Comments by "M gronich" (@mgronich948) on "TLDR News EU" channel.

  1.  @Mayor912  What about 1 million Iraqi civilians killed in the Iraq war? And if there is genocide in Xinjiang, why do none of the muslim countries condem China? None
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  2. Russia doesn't just offer large amounts of gas, it offers large amounts of cheap gas. LNG will always be 2X more expensivel. This is why BASF, Europe's largest Chemical company has declared they will permanently exit Europe and set up factories in China and Asia, where cheap Russian gas is plentiful. The public is being fooled into thinking the energy suffering is over. Millions of jobs will be lost. Some to China, some to the US.
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  3. Europe is in a world of hurt because they are paying 4X more for US LNG than for Russia gas. But Eureopeans don't realize their real problem is not dependency on Russian gas, it's their fear of the US hegemon. The fear is so great that when the US bombs Nord Stream, Germany doesn't even complain. In fact after Sy Hersh publishes his story on Biden ordering the bombing, Olaf Scholz flys to DC tells Biden the CIA needs to come up with another lie because the German people are demonstrating by 10's of 1000's. The CIA then came out with a new lie, that it was Ukrainians not affiliated with Zelensky. And two months later the CIA came out with yet another lie, It was Zelensky and the CIA knew about it and warned Zelensky not to bomb Nord Stream. Europe's economy is going down the tubes because they don't have the backbone to stand up to the US. The fact that Europe' economy is sinking is part of the Ukraine war plan.
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  4. The fact that the dam is needed to supply water to Crimea is conclusive evidence the Ukrainians will try to blow up the dam. But also this is a reason why Russia may be faking a withdrawal, they will defend the city and the Dam.
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  5. Orban/hungary is not alone. The US's desire to ban TikTok now, is because TikTok is one of the few places where people can get new on Gaza. We used to think China's internet firewall was the most extreme. But the US, while more subtle, is just as tightly controlled, along with Europe as China.
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  6. US is an perfect example of this. It took 20 years and 2 trillion to figure out Afghanistan was a waste. But the only reason the US pulled out was because it was getting ready for the proxy war against Russia. One good sign that the US forever wars might be comming to an end is the Taiwan elections where DPP? (DDP?) party lost in the local elections. Making it less likely Taiwan will declare official independence and provoke a Chinese invastion.
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  7. Strange that with NS-2 TLDR made no mention of the maximum sanctions the US threatened to apply to German companies for wanting to buy Russian gas. Sen Ted Cruz personally sent letters to every German company involved and threatened sanctions that would bankrupt those companies. Putin's not in charge, the neocons in the US congress are in charge. Was standing up against US bullying a mistake? One that has started a dozen wars or military coups in the past two decades? In the end perhaps it will be a mistake. It was a mistake for Iraq to have had WMDs (forgot they didn't have WMDs) And look at Libya, Syria and Afghanistan. These countries resisted the neocons and were crushed. So in the end, has Merkle made a very powerful enemy and Germany may pay the price. (or maybe not)
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  8. No mention of the Green's warmonger policies. A majority of Germans want to end military aid to Ukraine.
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  9. In most cases of countries that at one time were positive to China and is now negative, it's 99% due to US influence/coercion. The US wants everyone to decouple with China while the US continues to trade with China. Lithuania received a $60M grant from the US just before it allowed the Taiwan embassy into its country. The UK originally told the US that it would continue to buy Huawei 5G equipment, until the US twisted the UK arm very hard. Sort of like Germany saying nothing at all when the US bombed Nord Stream.
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  10. Russia seems to be withdrawing but Ukraine is not advancing, fearing a trap. The Russian evacuation is all but complete. Ukraine without electricity may have problems resupplying its troops. This "highly anticipated" counter offensive from Ukraine may be delayed and delayed and delayed maybe till winter has come and gone.
