Youtube comments of Grenade Tennis (@hughjass1044).
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I happened to hear a retired American general speaking on the radio quite some time ago. I don't know who it was or what the context was or even remember who the host was but he said something truly profound which I've never forgotten.
The question came up about America's wars and whether they were winning or losing. The general said that before anyone identifies who won or lost, one must first understand "the game", who the players are and on whose behalf the game is being conducted before one can pronounce upon who "won."
Most nations throughout history conducted military operations to repel foreign invaders, nullify some threat or conquer foreign lands to acquire territory for empire or to capture some kind of resource wealth. Whatever the motive and however one might perceive the righteousness of such an endeavor, there was at least some tangible reason for the operations and they were for some identifiable "good" to the nation, however tenuous.
Today, America conducts its military operations solely to enrich its merchant class. The wars of the late 20th and early 21st centuries cost the nation historic amounts of blood and treasure and added not an ounce to its national security, reputation, prestige or standing. But the defense industry and their cousins in the rest of the corporate world made out like bandits!
And since America is now fully owned and operated by the merchant class; which knows no boundaries, recognizes no nationality or sovereignty and holds no loyalty to any entity but itself, from their point of view, these wars have all been smashing successes.
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Poland's position is entirely understandable and defensible. They have given more and spoken out more and done more than nearly all of their neighbors but there are limits. They also need to think about themselves, their own people, their own farmers, etc. I'm sure there is no ill intent towards Ukraine here but simply a need to think about their own affairs.
So too is Ukraine's position if you remember the fact that they are still under attack and in such a situation, unlikely to always act in the most diplomatic of ways. They are no doubt utterly exasperated at trying to get the hardware they need out of the west and not just an endless string of empty platitudes. I'm sure it's this frustration that is coming to the surface rather than any ill feelings towards Poland.
This situation is as unfortunate as it is understandable and most critically, foreseeable and entirely avoidable. It should have NEVER been allowed to deteriorate to this level. What we saw in Feb of last year was failed deterrence. What we are seeing today is failed leadership, a complete lack of resolve and will as well as a lack of any sort of plan or strategy for the future.
Putin has seen that he has no chance of defeating Ukraine as long as the western allies are united behind it so his strategy has switched to one of destabilizing, dividing and weakening that alliance. Western leaders say all the time that they are united and strong but that's a lie and this situation is proof of that. Putin too knows it's a lie and with enough time, he firmly believes he can demonstrate as much.
When alliances fray and crack, this is what it looks and sounds like. No one is more delighted to see this kind of thing than Putin. The champagne is surely flowing in the Kremlin tonight,
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Most people will know that Justin Trudeau's father Pierre was also a Canadian prime minister from '68 to '79 and again from '80 to '84. He wrote a book about himself because.... of course he would. What narcissist doesn't think it's all about them and that the rest of the world wants to know all about them.
In it, he outlines how among many other things, he wanted to fundamentally and permanently alter the nature of Canadian political and social life as well as the very fabric of Canadian society. He would do this by way of such things as a massive and all-encompassing social welfare state, the nationalization of certain industries, mass immigration and multiculturalism and a slow but steady movement away from the US led western sphere and toward a much closer and friendlier relationship with countries such as Communist China, the USSR and their various allied satraps in Africa and Latin America.
He states in that book that three of the people he most admired were Lenin, Mao and Castro. It seems the apple does not fall far from the tree. His spawn has repeated much of what his father stated and on occasion, gone even further. When Castro died, he gave a heart wrenching, teary-eyed speech in which he referred to his "deep admiration and friendship" for Castro and has on multiple occasions, expressed his admiration for the basic dictatorial nature of the Chinese government.
Both Justin and his father are socialists in the truest nature of the word. Not "democratic socialists" or "social democrats" but real, true Marxist socialists. But to advertise oneself and campaign as such is not a winning formula so each was pragmatic enough cloak themselves in the garb of moderates but each man as PM reached out to the actual socialist party we have here in Canada; the NDP, brought them into government and the relationship between the two parties was never closer and more cordial and cooperative than it was during the premiership of the two Trudeaus.
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I wouldn't put too much stock in that 13,000 figure for Russian tanks. I began my military career (in the armored corps, ironically enough) in 1979 and we were bandying about figures of 12-15,000 then and that was when it was the old USSR and their military was vastly larger and much more capable than it is today.
As a side note.... even then, those of us who saw them in action were well aware of their deficiencies and knew their bark was much worse than their bite.
Anyway, the consensus among most intelligence sources that I know of today puts the number of Russian tanks at about 50-60% of that 13,000 figure and the serviceable ones at about 50-60% of that. But even at that, they are still in a huge bind because they lack the resources, personnel and logistical support to put them into front line service.
As to the drawdown and depletion of stocks of Javelins etc, this also does not worry me. Those weapons are in fact, doing exactly the job they were always intended to do which is destroy enemy equipment. They're just being utilized by Ukrainians to do so instead of us.
Drawing down the stocks like that actually allows us to replace them with newer, fresher, more advanced and updated models and besides, let's face it... it's not as though we're really going to need them in the interim. The very job they were intended for is being done right now... just not by the people we thought would be doing it.
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The downside to these grand coalitions.
Seriously though, when you group this many countries all together; all with differing interests, issues, concerns and priorities, vastly different cultures, peoples, histories, traditions and the like, into some grand project like the EU, you're bound to get problems like this. Today it's Hungary and Poland. Tomorrow? Who knows?
Is it reasonable to expect them all to see eye to eye on everything? Is it reasonable to ask that if a much bigger and more powerful country like France or Germany were the one out of step with the rest, whether there would be such tumult?
Finally, one must evaluate the benefits that the troublemaker brings versus the negatives and what the consequences might be for expelling or ostracizing them. Very often, you find yourself in a partnership or alliance with another nation who for some reason, is a constant pain in the butt. You often find yourself asking - "is this really worth it?" Prime example - Turkey and NATO.
So the questions become 1) what CAN I do about this and 2) what are the possible ramifications if I do? Even if you could expel Turkey from NATO or Hungary from the EU... which you can't, so why are we even talking about it?... what other nation do you suppose would be right there like a dog at dinnertime waiting to scoop them up before the ink had even dried?
Sometimes there is no reason to stay aligned with a country other than to keep them out of the orbit of another much worse one. But that's very often a damned good reason, despite how much of a nuisance they might be in the moment.
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@gogs8166 For the most part, that's true but I don't think you even need to go that deep to understand what's going on. It's not merely a question of ideology though that's certainly part of it but it's really more a matter of cultural resentment.
Modern liberals... as opposed to classical liberals who are more in line with what we call conservatives today.... view themselves as an anointed class of people who are above everyone else and thus entitled to hold all the positions and levers of political, social and cultural power.
As a result, they feel they deserve to be, and indeed expect to be, revered and respected without reservation or question. When they don't get the reverence they feel is their birthright, they get VERY annoyed and begin to lash out.
When someone who is not of their class and clique gets a little too noisy or "uppity"... forgetting their place in the pecking order, you might say... the daggers and vitriol come out. "How DARE they??!!"
This is why you don't hear that much difference in how they talk about doctrinaire or moderate conservatives. To them, there really isn't that much difference. They are not "like" them so that, in and of itself, is sufficient justification for the vitriolic, class based hatred that is the essence of their existence.
They put on this grand show of concern about all things race and gender but the truth is they don't give a damn about any of it. All of it is just a set of tools with which to beat the "inferiors."
They are in a particularly acute stage of apoplexy at the moment because the PM of Italy is a woman and the PM of the UK is a "brown" person.... two cohorts they feel they have the exclusive right of ownership over.
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"Ultimately, the war is going to have to end with some kind of settlement."
Translation - "We're starting to lose our nerve and waver in our support, which we promised we wouldn't and also, we really don't want to have to follow through on all those expensive promises we made to build up the military. So we're trying to concoct a storyline and come up with some excuses and talking points to cover all this up to save face and we'd like for the Ukrainians to help us by sacrificing their country so we don't have to admit that we're weak. And besides, we really, REALLY want to go back to buying that sweet, SWEET, oh so cheap and plentiful, Russian gas!"
