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Louis Giokas
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Louis Giokas" (@louisgiokas2206) on "UK Elections: Starting Over || Peter Zeihan" video.
The whole issue is one that I find sort of silly. The world changes. Those that don't adapt will "fall". In Europe, witness the Germans. Being a finance hub may not be the best thing for the Brits. As Peter mentions, the reasons for the UK to be one has gone. They need to do something else. Can the UK change in an advantageous way? Who knows. Compared to their EU peers, they have a better chance of doing it. They could also mess it up.
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I love how people talk about the UK not having a backup plane for Brexit as if that is some sort of significant revelation. For one thing, when do governments have real plans? As President Joe likes to say, come on man. Did the Germans have a "plan" when they decided to shut down their nuclear reactors. Did the EU as a whole have a plan to deal with the threat from Russia in the energy sphere (to say nothing of the security sphere)? Why does the EU not have a trade deal with the US? The answer is chlorinated chicken. Look it up, it is hilarious. I participated in the debate at the time. This is the same EU whose plan seemed to be to rely on China for markets. How is that working out now? The EU is pulling back from China. Was that a plan? The UK, specifically David Cameron, tried to negotiate with the EU on some, frankly reasonable, changes. They spat in his face. Did the EU have a plan? There are plenty in the EU that are feeling the same as the UK before Brexit. Then there are the projections I have seen that the UK will surpass Germany in GDP over the next decade. Finally, isn't this the same Peter Zeihan who talks about the EU as a protectionist cartel that is doomed?
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While the comment about the US telling the UK that all the colonies had to "go away" is correct, there is another factor. That is the cost/benefit equation. The monetary cost was one factor, but so was the societal cost. There is every indication that the Brits would have given up their colonies over time, but without prodding from the US it might have been a longer and bloodier process. Or maybe not.
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