Comments by "Grenade Tennis" (@hughjass1044) on "The LIMITS of the RUSSIAN military PRODUCTION" video.
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It's because of my "always expect and plan for the worst possible scenario" military training and background that I'm forced to always be the one to temper expectations and throw cold water on everyone's hopes but it needs to be said as many times as necessary until people get the message.....
Regardless of everything you've seen and heard, regardless of everything that's happened and regardless of what anyone tells you, this war is STILL very much Russia's to lose.
People need to understand that Putin or anyone who might replace him, simply does not think like someone in the west would think. He does NOT care about casualties. He does NOT care about equipment. He does NOT care about costs and most of all, he certainly does NOT care about public perception at home, largely because he's got everyone propagandized six ways from Sunday or in jail or driven from the country.
Another thing - his capacity to produce/acquire "equipment" and "armaments" is without limits. Yes, it's all garbage and yes, it'll not last two days in combat but if nothing else, it'll use up some sort of western supplied weapon to destroy it and possibly a few Ukrainian soldiers as well and since he can keep this cycle going indefinitely, the west WILL tire of supporting Ukraine at which point, Putin wins.
Ukraine needs to defeat Putin on the battlefield, fully, completely and permanently while Russia... or at least Putin, only needs to survive to be able to declare victory. If we in the west want to see an end to this war; an end that is final and not just one which will last a few years until Putin re-arms and re-equips, we're going to have to get a hell of a lot more serious about doing so than we have been.
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@dougcoombes8497 Everything you said about Russian capacity; especially in the last six months is true. Unfortunately, none of it matters.
You're making the same mistake everyone else is making. You're thinking like a westerner and rationalizing things in the same way. You CAN'T do that! You have to see this thing as Putin sees it.
Putin will send wave after wave after wave of fresh bodies into the furnace with nothing more than uniforms if he has to, and he'll keep doing it as long as he can get away with it. He also has something like 6000 old tank hulls scattered about... and as I said; rusted out, 60 year old pieces of junk, but they can still make the Ukrainians use up munitions and that's all they need to do.
Yes, I'm being overly pessimistic and it's deliberate but it's to counter the endless drone of voices proclaiming Russia dead in the water when they're nothing of the kind.
Putin has backed himself into a corner. He's long since passed the point of no return. He CAN'T quit now, even if he wanted to. He also can't prevail against a NATO backed Ukraine so his only hope is to keep up this endless grind, grind, grind until he wears down western resolve and that's exactly what he's going to do.
I pray daily that I'm wrong but a lifetime in uniform has taught me that as long as your enemy draws breath, he can, and WILL, draw your blood. Some enemies you can force to sue for peace. Others are in way too deep and have to be destroyed. Putin's Russia is the latter.
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