"And oh, by the way.. about that fear that Putin will try it all again in a few years, don't give it a second thought. We likely won't be in government then so it'll be someone else's problem."
I knew this was going to happen. And so did Putin.
BTW - All wars do NOT have to end with "some kind" of settlement. Only the ones involving weaklings and cowards do. WW2 ended in total victory for the allies and unconditional surrender for the enemy. No settlement needed.
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It's because of my "always expect and plan for the worst possible scenario" military training and background that I'm forced to always be the one to temper expectations and throw cold water on everyone's hopes but it needs to be said as many times as necessary until people get the message.....
Regardless of everything you've seen and heard, regardless of everything that's happened and regardless of what anyone tells you, this war is STILL very much Russia's to lose.
People need to understand that Putin or anyone who might replace him, simply does not think like someone in the west would think. He does NOT care about casualties. He does NOT care about equipment. He does NOT care about costs and most of all, he certainly does NOT care about public perception at home, largely because he's got everyone propagandized six ways from Sunday or in jail or driven from the country.
Another thing - his capacity to produce/acquire "equipment" and "armaments" is without limits. Yes, it's all garbage and yes, it'll not last two days in combat but if nothing else, it'll use up some sort of western supplied weapon to destroy it and possibly a few Ukrainian soldiers as well and since he can keep this cycle going indefinitely, the west WILL tire of supporting Ukraine at which point, Putin wins.
Ukraine needs to defeat Putin on the battlefield, fully, completely and permanently while Russia... or at least Putin, only needs to survive to be able to declare victory. If we in the west want to see an end to this war; an end that is final and not just one which will last a few years until Putin re-arms and re-equips, we're going to have to get a hell of a lot more serious about doing so than we have been.
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Let's see - USA falling apart, Brexit in Britain, Europe; well, being Europe, Russia, being Russia, a belligerent Iran, ISIS, Afghanistan, an ascendant China, turmoil in Latin America, North Korea, Saudi Arabia in trouble, opioid crisis, worldwide pandemic and pending economic collapse...... and COMPLETE lack of even a suggestion of leadership, anywhere......
Anyone know how to get to Gilligan's Island?
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Immigration is a good thing provided it's merit based, serves a need, is orderly, structured and limited to what the host nation can accommodate with the resources at hand. When it's none of those things, it's not a good thing.
Like any good thing, there are reasonable and sensible limits. I cannot understand why some people can't comprehend this fact. A doctor gives you medicine in a prescribed amount. He doesn't tell you to go nuts with it.
When your immigration policy amounts to an open-door, come-one-come-all, free-for-all shit show, and the native citizens see the society they worked so hard to build getting flushed down the toilet and told they're racist bigots when they complain about it, how can you possibly expect to NOT end up with people like Wilders?
It's not rocket science. If you don't listen to the people, they'll replace you with someone who will.
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@scratchy996 Anywhere, really. Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania, Slovakia, The Baltics, Georgia, Serbia, even some day maybe, Ukraine. Every one of them represents a huge opportunity for foreign investment and growth.
It'll take drive and determination on their parts as well; it's a two-way street, after all, but it could pay huge dividends for all sides. It would also have the side benefit of prying them loose from Russian influence. Win - win all around.
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All of this is aspirational and while it's good to aspire, set goals and make plans, turning them into reality is quite something else.
What is not accounted for here is just how China intends to pay for all of this. China gained most of its wealth by turning itself into the world's factory. Exploiting western shortsightedness and greed worked wonders for China but that only works for a while and there's every indication that the trend is starting to turn.
Add in the facts that China is no longer the ultra cheap place to do business it once was, that they still haven't mastered the art of manufacturing high value products, that their game plan is now laid bare for all to see, that their economy has plateaued, their demography is in crisis and their debt situation is a looming disaster and you have what is certain to be a very bad period on the horizon for China.
With the way things are headed for them, they'll do very well to maintain what they have, never mind dreaming about world domination.
And that's not even accounting for the fact that the US, UK, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Australia, Vietnam, India, Indonesia and others are not simply going to sit around with their thumbs up their butts just watching all this happen. They're going to respond and do so in a massive way.
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I'm a Canadian and I can confirm every single word of this person's testimony. I'll also echo what she said about it being merely three examples.... because there are thousands!
The truly sad thing is that a very significant portion of the Canadian population enthusiastically supports this and wants to see more of it... a LOT more, which is why it's probably too late for us. But it's not for you in America.
Yes, we do have a constitution here in Canada but it's very vague in its wording; deliberately so, and chock full of all kinds loopholes, opt-outs and off ramps to give the government(s) cover to do all sorts of things "in the common good." Ours was written very recently, in 1982 in fact, and largely at the whim of Pierre Trudeau, the current PM's father and a man who admired and respected such luminaries of freedom and democracy as Lenin, Mao and Castro, and who enjoys near God like reverence in our country so you know 1) how his son comes by his tendencies and 2) why it's not likely to change and in fact, is likely to get a lot worse. Don't let that happen to you!
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I don't find it particularly surprising that some people, or even most people, in Bulgaria and elsewhere in Eastern Europe have a kind of fondness for Russia. After all, they lived under the umbrella, influence and shadow of the Russian / Soviet Empire for centuries. You don't erase that in 30 years; especially when you're as poor as Bulgaria is and they perceive that Russia has done at least something for them in recent memory.
And it's not as though Western Europe is exactly doing very much to win their affections. If you want to shove Russia out of the picture, then start demonstrating what you have to offer that's better. If the EU (and the USA, for that matter) were smart they'd be investing heavily in places like Bulgaria and Hungary and bettering their economic prospects so they wouldn't continue to be tempted by, and look favorably upon, despots like Putin who only ever meant to exploit them.
Instead of buying everything from China and feeding cash to the PRC war machine, why not build factories in Bulgaria? Shorter and much more stable supply lines, you'd be keeping the wealth in Europe and you'd be dealing with allies instead of enemies - win/win.
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The caption on the thumbnail graphic - "It's not over yet!"
As someone who was posted in Syria and lived there for a year, I can say with feeling - "You're goddam right, it isn't!!"
Syria; like Iraq and Libya and even Yugoslavia before it, is an absolute dog's breakfast of ethnicities, religions, sect, tribes and so on and loyalties are at best, fleeting. The only good thing about thugs like Assad, Saddam, Qadaffi and Tito was that they kept a firm lid on things.
The people were all united in their hatred of the regime and as such, had no time to hate each other. Remove the strongman and that element goes away..... And you've seen the result!
Further evidence of the total lack of credibility of the western mainstream media is the way they are all celebrating the events of the past few weeks as some sort of liberation and the beginning of some new age of peace and harmony and the like; much the same as we heard from them during the "Arab Spring." Which only proves how little they know and understand about the region, its people and how things work there.
Anyone who lived there like I did could've told them they were delusional and I was proven right. Thank God we now have alternate sources of media like Shirvan who tell people the truth instead of blowing sunshine up people's asses!
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Me too, but if you're really going to thank God for anything, thank him that the armed forces of Russia has proven itself so incompetent for if it actually was even a fraction as capable as people feared it was, they'd roll across Europe in a few weeks.
I have confidence in the Finns, the Swedes, the Poles and God love them, the Baltics, who couldn't do much but by God, they'd try damned hard. If we had to rely on the Germans, the French and the British to stop them, God help us all!
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Norway finances its operations by taxes and banks its oil wealth. As a result, the nation and it's people retain a healthy buffer against periods of low economic activity so they can maintain their standard of living. They also retain the wealth; and the attendant power, that comes with it.
High earners pay high taxes for the privilege of living and operating their businesses in a safe, secure environment, with a healthy, well educated, highly motivated workforce. Strangely though, you don't constantly hear stories about people and businesses "fleeing" this high tax jurisdiction. Wonder why?
Alaska on the other hand (along with Alberta Canada, where I live), relies on resource revenue for everything and finances most of their operations with it. Whenever there's a price drop, we/they go into crisis mode because the money dries up.
