Comments by "Louis Giokas" (@louisgiokas2206) on "Dear Nigel Askey - Your Article about me is WRONG" video.
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Assigning numbers to these things in advance is difficult. Look at US experience after WWII. In Vietnam the US lost about 50K troops while the North and the Viet Cong lost about 1M. Yet the US lost the war, abandoning the South. In the 2004 Iraq War, the coalition sent in just over 177K troops, while the Iraqis had over 500K troops and 650K reserves. They Iraqis lost in a matter of weeks. The defining feature in both wars was air power. This was also, at the beginning of the German invasion of the Soviet Union, the case for the Germans as well. It is much more complicated than just numbers.
At the time of the VN war, US doctrine said that the defenders needed 3 times as many troops as the attackers. When it was shown that this was not the case, confidence in the prosecution of the war waned in the US. The US was never going to send over that many troops.
Another factor is organization. The Germans started out much better than the Soviets, but later in the war this became more equal.
There is a lot more to these things than a silly equation. Keep up the good work. I like your stuff, and always compare it to many other sources, and generally I think you get it right.
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