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M gronich
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Comments by "M gronich" (@mgronich948) on "Will China Invade Taiwan in 2027? A Taiwanese Perspective | #Operation2027 Ep.1" video.
Zelensky is not stupid. 400,000 Ukrainians have died to preserve the global empire of the US neocons. Zelensky knows what he's doing, he's a vassal of the US neocons. HIs doesn't care about the deaths in Ukraine. The DPP may be just like Zelensky. It's not stupidity it's evil.
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You must be saying the same thing to the Ukrainians. Be strong, we're 100% behind you. Fight to the last Ukrainian. (but don't join NATO). We're giving F16 to Ukraine, but Taiwan has to pay $8B for their F-16s. hmmm.
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No. When the war ends Zelensky will get one of the billion dollar mega-yatchs previously owned by a Russian oligarch. Tsai will get a $500M mega-Yatch.
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THe conflict is between the US and China not China and Taiwan. Both China and the US know this. The US provoked Russia into attacking by ordering Ukraine to shell the russian speaking part of the Donbas killing 14,000 before Russia invaded. Taiwan is the sacrificial lamb for the proxy war with China. Taiwan should not let what happened in Ukraine happen to Taiwan. The US neocons won't blink an eye if 100,000 Taiwanese died.
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A US backed military dictationship. That's the Nationalist govt of China/Taiwan 1949. How many US back military dictatorship ended well in the last 100 years? Zero, Zero
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Are you talking about the global empire of the US, with 800 military bases outside of the US? The US that stages military coups, proxy wars, or outright invastion 40 times since 1980? By the way killed 1 million Iraqi civillians because we lied about Saddam having WMD's? Was God there to save 1 million Iraqi civilians or even worse 2 million Vietnamese civilians during the Vietnam war?
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China will never invade Taiwan. If there is military action, China knows its the US it has to fight. Taiwan will be blockaded and chips from Taiwan will not reach the US or Europe. THis will be a 2 trillion dollar hit to the US economy. This is why the US has not ordered its vassal the DPP party to declare independence and trigger military action.
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There will be no invasion. The Chinese plan is to have an economy and military so powerful the US will not challenge it. It will take longer than 2030. Maybe 2050. The danger of a war is when the US feels that if it waits too long China is bound to win. That's why all the talk is a war in 2025, 2027. THe US is afaid that the longer it waits the stronger China gets.
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This show is all western propaganda. Read the Thucydidies trap. Why an war happens when an emerging power challenges an established power.
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All of these dates are from US pundits. If China has a date it's 2049. The best victory is one where you win without fighting. That's China's strategy. To grow faster than the US for 2 more decades, have a military that's 3X more powerful. Then win without a war.
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You're listining to the propaganda. The US provoked RUssia to attack by ordering Ukraine to shell and kill 14,000 civilians in the Donbas before Russia invaded in feb 2022. The US knew Ukraine can not win, but the deaths of now 400,000 Ukrainians is a sacrifice the US is willing to make so the sanctions can destroy Russia. Don't let Taiwan be Ukraine 2.0. 400,000 Ukrainian deaths is still small compared to 1 million Iraqi civilians who died because of the US invasion.
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Will China and the US eventually go to war, or at least a proxy war like Ukraine? The Thucycidies trap book says most likely. When a riseing power challenges an established power 75% of the time that leads to war. Xi says the PLA should be ready not for Taiwan but for the US. But Xi is much more ambitious. The book Thucycidies trap looked at 16 time in history when a rising power challenged an established power. 4 of the 16 there was no war. What was the common element in these 4. It was that both sides agreed who would win the war if it was fought. Xi's goal is for China to be so powerful the US will not start a war or provoke one as in Ukraine. Gordon Chang a very anti-China hawk in the US recently said, there are 3 things 1) The US carrier has been neutralized by China's missile force. 2) China has weapons we don't have and can't defend against (hypersonics). and 3) the US military complex is corrupt which he blamed onBiden. This statement gives partially explains 2027. 2027 is when the US expects to have deployed it's own hypersonic missiles. 2027 is when both TSMC fabs are working in Ariz. And 2027 is when the 9 new US bases in the Phillipines should be ready. And 2027 is when the military bases Japan is building in the islands between Okinawa and Taiwan are ready.
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It's not about Xi or Putin or Biden or Trump. Read the book the thucycidies trap. A rising power challenges an established power. This happened 16 times in the last 500 years in 12 of the 16 it ended in war.
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The blockade was in a Rand Corp report in 2021. So far the US hasn't figured out how to fight the blockade. And if Taiwanese chips don't reach USA, the economic impact is 2 trillion dollars. This is why the US hasn't asked Pres Tsai to declare independence.
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