Most of the wealth that our/their vast resources produce ends up in the pockets of oil company executives, stock portfolios and transient workers who pull pole and leave whenever times turn tough.
We/they are in nearly constant crisis mode when times are tight and blow through money like drunken sailors when times are good. What used to be great infrastructure and public services are declining steadily in quality but hey;.... LOW TAXES, BABY!!
The people who have nothing invested in this place and couldn't care less if we live or die are making out like gangbusters while the rest of us watch it all fade into dust.
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The sanctions are effective, the sanctions are not effective..... I guess, depends entirely on how you choose to define effective.
Are they likely to do serious damage to the Russian economy? Most likely, yes though it may not be as harsh or as quick as some would like. Are they likely to alter Russia's behavior in any meaningful way? I doubt it.
Remember, Iran and North Korea have been under absolutely debilitating sanctions for decades and each has only gotten more dangerous and more aggressive. And like both of those countries, Russians have been propagandized and brainwashed into believing that their governments are the heroes in all this and that they have to pull together to overcome it.
People seem to forget that deprivations, shortages and a general reduction in living standards are nothing new for Russians. They've seen all of this many times before and in each instance, the government has played victim and turned up the nationalism meter.
I've always said that sanctions are what you do when you're too gutless to do anything else. The poorer you are, the more they hurt you. The wealthier you are the less they hurt you so in a place like Russia where the government cares not a jot for anything nor anybody but itself, and where they've got the country believing that the other side are the bad guys, sanctions are likely to be of pretty limited effect.
You want Russia to stop what it's doing? You're going to have to go in and make them stop.
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Did I hear correctly? They're going to send...... 14? Well, that's a little like the busload of lawyers going off a cliff joke.... both are a good start.
I hope that between the German Leopards, the Polish Leopards, the British Challengers, the French light tanks and whatever else has been pledged, it'll be sufficient.
I don't want to see Ukraine just "hold the line" against Russia, I want them to crush them, humiliate them. To do that, you don't just need stronger forces in the field, you need overwhelming forces.
I appreciate what you did here, Germany. You're a bit late to the party but I think we've all been, to some degree. So now that we're in this, let's do what needs to be done and END THIS THING! There's been far too much preventable, unnecessary death and destruction in Ukraine already.
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It isn't a question of grievances, it's a question of what is and is not, an appropriate and acceptable response. No doubt, Russia probably has some legitimate issues with Ukraine; especially since the latter has been a corrupt basket case heavily and hopelessly indebted to the former for nearly all of its existence.
It follows then that Russia would take steps to remedy that situation. But there are many, MANY options open to it that fall well short of what it is currently doing which is far, FAR out of proportion to whatever sins Ukraine may be guilty of.
If I have a neighbor who refuses to properly mind his dog and that dog is continually shitting in my yard, digging up my garden and snarling at my kids, I have every right to be aggrieved about that; especially if I've made multiple attempts to try to remedy the situation peacefully. I have the right to seek redress of those grievances through proper legal channels.
What I do NOT have the right to do is go kick in my neighbor's door, kill him and his family, burn down his house, poison his well and steal his possessions as well as further threaten anyone who may come to his aid which is the equivalent of what Russia is doing.
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In his own words, Vladimir Putin once described the time in his life when he was most acutely afraid for his own safety. When the East German system was in full collapse and he contacted his bosses in Russia to ask what to do, he was told, "you're on your own."
At that moment, the entire security, military and intelligence apparatus that he had built his career in and which stood as protection for not only the leaders of the communist bloc but also apparatchiks like him and which had represented such a fearsome edifice to the wider world, was gone.
He was one man, no better or more powerful than the masses in the street, and he had nothing but his wits to rely on to stay alive and get home.
One other man whose system collapsed around him wasn't so lucky. Moammar Ghadafi was reduced in the end, to a squealing, sobbing wretch; begging for mercy and pleading (in vain) for his life as the mob dragged him off to his fate.
It is to be hoped that Putin has the same experience. We should do everything in our power to see that he does.
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"We should have seen this coming....." The theme song of the entire last century.
There's not a single major event in the last 100+ years that we haven't had ample, ample warning of. Hitler was very clear from very early on about what his intentions were. In fact, he wrote a whole book and told us about it in great detail. Putin as well, is and was, a prolific writer and his wishes, thoughts and ambitions were and are, well known.
Well over 50 years of Syrian history should have made abundantly clear what would happen there. Likewise with the debacles in Iraq and Afghanistan. The situations in Cuba, Vietnam and Iran were primarily of our own making and all could have easily been avoided.
What kind of industrial grade idiots deliberately and intentionally guts and hollows out their own manufacturing sector and with it, their middle class and to make it worse, sends it all to our primary strategic enemy?!
Financial analysts and experts by the thousands saw the train wrecks of both the 1929 and 2008 stock market crashes coming a mile away. I wasn't alive in 1929 but I well remember reading and hearing the alarm bells a year and a half before 2008.
All these warnings... loud, clear and unmistakable... and yet all of these events still happened. It's not that we should have seen them coming, we DID see them coming. It's just that our leaders chose to look away.
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The more you learn about Polish history generally, and Polish military history specifically, the easier it is to understand why they are the way they are now.
The Poles have been run over, f*cked over, sh*t on, abused, betrayed, back-stabbed, abandoned, sold out and lied to by both enemies and so-called friends alike for longer than anyone can remember. They've also been occupied, trodden over, massacred and enslaved by various outside powers repeatedly.
If you are inclined to believe that Poland today tends a little toward militancy and is a bit disagreeable with others, now you know why. They've learned through hard lessons of the past just how far they can trust outsiders and so-called "allies" They have no intention of letting any of this sh*t happen to them again and the only ones they trust to protect them is themselves and that's exactly what they're doing; the rest of Europe be damned!
The more I learn about Poland, the more I admire and respect it. Long live Poland!
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"But NATO is now much stronger....." Yeah; we'll see.
There's been a lot of talk over the last few months but so far, precious little action. A wily old KGB dog like Putin knows many a trick to get around all that.
The Russians well know the weaknesses of the west and are extraordinarily skilled at playing the long game. The General is quite correct when he says the goals are to divide and weaken the EU and NATO but that's a long term project which is only in its opening stages. A few setbacks early on aren't going to throw a guy like Putin off his game.
Putin is patient and the west is vulnerable. Neither the peoples of Europe nor the US want confrontation with Russia and the armies of Europe are not up to one even if the people were behind one.. Also, Europe is heavily dependent on Russian energy and there is nothing close at hand which can even come close to replacing it.
As well, groups as divergent as the North Koreans, the Vietnamese, the Taliban, ISIS and more have shown that the way you beat the west is to drag things out and slowly grind down their will and their resolve. The west's victories need to be quick or they won't happen.
It may seem like Putin is on the back foot but he still holds an awful lot of cards. He's got the oil and gas which Europe needs, the grain and fertilizer that the third world needs, plenty of weaponry, lots and lots of cash and a population that's largely behind him.
He's not beaten yet or even been substantially weakened regardless of what the talking heads say. The opening acts haven't gone as he'd like, it's true, but that doesn't mean the next ones won't. All he'd need to do is call a halt and ask for negotiations and diplomacy and Europe; particularly France and Germany would fold like a used newspaper.
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China needs to understand that any tactic it deploys against Taiwan can in turn, be deployed against it. China is boxed in by its geography and it doesn't exactly have a lot of friends in its neighborhood.
Japan, South Korea, Vietnam, Indonesia, The Philippines, India, Malaysia and Singapore, not to mention Australia and New Zealand, are all either direct US allies or adversaries of China or both. Any kind of blockading maneuver on Taiwan could be quickly and easily matched by any one of these nations and if that were to happen, China would be cut off from its trade both inbound and outbound and would therefore be something like 50 shades of f*cked overnight!
Not to mention all of the sanctions that would instantly be applied to it. China needs to understand that it needs the world far more than the world needs it. There are lots of other places the world can go for cheap labor and dollar store junk.
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Great dads are a key to success. Andrew has one and so did I.
