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SmallSpoonBrigade
TED-Ed
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Comments by "SmallSpoonBrigade" (@SmallSpoonBrigade) on "Can you outsmart this logical fallacy? - Alex Gendler" video.
Possibly, but it's still more likely. Poker is played by a relatively small group of people, even accounting for the any increased likelihood of somebody like Lucy's background, that's likely still the case.
3
You do realize that the average number of fingers for people is somewhere between 9 and 10, right? Meaning that the restriction still makes it less likely. Even just making it "has fingers" would still reduce things as there's a few without fingers or even hands.
1
Possibly, but option b is still less likely for the same reason.
1