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  11. The analysis here is total BS. Will the sanctions deter China? Look at how the sanctions have Germany in a panic. Germany is rich, they will simply buy all the non-Russian gas on the market. The rest of Europe will suffer. But what about deterence? Well China's economy is 10X larger than Russia's sanctions on China will backfire 10X worse than Russian sanctions. This should serve as a major deterrent for Europe to join the US in imposing sanctions. Europe is shooting itself in the leg with Russian sanctions, will Europe shoot itself in the head in the much bigger economic war with China?
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  12. You didn't mention the de-industrialization of Germany caused by the permanently high cost of nat gas. The high price of energy has shut down steel mills, cement factories, glass, and fertilizer manufacturers. It has forced VW, BASF and other large German companies to invest in new factories in China. What Germany needs to turn things around is to listen to Macron, stop being a vassal of the US. Why do I call Germany a vassal? Biden bombed Nord Stream and the two Greens applauded and Scholz bowed his head. The Ukraine war is another "fovever war" and the sanctions will last for ever as well. This is the price Germany (and Europe) have to pay for the glory of the imperial empire of US neocons. Remember this is a fight between autocracy and democracy, freedom is not free.
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  13. Zelensky didn't want to attack at all. I need more tanks, more IFVs, more ammo, I need F-16s and I need 50 Patriot batteries. The CIA/neocons had a narrative that Ukraine will win back all the land occupied. Because if the eventual state is permanent RUssian occupation, then why did 200,000 die fighting between april 2022 and now? 4/2022 was when Ukraine agreed to a peace deal that the US vetoed. What did they die for? In a few months another 100K Ukrainians will be dead, what are they dying for? They are dying so the US can maintain the economic sanctions that are supposed to destroy RUssia's economy. Except Russia's economy is not crumbling. The US neocons are more than willing to sacrifice Ukrainian lives to eventually dsetroy Russia. But the people of the US and Europe may think otherwise.
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  14. The whole issue of tanks is a purposeful distraction. Russia is planning a major offensive before the ground turns to mud. The key weapon is not the tank but long range missiles, much longer than the current HiMars rockets. These could hit Russian positions in Crimea. They are likley already in Ukraine. The US has a huge advantage in intel both the radar planes that fly over NATO air space, satellites, and some high altitude drones. Russia has to take these out and level the military intel space for their big offensive to win.
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  15. What's TLDR's position on the kurfuffle on Garland Nixon's satirical tweet? Breaking News: White House insiders leak that, when asked if there was any greater disaster than the neocon Ukraine project, Biden responded, "wait until you see our plan for the destruction of Taiwan." The tweet caused quite a stir in Taiwan.
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  16. Russia uses PMC. The US supports Al Quida in Syria. But the west keeps talking about human wave attacks. In reality this never happens. But what does happen is the conventional approach of attacking in an area with a 3:1 advantage. The Russians are claiming a 6:1 ratio of Ukrainians casualties vs Russian casualties and one ex-Ukrainian soldier said the life expectancy of a Ukrainian soldier in combat in Bakmut is measured in hours. But in this war as likely in most wars, the propaganda is so think it's hard to tell what's really happening. But the conscripting of 16 yr olds in Ukraine is real. The loss of troops on the Ukraine side is significant and a closely held secret. The massive drone attack to cut off power to 90% of Ukraine hasn't happened yet and this might point to insufficient drones/ammo on the Russian side.
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  17. The analysis on Russian default is totally bogus. 1st the US allowed the transfer of Russian funds in frozen accounts to be used. The reason is that if Russia defaults the only repeat ONLY people hurt will be western bond holders. It doesn't hurt Russia at all. Further Russia's borrowing needs are close to zero unlike the US. The US has 23 trillion in debt and 2.3 trillion of it comes due every year. The US also adds about 1 trillion of new debt to the old every year. So if the borrowing cost for the US goes up the US economy can collapse. But Russia only has 40 Billion of foreign denominated bonds (~4V/year), this is 500 times smaller. And this could easily be taken care of by a couple of Chinese billionaires. The US economy is at risk because of the sanctions. US inflation was already at 8%. The sanctions are expected to raise that by 4% to 12%. But the freezing of Russia's assets has brought home to the Chinese that much of their 4 Trillion of foreign reserves is not safe. One thing they might do is stop buying Treasuries. The 2nd is they might start to spend down their 4 Trillion of foreign currency reserves. More money used to buy things will increase inflation. Current US treasures have ~ 1% interest. If the US had to pay 5% interest then its interest payments would go up from 230B/yr to 1.2 trillion/year. That's 25% of the total US govt budget, the increase would be bigger than the US defense budget.