Nomad Dad talked about humility and character. I'm going to expand on that a bit by adding a couple of things my dad taught me; and which took me a while to really understand.
"You never know who's watching you and you never know when and from where, opportunity may present itself."
Out in the real world; the world of business and the world of life, you're going to cross paths with a LOT of people. Some you'll actually meet, most you won't but they could very well be observing you. If you stand out as either a good or a bad person, chances are, they'll remember you and if they happen to be someone in a position to benefit you, who knows where it could go.
This is how my dad went from being a struggling auto mechanic to having a great lifelong career in a business he never would have pursued - because someone he didn't even know was observing him at work and liked the way he operated.
It's also how I landed a really great retirement gig in a business I never would've considered. People you meet see you and are impressed with how you work and how you carry yourself could... right out of the blue... drop a dynamite opportunity in your lap.
In both my dad's case and mine, if we'd been acting like jerks or displaying unfavorable personal characteristics.... getting angry, stressed out, losing our cool, not caring about our work... opportunities that we never even knew were waiting for us would've kept right on going and we'd never have even known.
Have a great holidays, everyone!
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He ain't going anywhere. Just the latest big mouthed, over opinionated "celebrity" with an over inflated ego who thinks anyone gives a flying f*ck what he says or does.
These clowns are always threatening to leave the US.... as if anyone is supposed to care... but they never do. Yet if any business person, entrepreneur or investor says the same thing, they're 50 different kinds of traitor, bigot, quitter, greedy, blah, blah, blah.
Go ahead and renounce, Billy Jerk.... or drop dead..... All the same to me.
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This confirms two things I've been saying for a long time now -
First, even liberals don't believe the shit they're peddling! They ruin a place with layer upon layer of taxes and bureaucracy then after they realize the mess they've made, they decamp to a red state where - surprise, surprise! - they have lower taxes and more freedoms and then, because they've learned nothing, they proceed to start the process all over again!
This process will not stop nor reverse. There are NO "formerly" blue states. Every red state will eventually turn first purple then blue. Maybe not today; maybe not tomorrow, but eventually and once it's blue, that's it. It'll be blue forever; it'll never change back.
Andrew is right; moving to a red state may buy you some time but that's all it'll do. They'll get to you eventually. I already know people who are moving OUT of Texas!
The second thing it confirms is that the slightly wealthy - the ones Andrew calls the "7 & 8 figure" crowd are the ones who'll be in the most danger because A) you have just enough to be worthwhile coming after but B) not enough to effectively fight back.
The uber, uber wealthy (billionaires, corporations, etc) are not the real targets no matter what the politicians try to tell you. Those people have the resources to fight back and/or structure their affairs to avoid as much damage as possible.
Remember, governments and politicians are cowards at their core. They pick on those who they deem least likely/able to fight back.
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@gemanscombe4985 Rockin'!
1) Barron has multiple times been dragged into needless and tasteless political attacks against his father (who is fair game) and his mother (who is not). "Attack" is a metaphor and attacks don't need to be either physical in nature nor direct to cause harm.
Who attacked him? Mostly the Twitterverse but there were some off color remarks from news people and some stupid cooking show person. Regardless; not the end of the world but still pretty f*cking low! He's a child, a minor; he's off limits!
2) Kathy Griffin - DON'T even go there!! Everyone who saw that picture; EVERYONE, knew exactly what it meant and EXACTLY what it was a call to do.
And don't give me that crap about being cancelled. Any cancellation she suffered was minimal and temporary and in most cases, those cancelling her had to be shamed and prodded into doing so. CNN initially stood 4 square behind her and only pulled her very reluctantly when the pressure to do so became too much.
And today, she's right back where she always was; a leftist cultural hero!
And don't cry; Gosar will no doubt be censured by the house as he should be.
3) Some CNN anchor; I believe it was Jake Tapper but I can't swear to that, retweeted someone calling for the Covington kids to be "disappeared;" again, a term with zero ambiguity attached, saying something like - "THIS!!! A hundred times THIS and TODAY!!" or something to that effect.
It was deleted later but of course, but ONLY when the pressure to do so built high enough. To my knowledge, there wasn't a single word of apology offered for either the retweet nor the hell that those KIDS were put through after it was known full well that the story about them was bullshit.
I won't even bother going into the hundreds of violent rioters, looters and criminals who've been bailed out, excused or even outright released without charges and then held up as heroes by the left. You get the picture.
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@lessharratt8719 There's nothing wrong with a mixed fleet in principle. We used to have them in earlier times.
But they got away from that for standardization reasons and to reduce costs. At one time, everyone had mixed fleets but in the pursuit of savings, we started demanding that each new purchase had to check more and more boxes.
This really didn't deliver much savings since if their plane had to do more stuff, it was going to be more expensive to design and build. At the same time, consolidation and amalgamation has continued until there's now only a handful of makers.
Currently, the F-35 comes closest to being that one best "all-in-one." I'm not one who worships at the alter of that plane; it does have its problems and I'm somewhat ambivalent about it but the thing is (was), we were already signed up partners in the project and had already gone 2/3 of the way down the road to buying it at member pricing when Shithead deliberately drove the bus into the ditch to win votes and now we're back to square 1.
This is exactly like what the Shawinigan Sidewinder did with the helicopters 20 years earlier. Yes, I do think that contract was a bit pricey but we would've gotten a 1st class item and, like the F-35, we had a signed contract which we had to pay $500M to break, not to mention wait a further 25 years for a replacement with an inferior product at an ultimately higher cost!
This, along with all the other procurement fiascos I've watched over my years in the military means I have zero confidence we'll do anything close to the right thing..... unless by some miracle it also happens to be the politically expedient thing.
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OK, first off, I like Walsh and to a large degree, sympathize with him and his position here but I also feel he's being just a touch too hyperbolic and Chicken Little himself. He's a good guy but he does have a reputation sometimes of being a bit of a drama queen.
Let me state this for the record in terms as clear and plain as I can - the Republican Party is definitely NOT dying nor is it dead. It's having itself a bit of an episode just now, no doubt about that but, like every other party, it's had those before and survived and it'll do so again. You may view that as a good thing or a bad thing depending upon your outlook on things but I view it as a certainty.
There has hardly been a major political party in existence which hasn't gone through turbulent times and also been prematurely written off as "dead" and in nearly every case, it has transformed itself and come storming back. That's precisely what parties do. I'm old enough and have been around long enough to have seen this pattern repeat itself over and over and frankly, so is Walsh. He should know better.
Here's another fearless prediction - Donald Trump will not win the next US election because Donald Trump will not even be the Republican nominee. If you're paying close attention to what's actually happening right now... as opposed to what the blowhard commentariat are blathering about... you'll know that Donald Trump is a spent force whose influence is already starting to wain.
He is a 3 time loser and the movers and shakers in the GOP... those people Walsh laughingly referred to as irrelevant.... are simply not going to tolerate a loser. You can already see the donors and organizers backing away from him. As for the voters, Trump certainly has a hold on his share of them... for now.... but at the end of the day, they'll do like every other Republican supporter will do... vote for whoever the nominee is.
As much as they'll try to deny it, they'll come around and fall in line eventually. It may not happen in the next cycle; in fact, I'm betting it won't, but it will happen. There are enough lunatics in the Democratic Party that they'll see that they have no choice in the matter.
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@@KnowHowTrainer The "almighty Russian propaganda" is definitely a thing but the larger point is that these countries have been in the Russian sphere of influence, the Russian "orbit" if you will, for generations and as such, that's what they understand and gravitate towards. It isn't necessarily a case that they like Russian influence and everything that comes with it, it's just that that's what they've lived with and what they're used to.
I'm in Canada and the cultural, economic, political and military colossus that is the USA is butted right up against us and as such, that is what has shaped and continues to shape, our country. We don't always like it but it's the prevailing reality. We can't escape it.
I've done some travelling and working in Eastern Europe and I've never met a single person under 50 who wants the communist system back but what they do want is a decent living and a future for their kids. Right now, they're not getting it.
