Comments by "Steve Valley" (@stevevalley7835) on "Admiral Horatio Nelson - From Captain to Victory (Part 2)" video.
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@TraditionalAnglican I agree on the intelligence aspect. Everything would have had to go exceptionally well for a good outcome, like a sighting report by a US sub on the 5th. The USN probably had a pretty good idea of the combat radius of Japanese aircraft. Given the course of the air wing as plotted by radar on the island, the US force could have zeroed in on IJN force, if it was already in the approximate area. Hitting the IJN fleet while the air wing was attacking Pearl would have been ideal as there is little left minding the store, except the CAP. The 5"/38 came out in the mid 30s, and several classes prior to the Fletcher were armed with at least a couple of 5"/38s in the all singing, all dancing, power enclosed turrets with integral ammo hoist, which gave them a rate of fire advantage. As for radar: there is a photo of USS Phoenix leaving Pearl on the 7th, with West Virginia and Arizona burning in the background. It has what looks very much like a radar antenna on top of the gun director at the top of the superstructure. The BBs escorting the carriers were a pair of Kongos, so they were vulnerable to heavy cruisers. It would have been a brawl, but the IJN ships would be so outnumbered, some of the USN DDs would probably have gotten through to the carriers. However, as you said, the fleet running away in the opposite direction could have been an option too.
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