Hearted Youtube comments on Michael Bordenaro (@MichaelBordenaro) channel.

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  728. The really serious, detrimental issue for many of these older people, (any age of working age people really)- is that many of them are not just on Social Security per se, because they are age 65+ and of 'so called Retirement Age', they are on Social Security Disability, permanently, SSDI -and they 'CAN'T' go find a 'gig' or 'side hustle'; they can't even get a 'main job/career'. That's why they are ON SSDI in the first place. NO one is addressing this section of the population at all and I think based on research and talking to people, that it's a much Larger population than any one is telling us. What about these people? If like many older aged people they no longer even have family and lots of their closer supportive friends are either dead or in seriously ill physical or mental health, they have NO one to help them. Many have lost their partner/significant other/spouse. Most of these people lived and worked their whole lives, raising kids, grandkids maybe, definitely paying taxes on everything we all pay taxes on, contributed to their community, etc. and just because they became so seriously ill or injured 'DisABled' they can no longer DO things like they used to including many types of 'work' the Governement considers even many Volunteer activities 'Substantial Gainful Employment or Activity' and they could lose their miniscule check and medical coverage if they even try to do volunteer work on a part time basis, let alone actually paid work. How do we even help these people so that they can live the rest of their lives the way they deserve to since they have contributed so much for so long?
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  958. My father told me a very important lesson when i was just starting out working... "Just because youre making good money doesn't mean you can spend it. Live like you're barely making it in life until you have at least 4 months of rent, food, utilities, and essential expenses in a separate account (or preferably stashed cash in a fireproof home safe) before you even begin to think you can spend any of it on nonessential items, wants or pleasures. And then, when you think you feel ahead of the game & can go ahead with extra spending on fun things or nonessential pleasures & purchase, even have an amount youre going to allow yourself, cut that in half or double the amount saved, before you do. So when you spend only what you originally had budgeted, and it turns to have maybe not been the greatest idea to do so after the fact...you still have half and in the worst case, your backed up stash." I can't tell you how many times following this advice has kept me from being in a bad place, like others that hadn't done this. And the best part is...I raised my kids by example. Im very proud to say they live this way, as well. And when the pandemic hit? We were all just fine all the way thru it. Still are. During lock downs, shut downs etc...we all had plenty of food, cash and prepaid our cost of residence 3 months in advance. And believe me, our landlords were bragging on us, as his tenants. I wish this would be taut to every pupil in highschool. As relatives and friends would call around to check on each other, more answers would be: "We're fine here, we were prepared."
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  1274. Very few people will read this comment because of its length, but here goes anyway: The same economists who just a few months ago told us: 1. There will be only modest inflation; 2. Inflation will be short-lived; 3. Housing prices are going to go up 20% in 2022 Are now telling us that it'll either be no recession or a brief, mild one. Here's the five biggest problems: 1. Americans have no cash reserves. 61% of Americans can't cover a $1000 emergency in the "richest country on earth". 2. Inflation is mostly supply-side, not demand side. Fed raising interest rates will crush wage growth more than the inflation rate because interest rate rises are meant to fight demand-side inflation. Supply-side inflation caused by material shortages and supply chain disruptions isn't being dealt with by our government. 3. As Michael and Nick pointed out (and also Elon Musk), many badly-run, unprofitable companies have been keeping themselves going with free money. Free money train has been derailed by the Fed and now we may see a lot of companies large and small failing. 4. Housing is in a bubble and when that bursts, it's going to burn a lot of speculators (20% of all houses were bought by investors, aka speculators aka riverboat gamblers) who are going to lose possibly hundreds of billions overnight. 5. Americans not only have no savings, but high debt: the average US household holds debt equal to 129% of its annual gross income. You don't need to be Dave Ramsey to know that ain't good. I think all of these things added together, plus a government run by clueless people who live in a bubble of their own (elderly millionaires), is going to result in a collapse that will be different in some ways from 2008, but actually worse, because there's no clear path to getting out of it. 2022 doesn't look so bad; 2023 looks stormy, indeed.
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  1411. Let me give my .02 here. I am mandatory in office IT support (mostly hardware) for a very large insurance company about 70k people. I have been in the office everyday through this whole thing, even when my campus could hold about 10k people in 14 buildings, yet there were 0-10 people in the building. My company has downsized our buildings and gotten rid of about 2/3 of desks which equals 1000s of desk and dozens of buildngs -floors and floors of space. I support all these WFH people, and lets just say i am sick and F-ing tired of working around THEIR schedule , with their kids, or their errands, or what ever they do at home besides WORK which isnt much work. I KNOW cause I see it on zoom and hear it in the background on calls. Thats IF i can even get ahold of them during work hours. On top of this, i get $hit on over and over and over, having to take on roles that were really not mine and do other IT depts jobs that require someone in the building only because someone doesnt want to get the the car and drive 10 miles to a building and go do it. And when they do come to the office for like a meeting or convention it like a work party for them I have to support the IT equipment, with lots of food and noise. When I voice my concern I am told dont worry about it, its now my job cause were are in building support. Its absolutly insane. I have shipped at least 10000 laptops on top of other equipment in and out of my buildings to support this madness. I am looking for a WFH job or hybrid job that fits my role. The office has moved to my neighborhood with all my neighbors working from home a few days a week to 5 days a week. I am the pee on grunt that has to get in the car and drive to work daily.
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  1516. My perspective: I live in California (San Francisco bay area), but I also have a 2nd home in Florida (St. Pete -- gorgeous city). I've lived in California my entire life (55+ years), but I started spending the winter months in Florida a few years ago. Both Florida and California are wonderful places to live, but as I get older, I'm beginning to enjoy Florida more. If it wasn't for the very hot, humid summers, Florida would easily beat California for quality of life. Sure, in CA, the activities and amenities are fantastic, but the cost of living here is oppressive. An obvious advantage for CA if you're into winter sports (I am): CA is a snow skiers paradise. Many fantastic ski resorts within driving distance. Obviously, snow skiing isn't something you can do in Florida. So, there are tradeoffs. Beaches in California: around here, the water is too cold. Right now, the water temp at Ocean Beach (San Francisco) is only 62F. That's too cold to be in for any length of time without a wet suit. Yes, the water is a little warmer in southern California, but you can't beat the beaches in Florida. Food diversity and cost: I really don't notice a difference. Any cuisine I can get in CA I can also find in FL -- and vice-versa. The restaurants, in my opinion, are comparably priced in both states. I'll assert that it's easier to get a reservation at a high-end restaurant in Florida than California (not that I eat at those very often). And I know this is just my opinion, but people seem to be friendlier in Florida.
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  1708. Back in 1966, when I was four years old, my parents had a bitter divorce, and my mother argued that she should have custody of us kids. My father asked how she would support three kids, and she replied, “I’ll get a job.” To which my father retorted, “who’d hire you?” At that time my father was an engineer working at GE in the Plastics division, the very same division Jack Welch came up through to eventually become CEO. Well, my mother did win custody, as was the norm in that era, and my father was ordered to pay $60 per week in child support ($20 per kid). In the years that followed, with just her high school diploma, my mother took all manner of jobs, anything she could get. She cleaned houses, sold Avon, worked in the office pool for Berkshire Life Insurance, decorated wedding cakes, hung wall paper, the list goes on. And then one day, in 1972, with her name in the files of Kelly Girl (the old name for Kelly Temporary Services) she got called up to fill in for a secretary who was going on maternity leave. A six week assignment, secretary to a technician, at GE Plastics Division. She reluctantly took the assignment, knowing she’d be passing my father in the hallways. But kids gotta eat. Six weeks goes by and the woman she was subbing for decides not to return, to stay home with her new child. They gave the job to my mom full time. Six months later her boss, the technician, gets a promotion. GE had a policy of hiring from within, and when they asked him who in the department should replace him in his technician role, he said, give the job to my secretary, she already knows it. And so they did, and saved money in the process when she refused to have a secretary of her own. Over the course of the next 9+ years she rose through the ranks, her and her high school diploma, to a marketing engineer role, a higher rank than my father, with more responsibility and more pay. She didn’t mind so much passing him in the hall anymore. And at ten years and a day, having shown him exactly who’d hire her, she took her partial pension and joined two other engineers to go off and start up a new company. Equality of opportunity allowed my mother to rise beyond anyone’s expectations at a time when women were seen as second-class citizens. And by her example she showed her three boys that women are fully equally capable to tackle any task or career in which they apply themselves. Oh, and she never asked for a cost of living raise to that, wholly inadequate, child support. That never entered her mind. So why tell this story? Because money was a daily concern in our household as I grew up. I learned every facet of how to save it, stretch it, grow it, and what to spend on and what to not spend on. All these years later, with just a high school diploma, I’m a multimillionaire. Thanks for leading the way, mom.
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  2228. Hey! My hometown that I have lived in for seventeen years! I will talk to you about the city from the perspective of a local. The population is around 90,000 to 96,000 or so. Big population. This city is not "part of a larger area of a city". It's not like Miami Gardens or Golden Glades in Miami. It is an independent city, and is pretty much entirely suburban. (Population wise) Palm Coast is not ON the coast however. Flagler Beach is the part of the county that is on the coast. I will now list the pros and cons. Pros - Community - If you are 65+ or you have a family, then you will love it here. This county has one of the largest senior populations of all counties in Florida. Crime - Low Crime. Schools - There are not many gang bangers in our schools or drugs. It HAS happened, but it is rare. Affordability - This place is very affordable by Florida standards. Parks - We have PLENTY. Cons - Transportation - HIGH dependence on cars. You NEED one. MAYBE you could just walk or ride a bike if you live on the edges of the suburbs. But seriously, just buy a car if you don't already have one. High depression rates among young people - In 2019, I believe our county had one of the highest suicide rates in of all counties in the U.S. I have no idea why. If you are from Palm Coast and you think that you know why, hit me with your best shot! Now, it is 2021 right now, so this high statistic MIGHT be irrelevant now. Things to do - Well, you can go to Walmart, or Lowe's, or Home Depot......or Target..........or.............you can get some fast food..........Like McDonald's or Wendy's or Burger King (Just one I think) or Chick Fil' (Just one) A or KFC (Just one) or Popeye's (Just one) or Zaxby's (Just one I think) and........uh.............................Michael, you MIGHT start to understand my point now. Haha! Most people just take a 20 - 45 minutes drive north or south to St. Augustine or Daytona Beach if they want to have fun or do something. Or if it is a weekend, they will take another 30 minutes or so to drive to Orlando or Jacksonville. Random Facts - Demographics - Palm Coast is 71.5% White, (Non Hispanic) 12% African American, 10.6% Hispanic and 2.88% Asian. Politics - In the 2020 Presidential Election, Donald Trump won Flagler County, Florida by 21 points. Conclusion - I enjoyed this video! Even if you were not satisfied, I am very happy that you came here anyways! Take Care ~ Alexander :)
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  2761. Big institutional investors can tap limitless funds to buy houses--I don't call them "homes" unless they're owned by individuals--and can and will swoop in and increase their holdings during this crisis. It's exactly what happened in 2010-2012, when they went as far as rigging bids in the Bay Area. Unless our government intervenes to secure housing for individuals, which it has shown zero inclination to do, by 2026, the share of houses sold to investors will go from 20% to 50% (and higher in the most desirable areas). This is demonstrably bad, since owning a house is the best route for people to build wealth for retirement. What's more, people owning their own homes provides much-needed social stability. I live in a neighborhood of duplexes that are 100% rentals and the neighborhood is constantly in flux. Nobody knows their neighbors, so nobody looks after one another. I've owned homes in the past where everyone was an owner and knowing that your neighbor is there for the long haul makes it more likely you'll befriend them. People need those social bonds; we're individuals, but we're also tribal animals and being isolated is bad for us. American society is already under severe strain not just from the pandemic but by the wage gap, and shutting people out of owning their homes may be good for investors' profits, but it's harmful for our society overall. And no, I do not want to debate anybody who bleats about the magic of the market or other Ayn Rand BS. That stuff is a fantasy. We have local, state, and federal government agencies for a reason: they're supposed to intervene and manage our society to make it as fair as possible. If you want to live in a country where there's no government, try living in Somalia for a year and then check back with me if you're still alive at the end of it.
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  2896. I will add that I am probably older than many on this channel. I lived in California(Bay Area) for almost 40 years and have been in the Central FL area for almost 10 now. Just like everything in life, it all comes down to what you; like/dislike/prefer-- in where you live.... For instance, I played college football and grew up watching CF as a kid in Palo Alto(Stanford). Hardly anyone liked college football that I knew(*caveat-parents are from Alabama and went to school there, so probably has a lot to do with my love of CF football from early age)...Anyway, I always wanted to move to Florida because of these reasons: 1) Football 2) Fishing 3) beaches. 4) golfing....along with the best winters in the country, if you prefer warm winters....The only thing that California comes close to FL in these area's is Golf. If you're not a beach or outdoor person, not sure why you would want to move to FL, but I see plenty of people who are like this in my area. I have noticed you have some rather interesting perspectives on California, when you compare it to FL...First, the rain and sun is pretty close(Tampa Bay ,where I live isn't nearly like Miami, in terms of rain, sun and big storms)....California has 2-3 months of pretty decent rain in the winter every year(I am speaking from a SF bay area/ Sacramento perspective)....Also, you have to remember that California AND Florida could be divided into at least two states, especially California....From Sacramento(which I lived in 10 years) to Redding, it's a LOT different that Southern California, and even the SF Bay Area....it really depends on what part of California you live in. Sacramento is pretty similar to Orlando, for instance. One other thing....the heat. Yes, its hotter in Fl. BUT, there are several places in California where the temps stay 90-108 every day in the summer. Please, save me the humidity factor. Its not that big of a difference....if you do live near or on the coast in California, it is a LOT cooler in the summer months, compared to FL.....To me, its very hard to compare FL to California. To many variables and other things to take into consideration. Anyway, this post is already to long. At the end of the day, its all perspectives and opinions. Everyone have a great one!
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  3211. Travis, like you we got hit too in the great recession. Lost our handyman business and home. Banks wouldn't work with us even though we had excellent credit. Years later had a credit card we defalted on for 9,000 dollars, a judge gave a creditor who bought it a 65,000 judgement against us and garnished our wages. We had to declare bankruptcy 7 years ago to get free from that. It was horrible and we recently had finally just bounced back, and saved our money, and were ready to buy again two years ago. However, the insanity hit and prices skyrocketed so we said NO THANKYOU and did not buy. I remember what it was like to be upside down on a mortgage. Everything was just going up way too fast. We are in one of the top crash zones for housing. Just sitting on the money now, adding to it, and waiting. We have no loans of any kind. We own outright all three of our cars. No credit card debt. We are very fortunate not to have greedy landlords. The other rental homes around us go for 2,500 a month, but our landlord never raised the rent and we are still at 1,500 a month, so we are just going to sit tight and wait for the crash (already been here 4 years). I'll check what is going on come spring and see where everything is at. There is NO WAY I am entering an inflated home value market again. Last time around I did not educate myself properly. This time around I am paying very close attention. Last time around, we bought at a time like right now. We thought we had gotten a deal with paying 20,000 under the estimated value. Several years later it tanked and we were upside down on that mortgage by a lot. Not going there again. NO WAY, NO HOW. I can patiently wait for such a big purchase.
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  3416. There is so much government debt that generations yet unborn will be paying this debt off. Its not only the vast amounts of money wasted by the government, its that a pretty significant part of the population gets free government money but does not produce anything. So they push up demand and compete with working class people for products and services and they do not produce products or services, classic cause of inflation. For instance the house across the street from me is section 8, they do not work, they have been given a house worth close to a million dollars, I am sure they get Snap and other programs too, and they do not lift a finger, while I and many other working class people have to work our butt off. Then they treat the property like garbage, they cause trouble in the neighborhood and some people are thinking of moving, because the Government is giving out money it should not give out and we are paying to by abused. Now because of government money that house is not on the market, which drives of property costs and keeps honest hard working people on the tread mill as slave labor while others who do not work and contribute for almost their entire lives get everything, and I mean everything including health care for free. They actually evicted some renters today in my neighborhood who were also trouble and from what I could tell were also section 8, and we live in a decent neighborhood but the government has to work to destroy it by being "Kind and generous" with tax payer money and lives.
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  3422. Oh man this one resonates so much with me. I was 33 years old in Rochester New York, hating winter, hating my life, working two crap jobs in a town with a "you're born...you work... you die" mentality. The dream job of your typical Rochesterian was working in the factory at Delco or at Kodak on the assembly line. I did get a job at Kodak, I lasted a year and a half. Three revolving shifts with no life. When you live in Rochester and you quit Kodak, which doesn't happen, you might as well have a large Scarlet K emblazoned on your chest. I was helping support my sweet little sister and my mother in our crappy duplex in a shitty neighborhood across from a train trestle and a slaughterhouse. If you think that sounds depressing, you can times that by 10. My grandmother owned the duplex. She lived next door with her son , my uncle, who was in his 60s and a bitter miserable person. All I had to do is look next door to see what my future was going to be. I waited until my little sister got married to a great guy that she's still married to , I gave her away at her wedding, got my mother situated in a better situation, and took the hell off over 30 years ago and never looked back. it wasn't easy. My mother, God bless her, was a manipulative, very sad lady from a horrible childhood also, and when I said I was leaving , she told me she was going to commit suicide. Well, she didn't commit suicide, I made sure she was okay when I left but I left. Best thing that I ever did! I was a sad, lonely person with zero confidence and slowly but surely I reinvented myself. I'm still a loner in many ways and prefer alone time 80% of the time and there's nothing wrong with that. But, I blossomed in so many ways and discovered hidden talents that would have never come out back in Rochester, I'm sure of it. I highly encourage people, take the risk and don't settle. You'll regret it. I'm not suggesting anyone shirk responsibilities , but you could hopefully do what I did, get everyone situated and then create an opportunity where you can leave. I continued to help my mother financially once I moved, as I did my little sister. I go home to visit every few years even though my mother is now gone. But, if you're thinking you don't like your life and that moving will improve it, you're probably correct.
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  3624. Our family learned from the Great Recession in 2008. Right now, we own all three of our cars outright (bought a nice older limited edition LJ Jeep wrangler (before it became crazy expensive), a full size truck, and a GM Bravada for the teenager) We know how to work mechanically on our own cars completely, we could even put a new engine in ourselves if needed. We have no debt at all. Last time around, we lost our business and our house, and had to declare bankruptcy (we had debt that time around). So afterwards, we have saved for another house and are waiting for the housing dump, then we will buy. It is much easier to weather these storms if you are not in debt up to your eyeballs. Don't be lured in by the shiny dangling carrots of new cars and credit cards. Save and pay cash for things. Learn to do things yourself. Our family knows how to build our own furniture, fix our own cars, do our own home improvements, and work on appliances. It pays to learn these types of skills, you will save a ton of money in the long run. This time around, we are in a much better place to weather the storm. Even if we temporarily loose employment, we have two years saved up for all expenses. Hopefully, we don't have to touch it, since it is for a home purchase. However, it is there if we need to survive. We are blue collar workers and even stayed employed during the lockdowns, so hopefully we stayed employed this time around too. Both my husband and my son have been in the same company for many years and are more experienced workers (they tend to let go the newer hires in recessions), so hopefully that gives us an edge. We are hunkering down together to weather this storm. Our landlords did not get greedy and our rent has stayed the same for 4 years. The rentals around here went insane, and the single family house we are renting could have went for $2500 a month, but our landlord left it at $1500 a month. God has been very good to us. Our landlords like us because we keep their property nice and fix things for them at a discount price, and most of all we pay our rent on time every month. I am shocked that so many people didn't learn from the last recession.
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  3755. Hey Michael. As an insurance agent let me give you my advice. First and foremost long term care policy premiums can and do go up. They can become costly and don't pay for all of your care, just a portion of it depending upon the cost of the care and how much is needed. To clarify, keep in mind there are basically three main types of life insurance policies .... TERM LIFE Term life insures your life for a specific term. Let's say 10, 20, 30 years. It's appropriate for when you need insurance for life events. For example a 30 year mortgage paired with a 30 year term life policy so if you die within the mortgage period your spouse can pay off the house. When you have a child - A 20 year term for yourself in case you die while your child is still dependent upon you. Etc. So term life has it's application and specific purpose. Premium payments are level, which means they will never increase during the term period. This is least expensive option. WHOLE LIFE Whole life, as the name implies, is a type of policy that insures you for your whole life. This is for someone who needs the death benefit to pay out to their beneficiary no matter how old they are when they die. It also comes with some investment components and the ability to borrow against it. But most people do not really need the investment aspect of a whole life. Whole life is the most costly. Premium payments can be level, and can never increase. GUARANTEED UNIVERSAL LIFE (G.U.L.) A GUL policy is a great middle ground alternative between term life and whole life. A GUL will insure you to a specific age, like age 100, 110, 120. But, it doesn't have the financial/investment components of a whole life and thus it is less expensive and a more affordable option to insure you for essentially your whole life - granted you don't live past your set age cap of 100 years +, etc, etc. (most people won't).  The nice thing about life insurance policies is that you can add to them what are called "Riders" to the policy that essentially, "Ride along" to provide enhanced benefits to the life policy.  So in conjunction with your video topic, here is what I would do in place of a long term care policy with increasing premiums. I would recommend getting a GUL life policy guaranteed to age 110 years for at least $500k or better $1M dollars, with a disability rider added to it. If you're in your mid 30's and healthy the premiums should be very affordable. But get it now, and lock in a rate while you're still young and healthy. Now as far as the disability rider is concerned, typically to claim disability you would need to be unable to perform on your own without help three functions from a list of daily functions - like bathing, dressing, walking, etc. You'r doctor would diagnose that. Being disabled doesn't suggest you'd have to be totally incapacitated to qualify. When you get older, and need help as a qualified disabled person, the "disability rider" on the GUL policy will allow you to take out a large sum of the death benefit, before death, to pay for care! Medicare part A will pay for health events that involve terminal illness. A GUL life policy with a disability rider will pay for disability events. So you have both health events covered. Now granted, if you do receive payments under the disability rider, you still have the balance of the GUL life policy death benefit left to pay for your end of life expenses (funeral, debt payoff, etc) or to leave to your surviving beneficiary(s). So it's a dual purpose solution. The other aspect regarding life insurance is that it prevents you from spending down your savings and leaving a spouse penniless. If you do need to use savings to pay for assisted care, your surviving spouse will get that money back from the life insurance death benefit proceeds, (tax free) which can then replenish their savings account. The other thing you can do with your life insurance policy is to grant the death benefit proceeds to your hospice care facility. You make the hospice care facility the beneficiary of your life policy and this is a way to pay for assisted care without having the money up front! Now, If you don't want the full death benefit to go to the hospice facility, in your Living Trust documents, (that you set up with your living trust attorney) you can have a clause that allows the hospice facility the right to only receive proceeds from your life insurance policy to pay for your care, and the death benefit balance to go to another beneficiary like your surviving spouse. For example in your Living Trust it could read something like this.. "I grant Happy Hospice House the right to my life insurance proceeds up to the cost of my care, and the balance of the death benefit to go to my listed beneficiaries". Something in that regard. Speak to a living trust attorney and a good life insurance agent who isn't just going to try and push you into a whole life policy. I know this was long, but hope it helps!
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  3932. I really enjoyed your video and you brought up a lot of good points. But I need to address your issue with our homeless population which is a direct result of our leftist government policies. I’m 3rd generation Southern Californian, my grand parents immigrated here in the 1930’s. And it’s tearing me up that I’m considering leaving this beautiful state. I know a lot about the homeless who I refer to as Vagrants. We do have homeless who may live in their cars while they’re struggling to better their situation, but those tent cities that have recently popped up are a different matter. My information comes from my personal contact with them as a Firefighter Paramedic with the City of Los Angeles. The first point to understand is that a house will not fix their problem. It a a drug and alcohol abuse problem along with a small percentage of those with true Mental health issues. Most of these people refuse to go to homeless shelters because they value their personal freedoms above all else. Secondly, it’s the liberal state policies here that attract these people to California. I usually ask them while transporting them to the hospital where they are from. 90% are here recently from out of state. It’s the many free social programs and support that brings them to California. The state is tolerant and allows them to set up these camps. Conservative states don’t. Everything is tolerated, hyperdermic needles are passed out for their drug usage. They shit all over the sidewalk. I watched a cop get laughed at after asking a man to stop crapping on the sidewalk. It’s even a known fact that other municipalities have been caught giving them one way tickets to LA as a way of getting rid of their problems. The fact is that the money spent on the homeless problem just attracts more homeless to come here and the problem only gets worst. And this is something you just won’t hear from the media. I hope Florida doesn’t make this same mistake.
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  4488. I think it affects the housing market for low income earners. There is already a shortage of low cost housing. Historically poor immigrants that come across the border are desperate for housing and they need help from church charities and government support. The Southern states are overwhelmed. Many school districts simply do not have enough money to support the tens of thousands crossing the border. More multilanguange speaking teachers, increase in free lunch programs, new schools need to be built, housing vouchers, etc. For the Americans that are struggling it makes it more difficult for them to get the same resources. Waits for affordable housing gets longer, rents go up as demand goes up. Its basic economics as demand rises and availability of housing shrinks the costs go up. And then it contributes to an increase of homelessness. The affects are primarily felt in low income households. Those in communities like Martha's Vineyard are not likely to be low income and are insulated by the effects of immigration. If you live in Washington State where we have large areas of farmland and orchards you see the impact as the number of communities that are Hispanic has exploded over the last 20-30 years. Entire cities in Central Washington have a high population of immigrants. It is quite a culture shock to see it now compared to 30 years ago(I grew up in the state). You also can see the changes in cities on the West coast and and we are starting to see more of a difference in Eastern Washington. Our demand for affordable housing has skyrocketed. And increasing that demand with mass immigration will only make it worse. I feel Americans will get the short end of the stick so-to-speak and our own American children will increasingly grow up in poverty.
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  4697. Damn Michael you just killed me when you said you were on the older side at 33 ! LOL. I'll be 66 next month. Seriously though as usual you give all good advice. I believe you only live once and there's nothing worse than regrets about what you wish you had done, but you are right about having to do the research. I moved to South Florida when I was about the age you are now actually and have never regretted it and as I've discussed before, I flourished in so many areas I never knew I had talent in. A good friend of mine moved to San Francisco from Boca Raton at the age of 62. Yes he had a little money but not a fortune and everyone advised him against it and he has flourished and made an amazing life for himself, and when you can do that in San Francisco you really are lucky. ( okay, he's just over the bridge.) But ultimately I believe life is short and if you really want to do something, you should do it. By the way please forgive me this is off topic, but have you ever eaten at Chocolada on Hollywood Boulevard in downtown Hollywood? I went there for the third time yesterday and the food is absolutely amazing, very European service and food, with super cheap prices. I don't often indulge in deserts but their pastries and desserts made in house are out-of-this-world as are their omelettes and everything else. You might want to take a ride down there someday it's worth it. We had iced coffee, espresso, a fabulous three-item omelette with the most amazing roasted potatoes and homemade toast, eggs florentine with the same potatoes, and a chocolate eclair to die for. 30 bucks total!
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  5079. I can see why for practical reasons that Florida is a better choice for most people. I certainly could never afford to live in California. But if I could, I would. I just love California. I know it's changed a lot and I get why people that have lived there for years are kind of fed up and disgruntled and why some of them are leaving. I lived in Southern California as a kid but then we moved to New York and now I've been in South Florida for 33 years. You and I have discussed on your former posts about how we both like California Michael. But I guess I could say I'm a crazy baby boomer who's obsessed with California. When I went there for a week to Los Angeles and San Francisco three years ago, I was afraid I might be disappointed because there had been so many years since I'd been there. I have to say that while I did see the problems in those areas, I was mostly in a state of hysterical euphoria LOL, because I just love California and its history. As you pointed out, being on vacation and living there are two different things, but if I was richer and younger I would move there, problems and all. It's California dammit! There's just a magic in the air for me that is palpable and always has been. Union Station, Laurel Canyon, the old neighborhoods, the mountains! I just love it. I love South Florida, but I love California more. By the way, I totally agree with you about how friendly everyone is out there. I had two restaurants here in South Florida so I've not only dealt with lots of customers but lots of employees. I was so impressed with how friendly all the service people were and how friendly and helpful just everyday people on the street were when I asked directions Etc. They were great. In closing with my rambling, LOL, I would describe California as the place where dreams can still come true. P. S. A long time dear friend who lived in South Florida for years and did great here decided to move to California 10 years ago. Everyone tried to talk him out of it and told him he was crazy. He didn't have a fortune but sold his house and without knowing anybody headed out there. He is flourishing and absolutely loves loves loves his life. The man has a damn view of the Golden Gate Bridge from his living room! You have to work hard and be determined to make stuff like that happen, but I would never discourage anyone from pursuing their dreams.
    17
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  5937. Michael I’ve lived and owned properties in NYC and now I live in Orlando for the last 7 years and I’ve owned my homestead and a rental property which I sold earlier this year for a cool 210% profit. I made it thru the 2008 housing collapse because I wasn’t greedy when I bought my house in NY (my husband and I always said we should always have a mortgage that a job at McDonalds could pay😂). What I see in the last 20 years is GREED by the BUILDERS and the DELUSIONAL consumer who thinks on their minimum wage jobs they should live in a brand new 5 bedroom in a gated community and get in with a predatory loan with no money down. GREED is the economy’s greatest problem. People do not save anymore, they live in the negative. Do not blame the government, more people and their kids would have been homeless and starving if the government did not step-in in 2020. In Orlando their are scores of empty homes and apartments but the builders keep building, which in tern causes a problem when you try to sell a pre-owned home. Very difficult for a 10 or 20 year old home to compete with a brand new home especially when the builders give all those concessions. In other states like NY older homes are just as valued because the market isn’t constantly being flooded with cheaply made new construction. People need to reevaluate their priorities if they want to be home owners. Foreign investors are a problem only the government can fix, this is the taking over of America if they don’t step in.
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  6165. Very informative. I think people have unrealistic ideas about how much money they can make on their homes. If you buy a house for $300,000 and sell it ten years later for $600,000, is your profit $300,000? NO. You have to take that "profit" and subtract the amount of money you still owe on the home plus all the interest you paid on the loan plus all the property taxes and insurance you paid plus the cost of all the repairs you had to make plus sprucing-up-for-the-sale costs plus the commission you have to pay to the real estate agent plus closing costs. AH, but we're not done! You also have to factor in inflation. The dollars you receive in profit are worth less than they were ten years earlier. Let's say you originally made a standard 20% down payment of $60,000 for the home and got a loan at 4% interest. For the first ten years of your mortgage payments, more of your payment will be for interest than for principal. So, out of the $260,000 loan, you'll still owe $200,000 when you sell the home for $600,000. So, now you have $400,000, which is only $100,000 more than the original cost of the home. Your "100%" profit is really only a 33% profit. If the agent's commission on the sale is 5%, then you can subtract another $30,000, which brings your "profit" down to $70,000. Let's say you spruced up the home and spent additional money on basic maintenance and repairs. Subtract another $40,000. Now your "profit" is only $30,000. How about the insurance you paid on the home? In Florida, that can be $4,000 a year. Subtract another $40,000. Now your profit is gone, and you've moved into the loss territory: negative $10,000. But we're not done! Property taxes. I understand they're high in Florida -- 2% maybe? For a $300,000 home, they started out at $6,000 a year and then went up as the home appreciated (in California, they limit the increase, but I don't think they do in Florida). So, we're talking a MINIMUM of $60,000 paid over ten years and probably more. Now your loss is at least $70,000. To be fair, I'll reduce this loss by the amount of rent you would have had to pay if you had not bought the home. Let's say $30,000 a year times ten years: $300,000. Your net profit comes out to $230,000. Now we can factor in inflation, which runs about 3% a year. Over 10 years, that's 30%. Your net profit is $161,000 AT MOST. Not bad, but it ain't $300,000. Another thing to consider. If you refinance, they start the 30-year clock ticking all over again. I didn't realize this when I was advised to refinance. I was already ten years into paying off a 30-year mortgage. When I refinanced to lower my interest rate, I thought I was refinancing the SAME mortgage at a lower rate, and I would be able to pay it off in 20 years. But no, what I got was a DIFFERENT mortage that would last 30 years. So, instead of the bank getting 30 years in interest payments, they were going to get 40 years. No wonder banks love to refinance! Moral of story: If it sounds too good to be true, it is.
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  6308. You pretty much hit on the major differences between the two coasts, though there are variables within each coast that could sway one in favor over the other. Even on the SE Atlantic coast, there is a different level of excitement/activity from the Palm Beaches down to FLL and Miami. Regardless of which of the 3 you choose, you still l have access to the other two. As a tourist just looking for sun, sand and a party, many are lured to the Gulf coast, as it has nicer sand and the epic sunsets. However different parts of the Atlantic Coast have areas close to the Intracoastal, where you can see sunrise on the ocean, and sunset over the Intracoastal. Greater Tampa has lots of variety from Sarasota, Bradenton, St Pete, Tampa and Clearwater, and the downtown is happening now. Due to being more spread out, the traffic is not all funneled into one narrow strip along I-95, as it is in Miami. I wish there were better access between to the 2 coasts - quick, frequent cheap flights, or trains (I know Brightline will be expanding to include West Palm to Orlando, and Orlando to Tampa, but right now, the ugly boring drive across Rt 60, or crossing Alligator Alley and using I-75 are the only options. I think each coast gives you the chance to choose culture, quiet, high energy, etc. In the heat of summer, the breezes on the Atlantic are better, and the sun dipping behind buildings brings earlier shade to the beach (though that can be a negative in winter). I am no expert, and only 1 opinion (I love many different areas), but my favorites are the Palm Beaches on the Atlantic Coast and Sarasota/Siesta Key and Hyde Park in Tampa, on the West Coast, but lots of other beautiful areas. I could never live in a sleepy retirement area with no culture, and just early bird dinners and shuffleboard, but I also do not really want the intensity of Miami proper for year round living either - probably why I like the areas I mentioned the best. I think the suggestion of breaking down each coast into 6 or 8 mini-sections and doing a video on each, as well as Orlando and Ocala/the Villages would be valuable for lots of people, especially for those who have never been to Florida, or to only one small part. Interesting there was another video I watched about 10 best cities in Florida, and Dunedin came in #1 - the town where my grandparents lived for 40 years (just north of Clearwater Beach), and the first place in Florida I ever knew!
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  6930. That's an excellent point about the Red Tide. My family and I experienced it personally before we knew what it was. We had just driven from Miami to visit my sister-in-law in Port Charlotte. We stopped in Bonita Springs and thought we'd head to the beach. As we approached, walking through one of those long paths from the six-car parking lots to the beach, I told my wife, gosh, they must be cooking crabs out here on the beach. As we got closer and started to enter the sandy area, we noticed there were no people on the beach, yet the smell of crabs got stronger and stronger. We did finally see one couple about 400 yards away. I scurried over to them as they lounged in their lounge chairs and asked them, 'what in the world is going on?' Why is the smell of crab and fish so strong - and where are all the people. The guy said, "It's the Red Tide. Look over there," as he pointed to a mass of something on the beach. I walked over and then noticed the mass was all up and down the beach. The mass were dead fish, all beached and rotting along the shoreline. No wonder it stinks out here. Of course, now that I realized what I was smelling, the smell matched with my senses and it dawned upon me how bad the smell actually pierced my senses. That solidified my reason to not move to the Gulf Coast side of Florida. The Red Tide is a bummer. It's supposed to only happen only a few times every 10 or 15 years, but just in my five years of looking for where we are going to live, we have experienced it twice. The second time, we knew immediately what it was. That was enough for me. Besides, like Michael Bordenaro says, the waves are non-existent. For me and my family, it's the East Coast. Now, to pin down exactly where on the East Coast - well, that's the next chapter!
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  6962. I had no idea what age you were but have so much more respect for you since you are already thinking about retirement. I am 62 years old, retired when I was 61 and was able to do that because I had been saving since my first job out of college. Yes, I am lucky in that I will have a pension at 65 but I did pay my dues. I worked over 30 years at a hard job, with long hours and lots of stress. But even if I didn't have a pension, I am still much better off than most because I always lived within my means and saved regularly. My money is diversified. I never had debt except a house and car and both are paid off. Social security will be about 1/4 to 1/3 of my income. I say maybe 1/3 because my stocks are suffering now but I have faith they will come back up in a few years.This is my opinion but I think you are either going to have to pay for it now or later. I chose to get it over with so I could relax when older. I can't help but always have a save mindset but I really don't have to now. And even though I saved all of my life, I never felt like I went without much because I did it gradually and never really did that thing they are now calling "lifestyle creep". When I got a raise, I put the money away. I owned different homes to live in one at a time, decent cars, had vacations, etc but I always made sure I put at least 15 pct in my 401k and emergency money and savings and always paid credit cards off every month. I still work a little which helps but don't really have to. The earlier you start the easier and even if you are already 60, my opinion is stop the cable and eating out and put that money away. I would rather eat beans and rice for a few years than be homeless when I'm old. You are a great role model that I think young people will listen to. Keep it up!
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  7077. Do to damage to batteries repair shops need to keep EVs away for other cars and structures, so only a 2 EVs can be stored in a space you can place 100 ICE cars at repair shops. EV car weigh is much higher and causes more damage to the roads, also bridges and parking garages are not built considering the weight of these cars so if there are a lot of EVs on the road imagine the upgrade costs to these structures, or complete replacement of these structures. A charging station only has so much electrical capacity, charging one or two cars can be quick, but the more cars you add the more the electrical charging capacity is split between cars resulting in slower charging times. It costs $ 100,000 for a quick charger and $ 20,000 for a regular charger to be installed at a charging station, plus land, and they cycle cars through the chargers much slower than a gas station. There are not enough high capacity electrical lines to power charging stations, more would have to be laid, also we only produce so much electrical energy in the first place so more power plants would also need to be made, a lot more and they are not cheap nor are they environmentally friendly. Recycling of EV batteries is very expensive, they are very toxic as well. EV fires are four times harder to extinguish and they can reignite for days. Remember that most charging stations require you to have a cell phone to pay for the charge and not all places have good cell phone reception around the country. One more issue is that EVs are not always cheaper to run than EVs, in Australia can cost twice as much to charge an EV than cost for the equivalent gas for the same mileage. I heard Ford lost $4.5 billion on EVs. They took a loss of from $32,000 to $36,000 on each one they sold in 2023. I doubt they are alone. There is also an enormous opportunity on a single minded push to EVs. That is not considering other fuels alternatives that can be used to reduce emissions. Natural gas has been used to power cars and is cleaner than gas. Its cheap and widely available and works with a lot of the existing technologies of ICE vehicles. Its also reliable and has been used for yours. The hundreds of billions of dollars used to subsidize EVs world wide, could have been spent on gas powered vehicles giving time for EV technology to progress and become more practical, this probably would have saved even more carbon because it could have been far more wide spread, less energy dependent to create, longer lived, and far far more practical and easy for people to adapt to. Imagine evacuating from a hurricane with roads filled with EVs. There are already issues with ICE vehicles getting stuck in traffic for hours and hours on end. But an EV running the AC sitting for 6 or more hours to go a few hundred miles. How will they recharge. I can imagine the scene of a EVs abandoned on the high way. EVs running out of charge and blocking traffic all over the evacuation routes. All the stranded people, snarled traffic as a hurricane hits. Don't think it cant happen, it could easily happen, I knew people who got stuck in ICE vehicles and even their phone ran out of charge because of the traffic in 2015. Oh yea when EVs flood they can catch on fires too. We were sold a lie, a lie we pay for in billions of tax money being spent, a lie which create mandates we are supposed to follow, and a lie that makes life more expensive, more complex. Who profits? Activists and those who want to control you.
