Comments by "Gordon Graham" (@gordonbgraham) on "Why Japan’s Population Is Still Declining - Japanese interview" video.

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  9. What Japan Rail's numbers reveal is what time most commuters are returning home, which is between the hour of 5~6pm. It's estimated that 70% of Japan's workforce commutes to work by train. This corroborates OECD's numbers that reveal that the average Japanese worker works a standard 40 hour work week. Certainly, there are sectors such as finance, marketing or agriculture in which overtime is excessive, but that's true of those sectors throughout the world. As for the hikkikomori phenomenon, that has mainly been facilitated by the age of the Internet in which people can cocoon at home and lead vicarious lives online. This is further facilitated in Japan by cheap rent, where one can rent a one room apartment in Tokyo for as little as $300 a month. Japan has an estimated 3000 homeless in a population of 125 million. Canada has an estimated 250,000 homeless in a population of 40 million. You can't rent an apartment in Toronto or Vancouver for under $2000 a month. Cheap rent, the Internet, Japan being a de facto social welfare state in which one could simply decide not to work and live cheaply in a one room apartment are the main contributing factors to the hikkikomori phenomenon in Japan. In North America it's down to enabling parents, ennui, a coddling of youth who feel entitled and as such above menial or manual labour...drugs...and the Internet. Certainly, mental health issues are at the core of some, but I would argue that mental health issues have always been an issue in Japan due to its lack of mental health care facilities. The hikkikomori phenomenon is relatively new. In Japan it's is mainly due to how easy an option it is due to cheap rent and the Internet.
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  50.  @stevenguitink5947  What Japan Rail's numbers reveal is what time most commuters are returning home, which is between the hour of 5~6pm. It's estimated that 70% of Japan's workforce commutes to work by train. This corroborates OECD's numbers that reveal that the average Japanese worker works a standard 40 hour work week. Certainly, there are sectors such as finance, marketing or agriculture in which overtime is excessive, but that's true of those sectors throughout the world. As for the hikkikomori phenomenon, that has mainly been facilitated by the age of the Internet in which people can cocoon at home and lead vicarious lives online. This is further facilitated in Japan by cheap rent, where one can rent a one room apartment in Tokyo for as little as $300 a month. Japan has an estimated 3000 homeless in a population of 125 million. Canada has an estimated 250,000 homeless in a population of 40 million. You can't rent an apartment in Toronto or Vancouver for under $2000 a month. Cheap rent, the Internet, Japan being a de facto social welfare state in which one could simply decide not to work and live cheaply in a one room apartment are the main contribution factors to the hikkikomori phenomenon in Japan. In North America it's down to enabling parents, ennui, a coddling of youth who feel entitled and as such above menial or manual labour...drugs...and the Internet. Certainly, mental health issues are at the core of some, but I would argue that mental health issues have always been an issue in Japan due to its lack of mental health care facilities. The hikkikomori phenomenon is relatively new. In Japan it's is mainly due to how easy an option it is due to cheap rent and the Internet.
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  61.  @wamnicho  The world’s birthrate was 5.33 in 1960. It’s currently 2.30. The world is going to collapse according to your model. With fewer businesses Japan requires fewer consumers. Pre-pandemic Japan had 30 million visitors from abroad. That’s almost the entire population of Canada. Those numbers are returning. You can’t swing a cat without hitting a tourist. Those tourist spend…a lot. Speaking of spending, the Japanese are more spenders than savers. Most companies have a bi-annual bonus system in which employees receive 2-3 months salary in lump sum payments. Japanese buy big ticket items like washing machines and cars during those periods. Speaking of cars Japanese cars are the largest selling automobiles in the world. Japan also has the healthiest people in the world with the longest lifespans. Many Japanese still work in their 70s and 80s. The elderly in Japan are active…and consumers. They golf, hike, fish. farm, play gateball, dp ballroom dancing, take English lessons and travel. No, Japan need not replace its current population. Any current shortages in the workplace (prior to AI and mass automation making those jobs redundant) Japan addresses by providing 3-5 year work visas. Visas for which there are endless lineups for throughput Asia. The number of foreign residents in Japan in 1980 was 663,000. It’s currently 3 million. I’m a foreign resident. I bought a house, cars, send my kids to school etc. My son just entered college. Tokyo International University. There are plenty of foreign students. There are currently 250,000 foreign students registered in Japan. Pre-pandemic there were 350,000. Those numbers will see a rise to prepandemic levels again. Tuition for visa students is almost double what it is for native Japanese. Those students also pay for boarding, and spend money while enjoying their college life. Japan’s population leveling out to a more sustainable number is not the gloom and doom scenario that people from abroad hope it will be. If nothing else the Japanese are resilient. Meanwhile, the streets of Europe and North America are in chaos with people who are at odds with each other culturally, socially and politically. While Japan retains her social cohesion through cultural harmony. This too, serves Japan well in times of economic downturns.
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