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  18. A couple of errors. The inflation numbers are year to year. That is there was an 18% spike in march 2022 and it dropped a bit to 13%. But if thre is no inflation from now to march o 2023 Russia will see a 18% drop in inflation. Russia has really controlled inflation. And as for borrowing on the international markets, they have had > $100B in investments from Chinese companies. Many western oil firms pulled out. China went in and bought that up for pennies on the dollar. But Russia did get ~ $100B out of it. The loss of human capital is real. But estimates by British intel is as good as estimates from Zelensky but still 500K people out of 150 million population is 0.3% hit to the economy. On bad parts from unreputable Chinese companies, Russia was on a rush, they got defrauded, but now they know which companies are reputable. China's economy is 17 trillion, they do ~1trillion in trade. Those companies can have secondary sanctions applied. But there's 16 trillion of other Chinese companies. But what is the truth? Russia has now withdrawn across the river in Kherson. They are waiting for the 300K new troops to be trained, equiped and organized into fighting units. That will take months. And it will take months to get their 3000 or 5000 drones from Iran and 1 million 155mm shells from N. Korea. Russia is bombing electrical substations, not generating facilities. So they an be repaired quickly if you have enough spare transformers. But Russia can keep this up until Europe is out of spare transformers to send to Ukraine. In a couple of months if you see Russia advance again, you'll know your economic predictions are totally wrong.
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  19. Propaganda forever. Ukraine gains more by blowing up the dam. Just as the US blew up Nord Stream. But the point of propaganda is to repeat the lie so often some will believe it. But sometime, eg Nord Stream the CIA will come out with different stories as the previousl ones don't gain traction. But TLDR needs to spread the "official" propagada of its masters. (or get cancelled). Didn't TLDR recent say the Ukrainians not the US blew up Nord Stream? Ukraine is also thinking about blowing up the Nuclear plant and blaming the Russians. The CIA has 4 different stories on how Russians did it, or perhaps some disgruntled Wagnerians.
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  20. The lesson Europe needs to learn is that being the US neocon's vassal is bad for your economy. Remember Henry Kissinger's famous quote, to be an enemy of the US is dangerous, to be its friend is fatal.
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  21. The reason China is not supplying weapons to Russia (in large numbers) is because it's trying to pry Europe away from the US. If that fails the China will go all in with Russia. If Europe can be separated from the US, the imperial US empire will collapse. Right now I see very little chance China will succeed. Europe is suffering economically, more than Russia and there are mass demonstrations in Germany, France, UK because their economies are paying the price of US sanctions. But the amount of econmic pain is far below the threshold to abandon the US. But China may also be stockpiling the weapons that Russia wants/needs. So that when the decision is made, Russia can get massive deliveries quickly.
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  22. As bad as the birth rate is for Russia and EU, it seems Japan and S. Korea are in much worse shape. But this is a problem 20-30 years in the future. For the G7, the big problem is the 2023 financial crisis just starting (the collapse of SVB bank) that will likely be a few times worse than the 2008 financial crisis. The hike in interest rates is due to the last 14 years of low interest rates by the Fed. When interest rates double US treasuries drop by 50%. This means the 31 trillion in US treasuries is now worth ~ 16 Trillion. This loss of 15 trillion should be compared to the total loss of 12 Trillion during the 2008 US financial crisis. But that's just US treasuries. When you add US state and municipal debt and EuropeaN GOVT bonds, and corporate debt the total loss could be over 50 trillion. The Ukraine war will be over when this financial crisis hits it's peak 6~9 months from now.
