Comments by "Louis Giokas" (@louisgiokas2206) on "Would Ukraine joining NATO start World War III?" video.

  1. Is this guy for real? Basing policy decisions on polls of the German people? Russia has a food reason to want the pipeline damaged. That way they can avoid contractual issues. I cannot say that is the actual case, but it is a plausible explanation. It is at least as plausible as a survey of people who have no more information that any of the rest of us. As for Russia winning, I think there are lots of counterexamples. Israel is the best. A much smaller country with western weapons and training vs Soviet weapons and training. Another is the second Gulf War (OIF). In the first Gulf War the US and allies used overwhelming force with about 500K troops against Iraq's 1M regular troops and 850K reservists, most of whom had recent combat experience in the war with Iran. In OIF the US went in with under 200K troops against a force over twice that size. There are other examples. I mention all this because the only reason given for Russia winning is size. Shallow analysis.
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  2. @lati long Can't agree with you there. While Russia deployed about 150K (more if you include troops from the breakaway regions, Chechens and mercenaries), their total army before the war was almost 1M. So, they theoretically could have pulled in other forces from around Russia. As for the west supporting Ukraine, there are at least two very good reasons for it to do so. First, to facilitate Ukraine giving up their nuclear weapons, Russia, the US and UK signed the Budapest Memorandum. The obligation to support Ukraine's territorial integrity has a solid geopolitical basis. Second, the fact is that Russia, if successful in Ukraine, will not stop there. Because of their population situation, this is their last chance to do anything along those lines. For the western allies it is best to support the Ukrainians in destroying the Russian military on their territory. Cheap at twice the price, and quite possible. I personally do not think that Russia and China will exist in their current forms in ten to twenty years. It may be sooner. They will both likely devolve into a grouping of regional warlords. This has happened in China many times in the past. The last time only 100 years ago.
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