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Joe Nichols
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Comments by "Joe Nichols" (@joenichols3901) on "Operational Pause or Russian Impotence? [War Mapped]" video.
I think we should look at this war with a historical perspective from Ukraines largest supporter - the USA. The US had to fight a war against its yolk England. The war dragged on over 7 years. The US military suffered almost entirely from defeat in the first years of the war. General Washington and his army spent much of their time in complete squalor, freezing cold and camps that spread disease. The US did not have any international support for the first few years of the war and barely convinced France to help towards the end. England was the greatest, by far, military power in the world at the time. By this comparison, given Russian goals, this war is going better than we could have dreamed for Ukraine. This war is going to take at minimum five years. This war isn't about our generation - it is about the next 1,000 years for Ukraine. This generation of Ukraine must become experts at fighting, experts at resistance and experts of war. Ukraine will likely not be rebuilt for another fifty years but that is the price a nation must pay for the ultimate, sacred prize - the right to make its own decisions, the right to the pursuit of happiness and the stability of their children's futures. We are watching the Ukrainian equivalents of the American founding fathers before our eyes.
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Why is the claim that Russia will have the advantage if Ukraine does not launch a counter offensive by end of September? What is the reasoning here? In my opinion, without question, the longer this war drags on the better the situation for the Ukrainians. People defending their homeland do not simply bend at the knee due to the war dragging on especially when they have huge international support and the number of martyrs Ukraine has. My examples would be Vietnam, Afghanistan, Russia in WW2, etc. If Ukraine can continue training enormous numbers of troops, continue receiving steady supplies from the West and continue bleeding out Russian forces/supplies; it seems the advantage is all in Ukraines favor. It also gives the sanctions more time to become entrenched globally and effect Russia domestically (although sanctions are mainly a long term attack).
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The US industrial complex absolutely needs to be placed under control of the federal government as is routine in war time. We are Americans - we can out produce, in higher quality, any instrument of war against any nation. We must ensure that in the medium term (6-12 months) Ukraine has a massive advantage with equipment. I disagree that Ukraine is under pressure to win the war quickly; war is not a quick affair. The West should be taking any chance to eliminate Putin physically. This war, in my opinion, is going to last at least five more years at minimum. I do not see the setup of local Russian governments as a real issue - the governments of these regions will be decided by the blade not the ballots. No Russian puppet would be recognized as legitimate globally
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@sogerc1 Right. I am not sure either why winter would help the Russians. Maybe due to heat insecurity domestically in Ukraine due to infrastructure destruction? The West should relatively easily be able to prepare Ukrainian troops for the winter with the correct gear. I think people overestimate winter conditions as detrimental to forces - everyone always quotes Stalingrad or Napoleon but for Napoleon by far the summer was worse for his troops due to disease and for the Nazis the main thing was the lack of logistics. If we apply that to today I do not really see either side not having the capability to provide their troops with the basic winter gear... if anything frozen ground should be easier for armor movements.. but sadly I am not expert and might be missing key points in this
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@1GTX1 I really doubt that. The West has stated its intentions to stand by Ukraine in the long term and I believe that... I have been saying from the beginning that this war is not going to be over any time soon and that it will likely take a decade to complete. The end game for Ukraine is to 1. Hold current positions 2. Make some offensive gains and 3. Wait for domestic upheaval in Russia to make large sweeping territorial gains. Its a waiting game. If we give ourselves a decade then most likely at some point domestic turmoil will occur in Russia due to the external pressures - at that point Ukraine could sweep up all of the lost territory. I fear Putin, if Ukraine were to say seize Crimea or huge swaths of land, would threaten to either destroy a nuclear plant or use a nuclear weapon to halt Ukrainian advances. If Putin were to drop dead of a heart attack in six years (Western espionage should be able to kill Putin over a decade timespan) that would be the moment to seize all of the territory.
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@3seven5seven1nine9 Lol, no its meant to show that Ukraine has far more support than historical revolutions to the Western alliance. I see your point but Russia is not fighting for a revolution
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@Of Age Non Related Carp Well, maybe in 200 years people will say that the Western alliance won the war for the Ukrainians. Would it be true? Maybe. Did the Ukrainians actually spill their blood? Yes. Did France and Spain spill their blood? No - the Americans did
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Sparks Absolutely not. The government sucks at getting things done - however, in periods such as this, the central command of the government can ensure ambitious expansion is completed in the specified industries.
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