Comments by "Yerris" (@yerri5567) on "What The Taiwanese Think of The Russia-Ukraine War and China | Street Interview" video.
-
15
-
7
-
@ChnesRep中華民國OfTaiwan "not all authoritarians are equal"
Sure. Just like not all democratic countries are equal, or even "good" for that matter. What does that tell us? That system of government does not determine how "good" or "bad" a country is.
"East Asian countries economy thrive not because of some great leaders but mostly due to large foreign investment seeking cost-saving outsourcing opportunities"
That is not the "reason", but that surely did accelerate the process.
A good number of Asian countries thrived BEFORE the existence of Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs). In fact, a good number of Asian countries thrived before the West even came to Asia.
"Don't even think about acquiring the most advanced semiconductor fabs and the industry to threaten the world"
You talking to me? An individual? Thats not even Chinese?
Im laying down the facts. PRC invading Taiwan is not a "loss". Not diplomatically. Not economically. Any country that sanctions China will be sanctioned back by not allowing any country/company to sell its products containing semiconductors to them. Its a matter of repercussion. A reciprocal effect. Not a "threat".
"Even if Americans don't blast TSMC first, we will do it by ourselves provided allies standing still and not helping. 6000 missles can do a lot of harm to the invaders and prevent strategic assets be acquired to help enemies"
Lol youre suggesting the Taiwan government (ROC) will destroy its own economy over loss of governance? Even if PRC doesnt "gain" anything, Taiwan has everything to lose. You think ROC is so dumb and irrational to launch a kamikaze attack that will also destroy themselves?
"The pain of Taiwan lost to China would be sharply felt by the world to have no new cars, phones, aircrafts, for a long time. Good luck to your GDP legitimacy"
Going by that strategy. They gain Taiwan, and the whole world loses. So theyre still at a "win" RELATIVE to the world.
Also, cars and aircrafts dont need the most cutting edge semiconductors. China is already self sufficient in that area for cars and aircrafts. Its the phones and computers than require the most cutting edge semiconductors that they need to import.
Moreover, China develops rapidly, just because they cant create the best now, doesnt meant they cant in a few years. Today, China already has the capacity to create 5nm chips, theyre just not able to produce it commercially at economies of scale for them to be profitable yet. But the gap is closing. And fast too.
So IF PRC does invade ROC, Itll most likely be at a time when PRC is already self-sufficient in producing cutting edge semiconductors.
If you can think of it, they can too. Dont be so naive and think you know something they dont.
Those at the top are smarter than you and I, combined.
6
-
4
-
@marconi "so many bugs in your latest reply, so hard to repel them all"
Bugs? This isnt a program lol. Theres no flaws in my words. Only something that you dont fully comprehend so you think theres something wrong. Ill respond to all your rebuttals.
"1. Authoritarian model is a you-obey-me model that by itself is unjustifiable"
Name me a country that does not have a "you-obey-me" model under the law. Everyone must obey the law of ANY country regardless of political system, democratic or not.
Or were you suggesting everyone must obey Xi when you say "you-obey-ME"? China isnt under dictatorship, its authoritarian. Even Xi needs permission from his government before he can implement what he wants.
"2. Name a few countries thrived post WWII without FDI to make your point"
"Name me a few country that needed FDI to thrive in Q3 2021 to make your point". See how limiting time frames are? After globalisation, every single country in this world received some form of FDIs. How you meant to differentiate whether one country thrives or not with FDI when ALL countries in this world have FDIs?
The only way to find out whether FDI is a factor in determining whether FDI makes a country thrive or not is go back to a time when FDI does not exists (pre-globalisation era) and see whether ANY country economically thrived during this time period.
So Ive already made my point very clear, and its proven by history. China and India for example did NOT need FDI to thrive centuries before the West arrived in Asia. History has proven my point already.
"3. China spends more in social stability than military every year"
As does every other country. Your point?
"War drains funding to expose instability risk accumulated for the last 70 years"
So why is the USs economy still great after all these years of war?
"Sanctions? China could not even bring Australia and Canada to its kneel, let alone when more than 130 countries boycott it altogether to stall China's exports to trigger more instability"
Chinas dispute with AU and CA were in RETALIATION to AU and CA. Its a "did-for-dat" strategy. 1 for 1. "Ai for an ai" (words were censored...). Sanctions are not meant to "cripple" economies. Didnt you know?
And where did you get this "130" figure from? Youre literally making numbers up at this point. Theres only around 30 countries sanctioning Russia right now. What makes you think EVEN MORE will sanction or "boycott" Chinese goods?
Moreover, China is the #1 exporting country to almost all the countries in the world. And China also controls 85% of the worlds Rare Earth Metals. Good luck to the technological development of that country when China sanctions them back on the tech front.
And the PRC vs ROC conflict is a DOMESTIC issue. Its called the Chinese Civil War. Civil war meaning war within the SAME COUNTRY. No country is that dumb to launch a kamikaze attack on something thats got nothing to do with them in the first place - a domestic issue of another country.
