Louis Giokas
China Observer
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Comments by "Louis Giokas" (@louisgiokas2206) on "6-Month Employee Break! No Westen Orders, Another Major Factory in China Has Suspended Operations" video.
WOW! A very thought-provoking video. Well done!
One more thought on communism in China, and generally. Marx assumed that the revolution would be driven by the urban, industrial proletariat. He assumed that it would start in countries like Germany, the UK and the US. Instead, it started in countries that were industrially underdeveloped with large peasant populations. Specifically, Russia and China. This is what allowed them to control the populations. They were used to being controlled.
Of course, Marx's reasoning was all wrong. The people of Russia and China were offered free stuff, taken from the middle and upper classes. They were not really ideological. In the countries where Marx expected the revolution the people aspired to create wealth. Many of the wealthy in the US these days, and historically, did not come from highly privileged backgrounds. Even the average factory worker has it fairly good. Frankly, having traveled a bit, I have concluded (and I am not alone in this) that our lower classes would be considered middle class in most of the world.
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The Cultural Revolution? Bring back the Cultural Revolution! Long live the Cultural Revolution! Go, Xi, go!
One of the political reasons for opening up to China was to affect the system there by bringing in capitalism. The hope was that this would make China more democratic over time. A China that followed the rule of law, respected private property, including intellectual property rights, could have been a huge success and a great partner in the world.
But, alas, China was, and is, a communist country. All communist countries become oligarchies and then morph into aristocracies. All communist countries also become institutionally corrupt.
As for fighting China, the west only needs to do very little. Just disrupting trade is enough. China imports most of its energy and other raw materials. Its farmland is very poor, requiring about five times as much in inputs (fertilizer, pesticides, etc.) as land in the US or Europe. As Peter Zeihan likes to say, China deindustrializes in a matter of months and begins to experience mass starvation within a year.
Look at the sanctions on Russia. They are devastating that country. The full sanctions have only been put in place gradually over the last two years. And Russia has lots of raw materials and grows lots of food.
No one wants to invade China, except perhaps Russia. Well, not even Russia these days. What is that big military for? It is China that is threatening to invade other countries, and not just Taiwan.
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