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  23. Gas prices just before the war started was about 3X higher than normal because companies were anticipating the war. In the US the consumer pays 10c/KWhr or less than 1/3 the prewar price. This price level will stil cause energy intensive companies to close up in Europe and go to CHina and US.
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  24. Several fake news items. 1) Russia's strikes are political (to satisfy Russian hardliners) they don't really hurt Ukrainian logistics in supplying it's army. If this is true why is Ukraine in such a panic it lobbed a missile into Poland to draw NATO into the war? (and this was coordinated with the CIA who called the AP, who reported an unamed US intel official said the missile came from Russia. ) But the missile strike was not coordinated with the Pentagon or the white house. If Russia's strikes are political, it doesn't hurt its logistics effort. why is Ukraine so panicing to try to draw NATO into the war? 2) So what happened to "Russia is running out of missiles? And why weren't these attacks caused by the Shahed 136 drones? Could it be that saying these attacks were caused by Shahed 136 would mean Ukraine has no defense against these cheap drones? Since Russia has ordered 2,400 could easily order another 5,000 for a cost of $100M, which is about 5 hrs of revenue from sale of Russian oil/gas, it would mean it's just a matter of months before Ukraine looses the war? 3) And isn't this what Gen Milley (top US military commander) said? Ukraine should negotiate with Russia now. Ukraine can not win.
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  25. No mention of the US law, Foreign Agents Registration Act. The US congress some years ago split the non-military part of the CIA to form the NED, which in turn funds NGOs. When these NGOs operate in democratic countries, they are some of the best at election meddling. Look at what NGOs brought to Ukraine.
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  26. Ukraine is taking a pause. In the end Ukraine will not commit its forces to a major battle. When that attack fails, Russia will counter attack and mop up the stragglers. The spin meisters will have spin that into a victory. Because if even a cease fire is agreed to, the whole world will realize two to three hundred thousand Ukrainians died for nothing.
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  27. While Germany 's economy is shrinking the most, the rest of the EU and UK are also in trouble. They all have a common cause which main stream media never mentions, which is all the leaders of Europe are following orders from the neocon US, including turning the Ukraine war into a forever war. US big oil made ~100B more in profits selling LNG to Europe in 2022. That is about the same as what the US spent on aid to Ukraine. So in effect Europe is paying for the whole war in Ukraine, and more because India is making money hand over fist selling petrolium products made from Russian Crude.
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  28. Dozens of LNG tankers are waiting to unload to Europe. The LNG receiving terminals are chocked. But in the long run LNG is ~2X more expensive than Russia gas. So BASF (and in the future many more) has announced there will be permanent closure of their factories in Europe. Millions of good paying jobs will be lost. This is not the end of the energy crisis, this is just the beginning of the deindustrialization of Europe. Whole industries in Europe don't make economic sense based on expensive LNG. 100's of billions in factories in Europe will be rendered useless. And Europe will become dependent on US LNG.
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  29. Black rock will own 90% of Ukraine and the people will be indentured servants for the next 100 years.
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  30. Which country in the world is the most militarily agressive by far, invaded Iraq and killed 1 million Iraqi civilians? (Not to mention 60 years ago invaded Vietnam and killed 2 million Vietnamese? Is the EU afraid that the US will invade a European country? Or levy crippling sanctions against a European country? The EU is now more dependent on China economically than the US. The EU goes along with the US primarily out of fear. The US did bomb Nord Stream. And Germany will now de-industrialize because of it. In order to save themselves Germany companies will move to China but this means 100's of 1000's of German jobs will go to China. The bombing of Nord Stream has other implications, it meant 200 billion in excess profits for US oil giants in 2022. Ukraine, in fighting a proxy war is loosing 100's of 1000's lives. For the EU it's economy has been sacrificed to maintain US neocon's global hegemony. The people of the EU understand (even though the propaganda is overwhelmingly anti-China) that the US is responsible for their lowered living standard. But the leaders are afraid of angering the neocons, frozen and paralyzed to inaction. (In the UK the govt is simply telling their people, you're poor get used to it.) Europe is suffering so that in the future US neocons can invade another country like Iraq and get away with it.
