrastructure that would allow such transports of oil at those scales.
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  10. If it goes from freezing to dry to warm fast it will lessen the effects of the mud season.
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  11.  @richardarriaga6271  Russia is no match for the US when it comes to warfare but that does not mean they cannot wreck havoc or attempt to take down Europe. The Nazis were not a match for the allies but it did not stop them from trying. Russia has one thing that would check mate US military abilities and that is the potential to unleash nuclear armageddon on the world. Russia in all out war would bring a lot of destruction to Europe even though they would lose.
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  12.  @iji6249  Your point is that Ukraine does not have numbers of fighting men in the battle because they all fled. Your point was not complicated. I countered it by saying that Ukraine has a smaller military and cannot get all their man trained to enter the battle. Hence why large numbers of Ukrainians are training in other countries.
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  13. He is not predicting he is telling you the potential outcomes. I just wish people would listen to what he is actually saying.
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  14.  @nicholascarter9158  His prediction was that Russia would over run Ukraine and that still may happen we just do not know. But that does nothing to forward any real point that you are trying to make.
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  15.  @nicholascarter9158  Peter like everybody thought they would get overrun. I thought the same thing but there is nothing wrong with assuming these things as they are impossible to really predict.
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  16. To reduce the effects of the density of the waves of attack it will need to be a kill ratio of that order. The more blood as well the more damage it does to Russian moral. It can also cause a fog of war that the Russians do not see until it is too late.
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  17. Mud does not favor the Ukrainians because Russia does not use mobile and varied attacks. It uses a wave offensive that moves in straight simple lines and will use such things as roads and towns to move through.
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  18. Yes it still fits the facts because Summer is not here as of yet. The temperature around Kiev is 3 degrees with rain in the next week with occasional frost. From a combat point of view it will take a few months for it to play out as he is saying in the video.
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  19.  @ande9568  The next week it is forecast to rain and then colder weather. Until it is completely dry solid ground it really means that Russia gets to play their game on their terms but once it dries out and is consistence so then Ukraine gets to play its game. Movement requires a sustain period of dry weather. All Ukraine needs to focus on is defending until they get the opportunity to counter.
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  20. If Russia things it is about to collapse it will just start lobbing nuclear weapons. In their mind it will not matter if they use them or not if they are going to die.
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  21.  @WorldWide-q8v  The figures are pure fantasy.
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  22.  @WorldWide-q8v  Nobody believes the figures.
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  23. Why would their be no incursions? It is simple Russia has not moved to a complete war economy culture and attacks inside Russia would speed that process up. It is better to keep that off for as longs possible.
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  24. That is not going to help Putin so stop with the nonsense. Trump is not going to get elected even Republicans realize that now. Trump is no more of a friend to Russia than Hillary or Biden would be.
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  25.  @PrimarchX  Putin and the government of Russia do not care about the Wagner group. They will be used until they are broken and destroyed. I am not saying logistics are not important but it will not really be the outcome of the war. Russia never had good logistics and they tended to just take what they needed as they moved forward in waves. The key here is how much resources the Ukrainians can get to increase their density of defence. Russia could fail at this several times but still keep sending in numbers from Russia until Ukraine cracks. This war is about the very survival of Russia so they are not going to give up.
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  26. What on earth are you talking about?
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  27. They have not changed that much.
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  28. He tells you he is green but he also tells you the reality of what is needed.
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  29. They are throwing large numbers of poorly trained poor armed bodies at it.
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  30. Russians are not about movement they are about throwing straight lines of bodies at a wall of defence until they can form a crack. The problem they face is that Ukrainian mobility will only start to increase as the weather gets warmer and drier.
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  31. It does not affect the Russians to the same extent hence why they will make advances until the terrain allows movement. What will happen then is that the Ukrainians will get the upper hand but at some point Russia will increase the density of the onslaught.
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  32.  @stipe3124  I am not suggesting Russia would be the west in warfare but it will do a lot of damage.
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  33. Defensive forces never face the same level of casualties as the offensive. It is just the nature of attack and defence. Russia does not have free movement either.
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  34.  @Loki1191  No I am not saying that. I am saying that if they moved to total war as a culture they would produce enough scale that they would cause a lot of destruction and most certainly could flatten Ukraine to the ground. Right now Russia is not at that point and the longer it can be kept from that the better. It is a one trick pony for Russia in that they can only do that once and go all out.
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  35. Ukraine has a smaller population and it has a bottle neck in how many men it can get to the battle field.
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