Comments by "The SMR" (@SergyMilitaryRankings) on "Russia Heading Towards Operational Victory in South Donetsk Front" video.

  1. That's what people don't get about attritional wars, it looks like russian gains are pretty measly (and in manuvere warfare terms they are absolutely pitiful) but attritional wise. Ukraines losses are unsustainable. Russia has no need to show off and want big pushes, they can just wait and let Ukraine exhaust themselves until they are at critical stage then Russia will launch a massive offensive. But we also have to realise that whilst much of Ukraines pre 2022 military hardware is destroyed they have received over 2000 AFVs, nearly 3000 APCs, over 500 air defence systems, over 60 fighter jets, over 30 attack helicopters and this is all stuff delivered. Then we have the new $60b, €20b and £1b in military aid that will be arriving soon (that will be spread out over 2-3 years) along with the €50b and $10b in financial aid that will be arriving. Combined with Ukraine constant mobilisations. Yeah I honestly don't think this war is even close to being over, I'd say around 2026-2027 before russian victory That's if Ukraine doesn't surrender before then. I can see trump trying to broker a deal but honestly can't see zelensky or the EU and UK willing to make any concessions and even if US cuts off aid Ukraine still has EU, UK, NATO, Japan etc.
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  2. @marcowulliampopirers2216  Russia has stated they won't stop until Ukrainian regime is toppled so who knows
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  3. @realSanti954  they had spent months training with NATO, they received over $270 billion in aid from Western countries and organisations since 2022, with around ~60% delivered up until july 2023 (~70% today). Broken down it looks like for 2022 to 2023 ~$29,580,000,000 Equipment costs ~$15,560,000,000 Munitions costs ~$769,200,000 Small arms costs ~$105,000,000,000 Logistics costs A lot of people don't realise how much logistics costs, people think you can just send equipment and boom there you go, because in reality it's the thing that costs the most. There's fuel costs, maintenance costs, spare parts costs, systems testing costs, combat testing costs, ammunition costs, crew training costs, mechanics/engineer training costs and transportation costs and then you have to pay the crews, mechanics, drivers and engineers for the operations. Logistics is what takes up the biggest chunk, for example the Iraq war estimated to have cost over a trillion dollars yet the actual dollar value of the equipment and Munitions used probably barely made half, it's running, maintaining and operating the equipment that costs money. Up till june 2023 before they launched their counter offensive they had received months of training with NATO equipment, up to ~70,000 soldiers trained to NATO standards, they received nearly 400 NATO air defence systems, hundreds of NATO anti aircraft guns and over 2,000 NATO manpads (including thousands of others) to help them punch a hole in Russia air superiority to get some momentum. They received tens of thousands of NATO ATGMs and nearly 500 NATO standard tanks with 400 ex soviet ones and Thousands of NATO IFVs, APCs, EW systems, radars, counter batteries SPAGs, artillery Guns etc. And dozens of aircraft including attack helicopters and fighter jets along with just over a million shells of artillery and tens of thousands of guided rockets, hundreds of missiles to hundreds of thousands of unguided rockets to hundreds of thousands of mines and hundreds of millions of rounds of ammunition and nearly half a million NATO small arms. Remember a lot of this was top stuff or at minimum frontline use in NATO countries. M1A1SA Abrams, M-55S, Leopard 2A6, Leopard 2A4, Leopard 1A5 DK-1, PT-91, Challenger 2, T-72 Avenger, AMX-10RCR, CV90MK-II, CAESAR, PzH-2000, M109A6, Krab, Zuzana, DANAM1, Archer, HIMARS, M270B1, MARS II, RM-70V, RBS-56B, TOW-2A, Javelin E, Harpoon, Hellfire, RIM-7M, Brimstone, Moruš, FFAR, Hydra 70, AASM Hammer, AGM-88 HARM, Storm Shadow, Stringer E, Stinger C, M777A2, RBS-70MK2, Piorun, Patriot PAC-3, SAMP/T, NASAMS-2, IRIS-T SLM, Crotale NG, Bayraktar TB2, Mi-171Sh, MiG-29AS, Akeron MP, MILAN-3ER, Rosomak, M2A2-ODS-SA Bradley, Stryker, AN/TWQ-1, AN/TPQ-53, AN/MPQ-50, AN/TPQ-49, AN/TPQ-48, AN/TPQ-36, TRML, Ground Master 200, Giraffe 75, AGM-88 HARM, COBRA, SQUIRE, ARTHUR, MAMBA etc. Is all minimum frontline NATO equipment and practically every single one has been destroyed at least once. Their counter offensive was to split the Russian army and capture ~44,000km² out of around ~100,000km² it was to liberate Crimea and prove to the world just how superior Western weapons were. It was a colossal failure, ~46 billion in military supplies, ~100 billion in logistics and financial costs, months of training, access to the best intelligence NATO has, battle plans coordinated with top NATO commanders and in nearly 5 months of fighting it only caught less than ~400km² or around less than 1% of their target. They couldn't even breach the 2/5 defensive line and spent 3 months fighting for a single street village which by the way was taken back by Russia at the start of 2024. All the hype and Ukraine still lost ~678 km² in 2023 overall despite their offensive. For context Russia captured more territory in February to march 2024 alone, it shows how utterly pointless aid is and how even at Ukraines strongest they can't do anything. The funniest thing was all the western think tanks and media groups that said western weapons would be too good for Russia to then saying that it was all old. The cope is real. It's also funny because Ukrainians themselves have criticised NATO training. A big problem with NATO Doctrine is that it solely relies on air supremacy, air supremacy is easy when you are facing a country that uses obsolete SAMs and fighter jets.