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  31. One pole of lithuanians showed only 17% supported the government taking on China. Meaning the government was bought off by the US. It's not guts to take on China it's corrupt $$ to take on China.
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  32. From the comments many perhaps most Germans don't want to fight the US's cold war with Russia and China. And the German leadership while paying lip service to America's Hard line is not willing to put that into action. This bodes ill for Blinken's plan to prod Russia into invading Ukraine to stop NS-2 from going into operation. A very different point of view from DW, Germany's public TV/internet channel.
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  33. Everyone is still asking the question, why is Ukraine doing this? The main answer is a temporary propaganda victory so CIA commentors can say slava Ukraine. But there are stories from the Donbass which indicates the Ukrainian lines are collapsing. But Russia may not take full advantage of a collapsing front and move slowly rather than rapidly.
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  34. The conclusions are correct peace is not going to happen any time soon. But the reason is totally wrong. The US does not want peace. The neocons need time for the sanctions to destroy Russia. Peace now would be a disaster for the neocons. It doesn't matter what Zelensky thinks, he tried negotiating with Russia in April 2022. And Victoria Nuland yanked on his chain and that was the end of that. It matters even less what the Ukrainian people think, US wants war, there will be war.
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  35. Zelensky started talking about taking Crimea as a response to everyone saying Ukraine has lost. He said Ukraine would enter Crimea in dec 2022 and Russia would be out by jan 2023. Remember that Gen Milley said Ukraine should negotiate in oct/nov. More recently leaked pentagon documents tell a story that Ukraine's spring counter offensive isn't going to happen. Ukraine has thrown 80,000 troops into Bakhmut and will soon lose Bakhmut and 80,000 soldiers. The US propaganda machine tells the story that Ukraine can fight and win, knowing all that's happening is more Ukrainians are dying.
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  36. What was not mentioned was the invasion of Iraq and the 1 million civilians killed by the US. And the other 13 wars the US started between 1980 and now. And no one in Europe calls killing 1 million Iraqi civilians genocide.
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  37. Macron changes his mind. There may be many reasons, and many that we'll never know about because the NEOCONs don't always broadcast their negotiations.
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  38. Zelensky is saying his army will retake Crimea not because there is some possibility of this happening but because his CIA handlers say this is the best propaganda move. Zelensky said he'd be in Crimea by dec 2022, and push Russians out by end of jan 2023. He said that right after Gen Milley publicly said there's no way Ukraine can win and Zelensky should negotiate. THe "retake" crimea is brought out when ever the western public is thinking this is a lost cause, all that's happening is more Ukrainians are dying.
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  39. Given that the llooding would mostly be on the east side (Russian controlled side) this seems to point to a Ukrainian operation to be blamed on Russia. After all the west was accusing Russia of bombing NordStream. But also it seems the Ukrainians think this may be a Russian trap and is holding off on advancing on Kerson city. The recent attack on the Russia warships in the black sea may be part of this operation, the ships in the black sea will have cruise missiles and perhaps Iranian drones. Once Ukrainian troops and armor come into the open and are spotted by Russian drones. Russia says just 1 warship suffered minor damage. But other rumors are 3 warships were damaged. If this attack was not fully successful, would the counter offensive be called off?
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  40. The main thrust ? of the Ukrainian offensive will hit a brick wall. Russia was going to wait for Ukraine to launch its main counter offensive, and fail then Russia would move in. But Russia got tired of waiting which is why they've moved in the east. The US sent cluster munitions because that was all they had. The regular high explosive ammo is much more useful. Ukraine is expected to run out of regular 155mm ammon in july. This will put them at a huge disadvantage. Cluster munitions are useless against armor.