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  7114. impatient people in Florida is a direct result of the sheer numbers of New Yorkers there. It simply goes with the territory. As a former Floridian and now current California resident. the two states are NOTHING like one another. Even the climate is night and day. California has turned into a cesspool so Florida will end up being my "last place". No state income tax is a HUGE factor and an important reason to live there. I KNOW when I move I can expect pretty much the same as it was back long ago. I owned a convertible and "rarely" put the top down because it was just TOO humid 90% of the time. It is what it is. Sure, it has a downside but Florida (particularly) Miami / Ft. Lauderdale is probably the melting pot for the finest cuisine cultures in the world. If you love a diverse selection of foods, Miami/ Ft. Lauderdale is the mecca for that. THAT is something I am looking forward to and so is my Colombian girlfriend. Enjoying the vast cuisine choices will be like winning the lottery. The water in Florida is nothing like California. Sure the waves are smaller, but the sheer color of the water in Florida is by FAR better than California which makes it a paradise for water activities. It's JUST better. Lastly, if you want6 diverse culture and language.............Miami again is the place for that. In fact, I'd go so far as to guess English is no longer the dominate language. If going out in public and NOT hearing English gets under your skin.........Miami is the LAST PLACE you wanna be. I can live anywhere in the world, But OVERALL..............Miami / Ft. Lauderdale is as good as anywhere else and puts California to shame. Except for the climate. So-cal probably has the best climate in the world. The NIGHTS I will definitely miss.
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  7131. I wouldn't say sellers are "slashing" their listing prices. When you bought the house as an investment 2 years ago, demand double or triple what you paid for it, and then cut your asking price by 10% after sixty days...that's not much progress. Here's an example from the Midwest, using price history from the listing: 2019: Purchased for $80,000 March 2022: Listed for $210,000 June 2022: Price reduced to $195,000 That's with no improvements, either cosmetic or structural. The house needs new windows, a complete bathroom and kitchen remodel, roof is 15 years old...no garage, area is so-so. I would buy the house for what they paid for it, but no more. It's a long way from $195,000 to $80,000. Anybody who pays more than $80,000 and isn't a deep pockets investor is an idiot. You'll have to buy and hold for a decade to recover your investment (but if you're looking to take a loss or stash some cash, it's a "buy"). The seller is apparently heavily indebted with lots of "investment properties" but sellers haven't adjusted to reality yet: people are either getting laid off or afraid of layoffs, inflation is destroying income gains and then some, banks aren't writing new loans, companies are putting an end to remote work, which means Californians who work in tech aren't going to swoop in and rescue property values with their high salaries. And the president can't get up a flight of stairs on his own. No one in Washington is doing anything. Janet Yellen and Jerome Powell have that deer in the headlights look and the president, well, let's just say he might not be a big help here and leave it at that. Will that $195,000 house drop belong six figures? Depends on how long and how deep that recession is. If I were the seller, I'd drop the price to $120,000 for a quick sale and hope some dumb fish takes the bait. But dreams die hard and greedy ones die harder. To answer your question: Yes, I'm fun at parties.
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  7904. The meteorological reason why Tampa is so hot is because there are 3 climate zones in both the northern and southern hemispheres on Earth, with prevailing wind from the east in the tropics and polar regions and prevailing wind from the west in the temperate zones. That's because of the Coriolis effect, but that would take a longer explanation. That's why in most of the US, weather systems go west to east, but Florida sticks down into the tropics, so most of the year, weather systems (such as hurricanes) go east to west. So though the west coast of Florida is on the ocean, the wind is usually coming off the land in the summer. So the whole Atlantic side of Florida is better than the Gulf side. Yes it gets hot in northern Florida, but at least it doesn't last many months, only around 2, depending on what you consider oppressive heat and humidity. Wikipedia and other websites have climate data for different places if you want to see. Here in south Florida, summer lasts an eternity plus a year. It isn't so much that it's that bad, it's how l-o-n-g it lasts, it just starts to get to you after a while. In that way, just coming down here for a visit doesn't fully tell what it's like. The way I beat the heat as much as I can is, I sit in my back yard with a fan on me. That helps a lot. But that generally requires buying a much more expensive private home, since there's generally no way to do that at the pool area of a condo development, unless there's an electrical outlet right by a place to sit. Another problem here for some people is MOSQUITOES. I'm a mosquito magnet. I had to buy a private home both so I could use a fan and so I could set up a screened-in area in my back yard, otherwise I could never be outside here. I also want to spend the summers in California, if not move there altogether, especially because of no mosquitoes in the desert, but I have an elderly mother and can't be away for long.
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  7982. I would like to offer up another reason so many people may be moving to Florida now. Retirees move to Florida yearly, but right now, more people are retiring (Baby Boomers), at least in Ohio. In my Agency, we are experiencing a real job shortage because so many of our employees are eligible to retire. We began hearing last year from management, that there was a concern that we would have a staff shortage because so many employees had reported their plans to retire within the year (60 yrs and over). Fortunately, the Pandemic did not affect employment, most employees were able to work from home and we are still working from home. Every week, we are told about all of the employees retiring so that we can say goodbye. It's a lot or people every week, not one or two people every other month. like it was in the past. And of course many are going to Florida as usual but since there are so many more retirees every month, that means even more people are going to their retirement destination right now. I am one of those retirees who will be moving to Southwest Florida at the end of July. I was just looking for a 1 bedroom apt to start until I was sure of where I wanted to live. I have been planning to retire to Florida the last 10 years, vacationing there twice a year (Jan and July) in different spots to see where I thought I wanted to go. It took over 2 months to find any complex that would even talk to me about renting an apt for August in April (frankly it's been a stressful nightmare - maybe I'll be more excited once I get there). Then another 4 weeks to get them to approve my application and sign the lease. There are about 100 people for every available apt (is what they told me), so they were in no hurry to do anything. It didn't take me 4 weeks to get a mortgage loan on a house I had years ago. I don't have a plan B so I'll see how it goes.
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  8537. I moved to FL 1 year ago from Michigan. we bought a house that was recently renovated probably a flip. We moved from out of state and never actually saw the house in person before signing, but had a great agent who gave us video tours and a final walk through. She referred the inspector who was decent but probably not the best. When moving in found out the washer water valves on the wall were actually dead pipes with no flow. Something we didn’t expect, but was never reported in the inspection report, maybe cause there was no washer to test. But other then that we haven’t had any other big surprises. We did have a hard time getting insurance quotes because of the age and style of our roof, which is partially flat, and many insurers won’t touch those types of houses, so we had to go with Citizens. But our experience with them has been good. About 3 months after we’ve been living here we had a sewer leak from the kitchen to the exterior drainage because of a busted connection. The citizen adjuster was nice and responsive to our claim. We had to get whole new laminate wood flooring because the leak was under the floor and bubbling up. The repair company citizen contracted was a good team, nice workers, and made sure all the work they did was up to our expectations and we were satisfied. Basically the total to repair everything was around 12k and all was covered by Citizens besides our deductible. But we ended up getting a credit which covered that because the quote included to repair the floor in the master bedroom because it was the same material as the kitchen and living room, but we choose not to have it done because it was perfectly fine and not necessary. But overall our experience with Citizens has been good with no problems.
    10
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  8859. I've seen the housing swings happen a few times in my life, so this last time after my divorce, I knew we were in a lull, and housing prices were going to climb in the near future. I bought my current home in November 2019, and put 60% down on a canal waterfront home on the Gulf of Mexico. Now homes like mine are selling for almost three times as much, and while home values will go down, they historically never go down to the last lull. My first home I bought when interest rates were around 12%. My second, they were around 6%. Interest rates fluctuating wildly is nothing new.  Before I bought my first home, I shared a room in a house to keep my rent cheap, worked as much overtime as I could, and saved every penny. Splurging was getting a newspaper and eating three tacos from Taco Bell in bed on my only morning off.  My parents taught me never to buy a house where the payment is more than 25% of your take-home pay. So if you only bring home $1,500 a week, your payment should not be more than that. That's why you may need a bigger down payment which will take discipline and possibly more than one job on your part. PLUS, you should always have at least 3 months' worth of living expenses in your savings.  The problem is most people are not willing to sacrifice their lifestyle to save. You can get two jobs and a side hustle to save--like we did in the late 80s-90s. I advise putting more money down to make your home affordable even in a downturn or loss of a good job situation.
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  9015. (Before I start, apologies for a long comment no one will read) People ask "Why haven't home prices collapsed yet?" Three reasons: 1. The recession is just starting. We haven't seen job losses yet--but Target just posted a 90% decline in profits, with many other companies to follow. Companies will stop hiring and/or lay off people, especially after the 2022 Christmas shopping season. 2. The Fed promised to sell off its MBS (mortgage backed securities) but instead is BUYING them. The Fed actually added $8 billion in MBS over last month instead of selling the $17.5 billion they planned. Mortgage lenders set their rates when financial markets open, and then they monitor MBS prices all day (or they pay a service to do this and alert them to significant changes). When MBS prices drop, lenders raise interest rates, and when prices rise, they drop their rates. The Fed is propping up MBS prices and keeping rates from rising. 3. Many sellers are trying to wait this market out. I was negotiating for a house this past week and in the middle of negotiations, my broker informed me that the seller had decided to pull the listing "until he figures things out". Figuring things out = why he can't dictate terms and demand twice what he paid for the house in 2019. How can this be? Ignore all the real estate industry shills (rhymes with "Bamsey") who assure us that home prices are just going to go up. They said the same thing before 2008. The inexorable principle of housing prices is this: when housing prices become disconnected from wages, housing prices will eventually correct back to their true value. A home at the top of the bubble in 2007 that was $250,000 is $475,000 today, while the average income went from $55,000 to $63,000 in that same time period. When people tell you "this isn't 2008", reply: "No, it's a far bigger bubble, much worse" and the coming recession of 2023-25 will be worse than 2008-11.
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  9069. I graduated from UC Berkeley with a degree in mathematics and work as an actuary. I don't have any student debt because both of my parents worked two full-time jobs while I was in school and I went to community college (which is WAY cheaper) for the first two years. Student debt may be forgiven up to $20,000, not $10,000, if you have both a loan and a PELL grant. Don't get too excited about this, since the president's authority to do it by executive order is going to be challenged all the way to the Supreme Court. Michael's right, college is not for everybody. College is also too expensive, and nothing is being done about that. Congress passed a tax credit of $7,500 for electric vehicles made in the US and guess what? GM and Ford raised the prices of their electric cars by $7,500, so there goes that "windfall" to consumers. Forgiving student loan debt just ensures that colleges can keep charging students sky-high tuition. If this were going to be done fairly, Congress should pass a law that gives ALL young people a grant of $20,000 to go to college, go to trade school, start a business (like Michael did), etc. It's not fair to just focus on people with college debt, but the younger generations DO need some kind of boost, because we Millennials and now Gen-Z are so far behind where the Boomer and Gen-X were at our age, it's not even funny. My husband and I both work full-time, live frugally, and have zero debt, but we're probably never going to be able to afford a home. We've been trying for years and haven't even come close, and I mean BEFORE prices went crazy from 2020 onwards. The whole thing has no coherency, it's just the president's attempt to buy votes. Just remember that whatever you subsidize ALWAYS becomes more expensive, as has just been proven by the raising of electric car prices. We do need to do SOMETHING, but this is not that "something".
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  9130. Hey Michael, I'd appreciate if you read through this. It's a lot but I'm wondering what your thoughts are. Things have just drastically changed in my life. I just took a 17 day road trip vacation throughout Florida earlier this month from March 3rd to the 20th. It was my first time in Florida and first time ever on a beach, and first time seeing palm trees. Me and my sister went down the east coast (including Orlando), through the keys, and up the west coast but skipped the panhandle. I enjoyed my time in Florida a lot and had planned to move there since 2018 but on my first day back from the trip when I was back at my job just thinking about stuff, I had decided that I was not going to move to Florida. Maybe in a few years, or maybe never which I think is going to be the case. 99.9% sure. I'm 20 and live at home still but a few days after deciding I was staying in Ohio for the foreseeable future, I applied for a 1 bedroom apartment in the city next to where I currently live in a neighborhood I used to live in as a kid with my mother from 2008-2011. I have fond memories of the neighborhood and it'll be nice to be back just several doors down from where my mother had rented years back. Anyways, to be honest, I kind of obsessed over Florida too much. Before the trip, my thought process was that I wasn't gonna be content in life if I never visited Florida and I was going to move to Florida after the trip no matter what. But Florida for me now seems like a place that I'll vacation for a week a couple times a year until I've done about everything and decide to vacate somewhere else. The beaches were nice but it's messy with the sand and the saltwater in the mouth gets annoying to deal with and it was hard to catch a nice sunrise or sunset without clouds in the way. I saw a beautiful sunset in Clearwater Beach so that was cool. Outside the beaches, there were tons of fun museums and attractions I did (too many to mention), but overall, I just don't think it's worth the hassle of higher prices, moving across country which is more expensive, and changing jobs (though I'd be with the same company). I hate winter but I'd hate it less if the AC worked in my bedroom which is the only room in my home that it doesn't work for, but my apartment that I'll be moving into May 2nd will and I've already toured it so that'll make winter more bearable and also I'll vacate to Florida in November and March so I'll have that to look forward to instead of April or May when it stops getting so damn cold lol. Speaking of apartments, I went to 8 different places in the Tampa area and either it was hard to find the office and contact property managers, or nothing was available for the next several months at least. I didn't want to wait longer to move out of my parents just to find out there are still no available apartments within my budget in the Tampa area. I just feel like if I moved to Florida, the magic of it all would go away and I'd be wondering why I'm 800 miles away from friends and family. Everyone I've known all my life. Lived in the same city all my life. Speaking of which, family I'm fine with being apart from, but for a while now I had disconnected from friends and such because I was going to be moving. But now that I am just moving four miles from my current place, I can catch up with people again and start arranging times to meet up for lunch or a movie or whatever. Something I haven't done much in life up to this point but anyways, I know I'm just some guy commenting on your video but this is life changing for me. In such a good way. I'm glad I'll be in my own place and I get to keep my job where I know people and have a good reputation and have a couple friends and I get to catch up with old friends I haven't met up with much from high school and church and I can get a cat or two for my apartment. I'll definitely visit Florida twice a year but Ohio is my home, plus it's much cheaper lol. I wanna own a home eventually. If you or anyone has more questions to ask about the trip, just ask.
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  9318. Thanks for the videos showing the differences in South Florida communities. I love your walking tours that give a sense of the communities. I'm researching places to buy a retirement home or second home in Florida. This video highlights some things to consider about South Florida living. Crowds! I'm a person that is respectfully of laws and just decency. I remember Spring Breaks. Most of the crowd is standing around. The bad apples that come in every bunch are the problem. It is not about race. Most people come peacefully to just hang out and have a good time. Some people do get sucked into doing things with alcohol and GOD knows what, in a crowd, that they normally would not do themselves. This is just human nature, unfortunately. It is no excuse for their behavior, we need to be responsible. This is what the police are for, to keep things in hand. The police appear to be doing a great job, thank goodness for them and the city workers who clean up the mess. It is sad that some people don't have good home training or the sense to leave an area better than they found it. We were taught these things at home, in school, in church, in Boy Scouts/Girl Scouts etc. I'm 59. What happened to teaching these good values. I feel your disgust in this video. I see this all the time in many cities in the U.S. at street lights, events, parks, and while in traffic at on-ramps: people discard trash and stuff because they can, they don't care, and there is little chance of any penalty or getting caught. Some people don't know what freedom is. Just because you are American, you can't just do whatever you want, their are laws; and, your rights stop where another's begins. These laws and rules of decency keeps things nice for everyone. I also feel your delight of the surfers, the birds, and beautiful sand. I agree that the stimulus and the relative open for business policies of Florida are bringing the extra crowds this year to many Florida cities. We have to take the bad with the good sometimes. Thanks for the insight. Sorry this is long.
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  9407. I moved to California from Ohio. I have lived here for 44 years. The 1st ten years were in the Bay Area, mostly in Sausalito which is in Marin County. It was beautiful and the weather is perfect. I lived on a hillside with an amazing view, took the ferry to work in the City, frequent trips to the wine country and felt very fortunate to be there. The downside is that it is overpriced [with high taxes] and you can’t avoid San Francisco [which you don’t like] because that’s where the jobs are as well as essential services and entertainment options. The past 34 years, I’ve lived in SoCal in the Inland Empire, where I was able to purchase homes at a reasonable price. The trade-off is that it is nowhere near the beach which, to me, was not important. I work in downtown Los Angeles which has deteriorated, especially since the pandemic began. The homeless people have taken over not just downtown but Santa Monica and other neighboring cities. California is terribly expensive and I’ve recently decided that it is not worth it. A few months ago, I purchased a home in North Carolina and while it is a 2nd residence for now, I will someday sell my home here and move to NC permanently. I have been fortunate to make a good living in the entertainment business but often wonder how people who have average incomes can make ends meet in both Northern and Southern Cali. As you may know, the Bay Area is generally more expensive than even L.A. and San Diego. This is not a good time to come to California. There are legitimate reasons for the mass exodus taking place of late, not the least of which is loss of jobs, revenue generated and tax base from businesses who have relocated to Texas and other States. Finally, don’t underestimate the tax advantages and freedoms you have living in Florida. The grass is not always greener on the other side.
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  9487. I owned, and lived in, a townhouse in Massachusetts from 1992-2003 (11 years). I paid $98k, sold it for $265k, that’s a 9.5% annual rate of return, plus it was my home. Great investment. I then lived in an apartment for six years until 2009, when I moved to Florida where I bought a condo on the intracoastal for $181k. This time I put $29k into renovating it, so my total investment was $210k. I lived there for 7 years until 2016, when I sold it for $255k. That yielded a 3% average annual rate of return. But, as with my Massachusetts townhouse, it was also my primary residence, so I effectively lived cheap. In both instances my cost of ownership was just the property taxes and association fees. In 2016 my plan was to live overseas for the next phase of my life, so rather than spend the proceeds of my Florida condo sale on another property, I dumped it into Apple stock. Subtracting closing costs and commissions I ended up with about $240k, and I used $226k of that to buy 2000 Apple shares at $113/share. This was late September, 2016. I then went off to live in The Philippines and Vietnam, paying cheap rent for the last five years. Those 2000 Apple shares have become 8000 shares after a 4:1 split, and today, at $149.10 per share, are worth $1,192,800, and yes, I still have them, along with other shares I’d bought at different times, and other stocks, so in five years I turned $226k into nearly $1.2m. More than that when adding in the dividends those shares have paid over five years. That calculates to a 40% average annual return on investment. Conclusion: a well considered investment in a business that is well managed for growth and produces valuable products and services is very hard to beat. Investment real estate is not as liquid, incurs maintenance costs and requires active management, and rarely yields such returns for individual investors. Can it be done? Yes, but nothing has beat the stock market over the last 100 years. Not even close. The goal is to grow your wealth while also offsetting the cost of devaluation. Regarding that second goal, many people look to gold as a hedge against currency devaluation. But if you look at how good has done compared to a business like Apple, or Tesla, or many others, you’ll find that your pile of dollars has grown far taller with well considered stocks than with gold. In investing, you should accept the conditions as they are (not rail against them as so many do) and seek to work your way through those conditions to build the tallest pile of money possible. That way, even if all your dollars are devalued, you’ll have so many more that you’ll still be far ahead in life. Bitcoin is not a hedge against dollar devaluation and inflation like gold is; bitcoin is a lottery ticket. It’s speculation. That’s different from an investment and it’s different from a hedge. And these are the reasons I don’t touch it.
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  9952. Thank you, Michael! I am not a young man. Have been alone for more than 15 years now and loving it with one exception. I am not lonely for other people. Crowds have never appealed to me even when I was younger. The exception is my cat. My cat, Mimi, died last year with advanced kidney failure. She was 16 years old. Animals are easy to live with, never judgmental, always loyal. I miss Mimi terribly. I can say I am lonely for her, but not for human beings. Please don't take offense. I volunteered playing piano at a nursing home, but that was so depressing I had to give it up. When I played the piano at home, Mimi would jump up at the end of the keyboard to listen and fall asleep. When I was on computer, she would lay on the desk nearby. She knew instinctively when I wanted to be left alone. Everyone in my family has died. I miss Mimi the most. Would love to rescue another cat that needs a good home, and I almost did this past year, but thinking it over carefully I knew it would not be fair to a cat or a dog because of my age. Who would care for it when I die? To your point, and a very good one, I love my solitude. I prepare the food I love, mostly healthy except for my love of chocolate. I do my own cleaning the way I want it cleaned. No one to criticize me for anything. Nature helps me tremendously. I also love long walks and do it five or six evenings a week. Now the weather will be gradually getting more comfortable and I will enjoy my walks more among the beautiful trees and wildlife of Florida. I look forward to more of your interesting and entertaining videos.
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  10171. I totally agree with not buying income property right now. The July 31st expiration was a 'tease' and most people - even if the moratorium is struck down - are going to wait a while before buying income property - if at all. I don't think people understand that the Supreme Court told Congress "if you pass a bill that empowers the CDC to impose an eviction moratorium, that will solve the problem" That means we are one Congressional bill away from having a legalized 'rent control' of $0 dollars a month in rent. If everyone in the country comes to understand that, there will be no more apartments for rent - very quickly. Every landlord will stop showing vacant units. The 'privately owned rentals' asset class is pretty much finished, in my mind. Once the banks figure out that landlords can no longer legally enforce the part of a lease that requires payment of rent, all lending for rental property will STOP. I'm paying attention to announcements from lenders in this regard. If I was a lender, I would look at the balance sheet, decide "what will happen to our business if we totally exit from lending for rental properties?" - and if it was feasible - as a lender, I would pull the plug. If you're a lender with a line of business that underwrites loans for rental properties, and you know, prior to underwriting, that landlords cannot collect rent, you would be putting your career at risk to continue lending to rental property owners. It astonishes me that no large lender has announced at least a 'moratorium' on lending for rental property. This weekend, ALL lenders are now going to start talking about it. .
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  10233. Hey Michael, Very excellent job with the comparison between California beaches & Florida beaches.... Really enjoyed hearing your personal point of view & great comparison points made!!! As a former Californian that loves & adores everything California... I have to say I enjoy both California & Florida beaches, however, the Florida beaches overall are the bigger winner for me and was a major draw for me to leave California & move to Florida full time (3 years ago). California beaches are better for exercise due to the perfect year round weather which is cooler & has no humidity. There is an over abundance of California beaches that have some form of a boardwalk to walk, jog, skateboard or bike along!!! It is just a very California thing to do & also the perfect weather permits it!!! However, having a boardwalk to exercise on is not that common in Florida & unfortunately rare to find. Also, as you notice there are Volleyball nets everywhere on all the California beaches, again, the weather is better for playing Volleyball. Also, Surfing is superior in California & is what California is famous for!!! Add in the scenic California Mountains & Hills in the background.... Just Awesome!!! So, for outside exercise at the beach, California wins in this category!!! However, this true Californian was drawn to the beautiful, clean beaches of Florida with the nice, WARM, clean ocean that you can actually swim in year round!!! For me, the Pacific ocean was too cold even in the Summertime. When I am at the Florida beaches & swimming in the nice, WARM, clean ocean, I feel like I am on a "Tropical Vacation"!!! The Florida Beaches with the WARM ocean was a Big Factor in leaving California & moving to Florida!!! Overall, Florida beaches wins for this Californian... now a Floridian!!!
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  10266. Hey Michael. I wanted to add something that your followers might find enlightening. Many people are worried about buying a home now with home prices perhaps still declining and the fear of being upside down in a mortgage in the next 1-5 years. For people who plan to stay in a home for let's say 15 years you will come out ahead! Let me explain as I did a calculation. For example, let's say you bought a home now for $350,000. In worse case scenario let's say home prices decline by 3% per year for the next 5 years. That's a long time for declination but your home will be worth $300,000 in five years. One might be worried, right? Well, not so fast because home values always correct when they hit bottom and so let's assume for the next 10 years home prices go up 3% per year. In 15 years your home will be worth $404,000! Now of course this is all speculation and assumptions and nobody has a crystal ball. But historically home prices do go up year over year after a correction. Okay, so assuming you put 20% down when you bought the home your mortgage balance in 15 years will be $200,000. So in 15 years you have 200,000 in equity! Now let's say you want to sell in 15 years and it sells for $404,000. Let's say all costs to sell is 10% or $40,000. After you pay the $40,000 in total sellers costs and pay off the mortgage balance of $200,000, you sill walk away with $164,000! Oh, and that's TAX FREE from capital gains tax if you lived in the home as your primary residence for two continuous years out of the last 5 years! So the moral to this story is you have to think long term with real estate. We got frightened by the 2008 crash, and we got spoiled and greedy by the 2020 Covid unrealistic price surge, and now people are confused! So, I hope this helps to shine light on an otherwise daunting decision. Real estate will go up and down that's a given but statistics show buying a home is works out over the long haul.
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  11358. I'm a SINK. My wife and I bought our starter home in 2017, which has double in value, refi'ed in 2021 to 2.75% on a 20 year fixed, and I'll have the house paid off in about 10 years. When we moved in, taxes were around $2400 a year, now they're a little over $5k. Insurance is up almost double in a single year. Durham, the city that I live in, was VERY proud of buying their police force 200 Mustang Mach E GT EVs and said they paid a little over $80k each for them. They also doubled the salary of the city garbage workers when they went on strike and refused to pick up trash for a month this year, so we now pay around $10 per trash pickup. They gave the largest ever salary increase of 11% to city teachers (again, I have no kids so I literally get no benefit here), and I read in the city's annual budget that 57% of the tax revenue is going to the police because of the rampant crime we have in Durham. Durham had an annual survey of new projects for the city, and they gave a cost with each project. Cheap things they could have done to improve the city, like installing more lights in public spaces (always important when there's tons of crime) were passed over in favor of building expensive pet projects for the city officials like some hokey art display they wanted. We can't really do anything about it because of demographics, but I honestly think with the high taxes and misappropriation of public money to hokey pet projects instead of actually fixing problems with crime and infrastructure, Durham will look more and more run down over the next decade, and while I will have my home paid off soon, I don't see us keeping it long term.
    8
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  11939. Florida will still remain a popular place to live, visit and play. But buyers are going to be more particular. Although beach living has always been coveted, more buyers are going to look at homes and condos more than 2-3 miles from the beach to avoid surge flooding possibilities. Because of new condo reserve requirements for periodic engineering studies, HOA fees will be higher in buildings 3 stories or more. Garden-type condos 2 stories or less are by law and structure not subject to this requirement and will become more popular, due to lower HOA costs. Buyers won’t be interested in properties in flood zones or projected new flood zones. Properties with high-impact hurricane windows (rated at winds of 150-179 mph), and easily accessible permanent accordion window and door shutters will be in demand. The vast majority of residences in Florida do not have the features mentioned above. Florida will certainly be livable, but you must have a property that is out of surge zones, out of flood zones and whose windows and doors are protected against up to Category 4-5 winds. In addition, properties must have a roof that is in good shape, which may require new roofs or statutorily required repair every 10 years or so. These are the residential living requirements of the future Florida. Fortunately, the 6-month winter paradise weather is prevalent all over Florida and doesn’t require a place near the beach or water. Florida will continue to prosper, but with changes. The Florida legislature is going to have to finally come to terms with the insurance issue and make some dramatic changes in the law, and it will quite likely affect all state taxpayers in terms of additional cost.
    7
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  12611. I think the remote work issue is just making it easier for people to 'quiet quit' and get a bit more blatant about turning in a bad performance at the end of the day. It's a lot harder to screw up face to face, or to slack off if you're worried there might be eyes watching in the office. At home, the 'real' you comes out, and I think a lot of people are either not being treated well and have one foot out the door already, or are finding that they're just not cut out for the self motivation you have to have with remote work. Not everyone has the drive to work well at home, especially if morale is low. Bad management can't quite whip unhappy employees into productivity as easily when it's not face to face. As for me, absolutely no way I'm coming back in. Working in the mortgage biz, it's pretty awful for us right now so I'm seriously in need of a raise anyway - really can't be asking me to commit to a work environment I prefer less when the company doesn't have the legroom to make it clear I'm valued after 5 years on the job. But aside from that, I want to move out of Idaho sooner rather than later. One of the actual advantages of this job is that they're willing to accommodate that since they're still getting good work out of us. Sloppier, maybe more distracted work at times, but the team hasn't really suffered from WFH. I wonder what everyone's thinking about tiny houses lately. Seems like it's been a trend for a long time, way too small for my tastes, but I have to imagine if someone wants to downsize their mortgage situation, being able to put something together that's still fairly luxurious but very efficient with its use of space and materials would be a strong way to 'live within your means'... if we can figure out the land situation. I'm always paying attention to the insane plots of land you see on these shows/videos and have to imagine the cost just to own that parcel is more than you're saving by living in what amounts to a premium trailer. There's always this disconnect between how efficient and affordable the house itself is, and how huge the lawn ends up. I'm big on the idea of moving away from the total waste that we live with today. Too much house, too much land, too much reliance on vehicles and consuming too much. There's a better way to do all of this, and frankly when you see it or experience it, you just know it feels right. We're way too cooped up, too reliant on technology, trying to find temporary relief in the form of more dopamine from our internet boxes. I think it does a lot of us good to step back and find pleasure in the simple things.
    7
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  14394. Michael, you are spot on. You won’t believe what happening in Marin County, California. Most all cities in Marin County are going 100% electric for new builds. You cannot build a new house unless it’s all electric. No natural gas is permitted. The people never voted on this. It was decided by city councils in each city. Solution for lowering energy costs: turn on the oil faucet full blast, reinstate Keystone pipeline immediately, go nuclear, hydro electric with our dams, wind turbines, solar,etc . Open up the free market and let competition bring markets price down. It will happen very quickly. Forget about foreign affairs for awhile, put American first , get everyone working again, build strong military, audit all politicians especially all governors, senators and each incoming Presidents. Find out who is buying these politicians! If possible put wind turbines on inland’s, hill tops,and above sky scrapers in large cities like San Francisco. Solar on all flat roofs in regional shopping centers. Build more aqua canals to capture water then use the force of the water to generate electricity via hydro electric turbines. We must think outside the box. We might have to put people first for a while before the environment. Create competition, I guarantee you , prices will start dropping. I’m talking supply side economics, it works in most instances. This plan will not work with most Democrats. They are the ones that don’t understand simple economics. I studied economics in college. However, it’s old fashion common sense. Most Democrats are Not into Economics. This is the main reason our country is f….. up. Audit Biden, there you will find out who bought him. It’s real simple
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  14565. Most Americans are bad with money and worse at math, but are also perpetual optimists. If you understand this, it all makes sense. Story of my neighbors: the husband just got laid off, the wife is still working, so even with unemployment benefits, their household income has been reduced by a significant amount. They just bought a new 75 inch flatscreen tv. Because it was "on sale" and they're "saving money". They put their old 65 inch on the curb (still working) and some scavengers came and collected it (there's a good side hustle, collecting other people's castoffs). Oh, and the husband is sure he'll find a job "after the benefits run out". Going to take a long vacation until then! Saw it, wanted it, bought it, it's on the credit card, how will we pay it off? Who knows? My neighbors are NOT a unique case--I'd say most people are like that. Hell, people bought entire houses on impulse, what's a $1100 flatscreen tv or a $45,000 car compared to that? I'm no financial genius and not rich, but I never carry credit card debt, drive a well-maintained car that I paid off years ago with 0% financing and another one I inherited from my dad, and have cash on hand for emergencies. And my television is over a decade old, but it works just fine, so why get another one? I have no financial worries because I've always lived below my means. The materialism of Americans is one of the biggest problems in our society: it's the source of a lot of stress, and part of it (not all of it) self-inflicted.
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  14708. I was born and raised in Florida and have been all over the state. I now reside in South Carolina (moved for a job years ago). I was born in Clearwater Beach, Florida and it’s a wonderful place - you are right that it has a small town vibe. I’ve lived in Port Saint Lucie and Fort Pierce as a young child and loved it. The area has since changed and doesn’t have the wonderful “Old Florida” feel that I loved so much as a child. My family moved to Jacksonville, Florida when I was around 8 years old. Jacksonville was a great place to grow up in but the city has changed a lot as well (still have family there). The best sides of town in Jacksonville are the Southside and Beaches (South Jax Beach). When I was in my early 20’s, I moved out to Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida and absolutely loved it! It’s a wonderful, upscale, small beach community. I would always go to St. Augustine on my days off (I was in real estate as well). St. Augustine is my favorite place! Just like you, I can’t explain it as it just has this amazing vibe to me. Anastasia Island (where the beaches are) is so beautiful and natural. I’ve even thought about moving back and living near St. Augustine (maybe Vilano Beach or Anastasia Island). I will say that St. Augustine can get very crowded on the weekends due to it being a tourist town but that’s part of the charm. The Spanish architecture is breathtaking. Another great town/city is Fernandina Beach/Amelia Island. My brother lives there and my husband and I have visited many times. It’s very beautiful and has many historic areas around there as well. Great job on the places that you picked! I have family in Orlando as well and have spent a lot of time there. Tons of things to do but traffic can be a nightmare at times (especially around International Drive). However, traffic has really gotten crazy pretty much everywhere in Florida and in South Carolina (where I live now). South Carolina is beautiful and the people are so nice here but I catch myself missing my home state of Florida often. In fact, I found your channel because I was needing my Florida fix. Thanks for posting all your videos. Very informative and entertaining! 😊
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  14730. I've been following you regularly for over a year and half, before moving to FL and you were one of the people I learned a lot from before buying my house last year in St. Pete. I think you are spot on with all that you're talking about, we live in a very shitty time and it's scary. However, I cannot even start to express how glad I am to be facing all this from here and from my own home. I was so sick of renting and of listening in on all my neighbors up north, all the things I could do or not do. Finally... freedom. Yes! I don't want to believe the American Dream is dead. I'm super glad I bought my home when I did. I was able to put a large portion upfront and only took $100k in mortgage and was able to pay that off in 1 year. So now I'm living rent free and I don't worry much about my investment in this Real Estate. Although sales have slowed down, here in St. Pete home prices continue to rise and my house has already appreciated. Plus, as you were saying, it's the lifestyle. This is where I live. And one day (Thanks to the Ladybird Deed) it will be my daughter's. What's better than to leave behind a fully paid off house? I wouldn't go back for anything. Fingers crossed our Governor wins and for the rest of the BS all around, bring it on. Its a lot easier to be a prepper when you can grow food and collect rain water in your backyard and just in general get the f*** away from the crowds and insane restrictions all over the country. One reason why I did not pick Miami as a place to buy. . Keep it up, but be a bit more optimistic :) Florida is still pretty free as compared to many other places. One reason to be greateful.
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  15052. I actually live in both places -- CA and FL. I live in FL (St. Pete) from November through April. And then in CA (SF Bay area) the other months. Weather: WAY better in Florida in the winter months. WAY better in CA in the summer months. People: I don't notice a difference at all in the attitudes of the people I deal with. Good, friendly people (and, sure, some obnoxious people too) in both places. Cost of living: much more affordable to live in FL, of course. Activities: Of course, there are really no winter sports in FL. When I was younger, I spent my winters on the ski slopes, but I'm older now (61) and avoid the cold, so that's not an issue for me anymore. However, if you're into winter sports (skiing, snowboarding, snowmobiling, etc..) you certainly can't do that in FL. But, if you're into the beach life, FL is FAR superior to CA. In spite of CA's "surfer image", the water is TOO COLD -- especially in the SF Bay area. All the surfers wear wet suits, that's how cold it is -- even in the summer months. Down in the LA/San Diego area, the water is warmer, but the beaches are nowhere near as nice as FL's beaches. Restaurants/shopping/amenities: I really don't notice a difference in quality of shopping/restaurants between CA and FL. Well, except sushi (can't seem to find a really good sushi place in FL). Most other amenities (healthcare, for example) are about the same in both states. Homelessness: much, much worse in CA. Especially in San Francisco and LA. Traffic: in the major metropolitan areas in CA (SF Bay Area, Sacramento, LA, San Diego), the traffic is HORRENDOUS. Aside from the Miami area in FL, nothing in FL comes close to the traffic in CA. All that being said.... If I was forced to pick a place to live (CA vs, FL), I'd choose FL. I'm here right now and I love it... And btw: the mask mandates and proof of vaccination, etc. I just adapt to what's happening in each state -- I just go with the flow and don't let it bother me. It takes a few days to adjust in each state, but it's mostly a non-issue. I.e., I mostly go without a mask in FL, but wearing a mask in CA doesn't bother me in the least. There are way more important things to fret about...
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  15505. I really enjoyed this video Michael. Several of the things you mentioned would also be on my list especially the investing information. As for my list, from my soon to be 53 year old perspective let’s see. 1. I wish I had gotten a degree in just anything rather than thinking I had to know specifically which thing to get one in. If I had even a two year degree it would open many more doors that sometimes even experience won’t open for me due to employer requirements. That being said, I have been very fortunate for the most part when it comes to employment and income for someone with only a high school diploma. I think that’s much more difficult to do now than it was back in the 80’s and 90’s in you are in traditional occupations. 2. I wish I hadn’t gotten so comfortable so early on and that I had taken more chances work wise. I had a really great job that paid crazy good the environment was great so I stayed for 23 years. Then things changed literally overnight. Oh the places my career could have gone had I just chanced being uncomfortable more during that time. 3. I wish I had NEVER gotten on the credit card wagon. I’m still working on that at 52! But I am so much closer than I have ever been to paying everything off. 4. I wish I had traveled more both domestically and internationally during my 20’s and 30’s. I had planned to make up for lost time during my 50’s, but now the world has changed so much that I don’t think I will ever get the chance. 5. I wish I had thought to look at my parents and other “grown-ups” lives more when I was just out of high school. I should have paid more attention to how happy or not happy they were living the life they had created. Maybe I would have chosen a less traditional work path than the one I chose. Maybe I wouldn’t have bought into the get married, have kids, get a job and retire 50 years later mentality. Maybe I would have explored more and picked a lifestyle that would have given me more freedom or stability or something. 6. I really wish that I had NOT stopped running and taking better care of my health back in 2015. I have tried and tried to get back to that way of life and every dang time my body betrays me. LOL 7. I wish I had gone on and moved to Maui or Pensacola right out of high school rather than getting married right away. Would have been so much easier to do at that age than it was in my late 40’s with a plate loaded down with responsibilities. 8. I wish I had made more friends and enjoyed life more from age 20-44. I was married and working at that time. It was a very routine, solitary and boring existence now that I look back in it. Maybe what I mean is I should have been more selective in my choice of husband because at that young of an age you really don’t know who you are and you allow the other person to shape and influence you so much. You let go of who you could have become in a large way. All of that being said, I am very grateful for the choices I made and the life I’ve led. Would be awesome to have a redo with 53 years of experience to put behind the decisions, but I guess that’s all just part of it isn’t it. Who knows, if I had made all of the different decisions that I mentioned above my list might have ended up with wishes for the life that I actually have lived instead!
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  15679. I'll be turning twenty in five days so this video is perfect for me. I see a lot of similarities between you in your twenty's and me now. Hopefully I can follow through with your advice and make the best out of this decade in my life. I guess I'll talk about where I'm at now. I have lived in Ohio my whole life, got about 15k saved, will be taking a two week road trip around Florida with my father in April or May and moving to the Tampa Bay area around June hopefully. Never been to Florida but I like it hot and hate cold weather and love everything I see in videos and pictures. So beautiful and so many things to do. Just learning to drive now and I'm having an old car lended to me as a gift so I got room for error when it comes to finances. I don't blame you for taking so many trips to the beach in your 20s. It was something I'm sure you looked forward to doing for a long time when you were in Illinois and I'm sure it felt rewarding each time you went for a long time. Still does I'm sure. It's good to have career goals but I guess the satisfaction of going to the beach and doing other fun stuff in Florida is worth delaying whatever other goals you have. That's how it seems like it'll be for me but who knows. We are all different. I do wish I was more established on social media by this point but I have done quite a bit in my teens (which are coming to a close this week). Especially with the account I'm using to comment right now. What I really need to work on is time management and slacking. I want to read more and follow through with my schedule I make for myself daily but I'm a slave to YouTube lol. I hope I spend less time watching videos on YouTube in my 20s. Or at least only watch what I intend to do when hoping on. Finally, I need to work on being content the most. It's important to work hard and have goals and not just go through life wandering what's next but it's important to be happy and satisfied with where your currently at. It's way more peaceful mentally that way. Which is hard to do when your still walking to work in cold fricken Ohio like me lol but I seriously think this year will be by far my most important yet. By the end of this year, I'll be driving and living 800+ miles away from most my family in Florida and doing so much more on my own and paying bills and get groceries and everything else you gotta do. Most people my age are scared as hell when it comes to learning to drive, moving out, paying bills, doing adult things on your own. But I'm soooooooo ready for change. What would scare me waaaay more is continuing to live the life I'm living now. Stuck at home in Ohio with no car and rotting in my room on YouTube outside of working and church each day. Which would be awful if I was still doing by the end of this year. Anyways, that was a lot lol my apologies but I've learned a lot about Florida from your videos and watching your videos gets me motivated to do what I need to do. Wanted to move to Florida since 2018 and this year is where it'll finally become a reality!