Under the communist system, the state controlled everything so people just sat around and waited to be told what to do. That's gone. Replacing it is the prevailing western attitude of "ok, you're free now; go be rich." This they cannot do because they don't know how. No one ever taught them. This is why they need assistance before they slip back into the clutches of the despots.
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All good stuff, Dad. The thing is though, that apart from the term limits thing, most of the legacy brand countries had all those things in one form or another at some point.
But power corrupts, doesn't it? You hand a man the power to make laws, who's he going to make laws to benefit? Who's he going to put the restrictions on? Certainly not on himself. It always starts out fine but then, people being people, the rot slowly starts to seep in.
This is how empires fall. It almost never is the result of some outside force though that may be what ultimately finishes them off. No, it's always a case of a slow, steady rot from within, starting at the core and eventually working its way through the whole body until it can no longer function. That's what we're witnessing now.
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For something in the order of 40 odd years now, the west has been indulging itself in a sort of fantasy that other nations; many of which were and are, sworn enemies, can somehow be brought around to the light if only we'd engage with them more. This is a manifestation of the peace-at-all-costs progressive left's attitude that there are no bad people and no bad countries and if some of them act that way, it's only because we don't love them enough and we're not inclusive enough and we're generally too mean to them. In other words, like nearly everything wrong in the world, it's somehow OUR fault.
This has led the modern western liberal political class; perhaps the most gullible, naive, stupid, willfully blind and cowardly in history, to throw the lessons of millennia past onto the trash heap and, led along by a merchant class that can't believe its luck, dive head first into the swamp of total engagement, unlimited exchanges, free trade and friendship.... all while the Russias and Chinas of the world bust a gut laughing at us behind our backs while they count the cash we've been gifting them.
This has resulted in the de-industrialization of the west, the death of our middle class - an anomaly in history, unique to western democracies - and of course, the nuclearization and massive expansion of aggressive Chinese military power. What China and those like it have today, they have because WE gave them the means to acquire it.
The invasion of Ukraine was a frozen flounder across the face to many of these idiots but it seems that it's still a lesson they realize they have to learn but really don't want to. Certain European leaders... cough.. Scholz.. cough... say all the right things but in the next breath, betray their desire to forget the whole thing ever happened and go right back to the way things were... before. Likewise, most of the rest of Europe seems to want their cake and eat it too. They know full well the threat that China represents and they know they need to do something about it.... but they really don't want to preferring instead to just wait and hope that if they ignore the problem a little while longer, the whole mess will just evaporate somehow.
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Instead of a set number which few can agree on anyway, how about we just settle on..... enough?
Considering that they're matching and patching together anything which will run and shoot, and that Soviet hardware is scattered all over the earth and that even if they run out of their own, they can beg, borrow or buy as many as they need, I wouldn't count on their "supply" running out any time soon.
Yes, they are all total junk but the Russians don't care and it doesn't matter anyway. Even if the thing only manages to get off a round or two, every single unit they put in the field has to be contended with and to destroy them, a Ukrainian soldier has to expend a weapon of some sort which diminishes their supply and forces the west to send ever more.
It's pretty clear the Russians have realized that any sort of battlefield victory is pretty close to impossible at this point so they've switched gears to a game of attrition. If they can keep putting this stuff out there, it makes the Ukrainians burn through their supplies and the west burn through their patience. And they have ample evidence that if they play the game long enough, that strategy will work.
Because as the old saying goes - "The Americans don't lose wars, they lose interest."
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I've been saying for months now that Ukraine, and by extension NATO and the west, haven't won anything..... yet.... so it's precisely the wrong time to get cocky and think you've got the Russian Bear and the wily old KGB fox beaten.
He may look beaten; he may be down, and he is, but he's not out by any means. He has always believed and continues to believe, that this so-called "western unity" is a mirage that, given enough time, will evaporate once the full bite of winter and the full brunt of astronomical energy prices takes hold.
These actions by Putin are deplorable but also brilliant tactically. All he needs to do is get his referendum results, annex the occupied territories then quickly call a ceasefire and call for diplomacy and negotiations, He knows that no western government has the spine to refuse such overtures and if he backs it up by cutting off the oil and gas totally, just at the very moment Europe needs them the most, he can get the concessions he wants.... or at least enough of them that he can declare a sort of victory and go about rearming and reorganizing for the next round in 3-5 years.
If the west wants to avoid this then it had better cut the play acting of feeding Ukraine just enough crumbs to not lose and get busy itself and take on the Russians directly. There is going to be no peace in this region until Russia is defeated and Putin and his gang are eliminated.
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I dunno. I kinda think that the Democrats are on the right track here actually, and just need to double down a little harder on exactly what they've been doing.
Personally, I enjoy it when people who fashion themselves my cultural and intellectual betters talk down to me in a patronizing, condescending and dismissive manner, call me names when I question them, tell me I don't understand stuff, make baseless assumptions about what my best interests are, without bothering to consult me, of course, trot out a parade of celebrities who wouldn't be caught dead in the company of some chump like me then turn around and blame me when they fail.
But hey, I could be wrong. Just because this shit turns me on doesn't mean others find it so appealing.
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OK, I'm confused. I'm not one of these people who are glued to some news site 24 hours a day but I do try to stay on top of things, or at least the important stuff, as much as possible.
So would somebody please explain to me exactly when, and exactly why, "colored people" became racist? I thought that's what we were supposed to say. What's the difference between "colored people" and "people of color?"
You can't say "negro", you can't say "African American" and now you can't say "colored people." Gawd-a-Mighty, I can't keep up! And how did it get to be such a short leap from acceptable to racist? Once upon a time, there used to be enough space in between for "not recommended" or "awkward" or "not preferred" or "a little off base" and the like but not anymore.
I mean, I don't know the guy in question here but is it possible he just misspoke or made an honest mistake or slip of the tongue or like me apparently, just didn't get the frickin' memo? Geez, Louise; not much wonder there's such pushback on all this stuff!
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CNN talking head - "Trump is bad, Trump is bad, Trump is bad.... yadda, yadda, blah, blah, blah."
CNN anchor - "After the break, our next guest will lay out exactly why he thinks Donald Trump is really, really bad and also, why Brandon.... OOPS, I mean Biden.... sorry about that..., is actually doing a really great job. This is great stuff, you won't want to miss it, stay tuned."
James Earl Jones' voice - "THIS..... is CNN."
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@youtubewatcher2 Well, ex-CUUUUUUUSE me, there Mr. f*cking world expert on everything! I had no idea God Almighty his own self would be reading my post. I'll surely try to do better in the future. Am I allowed to go on living on your own precious, personal planet while I do so?
I happen to be of central European extraction, know-it-all, and have spent, and continue to spend, a considerable amount of time in Europe so just perhaps, I'm privy to a few alternative information streams Your Holiness is not. Perhaps I know a thing or two you don't.
And just so I know for nest time and have it straight - the way to "unity of purpose" is to eschew and dismiss any sort of daft notion like calmly pointing out an error and offering an alternate viewpoint in a respectful civilized manner and instead just load up on the hyperbolic attack, judgment and hate with all manner of preconceived notions, assumptions and labels.
Have I got it right?
Second thought, never mind. There isn't going to be a next time. I have neither the time, energy or patience to waste on pseudo-intellectual jerks like you.
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All of this was known for months, Cillizza, including by you and all the rest of the democrat ass kissers at CNN! Many, many individuals were saying all of this repeatedly, trying to be heard, but you and yours were fawning all over him and running cover for him and trying to make a God out of him.
How come your esteemed colleague Fredo... oops, I mean Chris Cuomo, isn't on here telling us all of this instead of performing indecencies on his own brother on live television, which you and the rest of the shills at CNN considered to be acceptable journalism? Maybe he's still at home with his mouth wash trying to get rid of the taste of his brother's ass!
Anyway, you and the rest of the 3rd rate method actors who pose as journalists at CNN can all climb into the same bus together and drive it off a cliff! Your halfhearted, belated attempt to try to appear credible by sorta, kinda talking about all of this now when it's blown into the open and you can't ignore it anymore, is fooling no one!
