Comments by "Steve Valley" (@stevevalley7835) on "The Drydock - Episode 168" video.
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@WALTERBROADDUS the Philippines were on a path to independence. A new constitution had been written and a civilian Philippine government established. Plus, the Philippines are on the other side of the world. Value to the US government, and value as perceived by the US population could have been very different. But, the islands were still US territory, so let's assume that FDR can get a declaration of war through Congress. What would be the US response, especially if the Japanese had not gone directly after Clark and Subic on the first day, but rather landed on Mindanao or Leyte, rather than Luzon, to minimize initial loss of American lives. In the historical timeline, the US population probably recognized the fleet was damaged and the Philippine garrison beyond help. If Pearl had not been attacked, and the fleet was intact, what would the population's response be to the Philippine garrison being left for dead? But, if the US did move to reinforce the Philippines, they would be steaming past a long line of Japanese held islands, as the IJN chips away at the fleet with subs and both land and carrier based aircraft. Saipan sits directly astride the direct line from Hawaii to the Philippines and had been garrisoned by Japan since the late 30s, FDR could recognize that a relief mission would be suicidal, but refusing to launch the mission would be politically suicidal. What to do? Launch the mission, but recognize it's a one way trip and only send ships of minimal value, like the obsolete battleships? So the US replicates Force Z, at four times the scale?
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