    6
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  15692. Hi - enjoy your videos. One thing you didn't mention - perhaps this has been mentioned in some of your other videos - homeowner's insurance. I considered moving to FL about 2 yrs ago and got insurances quotes on a few condos in Delray Beach/Ford Lauderdale/West Palm area and was surprised to learn about things like "roof clips" (being up north, never heard of such a thing), and that anything built before 2005 (I think) was going to be heap more to insure. Also flood insurance - does the building carry it? Is the house or building in a flood zone? The flood zone maps change. A place that might not have previously been in a flood zone might now be in one. (Also beware of sink hole alley in the middle of the state over to Tampa area). A friend has a condo in a low rise building in South Beach and the 2017 hurricane caused a huge amount of very, very expensive damage down there. His unit is on the 5th floor of a modern building (built in '09, I think) and is cement (CBS I think it's called) yet still sustained tons of damage (water came pouring in thru the roof, damaging the crap out of elevators, and just about every unit from the top (8th) floor down.) He and his neighbors all found themselves battling it it out with their insurers on everything, and as a result it took a VERY long time for repairs to get done. One unit would finally be repaired, (new drywall, new flooring, etc) after several months, but some other units wouldn't be finished until nearly a year after the fact, so there was construction noise basically every day for about a year and a half in his building. And this was typical of all of the buildings in his neighborhood. I didn't ask, but I'm guessing his already sky high insurance premium probably went thru the roof after that (so to speak!) And this was after just one hurricane. FL has how many storms and storm surge events every year? People from other climes need to be aware of the FL insurance costs. It is a whole different and VERY expensive ballgame from what we are used to up north.
    6
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  15782. Hi Michael, i have to admit that you have an excellent online presence and i think you will do very well with your youtube channel. You just come across as a very sincere and honest individual. As such, i want to give you some ideas on how you might be able to improve your channel. I may be wrong on my suggestions but at least i wanted to try to assist in any way. I recently decided i want to retire in Florida in 4 years. I am now 53 but only been to Florida about 5 times in my life. I have been doing lots of research trying to find videos describing all of the different beach side communities to target based on my own criteria. However, its not been easy to find many good ones. You have done great reviews on some of the beaches near Miami and i think if you extended such videos to the many many other beachside communities across the state you might be able to increase your subscribers and views. For example, between Miami and Jacksonville there are dozens of beachside communities that you could review. So e could be marketed to someone like myself who wants to find a beachside community where i can walk to nice cafes and just has a overall nice downtown area whereas others may want more seclusion. Of course, this would take lots of effort but i for one would watch most of them to get an idea as to which community i could focus on when making my first research trips to Florida. This alone could give you hundreds of videos that i think many people thinking about moving to Florida would find valuable. But like i said its a lot of work as you would need to drive to these areas to film and discuss all of such communities. Anyway, i wish you the best and i will continue to go through the remainder of your videos. Bests. Oh - i also love the feeling of buying gold and silver and understand your rationale for buying it. I also got my real estate license while back in college but never really did much with it. Instead, spending my career in finance working and teaching finance/investments as a adjunkie. Now just looking to chill in Florida soon.
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  16001. Millennial are in a tough situation because if you are in a market where jobs exist that allow you to afford a house, then chances are you can't afford to buy there. If you save enough $ to purchase something, due to working in a market with good jobs, chances are you will have to move away and pray to Jesus that your company doesn't just decide that making that Remote job you landed even more Remote by sending it to India or Turkey for about 1/10th the cost. These people can work these jobs, their local markets can even allow them to afford families, buy homes etc. You cannot do this. Many of them were sold on the idea that "you will be homeless if you don't go to college! It doesn't matter what for! Companies will respect that you got educated and you will making a million dollars over your life time!" by their guidance counselors in school. This is not the case any more, employees don't give a crap about your degree because everyone else has one. So now you are just stuck w/ 60k of debt that you have to pay back as entrance to a shrinking middle class. New housing feels like it is being built everywhere no one wants to live. The future is not car dependent high energy usage and some how maintaining sprawling infrastructure. It's unsustainable. We need to build more in the cities where people's lives exist! Everything feels hyper corrupt. Nothing will change for the younger generation until the rich Boomers die. The challenge is some how stopping them from selling off the entire country before that happens in an attempt to keep their cushy life going. They don't care about you, nor do they care about the working class boomers who are struggling in this env and will most likely sell off their homes and assets instead of handing them down to their children. The medical industrial complex will make sure of that, entire life savings will go away to keep grandma alive another 5 days instead of providing a home or savings for their grand children. Hard times. However, you never know, there is always opportunity if you are lucky and smart.
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  16753. This is a very insightful comment. My own situation reflects it. First I’ll say that I got where I am starting from a relatively poor upbringing and with just a high school diploma, so I don’t much relate to the wealthy cohort of our society, even though I’ve been sufficiently fortunate to join them in the top few percent. I’ve been living in The Philippines for over five years, having come here from Boca Raton, FL, and I was planning to move back a couple years ago. The covid lockdowns with shortages on everything needed to start over in short supply. I looked back at America and thought, if there’s shortages on toilet paper then what will be my experience trying to furnish and outfit a new home (I’d sold everything when I moved overseas so would be starting from scratch when I returned, even needing yo buy a car upon landing back in Florida). So I decided to wait out the pandemic. But having done that I see the house prices up by an enormous percentage and inflation having pushed up all other costs. So I, along with my spending, will remain overseas until things normalize. That means my investment income is being spent overseas and not into the American economy, and it means my savings will remain locked up until home prices and inflation in general come back down to earth. The wealthy can sidestep these issues and would be crazy not to. Why should I pay 20-30% more for a home and new car if I can comfortably wait here in paradise? I’ll get back to Florida eventually to buy my dream retirement home. My intention is to continue to travel six months of each year anyway, and so I’ll just do that traveling from here until things shift in my favor back in the USA.
    5
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  17042. Hey Michael, Really loved your walking & talking tour of "The Strand" from Hermosa Beach to Manhattan Beach!!! As a former Manhattan Beach, Hermosa Beach, Redondo Beach & El Segundo resident, the "Beach Cities" & the South Bay area of Los Angeles will always be "My Home in My Heart!!! Your walk down "The Strand" brought back sooooooo many Awesome memories of walking, jogging & biking down "The Strand"!!!! Way too many to type out here in the comments section... "The Strand" was a major part of my life in California!!! At 22:20 the Big Grey House with the Bright Blue Awnings on the corner right before you go up the stairs is the famous Beach House that was filmed in the TV Show Beverly Hills 90210 when Kelly & Donna moved to beach for the Summer!!! I can personally confirm that living in Manhattan Beach, Hermosa Beach, Redondo Beach & El Segundo is the best quality living in California!!! I was 100% happy living there & the only reason I left was because I got priced out & decided to give Florida a try which is where I have been living for the last 3 years. There is only one California & there is only "One California Vibe & California Attitude & California Atmosphere & California Lifestyle & California Scenery" that cannot be duplicated!!! On your next trip to Los Angeles, I highly recommend attending an outdoor concert at the famous "Hollywood Bowl"!!!! Attending a concert at the "Hollywood Bowl" is a "Classic LA" thing to do & an absolute must do!!! And what everyone does, is they pack a nice picnic basket with food & wine & go there 2-3 hours before the concert starts & have an awesome picnic party inside the venue in all the various picnic areas!!! The outside amphitheater is built into the side on the Hollywood Hills.... Just an overall Awesome experience!!! It is very festive & soooooo much FUN & soooooo very classic LA!!! Cheers!!!
    5
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  17814. Raised our family in Tampa and Anna Maria was always a favorite spot for long weekend getaways. And yes, no high rises, that’s what we liked about it. Also, IMHO, compared to Longboat which has a somewhat pretentious vibe (again, just my opinion), Anna Maria has a more “hip” vid. Little town off Bradenton Beach on the island is awesome - cool outdoor dinning, drinking a beer listening to a Jimmy Buffet wannabe kinda thing. Quiet, independently owned crepe place for breakfast, etc. And as Michael said, the trees - lots of native pine on the island which is cool mix with the palms - like a woodsy feel and the beach - look left, woods - look right, beach. Not to mention the all important shade during FL summers. Definitely a fan and wanted to take the time to post what I see as the difference of AMI compared to all the other gulf coast beaches. It’s a couple miles from Longboat but totally different vibe … into art galleries, fine dining, condos = Long Boat, Sarasota … into chill, eclectic, hip = AMI. I obviously have an opinion but try best to present this as depends on what you’re looking for :). And Michael - the public bath and restaurant is also the public parking for the beach so always crowded at that spot. Draws locals from miles around and for a day trip that’s where they/we go. Get away from the public parking and access and chills out a bit. But they do/used to at least have all you can eat pancake and sausage breakfast on the beach on the weekends - our kids always enjoyed that (here kids, fest on some pancakes - now go play in the water, don’t cramp up, harder to get away from the sharks then :) ).
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  18231. There is a difference between want to sell and forced to sell. Demand will only rise when the bargains appear. When you have an expected unemployment factor coupled with defaults then inventory will rise and push prices down especially on those owners stressed and unable to make the payments. If by some bizarre reason unemployment is not significantly in big numbers in 2024, then I suspect the market will remain static until the buyer can qualify even at 6% interest mortgage rate. Since the bond market has usurped the Feds rate, then that 6% target may be difficult to reach as the norm. The problem is a large portion of the buying public will lose equity on their home waiting for prices to come down with interest rates in order to qualify for a mortgage. Many of us have been convinced this 2024 down turn is a normal swing in the economy, but try to convince some 250 banks and the emergency funds Fed window trying to stay solvent. Tell the investors who put their money in "mezzanine loan portfolios" in commercial real estate aka like second and third mortgages that are worthless in an auction and sarcasticly the housing market will improve. They are running for the aisles. This is NOT a normal down cycle, but it will be an election year and I do not think the transparency information quotient will be at an all time high. Grab the popcorn and take a seat. Nobody is addressing the Federal budget 1 trillion interest payment on the national debt each year sucking capital out of the market intended for private investors. Deflation is not the cure for growing an economy since the Keysians cannot have it both ways. We are about to enter weird times and unusual dynamics. Very disheartening for the younger generation and those trying to raise a family. Chin up, try to live within your means.
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  18467. Hey Michael ... I know how you feel. I've been through what you're feeling three times in my life! I could write a novel based on my life experience. But in short it went like this ... Southern California for 13 years. Moved away when I was 18 to Fort Lauderdale Florida for 12 years. (Did the whole beach thing, I lived through terrifying hurricane Andrew, heat+humidity, It was time to leave). Then back to California to San Francisco for 5 years. (Beautiful but expensive). Then the Pacific Northwest for 13 years. (Got stuck in an upside-down mortgage during The Great Recession of 2008. With 9 months of gray skies and torrential rain, I had to leave the state) and so recently I did. You might be thinking how I got courage, and motivation to uproot my life, say goodby to friends, family and everything familar and move multiple times? Well, It's careful planning, but mostly its responding to that strong feeling in our hearts that pulls us in a certain direction. After loosing both parents not too long ago I realized more than ever how precious and short life is. It is important to live life to the fullest without regrets or fear before we're to old or too scared to do live life. With planning you can follow your heart and dreams no matter what it is. Think about this ... How will you feel when you're 70 regretting that you never gave it a shot? If you don't like it after some time you can always move back, or move somewhere else. But if your gut is reeling, and your heart is puling you in a certain direction that's a sign from God, or the universe, or intuition, whatever you want to call it, that you got to give it a shot. Only YOU will know this. The thing is, you're still young and time is on your side. I say if it's what you want, GO FOR IT.
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  18517. Hello again Michael, another thought provoking video. Great choice of location to shoot from Bro. Love the natural beauty of that place. I have said before the pandemic has changed everything in terms of where people can work, and coupled with the massive amount of people retiring, plus the high market, there are still people looking to sell and bug out to their desired location. You touched on something I think is huge that has fueled the migration south. Here in the DC Metro area the housing costs have always been high. Therefore, moving from this area to a less expensive area is a no brainer. Many folks that own their home like some potential retired folks can afford sell up here and buy in a traditionally less expensive warm place like Florida, Texas, Arizona, and Nevada for example. Plus depending on their desire, they have options of House or Condo. They can down grade or upgrade or keep the same level of amenities. Some of these individuals could be chasing location and still plan to work from their dream location. This is a huge part of the surge in the warm places one could work or retire. Plus, people in these types of positions could also seek the retirement friendly nature of some states that don't tax retirement income. So, i don't see the markets in these high demand areas changing much. Plus, as one administration moves out we always get an influx of people coming into the area, that fuels sales too along with all the other market forces. Moving to a less expensive area and a more retirement income tax friendly state has always been a part of my retirement plan. It just makes sense and other people are doing the same thing. This is real money that could go in the pocket instead of towards tax. People that understand how money works think how to keep more of their money.
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  18681. I have to comment because, well, I live here. I've always lived in cities. Born and raised and lived in the NYC area most of my life, then in Los Angeles. Flagler is a weird mix of people. It's mainly middle class boomer retirees from the Northeast. I would say that mix is around 70% conservative suburban types, and 30% old artsy hippie types. Add to that seasonal snowbird types from those same areas, and even some European travelers from Jan to May, then loads of local tourists that come in for the day or a week in the summer. The "run down" look I would argue is more "not developed". Run down implies that it's not maintained. It is, however there's no real attempt to cultivate an overall look. Eg. there are old and ugly commercial buildings across the st. from the Pier and coming in from the bridge. There are also some quaint buildings in and around. One odd feature is that the most attractive and charming houses are not along the beach but a block or more in. But yeah, there's nothing that gives Flagler Beach any distinct character other than no character. I think part of this is intentional and the locals are fine with the amount of attention that it gets. If you are a Gen X type, like me, it will probably have little to no appeal. Nothing punk rock or exciting here unless you like live, classic rock at a local bar, or attending a drum circle on the beach. There is no local art community showing their experimental films, or music scene, or theater group. If you ask anyone what their favorite independent band or movie is, you'll get back the most obvious reply. There's a reason I moved back to California twice, in the last 10 years. However I can say very honestly that at this point, I have zero interest in being anywhere else.
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  19011. The whole push to replace all gas cars with electric in my opinion is complete nonsense. I own a golf cart repair shop so I am very familiar with electric powered vehicles, and I actually much prefer them to gas. The problem is when it comes to automobiles the whole philosophy the industry has is at odds with the actual use case of EVs. The main problem is that they are trying to make EVs have comparable driving range to ICE cars which means they have to use massive battery packs to achieve this. This is incredibly wasteful considering all the rare materials (lithium, cobalt, etc) and would not even be feasible at the propsed scale due to the limited amount of these resources. They are also difficult to recycle, which combined with the fact most electricity is still generated using fossil fuels means EVs have a worse environmental impact than ICE. It would be far more practical to replace half of cars with a smaller golf cart type EV which could be used for around town trips, and have a second ICE vehicle for longer journeys. If the politicians actually cared about the environment they would then build an adequate electric rail network with stations that are within range of these small EVs, so it would be possible to get around without burning any fuel. Most golf carts use lead batteries which last for around 5 years, can be infinitely recycled, and are universal so can be purchased about anywhere and only run about $800 for a complete set. There are lithium carts as well but those batteries are considerably smaller than the ones needed for cars. And electric trains don't need batteries at all since they can draw their power from the track. In my opinion the whole electric car push seems to be motivated not by environmentalism but consumerism. It doesn't take a genius to see the supposed benefits don't add up, however by going down that path you now force everyone who owns a car to go and buy a new one. Electric cars also have to be replaced every 10 years since the batteries will be dead and cost more than the cars value to replace. This of course is great news for the auto manufacturers, which is why the majority of them are actually pushing for EVs
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  19142. Thanks for the video Michael. I was telling you before I was hoping I don't get priced out. I feared this would happen. I'm several years away from retiring. I was trying to be ahead of the game and pandemic happened. I was telling you the pandemic changed everything, with the ability to work anywhere. I think this really depends on what city you are looking in and what price point you are at. Moreover, part of this shortage is being created by these investor corporations buying up properties. They want to rent these properties for big bucks, particularly in the most desirable locations like major cities. Take Daytona you posted on, prices are way better there. Different market there, not a major hub for people. I have been dreaming of South Florida like Fort Lauderdale, Hollywood, West Palm, Doral, prices have spiked 30-50K depending on where you looking. Plus the corporations will just out bid you, way over the asking. That is an issue. If you are not rich, you won't be able to own in these places. It is reported that an investment corporation purchased an entire subdivision in Texas. The little guy always gets shafted. The fancy/super car car markets are full of speculators now too. A naturally aspirated manual shift dream car will be out of reach for the true car guys. I think the rule here is to be level headed. Planning, patience, and do your home work before doing anything in these times. Never buy any home guys/gals without an offer contingent on an inspection and have a Buyer agent working for you. The seller ends up paying their commission so essentially their services are free to you!
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  19274. I read a brief news article last night about the Port Royale and immediately thought of you Michael. I knew you were going to mention it in your next video but I did not expect the complete and detailed on the scene reporting which was a very pleasant surprise. I should not be surprised though. You are always very real and thorough with everything. I would love to see that implosion, thank you. I know exactly what you meant by being annoyed when they were doing construction work on your building. I am going through that right now. I live in a very old apartment complex North of Seattle that was built in the late 60s maybe early 70s. There are 5 buildings each 3 stories high. I live on the 2nd floor. They are doing major construction, removing the old siding and replacing them, repairing all the patios, removing and rebuilding them when needed. Mine have been unusable for the last 2 years because one side is detached from the wall and I'm afraid if I step outside on it it would fall down. Then they're going to paint the whole place. The noise is very bad. Monday- Friday 8am-5pm. And it's going to take months for them to finish everything. I work graveyard shifts 4 nights a week. I need to sleep during the day but now I can't. Only a few hours after 5pm. You'd think they would give us a discount on the rent because of all the inconvenience but of course they don't. I feel bad for all the tenants in the Port Royale. They will have a hard time finding another affordable place to live in that area.
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  20355. That first buyer's story was quite familiar in some ways. My husband and I bought our midwest house in the year 2000. It's old (built in 1920) and is a story-and-a-half craftsman type with an unfinished basement which does not have a lot of head room. When we bought it, we did know that the front porch was sagging. What we didn't know was that the so called inspector was lazy or incompetent. He didn't even check the electric wiring; hubby found out the hard way that turning off the right breaker in the basement didn't stop the current; someone had used the conduit as ground! So when hubby disconnected the conduit, 4 other breakers were using it as a return path. I heard the arc from upstairs and came running to find him cursing and holding a half a melted screwdriver. So lucky he didn't get zapped. There were so many things little and big that needed attention. We tore off and replaced the sagging front porch with its broken windows, first. Bigger porch with a heater and lots of (dual paned) windows. Then we had to address some of the basement issues, adding a storage area and getting a new HVAC system. Then replaced the siding and other windows on rest of house. Lived with other issues over the years while we accumulated funds. Several years ago we decided to renovate the living room and downstairs bedroom. Every time we did something, old poor quality work (decades old) would come to light. At some time, someone had had that insulation blown into the walls by drilling holes from the outside. It settled like cereal in a box and left HUGE gaps in the walls between each stud. The interior walls were lath and plaster, so we had no choice but to remove all that (backbreaking work; lucky we have a utility trailer) and put up fiberglass insulation batts. Had to have the roof reshingled and new gutters. Then our big humongous ash tree started getting sickly (ash borer) and we had to have that removed. Then the deck (there when we moved in) began rotting and we had to remove it and have a new one put on. Spendy! Currently dealing with downstairs bathroom, have it stripped and trying to come up with ways to replace all the rotten flooring. Slow process dealing with all the poor/shoddy previous work. TL;DR Dealing still with crappy old renovations 20+ years into owning an old house.
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  20373. It’s the dream of so many to live at the beach, but climate change and growing population combined with the fact that they aren’t making new land means it’s becoming extremely expensive to find that slice of paradise. Not just in the cost of real estate but also the cost of insurance and maintenance against the ravages of salt air and water. When I lived in Boca Raton, on the mainland side of the intracoastal in a condo right on the intracoastal and side canals, I came to a valuable realization. And that is, it’s maybe better to live near the beaches (plural) than to spend a lot more and live right on a beach (singular). And the reason is that you pay a huge premium to be on the beach and…. It’s only one beach. In Florida, as anywhere, there’s a lot of variety in the character and vibe of the many beaches. Where I lived it was 1 mile to the Spanish River bridge, and once I pedaled across that I could go north or south to a number of different beaches. Some more natural and secluded (Ocean Ridge to the north), some with cool beach restaurant and bar vibes (Deerfield beach to the south or Delray to the north), some with volleyball and surfers and kite surfers, some with long fishing piers. If you spend all your gold to be on one beach you might become bored with that beach, and too house poor that you can no longer afford to travel to other beaches or vacation destinations. And then there’s the risk that your chosen beach changes over the years to something less than it was when you first arrived (as Michael is seeing in this video). Nope, better to live back a bit, for less money, so that you’ll be forced to get out and explore, and you’ll have remaining discretionary spending budget to do so.
    5
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  21597. You featured the place I just closed on last week in Lauderdale-by-the-Sea (7:00). LOL. Needless to say, it is not for sale, although I suspect the listing agent (whom I have never met) is doing something highly unethical by listing my unit "for sale." I actually reached out to Zillow and they said they couldn't do anything about it since it is in the MLS. Very, very shady... Anyway, where to begin... first of all, this unit is no longer for sale (obviously). Secondly, I did not pay $199K for it; I actually paid a little bit more due to a competing offer situation. Thirdly, the kitchen and bathroom have not been updated since the 1970s (!) and it badly needs new (impact) windows/doors (which explains why there were no interior photos in the listing). Fourthly, it is a stock cooperative, not a condo, so there are very strict bylaws that have to be followed, e.g., no renting is permitted, ever. Fifthly, no financing is permitted; cash only. So, as you suspected, there are some asterisks/caveats to this listing. Now, if you can deal with all of that, it is a very well-run, well-maintained building with solid financials/reserves, a 24-hour doorman in the lobby and relatively low monthly HOA ($404/month), which includes basic cable TV and 1 parking space. But most importantly, it is right on the ocean and the SE views of the ocean and the NW views of Lauderdale-by-the-Sea to Hillsboro and beyond are SPECTACULAR. The residents/members are a bit, uh, on the mature side, but they are super friendly and outgoing (mainly snowbirds from the Northeast and Midwest). I was initially a bit nervous about being the only non-white resident in the building, but my concerns were very quickly laid to rest. So I have some gut renovations planned and I expect to spend an additional $50-60K on that. But when all is said and done, I will have a beautiful, "brand new," modern little winter nest looking over the ocean for well under $1K/month including HOA, insurance, property taxes and utilities. My intention is to live half the year there and half the year in NYC, but I may be tempted to make LBTS my full time home if I can tolerate the summer. This is pretty much the cheapest oceanfront living arrangement you can find in the Fort Lauderdale area, period, and it's actually a really nice situation if you can deal with the stipulations.
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  21682. The situation that is created basically helped everyone who had a loan and changed jobs for more pay. People who didn't have a loan, rented or didn't get a pay raise got screwed over. Definitely unfortunate. Miami is going to become the next California. The best way to prevent price increases is to prevent people from moving there. Not just talking about immigration but also including other Americans. State government should charge an incoming tax for non residents if they cared for the locals. The way Florida handled the mask mandate is what attracted people to move there and increased the price on homes and rentals. That's not the only reason people moved there. The stock market wants to go up. When the easing stops, I think it'll keep going up. If it drops, hopefully people will be able to buy more. How many of those people who are wishing for a crash, decided to wait for a crash in 2020 and will still have their jobs after the crash? I know people who lost their job while waiting and gave up on looking. They were able to buy years ago but chose to time the market and get foreclosures. Everyone thinks their job is guaranteed and their ish don't stink. People think they're job will survive anything. No job is guaranteed, things can change and it's best to take advantage of the time you qualify. I've lost my job over a presidential decision and I don't even work for the president. I've lost income for different reasons many times. Wishing for a crash sounds like wishing for someone else to become homeless so you can receive. That crash might not happen. I'll be surprised if it goes the way people are hoping for.
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  21836. I agree with you on a lot of what you said about St. Augustine. The issue with St. Augustine is like you said, it's booming. When I was there last year I viewed 15 to 20 properties. Residential and multi family. Near downtown you could find a 3 bedroom 2 bath for around 450k. There weren't many but you could find some they needed minimal work. I haven't even checked lately because I know the number now is so dumb it's a waste of time looking. A duplex near downtown was 650k and up with a 6% cap rate. Which I know a lot of people are ok with that return but it's not for me. I don't think St. Augustine will lose its appeal though. I believe it's what west coasters like me are looking for when they plan to relocate. Small Town vibe with really nice people. And it's next to the water so you can't beat that. But it will crash for sure and sadly for the fools who are buying now, I believe St. Augustine will crash really hard. It just rose so quickly it's not sustainable. For what people are paying the return isn't there. And if there day job goes bye bye so will the investment. In most cases atleast. I know they are building 1000 new homes 20 minutes or so from downtown. I believe they will start at 300k or atleast that was the target 6 months ago lol. But I am doing the same thing as you. Stacking my chips waiting for the crash. I will have to relocate from SoCal to St. Augustine in January and right now it looks like I will relocate as a renter. Hopefully for my sake that market adjustment happens sooner than later. It's always impossible to time those types of things. But I for sure would rather lose a few thousand a year paying that premium on rent than over pay 250k for a home any day lol. Can't wait for the next vid thanks for making this one!
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  22009. My wife loves watching House Hunter TV shows. I find them entertaining because about 90% of those profiled are complete fools. One knucklehead after the next grossly overpaying for properties. Sometimes by many tens of thousands of dollars. This is especially excruciating for those who are looking for second homes ! I would love to see how that's worked out. For years I've whispered during episodes (to the GREAT aggravation of my wife), what do you think is going to happen to these folks when the market corrects itself in the next few years? What a dangerous combination of factors. First, they succumb to the pressure of the sale: there's no inventory, there's going to be a bidding war so come in high, move fast or your dream will be gone. You can almost see their blood pressure rising right there on camera. Second, these buyers have access to money. Not their money, the bank's money. In the end, they see the purchase in the present. Hey, if we go in $50K over asking, it's only a few extra hundred bucks a month in mortgage payments (or some other silly rationale). Rarely looking at how this will impact their lives if there's a job loss, a bad economy, a housing downturn (GASP!), a health scare, or some other unfortunate situation. All these things will happen at some point during your 30-year mortgage. I can do so I should do. Or, I can do, I should do, or someone else will do it. NEVER overpay for anything (especially a home). As soon as pen hits the contract, these people are so deep in the red to the bank the only way out is to find another knucklehead who will once again grossly overpay to dig them out. Now, we're at a point where the market is running out of knuckleheads who will do them that favor. Smart people like us, will once again sit back and dip our big toe back in the market in about two years or so, when all these properties are under value. The cycle continues...
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  22278. I think that people will generally be better off buying in 2022 than they were in late 2021. Of course it depends on each individual market, but I think that it’s highly unlikely that you’ll see anywhere near the kind of home appreciation that we saw last year. I’ve been looking for a place to buy and I’m seeing a lot of price cuts in the last month. I saw a place this morning that sold for 200K that started out with an asking price of 230K. If a home is worth what the seller is asking, and it’s within my price range, I don’t mind buying. I just think that some of these homes are not worth the list price, and that the price is based on easy money and on the hysteria in the housing market that developed over the course of the pandemic. I think that asset bubbles are good for short term gains if you’re a seller but that they’re bad for long term stability, whether it’s the stock market or the housing market (I’m invested in the stock market but I’m glad that the FED Chair is focusing on inflation even if it causes losses in the short term, because it’s better for stability and sustainability in the long term). I will say though that this winter may be the best time to buy if you’re looking to buy this year and you’re seeing price cuts in your market. There aren’t as many people looking to buy right now because so many people already bought, and the pandemic monetary policies are coming to a close, and the FED hasn’t raised interest rates yet, and most people don’t start looking for a home until the weather is nicer, so if you can find something you like now, it may be the best time to buy.
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  22306. Just depends on the situation that will determine whether you should buy. Yes interest rates are going up but I've seen no slowdown here in my city (Orlando, FL). Maybe other markets? Historically real estate has always gone up. Look what happened in 2008 and look where we are at now! My home was probably 175k then. It's worth about 430k right now. So you decide to wait and we probably won't see a pullback like we did in 08. Let's say there's a correction of maybe only 10% and your house is 300k. Is you waiting for a 270k house really worth it though? What if your lease is up? Consider rent prices going up and you could start building equity. What if rents go up considerable where you could just always cover your mortgage and rent covering a substantial portion of your rent with cash flowing your house? Also, I know people want to be close to family and friends and not move from their nest where they grew up. The world is a lot smaller. Consider other markets. I know too many people bound to where their kin are and the feel a sense of attachment. There are good homes to be found in good job markets in other cities. I'm on the side of not being a renter (or living with your parents) indefinitely. You ask yourself is your limited time here on earth worth waiting for something that may or may not come with a market downturn, correction, or crash? Many of the people that lost their minds in 2008 that were underwater on their mortgages that held steady are probably feeling a lot better now for staying the course.
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  22892. That was good, Michael, as I have primarily seen only the historical district, and one jaunt to the beach, on previous trips to St Augustine. Some of those prices for somewhat run-down houses are pretty amazing. All markets have corrections, and St Augustine will, as well. I can find better deals in WPB than what you were showing here. That house where you are staying is quite nice, but not sure of the Ask. You indicated a neighboring house was $550k, which sure seems high. While in Miami, you might want to consider a bread-and-butter house in a safe neighborood, as much of Silicon Valley is going to eventually move to greater Miami, since CA is becoming absurdly over-priced, and terribly run. I knew a teacher couple in Palo Alto that had bought a regular 3 BR 11/2 bath house for around $50k before SV got its real start, and when they retired, they listed their house for $575k, but demand was so high, there was a bidding war, and some young techie bought it for $735k, so they took the money & moved east of Sacto, about an hour from Lake Tahoe, and were set for life. The property taxes had grown higher in Palo Alto, than their original mortgage payments used to be. I have been to Harry's but there are a number of good restaurants, including on St George, the walking street. Flagler College and the Hotel are worth a tour, as Henry Flagler was responsible for Florida's original boom, first in St Augustine, then Orlando, Palm Beach, and places south, with his railroad. Winter Park, north of Orlando has a beautiful original train station he built. That one neighborhood (supposedly, the haunted part), reminds me of some of the neighborhoods in the SC Lowcountry, north of Savannah, Spanish moss and all! Nice driving tour, much of which I had not seen. St Augustine will likely experience less turnover than Miami, but the hot market is driven by low inventory, combined with low interest rates, and high prices for lumber, which makes new construction more expensive.
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  23090.  @MichaelBordenaro  Hi Michael...you are telling us what it is like in FL. Well, let me tell you what it is like LIVING in Southern California.......high rents....really high.....high real estate beyond ridiculous if you have any kind of CA zip code. Taxes, taxes, taxes. Next year our water will be restricted to 22 gals of water a day per person.....enough to have a shower, but not laundry in the same day. Taxes if you have too much concrete in your yard because the rain water will not be absorbed....yeah for real.....) Traffic from hell in L.A. County, Orange County...where I live, San Diego County, no matter what time of day. Inland counties are hot hellholes in the summer in the desert heat. It used to be paradise, but the standard of living is going down rapidly and the cost of living is rising out of control. Litter all over the place, no law and order much anymore. I have lived here for 26 years. It was beautiful until about five years ago. Now it is a shithole.....that is why I want out of here.....probably to move to Florida. Yes, we have lovely weather, (not as nice as it used to be due to climate manipulation....blue skies are fast disappearing) but that is sadly ALL that is left here as a positive. Look VERY carefully if you ever decide to leave FL to live here. It is getting worse by the day. If you have millions, then maybe it can work happily if you do not mind the freeways being a parking lot. Or if you have nothing, then you can get loads of free stuff from the CA government, but if you are in between you are screwed......and the ocean water you seem to love so much is cold and dark colored......not like FL. And the price of gas which never goes down.......do I have to go on.....and on.....and on.....California is truly paradise lost......so, so, so sad. Taking the time to tell you all this because you are being so super helpful to me with all your great videos. (Fellow guitar player....recent subscriber.....Kathryn)
    4
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  23536. Michael, I enjoyed your list. I like some of the areas you mentioned...Coral Gables is really cool, Naples and St Augustine are both great. Palm beach County has a lot to offer in terms of variety...nature, golf, equestrian, fishing, history, upscale shopping, tons of restaurants...and a pretty robust job market. But I am biased...that’s where I live...since 1989. Actually I am a Florida native and I have lived in three different areas of the state and I’m...let’s just say pretty experienced. Born and raised in Tallahassee, lived a decade in the Jacksonville area (that’s why I love St Augustine), and now in PB County. I have relatives and friends all over the state and have vacationed all over the state....so I’m pretty familiar. I divide Florida into two halves, Orlando/south and North of Orlando...Orlando/south is faster paced, more jobs, more expensive, more densely populated, more variety, et. North Fl is slower, less dense, less expensive, ...with Jacksonville being the exception. North Florida has two great college towns in Tallahassee and Gainesville. So it depends on what you want....some of my favorite things: Best beach vacation: Longboat key and Sanibel island (tie) Best golf: palm beach county Best restaurants: I can’t pick, some great restaurants everywhere (some bad ones too) Best history: Palm Beach with all the Henry Flagler stuff Best saltwater fishing: Palm beach (closest to the gulf stream) and the Keys (tie) Best pure nature: everglades (Tallahassee area is nice too) Best theme parks: Orlando (duh) Best river: St Johns Best Place you don’t know: Fernandina Beach Coolest thing to do you don’t know: tubing down the Ichetucknee river Best place to kayak: Fl Keys (there are tons of places in north and South Fl.) If you really want to live in Fl, consider living inland and not on the beach due to cost and hurricane issues....save your money and vacation on the beach... Anybody want more specifics on Fl living, I will be glad to give you my opinion...
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  23542. I am an engineer and architect lived 50 years in Germany and now here North of San Antonio TX. The building has a poor quality of concrete and the steel reinforcing bars are too close to the outside. Water enters in the concrete. Rust builds up and rust destroyed any concrete. Hairline size cracks suck in the water and salty humidity is another big problem. The bad concrete around the steel reinforcing bars has to removed. The steel has to be sandblasted and covered with a special material. After a chemical stucco material has to replace the concrete and painted. Works like a glue. You can see this kind work on bridges, too. On the side a short info about concrete. Steel concrete has very special rules. Rocks, sand, cement water get mixed by weight together to match the classification of concrete for each building which is required. The rock material has to be washed.... dirt would build some kind acid over the years and weaken the concrete. All sand and rocks have certain diameters and sorted and add by weight....... less empty space between the rock and sand particles !. .... Less water in concrete makes it stronger .... more water makes concrete more waterproof but less strong. Here is the problem ... the steel bars have not the right cover on concrete & quality and distance to the outside. demolition??? ... better run ... you get a blast of concrete dust in your lung, eyes.... may they let you not be there.... your YouTuber can watch other blasts on the channel. Hope you be safe....
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  23986. I lived in Sonoma County, California for most of my life until moving to Florida a couple of years ago. Like everybody else has mentioned, California used to be a great state to live in and I remember it as such. It was always kind of expensive, but back then, it felt like you were really getting what you paid for. That's not the case over the last 10 or so years. The state's gotten more expensive, taxes are through the roof, homelessness and wildfires dominate the state's headlines 24/7, and the politics there SUCK, and I'm being polite when I say that the politics suck there. I'd plan on moving out of California with family after I had graduated college a couple years back, but we made the move early due to the pandemic and being relegated to online learning. I thought it would've been difficult since California was my home for the longest time, but I can honestly say it turned out to be one of the best decisions of my life. The policies of the California during the early onset of the covid-19 pandemic was the final straw in my view. I enjoy the freedom here, the different things to do, I like that no matter where you go in any direction you can find great restaurants in a 5-mile radius, and I'm just a few short hours away from WDW. Plus, for me, I've found that employment opportunities are easier to get to and are far more accessible than California. Life is good, and I'm glad to live in a state that believes in individual freedom for real unlike California which claims to do so, but then imposes all of these restrictions on businesses to stay opened or stays locked down for way longer than it needed to. If I don't set foot in California again, I'd be fine with that.
    4
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  24150. Michael it will all crash. I’m old enough to have been through many peaks and crashes. Don’t know how we seem to always buy high. That’s the way it’s always been. I’m glad you are so passionate about it. People are liquefying and investing in properties because they are afraid of a bail in. That’s when the government takes control of your money. They take over the banks. Furthermore, investing in the stock market right now when stock prices are being manipulated is no longer an asset. It’s an asset to Wall Street. Mortgages are also not an asset but it’s an asset to the banks. The portfolio that shows mortgaged properties and stocks and bonds are no longer the individuals’ assets. They are assets for the banks and Wall Street. It’s money going out of the people’s pocket and going into the banks and Wall Street. So people that have cash are investing in something that makes you money coming in, like real estate that you can rent to people. I don’t know how you can say “something has to be done.” By who? Something is being done. Thank God people are liquefying their stocks and buying property. Thank God people that had to go on forbearance are having an opportunity to sell their home instead of foreclosure. Dude, people need to get a backbone. Our great grandparents or grandparents saved every penny for a down payment to buy a home when interests rates were 16%. They did not eat out, or cried and moan having to carry several jobs, raise kids and go to college at the same time. They managed to get a home. We will always be able to do that. Please don’t wait for the government to do something. The government Should not get further involved in our real estate. Dude that’s walking into communism. I’m confused as to why you think everyone should be able to buy an affordable home. That’s not how it works, BUT the opportunity is there if you want to be able to ever buy a home you can. Just have to work hard. Move to a different place. Learn new skills. There is equality of opportunity in the USA. You want equality of outcome. That is not the American way!
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  24271. I find it hard to believe that someone wouldn't know they are required to have home insurance if they have a mortgage on their house. Its also the same with a car loan and most people have car loans. For me, I've always bought second hand cars paid cash and depending on how much the car was worth, had minimal insurance and basically drive them until the wheels fall off. Also if people didn't know, you're not obligated to buy insurance for a motorcycle if you pay cash. I've always had a motorcycle as a second vehicle so in case my car broke down I had some sort of transportation. Plus a motorcycle gets 60mpg has less maintenance cost than a car, so I was able to keep my cars for longer and put less miles on them saving even more money. Now after many years of scrimping and saving I'm able to have real estate debt free and self insure. It works for me since I basically buy run down houses and rehab them, so anything that could go wrong I could repair it myself and have the cash to make those repairs since I save 2/3rd's the price since I don't have to hire anyone. Years ago I got quoted $11,000 for a new roof on one of my property's. I was able to do it myself for about $3500 and I got the next wind rating increased above code because it only cost $3 per bundle, while the contractor wanted to charge me thousands for the upgrade. I was fortunate to work as a teen for my dad who was a house builder, so no only was I earning money that I saved up and used as a downpayment for my first house, I was able to learn a trade that became useful. Not only that I enjoy doing it. There comes a sense of self fulfillment working hard to make an ugly old house look nice AND get paid for the rest of my life as a rental! Win win win!