You and the rest of your fluffer friends are just as guilty as the governor is because YOU knew about all of this months ago and YOU suppressed it because you were too busy hyperventilating about Trump so you can take your phony concern and shove it!!
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What is being manufactured in Taiwan can be, and increasingly is being, manufactured elsewhere. The US, France, Sweden, Canada, South Korea and others all have, or soon will have, every capability that the Taiwanese have. It's simply a matter of putting the capacity in place to do so and that process is well underway.
Furthermore, these chips are not an indigenous Taiwanese product. They are manufactured there because they were off-shored there for the same reasons most other things were off-shored.
The design, engineering, intellectual property and indeed the materials used in their manufacture all come from outside. The Chinese might be able to take over and seize the physical infrastructure but they can't do anything with it because they don't have the capability to do what the Taiwanese can do. If they did, they'd be doing it already. They have no extortionary power in this regard and they know it. @Frankenspank67
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I'm not sure I buy very much of this. In the first place, Hong Kong had its British lease expire and it legally belonged to China so it was always going to go back to them regardless. Besides, the population in Hong Kong was not descended from the Kuomintang and thus had no history of conflict with the mainland. And of course, the biggest difference of all; Hong Kong had no army.
China may think it has some legal claim on Taiwan but having such a claim and having other parties respecting that claim are not the same thing. China goes to some court and gets a ruling that Taiwan belongs to them and then what? The Taiwanese are just going to shrug their shoulders, say "well, that's that" and go back to work? Yeah; go ahead and make a wager on that happening.
And finally, there are fewer and fewer economists and analysts every day who are predicting China is going to become this mighty economic colossus in the years ahead. With the structural problems China has and the headwinds it's going to be facing in the years ahead; demographic collapse, awash in debt, cost of labor, and lack of allies being just a few, there are many who wonder how it's even going to survive more than another decade or so, much less dominate anything.
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Societal breakdown, institutional collapse, inability to keep a roof overhead or food on the table, crushing debt levels, corruption, greed, polarization, political paralysis, being shoved aside in favor of illegals, told you're every kind of evil imaginable.....
Why are people unhappy? Gosh, beats me.
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I hate to say it but I don't believe that Germany has the slightest intention of following through on any of its commitments to revitalize its armed forces. I don't care what they've promised. Politicians throw promises around all the time and not only do they not keep them, in many cases, they never have any intention of keeping them.
For one, the political class as well as a very sizable chunk of the citizenry simply does not believe in maintaining a strong, competent military. There is a not insignificant proportion of German policy makers who want to completely and permanently eliminate any form of military capability and Scholz, being both a socialist and a committed "peace at any cost" pacifist, is at the head of that class.
Secondly, actions speak louder than words. This money was promised over a year ago and practically nothing has been done. Also, you can't convince me that any country which was so late, so hesitant and which had to be arm-twisted so badly to send its equipment (not even its troops) places any real priority on a strong military.
Finally, there is just so, so, SO much to do and it would take an efficiently run country decades and tens of trillions to catch up but with a country that moves at the speed of frozen molasses like Germany, they'll lose interest long before anything meaningful happens.
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"Russia is getting ready for a long war...."
This is exactly what I've been warning about. Way too many people have been doing victory dances thinking this thing is over or near over. IT IS NOT!!
Russia is essentially one very big North Korea at this point and North Korea has been under sanctions since Christ wore short pants. Has it slowed them down? Altered their behavior? NO! Putin doesn't care about sanctions, he doesn't care about his economy, he doesn't care about lives; anyone's lives, he doesn't care about reputation, he doesn't even care about the future of Russia. All he cares about is himself and his own power and he won't hesitate to do whatever it takes to hold onto both.
He will co-opt every citizen, every industry and every scrap of raw material he needs to to prosecute this war. He's running out of advanced munitions, true enough, but he's got limitless amounts of old stuff and limitless capacity to produce as much as he needs. There's nothing high tech about a howitzer and the shells that go into them don't need microchips.
Even if Ukraine drives every last Russian out of their country, Putin still has the capacity to reduce it to rubble from his own territory and he certainly has the will to do so too. He hasn't got many friends or allies but he has enough to keep himself going indefinitely and he can still sell all the oil and gas he can produce. At reduced prices, yes, but he doesn't care about that.
This war will NOT end until NATO steps in and ends it.
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Kim Jong Fat Bastard will explode one evening during a steak and lobster marathon, the blast also sadly claiming his wife, daughter, 2 porters and a wine steward. Kid Sis will go skipping merrily into his old office chanting - "I got the big job, I got the big job, nah nah na-nah nah."
A general will grab her by the collar and seat of her pants and say - "not so fast, girly" as he deposits her ass in the nearest kitchen where she's told to stay until she's called, and make herself busy while she's doing so.
He and the remaining generals will then set out to decide who the next "dude" will be which results in the unfortunate death of all of them by anti-aircraft gun fire. Kid Sis finally finishes the dishes and comes out to discover that Korea is one once again but by the South taking over. She exclaims - "AWW CRAP!!" but soon discovers K-Pop, releases a record, gets rich, wastes it all on the ponies and has to get a job as a short order cook.
And so concludes the Korean crisis. The End.
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If I were a border state governor, I wouldn't even be trying to stop these crossings. I'd have busses lined up one behind the other, each with a city destination sign on it; NYC, LA, Chicago, Boston, and I'd be waving the migrants in and directing them right onto the busses and sending them out as soon as they were full, then pulling the next one in line up.
You want unlimited, unregulated immigration, you want open borders, you want to be a sanctuary city? Fine by me! Here's what that looks like. Enjoy!
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"Well, I am King."
"Oh, King eh, very nice. And 'ow'd you get that, eh? By exploiting the workers!"
"Ohh, 'ow d'you do?"
"How do you do, good lady? I am Charles, King of the Britons."
"King of the 'oo?"
"The Britons?"
"'Oo are the Britons?
"We all are. We are all Britons and I am your King."
"Didn't know we 'ad a King."
"Order eh, "oo's ee think 'ee is?
"I am your King."
"Well I didn't vote for you!"
"You don't vote for Kings."
"Well 'ow'd you become King then?"
"The Lady of the Lake!"
"Listen; strange women lying in ponds distributin' swords is no basis for a system of government. If I went 'round sayin' I was an Emperor because some moistened bink 'ad lobbed a scimitar at me, they'd puh me away!"
"Shut up, will you; shut up!!"
"'elp, 'elp; uh'm bein' repressed!"
"Bloody peasant!!"
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This is the absolute minimum that should be done and as the general said, everything we've done to this point has been the bare minimum and slow. We've got to stop this maniac from using fear as a weapon and turn the fear back on him.
His armed forces are a sham, we can all see that plainly and we should act accordingly. I'd have NATO troops on the ground in western Ukraine and Moldova, I'd have a carrier task force in the Black Sea and another in the Baltic and I'd tell Pootie right to his pudgy little face that if he wants to do something about it, he can go right the f*ck ahead. If he wants to rock and roll, we're down for that.
Furthermore, if he wants to play the blockade game, I'd show him two can play that game. Blockade the Black Sea, blockade the Baltic and if wants to get so much as a canoe past it, he can be prepared to shoot his way through. And if he does try, so much as a pistol shot will result in Sevastopol looking like Pearl Harbor 1941 x10!
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@dougcoombes8497 Everything you said about Russian capacity; especially in the last six months is true. Unfortunately, none of it matters.
You're making the same mistake everyone else is making. You're thinking like a westerner and rationalizing things in the same way. You CAN'T do that! You have to see this thing as Putin sees it.
Putin will send wave after wave after wave of fresh bodies into the furnace with nothing more than uniforms if he has to, and he'll keep doing it as long as he can get away with it. He also has something like 6000 old tank hulls scattered about... and as I said; rusted out, 60 year old pieces of junk, but they can still make the Ukrainians use up munitions and that's all they need to do.
Yes, I'm being overly pessimistic and it's deliberate but it's to counter the endless drone of voices proclaiming Russia dead in the water when they're nothing of the kind.