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  41. The SVB bank collapse, some are saying this is the start of the 2023 financial crisis, that will be several times bigger than the 2008 crisis. Robert Kiyosaki who predicted the fall of Lehman Bros bank that triggered the 2008 meltdown, has predicted that the next big bank to fail is Credit Suisse, the big Swiss bank with 1.2 trillion under management. The Swiss won't have to worry about sending weapons to Ukraine when Credit Suisse fails.
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  42. The UK ministry of defense just said Russia has 97% of its forces in Ukraine. But here they say Russia hasn't positioned its forces to start an offensive. The is the 1st round of the offensive. THe major advantage of NATO is its miliary intellegence. US satellites and radar planes provide the target coordinates for HiMars rockets and other precision nunitions. Russia has to find a way to blunt this. Either radio jamming (very difficult) or using lasers on US spy satellites. If Russia is able to achieve parity in military intel, their larger fighting force will sweep across the country, beyond the Donbass.
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  43. Ukraine is probing here, probing there, and everywhere. If they find a weak point, they won't advance because they're afraid it's a Russian trap. The "main" force of the counteroffensive will never move out. Remember that the Russians moves out of Kherson west of the River for almost a month before Ukraine bravely "liberated" that part of Kherson.
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  44. Putin never intended to invade. The assertion that Russia would invade is 100% propaganda from the US and US media. It is an excuse to shut NordStream 2 down. "Putin is going to invade, why wait until he does to shut NS-2?" And kicking Russia out of Swift? An empty bluff by the US. Europe will use other means to buy energy from Russia , means that don't involve using the US dollar. The US has said NS-2 will be shut down but didn't say how. Implying the US might use military force to shut NS-2 down. That's the real reason for accusing Russia of planning to invade.
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  45. Russia's total defense budget in prior years was 60B. Now western estimates for the cost of the war is 1 billion/day, there is no way the Russian military can absorbe a 500% INCREASE. It may be true that the US+EU support of Ukraine approaches 1B/day, which means it's costing the US 5X as much as it is Russia to fund this war.
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  46. Ukraine has suffered 350,000 casualties, the have no more blood to give. Zelensky has the backing of the CIA, he needs US to declare war on Russia. Zelensky's only leverage is to say he will agree to peace on Russia's terms. If he doesn't play this card, Ukrainians will just keep dying. For as long as it takes. The first step we'll see has already started. The counter offensive will turn from a half hearted "probing" attacks to a purely terrorist attacks on Belgorod and a propaganda war. But Russia will hit back, hard for attacks on Belgorod. And Russia may send Wagner into NATO countries to give NATO a taste of its own medicine.
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  47. The EU policy is driven by fear. Fear the US will get mad if they don't decouple. Fear that without China their economies will crumble. The Russian sanctions is causing the de-industrialization of Europe. Germany's steel mills have shut down, perhaps permanently, Germany's and France's glass manufacturing has also shut down perhaps permanently and the same for german fertilizer production. The US tells the EU to shoot itself in the leg and the EU says yes sir.The US bombs Nord Stream and Germany is scared to death to even complain. These by European leaders to Bejing, Bejing is trying to gauge whethere Europe will continue to shoot itself in the leg, the arm, the torso and eventually the head. De-dollarization will speed up to the point where countries outside the G7 no longer need the G7.
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  48. This is something that RUssia, China and Brazil want. The 1st step is a currency for trade between the BRICS nations. (19 are waiting to join). It's reported that Russia selling oil to india is having trouble spending those rupees. So Russia will push hard for a common currency to conduct trade. India is making a mint, buying Russia oil with Rupees, refining it and selling the products to Europe for dollars or Euros. Russia has leverage with India to get India to go along. The point is not to replace the dollar but to be able to trade independent of the US financial system.
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  49. Europe is a collection of vassals. That's not changing anytime soon.
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  50. When Sy Hersh publiished his report on US bombing of Nord Stream, he also mentioned that Jan Stoltenberg was a CIA asset since the end of the Vietnam war. In many European countries no one party has a majority, wonder how many tenticles does the CIA have in these countries.
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