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  24498. OMG, Michael! This video resonated with me on every level! Every single argument that you made hit the nail on the head with me and my family! How long a vacation is too long? My hubby and son are good for about a week, at the MOST! I like two or three week vacations, if I can do them. (Usually when I've done that, I've taken my son to the south with me to Atlanta, or various cities in Florida, places in Texas, or done a California road trip. Since we couldn't comfortably do that in the last couple of years, though, we have stayed local. However, my son barely gets out of the state, and he misses Dad and our dogs. Anyway, I always make sure to work out on my trips, every day! My hubby does, too. We shop at grocery stores, so we can maintain good eating habits. Also, my hubby always sets himself up in a chair or on a couch with his food, while my son and I try to sleep. (My hubby likes to eat later at night and watch tv longer than my son and I do. That is always a challenge, when you are trying to sleep. My hubby is not as bad as he used to be about that, fortunately.) The packing up and moving all over the place is a real challenge, too, though I do it. Still...living in beautiful San Diego makes it feel more like work visiting other places. We are super lucky to live here. So gorgeous! I know you understand that, being that you live in a beautiful high rise on North Miami Beach. Continue to enjoy the adventure, and if you and sweet Lisi get down to San Diego, let me know. I will take you out to lunch or dinner, and give you tips for the best places to visit around here! :-)
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  24564. I keep seeing its pricy to live there comments. Here are some facts... You can buy a house as low as $135k or up to $2 million There is no HOA. There are deed restrictions yes but no HOA. Amenity Fees are $170 a month, that gets you..... 693 holes of golf 214 pickleball courts 215 Bocce courts 210 shuffleboard courts cornhole (over 50 total) 102 pools 101 recreation centers Over 3000 lifestyle clubs 7 dog parks Walking/biking trails 1 hospital with plans for a 2nd 2 bowling alleys 3 movie theaters 7 publix grocery stores 3 winn dixie grocery stores A fantastic Charter School, (if you work in TV, it enables your kids to attend TVCS. Last year over 65 kids graduated with 2 yr college degrees thru a program with Sumter College. This is important to families that live outside of TV where schools aren't so great. Numerous doctors of all kinds Numerous restaurants, nail salons, hairdressers, clothing stores, banks, Gas stations, drug stores, etc 3 town squares each with nightly music 365 days a year. And everything is attainable via car or golf cart. All that, and so much more, and many more of those items listed above to come in the future as well. 140,000 population and growing New houses currently aren't lasting more than 4 hours, the resale market is scarce. "No beaches", nope, at least an hour to 2 hour ride depending on the beach. All this being said, its not for everyone. To each their own. But, its an amazing and fantastic place to live ! Pricy, maybe more so than other parts of FL, but nothing compares to The Villages in lifestyle.
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  24697. Mike, here in Pinellas I don’t see any slow down at all. In my neighborhood homes that were selling for 300 K or less at the beginning of the pandemic are now over 500 K. For most of the pandemic there were maybe one or two homes for sale. With the rising interest rates and perhaps people sensing we are nearing the top within the last couple weeks we had six homes listed at record prices. One of the homes was a two bedroom, three of them need complete renovations, and they are all under contract already. The cash offers are unprecedented and make it impossible for conventional loans to compete. I think it’s clear that the investors are causing the housing shortage. At the same time that everybody is getting squeezed by fuel, housing and vehicle expense, and as our GDP shrinks, the housing prices have increased by about 40% within two years with no end in sight. I did think that the rising interest rates would quell the market here as it has in other areas but it has not, and houses continue to close well under 30 days above asking price. Meanwhile our housing landscape is becoming overtaken by gray and white houses, the sign of a flip, or investor. The middle class is being crushed and first time homeownership is becoming completely unattainable in this area. They are even buying the most undesirable flat roof carport homes for over 300 K now. Sadly these investor portfolios will probably never see the market again. Rather they will just be bought as complete portfolios when the investors need to liquidate. This is the great reset.
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  24740. Hello Michael, long time no see. It's a great thing you made this video. I'm having an issue similar to this too. My income info doesn't show enough for me to get an apartment. although I do share an apartment with a roommate. I had gotten the apartment on my own in Jan. 2012 and still living in it. But my roommate had moved in in 2017. Well big mistake, now i want to move into an apartment for myself without any roommates. Sure roommates helps with rent payment but definitely not worth having a roommate. Especially my roommate, he doesnt want to help with chores and doesnt keep the apartment clean. So you understand the frustration. How I got the apartment in the first place back in 2012, I was djing for a go go bar weekly and I was looking for an apartment. I was told at the venue that the owner of the bar also owns a couple apartments and to ask if he had one available to rent. So sure enough i asked the owner and said he had one available and ready to move in. So I had explained to him situation and he did work with me. He just asked for first month rent and security deposit. He did not check my background for anything and this how I got the apartment. Now I want to move to an apartment for myself and live on my own. I was staying low key for sometime because I was recuperating from an acciddent. This case has finally come to an end and gotten my settlement check. so it's time to make the move. The apartment Im in now is month to month rent because no new lease was made over a year now. both my roommate and I share our names on the lease. Since it's month to month rent I can actually hand in my 30 day notice to my roommate and landlord. But like i said my income info is the problem. Would the steps you explained in this video work for me in NJ? Ps I still want to move to florida. sometimes I just feel like I should just pick up and go. I do plan on studying something to get a better job that pays real good or at least enough where I can meet the requirements to rent an apartment. Let me know what you think. Take care pal.
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  25437. I am so glad I struck out on my own right after college. I did not have much of a safety net, so I had to get a job right away, but I loved moving to Denver from dreary old SE Michigan. I had been there the summer before, but did not know anyone, but I make friends fast. I saw many of my friends and classmates who never left MI, and are still stuck in there, as they now have family and work ties. I think everyone should at least explore one other place to live. Now, I have been to all 50 states (48 by the time I was 26) and lived in 10. It has given me more of an appreciation for different places. I wish the remote online earning was available, or I might have chosen some smaller places. I know many are not risk-takers, but if you do some research and have self confidence, you know things will always work out. You will not have any regrets about not spending more time cleaning or staying in your comfort zone, but you will regret not taking a chance. When you are in your 20s, you have abso,utely nothing to lose. I was lucky to be 22 at a more affordable time, so an apt in a new city would not require a huge outlay. I am drawn to smaller cities, now, provided they have good transportation and culture access to a big city. Beautiful as it is, I could not live in WY, MT, or several other places. Our impression of a place often changes once we live there. I loved SF when I first visited, but after living there for a few years, the photogenic beauty was surpassed by constant fog, the incessant noise of the city, as it is very compact, the hassle of finding a place for your car - with all the tow-away zones (most apts do not come with any parking), and the constant side show weirdness that made every day feel like Halloween. I still love visiting the city, but would never want to live there again, especially with homelessness and drugs and human manure around, and a CON tyrant like Newsom as governor. As long as one is clear about what they want, and make connections with locals, a lot of opportunities can open up. The basic decision all boils down to excitement about new opportunities vs fear of failing. Most Americans do not have enough hunger for freedom, but prefer to be taken care of. Approach life as an adventure, and you will be well-rewarded. Fear is a killer! Michael, you live in a state where there are lots of opportunities, so you will never have to return to small town IL. That, in itself, should comfort you. Experiencing a different part of Florida will be a good experience, and if you don't find it desirable, you can always return to Miami.
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  25627. I enjoy your videos Michael. I watch pretty much all of them. And your content is usually pretty good. I must take issue with today's debt Avalanche video though. Because it is sounding to me like you are way way too sympathetic to these folks that took out loans that the government has enticed them into believing they don't have to pay them back. Talk to the plumbers and carpenters and electricians and all the other tradespeople it spent all of the money that they did establishing their careers and how they're paying back their loans because they're making good income on the profession that they chose to be in. Talk to all of us who have our own car loans and mortgages and all the other Financial commitments that we have. Mike credit score is always in the 800 range because I pay my bills. Because I don't get myself in over my head. A lot of these folks that are in the student loan Fiasco are there because of their own bad decisions and the freewheelin banking industry and the bad decisions of the federal government. It is a combined responsibility. But the bottom line is, you signed up for alone and you are responsible for that loan. Do you have an iPhone latest version? You have a late-model car fancy stuff in your house only one job working 30 hours a week or so? Evaluate your individual Financial scenario and make it so that you can afford to pay your bills and pass up on the extravagances in your life and live within your means. I have no sympathy for anyone who took out a loan and doesn't pay it back and yet walks around with a $1,500 phone and inexpensive car Yadi Yadi yada. Sorry, no mercy.
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  25787. Speaking of reserves, my condo development in Boca Raton where I owned from 2009 to 2016, had no reserves. The condo association was constantly at odds with many owners, and nobody trusted them with their money. So reserved were always voted down. In the seven years I was there they did sone concrete remediation to the exterior of the two buildings and to the separate two-level parking structure, and repainted all three structures. For my one bedroom unit, the assessment was about $2500. No big deal. But after I sold in 2016, inspections showed the roofs needed repair, the six elevators were beyond their service life, part of the seawalls was falling into the intracoastal waterway, and a long list of other issues had been delayed and delayed over the years. The first assessment, in the spring of 2017, was $10,000. That was the amount the owners of the one bedroom units were assessed. Larger two and three bedroom units were assessed higher amounts, as the assessment amounts are based on unit size, which is appropriate. Be aware of that fact when buying; my recommendation is always to buy the minimum you need, unless you’re clearly in a buyer’s market at the beginning of an uptrend, which we are clearly not these days. In the last five years at Porta Bella, where I still have friends and where my brother owned until recently, I was kept up to date on the progress of all the many repairs mentioned above and more that cropped up. Two more assessments, at $20k and $25k have been imposed. With the earlier $10k assessment and the $2500 assessment from when I lived there, we’re talking $57.5k of assessments against the 850 sqft (plus 150 sqft balcony) one bedroom units. The three bedroom units are twice that size, so their total assessments over the years would have been twice as much. The reserves still aren’t funded and there’s been disruptive work going on for years. Be very careful buying a condo in an aging building on the [salt] water. Much depends on the condo association/management.
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  25831.  @MichaelBordenaro I have never seen so many tornadoes that are not Hurricane related in the FL panhandle. 😨 Still shocked so many houses are selling in flood zones too. In fact, buyers don't seem to care; the houses in flood zones or over 20 years old sell just as high as newer houses (and those are cheaply built with no frills). Buyers don't care if there are storm safe windows or shutters either, because they've never been through the devastation from hurricanes. I assume investors don't care about damages since they can write it all off of their taxes as a business loss, but they are affecting so many peoples's lives by continuing to buy up houses as the stock market has lower returns. 😐 The times they are a changing ... I don't see this situation improving any time soon; unfortunately it will probably take a major hurricane wiping out neighborhoods to slow the thousands of migrants pouring into Florida daily. There is a reason housing had been cheaper in NW FL, you have to account for loss of material items, evacuating expenses & replacement costs. Everyone has always been welcome, but if the tourist industry is affected by lack of service workers (they can't afford housing, etc), Florida could be forced to add a state income tax. I certainly don't advocate that, but the tourist industry supports the majority of our economy. East coasters may not intend to, but they may be bringing their state problems with them when they move here vs having a vacation home. More people, higher costs that the tourist tax has paid for in the past. Also, single family homes becoming owned by so many investors and run as a business can bring legislative changes as well for compensation since they are not paying any tax on long term rental income. IT'S A MESS!!! 😕🌴
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  25921. Hello Michael, Randall here. Another good topic; and, I agree with your analysis for the most part. Like you say, know your market. You are giving good advice obviously when you say to be careful, do your home work, and don't expect for us to be rescued. The little guys like us were never really rescued. Only the corporations. Wage earners like most of us are paying for the corporations and the folks living off of capital gains income. Those of us with the least to lose typically lose the most. That is one reason I like your channel. You are genuinely helping people. I figure since I'm getting good info from your content, others hopefully are taking away some of the same for their benefit also. So, for those of us that can diversify our income by branching out and becoming property owners, or landlords, or small business owners for the long haul, your videos are a good and positive and entertainment that I enjoy. Thank you for the insight for that we might have the chance for a more secure future. I'm not heavily into individual stocks, but like I said before, I feel when the market is down, some good things are on sale; therefore, it can be a good time to buy for the 401K or whatever. Same for the housing market. Be patient until the market is favorable for your own unique situation is what I'm taking away from you. Michael your content inspires me to improve my situation and keep my Florida dreams alive. Thank you. It is nice to see you back walking and giving us the Florida vibes from outside. You know I enjoy the walks. However, maybe get out more after it is cooler outside or the sun is less intense. It is called "the sunshine" state for good reason. I want you to stay well. Peace and Love Bro.
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  26209. Michael, you just keep knockin' 'em outta the park with these videos! Love this one! My husband and I did this hike about 7 years ago, on an anniversary trip to San Francisco for a long weekend. You didn't need reservations then, but it was tough to park. It was crowded in the park, too. Anyway, we hiked from the bottom up, and then back down again. It was an unexpected tough hike. It was hot, too! We were on a time crunch, too, because we had a play that we were going to afterwards, so we were hoofin' it! Beautiful area, though. Just lovely! I want to bring our son there, whenever we are able to go back. As for the holes in many of the trees, we were visiting Redwood State Park in the Santa Cruz area, and my son got lost briefly. Turned out he was going in those holes, pretending that he was falling down them into Wonderland, like Alice. ;-) That gave us a scare. Again, we were on a time crunch, as we were scheduled to do the train ride through that forest, but we had to find our lost son first. My husband found him in about five minutes, but I didn't know for about 30 minutes, as my husband and I split up, and he refused to carry his cell phone on him. (He often still refuses to do that. Ugh!) Anyway, just so you know, there IS a Redwood grove in Southern California. I was astounded to learn through You Tube channel, Yellow Productions, that there is a grove in Orange County. I literally made my husband take my son and I the next day. It is small, but they are beautiful trees. As soon as you are about to get to the grove, you can feel the air start to cool down by about 10 degrees. Very nice. The area is called Carbon Canyon Regional Park. Latitudinally, it is due east of Manhattan Beach, CA. Just wanted to share that info for any future visits you and Lisi might have to that area.
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  26502. To answer the question proposed in the title to this video: price of real estate is a function of liquidity available to an average buyer. Overall we live in a fiat banking system, which results in consistent inflation due to ever increasing money supply in the system(economy). Had we had consistent interest rates, the answer would be "yes, eventually the price of real estate will exceed the 2019 price levels because eventually there will be more money in the system to spend on the RE", HOWEVER, we live in the environment of fluctuating rates, and it looks like the rate is going up without end in sight, and that draws away the liquidity. So the next question is "will the rate ever get back to the previous levels?" Well, considering the fact that the rate is set by a group of individuals claiming they have public's interest in mind, yet get it wrong around just about every turn, which results in massive wealth transfer, it stems to reason that the boom and bust cycles are artificially both - created as well as exaggerated. And these economic cycles are created through shrinking or expanding the money supply, which is done through the application of arbitrarily set interest rate. And from that it is logical to conclude that after this bust there will be another boom(just like so many time before) which can only be accomplished with expanded liquidity, which will have to be achieved through low interest rate, which will result in all the money available to the public to put behind the RE. So unless the country undergoes MAJOR structural changes, like abolishing the FED or becoming a socialist country and making landlords illegal, the answer is yes either way, only we dont know how soon.
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  26590. Michael, you're in my childhood hometown! Enjoy. You're missing a few economic points. 1) Prior to both the Savings and Loan crisis and Great Financial Crisis, free market conservatives (Republicans) removed banking regulations allowing individual bank CEOs to make tens of millions in commissions on bad loans knowning full well taxpayers would bailout the mess. These CEOs could walkaway with tens of millions in Taxpayer loan commissions without being charged for fraud. Nearly all housing loans are infact Fed (taxpayer) created money, its rare for banks to lend out their reserves for home loans other than to make an initial loan before they turn around and resell the loan. 2) In general conservatives get kicked out of power for lining their friends pockets(Trump, Bush II), a liberal (Biden, Obama etc) gets in power and usually conservatives get back in power during the following mid-term elections, conservatives promptly kick the financial legs out from the economy and blame the liberal. The Great Depression is the biggest example as conservative blame the borrowers for not paying rather than blaming the banks for not managing risk, resulting in a 80% market crash. This time is different, we're in uncharted territory. Conservatives can't sweep the legs out like they duing my entire lifetime. Also the banks were not "deregulated" as much as Trump wanted becuase the GFC was still fresh. I think were in for years of a choppy mess, a 20% market decline over the next few years based on rents declining by 20%.
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  27611. I watched your whole video and here’s my long arse comment. I have been in SoCal for 15 years (I’m from London). In LA it used to just be SkidRow, now it’s spread to other parts of LA. The same thing could happen in Miami or other parts of FL too, where you could also be talking about how much better things used to be. In FL you can buy a cheap house close to the beach but isn’t the beach where you have the most issues with hurricanes or no? Also aren’t parts of Florida under sea level i.e. Miami? I don’t recall you mentioning that unless I missed it? A lot of the homeless people here have mental health issues and are addicts, putting them in houses will only create rows of crack dens and fires too as that’s another issue that’s been happening with their encampments. We need more mental health facilities and other States need to stop sending their homeless out to CA with free bus/train passes. @14:43 Haha sounds like you’re talking about reggaeton, which I do not care for at all. You will hear that more in the Latin hoods in LA along with banda. It's not as big of an issue in CA but in LA I have definitely met people here who still don’t speak any English even though they’ve been living here for decades. I’ve called up Mexican restaurants where they only spoke Spanish . My friend went to a Popeyes Chicken in South Central and no one spoke English but again, it’s not as common as Miami. You're right. It sounds like you’d personally choose CA if they didn’t have the tax problem and it was cheaper. People typically trash CA because it’s ran by democrats and traffic is not an issue all throughout CA. Only in major cities, which is a problem for any major city. I personally would choose CA because it's more diverse with things to do, the weather is better for me, music events and festivals. Also FL is too flat. My friend moved to Miami with her boyfriend and he became more aggressive haha.
    4
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  28139. Hi Michael, please forgive my conspiracy theorist approach but here goes. The number of Americans living pay check to pay check is by design not accident. I remember a time before globalization took hold, when a countries economy could operate independently. Some countries would do better than others for a time and then vise versa, in the eighties one British pound would equal nearly two dollars thus making it possible for me to buy property in the US at what I perceived to be lower in price than perhaps an American. There is much talk of the great reset coming but I believe it has already happened, the real estate market helps confirm this as values rise and fall globally now. The crash in 2008 was a stress test, an "Overton Window" for the alignment of world economies. The next step would require a complete stop world wide, hence the pandemic and resulting transfer of wealth and power. The next step will be a world currency, a digital currency, then the introduction of Universal Basic Income will be simple to implement and seen by many as needed and wanted. Social control through credits will be next to achieve acceptance of control as all indivual earning and spending will be taxable and controllable along with the ability to travel etc. Governments have been adopting agenda 21 for years and the latest version agenda 2030 driven by the unelected members of the World Economic Forum, is well entrenched in modern society, so much so that they even have a plan for those not prepared to accept their loss of freedom without a fight. I could go on but I've said enough for now.
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  28412. I guess what irritates me the most is (and I just need to get it off my chest, i know your video is a bit old) .. is being perceived asocial, which I am not. At work for example. I don’t even see it as my problem, it’s a societal type of issue. I am polite, I say Hi, when I come to work. I interact with coworkers, some more than others, simply because the shift fluctuations. And yet, I still find myself in conversations that may go like this for example: me: hey, we should go out sometime?coworker (and the other next to her) you would go out with US?” Now, I have a problem with this. I asked why not? And I got some mumbling in return.. something like (“would you really?, I mean.. idk..., you know”) and Im thinking no, I don’t know. I’m working with people, who themselves won’t say hi, or start a conversation etc and yet I have a feeling, their perception,somehow, is of ME being the asocial one. And it doesn’t fail to surprise me. I feel these people took on the opinion of one person, who has been there for some time and I haven’t had a real chance of interacting or bonding with. And she just wrote it off going around telling folks not to bother with me, since Im asocial anyways. I call it a societal problem, (and I am from Europe originally) because I find here especially, people are very quick to label and take on opinions of others quickly without giving it a benefit of a doubt in any way. Sort of like high school. Not even trying to form their own opinion. I mean, I may be also in a wrong crowd. I’m a college graduate and I found myself working some entry level customer service job. Circle that is hard to get out of, or so I found. I don’t wanna admit it but it upsets me. Something trivial as this, upsets me. Because, at the end of the day I work with these people, and the revelation for me is that, unfortunately their perception of me is kind of set in stone and I am stubborn enough not to bend over backwards trying to prove anything to anyone. I hate this “fake” it or “exaggerate your behavior” bs I call it. I can go on and on on this topic, since I tend to go on philosophical tangents. I could write a book on this topic and I think I should. Even people saying “be yourself” bs is also hypocritical. And don’t get sensitive, because it just is hypocritical. Nothing else is excepted, but a certain standard of behavior. And the standard of behavior that is perceived to be normal, for some reason is always and I mean ALWAYS be talking about some stupid shit that don’t matter. IfI shut up for one damn second, why are you so quiet? Explain to me please, WHAT IS WRONG WITH QUIET?!!
    4
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  28442. Thank you for this video. I relate so deeply to your statements . I live in Concord, CA. We pay enormous property taxes (there are 5 bonds for schools and parks and canals on our bill) . We pay taxes and fees on our energy bill, water bill, cell phone bills, internet bill, ..then there are almost 10% tax on retail sales including grocery items that are non-consumables, gas taxes , taxes to drive in the carpool /fast track lane during congested times just to get from one town to the next . Taxes to eat out ..taxes to sit down.. taxes to get ice cream .. taxes to register the car /boat/motorcycle/etc.. I hate going out because I will have to pay taxes as soon as we stop somewhere ! CA sucks so badly when it comes to taxes . What do we get for it ? Horrible crime rates ..no punishment for criminals that drag people and unalive them as they are stealing their car. No punishment for stealing a woman’s purse as they slam them on the pavement . Open air drug markets in SF. Violent crime wave in Oakland , CA. Violent crime seeping into the suburbs of Walnut Creek, concord and even Lafayette where it has never been a problem before the last 3-4 years . Trump has incited so much violence . He lashed out at poc and incited repeated violent attacks and even cops unaliving poc who were innocent . Now the backlash has begun . Poc have realized the social contract is broken and they have no rights . Many are lashing out by stealing , acting out in violent ways . Most are from struggling regions like Richmond/Oakland where cuts to social programs hurt the worst . Others are from poor regions like Antioch , Pittsburg , and even Brentwood has areas with high crime now . Before Trump our crime rates were falling . Now across the nation violent crime has risen dramatically. Most of those committing these crimes are poc imo .
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  29055. My personal favorite in Florida is Cape Coral, and specifically Cape Harbour. It's close to all the shopping in Fort Myers, easy to get to the updated Fort Myers airport and close to my favorite islands, Sanibel and Captiva. Also it's close to Fort Myers beach, downtown Fort Myers and Matlacha. Cape Coral has the most canals and houses on a canal or waterfront than any other city in the world! And that includes Venice Italy...You can go kayaking down the canals to sight see the beautiful waterfront properties or through mangrove islands to find yourself surrounded by wildlife. The city has lots of amenities and is close to Naples, Siesta Key, St. Petersburg, Tampa, Orlando, Fort Lauderdale and Miami. There's even a high speed catamaran that takes you to Key West faster than by car and you can return the same evening. My favorite are the beaches in Sanibel and Captiva...so tropical you would not be wrong in thinking that you were anywhere in the Caribbean. When you leave Cape Coral by boat and head due south west you can reach Cancun Mexico too. Cape Coral is truly a magical place. My parents had a condo in Arlen House in the mid to late 90's which was later purchased by the Trump family and renovated. It's located across from Haulover beach in Sunny Isles. I've been to Aventura mall, and Bal Harbour. I've also stayed quite a few times in Miami Beach at the Marriott Courtyard at Oceanside; a renovated art deco hotel (Cadillac) on the beach and on the boardwalk. It's close enough that you can take the trolly to downtown Miami Beach where all the action is or if you like walking you can take the boardwalk. I've also been to Boca Raton, Fort Lauderdale, Palm Beach, Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, Key Largo, Key West (2x's) and Orlando which is one of my favorite cities in Florida...there's so much to see and do and not just in Disney or Universal Studios. One of my favorite vacations was when my wife and I stayed the Dream Hotel located behind the Versace compound at 11th Street right in the middle of all the action. I've been travelling to Florida since 1994 and I've never had a bad experience. Also let's not forget Sawgrass Mills Mall in Sunrise across from the Florida Panthers Arena where the shopping experience is totally off the charts!
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  29193. There can't be a crash when Californians are leaving the state in droves. I don't think people understand this very important point. If you leave a state with the equity from your home, then go and buy a house in another state where the entire house cost is as much as the equity you're bringing with you, there will continue to be houses sold because those people are not using mortgages so there is no interest. They pay cash. Hence, why you see the amount of mortgages going down. Rates have gone up but is moot to the people who are causing the housing shortage, which are people from other states moving to all the cheaper states and taking up all the houses. Look at Nashville from 2008 to now. Denver from 15 years ago to now. Austin TX. It's extremely obvious what's happening and people are not seeing the forest for the trees here. My friend's mom owes less than 200k on a 600+k house in Southern CA. She wants to move to TN or some place cheaper. If she takes her $420k in equity (or so) and buys a house in TN for $385k (she wants a smaller house because she's getting older), even after closing costs, she has paid for the house with cash, no mortgage, and interest rates mean nothing to her. This is a tiny example. Stuff like this is happening and will continue to happen. My parents did this same thing in the 90s when they moved from CA to Colorado and paid cash for a house in the most expensive part of town and they scoffed like it was dirt cheap (because to them, it seemed cheap compared to where they just moved from). The only reason that homes aren't selling as fast right now is because regular people are waiting. Make no mistake - the people are waiting to pounce as soon as things appear to be affordable again. People simply aren't overpaying for a $2M house in Florida. That's why those houses sit for a bit longer. Most of America is looking in regular neighborhoods for regular homes. If there's any slowing down, it's only because people are waiting on the sidelines, hoping prices come down, which in turn makes the market appear to be something it's not (housing crash, etc etc).
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  29233. Mayberry, the idyllic hometown made famous on The Andy Griffith Show, has long been considered a fictional place, but the real Mayberry does exist. The TV-show town was based on Griffith's hometown of Mount Airy, North Carolina. Why do I mention Mayberry? Because Mayberry represents one extreme in the privacy debate. If you wanted a loan in small town 1950s America, it’s likely your local banker knew you, knew your family and who you associated with, your job, the health of your employer’s business, and a lot more about you and your entire life up to that point. At the other end of the spectrum would be complete privacy, meaning you wouldn’t have the right to know that one of your neighbors is a convicted child molester. Where to draw the line? I tend to agree that our qualification for a loan or for credit in general should be based upon our ability and propensity to pay our bills. But you may expect more of this further intrusion into our privacy as artificial intelligence systems become more and more capable of spotting correlations between what may seem to be obscure demographic attributes versus consistency of loan repayment. Fact is, marital status and lifestyle and interests and association with other people actually do bear on loan default, in sometimes subtle and unintuitive ways, ways that even experienced human loan originators may not spot but that big data analysis can uncover with sophisticated pattern recognition capabilities (a field I worked in during my software career). In short, it’s going to get worse before it, maybe, gets better. We need to look hard at what we want more; closer to perfect efficiency at the cost of humanity, or humanity at the cost of imperfect financial outcomes. I’ll take the latter.
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  29387. Oh wow, where to begin.. 1992, I left college, I was maybe 1 in 3 of my friends with a job. I would say 50% of those I knew had to go into family businesses or otherwise leverage family to survive. Hard labor was very common for anybody without a professional degree. 5 years later, the internet and tech boom started. Then the Y2K boom, which enrichened a lot of people that were about to be obsolete ( think COBOL programming ). The term “conspicuous consumption” became popular. Some people were going to get rich selling cars or stocks either way. The FED ran everybody into housing after the tech burst fizzled. All of a sudden, people you thought weren’t going to make it, had their own personal training businesses and home-flipping scams. Easy money continued to fuel upward mobility in highly erratic unpredictable ways. This has moved the bar of success higher with each new wave. Today, people use bailout money to buy stocks instead of paying off debts. Everybody wants the lottery winning, because that’s all they see in everybody else, luck. Tons of people feel disenfranchised ( think looters ) because they don’t understand today’s economy and how socially driven it is. It could get worse. I was in an interview for a remote programming job 3 states away and the guy said “nice Corvette”. He had been on my Facebook page. We are in a very social media driven world now, and the winners are difficult to predict, so better go ahead and get that Bentley. The other guy might have a Porsche on his Instagram, lol.
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  29434. I don't think most of us Americans have that much money put away Michael. If we did, we could cover a 1000 dollar emergency. I think the wealthiest Americans is what this applies to on average. The demand for housing in most areas: I think people are underestimating ability of American workers to now work where they desire in terms of the housing markets. Except for the Federal government and probably most local governments, many workers are now being given the ability to work from anywhere, This is why Florida, Texas, Arizona, and Nevada are seeing the demand they are. Plus, the pandemic has made many realize mortality more. This pushed many in 2020 and 2021 into retirement and into buying that retirement property before they were gobbled up. People want to live now the best they can. The pandemic changed the working dynamic. I see a push now to try to restrain the telework craze because it impacts business that depended on workers coming into the cities. People are also getting out of the cities for affordable states like Tenn., Kentucky, Montana etc. NY had a mass exit, mostly to Florida. Mist people miss the markets, they jump in to sell to late. Just like with stocks now, in my opinion. The market is down so people want to sell. Depending on your situation I believe this is the time to buy the best stocks. They all are on sale!! Buy low, sale high!! Good food for thought Michael. Because of housing strength, the temporary nature of the supply issues, and the way the war is going, and the abundance of jobs, my hope is that we don't see much of a recession.
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  29509. Michael, I enjoyed the expose of your unconventional lifestyle. What you've chosen to do is get off the conventional train, so to speak, which is a destiny to ill health and no substantive location later in life. More importantly, however, you're doing it at an early age. And like investing, the dividends are considerably higher if you begin at the age you are right now. Too many people don't reap the benefits of an unconventional lifestyle until they've had a major health event later on in life. Some recover and make the necessary lifestyle changes, while many others do not and ride the train until the ultimate derailment. But the point here is that your lifestyle is not really unconventional. Rather, it's mainstream, so to speak, if you wish to add quality and meaning to your life today and in the in the future. But remember, the future is not guaranteed, so I prefer to espouse the belief that the future is now. And if tomorrow comes, it will be with a more advantageous lifestyle based upon the choices you make today. Simply put: you're making prudent lifestyle choices that will yield higher dividends today and in the days ahead. I just have one question, and that is do your own your residence? And, if so, what is the approximate cost of purchasing a condo like yours with proximity to the beach and a permanent and partial view of the ocean. For me personally, the proximity to the water in a highrise would be the cornerstone of tranquility in retirement living. I live in a house on the west coast in a traditional suburban gated community. I intend to sell and downsize with that single objective of back proximity in mind. Thank you and Merry Christmas.
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  29615. Stress can have a huge impact on your health and it can actually lead to physical issues. If you feel better moving, then move. Maybe it's a sign telling you it's time to go elsewhere. I would listen to that little voice. Often that little voice can save your life. And don't feel bad about the anxiety this tragedy has given you. It's given me anxiety too and I don't even live in Florida (but I do watch lots of youtube channels from there). I live in an apartment on the second floor of a 2 floor building in Wisconsin. I do have anxiety about heights and would never live in a tall building and I avoid elevator at all costs! Don't trust them. But since this event happened it has put new ideas in my head. For one I never realized that big buildings had garages under them. Or that they could fall without warning!! 😳 I do a lot of walking. I don't drive so I walk everywhere. Almost. But I saw that and I think "what if someone had been walking by when it fell?" .... And I watched this other video today from this lady that was on vacation in St Louis. It showed big skyscrapers. Only thing I could think of was the buildings falling over!! 😳 Because I had thought before you needed an earthquake to knock a building over but clearly not! They can come down from neglect. And lots of owners are cheap. Scum landlords! And yes, I was in the basement earlier checking things out. I watched lots of videos from that one other channel someone had recommended to you. By the structure engineer. He talks about lots of stuff in his videos. Very informative.
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  29755. Michael, My house is worth 400,000 to 425,000 currently in Bucks County PA. That is the northern suburbs of Phila. or extreme southern suburbs of NYC. The best feature of this house is it is paid for. It took me ten years after purchasing to pay it off. When I bought it was 89,900. If I had the house paid for at 89,900 I could sell it and move. Today at 425/m I don’t know if I could sell it and move. Certainly at best I would still need to start with a mortgage. At 74 I don’t think it is a good idea. My daughter in Jan/22 got a condo in Louisville Co and for around 475,000 and that was a starter place. A town home,twin,or single cost more. Denver is a pricey area. How do people afford that. I guess they have good jobs and have to be careful what they spend. I prefer to live below my means. Like I mentioned to you I work to live, not live to work. If I owed any money it could cause anxiety and or depression or both. Freedom is being debt free. It is not only what you earn but what one owes. If you want to try an experiment randomly ask strangers to name the first 10 amendments to the constitution. I did it on WABC 770 am and nobody could. I also did one on what you think you own of value. I got some answers, my house, my car, and my savings. If you don’t pay your real-estate taxes, no house. Same with the car. Don’t have a license plate if you don’t register the vehicle and pay the fees. Don’t pay the tax on savings and that is bye bye for that too. To close have you noticed that people refer to their income as the gross figure not the net after taxes.Also the net is still encumbered with the cost of commuting to work every day. Still life seems to go on. Bon Sioux Mon ami.
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  29886. Hi Mike. I loved this video. I tend to think that the housing market will level off after we pass the bottle neck of the new construction. New construction is holding off because of the shortage in materials. When finally there is more new homes on the market the prices might level off. I think that homes are going to stay high because so many people got up and moved. I think they will just level off. However, when people don’t have enough money to buy food, we might go then through a depression . What I find interesting is that nobody is seeing that we are going through what you described. There are sooooooooo many homeless families and individuals out there and we just don’t even address it. That hasn’t started recently. It’s been going on for decades and progressively gotten worse I guess. We just refused to address it. We are noticing it now because in the last 2 years we went in and quarantined and received money from the government. AND all of the sudden, BAM we noticed the amount of homelessness. Also, with all the technology out there we make videos in real time about the homeless. We are so savage capitalists. I’m not sure which way this is going, but it’s different now. There might not be a crash. There might be just a small price adjustment, but then Cali will be just a state for the homeless because of the weather. Who knows. Interesting times. Depression, you think? Start moving home with parents, renting rooms if you can. My taxes doubled this year. People that own homes might not be able to afford the taxes when they go up. When your property value goes up, your taxes go up. Who knows. It’s real hairy scary out there.
    3
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  30007. Thanks Michael, this boat tells a powerful story. There are many stories of America that share a common thread. The original colonists, slaves, and free immigrants all came over in ships of all types. We haves scores of refugees that arrived the same way. All helped to form this great nation. We The People are what make this nation great. Our diversity is our strength. There are so many stories of America and all these stories should be captured and shared with all Americans and visitors to America. We do this in museums all over the country from Native Americans to Immigrants. There are so many perspectives of America. The great thing is these stories and our history is available for little or no cost around the nation in these museums, towns, and parks. Even in the places you visited on your trip around Florida there were the little parks that told some history that gave some perspective as to how that particular place came to be. I would love to know the story of that castle like place in St Augustine. I found the learning one of the best parts of your tour around Florida the learning, from plants to people to places we learned. I appreciate what you have done to broaden my horizons and the others that follow channel. This is why it is important to travel nationally and internationally and keep an open mind. The more we open our minds the differences tend to fade, the more we see that we are all the same with many perspectives. These stores are all over the world, lets learn them and come together as a people.
    3
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  30293. Wow, I thought the wage gravity had let up after 1999 and the internet took root. That idea scares me too. When I worked in Ft Lauderdale in 1996, I had a guy who came on board with a Masters Degree from UF, and tell me, "I don't even want to get paid. I just need something to do. My wife is from oil money ". And that was common. I would have no support from co-workers to help elevate wages. Everybody wanted to work in computers so bad, they would do it for almost free. A woman had a baby, and brought it to her desk a week later, so she could work. It has been the opposite story for me in the Mid-Atlantic up until recently, at least. You could get the opposite; people quit to move on to higher pay, or they just sit on their hands all day surfing the internet, so your contribution of just doing work, keeps your pay going up. Recently, it has started to suck up here to be a worker also. You really have to be in a protected class (immigrant, H1B, a minority, a woman, or married with kids and complaining about it every 5 minutes), to get the red carpet treatment at work. If you exhibit any signs of success, wealth, and forward momentum, the Socialists will make your life a living hell. You get fired first in any downturn, blamed for every problem, worked the volume of 3 people, supervised all day, overtime, weekends, no break 24/7, and you can forget about "friends at work". In general, exchanging hours for dollars has become a Fail. You need to be like Michael B and have a life of commissions, sales, and side gigs. Own your business, don't expect a boss to appear out of thin air with answers. Sadly, we often do the latter.
    3
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  31231. it was 4:44 am this morning when your video came up in my phone!!! my psychic abilities tells me is more than what you're telling us, money and a big house is not always happiness or success! I can relate because I moved from Indiana 3 years ago to Fl leaving behind family friends and a life time of memories and career, but with covid all of us loss our jobs, many loss a family member or spouse. I learned the lesson covid came to teach us, nothing is more important than family money comes and goes, Miami is an exciting city when you're young or if you came from countries like colombia venezuela cuba Miami is there home bc is chaotic fast pace, expensive and yes beautiful, and can say this because I'm from caracas venezuela the difference is I came 33 years ago you might regret leaving Florida not only bc of the beautiful weather year round, but is a conservative state. if planning a family is in the near future for you and your wife, maybe jupiter, palm beach gardens, tequesta, St. Lucie would be a great area { school } for raising family, this way your wife will extended her business to the rich and elite life style here, I extend my interest in working for your wife dog business I love dogs like crazy but chicken to start my own business my talents and gifts are artistry , design and coach management then numbers or office life. I'm pretty sure you'll be successful anywhere, however florida utah seems like they're the state where everyone are moving to because is safe for families!!!! listen to your inner voice, what you are feeling is the negative energy from all people's walks of life ..............let God let go Michael thank you for your videos !!!!! { your talent is need it } hope it helps [-:
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  31297. I'm not sure what you mean about electric cars - I've been eyeing one for years and even in spite of the cost, people ARE lining up to get them. It's to the point right now where getting on a list to get notified when availability comes up is all you're able to do, much less actually getting on a wait list, preordering, or getting the chance to buy. Sure, new cars in general aren't the most available thing right now but electric ones are far and away harder to get. My entire state doesn't even offer them at all, but they have no problem getting an entire new model year's production capacity yoinked by eager buyers in no time. Certain models have been reselling nearly double their MSRP simply because the demand is through the roof. The market is insane right now, so I really don't know where you're coming from. But don't buy into the hype - they're fast, but you don't need that for getting around. They save you money and are super convenient (literally just plug it in and come back to a full 'tank' overnight) but if you don't have control of your home parking situation that doesn't apply. They are better for the environment, but the emissions caused by manufacturing a new car are comparable to years worth of driving a gas guzzler around anyway, so you're not doing anyone a favor buying a new EV. They're efficient, but an e-bike would be significantly moreso for most in-town needs. We should be re-thinking the way we get around, but turning the gross amount of road traffic into heavier, quieter cars is a shift, not a solution. The people in charge of saying we're not going to be making ICE vehicles should also be making pedestrian and bike paths, and investing in serious public transit first and foremost. Going green means that we should absolutely not have most people choosing to go to dentist appointments via 2 ton king-size metal boxes and paving over 50% of the surface of our cities entirely to accommodate that. The core of the issue is something that hurts us in a lot more ways than just carbon.
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  31341. OK Michael, as usual I am going to give you some push back with a long comment (but I think you can handle it - and it's good for the channel). With regards to the issues with electric vehicles and specifically range anxiety this is what I found in a search "The United States Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration said that the average person drove 14,263 miles per year in 2019. That's roughly 1,200 miles per month per driver or about 39 miles per day. By comparison, the DOT said the average annual miles was 13,476 in 2018." - So the average American drives less than 40 miles per day. Now obviously when dealing with averages there are wide ranges behind it but if you look at ranges for electric vehicles they go from a low of 84 miles to an average of 194 miles to a high of 396 miles. My guess is that is enough to cover way of 90% of the needs of people. Just ask yourself when you last drove longer distances in one day (maybe on your tour around Florida but maybe not even then ...) With this knowledge it should be clear that range anxiety is more a psychological factor than a practical one, and that people who have the opportunity to charge at home or at work don't really need to worry much about how long it takes to charge a car at a charging station - so there is that... On the positive side you have: reduced emissions (at least if you don't use electricity produced by coal, oil or gas) AND you don't need to worry about gas prices digging a big hole in your monthly budget. Also there are far less moving parts in an electric car, so far less worries in terms of maintenance and associated costs. Let's not be naive and blind to the fact that the oil majors will do practically anything - and support any politician no matter how disgusting he or she is - to fight this transition and muddy the media waters with half truths and downright lies and fear mongering in order to save their own business, while pretending they are all happy to go green.