"4...for starting a war that is going to cripple itself more badly. Keep our own fabs as hostages and sacrifice is a tactic to raise the urgency to foreign countries and is not rare to see in past wars. Leave nothing to help the enemies"
Why do you keep thinking that PRC invading Taiwan will cripple itself? Its an obviously win. Even if TSMC is completely destroyed, thats only $50 billion lost every year, compared to Taiwans whole GDP of $750 billion. Thats a net positive of $700 billion added each year!
And by kamakazeing, it only destroys local Taiwanese peoples livelihoods, not mainland Chinas.
"5. China can make some chips but not competitive in cost that's the fact. 5nm in which process can be done in China? You might be very naive to relate lab samples to mass production end products"
Youre basically rewording what I said earlier here.
Capable of creating a lab sample means capable of creating it. As said earlier, theyre just not able to produce it commercially at economies of scale (aka mass production) for them to be profitable yet. But make no mistake, theyre still capable to do so, they have the tech.
"Keep your blind faith and history would prove you wrong"
Actually, no. History is proving China to actually be catching up technologically. Even surpassing and taking the #1 spot in some fields (like 5G and AI for example).
3
-
3
-
2
-
2
-
1
-
@ChnesRep中華民國OfTaiwan "so many bugs in your latest reply, so hard to repel them all"
Bugs? This isnt a program lol. Theres no flaws in my words. Only something that you dont fully comprehend so you think theres something wrong. Ill respond to all your rebuttals.
"1. Authoritarian model is a you-obey-me model that by itself is unjustifiable"
Name me a country that does not have a "you-obey-me" model under the law. Everyone must obey the law of ANY country regardless of political system, democratic or not.
Or were you suggesting everyone must obey Xi when you say "you-obey-ME"? China isnt under dictatorship, its authoritarian. Even Xi needs permission from his government before he can implement what he wants.
"2. Name a few countries thrived post WWII without FDI to make your point"
"Name me a few country that needed FDI to thrive in Q3 2021 to make your point". See how limiting time frames are? After globalisation, every single country in this world received some form of FDIs. How you meant to differentiate whether one country thrives or not with FDI when ALL countries in this world have FDIs?
The only way to find out whether FDI is a factor in determining whether FDI makes a country thrive or not is go back to a time when FDI does not exists (pre-globalisation era) and see whether ANY country economically thrived during this time period.
So Ive already made my point very clear, and its proven by history. China and India for example did NOT need FDI to thrive centuries before the West arrived in Asia. History has proven my point already.
"3. China spends more in social stability than military every year"
As does every other country. Your point?
"War drains funding to expose instability risk accumulated for the last 70 years"
So why is the USs economy still great after all these years of war?
"Sanctions? China could not even bring Australia and Canada to its kneel, let alone when more than 130 countries boycott it altogether to stall China's exports to trigger more instability"
Chinas dispute with AU and CA were in RETALIATION to AU and CA. Its a tit for tat strategy. 1 for 1. Eye for an eye. Sanctions are not meant to "cripple" economies. Didnt you know?
And where did you get this "130" figure from? Youre literally making numbers up at this point. Theres only around 30 countries sanctioning Russia right now. What makes you think EVEN MORE will sanction or "boycott" Chinese goods?
Moreover, China is the #1 exporting country to almost all the countries in the world. And China also controls 85% of the worlds Rare Earth Metals. Good luck to the technological development of that country when China sanctions them back on the tech front.
And the PRC vs ROC conflict is a DOMESTIC issue. Its called the Chinese Civil War. Civil war meaning war within the SAME COUNTRY. No country is that dumb to launch a kamikaze attack on something thats got nothing to do with them in the first place - a domestic issue of another country.
"4...for starting a war that is going to cripple itself more badly. Keep our own fabs as hostages and sacrifice is a tactic to raise the urgency to foreign countries and is not rare to see in past wars. Leave nothing to help the enemies"
Why do you keep thinking that PRC invading Taiwan will cripple itself? Its an obviously win. Even if TSMC is completely destroyed, thats only $50 billion lost every year, compared to Taiwans whole GDP of $750 billion. Thats a net positive of $700 billion added each year!
And by kamakazeing, it only destroys local Taiwanese peoples livelihoods, not mainland Chinas.
"5. China can make some chips but not competitive in cost that's the fact. 5nm in which process can be done in China? You might be very naive to relate lab samples to mass production end products"
Youre basically rewording what I said earlier here.
Capable of creating a lab sample means capable of creating it. As said earlier, theyre just not able to produce it commercially at economies of scale (aka mass production) for them to be profitable yet. But make no mistake, theyre still capable to do so, they have the tech.
"Keep your blind faith and history would prove you wrong"
Actually, no. History is proving China to actually be catching up technologically. Even surpassing and taking the #1 spot in some fields (like 5G and AI for example).
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1