Comments by "Gordon Graham" (@gordonbgraham) on "Why Japan’s Population Is Still Declining - Japanese interview" video.
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What Japan Rail's numbers reveal is what time most commuters are returning home, which is between the hour of 5~6pm. It's estimated that 70% of Japan's workforce commutes to work by train. This corroborates OECD's numbers that reveal that the average Japanese worker works a standard 40 hour work week. Certainly, there are sectors such as finance, marketing or agriculture in which overtime is excessive, but that's true of those sectors throughout the world. As for the hikkikomori phenomenon, that has mainly been facilitated by the age of the Internet in which people can cocoon at home and lead vicarious lives online. This is further facilitated in Japan by cheap rent, where one can rent a one room apartment in Tokyo for as little as $300 a month. Japan has an estimated 3000 homeless in a population of 125 million. Canada has an estimated 250,000 homeless in a population of 40 million. You can't rent an apartment in Toronto or Vancouver for under $2000 a month. Cheap rent, the Internet, Japan being a de facto social welfare state in which one could simply decide not to work and live cheaply in a one room apartment are the main contributing factors to the hikkikomori phenomenon in Japan. In North America it's down to enabling parents, ennui, a coddling of youth who feel entitled and as such above menial or manual labour...drugs...and the Internet. Certainly, mental health issues are at the core of some, but I would argue that mental health issues have always been an issue in Japan due to its lack of mental health care facilities. The hikkikomori phenomenon is relatively new. In Japan it's is mainly due to how easy an option it is due to cheap rent and the Internet.
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@pachjo123 I bought a 3 bedroom home on a 1/4 acre lot in Saitama, 50 minutes from Ikebukuro in central Tokyo, for the equivalent of $150,000 USD. The same home would have cost me at least 10 times that in my native, Toronto Canada. We have two living rooms, a western style one with hardwood floors, and a Japanese style one with tatami mats. There is a large bath with bay window with the tiles in pristine condition, two washrooms, one upstairs, one downstairs, the eat in kitchen is in excellent condition with no mould on any of the tiles and a large stainless sink. Our property has a blueberry bush that yields a ton of blueberries, a kiwi vine that produces more kiwi than we can eat and a half dozen persimmon trees. The floor plan is awesome, because there is a large hallway with high ceilings (and pot lighting) between the two living rooms downstairs so it's easy for people to have friends over etc. without disturbing the rest of the family. Oh...and I don't know anyone who sleeps around. We've raised 5 kids here on my modest salary without my wife working. Moving to Japan from Canada was the best decision I've ever made.
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@bellabana You know what else has been stagnant? Housing prices. As a result Japan has affordable housing and home ownership is not out of reach for the working class like it is in Canada, where I'm from. The average cost of a home in Tokyo is $300,000. The average cost of a home in Toronto is 1.2M. Canada has an estimated 250,000 homeless among a population of 40 million while Japan has an estimated 3,300 among a population of 125 million. As a father of 5 in Japan, I can attest, stagnation hasn't been all bad. Also, Japan ranks 31st in the world for hours worked per annum. Most Japanese work standard 40 hour work weeks. Not everyone works in the corporate towers of Shinjuku, where overtime is excessive. Also, re immigration. It's estimated that 50% of current jobs will have been made obsolete by AI and mass automation within the next 2 decades. Clearly, taking on immigrants the bulk of whom would more than likely end up unemployed is only going to put more stress on the public coffers. That's a very short-sighted solution. Japan already has endless lines for 3-5 year work visas to address any current work shortages. Japan is doing immigration right.
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As someone who has raised 5 kids on a modest salary with his wife not working to stay at home to raise the children, I can confirm that raising children in Japan is not expensive. The government provides us with a stipend of ¥15,000 per month per child up until high school. It costs me ¥30,000 ($250) a month for National Health Insurance, the insurance covers medicine as well as dental. I’ve saved at least $50,000 alone in dental costs by not having raised my kids in Canada, where I’m from. Speaking of Canada, home ownership is out of reach for the working class while you can buy a home in Tokyo, Japan’s richest city for an average of $300,000. The average cost of a home in Toronto is 1.2 million. There are discount clothing stores everywhere as there are discount dry goods stores. Public school is free up to university and university is a fraction of the cost it is in North America. Raising children in Japan is very much affordable. I make around $50,000 a year and have raised 5 of them. None has been denied ski trips, piano lessons or the latest smartphone. The reason being, the cost of living is so cheap, especially regarding housing and essentials such as clothing, education and health.