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  31600. It is beautiful and the nature is amazing but let me tell you the reality as I have been here 25 yrs. It’s super crowded here bc of tourism and everyone moving to Ponte Vedra Beach from CA the last yr bc they don’t like the fall out from their vote and the speed limit is 35-45 so you spend all day in traffic just to go to the grocery store and there is one way in and one way out of most places so ur just stuck. The companies are so small here most don’t even have an HR dept and i used to HR 20 yrs global w a degree so you have to downgrade ur job to OM just to get a job that makes enough money to barely survive here. You have to make at least 45k to survive here and most OM jobs pay $15-$17 p/h otherwise ur using ur 4 ur degree to do entry level work entry level pay $12-$14. The college kids are mostly in the dorms and in local housing from Flagler and their parents pay their way. There is only one street downtown that has resident parking on the surface street so you end up lugging your grocery’s for two blocks. The good old boy system is alive and well here so if you try to get a job at the three big companies Grumman or Ring Power or Sunbelt, good luck if you aren’t related to someone or a friend of a friend bc they advert those positions but they just do that for EEOC regs. They usually already have an internal candidate. Florida is a very red state so a lot of the old school ways are still alive and running the town so if you aren’t up for that maybe not the place for you. I’m 100% happy here and I have family here & im a super positive person so I thought I’d give you the real story. I believe in following your dreams the universe will provide but it’s taken me 25 yrs to finally find my niche. Good Luck! Explore! Love the life you want!!! Good vibes to you all!
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  31950. Michael I love your videos Michael I think you're the greatest YouTuber from South Florida anyway I'm worried now about my condo can die in the 55 plus community that was playing on buying remember me I'm the girl who lives next door to the Colombian drug dealers they place Spanish music till 4:00 a.m. all summer long from April to November starting at 8:00 p.m. all the way till 4:00 or 5:00 a.m. how do I make sure my calendar doesn't die I want to live in a 55 plus community called Kings point in Delray Beach I don't know if you ever heard of it before is that a safe quiet place I can't take the loud music going on till 4:00 or 5:00 a.m. every weekend I need the peace and quiet my nerves are shot I am 55 I hate to admit it I just turned 55 but and my brother he's 50 we inherited a house at the Jersey shore and we live next door to these loud Colombian drug dealers they have drug parties every weekend they're dealing cocaine I've called the cops of them many times but the cops don't do anything when they go over there and they tell him to quiet down but then 5-10 minutes later they put the music really loud again and they start laughing in Spanish and they call me crazy the crazy cat lady and all I have is two cats anyway I'm not crazy because I want peace and quiet I want to sleep at night I don't want you to going on till 4:00 or 5:00 a.m. every Saturday night the noise is shaking my house is awful the booming noises and it's in Spanish I don't understand what they're saying they're doing it's horrible I don't know what to do I want to sell this house now I do have offers on my house and I didn't even put the for sale sign up so should I just sell it to the highest bidder or what my girlfriend she wants to buy it at a discount and she feels that she deserves it at a discount cuz she's giving us money over the years so anyway she wants a big extra discount and then I have this other guy who wants to buy it at full price should I sell it to my girlfriend at the discount since I had known her for 30 years or should I sell it to the highest bidder I don't know what to do Michael what do I do I don't know what to do I owe $50,000 to this girl friend if she wants $60,000 off the list price but we only owe her 50,000 or do I sell it to the guy who wants to full price but he also wants a little bit off because everybody wants a little bit off they say they're going to pay the full price I've sold real estate in the past but then they want you know 5,000 for this or 10,000 for this discounted I'm sure he wants a few thousand off so do I sell it to her for the $60,000 off the price and this way I could always go back and visit in the future she's like family she's like a sister to me or sell it to that stranger at the full price but he's going to want a few of those and off I'm sure what do I do I wish I had the answers but I know one thing is for sure I got to get out of here by April because I can't put up with this weekend parties putting cotton balls in my ear ear plugs and having to take sleeping pills to fall asleep and having fans on to block the noise it is really crazy living here I feel bad for the next person buying the house maybe I should even sell it to that girl because she's going to get upset because she's going to put up with those stupid parties I don't know what to do I know Michael you're experienced and you're really knowledgeable you're the only guy that I can and your opinion would you sell it to the friend of yours who wants it badly who wants the house by the beach badly I think she doesn't care if she doesn't mind about the Spanish music she said it reminds of her Mexico I personally can take it anymore I would like to live in a quiet place I hope Kings point is quiet I don't think they have late night parties there it's a 55 plus community I think they all go to bed by 9:00 which is fine by me you'll find when you get older you'll like the peace and quiet what to do sell it to that girlfriend and give her an extra discount of $10,000 or just sell it to that strange guy for the full price and he's going to want just got anyway because people never pay full price they always want a few thousand off I they did this in the past when I saw the other real estate anyway I would appreciate your answer what would you recommend or what would you do thank you
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  32074. A) Yes, people should pay their bills, so that others don't have to. But try telling that to politicians that do not want to fund the IRS so that they can collect taxes and investigate fraud. Guys, those taxes that the IRS are not collecting, you are paying them, so think about that. B) If all deposits are guaranteed, depositors will simply flock to the banks that offer the highest interest rates no matter the bank's (lousy) business practice (like SVB, which was borrowing short and lending long), because, hey, my money is safe so I might as wall take the risk free reward - it's called moral hazard. C) The BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) have some of the worst economies in the world, the most inflexible financial markets and the highest levels of corruption too. There is no chance they will be "taking over" from the mighty dollar anytime soon. D) For politicians who oppose digital currencies arguing that the "surveillance state" will be coming for you; sure I see their point, but don't be blind to the fact that these guys want to hide their own illegal or murky money flows. For example, where did Lying Santos get his 750000 dollars from for his campaign? We all know Florida is one of the most dodgy places when it comes to money and fraud, so no wonder the push back coming from there. PS: Bitcoin is probably the most easily traceble "currency" that exists, every move is written in the ledger, and its close to impossible to be anonymous unless you buy bitcoin from a guy in a dark alley.
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  32096. Great content. I hope the ibuyer business/speculators lose and get burnt in this round of corrections. Too much mal investment not based on fundamentals. I know of no commodity that can have an increase this quickly that is based on real fundamentals. All of this is caused by the federal reserve and gov't (all central banks and gov'ts---not just US). I still think it will take a while to correct the housing market. Real estate is payment (ie debt based) for the majority of the market. It also does not move down fast as far as pricing (it can go up fast but goes down slow)---reason is in a hot market, sales happen faster and inventory turns faster. In a downturn the sales slow, transactions slow, and the comps take longer to adjust. Higher rates will mean lower sales prices, especially after an unsustainable hot market we just saw in the past 2.5 years. Inventory will remain lower than normal as people are now locked into their sub 3% mortgage (people are trapped by their rate at current prices)--they cannot make a lateral move to a similar house without a huge jump in their mortgage payment. Inventory will open up as layoffs increase. The only folks that will sell are those that must sell or those who got in over their head in the rental and air bnb markets hoping to flip instead of cashflow. We are still in an easy money policy from the Fed even with laughable ~4% Fed Funds rate by end of 22. Mortgage rates will be 8% be the end of the year especially if the Fed unloads their mortgage-backed securities they bought up during the pandemic. BTW, most folks don't realize that there is still student loan and mortgage forbearance occurring. Fun times.
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  32762. "I don't know how the guys that live in the Pacific North West can do it." I was born in Arkansas 27 years ago. Moved to Tennessee after 8 years and then moved to Oregon after 4. And I gotta say. The during my fifteen years here, I've probably hiked along the coast trails and such near 70 or so times. But think. That's only 70 times in 15 years. There were near 5,408 other opportunities I could have gone, but didn't go. You know why? It was partially the weather... but it mainly was the seemingly overall apathetic/realist attitude of the populace. Once you get used to it here you become more like that. There are several reasons because of this. Main ones deal with cost of living and employment rates for youth like me. I hate it here. It's really only the people and places I know, like and respect that keep me here. That's it. This coming year I'm thinking of moving back to the South. I'm 27 now, and still am trudging through school in search of an eventual academia job, which is my dream. And my job as a tutor is remote, so I don't get out too much (though that's mainly because the Governor here has kept things closed down for so long.) And to make things even better (sarcasm), part of my entire state is without power because of the storm. In short, living here has turned a bright happy kid into a stoic, cynical dude. he one major con of Arkansas is that it doesn't have a beach though... so while I might go back for school there, I'm also thinking of moving to the East coast somewhere. I think I'd like that better.
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  32891. Michael, great video! I just wanted to add some more info. My mother moved to Coconut Grove back in the mid 60's. I grew up near Dinner Key Auditorium and actually watched through a window as Jim Morrison and the Doors performed drunk on stage and was arrested by the police. I worked on a shrimp boat in the summer and, fished, snorkled, sailed and explored small islands in Biscayne Bay. I loved visiting Viscaya and the Science Museum down the street (Bayshore Drive). I graduated from Coral Gables HS, moved to Ft. Lauderdale and graduated from Florida State where I was in the Marching Chiefs (I am a musician as well). I loved all those places, including Tallahassee. My relatives live in Melborne. I'm currently retired and live in Venice. I've spent many years in Florida and have come to realize that it's probably the best state in the US to enjoy life. The weather can't be beat and the beaches are everywhere! (Don't come here if you're afraid of hurricanes). If you're young, you can't find more fun things to do in any state (and I've lived or driven through all of them except a few of the New England states and I've lived internationally). People think it's hot here but it's really just the humidity that gets to them. It's common to come back from visiting relatives in PA in July where it's 101 degrees and land in Sarasota where it's only 84 degrees. The heat lasts from June through October most every year with a week or less of winter, a day or two here and there. From Nov through June, it's pretty perfect, reaching mid 70 during the day and maybe low 60's to high 50's. I didn't want to list all the cities in Florida I've visited or lived in but would like to say I totally agree with all the places you listed as great places to live. I wanted to mention Tallahassee is a really hopping college town as the state capital. There's plenty of entertainment for everybody at Florida State University and Florida A and M University. Key West is a "must visit" bar and beach town, especially for the LGBTQ community. What a great town! Panama City beach is another great beach town as is Daytona and St. Augustine which you mentioned. If you are young and looking for work, you can find it anywhere you want to live. If you want noise, young people, bars, nightlife and excitement, you can't go wrong just about anywhere. Even the small cities here will have affordable housing and some kind of night life and entertainment. If you are retired and want affordable living with a hospital on every other street corner, you can find that too. There's lots of musicians here from all walks of life. It's mostly conservative with a lot of military retirees. Overall, there's lots of good people here. That's why there's such an influx every winter of "Snowbirds" from up north (Ohio, NY, NJ, PA, Canada). A lot of towns lose half their population from May through Nov. We love it here. The kids love it here. We're trying to find a small place in the mountains up north just for an occasional change of scenery. But, overall great video!
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  33725. Good video. In one of your next videos, you need to make on on insurance in FLA. I just sold my father's FLA property for top dollar cash. I want to buy a retirement home in the area north of Tampa where I am interested. We have not only the weather threat but sink hole threat as well. My home owners insurance cost for in the northeast is under $1000 per year and for my father's home it was $2000 for a home that is less than half the value of mine. My Father's insurance was cheap because he had a grandfathered policy. The sink hole insurance is a scam in FLA. You get catastrophic coverage on your basic home owners policy. But for it to pay off, you must meet a bunch of criteria under FLA law which is very unlikely. Then you buy a policy to really have sink hole insurance for additional cost say 2k per year with a 10% deductible. So a 300k home would have a 30k deductible plus the premium each year. In some cases it will cost over 100k to fix a sink hole. Then you have to sell a house that has a sink hole. Also, I priced auto insurance. My realtor I used in FLA pays $3500 per year in auto insurance for 2 cars. I pay less than 1/2 of that in my state because we require everyone to buy auto insurance. So we have very few uninsured motorist on the road vs FLA. I heard the Miami area is the worst for this. So FLA may sound like a good deal with no income tax but when you put all of the costs together, the cost savings may not be as good as you think. Your other point on the new property tax rate from the county needs to be factored as well. Again good video.
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  33804. As far as in Connecticut they're charging for infrastructure for charging electric cars . That is another thing that is sort of stupid about America look at the way China has designed their electric cars . It's a 100% better system you never have to charge your car 🚗. What they have is you drive up it's sort of like a car wash so to speak or consider it a gas station ⛽. You drive up with your vehicle . You drive in . A robot 🤖 . Take your battery out and put a new one in that's fully charged . Only takes like 3 minutes ,the same time as going through a car wash . Can you drive out the other end with a fully charged battery 🔋. You don't need to ever plug your car in anywhere or have charging stations at home or anything . And the best part about it is you don't ever have to worry about my electric car is 5 years old and my batteries are 5 years old . You never have an old battery or have to pay to replace the batteries. When they grabbed the battery out of your car . It goes on the shelf and starts charging. Any battery that doesn't take a charge good anymore . Goes in the recycle bin and a new one goes in his place. All this charging infrastructure is also not even necessary either . Like I say when your battery is low you drive right up drive in and drive right out with a freshly charged battery . They replaced the battery in like 3 minutes . They even have those on highways in China . Similar to rest stops in America . You just pull off get a new battery and be on your way. America is doing it the stupid way . Let's put charging stations all over and have you plug in your vehicle . In all types of weather conditions . Besides that can you drive away in 3 minutes 100% charged battery ? No
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  33939. The Feds have been way , way behind the curve . We should be at 3% fed funds rate yesterday. I have been in the mortgage banking field 38 years and recently retired. The crisis in 2008 was driven by Wall St securities clamoring for more paper . Thus they began offering no income verification no asset verification , etc to the average person . Even in the non conforming lending days ( way before the Alt A ) income was verified even though higher debt ratios were allowed they were off set with verified down payments and interest rates . The creation of FNMA and FREDDIE automated underwriting systems actually contributing to the emergence of stupid lending expansion in the Non Conforming and AlT A lending buy expanding from there 28/36 ratio underwriting. This time it’s mostly on the Realtor and Consumer (yes the fed as well ) . Recently a home in my neighborhood listed for $599k ( assessed $350) . The $599 was silly as it is but reflective of the market idiocy. It sold for $650k , some nitwit actually paid $50k more to buy a home that is most likely $475-525k realistically. Not waterfront and no special amenities like a pool with waterfalls . The realtors will tell you to offer what you can afford not what it’s worth , don’t fall for it. Of course they get paid on the larger sale . Now this home becomes a comp and so on. People stop being stupid and way , way overpaying and rent or don’t sell . If you bought years ago and are way up , to sell and buy you will be way overpaying . When it hopefully corrects again your current home might be worth less but not less than you paid for it . The new home will be worth less if there is a correction. Like they say can’t fix stupid.
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  34202. Great video Michael! Transition to greatness is in the midst for everyone. There won’t be any crash, actually its the opposite that’s happening. All debt will be canceled. This is what Trump is implementing through his executive orders. This is a battle with the financial system aka Federal Reserve. Trump rebuilt everything behind the scenes and with all his changes the Federal Reserve is on life support. All debt will be canceled. Income tax will be abolished. He already defanged the IRS. This is why he stopped them from being able to foreclose or evict. This is part of the currency reset. A whole new banking system. Property tax and HOA fee’s will go bye bye. There illegal anyway. Trump has been tweeting out everything in code. America’s reaping the harvest that was stolen by the banking system. This is why the forgiveness of debt. The ones that are against Trump don’t want this to come through to the people. We are going to a gold standard. Eventually, home prices will drop back to when we were taken off the gold standard which was 1971. America will prosper like never before. We have many good things to look forward too, but some chaos will arise the day after the election so stock up now on everything before this time comes. Pelosi and her goons plan on removing Trump from the White House therefore, Military will be out shutting all this down. Q said, batten down the hatches it’s showtime! The baddies are being removed. This is good. Why do you think Trumps slogan is “Make America Great Again?” It means something behind the scenes that him and many others have been doing for the good of humanity around the world. Get your popcorn and enjoy the show!
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  34260. Condos are required to show you their financial statements in the documents package. If the capital account is low, then there can be a problem. You could also request the meeting minutes for a year or two of meetings and read through them to see what the problems are like. We have maintenance people at our development most weeks from spring to fall and I'd have to say that building maintenance is pretty good. Prices here are quite a bit less than that condo you showed but San Francisco is a big city with big taxes and costs. Our HOA fees went up about 75% during the pandemic but I'd rather have the money in the maintenance and capital accounts than not. I think that we only have one unit for sale right now out of 180. That unit is asking too much. Your 60% condo fee increase sounds about right. Higher in our area because of heating costs, perhaps, but in the ballpark. Regulators are a good idea, but if people were honest and responsible, there would be no need for them. "Houses that may wind up under water" - figuratively and literally. We have the right to attend all meetings but there can be a non-public session. In actuality, nobody attends the meeting except for the board, lawyer and management company. I suspect that the costs to maintaining low-story wood-frame buildings have lower maintenance costs than high-rises. I'd guess that high-rises have lower maintenance costs initially and then they rise and go up sharply at some point. Wood-frame buildings seem a lot easier to maintain as you don't have anywhere as near the weight issues that you have with high-rises.
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  34304. michael I am gonna be real with you about cali. A lot of the comments you read about cali from others are true but there are maybe a hand full of people that I do not think have lived here long enough so they don't really know about the cali then which I call golden and the cali now which I call a demon shit hole. I have lived in cali for 39 yers now almost my whole life. I am an immigrant my family left Vietnam and came to U.S. because absolutely no freedom exist there and that is what cali is now minus the part where you get to pick whatever occupation you want to be in. Here goes 1 cali has the highest taxes and regulations in the nation. 2 no freedom in cali forced lockdowns/mandates, then on top of that newsmen basically spits and slaps you in the face while you are locked down at town and forced to wear masks he's out partying and not wearing his mask, something with his aunt pelosi. 3 wild fires, earthquakes, mud slides droughts and yes cali does have sink holes too. 4 severe high crime did you know that criminals in cali can walk into your store steal $1500 of worth of things walk right out and nobody can do anything about it. 5 severe homeless problem don't know if you noticed when you were in cali but in san fran, l.a., hollywood, sacramento, bay area people would take dumps in front of your business very gross and insanitary. Indoctrination of kids in public schools, you have to have a license or permit for everything for example, I recently had the floors in my house redone I had to get permit for that so ridiculous. 6 we have stupid laws in this state I believe that it is in monterey that you can't walk down the street and chew gum at the same time, who are you hurting? how are you causing harm to the environment by doing that. 7 housing my sister makes let's just say a lot of money she lives in the bay area and her little 800 square foot shack with a back yard the size of a shoe box is worth 2 million dollars and no her house does not look nice by any stretch of the imagination. This list is getting long if you want to know more please ask. Like I said I've lived in cali now for 39 years planning to move to Tampa, FL. I visited Florida before and will be there for 1 week this coming weekend for my birthday checking Florida out even more then I will decide where in Florida I will move to unless if I win the lotto jackpot then I will move to hawaii.
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  34434. Hey Michael. As always, great content. A few things regarding the Toronto/Ontario. We have what is known as the Greenbelt and Oak Ridge Moraine, brought into law earlier in the early 2000's, this is very restrictive legislation, taking developable land off the market. This is one of the main drivers as why real estate is out of control here, statistically, if the reproduction stopped and immigration stopped it would take upwards of ten years to house all those in need here. Yep, there is plenty of land here, yet the public has been fooled into believing there isn't. In the GTA density building is all that's left. Today I was at two Condo sites in Pre-sale. The one in Vaughn at Hwy7 & 400 is selling 455 sq ft 1 bed, 1 bath condo's starting at 955,000, insane, the other site, 10 mins from Downtown Toronto is selling 1 bed, 1 bath aprox 470 sq ft are starting at 710,000. Maint fees are starting at six cents per square foot. taxes, in excess of 3000.00 Anywhere in the GTA area, 3 bed towns are approx 900,000 and up, 3 bed detached, 1,000,000 to 1.3. 4 beds 1.2 to 1.5 and this is factoring in approx a 22-30% correction since the height of the market back in Feb/March 2022 and more declines are coming. People just don't learn, in 2017, our very overheated market had a hard correction due to offshore money pouring in that intensely overheated the market and also created substantial housing issues. Our Government has always been too little too late, in late 2017 it was estimated that in the GTA alone, in excess of 50,000 home were offshore owned and sitting empty, The Government tried to crack crack down and fine the owners, good luck, they are off shore. The then legislated a 13% foreign buyer surtax, didn't work, foreigners just moved into plan B, buy home through Canadian family members and friends and thru Corps. This year they are at it as you suggested, placing a Ban on foreign buyers for what looks to be a 2 year minimum, then the surtax is set to rise into the 20% range you suggested. They are also putting an anti-flip tax on real estate in effect come Jan 1, 2023 that is going to be bad for our markets. Flippers will have to hold a property one year or longer, or if not be subject to this tax being added onto the sellers income tax, which for most moderate earners here is 42-50%. Our socialist Government has also now decided to fund rent to own programs, which will end up costing the tax-payers here substantially, anytime our Governing bodies ever get involved in managed housing, it has failed miserably. Right now, borrowing has risen sharply, back in Feb 2022, you could buy a 5 yr variable from 1.2 to 2.3% and move forward to now, 4.55 to 5.14 all these mortgages are usually prime plu, right now, its aprox .65% and this is for Triple A borrowers, if your a B type or C type borrower the rates are substantially higher. We are also starting to see a slow down in retail sales and job market slow downs, so it's only a matter of time before we experience more economic uncertainty. I feel the same as you, if your fiscal house is in order, people will be ok, if not, look out, this time, it will not be a short economic bounce, In Canada, there is a lot of corruption in many sectors and Government and the options are running out.
    3
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  34439. Hey Michael how's it going today? I was just thinking about some of the questions I have concerning coming to Florida. Wanted to share those with you. If you've already covered these subjects in another video then just don't worry bout answering them. 1. Hot Springs Have you ever been to any of the hot springs in Florida? If so do you have a favorite one? Would you be able to rate for Hot Springs? Are there alligators excetera in the hot springs? Can we go to the hot springs during this pandemic? Have you ever been to the Crystal River area? 2. Dog parks And where are dogs allowed in Florida? Are there dog parks in Florida? Can you take your dog on the beach or are there only certain Beaches they are allowed on? can you take your dogs into restaurants? Do you know anything about the cost of veterinarian services in Florida? I know this can vary dramatically from area to area and state-to-state. Are all dog breeds allowed in Florida? I know sometimes there are restrictions. 3. insects and snakes and alligators Etc. Obviously in the Everglades are going to be Gators. Can you tell us where else we might find these creatures in Florida? Can you give us the lowdown on the bugs? Exactly what kind of insects are abundant in Florida are abundant in Florida? I've heard you are abundant in Florida? I've heard you talk a little bit are abundant in Florida? I've heard you talk a little bit about are abundant in Florida? I've heard you talk a little bit about this subject in another video. What kind of snakes are there in Florida? oh and I might as well ask you about the sharks in the water off the Florida beaches if that is a problem? 4. Grocery stores and fresh food markets. obviously with such a high population I'm sure there's plenty of grocery stores around. But can you tell us about what chain grocery stores are there in Florida? Where are the Costcos located? And lastly tell us about the fresh fruit and vegetable markets. Organic and are there many around the state? 5. Lastly I'm sure there are Healthcare facilities in every major city. Have you heard anything about one city being Better equipped than another as far as hospitals and Medical Care go? Sorry for any typos and also I know some of these questions may seem obvious and simplistic :-) I'm just old so thank you for your kind patience :-)
    3
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  35269. What happened at Champlain towers could happen at any other building in your area. The key is maintenance. As a retired builder I explain what happened to that building as simply as I can. For the non industry people out there think of the accident like this. In simple terms: Have you ever seen someone pull a table cloth out from under a fully set table of dishes and cups etc..? Well think of the pool deck and overhead ceiling of the garage area as the table cloth. The table cloth is attached in this case all along the exterior of the building with concrete slabs that are sewn together with rebar into the outside carrying wall and columns that are holding up the entire load of the building both Dead load ( the structure) and the Live load ( the people , equipment and possessions ) The deck ( table cloth) was severely damaged by water and concrete spalling and it collapsed thru the carrying columns leaving the deck attached to the outside wall and carrying columns being yanked OUT OF PLUM. Just like what would happen if you tried the table cloth trick but instead of pulling it very fast leaving the cups and saucers standing upright, what if you pulled it very very slowly a tug at a time? Well the cups and saucers would come crashing down. Well that is exactly what happened to Champlain towers. The structural integrity that transferred the Loads to the columns was no longer able to do its job. The columns were pulled out of plumb as were the walls and the tremendous weight above just did what Gravity does when it no longer has legs to stand on. How many times have you had your knees buckle forward? You fall very quickly without warning. Sadly , the buildings owners and associations knew exactly that the building was moving and that the deck was in bad condition three years prior to the accident. My God what a tragedy. If you live in a high rise, speak up and demand to see any and all inspection reports. Personally I would not live in a high rise building. I have built too many of them and I know what goes on some of the time. Those buildings were built from the easiest and least expensive way to construct a high rise. If a building isn’t built with a steel skeleton and curtain wall exterior , I would not live in it. And if it were built like Champlain towers I wouldn’t even consider living there if it’s more than 25 years old. Good luck to you all. God bless ✌🏻🇺🇸
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  35385. Man happy New Year first of all All right I have ben watching you for a minute and I like your content I hope you push yourself out there a little bit more you don't seem to post enough I am a San Francisco native born and raised and I have gotten a chance to see the housing market do some things that are just downright fraudulent and criminal over the course of the last 25-26 years it's a goddamn racket straight up these people are scalping real estate like the mafia organized crime scalps tickets outside of ballparks it's ben wild These people with reckless abandon have destroyed families killed old people by kicking them out of their homes on a regular basis and it looks like they're going to continue to be a threat to the national security and stability of the United States all for their own personal enrichment And it has to be stopped so believe you me when I tell you if the housing prices don't come down on their own actions are going to have to be taken to force them down through heavy-handed government regulation of the market because of groups like Black Rock and the like So rest assured this market is coming down it's going to correct fully it has to This business of groups like Black Rock Zillow and others hoarding properties over the course of years and decades while at the same time claiming that price tags on properties are high because we have no inventory while at the same time they're the ones causing the low inventory by sucking up all the real estate has just got to stop And through eminent domain if we have to Please let me know what you think about what I've had to say
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  35566. A LOT depends on one's definition of 'cheaper' here. After 25 of home ownership here on the CA Central Coast, outrageously expensive as my same cottage would be today - where else would I have been in a position to plant an entire year round fruit forest/garden that renders the grocery store price of things like avocados, oranges, apples, pears , strawberries, kiwis - and a whole range of vegetables - almost irrelevant to me and my family? Not to mention - as I've made my living as a builder for 30 years, how realistic would it be for me as an apartment dweller - or a even rental house dweller - to be dragging the components of my entire wood shop out onto the sidewalk every time a cabinet project came my way? So then suddenly we have to start a discussion of what renting a comparable warehouse space would entail , what use of solvents and finishes would be permitted by a landlord, ventilation, commercial fire code... You get the idea. Finally, if you're just a working guy like me and you have kids who have lived in any community along the CA coast for their entire lives? Virtually your only hope of keeping them rooted in those towns today lies in your ability to hand them the keys to your house one day. OTOH, If you're working from the assumption that we're all just people with desk jobs who frequently buy a home with no thought of a connection to the land on which it sits? Or if you don't happen to be doing everything possible to assure that your kids aren't completely dispossessed from the only town they've ever called home... Then I get it. In raw numbers, you'd probably do better putting any savings in rent into a solidly diversified mutual fund. But to suggest that it's just inexplicable to you why people still take that leap of faith when all the bean counters would advise you otherwise? I think that number crunching isn't really up to the task of defining the meaning of home ownership for many of us.
    3
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  35573. An important aspect of the stock market is that it represents the cost of capital. When stock prices are high, a company with poor cash flow can always issue new shares to raise cash and keep the lights on a bit longer. When the stock market crashes, it is not as easy to issue shares to raise cash, so companies with negative cash flow start massive layoffs to cut costs. The bond market crashing (higher interest rates) also means it is much harder for new companies to take on debt. Lots of people working at these tech startup companies with no earnings will find themselves unemployed. Peter Schiff has also noted that stock compensation is a big part of the employee compensation for some companies. You might take a $50k job that offers stock options if the stock option is worth $100k. What happens if the stock option has no value? Those companies can no longer attract top talent for the cash amount they are offering, so they become even more strapped for cash when trying to hire new people. It's a downward spiral until those companies go under. It's ultimately a good thing when malinvestments are cleared out of the market through bankruptcy, but it's a rough ride. Lots of job losses, lost income, lower consumer demand, etc. It takes time for the market and people to adapt to the new situation, find new jobs, and get back to spending money on things. Even the people who don't lose their jobs will stop spending money in the economy if they feel like they could be next to lose their job.
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  36015. Imho, luxury isn't "normal". Luxury means having excess money or access to a lot of credit.. Very few of us will really ever know "luxury" the way some people do...... I grew up in a blue class family neighborhood & the richest people were the local md, dentist or lawyer. When I made my first 150k, I thought I was rich. Then after a while, it hit me - why am I spending x amount of dollars to put some designers name on my ass. Ever since that light bulb moment, I am careful with my money. I live a simple life, eat well, wear basically simple inexpensive styles, simple makeup, simple house, focus on staying healthy, simple car, take great vacations, splurge in nice restaurants once in a while. Nobody cares in my family or friends about what I do, what I wear, etc......... Women buy these stupid expensive Chanel, Kate Spade or a Prada purses, shoes & clothes to impress other women & to make themselves "feel important" or "Look at what I just bought"..`. I think most men could care less about this stuff & wouldn't know a designer handbag from one purchased at Macy's. . I see a Kate Spade purse & think, "Why are you pissing your money away on s purse that nobody gives a rat's ass about?". If they hang with a lot of women and live in an upscale neighborhood, their mentality is keeping up with the Joneses/Real Housewives. ..... The problem with today's society is that a lot of kids are growing up with the mentality that luxury is normal AND expected in life. The Kardashians are far from normal. The other part of todays problems are the parents who indulge their kids, & they tell them how wonderful they are, & the kid finally wakes up and realizes getting a job isn't so easy & the real world isn't going to cater to you. & getting ahead isn't easy & takes REAL work. . ......I look at life this way: I need a roof over my head, a bed, a shower, washing machine, decent car, decent neighbors/safety/great vacations/spend time with my aging dad..... Anything beyond that is simply "fluff"......Buying objects is fruitless. You get temporary pleasure out of it. Think about this: someday when you die, all your stuff goes either to family members, is sold, gets donated or thrown away. THAT'S IT...... Then I think of all the animal shelters that need help & are constantly struggling with little or no reward which bothers the hell out of me.......and I look around & see how much money in this world is pissed away in "fluff" & good causes keep struggling.......
    3
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  36416. You are so smart and wise for your years Michael. I moved when I was 33 years old, and I was dumber than a bag of hammers as far as life. Moving to Florida was a great thing for me, but I definitely made mistakes. I was a mess back in Rochester, and as I recently said on another one of your posts, I blossomed in Florida, reinvented myself, and within a couple of years of moving here owned a restaurant in Boca and then after selling that, owned another much more popular in downtown Delray Beach. I didn't get rich, but between me and my significant other, we had a beautiful 1930 Spanish House downtown, which we put an elaborate pool and waterfall in the backyard with lush landscaping. I had never had anything like this nor any expectations of it and I have to say I was close to ecstatic at my new life. I would tell people about it, excited about it, including my employees, and I could cringe now because what I was doing probably looked like I was bragging , to people that had much less, and I'm always sorry I did that. My only excuse is, again, I had never experienced the life like this and I was excited. Age and highs and lows and misfortunes have taught me to be a little bit quieter about stuff like that and more humble. You live and learn. Also, take nothing for granted. Though I was sick as a child with polio and other things, when I moved to Florida I changed my entire look by working out Etc and became a different person. I guess I thought that would last forever. It didn't, and I live in chronic pain with many limitations unfortunately. Again, take nothing for granted. But I persevere and continue to try. It ain't easy.
    3
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  37817. The government should only buy mortgage back securities in the most dire of circumstances, but they do it all the time. That along with low interest rates and stimulus have created a highly inflated real estate market. By "helping" so much the government has actually done far more harm to a lot of people in the long run, worse its left itself in deep deep debt which is a ticking time bomb that one day is destroy several generations economic futures and dreams. When I moved to Florida over 25 years ago it was a cheap to buy a home and in almost all other ways very affordable compared to other places, now it has become the opposite. As far as remote work goes, I can do 90 percent of my job from home, or more, and I can do it better and more efficiently. During the pandemic I would both come in to work and work from home as needed, but my job has adapted and more and more of it can be done remotely. But there is a big problem with work from home for my company, that problem is many people stay home and DON'T work. Since others were not doing their work and the company was putting of essential duties, I was given more and more work that other workers who stayed a home and were being paid did not do. These workers would even brag, even to our management about how little they worked, how great it was, and management did almost nothing to stop this until the last few months . This also meant that this year there was a flood of work that became urgent after two years of neglect, and you got it, I have to catch up on things that should have been done in the previous two years. The next issue is that many employees are refusing to come back to work, or are coming to work and not working, or disappearing for most of the day. My work moral is shot, and I have moved up my retirement plans and am going to be leaving my current job at the end of the year because I am eligible to retire and I have had it with my employer and their inability to competently manage their employees, their offices, and their work loads. I have not become one of the lazy ones because that's not the person I am, nor the person I want to become. It's not just me who is leaving either, about a fifth of our workforce has also had enough and are going, and the company is having a hard time finding the personnel with the skills and knowledge to do our jobs, but that is not my problem unless they want to give me a humongous raise, which they won't, so adios. Our management is in a panic to replace us, even though they have already had almost a years notice that we were all leaving and were repeatedly told them to find suitable replacements. P.S. this is also happening at a lot of other business that I work with as well. They are having a hard time retaining people and hiring replacements who can do the job. A lot of work is now taking longer to get done and the quality has dropped even if it does get done. Employers just don't seem to know how to take care of the employees who actually work, instead they are simply using the old management technique of the path of least resistance, pushing more work on the ones that produce as a solution to actually managing employees who don't do their jobs. But this time that technique does not seem to be working any longer.
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  38140.  @MichaelBordenaro  I think if people can believe why gold is not an investment will provide a better understanding that they are basically taking a truer version of money as opposed to this FIAT currency o protect themselves financially during turbulent times in the global market. The value of the dollar can be taken away but the value of gold will sustain itself if you buy it. Additionally if I’m purchasing gold I’m doing so in preparation for bad times. That being said I will have already bought myself food and water as well to sustain me and my family throughout the upcoming turbulent times. Him saying the US treasury never defaulted is a false statement as well. Throughout history the same fraternities in the past which has controlled the value of money in country’s where FIAT currency has been over utilized to the point of devaluing itself was done prior to them creating the Central banks in all of the industrialized world destroyed those country’s from within. Bit Coin is one of a few versions of blockchain technology which generates cryptocurrency that people are investing in. However, I think people will find out that this is just another instance of FIAT currency. If the Federal Reserve and the Treasury chose to go with their own version of blockchain technology to reset the economy they will be replacing one form of FIAT currency for another and the debt that they have created by printing all of that paper money will still remain. Additionally, if they replace this FIAT currency with their version blockchain it will make bitcoin an eminent threat to their version of cryptocurrency which gives them control of the global economy thus they will manipulate the market to bring an end to Bitcoin stock. Just my opinion.
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  38513. If you have a mortgage, the mortgagee will require that you carry a homeowners policy, or they'll place your home with a carrier and charge your escrow account. If you serve some adult pops and someone has even one drink that you served, and then they leave and injure/kill someone in a car accident you are liable (like a restaurant/bar). Next, it's really hard to look at your average claims and make any estimates because of punitive damages a jury could award. In CA where I used to be an Ins. Agent, the court could make you pay for a decade and then the plaintiff can renew the judgement for additional decades until the damages are paid. We live in a very litigious society and rather going through the exercise of worrrying if your saving enough or getting enough of a ROI, how about the peace of mind factor? Couldn't a person just accept that insurance is a racket in FL-- especially with the roof requirements and lack on consumer protection. If you can't afford the insurance (and yes I know it keeps raising unreasonably, but loss ratios from wildfires in CA have forced many top carriers from even offering HO policies. There's the CA FAIR Plan which is the equivalent to the Citizens insurance of last resort in FL. It's a shit policy really. Very little is covered and one has to get a seperate liability policy because the FAIR plan is property only. Lastly, just from a fundamental standpoint your HO or even renters policy is your liabilty protection when you are not at work (your employer has your liability) and not in your car (thart's your auto policy) anywhere on the planet. If you want an umbrella policy (excess liability) because the underlying limits are too low to cover your assets then you won't be covered liability speaking in outside of those conditions (at work/in car). If your house is paid for, then bite the bullet and buy a policy. You have too many assets to risk being taken from you in the event of a big claim. Lastly, if you self-insure, you will have to cover the entire cost of retaining an attorney to represent you. If you have a policy, that's representation is part of the policy. Perhaps you get together with other wealthy people and create your own insurance group. It all just sucks.
    3
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  38724.  @MichaelBordenaro  yeah, I dunno. Maybe in some markets, but I doubt that's a broader trend. I live In Denver and it's been common to see 25-50% home increases with cash sales of $65-$150K over asking in the past 18 months. At several points during 2020 and 2021 the Denver Metro had fewer than 100 houses for sale on the listings. Denver was already fairly high before that as well. With the high demand and low inventory, ridiculous prices have become the new normal, and people are despairing. In a recent thread on the Denver subreddit, people were showing their rents going up by 24% and higher. And so when you have these factors all at once, these ridiculous prices become the norm. It would take an economic collapse in the local market to drive down demand and thus prices. But Denver is very diversified and weathered the Covid downturn fairly well, which is why demand increased. This isn't Detroit, where all of the manufacturing jobs disappeared overnight, you know? I look back at the house I grew up in in California - we bought it for ~$150k or so in 1997. We sold it for $265K in 2002, and it was listed and sold in a weekend. That same house is over $700K now, and it's been above $500K for several years now. So where's the price correction? It's not coming. And it's not coming to Denver either. We'll look back on these times as ridiculous rates of inflation, but we'll think "man, that house was so affordable back then! Only $550K for a 1 bedroom 850 Sq ft!" because by that point the dollar will have been further deflated and inflation prices will have continued up.
    3
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  40013. I wouldn't live beachside for all the tea in china due to car exterior damage. I reside in broward - literally about a block away from my old town boca in palm beach. Moved into an old - 20 unit - condo, built in the mid 70's, upgraded all the way around but was missing a decent a/c. Spent 9k on a dual zone which solved that issue. My old building - in Boca which btw, palm beach does NOT have the 40 year building inspection - until recently - that broward has in place. As a result (when I left and before the building inspection law) building jacks were all over the place i.e., in hallways, and propping up patios because of the rusted out re-bar. When I was on the board at boca and I would mention "building re-bar" inspection because I spotted some serious water damage. Sadly, I would always get shot down and told: "there's no law on that here." we'll just hire a "handy man" to patch it up - which that answer didn't sit well with me. Meanwhile, I've been gone from that place for over 17 months and they're still working on that building and I know as a fact they don't have reserves. Here at my new building they have plenty of reserves, had our building inspected last year (one minor repair) AND strange as this may sound, our insurance decreased! I have no idea where the "cut off" mileage would be for a building to not get minimal or zero rebar/metal damage. Both buildings (broward and palmbeach) were maybe a mile away from the ocean. Love your videos! You always provide people with EXCELLENT - take to the bank - info.