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  4.  @levelgod7595  это не имеет значения, когда их забирают силой
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  5. @realSanti954  in manoeuvre warfare terms there is no doubt about it now being at a stalemate. Although in attritional warfare Russia is winning. At the current rate of attrition, Ukraine will be out of functional military equipment by 2028 whilst Russia won't be until 2035 (and that's just stuff in use not in storage or new built), Ukraine will be out of combat capable men by 2030 whilst Russia won't be until 2056. Ukraine has lost ⅔ of its pre war Military and nearly ½ to ¾ of their pre war combat manpower. Those are not sustainable losses.
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  6.  @javiermiranda5769  Ukraine still has millions of men
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  7. @realSanti954  you don't mnkw what you're talking about. Ukraine has nearly run out of all their manpower. You spew propaganda BS such as Russia having moral and logistics issues. You don't understand warfare. This is a war of attrition not a maneuver war. Russia isn't trying to maneuver big pushes. Ukraine they had spent months training with NATO, they received over $270 billion in aid from Western countries and organisations since 2022, with around ~60% delivered up until july 2023 (~70% today). Broken down it looks like for 2022 to 2023 ~$29,580,000,000 Equipment costs ~$15,560,000,000 Munitions costs ~$769,200,000 Small arms costs ~$105,000,000,000 Logistics costs A lot of people don't realise how much logistics costs, people think you can just send equipment and boom there you go, because in reality it's the thing that costs the most. There's fuel costs, maintenance costs, spare parts costs, systems testing costs, combat testing costs, ammunition costs, crew training costs, mechanics/engineer training costs and transportation costs and then you have to pay the crews, mechanics, drivers and engineers for the operations. Logistics is what takes up the biggest chunk, for example the Iraq war estimated to have cost over a trillion dollars yet the actual dollar value of the equipment and Munitions used probably barely made half, it's running, maintaining and operating the equipment that costs money. Up till june 2023 before they launched their counter offensive they had received months of training with NATO equipment, up to ~70,000 soldiers trained to NATO standards, they received nearly 400 NATO air defence systems, hundreds of NATO anti aircraft guns and over 2,000 NATO manpads (including thousands of others) to help them punch a hole in Russia air superiority to get some momentum. They received tens of thousands of NATO ATGMs and nearly 500 NATO standard tanks with 400 ex soviet ones and Thousands of NATO IFVs, APCs, EW systems, radars, counter batteries SPAGs, artillery Guns etc. And dozens of aircraft including attack helicopters and fighter jets along with just over a million shells of artillery and tens of thousands of guided rockets, hundreds of missiles to hundreds of thousands of unguided rockets to hundreds of thousands of mines and hundreds of millions of rounds of ammunition and nearly half a million NATO small arms. Remember a lot of this was top stuff or at minimum frontline use in NATO countries. M1A1SA Abrams, M-55S, Leopard 2A6, Leopard 2A4, Leopard 1A5 DK-1, PT-91, Challenger 2, T-72 Avenger, AMX-10RCR, CV90MK-II, CAESAR, PzH-2000, M109A6, Krab, Zuzana, DANAM1, Archer, HIMARS, M270B1, MARS II, RM-70V, RBS-56B, TOW-2A, Javelin E, Harpoon, Hellfire, RIM-7M, Brimstone, Moruš, FFAR, Hydra 70, AASM Hammer, AGM-88 HARM, Storm Shadow, Stringer E, Stinger C, M777A2, RBS-70MK2, Piorun, Patriot PAC-3, SAMP/T, NASAMS-2, IRIS-T SLM, Crotale NG, Bayraktar TB2, Mi-171Sh, MiG-29AS, Akeron MP, MILAN-3ER, Rosomak, M2A2-ODS-SA Bradley, Stryker, AN/TWQ-1, AN/TPQ-53, AN/MPQ-50, AN/TPQ-49, AN/TPQ-48, AN/TPQ-36, TRML, Ground Master 200, Giraffe 75, AGM-88 HARM, COBRA, SQUIRE, ARTHUR, MAMBA etc. Is all minimum frontline NATO equipment and practically every single one has been destroyed at least once. Their counter offensive was to split the Russian army and capture ~44,000km² out of around ~100,000km² it was to liberate Crimea and prove to the world just how superior Western weapons were. It was a colossal failure, ~46 billion in military supplies, ~100 billion in logistics and financial costs, months of training, access to the best intelligence NATO has, battle plans coordinated with top NATO commanders and in nearly 5 months of fighting it only caught less than ~400km² or around less than 1% of their target. They couldn't even breach the 2/5 defensive line and spent 3 months fighting for a single street village which by the way was taken back by Russia at the start of 2024. All the hype and Ukraine still lost ~678 km² in 2023 overall despite their offensive. For context Russia captured more territory in February to march 2024 alone, it shows how utterly pointless aid is and how even at Ukraines strongest they can't do anything. The funniest thing was all the western think tanks and media groups that said western weapons would be too good for Russia to then saying that it was all old. The cope is real. It's also funny because Ukrainians themselves have criticised NATO training. A big problem with NATO Doctrine is that it solely relies on air supremacy, air supremacy is easy when you are facing a country that uses obsolete SAMs and fighter jets. Ukraine is cooked either way. You are foolish to think otherwise.
