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Grenade Tennis
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Grenade Tennis" (@hughjass1044) on "" video.
@JMM33RanMA Weather reports are in fact, a very good comparative. Perhaps you meant it that way, perhaps you didn't but it is an apt comparison. People often joke about weather reports, how often they change and how supposedly inaccurate they are but the funny little secret about them that most people don't realize.... They're supposed to change. Weather reports are simply predictions based on the latest available data. When the data changes, the forecast changes. You'll notice that forecasts a week to 10 days out are rarely accurate but those 12 to 24 hours out are usually very accurate. Analysts like PZ are very much the same. They analyze the most current available information and data and give us their best guess as to what will happen based upon that. And just like weather reports, when his data changes, so does his analysis. That's the way it's supposed to work.
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To add more alcohol to the mix, Peter is not the first nor by no means the only one saying these things. He's just the most visible. I can remember many of these issues being discussed in the 80s and 90s by random, nameless intellectuals at obscure symposiums and lectures. (I'm one of those pathetic souls who follows that sort of thing and have even handed over good money on occasion.)
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@JMM33RanMA Whereabouts in NE do you live and where were you in the Middle East? Spent some time in both areas myself.
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@Skunk106 P.S. Another name which popped into my head was David Suzuki who gave a presentation at the same college on climate change from a geostrategic and global security standpoint. Not one of my favorite people for other reasons but much of what he said then ('90 or '91) has come to pass and links nearly perfectly with what Peter has been saying for years.
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@JMM33RanMA Whoa! Ya got me beat! We're close on the Providence thing. My grandma lived just south of there and I used to house sit for her while she wintered in Mexico. We also spent quite a few summers in the Bar Harbor area of Maine. Ya got me beat overseas too. A year split between Tel Aviv and the Sinai (I was military), 6 months in Bahrain and my cousin (who is WAY wealthier than me) has a 2nd home in Abu Dhabi. And no, I didn't retain much of the language. I'm pretty good in French because I grew up in Canada and my German is poor but passable. (I was stationed there for a while). Germans laugh at me when I speak but I can get what I need.
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@Skunk106 Well, the most prominent name would be Peter's former boss, George Friedman of the firm Stratfor. A lot of the other names of specific individuals escape me at the moment due exactly to their relative obscurity but I've heard much of the same stuff from such places as the US State department, the UK Foreign office and even sources like CSIS here in Canada. I was an army officer here in Canada for a while back at that time and there was a professor at our staff college here who gave a lecture rebutting the commonly held assumption at the time that the world's population was going to explode and we were all going to run out of food etc etc and said very similar stuff to what Peter is saying today and has been saying for some time.
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