    3
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  40198. Thanks Mike. I actually looked up and researched on my on as suggested in the comments about the "Great Reset" and "Black Rock". Turns out that Black Rock created the meltdown in 2008 and then worked with the government to bail us out, being that they are the world's largest investors and asset managers. So this is not new. It seems that they are doing the same again; buying all the properties they can to create a nation of renters. I had called for self agency. We have let this go on and on for decades now and there is no one to blame but ourselves. It seems like we just keep escalating the amount of money that an investment company like Black Rock or a company like Amazon, etc, are able to make. Trillions. That is capitalism. The government is involved as well and they seem to be getting rich. They side track us with division and all other buzz words that seem to be working. I'm not sure as what we can do as self agency would be do not sell your home; stop buying from Amazon and start there. There is other reason post pandemic that are going on too. Lumber is extremely expensive, transportation has slowed down, the all American Quit your job, etc. etc. Seems we are doing all this ourselves. There is also bit coin used as money which is digital and really imaginary because it's not backed up with the believe that our government will be able to back real money. So we are also the culprits that is making our government go broke instead of buying ibonds and other government bonds, many are investing in bitcoin. Again, self agency. Thank you, this has been quite an eye opener for me Mike. Any suggestions guys? What should we do everyday to better the situation? I love my United States and do not want to leave it!
    3
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  40327. Why do you refer to Case/Shiller as a median price? Case/Shiller has nothing to do with median prices. Median price is determined by listing all sold prices from low to high and picking the number in the middle. Since more sales in the high end will raise the median and more sales in the low end will lower the median, the median price does not reflect whether prices are rising or falling as a lot of people erroneously believe. From history, I believe the median price will rise (like in 2007) just as real prices begin to fall. My theory is that when prices start to fall, the sellers of higher end properties know they have more to lose if they don't cut their price and get it sold (ex. 10% of $300K is a $30K loss, whereas 10% of $3M is a $300K loss ), so more houses sell at the high end than the low end, causing a rise in the median. The way Case/Shiller works is they take a house that was sold at one time and compare it to another house sold at another time, both in the same location and of same size amenities and features. Case/Shiller is the best indicator of house price trends; median prices are the worst. Stop using the median prices to determine the direction of house prices. Here is a little experiment I want you to do. In the crash of 07/08, compare the peak and bottom of the median sold price to the peak and bottom of Case/Shiller and you will see that Case/Shiller peaked in Q2 of 2006 and bottomed in Q1 of 2012, while the median peaked in Q1 of 2007 and bottomed in 2009. The numbers are way off. If you followed the median and bought a house in 2009, you would have had to endure 3 more years of negative equity.
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  40606. My mother taught me the expression, "wherever you go, there you are", in agreement with a big part of your lesson here. Meaning, you will be you, with whatever problems you had in Illinois (or wherever ), in a new place. Something else I said to a colleague today, markets are very efficient, meaning "everything is priced in". Why I say this.. you can get sun , fun and water, but your job prospects can fall to zero. You can live in the cold wet North and actually have a job, or make 5 times the amount you would get in the South. You can go on a mission to get access to the opposite sex, or just sex in general, and guess what, the price of that will be 10 times higher, and you'll have a "ME TOO" movement going on, that you will have to fight through. You will find yourself on Los Olas boulevard and listening to some married guy 10 years your senior, telling you about his million dollar yacht parked on the river outside, and what a big winner he is.. and wondering "if this guy is such a winner, and I am such a loser, why is he standing here talking to a tourist on a Saturday night?". Moral, don't move some place thinking it's a social goldmine. Move for what YOU want to do with your free time. For example, I want to swim in the International Swimming Hall of Fame, and the Jacaranda, two 50 meter outdoor pools which don't exist anywhere near my hometown. So that would be a reason, I would hang onto. I want to watch and bet on live horse racing. Something else I can't do where I live. Thanks for listening. Just throwing out some thoughts on the matter.
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  40761. Hello Bro, Randall here again. Another good topic and video presentation. Good job breaking it down. That other force we talked about, The Institutional Investors is a problem in the market holding these properties as home rentals or vacation rentals. This is also an issue as you mention: homeowners holding homes as passive income. I agree with you the housing shortage is not as big as they think. The market was changed again with the FED upping the rates. This has complicated things and taken buyers out of the market with the increase in lending rates. Accordingly, new mortgages are down. I'm enjoying your research on the market. The pandemic has changed everything and I don't think people recognize just how many buyers are out here now because many if us now can work from anywhere, even with the increase in rates. 5% is not great compared where in 2% range, but that is still a pretty low rate historically. When I purchased my house in 1998 the rates were 6.5% range. I still would like to be in Florida because of the reduced tax burden. Plus, there are still places in Florida where you can get some good value compared with the high prices here in the Mid-Atlantic. I have a few years and can be prudent and patient. If the rates stay near 7% I think that would help the economy and market overall by taking some buyers out the market and normalizing prices. Demand is Florida is going to stay strong for the most desirable locations, Miami, Ft Lauderdale, West Pal Beach, Hollywood, Naples, St Petersburg, Clearwater, and the like around Florida. What do you think about the issue of Disney losing their strength with that new law? How will it impact the Florida home buyers markets, push up costs and decrease demand?
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  40947. Hello Michael, its Randall here. I sure can relate to your experience. I don't have to be on vacation to have the restless nights you speak of before a car show, or a auto race I'm going to, or before a weekend get away. I lose sleep packing for the vacation and getting on the plane early in the morning. As a result, I arrive on the first day of vacation a little worn down. We end up sleeping in or just chilling out the first day. Vacationing can be like a job LOL, just to do it. I have learned to pack earlier and to pack less. Also I have learned to purchase less trinkets for family and friends, this way I can avoid having bags to heavy that I have to pay for or lug around. My Dad refuses to travel, he was in the military and traveled some around the world. He says "I have been everywhere I want to go, I have spent years getting my house just the way I like it, why should I spend money to leave it to go somewhere I'm not going to be as happy". I think you can relate to this, I know I do. On the other hand, my desire to learn and experience the world's nature and it's diverse people, plus my passion for cars and auto racing are what make me want to travel. This is why I so admire and I'm inspired by your cross country trip. So, thank you. I think my Dad has it right for himself, but that is not for me. I have to go see and touch and experience this beautiful world we live in, before we mess it up. I relate to how you miss your life when you are away. I miss my life at home too, when I'm away. If I were in Florida, where I dream to be, I would miss being home too. I know when I get there, everyday I will be spent in a little bit of my paradise. Paradise is different for everyone. Enjoy!! Appreciate you!.
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  41136. Hi Michael, I really do not get your point at all. As you are in CA and I am from CA, lets talk about facts: In CA the renter in general pays for water and power, so that evens out the expense of monthly expenses, Also many landlords now require renters insurance, even if cheap is an expense. I do the same in my properties in Miami, Sarasota Etc. If the house has a garden, I given the option, that I pay for it or they do, and I give them a discount if they do. But I never pay for pay for water and power, learn my lesson with that one. But as of expenses, the only real difference is the buyers Insurance. If you buy a home, the buyer pays the down payment, mortgage fees if any, closing cost and prorated taxes ( The later depends on negotiations as well) Unless you buy a fixer upper, then you know you need to add money to fix it, Or the seller did not disclosed all the problems with the property, that been illegal, is the recourse of suing, which I do myself if that is the case. Is mandatory by law for the seller to disclosed any and all issues with the property, is no recourse for them to say I was not aware of it. Ignorance of the law is not an excuse. I do not see any further expenses. Yes it could be a water heater that breaks or an electric meter, etc, but I have never in all my years in investing faced that issue, buyers must do their home work and hire their own people to inspect the home properly, and I mean properly, attic, under the house, Electrical, Piping, cracks, flooring, windows ( this is very common in Miami, that he windows are installed and they are not at code at all, happened to me; the city inspector came after install, I waited and then called my contractor and showed them they where not at code. ( they where over 1 1/2 inch shorter on each side and fill the space with cement, that is not at code, they must be redone or re-framed) you get what you pay for, good inspector have the right tools but they are more expensive. So could you kindly tell me about any other expenses?
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  41487. Michael; I have to disagree with you on the college education issue. (Higher) education is important, not just for the actual subject that you learn (actually least of all for the specific subjects depending on your line of study) but for the learning methodologies that you acquire; the analytical tools that you pick up; the critical thinking that you are taught. You learn how to learn; efficiently and correctly. That way you can further educate yourself in almost any other subject. (I personally majored in Brazilian-Portuguese of all things, something that I never made a living off, but I ended up in a completely different field in the corporate world). As a basic example, in school you are told to read a number books and authors, not because those books and authors are necessarily very important for your future, but because when you learn to read one thing, you can read most things. You acquire an ability to read, which is not just to understand the words that are written, but the meaning of a text. You can see the logical gaps. One of the reasons why fake news, lies and disinformation spreads so easily is because people don't know how to read (or listen) critically. Same with math, you learn equations which seem completely unrelated to real life, but once you get into real life you have the ability to approach a mathematical problem that you otherwise would not be able to. You may be able "to learn for yourself", but that is mostly not very efficient, as the example of the guitar teacher you used. PS: keep up the good work.
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  41775. I can totally understand your feelings about CA and FL. I've lived in both states. Like one of your commenters, I lived in Los Angeles in the good old days back in the early 1980s. It was paradise. Beautiful places, great weather, was still affordable and it was safe to party and live. I absolutely loved it. I was married back then and my (now ex) husband and I, we were so young, barely out of diapers, restless and had a bug up our asses and moved around the country quite a lot. From Seattle, WA we moved to Los Angeles CA for a few years, then to Phoenix AZ, Las Vegas NV for a little while but the heat was crazy and because there were slot machines everywhere and I mean even in the grocery stores and gas stations, my ex couldn't hold on to a single penny, so we packed up whatever fit into our car and drove to the East Coast to try our luck in beautiful Bristol, Rhode Island, then on to Boston MA and finally to New York city. We spent 6-7 years in some places, only a short year in others. We finally ended up in Fort Lauderdale, FL and I loved it there just as much as back in LA. After my marriage of 16 years blew up and we got divorced, thank god we didn't have any children, I ended up in Coconut Creek, FL and was very happy there until I had to move back to Seattle for family. I have to tell you when I think back, the happiest I've ever been was when I lived in Florida. If I could, if my circumstances were different than what the sad reality I live in now, I would go back in a second. Not to CA though. The leadership in that state has changed for the absolute worse. The place is still beautiful, of course but they made living there a nightmare. Unless you have millions, then you don't care. Thanks for reading my rant. Hope everything works out and you are going to be happy with whatever you decide.
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  41941. This was awesome and I did notice the last video or so that you were out and about. It would be beneficial to know what city and what neighborhood you are in. That would only take a second. Thanks for getting out. I agree with you on basically every point. Enacting a law on this would not be infringing on personal freedoms in my opinion though. You got down to the core of it. Corporations are not citizens and they should not always come first. That is part of the problem in this capitalist country, corporations get to dictate because it is their money that gets these politicians elected and the elected officials cater to the corporations because of that. The government tells us we must have auto insurance, we have to have a license to drive, and the government can break up monopolies. Well, these corps like Blackstone are monopolizing the markets for profits. We should put a stop to it because it creates inflation on wages and everything else to keep up with the cost of housing and everything else. We raise the minimum wage and the result is the businesses raise their prices to get a piece of it. So, the little guy continually loses out. Affordable housing is a tremendously serious issue in our country because of this. You saw the homeless crisis first hand across the country. The tide in this country that indicates the little guy is struggling. Even well to do people are having troubles finding a nice affordable home. Take crime as a big indicator. People are desperate and do stupid stuff when they get desperate. Look at all the stupid crimes we are seeing these days. I digress. Nice topic. I found out about Blackstone in 2020. Something must be done; and, the government has the power to do it. Our leadership has been short sighted and too focused on the corps and high income folks. Some are blessed with education or the where with all to be successful, but we thrive as a country when everyone can have benefit from our greatness. This practice is destroying the part of the American dream of home ownership and a decent life. We pay way too much on housing.
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  42434. Having worked on the mortgage brokerage side of it in Florida going on 20 years ago in a couple of years, I see that not much has changed. Bad loans are still being made to people who do not have the demonstrated ability to pay, and there are still far too many "Foreign National" loans, which would be illegal altogether, if it was up to me! Here's a scam that was big in the affluent areas of Northern New Jersey, like the one I came from: Koreans came over with a briefcase full of cash in the early 2000's, when it was more of a "buyer's market," and plunked down a half million, three quarters of a million, or even a million dollars in cash, for a home. Then a few years later, when the value basically "doubled," THAT is when these properties were mortgaged! So on a property now "valued" at one million dollars, the owners were able to "cash out" on the half a million dollars they originally paid for the home, put that money back into their briefcases, stop making the mortgage payments, live in the home for the six months to a year or longer sometimes, until the Foreclosure process was complete, then take their money back to Korea, and leave the bank holding the bag! There was a good year or more, when 80% of the Foreclosure Notices advertised in my local paper, were "addressed" to Korean owners of million dollar or multi-million dollar properties! Some racket!! In my opinion, all loans, not just VA loans, should be eligible for assumption, upon lender approval. There are plenty of people with the ability to continue to make payments on an existing loan, who don't have 20% down in their savings. Why would lenders want a glut of homes in their portfolios, with payment of property taxes, now their responsibility? Depending upon the number of months that payments are in arrears, if someone is able to bring a loan current and demonstrate ongoing ability to pay, lenders should be quite amenable to approving the assumption of a loan!
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  42624.  @MichaelBordenaro  Oh, ok, so that explains it. But now i want to ask you something personally. You said you come from Illinois? Im from NY. So the climate is similar between the two. Coming from illinois, how MUCH WORSE IS THE HUMIDITY AND HEAT OF THE SUMMER IN SOUTH FLORIDA? I found your video, among others i have watched to get a better idea of Florida in general because i am considering a full time move there. I love the beauty, neon and beaches of miami beach, BUT, i have hears so many people from NY and all the mid west, and east coast all say very distinctly " ITS TOOOOOO HOT AND HUMID IN FLORIDA, PARTICULARLY IN THE SUMMER" : / I like the sun, and the heat, but NOT THE HUMIDITY! Infact, here in NY the humidity has worsened, increasingly worsened since last year. Last year was seriously noticeably bad! But this year was much worse! I never NEEDED an air conditioner in my car. Even last year. BUT THIS SUMMER? I HAD TO HAVE IT ON ALL THE TIME! : / To give you an idea of my feelings about humidity. I love the warm sunny weather over the change of seasons, and love the beach. BUT i wouldnt want to be living there in miami beach, and not be able to go out because its just too overbearing! : / So this is why i am talking about this. IF i had to stay in the air conditioning for a few hours every day in the summer months? That would bother me. I would feel trapped. I am a night person, but i would wnt to be out in and around all that beauty, and particularly the beach scene everyday! So now that i have given much more insight into my concerns? Maybe based on you being an implant from the mid east, you can relate and give me more informed perspective!??? ( im also a musician, and lead guitarist, though i also play several instruments and teach music too ) I noticed your ESP Gibson , and your mesa boogie amp. ( and cabinet )
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  43134. Regarding the housing market not being like the stock market, I would have to agree with you and disagree with you at the same time, let me explain: The housing market WAS not like the stock market at any other time in history. I agree with you there. Where I disagree with you is that today, the housing market is becoming more and more like the stock market and will continue to do so as our world moves faster and technology increases. Today, if you want to research a stock, you can pull up a plethora of information on that company in minutes, and this is been the case for some time. During the last real estate boom and bust in 2008, we did not have so much real estate information readily available at our fingertips like we do today. We didn't have the resources and products that are available today. It is this availability of information and resources that has contributed to such volatility – the Fed rate increases further adds to it, but things didn't move this fast back in the 1980s and they raise rates a lot faster than today. The real estate boom during the pandemic occurred way faster than the previous boom 15 years ago. The bust will occur just as fast and we will see an ever-increasing speed of insane volatility in all assets moving forward. We used to have a 24 hour news cycle, now we have a 24 minute cycle. It used to take a week or 2 to order something online, now we complain if it takes more than 2 days thanks to Amazon. People are surprised at how slow this crash is moving… 15 years ago nobody was saying such things.
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  43193. Yes it may cost more to heat your home in the winter with a heat pump, however when we use natural gas it releases methane into the atmosphere & that oxygen nitrogen displacment with methane heats up the layer between the stratosphere & the earths surface called the troposphere, & the more methane we emit from natrual gas, petroleum, & even cow farts, the longer it takes to dissipate from the atmosphere, & that is roughly 10 years, & he more methane we use will make our summers longer, & even though its night in the summer it will not get as cool because the methane will not allow heat to dissapate, in turn global warming. It's kinda insane that people don't look @ the planet as a gigantic ecosystem because its so big, & it takes days by airplane or boat to get around it, but it is, & there is a extremely critical & important reason why these gases, oil & petroleum are trapped in the earth, its great we are uing them, & could be beneficial, but we as humans dont really know the true consequences, or they are not being told to the public like they should, so maybe the government has these programs not to scare people but to incentivize using electric heating, & cooking. Switching to electric is costly, but important because all it does is mitigate the volume of methane emissions, eventually reducing the cost overall over time because with demand in the electrical grid to heat & cool homes will also increase development & efficiency in the energy technologies used to generate & transfer electricity which will eventually reduce the costs overall. If we built more nuclear power plants, & wind farms it would make a significant improvement & reduce our reliability on fossil fuels.
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  43232. You can do better than 3%. Three-month treasuries which are every bit as safe as a CD/money market as the US government is not going to default is currently 4.6%. On $100,000 that's an extra 1600 bucks per year. Been putting together a ladder of CDs up to about 1 million over the last three months. Corporate bonds investment-grade are close to 6%. Going a little bit out on the risk curve you can average a fixed income return of over 5%.. No risk with treasuries at 4.6 though if you really want a no risk/0 risk investment. In three months the Fed will have raised at least another half a basis point and then they're going to sit tight for well over a yeear. The top of the market for treasuries will probably be where rat right now or 25 basis points higher close to 5% for a two-year period a five-year right now is close to the 2 year rate, and when the Federal Reserve starts to reverse a year or two from now that 5% is going to look absolutely fantastic. You can either keep that money for those five years at 5% which we haven't seen in 14 years in the United States as the Federal Reserve has destroyed savers and retirees as you know… But you can lock in close to 5% for five years. If in a year or two you want to sell, and interest rates are lower which they will be in a couple of years from now, you can make good money on selling the five-year treasury because the interest rate will be higher than the rate at that time so not only will you be making 5% while holding it, you can make money on the 5% instrument when you sell it early. If you have enough cash laying around this is a good strategy. Anyway it's the one I'm deploying. Not sure about this real estate pullback. Maybe, but until institutional investors and foreign money from all over the world is kept out of the residential real estate market I think the normal metrics that were true 10 15 20 years ago no longer apply. I would bet that half those properties being purchased in Miami are being bought by rich Saudis or the very wealthy from all around the world. I don't see that changing as wealthy Chinese investors for example, that live under an unstable regime, will always want to have their money in United States real estate irrespective of what it costs. I don't see how the average Joe can compete against that.
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  43258. i have to say you are right about what you talking about when it comes to services , so much unprofessionalism , sorry that i'll be saying some stuff that your readers might not like to here but i'm speaking from my experiences, and until today i still wonder about them!!!! i think because i experience myself that , i believe this happens in florida only , maybe i shouldn't say it but for people to be aware of it especially south florida , very unprofessional, a lot of people are fake , untrustworthy , so much theft , homes broken into everyday like and the list goes on i lived in aventura and bay harbor island in good neighborhood and i used to question this all the time , so unacceptable , and believe me i really loved the surroundings , weather wasn't even an issue , but couldn't go on i would meet people and i would think i made friends but all of sudden they disappear next day , i really couldn't figure that out , just a big mix of bad with little of the good, you just can't trust and figure things out ... totally like NO other state for sure at the end i thought it's not a place to live or settle or making it a home , definitely NOT!!!! i was told some come to florida to con people and leave and go to different areas there and do same thing , i was sad really when i left because i wanted to stay i loved being there but those were reasons i just couldn't bear , ...still i question it ... maybe some day i would visit ..don't know so sorry made this too long !!! thanks for your videos!!!
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  43356. Hi Michael love your videos I feel a gated community would be good for me I'm a living next door to Colombian drug dealers who have parties till 4:00 a.m. every weekend all summer long from April to November here at the Jersey shore I can't take it anymore I want to move to a warm quiet place all year round with no snow I can't stand showing the snow anymore I can't handle the cold I can't handle the high property taxes in New Jersey anymore and I can't stand the neighbors they're driving me crazy I call the cops and they don't do anything they quieted down for 5-10 minutes and then they turn the music back up even at 1:00 a.m. these people have been doing this for 20 years until 4:00 a.m. All Summer Long every Saturday and Sunday night it's not this hillbillies that play music at 1:00 a.m. believe it this is been going on for years and the cops haven't done anything about it I pay all this money and property taxes and the cops don't do anything about it cause I have to pay $10 a day to go to the beach in the summertime or $100 for a beach pass for the whole summer it's not right Jersey shore is the biggest rip off and people say the Florida is really hot this summer time try the Jersey shore it's 99° out in the summer superhumid and when the air conditioner breaks down and August you can't even get a new air conditioner put in so I feel moving to South Florida is not going to be any different than here and at least the gated community will have peace and quiet. I love your videos keep them coming I especially love the beach videos when it's freezing cold up here and I get to see Miami Beach it's always nice to see keep up the great work and keep those videos coming in.
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  43509. This is very exciting! We did the same thing in February. Spent two weeks trekking all over the state, top to bottom, inland and coast land. It was a whirlwind scouting trip to try and hone down the areas we are most attracted to. For us, the good feels were most definitely in the areas that have much of the old growth forest intact. Too many developments clearcut the land and strip it of all living matter leaving the land to scorch, starve, and wither. The tree canopy and underbrush is what protects and feeds the soil and purifies the water and air. It's no wonder there are so many ecological issues on this earth. 😥 We really need to stop stripping the earth of her food and clothing when we go about building our homes and neighborhoods. Try this... As you're traveling around, pause and close your eyes and smell the air, listen to the sounds drifting through the area, look at the horizon and the tree lines and take note of the feels you get from that place. As a passenger in the car, I could close my eyes and tell you when we've left a forested area just by the vibes I get. You can sense it. We went to look at a house that was in a woodsy area. The canopy was gorgeous and the birds were plentiful and varied. The sounds were of nature and peaceful... until you stepped into the backyard. There you could hear the steady sounds of traffic noise. To look all around, you'd think you were deep in the woods. But my ears told me different and as a gardener who spends her "quiet time" in the garden, traffic noise would definitely wear on me after a short while. So... What I learned on that trip was to take time to PAUSE, SMELL, LOOK UP, and LISTEN.
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  44367. Great Video. First time on your channel Michael and you put together a great video. I have lived in California most of my life except for Portland, Or for 4 years. I've vacationed in Florida but have not spent much time beyond a few days in Miami and the keys..."Its the keys man". In the current climate, I would say the California leadershit as I call it has caused some major pain for us given the extended lockdowns, homelessness in major cities , state taxes, high cost of 'housing'. Homelessness has been growing in the major cities and slowly leaking out to some of the surrounding cities, but its very dependent on the city and county. We live in orange county, which is right in the middle between LA and San Diego. The county really has 2 parts, north and south. North county has lower income (would be considered middle income comparatively across the country) areas and cheaper housing, but of course that is 'lower' for here, not compared to most other states. Southern orange county has higher cost of housing and more upper middle income comparatively. It does cost more for housing, a lot more, but pay is usually higher to offset some of the cost. It really depends on where you live and when you bought. On the major touch points most people have about California, here is what should be taken into consideration: Politics/Government - I am conservative (actually a ton of us in the state) and the government here is dumb as a box of rocks, no question. They have little to no financial understanding and the recent wave idiots are all about power, has nothing to do with being a democrat, they are just plain power hungry idiots. Having said that, before covid, we all know the politics here sucks but in terms of it affecting my daily life, not so much. Politics are hot everywhere right now so its hyper inflated at the moment everywhere. Going forward, we will see what happens... Taxes - yes they are the highest in the country, for people making over 1 million a year. I make a good salary, been in tech for 25 yrs in this state primarily, but 99% of us are making wayyy less than 1 million a year. I think there are maybe 30-40k people in the state making that much. That's a tiny percentage of the 30 million. The talk of increasing taxes will really affect those people, but most others it probably wont have a huge affect. Obviously you view this differently if you pay no state taxes. Don't get wrong...hate hate hate taxes. But, I finally got smart about 20 years ago and found a great tax guy and he keeps my overall taxes each year very low for my income. I would suggest anyone making over 80k per year use a tax specialist. It will be the best $300 you spend each year. Housing - crazy expensive, yes. Everywhere in cali, noooo. If you are within 10-15 miles of the beach, where most of the population lives, it is very expensive. Within the last 2 years, gone crazy. If you are going to be in that proximity to the beach, you need to make minimum, just to rent a small place, 75k per year, and to own, make 150k per year. Its majorly prime real estate, especially in the suburb areas, where everything is clean, the schools are good and crime is very low. People from all over the world come here and say its the best place to live, period. But, once you start going inland 20 - 30 miles, prices drop considerably. A house in orange county, in a clean suburb sells for appx 700- 800k, same house, in clean suburb inland will cost a little more than half that, 300-400k, 500k if you want to live in a gated community, etc. Its completely relative to where you live here in CA. Once the bubble pops next year, I believe we will see much more normal prices across the board. Homelessness - Major Cities and the cities within the very close proximity to major cities have huge homeless problems. But again, the majority of it is in these areas. SF, LA, SD cities have all pushed into affect laws that keep the police from helping the homeless and have not spent money on housing a programs. Once you go outside these areas, for the most part, its not an issue. If you have never seen homeless in your area where you live and you come to california, you may never see any depending on wehre you live. If you see 1 or 2 homeless, it can seem like its everywhere. I can tell you its not. Again those major cities have made incredibly stupid decisions. We love CA, but have also like many people considered looking elsewhere as well knowing that some of the decisions our state leaders make going forward may really start affecting everyone and your ability to escape those problems. We will see. Everything else, climate, geography, people in general its really up to you what you like, just as Michael and other say. Florida weather for half the year is great, the water is insane and beaches incredible. I hope to own a vacation house there one day.
    3
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  45077. Awesome videos, man. But I must say this is the first time I ever take a bit of issue with your analysis. "Affordable" is a meaningless term to me, and "starter home" means even less. If the free market is ever allowed to function properly (and we're starting to see signs of this), then whatever is a starter home or an affordable home will be decided by incomes. For example, if there are only ten buyers in a town and builders only built 10 mansions, then the "starter" home simply becomes the ugliest and smallest of the mansions. Now people will say, that the upkeep on a big home is too high for a starter home, which is true, but people underestimate the human ability to adapt. You can cut off rooms from the utilities and heat/AC, you can rent extra rooms, you can make ADUs/JADU's... people will figure it out WHEN the price is right. So ultimately, in my mind it doesn't really matter the TYPE of homes that were built recently, only that there are enough toilets and bedrooms for people to use on the market, the rest will sort itself out via the negotiations. So yes, there will potentially be a whole lot of dwelling "mismatches" for a generation, but to that I say oh well. I will maybe make an exception for codo towers though, as yes, the building itself will have costs that are two onerous for entry level buyers, but even those units can potentially be chopped in half and hacked, and also the sale price of the unit can keep dropping and dropping such that the HOA's fall into the budgets. And yes, that means that I can envision condos were the HOAs exceed the mortgage and yes, I can also foresee that some (or many) mansions will need to sell for LESS than they built for, but since you're in Miami I would just say this to the builders...les pasa por comer tanta mierda ;-).
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  45222. I went electric with Tesla, so far its been nothing but great things as far as performance, conveniency of charging at home, cost of charging vs gas (the fit and finish isnt there for the price though...). BUT, i live in California, it gets hot, it doesnt really get cold, we are seeing how badly EV's are doing in this cold snap for some people in other States. i think the biggest plus of electric isnt necessarily that its green, you can get electricity out of solar, wind, hydro, coal, nuclear power plants, the sources are whatever works best in your area.....vs gas, where you are locked to a finite source, and basically begging foreign governments (Saudi Arabia, Russia, Venezuela, etc) I dont like being held hostage to the whims of a foreign power. All those people waiting for gas at Costco, vs going home and just plugging it in at night and being back to full by morning... The biggest limiting factor i see for EV is lithium, so far its the most cost effective energy dense option, but there isnt enough out there, we are back to finite resources like gas. hopefully battery tech continues to march on, now that EV's are popular enough to warrant pouring money into battery R&D. The US will be running into trouble if everyone went electric too though, the US powergrid isnt ready for it, it needs to be massively upgraded. That is going to take time and money, however going to wars in the middle east over oil is much more expensive, i would rather invest back into the US vs jumping into wars in the middle east. Hell, its almost certain that a huge reason Russia invaded Ukraine was due to Ukraine's recently discovered oil deposits.
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  45340. Hey Michael ... I meant to comment on this video when it came out. I've been an insurance agent for 15 years. Some of the misconceptions people have about insurance include the following ... A house is insured to its replacement value, not market value. This is a misconception most people have. A house could cost more or less to rebuild than its market value based upon the housing market at the time. For example, a house in an inflated housing market might be selling for $400k but its true replacement cost might be only $300k. Conversely, if the same home is in a deflated housing market selling for $275k, it still might take $300k to rebuild it. An insurance professional, like myself, will do a complete, detailed, replacement cost evaluation to determine this. Mortgage lenders are notorious for making this mistake. The lender will often require a property to be insured to its loan value. But homes are not insured to loan value, they are insured to replacement value. This could be more or less than the loan value. Again, for example, if a home cost $400K with 20% down, that's a loan of $320K. The home's true replacement cost might be only $300K. Make sense? To insure a house for more than its replacement value just to satisfy a lenders loan value would be to over-insure the home. What can be done to overcome this is to add an endorsement to the policy that adds an additional 25% or 50% to the replacement value. The homeowner has the option of removing the endorsement after closing.
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  45819. I work virtual and in mortgage industry ..I'm a Loan Officer, sales is different since our job is based on production...snd numbers of closings. Yes on one hand the only thing that people that are not caring about their job and slacking off will show in their work ethic regardless If they are working virtual or at work regardless of what industry...i feel if people cannot properly manage their time at their job..then they need to find another industry ...We've had people leave regardless of being at work or virtual Ive been in the industry for many years and also had my own small mortgage company I am naturally hard working. I know the industry can very busy or it can be slow...from experience..the people that know the industry..to take advantage of opportunities when we can. I totally agree with what you say on your channel and follow you ... I work with people finances all day so adjustments and sacrifice many do this to accommodate and save even if its to rent a room or two in their home.. The 80s when rates were high 14% to 17% I live in southern California back rhen values were lower compared than today so even though rates were high people could afford the payments and debt to ratio qualified. Today if that happened ..eventually ...the terms on the loans will have to change to be amortized to 40 years so that homeowner can afford the payment ...I think some countries like Japan does 100 year term. Because if people are feeling the pinch...something has to happen to stimulate the economy. 10 years ago FHA ans VA loan limits were too low and wasn't as popular especially in high loan limit areas like Coastal Beach areas and San Francisco Bay area etc...no one wanted to bring in a lot of cash ...didn't make sense when they could do a conventional loan. When the market crashed ...the government had to make changes for high loan to values...and Harp loan products. (values that were upside down) and loan modifications. I personally don't think the government will allow a mortgage crash ...because .banks won't lose money and reduce foreclosure. .they hopefully learned from the past honestly if it was so simple ...this would have happened months ago I would be still interested to know which way this is all played out. I will continue to listen to your channel and find out. TY 😊 🙏
    2
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  46453.  @MichaelBordenaro  examples? I got you: Check this out. There's over 60 apartments/condos on the market on south beach for rent under $1500. https://www.zillow.com/miami-beach-fl/rentals/?searchQueryState=%7B%22pagination%22%3A%7B%7D%2C%22usersSearchTerm%22%3A%22Miami%20Beach%2C%20FL%22%2C%22mapBounds%22%3A%7B%22west%22%3A-80.14359321509677%2C%22east%22%3A-80.12590391829566%2C%22south%22%3A25.769544812651315%2C%22north%22%3A25.791303150673674%7D%2C%22regionSelection%22%3A%5B%7B%22regionId%22%3A5924%2C%22regionType%22%3A6%7D%5D%2C%22filterState%22%3A%7B%22price%22%3A%7B%22max%22%3A453033%7D%2C%22mp%22%3A%7B%22max%22%3A1500%7D%2C%22beds%22%3A%7B%22min%22%3A1%7D%2C%22baths%22%3A%7B%22min%22%3A1%7D%2C%22sqft%22%3A%7B%22min%22%3A500%7D%2C%22fsba%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22fsbo%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22nc%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22fore%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22cmsn%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22auc%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22pmf%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22pf%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22fr%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Atrue%7D%2C%22ah%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Atrue%7D%2C%22mf%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22manu%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%2C%22land%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3Afalse%7D%7D%2C%22isListVisible%22%3Afalse%2C%22isMapVisible%22%3Atrue%2C%22mapZoom%22%3A15%7D If you pick any of them you will see that the rents have dropped to 1300 in lieu of not finding tenants over the last months. Some for almost a year or more. This gives me zero confidence that if I buy one as an investment it may just sit on the market and become a liability with no cash flow. This to me is more than just a couple landlords holding up their numbers. Thoughts? Don't you think the market is just saturated right now and there just aren't that many ppl looking to rent in Miami beach? Thank you so much for weighing in on this. Do you reckon I buy outside of Miami beach at this point?
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  46801. the Fed can warn away. that has played out before in the 80s. the WORLD can't tolerate a strong dollar. and raising rates strengthens the dollar internationally. it has nothing to do with usa housing market. see plaza accord of 1985. France, UK, Germany, and Japan will again put the usa in detention. if we don't correct those rates going forward. thus the fed will go to zero rapidly when it's told to. it's coming. the world won't tolerate it. they can't pay their debts with the dollar so high. and the usa can't have them default. fed back to zero. look at that chart after the 2000s. the world is hurting. on purpose. and when the fed goes to zero... you know what happens to that house in usa! sky high. what the government has been trying to do is raise wages. without a minimum wage forcing it. they have been successful. entry level has doubled hourly pay. we've all seen it. last year and next year the professionals get wages up 25%. no one has released those numbers but all you have to do is look at pay from jobs on web sites. what used to be $25 is now $40. each $100 extra you bring home affords you $18500 more in house loan. (@ 5%). a single person going from 25 to 40 hourly will bring in 1800 more per month after taxes. that's 300k houses can go up from a couple years ago, (on one salary, assuming a 2nd salary covers food, etc). we were in the 300s in America (2019). big cities are different market. but you get the idea. when po-funk usa jumps 200 to 400, the cities will go 700. and people will afford it. 5 years out you will understand what you don't believe today. I'm explaining the fed can hold out for a while but eventually has to drop what they are attempting. usa will be fine.
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  47234. So foreign ownership. As far as I know the issue of Chinese owned farmland came to the fore, not as a result of the balloon incident but was amplified by it (some of it clearly political posturing by the usual suspects) but by the purchase of land near sensitive US military installations (like it happened in Australia a few years back). Evidently THAT is a national security issue. However, when you talk about restricting foreign ownership of land, then you have to ask all those US conglomerates who own vast tracts of agricultural land (in Brazil for example) and residential property around the world how they would feel about reciprocity in that case. While I can see that in certain instances foreign ownership of land can become a problem, it's hardly a national security issue. It's not like China can just pick up Montana and walk away with it. It's more a nationalist/political problem in that politicians habitually blame their country's ills on foreigners. It happens all around the world: "Let's find a foreign enemy to deflect from our own shortcomings". (Chris Rock had a very good piece about that, check out "That Train Is Never Late" on YouTube) Besides foreigners control no where near "the lions share" - meaning the largest part - of anything in the US, especially not real estate. What is sensible is to tax heavily those who have second homes that are not used for living in on a permanent basis as primary residence or rental property, and it does not matter if they are US or foreign owned. As long as there are enough homes for everybody it does not matter who owns them. Why is it worse that, say, a Brazilian owns a flat in Florida over a person from New York? The US is a great and powerful country, but starts looking scared and weak when it blames foreigners for its problems. Leave that kind of attitude to the Chinese, the Russians, and the Iranians.
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  47269. I know this area, the Pan Handle very well, it's gonna get crushed worse then last time. From Gulf Shore Business. “Single-family homes were listed for sale in the heart of Southwest Florida’s market at a faster rate over the last three months than any other three-month period over the past decade. There were 4,117 homes listed in Lee County, 1,604 homes listed in Collier County and 2,203 listed in Charlotte County. Lee and Collier combined for 876 asking price decreases over the past seven days, and 206 properties came back on the market after being under contract, said real estate agent Ronnie Delfino. He saw 926 new listings on the market for those two counties compared to 737 homes that closed during the same time span.” “‘For the last year or so you’ve seen more listings selling than pending than you would see new listings hitting the market,’ Delfino said. ‘Right now, we’re about 150 to 200 listings more than sold or pending in that seven-day period. So, you’re definitely starting to see it slow down a little bit.’ ‘Now, for the last seven days in Lee County, there’s a total of 425 new listings,’ real estate agent Denny Grimes said. ‘And in the same seven-day period, there were 396 that went pending. So, it’s just now turning. There are more new listings coming on the market than are coming off, which suggests the tide is turning on inventory. The other thing that we’re seeing is there were 409 price decreases and 43 price increases. There are almost 10 times more sellers saying they should cut their price. That’s not where it was six months ago.'” PS, the content has been excellent, love the walking and talking.
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  47296. Michael thanks for the great video and I totally agree that you (living in a condo) should not own and drive an electric car. Just like your videos on real estate there are many variables to purchasing a home and also may variables to owning an electric car. But with this said, my eyes were opened when I received a Tesla model S for almost free (Given to me by a relative but I had to put $10K into repairs) and this is one of the first cars made in 2013 you can't even go charge it at fast charger and it has the smallest battery of any Tesla Model S. With that said it's now our daily driver and we almost never use our gas powered vehicles. It cost us under $300 to charge for 10,000 in one year our suv would use over $2K in gas for the same driving. Here is a list of questions you have to answer if you want to switch to electric and the answers will decide if it makes sense. Where do you live? (we live in Phoenix where there is no winter or cold weather) Do you own a home and a driveway? (Easy and convenient to charge at home if you do) How old is your house and does it have the capacity to add the charger? (Some homes would need to upgrade their breaker box if they are older) How much does your electricity cost? ( I am on a plan that has a variable rate that has off peak from that allows us to charge at 0.05 cents per KW) How far do you need to drive? (our electric car only has a top range of 196 miles and it was originally 200 so it has not lost much power over 10 years giving us plenty of distance for daily driving and shopping) For us it works but not for everyone. As for taking long trips, I actually worry more about driving our 2005 suv worried it will leave us stranded. But seeing that we save so much per year in cost to operate if we are planning a family vacation we can rent a nice minivan or suv for our trip. If you think about most peoples lives it's not often that they are driving long distance and when you do you can use your old gas car or rent one. So many great features on Tesla vehicle even 10 year old ones that it's hard to turn back once you make the switch - Given that you have the right environment. WIth this said I would never want to be told what I have to drive and I would hope that the Government would do what ever possible to make energy prices affordable. Thanks for all the great videos!
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  47585. College is a snow job in some respects. Right there in Dade county at George T Baker aviation school across the street from Miami Intl. Airport anybody with reasonable mechanical aptitude can get an airframe & powerplant airman's certificate in 18-22 months to become an aviation maintenance tech. I graduated from there in 1991, total tuition costs $1,800. Its certainly not that cheep today but ill bet its a third of college tuition costs. Todays starting salary at any of the major airlines is $75,000, and if a tech is ambitious and want's to excel to higher responsibility's as a maint. control tech, their earning's potential could top $175,000 or more. I've seen junior techs with less than 2 years get these positions, and still with only an A&P airman's certificate that took less than two years of their time to graduate from school, where they learned the principle's and theories of aviation maintenance, the rest is hands on with senior techs in the workplace. I'm amazed at how little interest i can drum up in young people to go this route (worldwide cheep travel, exciting workplace, flexible work schedules), the new hire students i see in my classroom tell me they won the lottery getting this job.! There are thousands of what you all call 'boomers' (including myself) leaving the industry over the next 5-10 years. You'll work nights, you'll work weekends, but it wont be forever, and overtime is abundant where a new hire can push their earnings over 100K in their first year. Also, you can pick many cities in America where housing is much more affordable to transfer too and carry your pay with you. I cant imagine a better way to go unless you literally win the lottery.....
