Comments by "" (@pwillis1589) on "‘This is just the start’: More Democrats throw their support behind Donald Trump" video.

@MrMnmn911 I'm not sure you can read. I just explained to you the difference between the popular vote and the electoral collage vote and hilariously you missed the nuance in my reply.
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@williecourthers9450 Neither they are both flawed. Trump was a very average President and the Democrats had much better candidates to pick from.
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@lpcruz5661 Yes I totally agree as I conceded numerous times in discussions with other commentators here.
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@stephenkirton9921 Absolutely correct. All polls show is a rough guide to voters intentions on any given day. The polls show this will be a very very close election.
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@rickmartin2019 I’m not sure why you are yelling, however if you had read the rest of the comments you would see that I have already addressed this issue. The polls correctly predicted Clinton winning the popular vote which she did. Trump won the electoral vote by narrowly winning 6 battleground states by only 89000 votes. Current polling has Harris and Trump pretty much level in the battleground states, so the election is going to be very very close. Unfortunately for Trump the trend is towards Harris, but of course he can turn that around as there still is time.
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Here are 8 national independent polls showing Harris ahead. 1. Real clear politics poll 2. Race to the WH poll 3. decision desk. HQ/ the hill poll 4. 538 poll 5. Silver bulletin poll 6. Morning consult poll 7. CBS news/yougov poll 8. Civics/Daily cos poll
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@sharlastardisch No I cited 8 separate polls and some of those are actually average polling of numerous other polls so your critique doesn’t stand up. These are conservative, independent, and progressive polling companies that all produced polls only 4 weeks ago that had Trump well ahead of Biden. None of this means Harris will win but she might and if Trump wins it will be by a very narrow margin. Either way it will be very very close. Trump is almost guaranteed to claim voter fraud if he loses.
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@rickymartin1088 Numerous studies have shown prayer has no effect on any desired outcome. Tossing a coin and calling heads has the exact same outcome.
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@j.ritter619 As stated previously the polling for the 2016 election was accurate as Clinton did win the popular vote just exactly as the polls predicted. Trump won the Presidency because he narrowly won the battleground states by a total of only 89000 votes to win the electoral college.This time the battleground states are level pegging between Trump and Harris and could go either way. You obviously don’t understand polling data and that’s OK because it is complicated. Did you believe the polls 4 weeks ago when these exact same polls had Trump well ahead. Do you understand that people change their minds? Do you understand the difference between the popular vote and the electoral college vote?
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@MrMnmn911 And she did win the popular vote exactly as the polls predicted. I’m not sure you understand polling data as it is nuanced. Trump won the electoral college and the Presidency with very narrow margins in the battleground states (89000 in total). Polling companies have learnt from their mistakes and now focus on those battleground states where Harris and Trump are pretty much level.
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@rickmartin2019 That’s all very interesting however it has nothing to do with the reality of polling data. Two polls undertaken by the Jewish community in the US just a month or so ago actually showed and overwhelming majority of Jewish Americans support the Democratic Party (65%). So while I understand you have expressed a personal opinion it is just that, personal and not shared by the majority of Jews in America.
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@datboi7893 Interesting two polls undertaken by the Jewish community in the US in June this year had overwhelming support for Democrats, to the tune of 65%.
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@MrMnmn911 I have explained the polling data in detail and it's nuances. I even clearly stated Clinton lost the 2016 election. I'm not sure you know what you are even talking about.
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@MrMnmn911 No I clearly explained the differences between polling data, popular vote, and electoral votes.
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@blooper_01 Happy for you to provide a reference to one of your legit polls. On a side note all the polls I cited had Trump well ahead of Biden only 4 weeks ago. We’re they joke polls then when they had Trump easily ahead?
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@maryrye707 Interestingly there a two polls publicly available that were commissioned by the Jewish community in the US to gauge voter sentiment and they both found overwhelming support for Democrats amongst the Jewish community.
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@blooper_01 I didn’t suggest they did, they merely provide a rough guide to voter intention. Several of the polls included in the list provided are conservative. Why are conservative polls joke polls?
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Harris is in front nationally in the polls by 3.5 points.
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@whjerts Sort of. Clinton was ahead of Trump by 5 points on average nationally not the 9 you claim, but I’m sure there was an outliner poll that had her that far in front. Not surprisingly Clinton did win the popular vote by 3.5 points so the polls were reasonably accurate. Trump managed to win 6 of the battleground states by very narrow margins (a total of only 89000 votes) to win the electoral votes for those 6 states and hence the presidency. The problem Trump has is at the moment Harris is level pegging with him in those battleground state and in some cases ahead. You are correct though Trump can still win, but it will be very close.
