Comments by "Sankalp" (@sankalp6872) on "Battle 2024 has skipped semis, gone straight to final. And BJP has 3 challenges ahead" video.

  1. The opposition is making all the right noises with "I.N.D.I.A". However, BJP yet to cast its dice. In addition to a loyal BJP vote, Narendra Modi personally carries 10-15% of votes himself. The consolidation of the Muslim votes also has the effect of reverse polarization of Hindu votes. The key to 7RCR lies with the 272 direct INC vs. BJP battlegrounds. The rest won't see a swing beyond 20 seats and will count only in extreme events. Irrespective of who is joining the alliance, BJP still needs to sink the INC for itself to come on top.
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  2. I think you are being generous with just "3" as challenges. Ours is a very "All or Nothing" era of politics, and it's not just limited to India. Usually, one often gets a sense of voting patterns based on a mere half a minute of conversations. Today, voter loyalty is fierce and does not easily shift. It gets murkier with first-time voters. The real fight is over the small percentage of peripheral voters.
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