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@stevenguitink5947 What Japan Rail's numbers reveal is what time most commuters are returning home, which is between the hour of 5~6pm. It's estimated that 70% of Japan's workforce commutes to work by train. This corroborates OECD's numbers that reveal that the average Japanese worker works a standard 40 hour work week. Certainly, there are sectors such as finance, marketing or agriculture in which overtime is excessive, but that's true of those sectors throughout the world. As for the hikkikomori phenomenon, that has mainly been facilitated by the age of the Internet in which people can cocoon at home and lead vicarious lives online. This is further facilitated in Japan by cheap rent, where one can rent a one room apartment in Tokyo for as little as $300 a month. Japan has an estimated 3000 homeless in a population of 125 million. Canada has an estimated 250,000 homeless in a population of 40 million. You can't rent an apartment in Toronto or Vancouver for under $2000 a month. Cheap rent, the Internet, Japan being a de facto social welfare state in which one could simply decide not to work and live cheaply in a one room apartment are the main contribution factors to the hikkikomori phenomenon in Japan. In North America it's down to enabling parents, ennui, a coddling of youth who feel entitled and as such above menial or manual labour...drugs...and the Internet. Certainly, mental health issues are at the core of some, but I would argue that mental health issues have always been an issue in Japan due to its lack of mental health care facilities. The hikkikomori phenomenon is relatively new. In Japan it's is mainly due to how easy an option it is due to cheap rent and the Internet.
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@f430ferrari5 He's from Australia which ranks 20th in the world for hours worked per annum. Japan ranks 31st, so on average, Australians work more. He worked in the Eikaiwa industry, which is notoriously black. That most certainly colours his view of working life in Japan. The thing is, there are sectors such as finance, marketing and agriculture in which overtime is excessive and there are dead-end jobs like ALT (assistant language teacher) for which there is no opportunity for advancement. That's only a small frame of the overall picture, however. On average, Japanese work standard 40 hour work weeks and advancement in the workplace is largely based on two things, seniority and competence. Most foreigners working in Japan are not functionally literate, that is they lack the ability to read and write at a functioning level in the workplace which is why they can't advance. Imagine reading and writing at an elementary school grade 3 level and expecting to advance in the workplace in Australia, Canada or the US. Impossible. So, what happens is many of those who come to Japan looking for a fun and exciting life, get tied down to a dead end job with low pay and no opportunity for advancement. Many take their frustrations out in resentment of the Japanese and their culture. It's a pretty common thing among expats who have not been able to find success in Japan.
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@wamnicho The world’s birthrate was 5.33 in 1960. It’s currently 2.30. The world is going to collapse according to your model. With fewer businesses Japan requires fewer consumers. Pre-pandemic Japan had 30 million visitors from abroad. That’s almost the entire population of Canada. Those numbers are returning. You can’t swing a cat without hitting a tourist. Those tourist spend…a lot. Speaking of spending, the Japanese are more spenders than savers. Most companies have a bi-annual bonus system in which employees receive 2-3 months salary in lump sum payments. Japanese buy big ticket items like washing machines and cars during those periods. Speaking of cars Japanese cars are the largest selling automobiles in the world. Japan also has the healthiest people in the world with the longest lifespans. Many Japanese still work in their 70s and 80s. The elderly in Japan are active…and consumers. They golf, hike, fish. farm, play gateball, dp ballroom dancing, take English lessons and travel. No, Japan need not replace its current population. Any current shortages in the workplace (prior to AI and mass automation making those jobs redundant) Japan addresses by providing 3-5 year work visas. Visas for which there are endless lineups for throughput Asia. The number of foreign residents in Japan in 1980 was 663,000. It’s currently 3 million. I’m a foreign resident. I bought a house, cars, send my kids to school etc. My son just entered college. Tokyo International University. There are plenty of foreign students. There are currently 250,000 foreign students registered in Japan. Pre-pandemic there were 350,000. Those numbers will see a rise to prepandemic levels again. Tuition for visa students is almost double what it is for native Japanese. Those students also pay for boarding, and spend money while enjoying their college life. Japan’s population leveling out to a more sustainable number is not the gloom and doom scenario that people from abroad hope it will be. If nothing else the Japanese are resilient. Meanwhile, the streets of Europe and North America are in chaos with people who are at odds with each other culturally, socially and politically. While Japan retains her social cohesion through cultural harmony. This too, serves Japan well in times of economic downturns.
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