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  48209. Hi Michael, This video is AMAZING and it's what's really going on. First, the leaders (?) want people to buy very expensive electric vehicles - because our leaders have huge investments in producing electric vehicles in China. First, they caused most Americans to lose their jobs, most businesses closed down - and people are broke (except for our leaders.) Whatever they tell us - is a LIE!!!!! They cause most of the problems we're dealing with- and their solutions make it worse!!! They caused Inflation - now they want to reduce inflation - HUH???? As for Reverse Mortgages. I took out a Reverse Mortgage 11 years ago. I believe I only paid 1 or 2 points for the origination fee. I thought - WOW!!! This is too good to be true. There a several items listed on ur monthly statement from the lender - and after a few years, I noticed a Fee called MIP. I learned that it's Mortgage Insurance Premium - which the female rep never mentioned to me. Every month, this fee increases by leaps and bounds. It's to protect the lender in case they pay out more on my Mortgage than they could recoup when it's time to sell. My MIP Fee is now almost $500. a month (after 11 years.) The Rep got my Reverse Mortgage at a local bank/mortgage company near my house in Oxnard, CA - this was before we stopped trusting banks. After a couple of years, my loan was sold to another bank in the mid-west ---- then sold again. So - u have no control over who buys ur loan. When I googled the name of this new bank - it got BAD REVIEWS!!!! Surprising not to be able to trust ur leaders and banks???? Another thing --- the Rep says that I still own my house - my name is on the Mortgage. The truth is: When it's time to sell - by the homeowner or the Beneficiary - the Bank has to sign off on the sale. Well - from what I've read - they tell people to mail different documents to them - then they claim to not have received it. They tell u to mail it again, again, again. The house can be purchased by the beneficiary or sold --- but the Bank makes things very difficult - their goal is to steal the house!!! I don't recommend the Reverse Mortgage. And people shouldn't go this alone if they choose to get it. They need a lawyer present.
    2
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  49069. I live in Hawaii with the exact same conditions as Florida. Like yourself I’ve lived in a few high rises. The highest being 37th floor. After 911 I was spooked about people jumping because the fire was so hot. I mean burn or jump? That’s crazy. Then at some point I became aware that that building which literally stood on a cliff no less and had some side supported by a rock wall, had a history of questionable integrity some years prior to my purchasing that condo. WTF?!?! Done in the garage I started looking at the walls and became even more freaked out that the building would fall. I had nightmares about it. I have moved since to a 4 story that is right on the shoreline. I see cracks in some walls but since I live 3rd story of 4 not as creeped out about a fall as I am now about a tsunami. Literally no place on the dinky island would be good for a hurricane. Anyway I digress. As an RN I’d have to say it sounds like you actually have PTSD. Maybe some therapy? I’m sure what I said didn’t help. And if that not enough I might suggest educating yourself from this other You Tube channel if it doesn’t scare you too much. BUT he damn sure tells you what are the bad signs to watch out for https://youtu.be/ZAIJsaSo4Sw. Seems in that area The water table is the big one. That along with the HOAs not keeping up with expensive repairs. You are right though. That other channel called building integrity had a lawyer on it the other day and the were talking about possible to start seeing whole buildings condemned because repairs will be more than the building is worth. Also in a different episode these engineers talk about what’s below the high rise. You’ve gotta go to their channel it is so super informative. Building integrity check them out
    2
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  49838. Talk about Job replacement . How about when you going to White Castle and they have a robot making the fries and hamburgers 🍟🍔 . Now you only need one or two people working in the whole place . Who's the same McDonalds Burger King Kentucky fried Chicken and all the rest of the fast food things they could all do that too . The robots program that doesn't make mistakes . The robots don't call in sick for work or show up late or leave early because of an emergency . There's a lot of warehouses around that having robots put the boxes on the shelves and do the inventory and stuff. Does anybody realize the Amazon warehouses . 80% of the jobs could easily be replaced by robots automation ? It's already happening just give it time . Everything could be done that way in the warehouses Federal Express UPS . Even the post office could get in on that some . And look at the new delivery vehicles too . Some of the fast foods that you want to deliver to your house . They have a robot now that will come to your house . Amazon was also looking into drone delivery . People are being permanently replaced by automation those jobs won't come back. Has nothing to do with the economy whatsoever . All these migrants always come cheap labor they claim . Years from now there won't be a term cheap labor anymore . You won't need humans to do most things . Look at some coffee shops in Korea . They have like one person working there in the robots make all the coffee ☕. Starbucks could easily do the same thing too. As the cost of Labor rises . It's more inviting to have a robot do it instead. So places that normally have like 8 or 10 people working there now have 1 or 2 and bigger warehouses and stuff that have 50 people working there will only need like 5 people . What's the population of America going to do when the population of robots keep increasing and increasing ?????
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  50283. I know from my standpoint I would not buy at 6% rates with these prices . There has been a 20% appreciation for the last couple years so historically 6% 30 year fix is fine if I am not paying these prices , when that 400k home is 300k sure if I was in the market . Keep in mind fixed rates are tied to the 10 year treasury and not directly to what the fed does. Indirectly what they do can make treasury’s attractive as an investment based on what’s going on with stocks thus affecting the 10 year yields. As Mike indicates rates have a better chance of rising than going much further down but anyone who tells you what’s going to happen is giving a best guess . All guidance I have seen are rates will stay higher longer. As Michael mentioned the rates that get quoted are assuming 20% down, typically a 760 Fico and single family owner occupied or second homes. When there is a deviation from this the rates have what is called Risk Based Pricing adjustments , which can be in the form of rate increase or points. All conventional loans are run through automated underwriting engines referred to as Desktop Underwriter, Loan Prospector . These engines will typically issue an initial approval with a housing ratio in the 38% range and all other debt maximum of 50% which includes external debt like car loans. I could go on as to the variables that affect this but will leave at that. I pretty much follow Michaels videos as he has a solid understanding , long term experience and most importantly shoots strait . Nice neighborhood
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  50653. I like your channel and on-the-level approach, but people deserve to be better educated; teach her how to leverage her situation more fully. Does she really need the 3 beds? Tell her to rent out a room to a local college kid. She has a fixed “rent” now and only has to answer to the mortgage company, that’s empowerment and if she can’t be creative to figure out how to be in charge of her financial life, that’s the real tragedy. Stop listening to this madness of whether or not you’ve over paid, maybe, but it won’t matter in a decade or two, just like the S&P, people need to stop operating out of fear and listening to the “sky is falling” fatalists. Make it work and be empowered. There’s zero empowerment when you’re at the mercy of a greedy or flaky landlord, and reshuffling your life, moving costs, coming up with another security deposit before you get your current rental security deposit back, this is really disruptive, especially she’s got a kid? Moving around is hard on kids. Sure, the house is a liability while you’re in it, but it’s fixed rate rent for 30 years out, that’s empowerment. 6% interest rate will look cheap when rates hit 10%, as many are projecting by ‘23. Teach her how to make it work and come out ahead on it rather than adding to her sense of deflation and remorse. This is exactly why so many Americans are losing, they don’t know how to be frugal, resourceful, and make the most out of the game. Teach her how to Leverage her asset, not cry about being exploited or under water. Too many Americans live in fantasyland rather than create the angles that generate wealth. She’s got a 3/2 for $202k? Are you kidding? That goes for over $600k out in SoCal. Remind her, yeah, the first year is tough, but then she can write off the mortgage interest and property taxes on her fed taxes. By year two it’ll start being better. She was dumb to run up her credit cards though. People need to learn how to live simpler, make do, and have some long-term planning analysis. Many other good warnings and red flags shared here though!
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  50661. Uproot your life for weather? I get it though. I think we are born to not stay in once place for decades. Moving keeps you fresh. I moved to the Bay Area in 1996 from Hawaii. I was 26 and chasing a career. Now I want to move to Sarasota. (I just vacationed there a couple of weeks ago) Now, I live in Granite Bay for the past three years (near Sacramento). The people here are much more friendly, and down to earth relatively speaking. Marin is nice and beautiful. It has some seasonality but not all four. The Pacific Ocean is cold and the beaches are mostly non-existent. Traffic is awful. Homelessness is nearly everywhere. Many people are international transplants that do not intend necessarily plan to stay, so there are many people who choose not to integrate culturally speaking. Even though it's better here in Granite Bay, people are nice but not necessarily warm. People often keep to themselves. I think it's difficult to make friends unless one has kids in sports or you really make an effort to meet people. When I travel back to the Bay Area, as I approach it, I get this heavy, rather dark vibe now. (BTW, Alemeda Co. still requires masks to certain places...yikes) The last few years, we've had terrible air quality from the fires in the summers. Did I mention the traffic? People kind of seem to stick to themselves mostly. Nobody seems to care about college sports here. The A's draw less than 10K/game. The Warriors and Giants are popular as are the Sharks if you want to go all the way down to the South Bay. Anyway, I want to move to Sarasota. My family just vacationed in TB and along the gulf coast two weeks ago. I loved the water and white sand beaches. I even enjoyed the humidity, especially at night. It's so dry and brown here. We're in an epic drought. All the homes are beige and look the same (spanish tile roof/stucco) for the most part. I think it all comes down to what kind of lifestyle do you want...how do you want to spend your days working/playing)? Then, where does that lifestyle fit best. By the way I grew up in OR, lived in WA and HI and now here. Good luck, trust your gut and go for it if you are so "moved" to...haha
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  51077. A person who buys a $180 million mansion pays for the employment of a lot of people to build that house and source the materials. And that money gets spent by those folks to acquire what they want in life, and on and on. In short, the money filters through the economy. It’s a fallacy, of sorts, to suggest that the person buying a mega mansion could have spent that money to house some large number of people. We wouldn’t suggest that a person who spends tens of thousands of dollars in strip clubs should instead use that money to buy lap dances for a large number of poor people. Lol. So the real argument is that we sometimes believe we can better allocate those large sums of money to the benefit of society versus what a Larry Ellison or Elon Musk decides to do with it. But the reality is that they have shown themselves to be far better allocators of huge piles of money that anyone else we might put forth. Elon is constantly allocating money to productive uses, and so has Larry throughout his long career as company founder and CEO. That they peel off what to us seems a huge amount to live in luxury is, in reality, a marginal amount of the wealth they’ve created for themselves, but also have created for huge numbers of others, along with allocating vast amounts of money efficiently throughout the economy. Just look at the 500,000+ jobs that exist in the app economy that Apple kickstarted. And all of us who benefit from seamless experiences using those apps, like the YouTube app, which itself creates income for untold numbers of individuals. There are a few people who, through their efforts, leverage the world around them to create enormous economic activity for the rest of us, while creating products and services that make life better. Let’s let them have their mansions and continue to enjoy the incentives that spurred them to work hard, and that spur many of us smaller potatoes to strive to climb up nearer to where they sit. And just know that even the money spent on luxuries and fast cars finds it’s way through the economy too.
    2
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  51689. The economy and the job markets. I don't think people are understanding how many people have left the job markets due to deaths, retirements, and other factors. I believe replacing these employees is fueling the hiring. People are switching jobs. Many people spent the pandemic improving their skills and starting businesses and taking side jobs as well. So many people have left jobs for better jobs etc. Over a million people have died from COVID and that is on top of the number of people that statistically die every year from whatever causes. You also remember many of these states raised their minimum wages. All these factors are at play. I agree the FED needed to act and act aggressively. The pandemic caused a unique set of circumstances and is still doing so. There is a strong job market because in some areas these workers are needed. DC/MD/VA are Federal employee areas with many professional jobs. These older workers are leaving like crazy here. They need to be replaced. I'll be one of them soon with my Florida dreams and no more shoveling snow. Selling these expensive homes here will allow many to move wherever they want, within reason. Warm weather states and states that are more tax friendly in general are going to get these new residents or snowbirds. South Florida and places equally attractive like it are going to continue to be in demand. Especially because most of these people are going to be cash buyers. Florida houses are still cheaper for people moving from certain areas, evening with your property taxes and higher insurance premiums.
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  51917. So Hi We use to live In Winter Park Florida in 09/10 and we loved it just outside if Orlando but last month we took our 3 boys back to our "Favorite" Island in Florida for my Son's 18th B day and Graduation gift since we canceled his parties.. It's ANNA MARIA ISLAND!! We flew from Sacramento Airport to Tampa.. Got discount on mew rental car and stayed on the Island. The food is not that expensive and rented an off Vrbo for $122 a night a little house with heated private pool. Just on south end of the Island before the bridge on Long Boat key. So we rented small boats with Captains private went sand dollar snorkeling and went deep sea 🎣 and to Egmont Key and saw Dolphins.. Went parasailing off Bridge street has small walk and a bar and an Oster bar and ate Breakfast with a Caribbean feel at 8am they close at 2 at a family run place called Jinnies & Jane best creme brulle french toast. U can rent mini cars or golf carts and families come from New York and Miami to stay a week.. So to me it's the Hamptons of Florida. Best place ever is called the Sanbar Restaurant on the gulf side almost the tip top of the Island. We brought chaira at 7 and waited & everyone watches the sunset and Sandbar wait to eat it 1 hr or so ao then we would get an appetizer and a drink and they have a game if u guess what time sun goes down u win a free bottle of champagne & have local paintings in there & hands down best fresh calamari we've had ever! But best thing ever to go to Bean point at 7 or 8am & see huge 6foot across sting rays & manatees u can youtube or Google which 2 streets are able to park amongst huge rental Mansion.. I can tell u also but Bean Point makes u feel like its the end of the world and the birds r amazing and guys fish early and the locals see the Manta Rays as normal.. But I noticed it's not on YouTube or online beacause they don't want tourists to know.. I found a House for sale if we sell ours here in Cali.. Found a job also but hubby not sure yet.. 1 hr south of Tampa and Cortez and Long Boat key and a beach called Beer Can Island are my fav.. Google it and I just felt at home on the Island and have see live music at Ugly Grouper restaurant. They have a huge metal artwork of him. They have a free old school bus if u drink to much to take u home and one thing we noticed is every single person we encountered was pleasant and nice!!! Wanting to move there or near in the next 3 years after son finishes Sacramento State or finish college there in Florida!!!! 🌅
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  52060. If we use history as an example, during the 70’s, the Fed chairman Volcker had to raise rate ABOVE the CPI for years to bring inflation down. First we’d have to go back to how they measured CPI to get an actual accurate reading on inflation, then get the fed funds rate above that For an extended period of time. If inflation now was calculated like they did then, inflation would be between 13 and 18%, so fed funds rates would have to be 19%. The debt bubble has been blown so big pulling purchasing power from the future to the present, leading to misappropriation and misallocation of resources through the destruction of market indicators to keep that from happening, the sheer amount of debt in the system, lack of personal savings along with ESG mandates on energy, (which is the life blood of a thriving economy) happening world wide it’s my opinion inflation and probably hyper inflation. This is going to be purposely used by governments world wide to create so much economic pain that the people will accept the new CBDC central bank digital currency and the one world government that has been planned by the elite for 100’s of years. There are country’s that are resisting this loosing their sovereignty to a central world government which will undoubtably lead to war and famine, as resources are directed towards war. You’d better buckle up and get ready to hunker down. It’s going to be a wild ride. Throughout history, those who have survived have had gold silver and land. They’ve also been untrustworthy of governments and had residency and resources in other country’s to flee the oppression in theirs. Since this is world wide, it’s going to be difficult in determining where exactly to ride this out. Probably not in one of the westernized country’s would be my first guess.
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  52928. SORRY. TOO LONG OF A COMMENT: Michael, I LOVE and HATE the benefits of HOA on houses vs condos. If you’re buying into an HOA, find out the following. Surplus and Airbnb rules. The HOA where I owned 2 homes, we’re very strict because they are on a golf course, since mine backed into the golf course, even overgrown bushes is a fine. Your entire yard must look neat or you’ll be fined. Look at the surplus: we have nearly 8 million dollars available for repairs, and in 21 yrs, it only went up from $36.00 a month to $56.00 a month. Airbnb is totally illegal, but look at the fines, it’s $55.00 a month. Where my condo is: the surplus is under $100,000.00, when there’s a major repair, they increase the fees. In 8 years, it’s up from $185.00 a month, to $305.00 a month. Airbnb is absolutely a no no, yet, the fine is also $55.00 a month. The last meeting, people wrote out a check for the year, sarcastically. Meaning that people like me who don’t appreciate Airbnb because of the noise and trash, $55.00 isn’t enough of a fine. Here at the condos, there are leaking roofs and there’s no scheduled repairs because it costs $50K each building and there’s 25 buildings to do. They are covered in tarps. One of the reasons I sold my condo. I also lived in No HOA communities, luckily for me, houses were too expensive and kept the community beautiful, continues lawns and professionally landscaped, before that, I had neighbors working on cars in their driveway making noise until 10pm. My suggestion is; HOA can be expensive, but it keeps the trash away from peoples driveways and yards, blowing into yours. HOA also forced me to put my men toys in the garbage and park expensive cars in the driveway. Good luck
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  53171. I manage my debt load. I have enough reserves to pay all mortgages debt free. However, when I first got started , fresh out of military, college, marriage, etc , we had debt but bought used furniture, clean used cars, and purchased a smaller home. We lived below our means. No vacations except short day trips. I didn’t drive the BMW, we got a clean used Oldsmobile. I remember getting our complete set of living room set with lamps, end tables, couch and chair for $400. The lady we purchased it from was moving to New York and wanted to not have pay to pay to move it. I put down $7000 for my first home which we purchased for $35,000. We heated the house via a wood burning fireplace. The house was only 750-900 sq. ft. I came from a privileged life style, so this was a step down but I paid for it from my modest military savings. When it’s not given to you and it’s your money, you appreciate and enjoy it much better. My parents drilled it into our heads, unless you work for it, you will starve. It was a great motivator. No body gave them anything and they past that on to us kids. For the most part, I don’t know if most people realize how great we have it compared to third world economies. I think we are headed for serious times ahead. Biden has been spending our money like a drunken sailor. He needs to raise taxes on job producers to pay for all his freebies by buying their votes. The day of reckoning has arrived. Michael, you are lucky you have DeSantis, we are stuck with Newsom. 😊
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  53226. My wife and I are currently living in a 1br apartment in Tampa, paying 2300 per month. It's a new building luxury concept apts in a nice area... a few months after we moved in she got pregnant and now we are in the group of those who wants to buy a house. I have a decent salary and I'm able to save half of it each month. I just don't think things are going to cost the same as before the pandemic for a long time. 1) The supply chain got messed up with the pandemic. 2) China is also no longer a cheap labor industrial heaven, messing even more the supply chain. 3) The tensions are too way with Russia and China against US and Europe, and yes more pain to the supply chain. Not to mention the ideologies war we are living, which doesn't happen in China and Russia (and nobody talks about this). 4) With these points above, the movement to build factories (investment) in other countries such as Thailand, Mexico, etc... takes time and money (money that could be used to lend on housing market will be redirected to supply chain investments, so the cost of borrowing is higher now). I would be happy with 5% interest on a 400K home. Better than that I don't think we are going to see anytime soon. My base is Peter Zeihan and Jim Rickards. We decided then to continue renting. Let's say downsizing (the luxury aspect) trying to stay at the 2k per month rent. So we don't touch our life savings (that we would use some for the 20% down). A 400-450k house mortgage would give us around 2800-3k per month, so doing the math subtracting 3k minus 2k we are going to be saving a 1k per month which we are going to deposit on our investment account (plus more money from our income) to keep it growing hoping for a better housing market for us maybe in 5 years or so.
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  53290. Hello Mr Bordenaro, Native here, Jackson Memorial 1959. Grew up in Miami, W Hollywood, West Palm and now live in Nobleton since 2014. Love your content and yes, many good reasons were given. If I may give this as another reason and for me and my fellow Natives of my age, would probably agree, the #1 reason not to move here; This isn't Florida anymore anyway. Think about this, as much as you and many other transplant find a good life here and the beaches, rivers, everglades, etc are spectacular. Lots of outdoor and indoor activities ie; local music festivals, art festivals, indoor museums, bike paths, etc. Imagine what it was like just 20 years before you arrived, so about 40 years ago, then imagine i lived here for 40 years before you even arrived. Can you possibly imagine what Florida looked like then? The beaches, were like the Florida keys now. The springs like weeki wachee, silver springs, itchnetucknee, The Swanee and the Florida Keys. The Everglades went on forever and started at the eastern boundary of Military Trail. There was no alligator alley, only The Tamiami Trail. No I-95, the turnpike ran from Ft Pierce to Miami, no I-75 or I-4. Never an algae bloom or e-coli warnings, never salt water intrusion of the wells of coastal municipalities, etc. This doesn't even scratch the surface but, it ends the same way. This is not Florida, just a ghost shadow of Florida. If relocating people have all the good qualities you described, then they can literally move just about anywhere and have a good active, rewarding life. Ive finally moved to the upper west coast, just southeast from Crystal River and finally Ive retreated far enough North to feel a connection to "Old Florida". Not the "social" Old Florida but, the Natural one. Thank you for allowing me the opportunity to at least indirectly communicate with you and offer you a complimentary view pointe. If any migration should be encouraged let it be retirees. Retirees have permanent income streams, they are gonna spend a lot of time indoors, not really clogging up the bike paths, State Parks, Beaches, etc. They are generally resigned to being patient about most things and wont be adding to downtown work parking woes. Most retirees I've met in my lifetime are attracted to both apartment/condo living as much as to traditional home and yard. And, the very best part, they wont really be around that long 😁, so its almost a revolving resales door. Anyway, thank you again. I would be more than glad to give you some insight into this demographics as an additional tool in your arsenal of real estate skills. Respectfully, Dr. David Gutierrez (retired).
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  53810. Sounds like whoever wrote this affordable housing bill was watching your channel and reading the comments! Even if you're against government intervention on principle, remember: affordable housing is the basis for a stable, prosperous society. People who are always moving and are always under financial strain are stressed, unhappy people who don't have an emotional investment in our society. Incentives, rather than price controls, allows the market to work within limits. We have all kinds of limits on capitalism: OSHA health and safety regulations, speed limits on roads, hygiene standards for restaurants, child labor laws, pollution regulations, etc. Libertarians will tell you that we don't need any of those, but none of us would really want to live in a society where anyone could do anything they wanted without limits. I haven't read this bill in Florida, but from your summary, it seems the main thrust of it is to make housing more affordable for families and individuals, not to fatten up investors, and that's going to be a good thing for the people of Florida. If you have a nice house that you can afford, you'll stay there, your neighbors will stay there, and you'll build a stable community. I grew up in a neighborhood like that in Kansas, and I still keep in touch with people I knew as a kid because we were all part of a real community. That's what this country needs. By the way, are you the real Michael? Because I wasn't aware that he owns any long sleeve shirts. Just seems wrong.
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  53964. You look good standing next to Lemmy Michael LOL. I'm guessing that's at the Rainbow Room? I love LA so much. I love Florida also and have been here 33 years, not sorry I moved from up North terrible winters at all. But everything you said is true. One thing I will also mention is, good luck if you need any type of repairman down here. After owning four single-family houses and now a condo down here, we have had so many instances of plumbers, electricians, contractors, either not showing up at all for a scheduled appointment or they show up and give you an estimate and then completely blow you off for no reason at all. My guess is that it's because since this place is so transient and they're always also building so much that they can pick and choose jobs, and if they turn one down they have 25 more prospective ones. We presently need a new plenum for our air conditioning unit which we bought two years ago brand new, and today they're putting it in and it's costing $4,600! We know that's probably overblown, but our ceiling is falling, we haven't had air since Friday, ( thank God it's not the dead of summer!) and getting someone else to come for another estimate is a pain in the ass and almost impossible, and will probably be in that ballpark anyway. So good luck if you're not a handyman down here. Also, I can't believe how rents have risen. If I had to live alone down here I couldn't afford to. Luckily we bought our condo three years ago and we have a teeny mortgage even with our monthly maintenance. So while we don't have a lot of savings, we have a fairly inexpensive lifestyle that we're locked into thank goodness. Even renting a crappy apartment in downtown Lake Worth where we used to have a house cost about $1,500 now, and I mean crappy. Anyway, great video as always.
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  53966.  @MichaelBordenaro  it might make for a good video topic, the differing interests of buyers versus owners. Buyers want to see reserves fully funded, maintenance fully up to date, no overhanging issues. Of course, as soon as a buyer becomes an owner, if they bought into a building where the reserves aren’t fully funded and maintenance is coming due, they often are of the mind to vote against fully funding reserves and delaying maintenance for as long as possible. At Porta Bella in 2009 I knew, from my brother who already lived there three years, that there were some pending issues. But it was 2009 and the crashed prices balanced out any potential assessments. He paid $268k in October 2006, I paid $181k in March 2009. Within two years of living there we started having elevator issues. An elevator would be under maintenance for weeks, but there were three elevators per building and I didn’t mind walking down the long hallway to the far end of the building to use the less frequently trafficked elevator near the pool but farthest from the lobby. Or wait for the other elevator at the lobby next to the one under maintenance. And not long after one was repaired, the other, overused during the time it was the only one working, would inevitably break down and need to be shut down for maintenance. The roofs had some leaks from air conditioning repair guys working up there on the condensers; they’d be careless and sometimes damage the tar by setting heavy condensers on it, off the side of the walkways, no doubt to set them out of the way when they were replacing a unit. This meant that the penthouse units would get water damage from leaks, but there’s a larger voting block in all the rest of the floors (the penthouse level is just one floor of many, of eight at Porta Bella). So minor patchwork repairs were made for years to a roof past its replace-by date. Rather than fix broken or loose tiles in the lobby, they waited until someone tripped and sued for a couple hundred thousand dollars. The seawall that failed had been visibly compromised for years, no inspection needed to see the ground between it and the building nearest the intracoastal sagging as water leached through the damaged sea wall. When they finally got around to addressing the issue, years after I’d sold, it turn out to be a very expensive fix. The list goes on. I benefitted, I guess, having had a few minor inconveniences in my seven years there and only that one $2500 assessment. But the bill came due for those who remained owners in the subsequent years.
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  54633. Hi Michael, I am surprised, because I have rentals in CA, particularly LA, and I have never heard anybody in CA charging 2 months deposits. And the deposit is equal only to one month rent. We always charge first, last and only 1 month deposit. not 2? News to me and I own 12 rental properties in LA. Also apartments and home are under different rules in CA, but not for the deposit. Also we do not use real estate agents in CA, that is extremely rare and only for extremely expensive properties, where the owner is well know by the brokerage firm. I think real estate agents should bot be involved in rentals which is what they do in Miami. I have 2 properties in Miami, which I have not been paid for 2 years and that is also very common in Miami, I just got them evicted after 2 years and now suing for the money owed + interest and Penalties. Was willing to negotiate but they refuse, People in Miami seem to think that they are not obligated to pay what they owe, I am sorry I am not a charity house, its a business. Tenants should always take photos / video of the place when moving in and out and have a walk around with owner or responsible person, my self never had any issues whit that as of now. In short, I have never heard about that in CA in 40 years. Always been first , last and deposit, no exceptions, And it is much easier in my opinion to rent in CA then Miami as an example, not sure where this info comes from. But as a landlord and part of the association in CA, I have not heard of any changes officially so far, I do what I want with my properties. In Florida they run your credit report, in CA that was not done but we can always run a criminal report, you do not complete the paper work I do not rent you the property, also the landlord can pick who the rent it to, when various potentials renters come to play.
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  54902. ​ @MichaelBordenaro  people change theme yes but it's not like they click on a new theme and call it a day. The metadata of posts remains the same, yes, because posts are a general wordpress concept, but post metadata isn't even very important for SEO any more. Changing the theme of an website with SEO without knowing a lot about SEO is basically like using heavy machinery to rip out the engine from a car (just rip it out, don't even unscrew anything), then plopping in a new engine, and expecting the car to run. Most themes nowadays have a bunch of information fields you can add that are unique to the theme. Are you sure all of that transferred? Are you sure your schema markup didn't get deleted? Are you sure your accessibility aria tags and image alt text stayed the same? Are you sure your page load speed and lighthouse scores didn't tank? Page load is hugely important for SEO. Are you sure the new theme had images optimized with source-sets for different sizes depending on device screen size? Are you sure that in changing the theme you didn't lose caching and gzip compression? Are you sure the new theme used semantic html under the hood to allow google to understand the content? Are you sure the same headings stayed and they had the same html elements (h1 vs h2)? Are you sure the new theme optimized the way javascript and CSS are loaded and run? Are you sure the new theme doesn't have a number of JS and CSS files that exceeds the maximum thread count the browser will allow a website to use? Are you sure fonts were being loaded properly in the new theme? Outside of code specifics... did you even have any SEO plugins installed that would tell you how effective the website was for a given search term before and after the update? Did you even look at what the top search terms you were ranking for were? Changing the theme for a website that's had a lot of grey hat SEO done to it is basically like a heart transplant dude, and you tried to do it the Mortal Kombat way.
    2
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  55067. But water it IS a money issue. One thing that would reduce water consumption quickly is pricing (the same goes for CO2 of course); As an example, in Denmark (highest water price in Europe) you pay 2272$ for 60000 gallons on water, while in the most expensive place in the US for water, the Monterey Peninsula, the price was (in 2017) 1202$. Each American uses an average of 82 gallons of water a day at home, in Denmark that number is 26 gallons (no, we don't smell bad either...) Equally in DK the price of gas is over 9$ a gallon. People often say that increasing prices will make the US uncompetitive and destroy businesses. Why would that be the case in the US when not in a small country? It's about productivity. When things are cheap or free it increases waste, but when you have to pay, you start being a bit smart. On electric cars and inflation; you forgot to take into account that if demands shifts to electric vehicles (creating there an inflationary pressure) then a similar reduction will take place in demand for alternatives i.e. combustion engine cars reducing inflationary pressures there - AND on gas. Shifting demand does NOT increase overall inflation. Only increasing demand/falling supply does. It's correct that currently only 20% of US electricity comes from renewables. However in 2001 290 billion kilowatthours were generated by renewables, in 2020 that number was over 800 billion and growth continues on that front, now more than ever. "We are not ready for this yet", really? Imagine how the combustion engine market had evolved with this thinking. "OH" says the first guys contemplating buying this new fancy thing called a car "I am not going to buy until there are gas stations all over the US" - I think you can see where I am going. If there is HUGE demand for electric vehicles as there is how can you say it's "premature"? The more saturation you get, the more "filling stations" there will be, and as renewable sources keep increasing and battery development continues the better the entire situation will become. Also when it comes to re-usage of the components of batteries.
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  55131. There will be serious ramifications for Florida, especially the coasts, going forward. It's not just because of this tragedy, but I think this can only add to the mounting pressures on the area. 1. Insurance costs are going to climb dramatically. 2. Sales and rentals are likely to decline considerably. 3. Adequate legislation to monitor structures will be costly, but it's inevitable. This cost will have to be met by tenants. 4. Climate change is already impacting the FL coast and this is going to get worse. Storms are becoming more powerful and more frequent. Many buildings which were considered able to weather a storm 20 years ago are less able to manage it now. Vital changes will mean taxes will have to increase, all while revenue declines (think Detroit after car manufacturing left, you can't pay for vital services with decreasing tax revenues, and it becomes an exponential spiral as more leave because of higher taxes, more leave then because of rising crime and lower standards of living, etc) 5. Other buildings will *definitely* be found to be unsafe. I'm very worried about hurricane season this year. The weather is becoming more extreme and it's no longer just a theoretical problem to be dealt with in the future. It's happening right now in the US and there is nothing to suggest it's going to get any better. NOAA already predicts up to 20 named hurricanes this year, TWENTY. Several of them, as many as TEN, could be seriously damaging. I think this summer is going to be the last opportunity a lot of people have to sell up and recoup their investments. If a series of major storms hit FL this summer, as people now fear, it's going to quickly become impossible to sell up and move out.
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  55231. Damn, I couldn't find anything to disagree with today 😉 Let's look at some drivers of inflation: a) high demand - this depends on how rich people are/or feel compared to their current asset situation. People have been feeling rich through skyrocketing asset prices - both equities and housing - and because of stimulus. This is coming to an end and will thus reduce future inflation pressure. But it always needs to be seen relative to b) low supply - driven by global supply constraints. Global Covid epidemic wrecked supply chains for a couple of years. China is still locking down and causing trouble on that front. If China decides to stop lockdowns and let the virus spread it risks plunging the country into a high spread situation with many sick and dying, which will again strain supply, and if they decide to keep locking down supply will also be strained. So no matter what we should expect this to be a future driver of inflation. c) high energy prices - have been caused by Russia's war on Ukraine. But prices increases have been tampered by China slow down. If China manages to get out of lockdown and avoid a massive local epidemic, they will need far more energy and prices will go up again. China will also need to support its own weakening economy (especially in real estate and construction) with stimulus. d) high commodity prices - are also very much a factor of China and Russia's war, so the same applies as in C. It is also driven by climate which affects food prices. e) low unemployment (local) - this especially drives inflation in the service sectors (because most manufacturing is done internationally). It is also driven by local demographics (more old people and fewer young) and labor participation rates. Lots of people in the 50+ group have left the work force after Covid, many feeling rich enough to retire, and are unlikely to come back. It is also driven by lack of immigration (politically driven) Will likely continue to be causing inflation. f) high labour cost (international) - low labor cost in China has for decades been a massive factor in keeping inflation low. This is now over. Furthermore countries are wary of depending on China for much of manufacturing and will bring it home which will add to labor force pressures and cause higher producer costs, ensuring inflation. g) higher inflation expectations - all the above cause us to expect inflation and set higher prices accordingly to be ahead of the curve, which in itself causes inflation. So all in all my prediction is inflation will remain stubbornly high for many years to come, and this will ensure higher rates than people are expecting at the moment.
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  55264. Interesting questions. There are no easy answers to any of them that's for sure. We can pass a law that stops corporations and foreign investors from inflating markets. But all that will do is crash the economy. At least that is what it will do initially. Those guys would sell off for pennies on the dollar and write it off as a loss. Or file for bankruptcy with smaller firms and call it a day. In my opinion when the economy does tank is when we should pass legislation to fix this if it's even possible anymore. We all know millennials are going to lose it in the next crash. Many moved out of state or left California for greener pastures. Many of them want to move back to Cali or realize living in rural Idaho is fun for two weeks out of the year. Not full time. Most of them used mommy and daddy's money for the down payment. So they feel no real loss when they go under. It's just the truth of the matter. When you don't work for the money you don't care as much to see it go. Corporations are going to screw all of us in this but everyone knows that. And when the economy does finally tank we will be competing with the Chinese who are trying to get their communist money out of china. I dealt with them in so cal for many years. Smile to your face and stab you in the back type of business people. It is just so complicated right now and that's what drives me away from investing in real estate at the moment. A 6% cap should be acceptable in Los Angeles not St Augustine Florida lol. I see people jumping at 3% and it makes me cringe. 10 to 12% ROI used to be the norm in Costa Rica. Now reputable agents are selling things at 6% like it's the best deal on earth. 6% on a 100% cash down investment property is complete trash. And yet they push it like people are getting the cherry on top as well. We never even recovered from 2008 and we are back in it again so I can only imagine it will get worse this time around. I hope those who bought will keep their shirts but the sad reality is suicide rates and drug addictions are about to sky rocket.
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  55382. Wow how cool that I just told you last week that I grew up on Biscayne Point, (when I first found you and subscribed to your channel )and that my parents owned my childhood home there for 50 yrs. When they sold it about 8 yrs ago it was demolished and a beautiful two story home is now on our old lot. It is 1811 Cleveland Rd on the Wide Bay side!! I was hoping that you would take a walk on BP since I recently saw that you took a walk on Normandy Isle and all I had to do was go back to your older Videos...Back in the day the R Bus came onto the island but doesn't any more and when I missed the bus it was a mile walk from Biscayne Elem to my house We were about as far back as you could go near Biscayne Point Circle. Back to watching to see if you walk past the house that is now on our lot....LOL...I just found it at 21:40 you commented that "it is a beautiful yard and a beautiful house", and I agree ... they really did do a great job when they demolished our old ranch style home and rebuilt that house. The owner now she is on my FB and she sent be a picture of all the dust from when the Champlain Tower collapsed, I Never realized that we could see that high rise from my old back yard if we looked to the right. I mention this only because it was because I was watching your video when it first collapsed and that is how I found you taking a walk in my old hood. Our son who is just a couple of yrs younger then you, had just been with our grandson visiting my dad who is living in Bay Harbor now, and a neighbor of ours on BP had a staycation at the towers that my dad had access to when he wanted to go to the Beach. He took my son and 5 yr old grandson there a mos before it happened and my son commented that he noticed when he was in the parking garage that it seemed that the building needed a lot of work. He also noticed in the lobby a notice on the Bulletin Board talking about the work that needed to be done. And then a mos later the building went down. So so horrible and lives were lost that were related to many people that I grew up with down there... Hard to believe that it has already been a yr. That is about the biggest tragedy that I know of that has ever happened in the neck of the woods where I grew up. I love that you said that you would live on BP.... back in the 60's and 70's when I grew up there it was really a close knit community and a such great place to live. I wish I Had not taken it for granted....LOL....
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  55614. Michael, its not just banks over mortgages wanting people to pay back fast like what theyre pulling with you people my own bank did something that tipped me off theyre broke. I dont have a mortgage or car loan. I just have a personal loan, and two small credit limit cards and I just closed one of them as my goal is no debt in 2 years. Well I had called to get my balance on my personal loan, and its like $7000. They immediately said, "Oh, would you like to pay that in full we would really like that?" Theyre broke! They were so eager Ive never seen that before. Then this past week I did go pay off a balance of a Christmas loan of just a few hundred, and my Gosh they were so pleased and happy they couldnt stand it. They all desperate for pay offs from what I can see. Theres a reason I dont have a mortgage like lots of people. I was one of them that went thru the last foreclosure crisis when NOTHING would sell, and it trashed me financially. Then they wanted to turn around and give me another home loan, and I flat out refused. Well what I did was I took that negative situation, and I turned it positive. Ive never signed a large loan since then. I owe like $8500 in total right now, and in two years Im debt free. Im making great progress too. So my debt is minor compared to average, and as I head toward 60 years old theres not going to be debt. I knew many people in the last foreclosure crisis that did end up turning right back around doing the same crap all over again, and several of them are in serious trouble again. I just gave up that mortgage stuff what happened horrified me, it trashed me, but I never got back into it.
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  55933. Rampant roofing fraud and the lawsuits associated with them have driven 9 insurance companies into insolvency. Florida is responsible for 79% of all property insurance lawsuits in the U.S. Thats more lawsuits than all other states combined. One insurance company I do business with is receiving 26 lawsuits a day. 26 A DAY! 33 attorneys here in Florida are responsible for almost all of those lawsuits. Our governor is doing almost nothing. The reforms just passed in the special session are a band aide on a gaping wound. How this is allowed to continue is a good example that our political leaders are incompetent or corrupt or both. FYI, I am an insurance agent who has been selling homeowners insurance for over 30 years and I have never seen it this bad. I have a stack of non-renewals on my desk, and the pile is growing. Every one of these non-renewals is due to the age of the roof. Insurance companies are doing everything they can to shed these risks- those with roofs over 10 years old to avoid future roof claims. And the shady roofers just skate along destroying a whole industry facilitated by these shyster attorneys. If you have a policy in place and are offered a renewal and you have a roof over 10 years old, renew the policy-if you can afford the increased premiums. I could go on all day. If you are in the market for a new house, do not buy one with an old roof (one over 10 years old). Also, make sure that if you are buying a house that the plumbing, electric and heating have been updated. All insurance companies are now requiring 4-point inspections for houses over 20 years old. If you cannot show that the roof, plumbing, heating and electric have been updated, you are going to have a difficult time buying insurance. Your best bet is to buy a brand-new house.