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Here are 8 national independent polls showing Harris ahead. 1. Real clear politics poll 2. Race to the WH poll 3. decision desk. HQ/ the hill poll 4. 538 poll 5. Silver bulletin poll 6. Morning consult poll 7. CBS news/yougov poll 8. Civics/Daily cos poll
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And Clinton won the popular vote exactly as the polls predicted. Trump won very narrowly in 6 battleground states by only 89000 votes to win the electoral college. Harris is level pegging with Trump in those battleground states this time.
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And Clinton did win the popular vote, so the polls were accurate. Trump won very narrowly in 6 key battleground states (89000 votes) that got him over the line in the electoral college vote.
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@whjerts Where they accurate 4 weeks ago when they had Trump well ahead of Biden? These are the same polls. Were you comfortable when they had Trump well ahead, because they seem to have you sweating now.
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The same polls had Trump ahead 4 weeks ago and they clearly have you sweating now.
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They clearly have you sweating.
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@whjerts You bothered to comment, the facts hurt.
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@whjerts Not in the polls I cited. You are factually incorrect.
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@binks7988 Polling companies allow for these responses. They now have systems in place that take into account dishonest people like yourself. This enables there surveys to remain reasonable accurate. Nice try but just a stupid comment.
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@binks7988 No they simply don’t ask the same person twice, and as a process use random people, but apparently you are so clever you had already worked this out. Honestly just pathetic, emojis.
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@binks7988 I literally just did, and any inspection of each polling company I referenced explains in detail how they conduct their research and survey data. You are just embarrassed because I caught you in a stupid childish lie about polling surveys and how you supposedly tricked them. Hilarious. You are just comedy gold.
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@binks7988 Just keep those emjois coming. Comedy gold
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Here are 8 national independent polls showing Harris ahead. 1. Real clear politics poll 2. Race to the WH poll 3. decision desk. HQ/ the hill poll 4. 538 poll 5. Silver bulletin poll 6. Morning consult poll 7. CBS news/yougov poll 8. Civics/Daily cos poll
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@stephenkirton9921 So all I did was present factual polling data. I never suggested anything other than what these polls clearly show, which is voter intent on a particular day. It doesn’t mean Harris will win only that it appears she might. Polling in the battleground states is much closer and there is nothing between Harris and Trump there. Nobody roasted anything as nobody presented any data whatsoever that refutes these polls. Neither does your vacuous comment.
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@williecourthers9450 You provide no data to support your claim so ill dismiss it as vacuous comment. I provided an extensive list of polls that you can easily fact check. If you had read my other comments you would have seen that I indeed I did mention the battleground states which you rightly pointed out as I did that they are all very close with Trump just in front in 5 and Harris in front in 2. As you provided no data about your claim of Trump leading nationally I again cite the 8 polls that actually show Harris ahead. These polls include both conservative, independent, and progressive polls. The real clear poll I cited actually includes the Rasmussen poll which always has Trump a good 5 points ahead of Harris. You need to do more reading.
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@williecourthers9450 You provided no data so I’ll dismiss your reply as vacuous comment.
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@williecourthers9450 Hilarious. The list of polls I cited include conservative, independent, and progressive polling companies. Well over 30 separate polls are cited in these examples and you dismiss all of them as inaccurate. Where they inaccurate 4 weeks ago when they all trended towards Trump. Your argument is illogical nonsense. You provide no data to support your ludicrous claim. I simply provided numerous polls that show a trend towards Harris, and you have got nothing, literally nothing.
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@williecourthers9450 So the original comment claimed they couldn’t envisage anyone voting for Harris. I simply provided some independent data that shows plenty of people intend voting for Harris. It was a simple fact-checking. Since when has fact based information been considered trolling. Is it you are just frightened of reality?
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@MrGunhoe Correct and the 2016 vote confirmed the 2016 pre polling was accurate as Clinton did win the popular vote. As you know it is the electoral college vote that is important. Current polling has Harris ahead in the electoral college vote as well, but it is very very close.
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@williecourthers9450 My personal choice is irrelevant, as explained some of the polls I cited have Trump leading. If I had offered opinion one way or the other a factual falsifiable list of polls was just providing information. All these polls can be easily checked by anyone. If anything I’m concerned Trump supporters honestly think he is way ahead in the polls and if he loses, and he might (I think he will win, but only just, like he did in 2016) then they will again claim a rigged election and unrest will follow. For some idiotic reason some Trump supporters are so blind they can’t imagine anyone not voting for Trump.
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@rickmartin2019 I have not commented pro or against either Democrat or Republican. I merely provided factual data from various polling companies both conservative, independent, and progressive. Providing data that shows polling shows Harris leading Trump is not being pro Democratic it is just the reality of polling data.
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