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  8. @realSanti954  Ukraine 🇺🇦 Statistics Operational Victories 4 Major Battles Won: 25 Minor Battles Won 35 Ukraine Territory Held 489,901 km² Russian Territory Held 598 km² Fatalities ~300,000-400,000 Wounded ~600,000-800,000 Median Fatalities ~350,000 Median Wounded ~700,000 Total Military Assets used ~90% Total Military Capacity ~70% Military Aid $151 Billion Financial Aid $106 Billion War Spending $107 Billion 2024 Defense Budget $44 Billion 2024 GDP Nominal Defence Spending 25.4% 2024 GDP PPP Defense Spending 11.7% 2024 Tax Revenue Defense Spending 122.2% Percentages of 2022 Total Equipment Destroyed Tanks 71.84% IFVs 70.24% APCs 37.31% Self Propelled Artillery 26.7% Towed Artillery 41.46% Rocket Artillery 30.6% Air Defence Systems 73.14% Anti Aircraft Guns 30.41% Engineering Vehicles 31.83% Specialist Vehicles 71.6% Electronic Warfare Systems 17.06% C2 Systems 63.8% Vehicles 51.57% Fighters 46.61% Helicopters 28.19% Attack Helicopters 20.95% Logistical Aircraft 60.71% Drones 27.22% Amphibious Ships 50% Frigates 50% Corvettes 100% Fast Attack Craft 56.67% Mine Ships 77.78% Electronic Warfare Ships 100% Submarines 100% Support Ships 17.82% Total pre war Military Assets lost 66.01% Total soldiers lost 50% - 75% Confirmed Visual losses Fighters 135x Logistical Aircraft 34x Helicopters 51x Attack Helicopters 61x Drones 258x Tanks 2,099x IFVs 2,054x APCs 2,267x SPAs 533x Artillery 689x MLRS 144x SAMs 901x AA Guns 1,001x Vehicles 5,003x Engineering Vehicles 404x Specialist Vehicles 411x C2 Systems 312x EW Systems 145x Amphibious Ship 1x Frigate 1x Corvettes 7x Fast Attack Craft 17x Mine Ships 7x Electronic Warfare Ships 3x Submarine 1x Support Ships 18x
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  9. @realSanti954  Russian Federation and Donetsk & Luhansk People's Republic 🇷🇺 Statistics Operational Victories 6 Major Battles Won 53 Minor Battles Won 75 Ukraine Territory Held 114,751 km² Russian Territory Taken back 411 km² Fatalities ~120,000-200,000 Wounded ~240,000-400,000 Median Fatalities ~160,000 Median Wounded ~320,000 War Spending $189 Billion Total Military Assets used ~40% Total military capacity ~30% 2024 Tax Revenue Defense Spending 13.7% 2024 GDP Defence Nominal Spending 4.9% 2024 GDP PPP Defence Spending 2% 2024 Defense Budget $90 Billion Percentages of 2022 Operational Equipment Destroyed Tanks 45.4% IFVs 43.04% APCs 34.98% Self Propelled Artillery 15.38% Towed Artillery 5.75% Rocket Artillery 7.31% Air Defence Systems 2.54% Anti Aircraft Guns 1.2% Engineering Vehicles 13.15% Specialist Vehicles 10.1% C2 Systems 8.76% Electronic Warfare Systems 9.02% Vehicles 10.23% Fighters 5.05% Bombers 4.16% Helicopters 7.22% Attack Helicopters 5.12% Special Type Aircraft 1.58% Logistical Aircraft 0.66% Drones 6.56% Amphibious Ships 3% Cruisers 9.33% Corvettes 2.08% Fast Attack Craft 4.83% Submarines 3.3% Support Ships 1.24% Total Pre War Op Military Assets lost 24.34% Total Soldiers lost 7.5% - 15% Confirmed Visual losses Fighters 101x Bombers 4x Special Type Aircraft 4x Logistical Aircraft 8x Rotorcraft 61x Attack helicopters 84x Drones 156x Tanks 6,106x IFVs 4,302x APCs 6,029x SPAs 923x Artillery 901x MLRS 397x SAMs 207x AA Guns 113x Vehicle losses 10,221x Engineering Vehicles 798x Specialist Vehicles 308x C2 Systems 565x EW Systems 456x Amphibious Ships 3x Cruiser 1x Corvettes 1x Submarine 1x Fast Attack Craft 11x Support Ships 16x
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