    2
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  55980. I did not know the origin of the "Florida" name, and that is the kind of stuff I like to add to my trivia knowledge. When I first started coming to FLA, the license plates always began with a number signifying the county you were from - Iike 1 - Miami-Dade, 2 - Duval (JAX), 3 - Hillsborough (Tampa ), 4 - Pinellas (Clearwater/St Pete/Dunedin), etc. I then researched and found Duval was the largest county in area, right above Oklahoma City. It surprised me, as JAX does not seem big, even by FL standards, let alone compared to a place like LA or Houston, with massive sprawl, but I guess those others have multiple counties within the city. I only saw a crocodile at the Everglades, and they are more dangerous than alligators, but I will not be wrestling either! Anna Maria Island is beautiful, and I think it is due to some sort of bird refuge designation that forbids franchises or high rises. It is worth the drive, especially if one is in the Bradenton-Sarasota area. I love all the Art Deco in SoBe! The coastline trivia was on Jeopardy 1 night, but I thought it was for the Lower 48, as I think Alaska actually has the most contiguous coastline, as it is the biggest state, and most of it has water frontage, but I could be wrong. I will Google it. I know Canada has the longest coastline of any country in the world. I know Maine, due to all the inlets and peninsulas, is surprisingly long, while a state like CA does not has as many, relative to its length. I knew about the tomato crop being huge in FL, but Midwest soil grows the best tomatoes - just a short season. FLA is pretty close to CA in strawberries, too. The FL orange is the best "juice" orange and CA the best "eating" orange. Since America has such a huge population that is able to travel, and FL has consistently good weather, and closer to more population centers and cheaper than CA, I am not surprised, it is the world's most popular travel destination. It is now the 3rd largest state by population, where it was barely in the top 10 a few decades ago. With CA, NY, and IL (3 of the top 5) driving people out with high taxes and bad policy, FL will gain a lot of those emigres, too. I am one of those people that just gets an idea or question in my head, and can Google for hours lots of trivia. I DID think Louisiana got the most rainfall in the USA, but FL was always very high. Denver is actually the sunniest city, but the St Pete Times used to give all of its customers a free paper on any day the sun did not shine at all. In nearly 40 years of living in FL and being a subscriber to the Times, my grandparents only got a free paper about 4 days! However 5 min still counted, but all day gray or all day rain is rare, but when the rain comes, it is often a deluge, requiring "battening down the hatches", as they say. Interesting tidbits, Michael!
    2
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  57285. Without the government involved here's how it's fixed. In an honest money system there would be no federal reserve to manipulate interest rates. One central institution cannot know what the price of anything, including money, should be. Mises explains this through the Economic Calculation Problem. When rates are artificially low, it leads to artificial booms like we've seen in the housing market. "The Skyscraper Curse" is a book that walks through the relationship between interest rates and construction. Furthermore, in an honest money system, there would be no fractional reserve lending, I.E. banks couldn't lend investment firms money that doesn't exist, meaning they have less ability to buy property in massive swaths. An honest money system would also mean no bailouts, meaning banks and investment buyers have to take much greater caution in what they buy. No one should be "too big to fail". The government should also eliminate property taxes which are nothing more than a punishment on those who want to own where they live instead of renting it from someone else. You can argue property taxes are such a small factor in the scheme of things, but why penalize property owners for owning property. The government already taxes people on their income... There's also so many legal instruments like 1031 exchanges that make property uniquely lucrative as an investment rather than a place to live that cause these distortions, but I'm not an expert on all the codes and legal loopholes involved in the real estate world. If you want the price of property to behave like the prices of other things, the tax and legal codes around it have to act like those for other things as well. Some additional food for thought: To me it's not a coincidence that America has become obsessed with real estate price because the largest voting block (boomer generation) are also the largest owners of property. Naturally those with the largest voting influence are going to push the system in a direction that favors their interests. Or at the very least, politicians have an incentive to keep that voting block happy by keeping their assets and in many cases, retirement secure. That's the nature of the voting system. Hope this comes off as answering the questions people have and not as confrontational.
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  58120. It's kind of hard to quantify how many hurricanes hit Florida compared to other states because you have to realize that Florida's Coach line goes from Alabama to Georgia..so if you stretch out the coastline you will find that it's probably longer than the coastline of Texas. Another thing is the fort Lauderdale / Miami area in terms of major hurricane hits: the last time this area has had a major hurricane hit was Wilma back in 2005 and before that was Andrew back in 1992. So that would be two hurricanes in 28 years. So the average person would think that two hurricanes in 28 years isn't that bad, however, the gold coast is in a hurricane 'drought', because prior to 1970 and going all the way back to the late eighteen-hundreds the gold coast would get hit hit by a major hurricane weather it came from from the Atlantic or the gulf about once every 6 to 8 years. So when I moved here my mother told me that hurricane Andrew didn't hit fort Lauderdale that bad and that Wilma was pretty bad but it wasn't Armageddon like everybody thought it would be. But I told my mother ( being a weather historian myself ) that this part of Florida has been very lucky for the past 40 years because if you go back to the earlier records you will find right off the top of my head 1926 1928 1936 1941 1945 1947 1949 1950 1960 1964 1965 and that is when it ended was in 1965 because the hurricane drought started; there were only two significant hurricanes after 1965 which was Andrew and 92 and Wilma in 2005. So if the gold coast meaning from West Palm Beach to Miami goes back to what was considered normal prior to 1965 people are going to freak-out thinking that there's something suddenly wrong with the weather here, where in reality the gold coast is just starting to get hit like it always did prior to 1965 and going back almost an entire century. Combine that with global warming and we have a major Exodus that will be happening here in the fort Lauderdale West Palm Beach Miami area because present-day modern people do not want to have to live with cat 3, 4, and 5 hurricanes hitting us every 6 to 8 years. Any weather historian will tell you that prior to 1965 and going back a century, Miami was the most hurricane-prone major city in the United States.
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  58311. Look number one a Covid market correction was expected Covid main things happen that we never thought would happen before or that would be possible, and inflation has always been a problem and it’s going to continue to be a problem so yes there will be a cooler in the market but you can expect houses to keep rising in value throughout the years ahead because inflation has been a problem for over the last hundred years and will continue to be a problem, if these corporations are realizing how unsustainable the system is believe me they will start paying people more before they start giving money back! There is no housing crash and will be no housing crash there is just too much demand and not enough supply from under building the last 30 years, and interest rates is a big deal for people who can’t afford it but interest rates are not a big deal for people who have liquid cash and are able to put a bigger down payment or pay cash for the properties, I don’t see house prices falling too much because the housing market is very strong the whole country has good loans and good equity in their homes with low interest rates and not many people are willing to sell When it would be more expensive for them to buy a home today instead of keeping their home. And we are Seeing the biggest wages increase in history people are starting to make more money, also the United States has the best demographics there is a lot of young people that are coming into the market to buy their first home or second home. So I don’t see house prices falling too much at all even though they are coming down right now as we speak but is in no way a crash in any shape or form. To me business is going on I know if a property is over valued and obviously I’m not going to pay for a home that’s over valued the key is to buy a home under asking price with some good cash flow so then you can make money on the equity throughout the years as well. Now who it’s scary for is the first time homebuyers because a normal conventional loan allows you to buy a home at an 8020 loan, for first time homebuyers they only need to put 3.5% down so if there was a crash people with equity in their homes would be all right if they wait it out until the market recovers but the first time homebuyers would not be the case because they have no equity in their homes and they would go under big time!! So that’s scary!
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  58427. "The Government". When we talk about "the government" and what it can/can not or should/should not do we first need to look at what government we are talking about Federal, State or Local. If you want to live without government intervention, then there is a nice place called Somalia that's just right for you. The fact is that people are animals, and for the best of all of us we have decided to hand powers to a government to create a certain level of fairness. Perfect fairness does not exist. As far as I know most zoning laws are decided on a local level and often they are the result of local citizen pressure groups. One major problem is that housing has become an investment object rather than a place you live. People who live in a "nice", quiet and safe upscale neighborhood of single family homes with well manicured lawns will fight nail and tooth to prevent multi-family homes being built because that will bring lower income citizens and bring down housing prices. People who live in cheap, run down and affordable multifamily homes will not want their neighborhood gentrified because eventually they will be priced out. Everybody says "we should build more" but nobody wants it in their own back yard (NIMBYism). That's one problem. Should the Federal government intervene in local matters? Not many Americans will support that. Should foreigners be prevented from buying US real estate? Then what about the 35 trillion dollars of assets owned by US investors abroad? Blaming everything on "the government" is downright silly, because who elected the politicians who make the rules? And who keeps re-electing those politicians? And those who don't even bother to vote might as well not speak up to begin with. By not voting you have excluded yourself from both responsibility and the right to complain.
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  58593. To be able to purchase those homes in Allison Island, you would need to have at least $100M in asset to afford a $20M home. The issue with these expensive homes is about 1.2% property tax yearly. It would be about $250K property tax each year . To live in these homes, you would need another $20M cash to invest in dividend stocks with 5% yield to pay for the property tax, home and landscaping maintenance or you would need an executive salary to support the lifestyle. If you have extra cash (not for daily living of course), do not pour your money into black rock/stone, hedge fund, crypto and etc. To make it simple, buy this S&P500 Covered Call ETF (XYLD) instead as one of the strategies. Currently, it has around 12% yield (paying monthly dividend by selling a call option contract against the holding of shares which is called covered call). It should be fairly safe since the fund invests in the securities of the underlying index. Or you could learn how covered call works and do it yourself to save the fund expense cost. Yes, S&P 500 does go up and down like any investment, but it goes up over time after a big downturn. If it goes down, don't sell, keep the shares in the fund and continue to collect monthly dividend as an income. It's like buying a rental property. If housing market goes down, you would not sell the rental property (just collect monthly rent as usual). If you're living paycheck to paycheck, do whatever it takes to save a small amount of cash aside per paycheck and buy 1, 2 or 3 shares of XYLD (currently it's about $41 per share). Keep doing this for the next 5 years and you will be coming out ahead. Don't forget to reinvest the monthly dividend back. There are many investment strategies out there, but I think this one is simple and safe for an average person. Once you have more equity investment knowledge, seek for more strategies. Just my 2cents advice to be financial independent.
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  58709. I think the main problem is many people today live in a bubble. They live in nice gated communities and so does everyone they know. I work with lower income people and have directly seen the effects this housing market has had on people here in Florida. There are some people who won't get it until they pull up at their pharmacy, local grocery store or amusement park and see the closed signs. The way things are now are not sustainable. People can only work so many jobs. Local governments have severe staffing shortages in many states because of the rapid cost of living, many of these are jobs required by federal law. It's a major problem in Florida! For example the City of St Pete has had to begin to offer $500 per month in rental assistance to its employees because they can no longer afford their rent on their salaries. Every time I post a link my post gets removed but you can search for it and find the page. This money will come from tax payers as there is no alternative. People that say 'let the market do its thing' are very deluded. This problem cannot go away or self-correct. I don't think building more will help as even if there were suddenly a few million more houses they'd just continue to be bought up by investors and foreign wealthy people. The government has to get involved and tax them heavily and use that to offset the necessary help if they don't want to 'deter' investors. There are already a lot of government sponsored first time home buyer programs that provide money to qualified buyers. I think every county has one at least. It's the only way they can hope to keep people working in these no longer affordable communities that still need people to work there. An entire city of wealthy SIlicon Valley home owners still needs people to work a Whole Foods, the gym and the spa, don't they?
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  58958.  @MichaelBordenaro  I took a cross-country trip via Amtrak many years ago (they had a special pass of unlimited travel for 14 days for $150), so I combined staying with friends and a couple hotels (for showers and better sleep than a train seat allows), and went from Seattle to LA to KC to NY to Miami to Chicago to Mpls and back to Seattle. When in Miami, I stayed 2 nights at a Holiday Inn (probably a different hotel today) on North Miami Beach, and ate at Wolfie's Delicatessen - a huge place with great NY deli foods, so I was very close to where you now reside. Last time I checked (in 2013, when I took Amtrak to my cousin's 's wedding in CA) that unlimited travel pass was now $700, and had several restrictions. Yes, it is a small world! Cannot say I have ever been to Belvidere, but many trips to Chicago area, and drives through other parts of IL. Was involved with a group looking to buy the Pere Marquette Hotel in Peoria, when it (and the entire city) was having severe financial difficulties. That was 1985, and the good thing was (I stayed in STL right after), I got to see games 3, 4 & 5 of the NLCS with the Dodgers and Cardinals (LA had won the first 2 in LA - I was at game 1, but traveling east during game 2), but LA lost all 3 @Busch. Is Belvidere due West of Chicago? My brother graduated from chiropractic school at Palmer in Davenport, IA, so had to fly into the Quad Cities Airport. Also went to away cfb games at Illinois and Iowa, so stayed in Illinois then as well, butvloved going to NW games in Evanston (beautiful campus), where you could stay in a great hotel on the Miracle Mile, and take a train to the game. Did that 4x! I cannot say I am wild about IL, but Chicago is a great city for a weekend. The architecture tour on the Chicago R. is one of the best tours in America! The pizza (and entire food scene) is pretty great!
    2
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  59285. Michael, I have to go against you on this one. I live in a 1300 home fancy neighborhood HOA in sw Florida. Been here for a year. No problems. But i guess that's because I am basically a rule follower and have zero interest in trying to express myself through the color of my home. Yes, there are rules but they are not arbitrary. I'd like to walk outside and pick a mango off my own tree but the HOA says no fruit trees because they encourage rodents. I dont like rodents. I'll buy my mango at the store - and for those of you guys that think they are going to survive in TEOTWAWKI from your fruits and vegetables..... I bring my garbage cans in within 24 hours. It's not hard. I like having the HOA working for me with the landscaping people, I like the community pool maintenance and taking care of the roads in side my gated, with guard, community. And I also like this: I came from California where even in really nice neighborhoods they are dealing with bad people moving in, stuffing a house with extended family and really lowering the quality of life of their neighbors and the police don't/can't do diddly. At least in an HOA if this does happen the HOA has rules that can begin fining the owner of the property - it's usually renters creating the havoc - and while the HOA might not be able to collect on it immediately they can put a lien on the property that grows significantly larger every month. I realize that might not be a collectable lien if the property goes into foreclosure as the bank might take everything from the sale price before the lien is honored. Not sure how that works in Florida, but that was case in California as was told to me by our attorney when I was the president on the board at our 16 unit HOA. We were fortunate to actually be able to collect on a lien because the problematic family ended up doing a short sale rather than going into foreclosure when they decided to sell the house they couldn't afford, even with their whole extended family living there. As for the idea that board members will have to take a course to get on a board... maybe that will work in Florida at my 1300 HOA with mostly retired guys from the Midwest, but I can tell you in a 16 unit HOA in California it was near impossible to form a 3 person board were the owners were 75% non native, non fluent in English, and not particularly community oriented people, or at least working too hard to have time to serve. The idea that you are going to require them to take a probably state run full of DEI course to serve on a board is unrealistic, to the extreme. And while I am fully onboard with catching, trying and punishing fraud and corruption on boards, the idea that someone is going to want to open themselves up to any liability to serve on a board for free adds another hurdle. Boards carry insurance for their board members but making it any riskier than it already is would completely wipe out anybody serving on HOA boards. If the goal is get rid of HOAs I can't think of a better way than to make serving on a board a liability. Or maybe just have the HOA board be run in receivership by legal firms as happens when boards can't be formed when you can't find people to serve. "Give Karen a break."
    2
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  60025. The law of supply and demand can never be circumvented forever just like trees don't grow past the sky. The price goes too high you loose your customers. If your customers don't make the monthly nut, they can't rent the unit. Michael you know the housing market is continuously fluctuating and just because it's hot today doesn't mean it won't get hotter or peak and start to cool. These people are trying to correlate housing with stocks. The fallacy is that stocks can change direction in milliseconds whereas the housing market may take a year or two years to turn. I worked as an appraiser in Chicago for 15 years. When you jack around the rates, the market will either heat up or cool down within a matter of months but the refi market will shut down in a day. We have a long way to go down before there's actually blood in the streets. Right now the professionals are jumping ship as they know what is to come. The investor class has already left and all that's currently left are the middle level investors because the lower level investors and people purchasing have been priced out. The only way I've observed the market to be circumvented is by having foreign investors trying to flee their native economies for what they perceive the safety of the US . However this too shall eventually dry up. So to say there's currently blood in the streets in my opinion is just a lack of understanding how the real estate market operates. If the fed doesn't reverse course and continues to tighten by year end we might see blood in the streets.
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  60583. Yout hit everything on the nail. 1) First right of refusal is a good policy. 2) Fed Reserve (banking cartel) monetized all the bank debts and we all get over priced housing. Stupidity upon stupidity. 3) Getting rid of public housing competing with private housing development has been a the mistake of many other nations, and they're in a similar boat... US more than other nations with millions literally living in RV's and tents and cars with FAMILIES children. 4) Use our tax dollars not for some oligarch private military to colonize various poor nations in Central and South America and in Asia and Indonesia, but to maybe build, develop roads and utilities. Instead of the bozo the clown method that many cities have adopted: developers are now required to build the roads and water works and sewer works and electrical to specifications to the local utility companies, they then hand the utilities and roads to the respective operating entities for "Free". It's not paid for by the city or municipality or by the private power company or gas company or private water company... it's all paid by the developer now who then has to pass that price of building the roads and utilities onto the buyers. Prior, home builders simply had to build the house allowing developers to build home homes, our taxes over time paid for all those utilities and road services. 5) Free market has failed. You're living thru it. Banks now own the market. Congrats. Government bad is the montra propaganda nonsense. A democratized nation you are the government, you gave that away to the banks and oligarchs. Congrats. 6) The problem without government any intervention, you would still not have enough housing supply... and we'd probably still be in a complete depression. But it was done horribly. Free markets you got what we got... it's fantasy.
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  61124.  @MichaelBordenaro  I understand. I guess my view is that we're living through one of the biggest dislocations in the last hundred years, at least. The pandemic magnified the number of remote workers while also shutting down the supply lines, including lumber and other materials needed to build homes, and while also locking down the workers and companies who would have built the needed new homes. It'll take some time to normalize from those outsized and concurrent issues. I just wouldn't want us to write permanent measures into law to deal with a temporary set of problems. Maybe some elements of a solution lay in some incentives to help kickstart affordable housing construction. I also very strongly agree with your assessment about the corporate takeover of the housing and rental market. We've seen it with mobile home parks, where they buy up whole parks and then jack up the lot rents. There's some economic activity that we've long regulated when in the hands of corporations (water. electricity, sewer, other essentials) and some we've outright banned private corporations from controlling (toll roads and bridges, national and state parks). Maybe there should be tight regulations associated with corporate control of the housing market. Without it, we'll see more of what you've been pointing out; big organized investment pools under corporate umbrellas effectively colluding to take over housing and charge an ever larger percentage of American's paychecks for the privilege of having a roof over their heads, while also damaging the competitive free market by unfairly competing with individuals in the housing market.
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  61235. I bought my manufactured Home through a VA loan as a custodian with land under a foreclosure situation where the owner stop paying their mortgage. when buying a home. Buy what you need as needs and wants are two different things. And the more you spend to buy a home the more your property taxes and home owners insurance will be so keep that in mind when buying a home. And chances are your property taxes and your home owner insurance will go up every year. Note: Once you lived in your home for 10 years you can try and get your property taxes reduced for living in your home for 10 years. I also pay my overage from the escrow analysis every year to try and keep my mortgage payment down for the next year Tips I use. I pay off any credit cards ASAP so I have no outstanding debt other than my mortgage and I save up before buying most of the money needed, if not all before buying something I want. For example I am saving up to replace my old computer equipment which I use to share God's word on my facebook wall and will get it when I have it saved up enough or save up and buy when I am close to all of it being saved up. I hate being in debt. And I make total $2232.29 a month and am retired with a $522.53 per monthly mortgage and say $500 more for utilities so I pay around $1022.00 per month altogether and then the remaining is use for food, clothes and everything else that comes up during that month and save whatever I can. I am single and I have a high credit score. I might need to go back to work to get medical, dental and eye insurance or do without insurance since medicare/medicaid is too expensive and I am 64 now. I also buy in quantity when on sale things I will use sooner or later also. I feel effected by inflation when buying food and fuel prices. I can use the minivan for camping if need be or want to. I do not drive a lot and only when I need to. I bough a used 2000 Toyota minivan with 168000 miles on it about 6 months ago in case if I ever loose my home because of inflation or taxes being to high to afford so I will still have a place to live if I every lost my home. I have been single all of my life and The best thing a person can do is pay off their mortgage ASAP so you have a place to live. I owe $69000 on my manufactured home and land. And if I every come into a windfall which chances are that will not happen. I would pay off my place first thing and then only have monthly bills. like utilities, trash, food, clothing and misc bills month and home owner insurance. Micheal, kudos to you and your wife for paying off your home in Florida. Smart move. I have also though like I do as described above for a long time now.
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  61727. This insanity will stop in 2024 and prices will decline by 25% maybe slightly more. I just sold the highest priced townhome in an investor friendly neighborhood 45 days ago. It appeals to middle class to slight lower than middle class. My unit was completely remodeled and stunningly beautiful inside PLUS a new roof, new HVAC, new navy blue and white exterior colors, new appliance with air fry slide in over and every countertop single color black granite, hardwood floors throughout. My unit was the highest price sale in the complex until last week when one sold for $50,000 more with less features. The person that bought the home had a 4.04% locked interest rate and offered $35K over asking to purchase the home for $395K before their rate lock expired. The townhome is 2 beds 2.5 baths and 1,700 sq. feet. The price for a 20 year old unit was $224 per sq. foot on the unit that sold last week. I purchased a brand new townhome in November for my portfolio six months earlier for $337K that is 2,300 sq. feet, all brick high-end townhome subdivision and everything is brand new and modern throughout with high-end finishes. The townhome that just sold for $395K in an older, lower income area that is 1 mile away from this brand new unit I purchased. If the townhome that just sold for $395K last week is the new normal, that means my new property has to be worth $550K-$600K with a $200,000+++ increase in SIX MONTHS. This insanity will stop and I have no doubt that unless the people paid cash for the $395K townhome that will be a foreclosure in 2 years, because it needs a roof and the HVAC is the original unit. Everyone that has a ~4% interest rate is paying WHATEVER in order to lock their rate. It is a terrible mistake that they will regret.
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  62178. You can't base your argument on the notion that 'Something's really bad (too much government intervention) but since it's so bad already we might as well work with it.' No one has easy answers on how to reduce government especially since government is busy making everybody more dependent on them and as such pushing people to demand even more government. I think we have to put the main culprit here center stage. The Central Bank. This entity which isn't even public but private is meant to regulate the quantity of currency vis-a-vis hard assets to keep prices stable (although not entirely stable because they want 2% inflation officially). I like to hear that people favor a free market economy approach with less government intervention. That's certainly laudible. But we don't live in a free market economy with a Central Bank. This institution interferes in the market and doesn't let the market set the interest rate. This causes all sorts of distortions in capital allocation when rates are too low than what the market would set if it were freely allowed to do so (prior to 1913 the US had no Central Bank). And despite their interventions they haven't even kept prices stable. So why do we need them, their main mandate to keep prices stable is yet again failing (as it did back in the 70s and 80s and back in previous decades). So why continue to trust them with something as precious as our currency which we use every day? And because rates are comparatively lower and asset prices inflate such as real estate you will attract foreign investors trying to benefit from this. And believe me, even without foreign investment we would still be seeing these excessive prices just look at places such as Boise that most foreigners never even heard of. So while it's easy to blame the big investors abusing their power, we should ask how they were able to get so much money in the first place. The answer is simply. Cheap credit thanks to the Federal Reserve, allowing investors to indluge and grow bigger, while citizens get sucked dry. So no, more government regulation isn't the solution, but let's also admit we don't live in a free market economy with a Central Bank that is destroying our purchasing power every day!
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  62260. I think you're missing the point on the taxing empty homes thing. It most definitely would improve the situation for the overall "having places for people to live" thing. The tax would encourage owners to either 1) sell to someone who will live in the house or 2) put it up for rent. Either way, the house becomes a place for someone to live instead of a pure empty speculative asset...thereby increasing the effective supply of housing and driving down prices/rents. What the gov't ultimately does with the tax dollars is irrelevant to the macro economic effect that this mechanism would drive...though it would be nice if it was invested in low-income housing to further amplify the effect of the overall policy. It could be easily implemented as a surtax that extends the property tax in those localities that have one. It could potentailly work in sort of the opposite manner of the "homestead exemption" that Texas has, for instance. Meaning...in Texas you get a tax break (in the form of a capped effective tax assessment) if the property is your primary residence. The opposite of that would be increasing the overall effective tax assessment for a property that is vacant for "too long" during a given year which gives financial incentive to get it occupied either through sale to an owner-occupier or to rent it out. It is one of the lightest touches of government intervention as it doesn't exclude anyone from doing anything...it just imposes a "cost of doing business" for doing things contrary to the desired outcome. Even if it brought only 1% of the current shadow inventory across the nation back into play as being occupied versus sitting perpetually vacant, it would have an enormous effect on the market by bringing down both housing prices and rent.
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  62474. It's interesting to hear what people are guessing about 2024, but the sad truth is that humans are very bad in predicting the future. I pay more attention to stats, perhaps due to my "professional deformation" (as the French say). As of NOV 2023, we had about 35% of cumulative CPI increase since 2019, with inflation far away from the annual 2% target thanks to Congress that just added $1.75T to the federal deficit, projected to reach $55T by 2030. Unions and lobbyists are pressing corporations to increase wages, and several have recently succeeded. In addition: - Housing inventory nationwide is at least 50% down from pre-COVID levels, at least 3 million units short. - New homes make up around 30% of it (in many areas taking 8 to 12 months for home builders to deliver, like mine), and home builders are still unwilling to build smaller, less profitable homes. - Current homeowners are now forced to pay 60% more in a new mortgage for the same-sized house if they are to move out. Life happens, but to expect EVERYBODY will forfeit a good mortage deal is unrealistic. - The largest number of prime-age homebuyers in decades (Nine million more millennials now than Xers in 2008, the legal ones who knows how many of the others), many who are priced-out and waiting. If not, competing for properties that boomers and investors also covet (as shown in FL). - NIMBY zoning is present in all big cities that will prevent new housing starts, unless from deep-pocket developers (who are not willing to risk their millions for little). - And investors continue gobbling up 15% of the meager supply, many backed by billions of Wall St dollars. Not to mention that old man from Omaha, NB that just poured hundred of millions into homebuilders’ stocks. To believe that the housing “will crash in 2024”… Is it just wishful thinking?? I would expect 10 or 15% drop from 2022 peak prices, and in certain regions, but it will be temporary thanks to all the factors mentioned above.
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  62500. Hey Mike I like the key points you are delivering on this take today . For one thing let’s be clear unemployment index is never going to include discouraged worker quotient which has been growing proportional to all claims filed without recouping virtually any real jobs gains , this is because the reported jobs gains is credited to temporarily work visas (government ) granted and healthcare/hospitality jobs sector which are both underpinned by undocumented worker influx . So while white collar has lost 15 million jobs nationwide in the last 18 months, the other sector gained 11 million jobs. That brings your other point, what’s really going on. Ever since I was laid off 2 years ago I have delved into Uber Taxi service and Turo to diversify income . Our garage medallion in Denver where we run commercial and uber operations out of was recently approach by the dept of unemployment asking to give us revenue credits to employ Venezuelan immigrants under temp work visa. Same thing happened to my friend at a freight airport and a roofing contractor . They’re giving incentives to hire out the 30,000 undocumented immigrants that had been brought to Denver in the last 7 months. On the other side of things I have released 4308 job applications in last 18 months with five 8 round interviews none of which resulted in an offer, I’m a technology senior manager with 20 years of exp. And I applied to take junior roles as well. All resultant interviews at these Fortune 500 companies said they cannot budget for the role I applied for . Out of 50 software integrators and engineers I personally knew who were laid off NONE have landed a job since the layoff . I managed them, I am in contact with them still. Strategically on the business side I think I understand what might be going on . A very powerful minority of the investment class (0.001% UHNWI) are replacing the U.S. consumer class population with a low skill service-level foreign population to create a plutonomy , there are old gold book release memos addressing this that can still be found but this is in fact the strategy in effect. I believe. God bless.
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  63488. Hello Michael! Thank you for the opportunity to join your channel. We joined today. My husband and I are "transplant retirees" from Western New York and we have a question for you. After watching your latest video here, we agree with most of your comments and most of your videos, and we are grateful we bought a new build spec house in a non-HOA community in N Central Florida. It is a Century Complete Home, and it does have a few issues; even though this house was completed last August 2023 we have decided to replace the sub-par roof that they built here and refuse to fix properly as they select their own interpretations of their 1 - year warranty, as do many other builders here, as you know. We will add extra sister support beams to the frame and add gutters that almost never come with new homes here. There is a fairly large Habitat for Humanity community quickly going up about 2.5 miles from our rural home with many small stick-built ranch homes with one car attached garages built very close together ... around 800 to 1000 homes. While we are not opposed to helping working populations that truly need affordable houses, our question to you is that since the government is requiring most new developments to create HOAs with the associated dues (which is what we thought we heard you say in this video), then why are the residents of this Habitat for Humanity Community NOT required to form any home owners association ... and yet ... while our residential neighborhood, and us, do not have the benefit of public sewers, requiring us to pay for septic services, they do not? From what we read, these residents also have home loan interest rates of 0% and would, most likely, not lose their home in Florida should they file for bankruptcy. So then, are we correct in assuming that they will have better roads, sewer systems, and more without any regulation from any HOAs that often serve to at least keep the neighborhood neat and clean, while we have a road full of ruts that only get patched and not repaired, etc? While we do appreciate the homestead property tax breaks here, especially since we are senior citizens living on fixed incomes, and we do, in fact, live in a non-HOA-dues-required deed-restricted community that does require all of us to maintain our properties according to county code laws, somehow, the definition of "disparity" seems to be rather subjective these days, as it appears that Habitat for Humanity residents are gifted some of the very best services offered by our shared county, while they pay lower taxes, have 0% home loan interest rates and other benefits. We look forward to your opinion about this, and thank you again for your videos, which helped us decide to live here, versus other parts of Florida.
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  63513. Michael, I was looking for an older video from when you did your walking tour on North Bay Road and I came across this one that I had to watch because I had a feeling that this story was going to be similar to ours. Not only that but you are also on North Bay Road... YEA!!!! Too Funny!! Anyway We have now owned our condo in our high rise also on the water here in Bradenton for a yr this mos (Sept 2022) We moved here 13 yrs ago from Gainesville where we owned our dream home that we had just built 4 yrs prior to the crash of 2008. (We had our own business 2 /stores.showrooms in cabinetry.) and had to short sale our beautiful home when everything crashed. Fast Forward to now, we rented in our building which had just been built and we were the first to live in our almost 1800 sf unit. We had the first rights to buy, and RIGHT before the home market went crazy the owners decided to sell. We did pay more for it then what they were going for the previous year... but thankfully we did buy it.. because the unit right above us sold for 100K more then what we paid in just ONE month after we closed. Like you we also got a better deal because we were on great terms with our landlords AND they didn't have to pay a realtor. So we thank our lucky stars everyday that finally after what we went through in GVille back in 2010, we got a great break!!! :) :) :) Also Congrats on YOUR great deal, and now I need to find the video where you show the before and afters of all the work you did before you moved in!! :)
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  63597. Hello again Michael, Randall here, I'm enjoying the videos still. I can't always comment with the things I have going on. I been with you almost from the beginning. I remember the Miami dating video you did. LOL My Mom almost went through this very thing with her house. I have a friend that inherited a house that did lose his house this way. Yes, it is common here in DC and also in MD, that you did not include, for people to get their house equity stolen from them. I think it is criminal. I believe some owners, especially the elderly, fall into this because they don't see their property taxes being paid because it is paid in their mortgage. When they get the property tax bill they must ignore it or something because they never had to pay it I suspect. Here in DC and MD they sell your lien to the highest bidder. It is a racket. What these companies do, they buy the lien, tack on all these legal fees and other fees hoping the owner can't pay. Then they get to foreclose on you and take every freaking dime you owed in taxes and your equity when they sell the property. This should be illegal anywhere in this country. I think these methods are also a tool used to gentrify and enrich these companies and change neighborhoods. It is not DC or MD doing this. These companies that buy these liens are allowed to do this. DC and MD get their money when the company buys the lien. In my mom's case, she just happens to read the papers and checks these notices regularly, she saw her house advertised as up for bid. It turns out my mom paid her property tax, but dumb old DC applied her payments to the wrong property somehow. It was easily resolved with her check records. Crisis averted. My friend was not so lucky. He just could not afford to pay and was ignorant. He could have sold the place himself, but he let it go too far and ended up losing an 800K+ house that he inherited free and clear!!! Can you imagine!!! 800K+ just gone from stupidity and a whack system designed to yank property and money from people. Luckily, he didn't lose the apartment buildings he also inherited and did well selling those. He moved to Europe and got employed fortunately.
    1
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  64093. I believe what you say is true. Everything works in cycles though, and it may come back to a degree, but I don't believe it will ever be like it was because the middle class has been destroyed. The days where our parents worked simple jobs on the assembly line or at Kodak or a factory and could support the whole family and send the kids to school and buy a house and car, are pretty much done. Technology is a blessing and a curse and I believe it is mostly going to turn out to be a curse. I honestly think we might be destroying ourselves. After owning five homes over 35 years in South florida, we are more than seriously considering selling our present one and moving back up north. I hate winter, but I have lots of family and friends up there, I am afraid of the increasing threat of hurricanes in florida, and we will have a nice nest egg from the sale of our present place. No more buying for us, we can rent a two-bedroom fabulous apartment in my hometown of Rochester, New York with hardwood floors in a fabulous old building in a beautiful neighborhood with the planetarium and museums and art galleries and restaurants, for between $1200 and $1400 a month. And rents there do not increase like they do down here or other places like LA or san francisco. It will be a trade-off for sure, but we're no spring chickens and it's all about priorities. I think people need to change their thinking and not be pressured by societal so-called requirements like buying a home or a hot shot car, etc to consider themselves to be a "success."also when buying a home, people don't necessarily factor in the repairs and maintenance you're going to put in through the years. It can be astronomical and sometimes bank breaking. I have friends and family who have taken on gigantic mortgages and to me that is terrifying. What happens if they lose their job or their present gig where they're making so much money dries up? We have gutted the Earth, and in the future, if we survive, I believe people will be living differently, maybe even family style communes. Anyway, I'm rambling lol, but as usual you are spot on Michael.
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  64276. I don't hear anything you cover as negatitive- it's more informative regarding what is going on & where we might be headed - I really like it & I think you are educating a lot of people- Im not an expert on any of your topics so it's really interesting to hear what you have to say based on all your research & statistics & you have a gift for gaining people's trust- I've never felt like you have an ulterior motive or are trying to take advantage of anyone which is not the norm with most of the internet In my 33 years of purchasing/inventory management job I always had to plan on 2-3 things going wrong in the supply chain - price/quality/ delays which meant I was late & we ran out of product. So either the owner/ management was upset with me or the shop/ production was mad If I got caught up in the drama I was more likely to make mistakes- I was less efficient second guessing every decision I made I was still positive - we had 98% of everything we needed which was really hard to do. So I would listen to the complaining but had to keep it in perspective based on how many good decisions I made compared to the few mistakes or things that were out of my control Anyway, I could tell you were an optimist- counting your blessings even though you report on some pretty challenging subjects If you did want to satisfy the folks who need something fun at the end of a video maybe something you are thankful for- your health, marriage, someone you helped or that helped you, charities you like, something fun you want to buy, wisdom you got from your parents growing up, something dumb you did but they let you off the hook, etc Thank you Eric
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  64411. After Michael mentioned a possible "request to borrow" from others, I immediately wondered about the future. My husband suddenly passed two months ago. My heart is broken and will never be the same. As he always said - We were 'two peas in a pod' and our love for each other was deeper than any I have ever seen!! Thankfully, we had put ourselves in a good position financially over the past 5-10 yrs by paying off all debt, living well below our means, saving a large portion, and obtaining life insurance of substantial amounts on each of us. He has blessed me in not having to worry about future finances. However, I do wonder what may happen in the future with family that did not prepare financially (excessive living). Although, I have not mentioned my net value, it seems they have a good idea. Michael's comment struck me as possible foreshawdowing. Home Owners Insurance: I am moving to Florida in roughly 2 months. I have been looking in the Tampa area and am concerned about what insurance will look like for me as a home owner as it appears changes are on the horizon. In addition, I am considering investment property. This is flying off the shelf at top dollar with many just being purchased 2-6 months back and now back up for sale with the price being doubled. How are these investors going to get any ROI? What if or when insurance rates increase? My understanding is taxes and insurance will have a considerable increase in the very near future. How can I purchase investment property without knowing the "new rules"? Also, I am waiting for the prices to come down.... way down.
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  65103. No market that has a price run-up will escape a serious downturn, even Miami. If you think that, your deluding yourself. The question is whether or not the coming downturn will in fact, be a significant one. With so much money having been printed recently (500% plus increase in M1 in a little over two years), this might buoy real estate values, even with rapid increases in interest rates. My own opinion is that their will be a downturn in real estate, but I won't make a prediction as to whether or not it will be a major downturn. Instead, the coming downturn may just become a buying opportunity for investors to "buy the dip". The Fed's recent monetary policies are experimental. They have never printed so much money. Short of a hyper-inflation event, which is a possibility, nobody really knows what printing so much money so fast will do to the economy, not even the members of the Fed. The last time the Fed experimented this much was back in the 1960s and 1970s. Nobody knows what is going to happen. Only those who are novice and naive real estate investors would "pretend" to know what is going to happen with certainty in this market set-up. Real estate is cyclical, but monetary policy is something that is not predictable with certainty. Since all asset behavior is influenced by monetary policy, certainty about the behavior of the markets going forward does not exist. Also, incomes are not the only driver of real estate values, mortgage interest rates are also a factor. Really, affordability and availability of purchase money mortgage capital are the primary long-term drivers of real estate values, not just income. Affordability is based on incomes and mortgage payments and mortgage payments are dependent on interest rates. Over the long-term, money printing should eventually start driving rapid rises in incomes. I don't know how long the lag would be between the time money is printed and the time where that printed money starts to drive-up incomes rapidly.
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  65230. Gosh, everything you said in here is true and thankfully my agent is my brother in law and he wasn't trying to screw my wife and I over he was trying to get us into a house. Thank God we came down on the price range we felt comfortable with and he definitely was awesome helping us get it done. It's just everything you said about it not being an asset is exactly opposite of what him and the lender were saying. We got it few years back @4% with a first time buyers zero down so we missed the refinance window with this rate hike and that was my fear when we bought the place, they told my wife and I it's was basically a garuntee and I guess it would have been. But like my grandpa always said wish n one hand shit in the other see which gets full first! So now with inflation and my kid being a growing child, I'm not sleeping at night and constantly worried because what if the value drops, I sunk 70,000$ into repairs. Windows,doors, appliances, foundation and it was fine the value went way up......... Untill what a month ago...... As I said above incase my bro reads this, I love him and I don't blame or think he pushed us. It's just I don't think people in that buisness prioritize the buyer and they're future, over that rip of commission. Thank God he is family and didn't try to push us into more EXPENSIVE place cause we were definitely approved. A shady person probably would have gotten us to go all in. But good video and I feel it's gonna resonate with a lot of buyers. There's gotta be people in my situation where everything was great till last month.... Literally 8 months away from refinance eligibility we get interest rate almost double on us so now what's the point right!
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  66805. I'm not an economist and I am by no means an expert in the field. But I think there are some things to consider here. Firstly, the "buy low, sell high" concept is not new or original and if you're one of those "I'm going to time the market" types, then chances are, you're not alone. I can see some initial shocks to the system while the high interest rates take their toll, but I don't see this lasting for long or causing a profound crash in pricing (although specific overheated markets may see some more significant declines). This is because high rental prices will create a high floor for housing prices and housing demand cannot be switched on and off like a switch. If housing sales decrease for a period, pent up demand will cause a dramatic overcorrection at some point. Also, given the horrific performance of the stock market at the moment, combined with rapid inflation, real property, especially if it is sanely priced based on fundamentals, is a conservative hedge against the devaluation of investments and savings; in other words, even if the cost of housing decreases, it's not decreasing as much as the stock market or decreasing as much as inflation is increasing. Of course, all of this assumes that there is no outright "depression" and tens of millions of adults are suddenly out of work, which is a totally different ballgame. But from what I can tell, the basic fundamentals of the economy remain strong and the recovery from the pandemic is still being driven by high consumer demand. High interest rates and high gas prices may shock the system and cause a mild recession, but it will be nothing like we saw in 2008.
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