Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "How Removing Putin Would Cause Absolute Chaos in Russia" video.

  1. Yep highly agree with Jason here, and as an extra I think Biden winning the 2024 USA elections will cause a massive political tsunami in the Kremlin and among Russian elites , basically Russian elites will surmise that the Russian economy cannot support the war for 4 more years and want to salvage it and with Putin in the way, they will get rid of him as soon as possible. and blame everything on him. In this scenario I think Putin gets removed from power in 2025 , probably something gets announced that he dies of natural causes. His successor blames everything on him, after a few months of negotiations. Russia withdraws from Ukraine and Crimea. in exchange for 1. lifting of all sanctions. 2. Unfreezing of all Russian assets in western banks. 3. no ICC arrest warrants for Russian leaders. 4. Normalized relations with the west. 5. formal peace treaty between Russia and Ukraine recognizing borders. in the aftermath of the war, the new post Putin Moscow gov will be unstable. as despite assistance from both the west and China, to keep the Russian economy stable. there is a massive tide of political and social instability due to the defeat in the war, also the fact that foreign investors are staying away from Russia due to instability. Despite Moscow's attempts at economic stability, Russia undergoes hyperinflation and there is high prices of essential as well as very high unemployment which leads to social unrest. also returning Russian veterans of the war leads to high crime rates . Russian PMCs become the real Russian military and security forces as teh Russian and police forces are seen to be as a joke due to high levels of uncontrolled corruption and desertions, and the Russian PMCs provide a source, a center of security stability as they are very organized, very effective at what they do backed up by Russian oligarch money. With a weak Moscow gov with weak military and police, Russian oligarchs run the show and its back to the 90s again. with the oligarchs manipulating Russian politicos as puppets as the Russian PMCs are practically the Russian military and police and the Russian economy is very much controlled by the oligarchs. While the Russian oligarchs are united in not allowing another Putin come to power again and prevent too much political and economic instability and create an environment of all of them making money, they are pretty much at odds with each other in terms of politics and how to run Russia which results in the country for a period of time experiencing the 90s all over again but a 90s on steroids. as political indecision grips the nation. I can see a number of Russian regions break away from Russia to form their own country like Chechnya and possibly even Dagestan but I think 90 percent of Russia will remain intact but Russian provinces will have more autonomy from the weak Moscow gov. and the Russian corporations backed by their PMCs will be a power unto themselves. I dont think they will engage in all out wars, but will be engaging in political economic battles and some turf wars but I think the Oligarchs will probably be cooperating with each other more or less. Meanwhile Ukraine gets trillions of USD of funding for reconstruction which booms the economy , shortly after the war is over Ukraine gets accepted into the EU and NATO. Pro Russia govs are kicked out in Belarus and Georgia, Moldova , Belarus , Georgia and Armenia begin serious application to NATO and the EU. within a decade Moldova and Georgia get accepted into NATO and EU. Armenia gets accepted into the EU. All of these are done without comment from Russia.
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