Putin has backed himself into a corner. He's long since passed the point of no return. He CAN'T quit now, even if he wanted to. He also can't prevail against a NATO backed Ukraine so his only hope is to keep up this endless grind, grind, grind until he wears down western resolve and that's exactly what he's going to do.
I pray daily that I'm wrong but a lifetime in uniform has taught me that as long as your enemy draws breath, he can, and WILL, draw your blood. Some enemies you can force to sue for peace. Others are in way too deep and have to be destroyed. Putin's Russia is the latter.
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I really believe that if I hear the phrase "escalate the war" one more f*cking time, I'm either going to scream or hunt down the person who said it and wring their goddam neck!
This is nothing but the worst form of wanton, craven cowardice. You know who has not an ounce of fear about escalation? Putin, that's who, and we are the reason why. We have shown him exactly zilch to be afraid of.
There have been what, 200, 300 thousand casualties so far and something close to a trillion dollars in damages to say nothing of the millions of lives turned upside down and the enormous cost and strain put on already stretched western governments and all because we in the west utterly failed to so much as even lift a finger to prevent this war.
Putin was marshalling troops and equipment and conducting training at least 6 months prior to this thing, right out in the open for all to see, not the least bit concerned about who saw it all or knew about it and what did we do? Sat on our fat asses with dumb looks on our faces!
If we had matched him troop for troop and tank for tank, right on Ukrainian soil, started stationing naval task forces in the Black and Baltic Seas and repositioning strategic air assets to Europe and Turkey as well as ballistic missile submarines to the Med and the Arctic and let it be known we'd have exactly zero hesitation to use any or all of them and if Putin didn't like it, he could damned well do something about it.... if we had done even half of that PLUS the sanctions... this war does NOT happen!
But we did NONE of that and to make matters worse, we've dumped the whole responsibility onto Ukraine's lap while giving them penny packets of equipment... just barely enough for them to not lose and even then, only after months of begging and pleading.
For the love of almighty God; start pouring firepower and if necessary, personnel into that theater of war and END this f*cking thing NOW!!
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Re-surging? In other words, rising steadily and rapidly in popularity?
Well, let's un-pack this a bit and see if we can figure it out, shall we? If the "far" right, or the "far" left or the "far" anything is re-surging in Germany, or anywhere else for that matter, it's a pretty fair assumption that the "center"; however the hell that's defined these days, is failing or else they wouldn't be losing popularity.
If you take a quick glance around the western world, and even parts of the eastern world as well, you'll see that this is a trend that's growing and if there's a truly unfortunate thing about it, it's that the "center" consistently and reliably reacts to this in exactly the wrong way by doubling and tripling down on the very things that are pissing people off and causing them to lose support.
There's an old saying - "Take care of the reasonable and you'll never have to worry about the radical." Define reasonable and radical in each instance, to your own liking but the general premise holds.
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Russia "could" do lots of things.... up to and including pulling their collective heads out of their *sses and seriously getting their act together on the battlefield. I realize the likelihood of that isn't high but nevertheless, anyone with 2 cents worth of military experience and/or knowledge understands that you do NOT anticipate and plan for best case scenarios, you do it for worst case ones.
You DON'T sit around talking about all the things (you think) they can't do and making up excuses for why you don't need to act, you talk about.... and plan for... all the things they could do... and you fully expect them to do them!
So while we're talking about things which "could" happen, here's something NATO "could" do... get THEIR collective heads out of THEIR *sses, quit f*cking around and penny-packeting the Ukrainians with dribs and drabs of this and that, now and again, start putting some SERIOUS firepower on the ground... numbering in the 1000s of units, not the dozens... in Ukraine along with 200-300K troops to man it, give Russia a PUBLIC ultimatum to leave Ukraine... ALL of it.... in 48 hours or face a full scale, broad spectrum attack by NATO.
Yeah, I know.... about the same likelihood as Russia getting their act together.
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Here in Canada, there's kind of a running joke that comes up now and again, depending on the situation, that one day, the US will just absorb us and make us the 51st state. To this, many people reply that it wouldn't be worth their while to do so since if they did, they'd be responsible for us and have to look after us and since they already control everything of importance anyway.... the narrative goes.... and we're no threat to them, why bother, as the other old joke goes, "buying the cow when you already get the milk for free?"
As you say, Russia already controls everything of even marginal importance in Belarus and their leader is a reliable and loyal puppet. I have a friend who is Belorussian and he's explained to me several times that Putin isn't really bothered at all by former Soviet states, including Ukraine, being sovereign countries since he doesn't view that distinction the same way we would. He looks at things in terms of him being in control of anything in his neighborhood which he covets. In short, you answer to him and do what you're told, when you're told, and in other matters, do what you want.
If you refuse, "nice little country you've got there. Be a shame if anything happened to it." If Ukraine had decided to follow the same path as Belarus... or more accurately, Lukashenko's Belarus, all would have been fine but they did not and likewise, if the Belorussian people had been successful in toppling Lukashenko, Ukraine's fate would likely also have been Belarus's
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You know Russians, I know Russians, lots of people know Russians and many of the ones I know tell a somewhat different story about Navalny than what the western media likes to tell and that is that in reality, he was not what he was portrayed as. The western media is prone to manufacturing a certain image of people like Navalny based on the kind of person they'd like him to be and then pushing that on their audiences.
In the first place, he was as much of a nationalist as Putin is. In fact, most Russians are. That's why Putin is as popular as he is. Very few people in the west understand this fact about Russia or they willfully blind themselves to it. Navalny believed, as Putin does, in the expansion of Russia's borders and the re-establishment of the Russian empire. He supported the annexation of Crimea (again, the vast majority of Russians do) and the oppositions that he may have held to the Ukraine war had more to do with the way it was being prosecuted than anything else. In short, he was not the saint that many in the west think he was.
Secondly, and more importantly, he was admired in many circles in Russia for his opposition to corruption but not taken seriously as a leader. Many of the people I know have said that if he had ever stood for election against Putin in a free and fair contest, Putin would still win in a rout and that's because for whatever faults he may possess, Putin is seen as a strongman that can control the oligarchs and command respect abroad while Navalny was seen as a principled but terribly naïve figure who'd be unlikely to gain power and would probably be eaten alive by the thugs and gangsters who really rule Russia if he did.
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Jeez Andrew, this is the first time I have to disagree with you.
You rate Turkish Airlines highly and maybe today they are but my experience with them in the 90s was terrible! The airport was like a mob scene; I don't think they've even heard of lineups there. Everyone was just in one big mob pushing their way to the front of the line and the plane itself was dingy, smelly and smoky.
On the other hand, my experiences with Thai Airways were all wonderful. Clean planes, efficient service, smooth rides, on time... no complaints at all.
Honorable mention for SE Asia regional - Vietnam Airways though I only used them twice. Phnom Penh to HCM City - 35 minutes and they served 2 snacks and a lunch. And you could have eaten all of it off the floor of the plane, it was that clean! Great, smooth flight, friendly staff who all spoke fluent English (and French), loved it!
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A slight clarification on India vis-à-vis Russia.....
They are not and never have been, fiercely pro-Russia. They are not fiercely pro-anybody. What they are is fiercely neutral, nationalistic, proud and independent. They are not interested in being in anybody's "camp" and the harder somebody tries to push them into one, the more they resist and turn towards the other. They are the modern embodiment of Lord Palmerston's famous quote - "We have no permanent allies and we have no permanent enemies. What we have are permanent interests."
As Modi has said - "I have 1/7th of the world's population. I'll make my own camp."
They have always kept their doors open to most anyone but they refuse to be anyone's "cheap date." They're not about to just fall in line with either the US, Russia, Europe, China nor anyone else just because someone thinks they should but they do take great pleasure in being obstinate and refusing to sing off of someone else's song sheet.
One thing they've never forgotten, or forgiven, was the US siding with Pakistan in the early days. The US may have felt they had their reasons for doing so, but from the Indian perspective, that is something that won't be soon nor easily overcome and it is that as much as anything that pushed them closer to the Soviets.
