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Walter Burton
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Walter Burton" (@WalterBurton) on "" video.
His predictions about shut-in Russian wells completely bombed. That's the most recent example of him getting out in front of his skis, I think.
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@MrScrofulous : Sadly, the whole point is to NOT beat the Russians quickly and decisively. Rather, we're meant to essentially use Ukraine as a meat grinder to shred the Russian army and Putin's regime into abject disability. It's going to take a little while. We have to pace ourselves. This is NATO's literal stated goal. It's all very sad for Ukraine, and for all of us. But we will rebuild it.
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@ryankuypers1819 : That's a silly reply.
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@johnpombrio : Agreed. On both points. #1 being that everybody has been predicting this for ages. It's no different than climate change. But Peter has his unique way of capitalizing on these eventualities. Which I guess is worth ... something?
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@isldstormhawaii4084 : I'm not talking about obvious eventualities, I'm talking about the hubris of putting time-frames on them, and being disingenuous about the facts you use to support the time-frames. Fact is, the Russians not only have a shitload of storage capacity, but China is hooking up and sucking way more than---. At any rate, I mean no ill will. I'm glad to see so many citizens interested. I'm glad for Peter's role as a popularizer. But credibility is a BIG DEAL nowadays. More than it's ever been. Peter's on our side. Our side has to have standards.
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The only reason Russia is slowing deliveries is to deny Europe (esp. GER) the ability to fill its reserves. Has zero to do with Russian storage capacity.
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@HR_8035_YEA : It's not happening at all. The Russians are throttling supply so that the Europeans can't refill their reserve capacity. Zero to do with Russian storage capacity or having to cap wells.
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@HR_8035_YEA : Dude, don't take that fucking tone with me. I have no doubt that Russia will collapse, and sooner rather than later. Tell me to read some history 🙄. Russia is fucked. Zeihan frequently gets out over his skis with sensationalist nonsense. Both of these are true.
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@HR_8035_YEA : 🙄🙄🙄
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@robertmichon5448 : Yeah, but he's also a bit of a straight-up fabulist, e.g. spouting wildly inaccurate assessments of the latest COVID-19 variants. You have to take his near-term info (never mind predictions) with the tiniest grain of salt.
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@robertmichon5448 : Ayup. Integrity is a rare bird.
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