There are however, some serious cracks forming in the India/Russia relationship as India doesn't particularly enjoy being associated with a pariah state. They have also begun the slow but steady transition of their military away from Russian sourced gear towards that from western sources. The big winner in all that? The USA? Uh-uhh. France! See what I mean about India not wanting to dance to Uncle Sam's tune?
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It's Jug-Meat. Spelled Jagmeet but pronounced Jug-Meat.
And the NDP are what we call socialists around these parts..... because, you know.... the Bouffant Boy Wonder and his "Liberal" apparatchiks aren't quite socialist enough for us, apparently.
And if you're thinking about packing up and getting the f*ck out of Dodge, I'd do it soon because there's going to be a fall election which Fidel's boy is going to win in a landslide for two major reasons - 1) The Tories are a dumpster fire who collectively don't know whether their arseholes were bored or punched and 2) The student council president we call Mr. Prime Minister plans on promising everything imaginable AND actually delivering.
Tax and borrow, tax and spend, spend and borrow and around and around we go. Free childcare, free dental, free glasses, free college, free drugs..... you name it; free, free, FREE!! Pretty soon we'll all have our own assigned babysitter (unionized, of course) to feed us our din-dins and tuck us all into our beddy-byes.
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Something to think about -
At many universities across the country, everything is being segregated by race.... classes, dorms, clubs, even cafeterias. "Safe spaces" are everywhere and students regularly set curriculum and get professors silenced and fired.
Within about 5-10 years, those people will be running our governments, our media, our major corporations and, to an even greater extent than they are already,, our education system. This is our version of what the German communist Rudi Dutschke called "the long march through the institutions."
Have a great weekend!
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No, not 8 year olds, but perhaps like clear headed adults, for once. You know, the kind that lives in the real world where they recognize enemies for who and what they are instead of trying to pretend they're something else so they can kick the problem down the road where it'll only get bigger but it'll be someone else's responsibility on another day.
And no, I'm not some billionaire with a bunker but what I am, or at least was, is a soldier who has to go out and clean up the goddam mess that sniveling cowards such as yourself make by running away from problems and burying your heads in the sand and hoping they'll go away.
So yes, I do have skin in the game.... actual skin along with blood and bones.... and I also have a keen knowledge of history. For example, the multitude of opportunities the Western allies had to prevent both of the world wars which would have meant hard decisions but would also have saved millions of lives.
So you'll pardon me, I'm sure, if my attitudes and outlooks are somewhat outside those of the chattering classes. @bryanalexander2508
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Perhaps someday, we can arrive at a place where we agree that there's a sensible middle ground somewhere between an unregulated, unrestricted, open-door, free-for-all and razor wire, land mines and snipers, hmm?
Like just about anything else, there's a point up to which it makes good sense and beyond it, it doesn't. There is not much of anything more vital to human survival for example, than food, but we all know what happens when we just go nuts and gorge ourselves uncontrollably.
I would venture a guess that like America, Europe does not have a migration crisis as much as it has a political crisis. Both (all?) sides are far too heavily invested in using the issue as a fundraiser and a cudgel to beat their enemies with instead of finding practical, sensible solutions.
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A couple of things that folks need to understand here. First of all, anyone who thinks the Ukrainians are doing this on their own are delusional. They're a plucky, determined bunch no doubt about it, and my hat's off to them but remember that just 30 years ago, the Ukrainian military and the Russian military were one and the same and went by the title of "Soviet" military. So whatever failings the Russians had and still have, the Ukrainians were not long ago part of the very same military culture and would have inherited the very same thinking and behavior as the Russians.
But the determination to be independent of Moscow's boot and that small matter of the 2014 war made them reassess matters and when western countries saw an opportunity and offered their assistance and support, Ukraine wisely said "why yes, we'll have us as much of that as you can spare."
So what we have today is nothing like the Ukrainian military of just 8 years ago but instead, a well motivated, well trained and increasingly well equipped and well financed modern military. The Ukrainians knew this day would come eventually and have been building up to prepare for it. The US and NATO also see this as a chance to deplete Russian forces and weaken the country and Putin's rule. They're throwing everything they possibly can into the fight to ensure Putin loses and the war doesn't spread.
You can bet that Ukraine has access to the very best satellite imaging and intelligence as well as a boatload of advisors, trainers and technical assistance. You can compare it to a tungsten fist (NATO) inside a leather glove (Ukraine).
Secondly, Russian forces have never been the supermen the press and movies have made them out to be. They've always been primarily a conscript army with very poor quality equipment, training and leadership. They could always easily make short work of weak countries like Syria but never did have the ability to take on something like the US armed forces.
I was stationed in Germany in the 80s and we witnessed their ineptitude and incompetence first hand and I can say that the only things that ever saved them from being annihilated were their nukes.
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You think that doesn't happen? Lots of people do exactly that. Including me for nearly 11 years. And their voices get drowned out, they get pushed to the fringes, the party establishment and leadership ignores them and eventually they quit in frustration. This is NOT just about election day, my friend.
You think there's democracy inside legislatures? What world are you living in? Do members get to vote the way their constituents want or even their conscience? Or are the votes whipped? You think the masses are actually in control of anything or is it the party elites who are? It's the same thing within parties. Ordinary members are there to pay their dues, do the grunt work, clap on command and keep their mouths shut.
What you and several others here on this thread are engaging in is a form of victim blaming. "What, you got poisoned by the medicine? Huh; guess you should've done some research, shouldn't you?" And no doubt that today, everyone has tons of spare time to devote to party activities. No piddling concerns like trying to keep a roof overhead or food on the table, is there?
You sound exactly like that segment of society who delights at looking down their noses at others, is comfortable with the status quo and cares nothing for anyone who isn't and it is that which enrages people more than anything. @martijn8554
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So, let's see if I have this right..... Europe's problems are America's problems but America's problems are not Europe's problems? And Europe wonders what the problem is?
America comes running to Europe's aid twice in the last century, rebuilds it and constructs a nuclear deterrence umbrella over it, keeping it safe for 80 years, and is now being told again that it's up to America to save Ukraine? And this after Europe has grown bigger, more advanced, more affluent and more secure than it's ever been thanks to alliances with America and it's still somehow not enough?
Europe lets their military capabilities atrophy in the expectation that good ole America will once again have their backs (and fronts) but won't help us out in the Pacific and still wants to cozy up with China and Iran because it suits their interests? And it's puzzled that America questions this?
Europe was once the battered and traumatized orphan child who needed and deserved America's help and America gladly gave it. But now, Europe is the 35 year old, irresponsible adult with the post-grad degree and the executive position and the BMW but also 3 failed marriages, alimony payments, and a bankruptcy because it spends all its money on the weekends and is pissed that it's finally being forced out of its parents house, told to grow the f*ck up and look after itself. Well, cry me a river!
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The sanctions are biting hard but they're still not biting nearly hard enough. They're still chock full of loopholes, exemptions and omissions, largely because so much of our own criminally corrupt billionaire class.... who double as party donors.... is so closely tied to and woven into the fabric of Russia's.
This war could be over today if the west wanted it to be but there are still too many dirty little secrets to be kept hidden, too many ill-gotten or outright stolen fortunes to be guarded and too many criminal butts to be covered.
Just this morning, my own (Canada) overaged student council LARPing as a government announced a 35% tariff on Russian and Belorussian imports. Wow... 35 whole percent... Imagine that! Putin must be curled up in a corner having a panic attack over that!
If the west was serious about stopping this murderous aggression, they'd freeze every single asset in every single bank and give Russia 24 hours to get every last boot off of Ukrainian soil or those assets would be seized permanently.
Simultaneously, I'd give the Chinas and the Indias of the world the same 24 hours to decide whether they want to have business, financial and diplomatic relations with Russia OR the west because it won't be both. At the end of that time, the decision will be made for them.
But of course, none of that will happen. You'd need to have nations that haven't been operating as dumping stations for cheap dollar store junk for the last 40 years while selling off their industries and selling out their middle class.
You'd also need leaders who cared about something other than the balances in their campaign accounts and the next polling cycle. Sucks to be you, Ukraine.
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